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The effects of IMF programs on income inequality: a semi-parametric treatment effects approach 国际货币基金组织项目对收入不平等的影响:半参数处理效应方法
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-25 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2021-0265
M. Chletsos, Andreas Sintos
PurposeThis paper aims to provide new insights regarding the impact of International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs on income inequality.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses a novel methodological approach proposed by Acemoglu et al. (2019), using (1) the regression adjustment, (2) the inverse probability weighting and (3) the doubly robust estimator, which combines (1) and (2), and a sample of annual data for 135 developing countries over the time period 1970 to 2015.FindingsThe findings show that IMF programs are associated with greater income inequality for up to five years. By differentiating the effect of IMF programs, the authors find that only IMF non-concessional programs have a significant detrimental effect on income inequality, while IMF concessional programs do not have a consistent effect on income inequality. In addition, the authors find that only IMF programs with a higher number of conditions have a detrimental and statistically significant effect on income inequality, compared to IMF programs with a smaller number of conditions, where their effect on income inequality is found to be insignificant.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, the analysis developed in this paper contributes to the existing literature by applying the most methodologically sound identification strategy, which does not rely on the linearity assumption, the selection of instruments or matching variables and additionally takes into account the selection bias related to IMF program participation.
目的本文旨在就国际货币基金组织(IMF)计划对收入不平等的影响提供新的见解。设计/方法论/方法本文使用了Acemoglu等人提出的一种新的方法论方法。(2019),使用(1)回归调整,(2)逆概率加权和(3)双稳健估计器,它结合了(1)和(2),以及1970年至2015年135个发展中国家的年度数据样本。研究结果表明,国际货币基金组织的项目在长达五年的时间里与更大的收入不平等有关。通过区分IMF项目的影响,作者发现,只有IMF非优惠项目对收入不平等有显著的不利影响,而IMF优惠项目对收益不平等的影响并不一致。此外,作者发现,与条件较少的IMF项目相比,只有条件较多的IMF项目才会对收入不平等产生有害的统计显著影响,而条件较少的国际货币基金组织项目对收入不公平的影响微乎其微。独创性/价值据作者所知,本文中开发的分析通过应用方法上最合理的识别策略对现有文献做出了贡献,该策略不依赖于线性假设、工具或匹配变量的选择,并额外考虑了与IMF项目参与相关的选择偏差。
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引用次数: 1
Wage premium for soft skills in IT sector IT行业软技能的工资溢价
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-08 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2021-0257
Andrei Ternikov
PurposeThis study aims to investigate the relationship between the demand on “soft” skills and suggested salaries for IT specializations in Russia.Design/methodology/approachBased on the database of vacancies, econometric modeling and cluster analysis of job occupations are implemented.FindingsThe results show positive association between demand for “soft” skills and wage if the model is controlled for the working experience and narrow professional occupations. Findings provide evidence that there is significant wage premium for “soft” skills in cases when job positions either imply no experience or require specialists with at least three years of tenure.Originality/valueThis research provides new evidence on the relationship between “soft” skills and wage using job postings data from Russia. This paper identifies the presence of wage premium for “soft” skills among IT specialists if controlling for sub-specializations, year, region and working experience. The robustness checks indicate no significant changes in the obtained results.
目的本研究旨在调查俄罗斯IT专业对“软”技能的需求与建议工资之间的关系。设计/方法/方法基于职位空缺数据库,对工作职业进行计量经济建模和聚类分析。结果表明,如果该模型针对工作经验和狭窄的专业职业进行控制,则对“软”技能的需求与工资之间存在正相关。调查结果提供了证据,证明当工作职位意味着没有经验或需要至少有三名专家时,“软”技能的工资会有显著的溢价 任职年限。独创性/价值这项研究利用来自俄罗斯的招聘数据,为“软”技能与工资之间的关系提供了新的证据。本文确定了在控制子专业、年份、地区和工作经验的情况下,IT专家中“软”技能的工资溢价的存在。稳健性检查表明所获得的结果没有显著变化。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the returns to education in a chronically depressed labour market: the case of Kosovo 在长期低迷的劳动力市场中估计教育回报率:以科索沃为例
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2021-0254
Ardiana Gashi, N. Adnett
PurposeThis paper aims to investigate whether the conventional approach to estimating the private and social rates of return to education generates reliable findings when used in economies with chronically depressed labour markets.Design/methodology/approachConventional techniques (the Mincer earnings function and the discounting method) are used to provide initial estimates of the private and social returns to education in Kosovo. However, this study argues that in countries with chronically depressed labour markets, such as in Kosovo, the conventional approach is likely to significantly underestimate the private and social returns from achieving a higher level of educational attainment. This study extends the estimation approach to take into account the greater probability of more highly educated Kosovars being: employed, employed in the formal and public sectors and having longer job tenure.FindingsThe extended approach to estimating rates of return to schooling generates higher private and social rates of return to education than the conventional approach. Moreover, in contrast to the findings of the conventional approach, the revised approach suggests that private and social rates of return are highest from completion of upper secondary and tertiary education.Research limitations/implicationsThe results indicate that if governments in economies with chronically depressed labour markets decide upon their educational priorities based on unadjusted rates of return, then resources may be misallocated.Originality/valueThe analysis presented in this paper suggests that conventional approaches to estimating private and social rates of return to education are not suitable for use in economies with chronically depressed labour markets. In addition, the paper provides the first comprehensive analysis of the rates of return to education in Kosovo. These results are used to provide a critique of the Kosovo Government’s recent educational priorities.
目的本文旨在调查在劳动力市场长期低迷的经济体中,估计私人和社会教育回报率的传统方法是否能产生可靠的结果。设计/方法/方法传统技术(Mincer收入函数和贴现法)用于对科索沃的私人和社会教育回报进行初步估计。然而,这项研究认为,在劳动力市场长期低迷的国家,如科索沃,传统方法可能大大低估了获得更高教育水平带来的私人和社会回报。这项研究扩展了估计方法,考虑到受过高等教育的科索沃人就业、受雇于正规和公共部门以及工作期限更长的可能性更大。调查结果估计教育回报率的扩展方法比传统方法产生了更高的私人和社会教育回报率。此外,与传统方法的结果相反,修订后的方法表明,从完成高中和高等教育开始,私人和社会回报率最高。研究局限性/含义研究结果表明,如果劳动力市场长期低迷的经济体的政府根据未经调整的回报率来决定其教育优先事项,那么资源可能会被错误分配。原创性/价值本文中的分析表明,估计私人和社会教育回报率的传统方法不适合用于劳动力市场长期低迷的经济体。此外,该文件首次全面分析了科索沃的教育返回率。这些结果被用来批评科索沃政府最近的教育优先事项。
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引用次数: 0
Oil price shocks on shale oil supply and energy security: a case study of the United States 油价冲击对页岩油供应和能源安全的影响:以美国为例
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-29 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2021-0264
Emad Kazemzadeh, Mohammad Taher Ahmadi Shadmehri, Taghi Ebrahimi Salari, N. Salehnia, A. Pooya
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine oil price shocks on US shale oil supply and energy security during the period 2000q1–2020q4.Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the Shannon–Wiener index was used to calculate energy security, and then a structural vector autoregression (VAR) was applied to measure the effect of oil price shocks.FindingsThe results of the variance decomposition indicate that oil prices account for about 20% of changes in US shale oil production, while it explains only about 3% of changes in energy security. Finally, historical decomposition confirms the results of impulse response functions.Originality/valueThe novelty of this study is that so far, no study has examined the effect of oil price shock on shale oil production and energy security in the USA using the structural VAR model. This study also used the latest Shannon–Wiener index as a measure of energy security in the USA. The reason for selecting this index is that, in addition to considering the share of the total consumption of each primary energy, the share of energy imports from each country as well as the political risk of energy exporting countries to the USA are also included.
本研究的目的是考察2000年第一季度至2020年第四季度期间油价冲击对美国页岩油供应和能源安全的影响。设计/方法/方法在本研究中,采用Shannon-Wiener指数来计算能源安全,然后采用结构向量自回归(VAR)来衡量油价冲击的影响。方差分解的结果表明,油价占美国页岩油产量变化的20%左右,而它只解释了能源安全变化的3%左右。最后,历史分解证实了脉冲响应函数的结果。独创性/价值本研究的新颖之处在于,到目前为止,还没有研究使用结构VAR模型检验油价冲击对美国页岩油生产和能源安全的影响。这项研究还使用了最新的香农-维纳指数作为美国能源安全的衡量标准。选择该指标的原因是,除了考虑每一种一次能源在总消费中的份额外,还考虑了从每个国家进口的能源份额以及能源出口国对美国的政治风险。
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引用次数: 1
Financial stability aspects of monetary policy transmission in developing countries: empirical evidence from Kazakhstan 发展中国家货币政策传导的金融稳定方面:来自哈萨克斯坦的经验证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-25 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-06-2021-0128
Z. Ybrayev
PurposeThis study aims to determine whether the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy depends on the structural conditions of financial stability. In particular, the paper shows that the effects of shocks to financial stability on output and inflation is conditional on the state of credit in the economy, measured broadly as a credit-to-GDP.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use a threshold vector autoregression model with Bayesian techniques to investigate the impact of private nonfinancial sector credit on the dynamic relationship between financial conditions, monetary policy transmission mechanism and macroeconomic performance in Kazakhstan from 2005:Q1 to 2020:Q1.FindingsIn the modeled threshold vector autoregression (VAR) specification, the authors document that when the credit-to-GDP gap is low or the credit is below its trend, an increase to the interest rate leads to a short-term economic expansion. However, when the credit-to-GDP gap is high or the nonfinancial credit is above its trend, a tightening in monetary policy leads to an economic contraction with domestic financial conditions being weaker compared to a low credit environment.Originality/valueThe outcome is consistent with the related literature, which argues that a more sustained increase in credit is followed by a sharper economic contraction, but only when the economy is in the high credit state. These results highlight that financial stability measures (e.g. credit state) is important to take into account when conducting monetary policy in emerging economies.
目的本研究旨在确定货币政策向实体经济的传导是否取决于金融稳定的结构条件。特别是,本文表明,金融稳定冲击对产出和通货膨胀的影响取决于经济中的信用状况,广义上作为信贷衡量-GDP。设计/方法/方法作者使用贝叶斯技术的阈值向量自回归模型来研究私人非金融部门信贷对金融条件之间的动态关系的影响,哈萨克斯坦2005年第一季度至2020年第一季度的货币政策传导机制和宏观经济表现。在建模的阈值向量自回归(VAR)规范中,作者记录了当信贷与GDP的差距较低或信贷低于其趋势时,利率的提高会导致短期经济扩张。然而,当信贷与GDP的差距很大或非金融信贷高于其趋势时,货币政策紧缩会导致经济收缩,国内金融状况与低信贷环境相比较弱。独创性/价值这一结果与相关文献一致,这些文献认为,信贷的持续增长之后会出现更剧烈的经济收缩,但只有当经济处于高信贷状态时。这些结果突出表明,在新兴经济体实施货币政策时,金融稳定措施(如信贷状况)非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of external debt on total factor productivity and growth in HIPCs: non-linear regression approaches 外债对重债穷国全要素生产率和增长的影响:非线性回归方法
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-07-2021-0145
S. Beyene, Balázs Kotosz
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to provide an empirical analysis of the impact of external debt on total factor productivity (TFP) and growth along with the TFP channel through which external debt affects the growth of heavily indebted poor countries (HIPCs).Design/methodology/approachThis study uses panel data econometrics; basically, the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) and alternative non-linear (panel threshold) models. For robustness check, it also uses panel-corrected standard errors, feasible generalized least squares and SUR (using alternative variables).FindingsExternal debt significantly reduces both TFP and growth. Besides, it confirms that the relationship between external debt and TFP and gross domestic product growth is non-linear. Further external debt can affect the growth of HIPCs through the TFP channel. However, the threshold model result reveals weak evidence of threshold values although there are some threshold values of 67 and 54 for TFP and growth models, respectively.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study on most concerned countries (HIPCs) that shows a detailed and complete analysis of the TFP channel and the impact of external debt on growth. Thus, it provides appropriate and sound policies that consider the unique characteristics of the countries. Unlike most previous findings, this study does not support an inverted U-shape relationship between external debt and growth. Further, it provides insights into the relationships among TFP, external debt and growth. Moreover, it considers basic panel econometric tests like cross-sectional dependence, uses a non-linear simultaneous equations model along with the alternative non-linear model and is supported by different robustness checks.
目的本研究的目的是对外债对全要素生产率和增长的影响以及外债影响重债穷国增长的全要素生产率渠道进行实证分析;基本上是看似不相关的回归(SUR)和替代非线性(面板阈值)模型。对于稳健性检查,它还使用面板校正的标准误差、可行的广义最小二乘法和SUR(使用替代变量)。FindingsExternal debt显著降低了TFP和增长。此外,它还证实了外债与全要素生产率和国内生产总值增长之间的关系是非线性的。进一步的外债可以通过TFP渠道影响重债穷国的增长。然而,阈值模型的结果揭示了阈值的微弱证据,尽管TFP和增长模型分别有67和54的一些阈值。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一项针对最受关注国家(HIPCs)的研究,对TFP渠道和外债对增长的影响进行了详细和完整的分析。因此,它提供了适当和健全的政策,考虑到各国的独特特点。与之前的大多数研究结果不同,这项研究并不支持外债与增长之间的倒U型关系。此外,它还深入了解了全要素生产率、外债和增长之间的关系。此外,它考虑了基本的面板经济计量检验,如截面依赖性,使用非线性联立方程模型和替代非线性模型,并得到不同稳健性检验的支持。
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引用次数: 5
Optimal Power Flow Using firefly-algorithm 基于萤火虫算法的最优潮流
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-25 DOI: 10.21608/idj.2021.216606
K. Karboune, I. Chaib, S. Arif, A. Choucha
In this paper, the Firefly Algorithm (FA) is proposed to find the optimal solution for the Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem in a power system. The proposed algorithm is applied to determine the optimal settings of control variables of the OPF problem. The performance of the proposed algorithm was examined and tested on the standard IEEE 30bus test system with different objective functions and compared to other methods reported in the literature recently. Simulation results clearly obtained from the proposed (FA) approach indicated that (FA) provides an effective and robust high-quality solution for the OPF problem.
本文提出了求解电力系统最优潮流问题的萤火虫算法(FA)。将该算法应用于确定OPF问题控制变量的最优设置。在具有不同目标函数的标准IEEE 30bus测试系统上对所提算法的性能进行了测试,并与近期文献报道的其他方法进行了比较。仿真结果表明,该方法为OPF问题提供了一种有效、鲁棒的高质量解。
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引用次数: 0
The Hydrogeological conditions and characteristics of the groundwater occurrences in Ras Shukeir area, Suez Gulf, Egypt (Review) 埃及苏伊士湾Ras Shukeir地区水文地质条件及地下水赋存特征(综述)
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-25 DOI: 10.21608/idj.2021.216261
M. Ibrahim, W. Emam, Wiame W. M. Emam
Ras Shukeir area is one of the most important regions for petroleum activities in Egypt. It is south east Ras Gharib (30 km) and north to Hurghada (150 km). Its coastal area lies on the Suez Gulf from the east, while its western area is desert land. There are shortage of knowledge on the Hydrogeological conditions and characterless of the groundwater occurrences in Ras Shoukeir which are necessary for establishing new petroleum facilities there and to forecasting flash flood. Therefore this review is an attempt to collect the most available data to help decision makers for their future social and economic developmental projects in this area. Climate of Ras Shukeir is a hot arid with dry and hot summer, whereas few sprinkles may occur in spring. The average annual temperature is 22.2°C, while the average precipitation is 5 mm. The foremost north-westerly winds are dominated. No surface water supply is present at this region except that from wadis during rainfall which is very low. The freshwater supply is based mainly on the groundwater aquifer and desalination of sea water, where there are small salt marshes. The main characteristics of the groundwater known to exist in this area were discussed. Two main and distinctive types of groundwater according to its origin are found; the first is of purely meteoric origin and the other being formed during the different geological times (formation water). The latter is being highly saline and occurred on deep wells and mixed with minerals and sulphites. Water is good in winter after the rainfall in the ranges and unpleasantly salty in the summer or during rainless period. For normal drinking purposes, fresh water of salinity up to 1000 ppm can be used. Saline water, of salinity ranging from 1000 to 3000 ppm is used for limited irrigation in a sandy soil. The courses of the hydrographic basins are filled with the Quaternary alluvial deposits which are formed of sand, gravel and boulder. Water depth in wells ranges between 0.5 and 3.2 m and the discharge ranges between 2 and 5 m 3 /day. Most deep hand-dug wells were established between 15 and 25 m in sand before reaching the water table, which is very close to or within the bed rock and obtaining a regular supply of between 10 and 50 m 3 per day.
Ras Shukeir地区是埃及最重要的石油开采地区之一。它位于拉斯加里布(Ras Gharib)东南部(30公里)和赫尔格达(Hurghada)北部(150公里)。它的沿海地区东临苏伊士湾,而西部地区是沙漠地带。对拉斯Shoukeir的水文地质条件和地下水赋存特征的认识不足,而这些对在拉斯Shoukeir建立新的石油设施和预测山洪暴发是必要的。因此,本审查旨在收集现有的最多数据,以帮助决策者制定未来在这一领域的社会和经济发展项目。拉斯舒克尔的气候是炎热的干旱,夏季干燥炎热,而春天可能会有很少的洒雨。年平均气温22.2℃,年平均降水量5毫米。主要是西北风。这个地区没有地表水供应,除了在降雨非常少的时候从河堤获得补给。淡水供应主要基于地下水含水层和海水淡化,那里有小盐沼。讨论了该地区已知地下水的主要特征。根据其来源,发现了两种主要的和独特的地下水类型;第一种是纯粹的大气起源,另一种是在不同的地质时代形成的(地层水)。后者含盐量高,产自深井,与矿物和亚硫酸盐混合。山区冬季降雨后的水很好,夏季或无雨期的水很咸,令人不快。正常饮用时,可使用含盐量高达1000ppm的淡水。含盐量在1000到3000 ppm之间的盐水用于沙质土壤的有限灌溉。水道盆地的河道中充填着以砂、砾、砾石为主要成分的第四纪冲积物。井水深度0.5 ~ 3.2 m,流量2 ~ 5 m /d。大多数深手挖井在到达地下水位之前建在15至25米的沙子中,地下水位非常接近或在基岩内部,每天可获得10至50米的常规供水量。
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引用次数: 0
Terrorism and the Media: The effect of the media in the growth of the phenomenon of terrorism in the environment of contemporary societies (Article Review) 恐怖主义与媒体:媒体在当代社会环境中恐怖主义现象增长中的作用(文章评论)
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-25 DOI: 10.21608/idj.2021.216259
Dalia El Sherbieny
This research aims to reveal whether some of the traditional or contemporary media, such as social media, television, radio, newspapers, etc have a greater role in the development and growth of terrorism phenomenon, terrorist acts, and terrorist groups, in the light of the fact that terrorism has different definitions, exploitation to the media and the ways to cover the terrorist event and what has been forgotten or even focusing on it.
鉴于恐怖主义有不同的定义、对媒体的利用、对恐怖事件的报道方式以及被遗忘甚至关注的内容,本研究旨在揭示在恐怖主义现象、恐怖行为、恐怖组织的发展和壮大过程中,某些传统媒体或当代媒体,如社交媒体、电视、广播、报纸等是否发挥了更大的作用。
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引用次数: 0
A new stratagem for the synthesis of novel ZnO-Insulin nanoparticles for controlled release of glucose in blood 一种新型zno -胰岛素纳米颗粒的合成策略,用于控制血液中葡萄糖的释放
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-25 DOI: 10.21608/IDJ.2021.191212
A. Youssef, M. Mekewi, Howaida Elsayed, M. Ahmed, M. A. Messih
In this novel research, ZnO–insulin nanoparticles were prepared as glucose level regulator in the blood by sol-gel route adopting micelle template approach. The physicochemical features of the novel nanoparticles were investigated by XRD, FTIR, EDX and HRTEM which reveal noted crystallinity distortion when insulin is present. ZnONPs slight crystallite distortion could aid formulating ZnONPs activity biomedically in presence of protein entities. A homogeneous dispersion of insulin on the surface of ZnONPs was detected by HRTEM could also indicate favorable attachment mutual sites between the ZnO surface and the structural amino acid groups. The hypoglycemic activity effect of ZnONPs, ZnONPs-Insulin (1:1) and ZnONPs-Insulin (1:0.5) drugs was proven and compared to that of insulin in this study. The data showed that ZnONPs-Insulin (1:1) drug was the most potent hypoglycemic agent of them.
本研究采用胶束模板法,通过溶胶-凝胶途径制备zno -胰岛素纳米颗粒作为血液中葡萄糖水平调节剂。采用XRD、FTIR、EDX和HRTEM对纳米颗粒的理化性质进行了表征,发现在胰岛素的作用下,纳米颗粒的结晶度发生了明显的畸变。ZnONPs轻微的晶体畸变有助于在蛋白质实体存在的情况下形成ZnONPs活性。HRTEM检测到胰岛素在ZnONPs表面均匀分散,这也表明ZnO表面与结构氨基酸基团之间存在有利的相互附着位点。本研究证实了ZnONPs、ZnONPs-胰岛素(1:1)和ZnONPs-胰岛素(1:0.5)药物的降糖活性,并与胰岛素进行了比较。结果表明,ZnONPs-Insulin(1:1)药物是其中最有效的降糖药。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Development Issues
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