首页 > 最新文献

Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review最新文献

英文 中文
Military expenditure and income inequality in European NATO Member States 北约欧洲成员国的军费开支与收入不平等
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2024.22.1
Gitana Dudzevičiūtė, V. Česnuitytė
The purpose of this investigation was to empirically assess the association between military expenditure and income inequality in the 19 European member states of NATO between 2011 and 2022. To achieve this, the authors carried out multivariate statistical analysis using Kaplan-Meier life tables and survival estimation techniques. The results highlighted a trend in the countries analysed that income inequality tended to decrease when investment in the military increased during the period under consideration. The association manifested itself in the shortest time in the group of countries with the lowest military spending per capita, while emerging in the longer term in the countries with the highest. Furthermore, under high threat of war, the association tends to be shortest in relative terms in countries with the lowest military expenditure per capita. The results also revealed that the association between military spending and income inequality is more pronounced in the smallest countries by population and those with the lowest military expenditure per capita. The authors believe that this investigation will enrich scientific knowledge with new insights.
这项调查的目的是对 2011 年至 2022 年北约 19 个欧洲成员国的军费开支与收入不平等之间的关系进行实证评估。为此,作者使用 Kaplan-Meier 寿命表和生存估计技术进行了多变量统计分析。分析结果表明,在所分析的国家中存在这样一种趋势,即在报告所述期间,当军事投资增加时,收入不平等现象趋于减少。这种关联在人均军费开支最低的国家组表现得最为明显,而在人均军费开支最高的国家组则表现得更为明显。此外,在战争威胁较高的情况下,人均军费开支最低的国家的关联时间相对最短。研究结果还显示,军费开支与收入不平等之间的关联在人口最少的国家和人均军费开支最低的国家更为明显。作者认为,这项调查将以新的见解丰富科学知识。
{"title":"Military expenditure and income inequality in European NATO Member States","authors":"Gitana Dudzevičiūtė, V. Česnuitytė","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2024.22.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2024.22.1","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this investigation was to empirically assess the association between military expenditure and income inequality in the 19 European member states of NATO between 2011 and 2022. To achieve this, the authors carried out multivariate statistical analysis using Kaplan-Meier life tables and survival estimation techniques. The results highlighted a trend in the countries analysed that income inequality tended to decrease when investment in the military increased during the period under consideration. The association manifested itself in the shortest time in the group of countries with the lowest military spending per capita, while emerging in the longer term in the countries with the highest. Furthermore, under high threat of war, the association tends to be shortest in relative terms in countries with the lowest military expenditure per capita. The results also revealed that the association between military spending and income inequality is more pronounced in the smallest countries by population and those with the lowest military expenditure per capita. The authors believe that this investigation will enrich scientific knowledge with new insights.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"21 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141815370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
“It’s the Economy, Stupid!” and the Integration of EU Defence Policy "经济问题,笨蛋!"与欧盟防务政策一体化
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.4
R. Kuokštytė
In the face of Russia’s war against Ukraine, Germany was not the only one to undergo “Zeitenwende” in Europe. The European Union (EU), as a whole, also witnessed an unprecedented surge in its determination to bolster its security and defence efforts. Using collective funds, EU countries, for instance, have been providing lethal arms to Ukraine and have committed to joint procurement of ammunition and missiles to assist Kyiv. Furthermore, the EU Commissioner for Internal Market has pro-actively carried to the European capitals the message about the need for the “war economy mode.” To what extent does recent progress in EU defence policy represent a fundamental shift in the EU’s self-perception and its approach to external policy? More concretely, can we realistically describe a stronger and more robust EU defence policy as being firmly rooted in a shared political and strategic vision? The paper examines relevant transformations, including recent developments, and argues that they are closely intertwined with the economic rationale, which is empirically distinct from a politico-strategic vision. This has implications for EU-NATO cooperation.
面对俄罗斯对乌克兰发动的战争,德国并不是欧洲唯一经历 "时代变迁 "的国家。欧洲联盟(欧盟)作为一个整体,其加强安全与防卫的决心也空前高涨。例如,欧盟国家利用集体资金向乌克兰提供致命武器,并承诺联合采购弹药和导弹以援助基辅。此外,欧盟内部市场专员还积极主动地向欧洲各国首都传达需要 "战争经济模式 "的信息。欧盟国防政策的最新进展在多大程度上代表了欧盟自我认知及其对外政策方针的根本转变?更具体地说,我们能否现实地将更强大、更有力的欧盟防务政策牢牢植根于共同的政治和战略愿景中?本文研究了包括近期发展在内的相关转变,并认为这些转变与经济理由密切相关,而经济理由在经验上有别于政治战略愿景。这对欧盟与北约的合作产生了影响。
{"title":"“It’s the Economy, Stupid!” and the Integration of EU Defence Policy","authors":"R. Kuokštytė","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.4","url":null,"abstract":"In the face of Russia’s war against Ukraine, Germany was not the only one to undergo “Zeitenwende” in Europe. The European Union (EU), as a whole, also witnessed an unprecedented surge in its determination to bolster its security and defence efforts. Using collective funds, EU countries, for instance, have been providing lethal arms to Ukraine and have committed to joint procurement of ammunition and missiles to assist Kyiv. Furthermore, the EU Commissioner for Internal Market has pro-actively carried to the European capitals the message about the need for the “war economy mode.” To what extent does recent progress in EU defence policy represent a fundamental shift in the EU’s self-perception and its approach to external policy? More concretely, can we realistically describe a stronger and more robust EU defence policy as being firmly rooted in a shared political and strategic vision? The paper examines relevant transformations, including recent developments, and argues that they are closely intertwined with the economic rationale, which is empirically distinct from a politico-strategic vision. This has implications for EU-NATO cooperation.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"4 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139147281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
China’s Rising Military Threat in the Indo-Pacific Region: Change in Japan’s Defence Policy in 2013–2022 中国在印度洋-太平洋地区不断上升的军事威胁:2013-2022 年日本防卫政策的变化
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.2
Jurgis Bekampis
{"title":"China’s Rising Military Threat in the Indo-Pacific Region: Change in Japan’s Defence Policy in 2013–2022","authors":"Jurgis Bekampis","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":" 16","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139144012","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The War in Ukraine: Estonia and European Strategic Autonomy Responding to Russia 乌克兰战争:爱沙尼亚与欧洲应对俄罗斯的战略自主权
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.5
Viljar Veebel
Debates following the events of February 2022 in Estonian society have been hot, and despite diverging opinion, a mainstream viewpoint on how to assist Ukraine, how to respond to Russia, what to expect from NATO allies and how to deal with the inner cohesion of Estonia´s multi-ethnic and multilingual society has emerged. The least problematic has been the understanding of how to help Ukraine, with Estonia emerging as the leading donating nation per capita in 2022. As for the response to Russian aggression in Ukraine, the majority of the Estonian public and elite support significantly more severe sanctions than those that have been enacted. Although there have been voices which have demanded the straightforward intervention of NATO in the conflict, the strongest consensus backs the view that the Western world should not become directly involved but should indirectly support Ukraine to a greater degree than it has managed to thus far. Despite its membership in NATO, the Estonian political and military elite, as well as the Estonian language part of the society remains afraid that Russia will use the same logic and action against the Baltic States. The main question for Estonia is if and when, after the end of the war in Ukraine, Russia might be ready and motivated to challenge NATO in the Baltic states.
爱沙尼亚社会在 2022 年 2 月事件后展开了激烈的辩论,尽管意见不一,但在如何援助乌克兰、如何应对俄罗斯、对北约盟国的期望以及如何处理爱沙尼亚多民族和多语言社会的内在凝聚力等问题上,已经形成了主流观点。问题最少的是对如何帮助乌克兰的理解,爱沙尼亚成为 2022 年人均捐款最多的国家。至于如何应对俄罗斯在乌克兰的侵略,大多数爱沙尼亚公众和精英都支持比已经颁布的制裁措施更为严厉的制裁。虽然也有声音要求北约直接介入冲突,但最强烈的共识是,西方世界不应直接介入,而应间接支持乌克兰,而且支持的程度应比迄今为止所做的更大。尽管爱沙尼亚是北约成员国,但爱沙尼亚的政治和军事精英以及社会中讲爱沙尼亚语的人仍然担心俄罗斯会用同样的逻辑和行动来对付波罗的海国家。爱沙尼亚面临的主要问题是,乌克兰战争结束后,俄罗斯是否以及何时会准备好并有动力在波罗的海国家挑战北约。
{"title":"The War in Ukraine: Estonia and European Strategic Autonomy Responding to Russia","authors":"Viljar Veebel","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.5","url":null,"abstract":"Debates following the events of February 2022 in Estonian society have been hot, and despite diverging opinion, a mainstream viewpoint on how to assist Ukraine, how to respond to Russia, what to expect from NATO allies and how to deal with the inner cohesion of Estonia´s multi-ethnic and multilingual society has emerged. The least problematic has been the understanding of how to help Ukraine, with Estonia emerging as the leading donating nation per capita in 2022. As for the response to Russian aggression in Ukraine, the majority of the Estonian public and elite support significantly more severe sanctions than those that have been enacted. Although there have been voices which have demanded the straightforward intervention of NATO in the conflict, the strongest consensus backs the view that the Western world should not become directly involved but should indirectly support Ukraine to a greater degree than it has managed to thus far. Despite its membership in NATO, the Estonian political and military elite, as well as the Estonian language part of the society remains afraid that Russia will use the same logic and action against the Baltic States. The main question for Estonia is if and when, after the end of the war in Ukraine, Russia might be ready and motivated to challenge NATO in the Baltic states.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"188 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139145575","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Moldova on the Brink: Safeguarding Against Russian Aggression 摩尔多瓦岌岌可危:防范俄罗斯侵略
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.6
Arūnas Molis, Irina Jardan
This article explores the key factors that could lead to a potential spillover of the conflict from Ukraine into Moldova. It also proposes strategies for Moldova to mitigate this risk and safeguard its stability against Russian aggression. By utilizing a mixed methods approach that combines qualitative insights from semi-structured interviews and quantitative analysis of institutional indices, migration and demographic data, also defense budget figures, the article provides a comprehensive evaluation to address the research question. The theoretical framework is based on the cross-border conflict theory, specifically employing the concept of securitization to frame Moldova’s response to security challenges. While the article does not predict outcomes, it highlights Moldova’s options to mitigate vulnerabilities and collaboratively enhance stability. Prioritizing the strengthening of the national security framework and proactive diplomatic initiatives emerges as essential.
本文探讨了可能导致冲突从乌克兰蔓延到摩尔多瓦的关键因素。文章还提出了摩尔多瓦的战略,以降低这一风险并保护其稳定,抵御俄罗斯的侵略。文章采用混合方法,将半结构式访谈的定性见解与机构指数、移民和人口数据以及国防预算数字的定量分析相结合,为解决研究问题提供了全面的评估。文章的理论框架以跨境冲突理论为基础,特别采用了安全化概念来构建摩尔多瓦应对安全挑战的框架。虽然文章并不预测结果,但它强调了摩尔多瓦减轻脆弱性和共同加强稳定的选择。优先加强国家安全框架和积极主动的外交举措显得至关重要。
{"title":"Moldova on the Brink: Safeguarding Against Russian Aggression","authors":"Arūnas Molis, Irina Jardan","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.6","url":null,"abstract":"This article explores the key factors that could lead to a potential spillover of the conflict from Ukraine into Moldova. It also proposes strategies for Moldova to mitigate this risk and safeguard its stability against Russian aggression. By utilizing a mixed methods approach that combines qualitative insights from semi-structured interviews and quantitative analysis of institutional indices, migration and demographic data, also defense budget figures, the article provides a comprehensive evaluation to address the research question. The theoretical framework is based on the cross-border conflict theory, specifically employing the concept of securitization to frame Moldova’s response to security challenges. While the article does not predict outcomes, it highlights Moldova’s options to mitigate vulnerabilities and collaboratively enhance stability. Prioritizing the strengthening of the national security framework and proactive diplomatic initiatives emerges as essential.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"103 s1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139146823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Protracted Survival of Boko Haram From a Revolutionary Warfare Perspective 从革命战争的视角看 "博科圣地 "的长期存在
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.3
Juras Kimbartas
Since 2009 Boko Haram has been carrying out terrorist attacks in the northeastern part of Nigeria. In 2015 the group was seen as the world‘s deadliest terrorist organization, however, due to internal disagreements in 2016, Boko Haram split into two factions, namely the Islamic State – West Africa Province (ISWAP) and Jamā’at Ahl as-Sunnah lid-Da’wah wa’l-Jihād (JAS), which is still often referred to by its original name – Boko Haram. While the competition between these factions made way for the Nigerian government to retake formerly lost territories, attacks from Boko Haram continue, and government forces have yet to fully quell the insurgency. This article surveys the protracted survival of Boko Haram through their operating practices by basing itself on the two primary models of revolutionary warfare (people’s war by Mao Zedong and Foquismo by Che Guevara). It takes note of the similarities between traditional revolutionary and contemporary jihadist ways of thought. Despite these similarities, crucial distinctions can also be made between the two factions of Boko Haram in order to explain their comparatively different levels of success. The article is divided into 3 primary bodies, each examining one of the three pillars (ideological, popular-support and military) that are required for a successful revolution. Comparisons between ISWAP and JAS are made in each section. Finally, the addition and comparison of the results stemming from each part are summarized and aid in trying to understand the protracted survival of Boko Haram.
自 2009 年以来,"博科圣地 "一直在尼日利亚东北部地区实施恐怖袭击。2015 年,该组织被视为世界上最致命的恐怖组织,然而,由于内部分歧,博科圣地在 2016 年分裂为两个派别,即伊斯兰国-西非省(ISWAP)和Jamā'at Ahl as-Sunnah lid-Da'wah wa'l-Jihād(JAS),后者仍经常被称为其原名--博科圣地。虽然这些派别之间的竞争为尼日利亚政府夺回前失地开辟了道路,但 "博科圣地 "的袭击仍在继续,政府军尚未完全平息叛乱。本文以两种主要的革命战争模式(毛泽东的人民战争和切-格瓦拉的 Foquismo)为基础,通过博科圣地的行动实践,探讨了博科圣地旷日持久的生存之道。报告注意到了传统革命思想与当代圣战思想的相似之处。尽管有这些相似之处,但博科圣地的两个派别之间也有重要区别,以解释其相对不同的成功程度。文章分为三个主要部分,分别探讨革命成功所需的三大支柱(意识形态、民众支持和军事)之一。每个部分都对 ISWAP 和 JAS 进行了比较。最后,对每个部分的结果进行补充和比较,以帮助理解博科圣地长期存在的原因。
{"title":"The Protracted Survival of Boko Haram From a Revolutionary Warfare Perspective","authors":"Juras Kimbartas","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.3","url":null,"abstract":"Since 2009 Boko Haram has been carrying out terrorist attacks in the northeastern part of Nigeria. In 2015 the group was seen as the world‘s deadliest terrorist organization, however, due to internal disagreements in 2016, Boko Haram split into two factions, namely the Islamic State – West Africa Province (ISWAP) and Jamā’at Ahl as-Sunnah lid-Da’wah wa’l-Jihād (JAS), which is still often referred to by its original name – Boko Haram. While the competition between these factions made way for the Nigerian government to retake formerly lost territories, attacks from Boko Haram continue, and government forces have yet to fully quell the insurgency. This article surveys the protracted survival of Boko Haram through their operating practices by basing itself on the two primary models of revolutionary warfare (people’s war by Mao Zedong and Foquismo by Che Guevara). It takes note of the similarities between traditional revolutionary and contemporary jihadist ways of thought. Despite these similarities, crucial distinctions can also be made between the two factions of Boko Haram in order to explain their comparatively different levels of success. The article is divided into 3 primary bodies, each examining one of the three pillars (ideological, popular-support and military) that are required for a successful revolution. Comparisons between ISWAP and JAS are made in each section. Finally, the addition and comparison of the results stemming from each part are summarized and aid in trying to understand the protracted survival of Boko Haram.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"151 s620","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139145867","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Between Nuclear Autonomy and Foreign Extended Nuclear Deterrence Protection: the Case of Japan 在核自主权与外国延伸核威慑保护之间:日本案例
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.1
Linas Didvalis, Jiabin Song
The purpose of this article is to elucidate the problem of Japan’s nuclear security deterrence strategy dilemma, which is balancing between pursuing nuclear autonomy and remaining under the United States’ (the U.S.) extended nuclear deterrence protection. Through an examination of Japanese official documents, scholars’ relevant literature on both Japanese and U.S. nuclear security and an analysis of Japan’s geopolitical structure, the researchers resolve this dilemma through a nuclear deterrence perspective. Based on the evaluation of how Japan’s nuclear deterrence credibility’s potential is changing when pursuing either of the two options, the researchers conclude that the three geopolitical factors — the proximity to the strong nuclear adversary, the smallness of territory and lack of nuclear armament experience — determine that it is not in Japan’s national interest to leave the U.S. nuclear umbrella and pursue autonomy through independent nuclear capabilities. In addition, given the similarity of three such geopolitical factors shared by them, the majority of small states (e.g. Eastern European countries such as Lithuania), it is reasonable to constitute them into an empirical model and conduct a further deductive study on the cases of other small cases.
本文旨在阐明日本核安全威慑战略的两难问题,即在追求核自主权与继续接受美国延伸核威慑保护之间的平衡问题。研究人员通过对日本官方文件、学者关于日本和美国核安全的相关文献的研究,以及对日本地缘政治结构的分析,从核威慑的角度解决了这一困境。根据对日本核威慑可信度的潜在变化的评估,研究人员得出结论,日本与强大的核对手距离较近、国土面积狭小和缺乏核军备经验这三个地缘政治因素决定了脱离美国的核保护伞,通过独立的核能力追求自主并不符合日本的国家利益。此外,鉴于大多数小国(如立陶宛等东欧国家)所共有的上述三个地缘政治因素的相似性,我们有理由将其构成一个经验模型,并对其他小国的案例进行进一步的演绎研究。
{"title":"Between Nuclear Autonomy and Foreign Extended Nuclear Deterrence Protection: the Case of Japan","authors":"Linas Didvalis, Jiabin Song","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.1","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this article is to elucidate the problem of Japan’s nuclear security deterrence strategy dilemma, which is balancing between pursuing nuclear autonomy and remaining under the United States’ (the U.S.) extended nuclear deterrence protection. Through an examination of Japanese official documents, scholars’ relevant literature on both Japanese and U.S. nuclear security and an analysis of Japan’s geopolitical structure, the researchers resolve this dilemma through a nuclear deterrence perspective. Based on the evaluation of how Japan’s nuclear deterrence credibility’s potential is changing when pursuing either of the two options, the researchers conclude that the three geopolitical factors — the proximity to the strong nuclear adversary, the smallness of territory and lack of nuclear armament experience — determine that it is not in Japan’s national interest to leave the U.S. nuclear umbrella and pursue autonomy through independent nuclear capabilities. In addition, given the similarity of three such geopolitical factors shared by them, the majority of small states (e.g. Eastern European countries such as Lithuania), it is reasonable to constitute them into an empirical model and conduct a further deductive study on the cases of other small cases.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"1‐40 S1‐139","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139146051","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Allies That Matter: Elite versus Public Opinion in Latvia 重要的盟友:拉脱维亚的精英与民意
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.21.7
Andris Banka, Christina Stremming, Margit Bussmann
{"title":"Allies That Matter: Elite versus Public Opinion in Latvia","authors":"Andris Banka, Christina Stremming, Margit Bussmann","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.21.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.21.7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":" 17","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139144579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Counterbalancing And Pragmatic Accommodation: CEE Countries Towards Russia’s Expansion, 2014-2021 抗衡与务实妥协:中东欧国家应对俄罗斯的扩张,2014-2021 年
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.20.4
Tomasz Klin
The purpose of this article is to study the differentiation of CEE countries’ approaches towards Russia’s expansion, and then to identify explanatory variables. CEE policies fit to the balance of power categories, specifically: counterbalancing and accommodation. The method of assessing each CEE country’s policies towards Russia combines gathering information on 2014-2021 activities classified in three groups: bilateral relations with Russia; relations with other NATO countries framed as counterbalancing Russia; relations with Ukraine regarding counterbalancing Russia. The method of explanation for diverse CEE policies consists in assigning quantitative values and applying statistics in order to discover correlations. The result of the first step is placing each CEE country on the axis of relatively pro- (Hungary) and anti-Russian (Lithuania and Poland) policies. The quantitative version of the axis serves as dependent variable in the statistical research which reveals finals results: the strongest correlations are demonstrated by proximity and distance to Russia, which reflects Russia’s closest neighbors’ counterbalancing tendencies. Historical grievances and the size of Russian minorities are second-strongest. However, excluding Hungary, historical grievances become the strongest factor of anti-Russian policies.
本文的目的是研究中东欧国家对待俄罗斯扩张方式的差异,进而找出解释变量。中东欧国家的政策符合权力平衡的范畴,具体来说是:制衡和迁就。评估每个中东欧国家对俄罗斯政策的方法包括收集2014-2021年活动的信息,分为三类:与俄罗斯的双边关系;与其他北约国家的关系被框定为制衡俄罗斯;在制衡俄罗斯方面与乌克兰的关系。解释不同中东欧政策的方法包括分配定量值和应用统计数据,以发现相关性。第一步的结果是将每个中东欧国家置于相对亲俄(匈牙利)和反俄(立陶宛和波兰)政策的轴心上。轴的定量版本作为统计研究的因变量,揭示了最终结果:最强的相关性体现在与俄罗斯的距离和距离上,这反映了俄罗斯最近的邻国的平衡倾向。历史上的不满和俄罗斯少数民族的规模排在第二位。然而,除匈牙利外,历史恩怨成为反俄政策的最强因素。
{"title":"Counterbalancing And Pragmatic Accommodation: CEE Countries Towards Russia’s Expansion, 2014-2021","authors":"Tomasz Klin","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.20.4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.20.4","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this article is to study the differentiation of CEE countries’ approaches towards Russia’s expansion, and then to identify explanatory variables. CEE policies fit to the balance of power categories, specifically: counterbalancing and accommodation. The method of assessing each CEE country’s policies towards Russia combines gathering information on 2014-2021 activities classified in three groups: bilateral relations with Russia; relations with other NATO countries framed as counterbalancing Russia; relations with Ukraine regarding counterbalancing Russia. The method of explanation for diverse CEE policies consists in assigning quantitative values and applying statistics in order to discover correlations. The result of the first step is placing each CEE country on the axis of relatively pro- (Hungary) and anti-Russian (Lithuania and Poland) policies. The quantitative version of the axis serves as dependent variable in the statistical research which reveals finals results: the strongest correlations are demonstrated by proximity and distance to Russia, which reflects Russia’s closest neighbors’ counterbalancing tendencies. Historical grievances and the size of Russian minorities are second-strongest. However, excluding Hungary, historical grievances become the strongest factor of anti-Russian policies.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"37 17","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138589048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Willingness to Fight for One’s Own Country: New Variables to Look at the Estonian Leadership among the Baltic States 为自己的国家而战的意愿:观察爱沙尼亚在波罗的海国家中领导地位的新变量
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.47459/lasr.2023.20.5
Dovydas Rogulis
The article delves into the willingness of citizens in the Baltic States, particularly Estonia, to fight for their countries in the face of rising threats, notably the Russian threat following the Crimean annexation. With historically weaker NATO defenses and relatively small armed forces, Baltic States like Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia rely on allied support and their residents’ determination to defend their homeland. The study explores variables that influence this willingness, focusing on Estonia’s leadership in this aspect. The article consists of three main sections: a literature review, a comparative case analysis, and conclusions. The literature review examines past data from global, regional, and national perspectives, touching upon the theories of renowned researchers like Ronald F. Inglehart. The comparative case analysis delves into new variables—civic engagement, government functionality, and corruption levels—exploring their correlation with citizens’ readiness to fight for their country. The analysis uncovers distinct patterns in Estonia, which consistently outpaces Latvia and Lithuania in civic engagement, efficient governance, and lower corruption levels. Ultimately, the research emphasizes that civic engagement positively associates with willingness to defend one’s country, exemplified by Estonia’s higher voter turnout and volunteering rates. Effective government functioning also contributes to citizens’ willingness to fight, with Estonia’s robust governance over the past decades potentially boosting resilience. Furthermore, low corruption levels appear to enhance citizens’ confidence in their state, potentially encouraging them to defend it. The study concludes that understanding these multifaceted factors can guide policymakers and community leaders in bolstering citizens’ determination to protect their countries, particularly in Latvia and Lithuania.
这篇文章深入研究了波罗的海国家(尤其是爱沙尼亚)的公民在面对不断上升的威胁,尤其是俄罗斯吞并克里米亚后的威胁时,为自己的国家而战的意愿。由于历史上北约防御能力较弱,武装力量相对较小,立陶宛、拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚等波罗的海国家依靠盟国的支持和居民保卫家园的决心。该研究探讨了影响这种意愿的变量,重点关注爱沙尼亚在这方面的领导地位。本文由三个主要部分组成:文献综述、比较案例分析和结论。文献综述从全球、地区和国家的角度审视了过去的数据,触及了罗纳德·f·英格尔哈特等著名研究人员的理论。比较案例分析深入研究了新的变量——公民参与、政府职能和腐败程度——探索了它们与公民为国而战的准备程度之间的关系。该分析揭示了爱沙尼亚的独特模式,爱沙尼亚在公民参与、有效治理和较低的腐败水平方面一直领先于拉脱维亚和立陶宛。最后,该研究强调,公民参与与捍卫国家的意愿呈正相关,爱沙尼亚较高的选民投票率和志愿服务率就是例证。有效的政府运作也有助于提高公民的战斗意愿,爱沙尼亚过去几十年的稳健治理可能会增强其复原力。此外,低腐败水平似乎增强了公民对国家的信心,可能会鼓励他们捍卫国家。该研究的结论是,了解这些多方面的因素可以指导决策者和社区领导人增强公民保护国家的决心,特别是在拉脱维亚和立陶宛。
{"title":"Willingness to Fight for One’s Own Country: New Variables to Look at the Estonian Leadership among the Baltic States","authors":"Dovydas Rogulis","doi":"10.47459/lasr.2023.20.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47459/lasr.2023.20.5","url":null,"abstract":"The article delves into the willingness of citizens in the Baltic States, particularly Estonia, to fight for their countries in the face of rising threats, notably the Russian threat following the Crimean annexation. With historically weaker NATO defenses and relatively small armed forces, Baltic States like Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia rely on allied support and their residents’ determination to defend their homeland. The study explores variables that influence this willingness, focusing on Estonia’s leadership in this aspect. The article consists of three main sections: a literature review, a comparative case analysis, and conclusions. The literature review examines past data from global, regional, and national perspectives, touching upon the theories of renowned researchers like Ronald F. Inglehart. The comparative case analysis delves into new variables—civic engagement, government functionality, and corruption levels—exploring their correlation with citizens’ readiness to fight for their country. The analysis uncovers distinct patterns in Estonia, which consistently outpaces Latvia and Lithuania in civic engagement, efficient governance, and lower corruption levels. Ultimately, the research emphasizes that civic engagement positively associates with willingness to defend one’s country, exemplified by Estonia’s higher voter turnout and volunteering rates. Effective government functioning also contributes to citizens’ willingness to fight, with Estonia’s robust governance over the past decades potentially boosting resilience. Furthermore, low corruption levels appear to enhance citizens’ confidence in their state, potentially encouraging them to defend it. The study concludes that understanding these multifaceted factors can guide policymakers and community leaders in bolstering citizens’ determination to protect their countries, particularly in Latvia and Lithuania.","PeriodicalId":37780,"journal":{"name":"Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review","volume":"92 24","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138586360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Lithuanian Annual Strategic Review
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1