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Big Data Analytics in Tracking COVID-19 Spread Utilizing Google Location Data 利用谷歌位置数据跟踪COVID-19传播的大数据分析
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.771
Mei Wyin Yaw, Prajindra Sankar Krishnan, Chai Phing Chen, Sieh Kiong Tiong
According to mobility data that records mobility traffic using location trackers on mobile phones, the COVID-19 epidemic and the adoption of social distance policies have drastically altered people’s visiting patterns. However, rather than the volume of visitors, the transmission is controlled by the frequency and length of concurrent occupation at particular places. Therefore, it is essential to comprehend how people interact in various settings in order to focus legislation, guide contact tracking, and educate prevention initiatives. This study suggests an effective method for reducing the virus’s propagation among university students enrolled on-campus by creating a self-developed Google History Location Extractor and Indicator software based on actual data on people’s movements. The platform enables academics and policymakers to model the results of human mobility and the epidemic condition under various epidemic control measures and assess the potential for future advancements in the epidemic’s spread. It provides tools for identifying prospective contacts, analyzing individual infection risks, and reviewing the success of campus regulations. By more precisely focusing on probable virus carriers during the screening process, the suggested multi-functional platform makes it easier to decide on epidemic control measures, ultimately helping to manage and avoid future outbreaks.
利用手机上的位置追踪器记录交通流量的移动数据显示,新冠疫情和社交距离政策的实施大大改变了人们的出行模式。然而,传播是由在特定地点同时占用的频率和时间长短来控制的,而不是访问者的数量。因此,了解人们如何在各种环境中相互作用是至关重要的,以便集中立法,指导接触者追踪,并教育预防措施。本研究提出了一种有效的方法来减少病毒在在校大学生中的传播,即创建一个自主开发的基于人们运动实际数据的谷歌历史位置提取器和指示器软件。该平台使学者和政策制定者能够模拟各种流行病控制措施下人员流动和流行病状况的结果,并评估流行病传播未来取得进展的潜力。它为识别潜在接触者、分析个人感染风险以及审查校园法规的成功与否提供了工具。通过在筛查过程中更精确地关注可能的病毒携带者,建议的多功能平台更容易决定疫情控制措施,最终有助于管理和避免未来的疫情。
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引用次数: 0
Customer Churn Prediction through Attribute Selection Analysis and Support Vector Machine 基于属性选择分析和支持向量机的客户流失预测
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.777
Jia Yi Vivian Quek, Ying Han Pang, Zheng You Lim, Shih Yin Ooi, Wee How Khoh
An accurate customer churn prediction could alert businesses about potential churn customers so that proactive actions can be taken to retain the customers. Predicting churn may not be easy, especially with the increasing database sample size. Hence, attribute selection is vital in machine learning to comprehend complex attributes and identify essential variables. In this paper, a customer churn prediction model is proposed based on attribute selection analysis and Support Vector Machine. The proposed model improves churn prediction performance with reduced feature dimensions by identifying the most significant attributes of customer data. Firstly, exploratory data analysis and data preprocessing are performed to understand the data and preprocess it to improve the data quality. Next, two filter-based attribute selection techniques, i.e., Chi-squared and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), are applied to the pre-processed data to select relevant features. Then, the selected features are input into a Support Vector Machine for classification. A real-world telecom database is used for model assessment. The empirical results demonstrate that ANOVA outperforms the Chi-squared filter in attribute selection. Furthermore, the results also show that, with merely ~50% of the features, feature selection based on ANOVA exhibits better performance compared to full feature set utilization.
准确的客户流失预测可以提醒企业潜在的流失客户,以便采取积极主动的行动来留住客户。预测用户流失可能并不容易,尤其是随着数据库样本规模的增加。因此,在机器学习中,属性选择对于理解复杂属性和识别基本变量至关重要。提出了一种基于属性选择分析和支持向量机的客户流失预测模型。该模型通过识别客户数据中最重要的属性,降低了特征维度,提高了客户流失预测的性能。首先进行探索性数据分析和数据预处理,了解数据并进行预处理,提高数据质量;接下来,将两种基于滤波器的属性选择技术,即卡方和方差分析(ANOVA)应用于预处理数据以选择相关特征。然后,将选择的特征输入到支持向量机中进行分类。一个真实的电信数据库被用于模型评估。实证结果表明,方差分析在属性选择方面优于卡方滤波。此外,结果还表明,与完全利用特征集相比,基于方差分析的特征选择仅使用约50%的特征,表现出更好的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Improving Phishing Email Detection Using the Hybrid Machine Learning Approach 使用混合机器学习方法改进网络钓鱼电子邮件检测
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.778
Naveen Palanichamy, Yoga Shri Murti
Phishing emails pose a severe risk to online users, necessitating effective identification methods to safeguard digital communication. Detection techniques are continuously researched to address the evolution of phishing strategies. Machine learning (ML) is a powerful tool for automated phishing email detection, but existing techniques like support vector machines and Naive Bayes have proven slow or ineffective in handling spam filtering. This study attempts to provide a phishing email detector and reliable classifier using a hybrid machine classifier with term frequency-inverse document frequency (TF-IDF) and an effective feature extraction technique (FET) on a real-world dataset from Kaggle. Exploratory data analysis is conducted to enhance understanding of the dataset and identify any conspicuous errors and outliers to facilitate the detection process. The FET converts the data text into a numerical representation that can be used for ML algorithms. The model’s performance is evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC curve metrics. The research findings indicate that the hybrid model utilising TF-IDF achieved superior performance, with an accuracy of 87.5%. The paper offers valuable knowledge on using ML to identify phishing emails and highlights the importance of combining various models.
网络钓鱼邮件对在线用户构成严重威胁,需要有效的识别方法来保护数字通信。检测技术的不断研究,以解决网络钓鱼策略的演变。机器学习(ML)是自动检测网络钓鱼电子邮件的强大工具,但现有的技术,如支持向量机和朴素贝叶斯,在处理垃圾邮件过滤方面已经被证明是缓慢或无效的。本研究试图在来自Kaggle的真实数据集上使用具有词频-逆文档频率(TF-IDF)和有效特征提取技术(FET)的混合机器分类器提供一个网络钓鱼邮件检测器和可靠的分类器。探索性数据分析是为了加强对数据集的理解,并识别任何明显的错误和异常值,以促进检测过程。FET将数据文本转换为可用于ML算法的数字表示形式。采用准确率、精密度、召回率、F1评分、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和ROC曲线下面积等指标评价模型的性能。研究结果表明,利用TF-IDF的混合模型取得了优异的性能,准确率达到87.5%。本文提供了使用机器学习识别网络钓鱼电子邮件的宝贵知识,并强调了组合各种模型的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
ICT-driven Transparency: Empirical Evidence from Selected Asian Countries 信息通信技术驱动的透明度:来自特定亚洲国家的经验证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.658
Ajmal Hussain
We are living in the digital era and ICTs have become necessities in this contemporary world. The aim of this study is to investigate transparency in Asia through ICT’s diffusion by using Driscoll-Kraay standard error technique. We used panel data for 17 Asian countries from 2010 to 2019 and we use control of corruption as a proxy for transparency checking. The results show that ICTs leave a positive effect on the control of corruption. Other determinants of transparency in this paper, such as political stability and effective governance, have a positive effect on control of corruption. ICT policy can play an important role in curbing corruption. So, there is a strong need for ICT diffusion, suggesting that effective governance helped to reduce corruption in the Asian region and establish a surveillance-based system in public institutions.
我们生活在数字时代,信息通信技术已成为当今世界的必需品。本研究的目的是利用Driscoll-Kraay标准误差技术,通过信息通信技术的传播来调查亚洲的透明度。我们使用了17个亚洲国家2010年至2019年的面板数据,并将腐败控制作为透明度检查的代理。结果表明,信息通信技术对控制腐败产生了积极影响。在本文中,透明度的其他决定因素,如政治稳定和有效治理,对控制腐败有积极作用。信息通信技术政策可以在遏制腐败方面发挥重要作用。因此,对信息通信技术的传播有强烈的需求,这表明有效的治理有助于减少亚洲地区的腐败,并在公共机构中建立基于监督的系统。
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引用次数: 0
Language Independent Models for COVID-19 Fake News Detection COVID-19假新闻检测的语言独立模型
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.789
Wei Kitt Wong, Filbert Hilman Juwono, Ing Ming Chew, Basil Andy Lease
In an era where massive information can be spread easily through social media, fake news detention is increasingly used to prevent widespread misinformation, especially fake news regarding COVID-19. Databases have been built and machine-learning algorithms have been used to identify patterns in news content and filter the false information. A brief overview, ranging from public domain datasets through the deployment of several machine learning models, as well as feature extraction methods, is provided in this paper. As a case study, a mixed language dataset is presented. The dataset consists of tweets of COVID-19 which have been labelled as fake or real news. To perform the detection task, a classification model is implemented using language-independent features. In particular, the features offer numerical inputs that are invariant to the language type; thus, they are suitable for investigation, as many regions in the world have similar linguistic structures. Furthermore, the classification task can be performed by using black box or white box models, each having its own advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we compare the performance of the two approaches. Simulation results show that the performance difference between black box models and white box models is not significant.
在大量信息可以通过社交媒体轻松传播的时代,虚假新闻拘留越来越多地用于防止错误信息的广泛传播,特别是有关新冠肺炎的虚假新闻。已经建立了数据库,并使用机器学习算法来识别新闻内容中的模式并过滤虚假信息。本文简要概述了从公共领域数据集到几个机器学习模型的部署,以及特征提取方法。作为案例研究,给出了一个混合语言数据集。该数据集由COVID-19的推文组成,这些推文被标记为假新闻或真实新闻。为了执行检测任务,使用与语言无关的特征实现分类模型。特别是,这些功能提供了对语言类型不变的数值输入;因此,它们是适合研究的,因为世界上许多地区都有类似的语言结构。此外,可以使用黑盒模型或白盒模型来执行分类任务,每种模型都有自己的优点和缺点。在本文中,我们比较了两种方法的性能。仿真结果表明,黑盒模型与白盒模型的性能差异不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Proposal of a Measurement Scale and Test of the Impacts on Purchase and Revisit Intention 对购买意愿和再访意愿影响的测量量表及测试
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.657
Salma Ayari, Imène Ben Yahia
Online immersion is considered as a determining factor of web surfers’ reactions. Its importance may be greater in a 3D-enriched environment. However, little research has explored it in marketing and less has investigated its impact on consumer behaviour in an enriched commercial website. In addition, when it comes to its operationalization, many weaknesses are noticed in the existing literature. Accordingly, the objective of this study is two-fold: in order to test the impact of immersion on purchase and revisit intentions to a 3D-enriched commercial website, a scale measurement of immersion tailored to this specific context is proposed. Following Churchill’s framework and the recommendations of Rossiter, a number of methodological instruments, including two focus groups (the first with 4 experts; the second with 18 consumers) and three surveys (first: 140 students; second: 350 Internet users; third: 200 Internet users), are used. The confirmatory factor analysis resulted in an 8-item scale which seems to exhibit evidence of reliability and validity. The predictive validity was confirmed since the impacts of immersion on the intentions to buy and revisit the website are significant. The proposed scale measure may help academics conduct better and more reliable studies on consumer behaviour online.
在线沉浸被认为是网络冲浪者反应的决定性因素。在3d丰富的环境中,它的重要性可能会更大。然而,很少有研究探讨其在市场营销和较少调查其对消费者行为的影响,在一个丰富的商业网站。此外,现有文献在其可操作性方面也存在许多不足。因此,本研究的目的是双重的:为了测试沉浸感对3d丰富的商业网站的购买和重访意愿的影响,我们提出了针对这一特定背景的沉浸感量表测量。按照丘吉尔的框架和罗西特的建议,一系列方法工具,包括两个焦点小组(第一个有4名专家;第二个是18位消费者)和三个调查(第一个是140名学生;第二:350名互联网用户;第三:200个互联网用户),被使用。验证性因子分析产生了一个8项量表,似乎显示出信度和效度的证据。由于沉浸感对购买意愿和再次访问网站的影响显著,因此证实了预测效度。拟议的量表可能有助于学者们对在线消费者行为进行更好、更可靠的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Building a Fortress Against Fake News 建立反对假新闻的堡垒
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.765
Nafiz Fahad, Kah Ong Michael Goh, Md. Ismail Hossen, Connie Tee, Md. Asraf Ali
Given the prevalence of fake news in today’s tech-driven era, an urgent need exists for an automated mechanism to effectively curb its dissemination. This research aims to demonstrate the impacts of fake news through a literature review and establish a reliable system for identifying it using machine (ML) learning classifiers. By combining CNN, RNN, and ANN models, a novel model is proposed to detect fake news with 94.5% accuracy. Prior studies have successfully employed ML algorithms to identify false information by analysing textual and visual features in standard datasets. The comprehensive literature review emphasises the consequences of fake news on individuals, economies, societies, politics, and free expression. The proposed hybrid model, trained on extensive data and evaluated using accuracy, precision and recall measures, outperforms existing models. This study underscores the importance of developing automated systems to counter the spread of fake news and calls for further research in this domain.
鉴于假新闻在当今科技驱动时代的盛行,迫切需要一种自动化机制来有效遏制其传播。本研究旨在通过文献综述来证明假新闻的影响,并建立一个可靠的系统,使用机器学习分类器来识别假新闻。通过结合CNN、RNN和ANN模型,提出了一种新的假新闻检测模型,准确率为94.5%。先前的研究已经成功地使用ML算法通过分析标准数据集中的文本和视觉特征来识别虚假信息。全面的文献综述强调了假新闻对个人、经济、社会、政治和言论自由的影响。所提出的混合模型经过大量数据的训练,并使用准确性、精密度和召回率指标进行评估,优于现有模型。这项研究强调了开发自动化系统来对抗假新闻传播的重要性,并呼吁在这一领域进行进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain Technology for Tourism Post COVID-19 COVID-19后旅游区块链技术
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.764
Mohd Norman Bin Bakri, Han Foon Neo, Chuan-Chin Teo
During the pandemic, the tourism industry was one of the most severely impacted sectors. As vaccines are now widely available, each government is working to develop a system that can generate a digital vaccine certificate and PCR lab test result to verify that a person has been fully vaccinated or has a negative PCR test result, in order to allow them to enter business premises, travel overseas or cross state borders. However, the use of centralised systems in the development of the digital COVID-19 pass system results in a number of challenges, including the system’s high susceptibility to failures, sluggish and inefficient information transmission, and vulnerability. The goal of this research is to offer a new digital COVID-19 pass based on the proposed “SmartHealthCard” blockchain technology. SmartHealthCard is a decentralised application (dApp) encrypting and hashing user data and safely storing it in a distributed database. Privacy preservation, GDPR compliance, self-sovereignty, KYC compliance and data integrity are featured. This initiative has the potential to benefit the public, healthcare professionals, service providers and the government. SmartHealthCard enables quick verification of tamper-proof COVID-19 tests/vaccines, aiding in COVID-19 transmission control while respecting the user’s right to privacy.
在大流行期间,旅游业是受影响最严重的部门之一。随着疫苗的普及,各国政府正在开发一种系统,可以生成数字疫苗证书和PCR实验室检测结果,以验证是否完全接种疫苗或PCR检测结果为阴性,从而允许他们进入营业场所、海外旅行或跨越州界。然而,在开发数字COVID-19通行证系统时使用集中式系统会带来许多挑战,包括系统对故障的高易感性,信息传输缓慢和低效以及脆弱性。这项研究的目标是提供一种基于拟议的“智能健康卡”区块链技术的新型数字COVID-19通行证。SmartHealthCard是一个分散的应用程序(dApp)加密和散列用户数据,并将其安全地存储在分布式数据库中。隐私保护、GDPR合规性、自我主权、KYC合规性和数据完整性。这一举措有可能使公众、医疗保健专业人员、服务提供商和政府受益。SmartHealthCard可以快速验证防篡改COVID-19测试/疫苗,有助于控制COVID-19的传播,同时尊重用户的隐私权。
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引用次数: 0
Phishing Message Detection Based on Keyword Matching 基于关键字匹配的网络钓鱼消息检测
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.776
Keng-Theen Tham, Kok-Why Ng, Su-Cheng Haw
This paper proposes to use the Naïve Bayes-based algorithm for phishing detection, specifically in spam emails. The paper compares probability-based and frequency-based approaches and investigates the impact of imbalanced datasets and the use of stemming as a natural language processing (NLP) technique. Results show that both algorithms perform similarly in spam detection, with the choice between them depending on factors such as efficiency and scalability. Accuracy is influenced by the dataset configuration and stemming. Imbalanced datasets lead to higher accuracy in detecting emails in the majority class, while they struggle to classify minority-class emails. In contrast, balanced datasets yield overall high accuracy for both spam and ham email identification. This study reveals that stemming has a minor impact on algorithm performance, occasionally decreasing in accuracy due to word grouping. Balancing the dataset is crucial for improving algorithm performance and achieving accurate spam email detection. Hence, both probability-based and frequency-based Naïve Bayes algorithms are effective for phishing detection using balanced datasets. The frequency-based approach, with a balanced dataset and stemming, achieves a balanced performance between recall and precision, while the probability-based method with a balanced dataset and no stemming prioritises overall accuracy.
本文提出使用Naïve基于贝叶斯的网络钓鱼检测算法,特别是在垃圾邮件中。本文比较了基于概率和基于频率的方法,并研究了不平衡数据集的影响以及将词干提取作为自然语言处理(NLP)技术的使用。结果表明,这两种算法在垃圾邮件检测方面的表现相似,它们之间的选择取决于效率和可扩展性等因素。准确性受数据集配置和词干提取的影响。不平衡的数据集导致在检测大多数类别的电子邮件时具有更高的准确性,而在对少数类别的电子邮件进行分类时却很困难。相比之下,平衡的数据集对垃圾邮件和业余电子邮件的识别产生了总体上较高的准确性。本研究表明,词干提取对算法性能的影响较小,偶尔会由于词分组而降低准确性。平衡数据集对于提高算法性能和实现准确的垃圾邮件检测至关重要。因此,基于概率和基于频率的Naïve贝叶斯算法对于使用平衡数据集的网络钓鱼检测都是有效的。基于频率的方法,具有平衡的数据集和词干提取,实现了召回率和精度之间的平衡性能,而基于概率的方法,具有平衡的数据集和无词干提取,优先考虑整体准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing Mobility Tracking to Identify Hotspots for Contagious Disease Spread 利用流动性跟踪识别传染病传播热点
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.18080/jtde.v11n3.775
Mei Wyin Yaw, Prajindra Sankar Krishnan, Chai Phing Chen, Sieh Kiong Tiong
A significant global health problem nowadays is the incidence of serious infectious illnesses. An extraordinary humanitarian crisis has been brought on by the current COVID-19 pandemic, which has spread around the world. The spread of new viruses has put established healthcare institutions under tremendous strain and created a number of pressing problems. It is important to predict the future movement and pattern of the illness in order to decrease infectious instances and maximize recovered cases. This research paper aims to utilize mobility tracking as a means to identify hotspots for contagious disease spread. The study focuses on collecting and analyzing mobility data from UNITEN students using Google Map data over a period of two weeks. The paper describes the data collection process, data pre-processing steps, and the application of the HDBSCAN algorithm for hotspot clustering. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of HDBSCAN in identifying hotspots based on the mobility data. The findings highlight the potential of mobility tracking for disease surveillance and provide insights for public health interventions and preventive measures.
当今一个重要的全球健康问题是严重传染病的发病率。当前的COVID-19大流行在全球蔓延,引发了一场非同寻常的人道主义危机。新病毒的传播给现有的医疗机构带来了巨大的压力,并产生了一些紧迫的问题。重要的是要预测疾病的未来运动和模式,以减少感染病例和最大限度地恢复病例。本研究的目的是利用移动跟踪作为识别传染病传播热点的手段。该研究的重点是在两周内使用谷歌地图数据收集和分析来自UNITEN学生的移动数据。介绍了数据采集过程、数据预处理步骤以及HDBSCAN算法在热点聚类中的应用。结果证明了HDBSCAN在基于移动数据识别热点方面的有效性。这些发现突出了疾病监测中流动性跟踪的潜力,并为公共卫生干预和预防措施提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Australian Journal of Telecommunications and the Digital Economy
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