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Peer support services for individuals with health-related needs reentering the community after incarceration: a scoping review of program elements and outcomes. 为监禁后重返社区的有健康相关需求的个人提供同伴支持服务:对方案要素和结果的范围审查。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00358-0
Peter Treitler, Vincent DiGioia-Laird, Brooke Long

Background: Peer support services (PSS) have become increasingly formalized in many healthcare settings. While use of PSS in the criminal-legal space is expanding, no comprehensive reviews of program designs and outcomes are available to characterize current approaches. This scoping review sought to identify PSS models for individuals with health-related needs transitioning from incarceration to the community and summarize key features and outcomes related to the models.

Results: A search of PubMed, PsycInfo, Web of Science, National Criminal Justice Reference Service, Criminal Justice Abstracts, Criminal Justice Database, Embase, CINAHL, and Social Services Abstracts databases resulted in a total of 66 studies that described 49 unique PSS programs delivered at re-entry. Fifty-six of these studies also reported on implementation factors and program outcomes. Programs varied in terms of target populations, staffing, services offered, setting, and duration. Quantitative outcomes most commonly surrounded linkage to services, substance use, mental health, HIV, and recidivism. Lived experience of peers, extensive engagement with participants, participant-centered support, and collaboration between agencies were highlighted as key factors that supported program implementation, while challenges largely related to staffing and participant outreach.

Conclusions: The heterogeneity in program design and the mixed results in both quantitative and qualitative outcomes likely reflect the need for programs to be responsive to the specific communities served. This review highlights innovative approaches within the growing use of PSS to support the health-related needs of individuals reentering the community after incarceration and may guide future research, design, implementation, and evaluation of such programs in the criminal-legal space.

背景:同伴支持服务(PSS)在许多医疗保健机构中越来越正规化。虽然PSS在刑事-法律领域的使用正在扩大,但没有对方案设计和结果的全面审查来描述当前的方法。本综述旨在确定具有健康相关需求的个人从监禁过渡到社区的PSS模型,并总结与模型相关的关键特征和结果。结果:PubMed, PsycInfo, Web of Science,国家刑事司法参考服务,刑事司法摘要,刑事司法数据库,Embase, CINAHL和社会服务摘要数据库的搜索结果共产生66项研究,描述了49个独特的PSS项目。其中56项研究还报告了实施因素和项目结果。项目在目标人群、人员配备、提供的服务、环境和持续时间方面各不相同。定量结果最常见的是与服务、物质使用、精神健康、艾滋病毒和再犯的联系。同行的生活经验、与参与者的广泛接触、以参与者为中心的支持以及机构之间的合作被强调为支持项目实施的关键因素,而挑战主要与人员配备和参与者外展有关。结论:项目设计的异质性以及定量和定性结果的混合结果可能反映了项目对特定服务社区的响应需求。本综述强调了越来越多地使用PSS来支持服刑后重新进入社区的个人的健康相关需求的创新方法,并可能指导未来在刑事-法律领域对此类计划的研究、设计、实施和评估。
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引用次数: 0
A longitudinal mixed methods social network analysis to evaluate a peer-led housing program for older men returning from incarceration: Study protocol & pre-implementation results. 一项纵向混合方法社会网络分析,以评估一项由同伴主导的住房计划,该计划面向出狱的老年男子:研究方案和实施前的结果。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00362-4
Brandy F Henry, Derek A Kreager, Joy Gray, Kristina Brant, Gary Zajac, Divine Lipscomb, Sarah Brothers, David R Schaefer, Nicolette Bardele, Andrea Hazelwood

Background: We describe a longitudinal mixed methods program evaluation protocol for a novel peer-led housing program for older men transitioning from prison to the community after completing long sentences of incarceration. The program departs from traditional community corrections models by providing peer-run housing designed to build and enhance peer and community social ties. This previously untested program relies on the principles of network alteration and provides a case study for examining interpersonal mechanisms underlying behavioral health and justice related outcomes.

Methods: We use mixed methods and longitudinal social network analysis to evaluate the program, while also applying implementation science to document program development. We focus our evaluation on key health and social outcomes, including mental health, substance use, stress, health risk behaviors, well-being, financial security, housing, and recidivism. With longitudinal surveys, we collect (1) dynamic network data of resident and staff relationships and (2) behavioral health/social data of participants. We also administer longitudinal resident and staff interviews. Resident interviews focus on interpersonal relationships and reentry experiences, while staff interviews describe program implementation. We apply longitudinal statistical models to complete (i.e., sociocentric) network data within the house to examine how dynamic network properties connect to changes in residents' health, behavioral, and social outcomes. We integrate longitudinal survey, individual-level (i.e., egocentric) network, and qualitative data to understand how the program works. To evaluate program impacts for long-term health and social outcomes, we use an untreated matched sample to compare 6- and 12-months post-prison release outcomes using administrative data related to rearrest/reincarceration and behavioral health.

Pre-implementation results: We use a logic model to present and organize pre-implementation results from interviews with program staff and peer mentors. Our results describe program design and intended goals, while highlighting how the program is rooted in principles of peer support, trauma-informed care, and restorative justice to address unique stressors of incarceration to foster responsibility and facilitate reintegration.

Discussion: Community program evaluation research allows us to document real-world contextual factors that may drive intervention effectiveness. Results of the mixed methods evaluation will provide a comprehensive understanding of one network-based program's ability to support health and social outcomes of older, previously incarcerated men. Results may inform future reentry services.

背景:我们描述了一项纵向混合方法项目评估方案,用于一项新的同伴主导的住房项目,该项目针对的是完成长期监禁后从监狱过渡到社区的老年男性。该项目与传统的社区矫正模式不同,提供由同伴管理的住房,旨在建立和加强同伴和社区的社会关系。这个以前未经测试的程序依赖于网络改变的原则,并为检查行为健康和正义相关结果的人际机制提供了一个案例研究。方法:采用混合方法和纵向社会网络分析对项目进行评价,同时运用实施科学对项目发展进行记录。我们将评估重点放在关键的健康和社会结果上,包括心理健康、物质使用、压力、健康风险行为、福祉、财务安全、住房和再犯。通过纵向调查,我们收集了(1)住院医师和工作人员关系的动态网络数据和(2)参与者的行为健康/社会数据。我们还对住院医师和工作人员进行纵向访谈。住院医师访谈的重点是人际关系和重返职场的经历,而员工访谈则描述了项目的实施情况。我们运用纵向统计模型来完成(即以社会为中心的)房屋内的网络数据,以检查动态网络属性如何与居民健康、行为和社会结果的变化联系起来。我们将纵向调查、个人层面(即以自我为中心)的网络和定性数据整合在一起,以了解程序是如何工作的。为了评估项目对长期健康和社会结果的影响,我们使用未经处理的匹配样本,使用与再逮捕/再监禁和行为健康相关的行政数据,比较出狱后6个月和12个月的结果。预实施结果:我们使用逻辑模型来呈现和组织与项目工作人员和同行导师的访谈的预实施结果。我们的研究结果描述了项目的设计和预期目标,同时强调了该项目是如何根植于同伴支持、创伤护理和恢复性司法的原则,以解决监禁的独特压力源,培养责任感,促进重返社会。讨论:社区项目评估研究使我们能够记录可能驱动干预效果的现实环境因素。混合方法评估的结果将提供一个全面的了解一个基于网络的项目的能力,以支持健康和社会结果的老年,以前被监禁的男子。结果可能为未来的再入服务提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Health & justice 10th anniversary: looking ahead after a decade of progress. 卫生与司法十周年:十年进步后的展望。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00357-1
Faye S Taxman, Lauren Brinkley-Rubinstein, Lior Gideon, Wendy P Guastaferro
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引用次数: 0
Outcomes of a community sector model of reintegration for people with complex needs: a mixed-methods study. 有复杂需要的人重新融入社会的社区部门模式的结果:一项混合方法研究。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00352-6
Ruth McCausland, Rebecca Reeve, Mindy Sotiri, Lucy Phelan, Vendula Belackova, Sophie Russell
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引用次数: 0
The undercounting of Indigenous Māori imprisoned by the New Zealand carceral state: a national record study. 被新西兰监禁的土著居民Māori被低估:一项国家记录研究。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00355-3
Paula Toko King, Frederieke Sanne Petrović-van der Deen, Melissa McLeod, Ricci Harris, Cheryl Davies, Donna Cormack, Tristram Ingham, Bernadette Jones, Bridget Robson, Natalie Paki Paki, Gabrielle Baker, Belinda Tuari-Toma, Jeannine Stairmand, Marama Cole, Tīria Pehi, Julia Carr, Christopher Kemp, Marshall H Chin, Ruth Cunningham

Background: Indigenous Māori are imprisoned on a mass scale by the nation-state currently known as New Zealand, driven by racialised inequities that occur across the criminal legal system and a rapidly expanding carceral state. Lack of reliable data limits the ability to monitor and evaluate the health and disability impacts of imprisonment on Māori. We examined ethnicity data quality; specifically, potential miscounting of Māori in prison. All individuals who experienced at least one night of imprisonment between 2018 and 2021 were selected from the Department of Corrections (Corrections) data in the Stats NZ Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI). We compared counts and proportions of Māori using two sources of ethnicity information; Corrections and IDI's core data. Within this cohort, we compared self-identified ethnicity from the 2018 Census with ethnicity recorded in Corrections data available in the IDI (via individual linkage), to assess levels of match between datasets and calculate net undercount.

Results: Lesser numbers of Māori were recorded in the Corrections data compared to the IDI's core data (52% versus 57% of the study cohort), a pattern observed across all age and gender groups, and amongst those sentenced and on remand. For the linked analysis, only one third (34%) of the cohort linked to the IDI central spine had self-identified ethnicity from the 2018 Census. Of this group, 46% self-identified as Māori ethnicity. When this information was compared to ethnicity information reported by Corrections for the same individuals, there was a 12% undercount of Māori in Corrections data. The net undercount of Māori was 6%, equating to at least an extra 405 Māori imprisoned than what is publicly reported by government.

Conclusions: Reliable data inclusive of high-quality ethnicity data are critical for understanding and monitoring Māori health in terms of resource allocation, policy decisions, and performance of health and disability services for Māori imprisoned in NZ. Systemic undercounting of Māori in prisons is a breach of Indigenous rights to monitor and evaluate impacts of government actions and inactions for Māori. We do not accept the inevitability of prisons but whilst prisons exist, and until there are no prisons left on Māori whenua (lands), an all-of-government approach to prioritisation of high-quality ethnicity data across the criminal legal system that meets obligations to Te Tiriti o Waitangi and international human rights instruments is urgently required.

背景:土著Māori被目前被称为新西兰的民族国家大规模监禁,这是由刑事法律体系中出现的种族化不平等和迅速扩大的监禁国家所驱动的。缺乏可靠的数据限制了监测和评估监禁对Māori健康和残疾影响的能力。我们检查了种族数据质量;具体来说,就是在监狱中可能出现的Māori错误计数。所有在2018年至2021年期间至少经历过一个晚上监禁的个人都是从新西兰统计局综合数据基础设施(IDI)的惩教部数据中选出的。我们使用两个种族信息来源比较了Māori的计数和比例;修正和IDI的核心数据。在这一队列中,我们将2018年人口普查中自我认定的种族与IDI中可用的修正数据中记录的种族(通过个人联系)进行了比较,以评估数据集之间的匹配水平并计算净少计。结果:与IDI的核心数据相比,惩教数据中记录的Māori人数较少(52%对57%的研究队列),这一模式在所有年龄和性别群体中以及在被判刑和还押人员中都可以观察到。在相关分析中,与IDI中央脊柱相关的队列中,只有三分之一(34%)的人在2018年人口普查中自我认同种族。在这个群体中,46%的人认为自己是Māori种族。当将此信息与更正报告的同一个人的种族信息进行比较时,更正数据中Māori的计数少了12%。Māori的净漏报率为6%,相当于至少比政府公开报道的数字多出405 Māori。结论:包括高质量族裔数据在内的可靠数据对于了解和监测Māori在押人员在资源分配、政策决策以及健康和残疾服务绩效方面的健康状况至关重要。监狱中对Māori的系统性低估侵犯了土著居民监督和评估政府对Māori的作为和不作为的影响的权利。我们不接受监狱的不可避免性,但在监狱存在的同时,在Māori whenua(土地)上没有监狱之前,迫切需要一种全政府的方法,在整个刑事法律系统中优先考虑高质量的种族数据,以履行对《提里提-怀唐伊》和国际人权文书的义务。
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引用次数: 0
An experimental investigation of federal messaging on public support for enforcement- and treatment-based approaches for opioid overdose prevention in South Carolina. 一项关于南卡罗来纳州公众支持以执法和治疗为基础的阿片类药物过量预防方法的联邦信息的实验性调查。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00356-2
Lídia Gual-Gonzalez, Hunter M Boehme, Peter Leasure, Pieter A Baker, Melissa S Nolan

Background: As the opioid overdose crisis continues to produce excessive morbidity and mortality in the United States, government agencies have applied various approaches to prevent overdoses, including law-enforcement efforts (e.g., arresting people who use drugs, interrupting drug traffickers, etc.) and treatment-based approaches (e.g., naloxone, medications for opioid use disorder, etc.). Public perception and support of these approaches are relevant for informing policy, allocating resources, and effectively implementing community interventions to prevent drug-related harms.

Methods: Using an embedded informational survey design, we experimentally assessed whether public support for strategies to prevent overdose in South Carolina is influenced by language from federal agencies describing treatment- or enforcement-based approaches. Respondents were randomly assigned to one of three groups: (1) enforcement -based approach, (2) treatment-based approach, or (3) the control condition. Those assigned to experimental groups were presented with statistics on drug overdose deaths, followed by an informational prompt with language about overdose prevention approaches from either DEA (enforcement) or NIH (treatment), while the control group received no informational prompt.

Results: Findings from a sample of 4,675 respondents indicated that those assigned the DEA prompt were significantly more likely to support enforcement-based approaches in arresting drug traffickers and people who use drugs (AME = 0.060, p < 0.001). On the other hand, those assigned to the NIH prompt were significantly more likely to agree that both law enforcement (AME = 0.065, p < 0.0001) and clinicians (AME = 0.044, p < 0.05) are capable of preventing drug overdose deaths.

Conclusions: These findings shed light on public perceptions of approaches to addressing the opioid epidemic and limited modifiability when presented with language from federal agencies. This may inform future research, practice, and/or policy aiming to maintain public safety while also providing treatment options to people who use drugs in order to reduce overdose deaths.

背景:由于阿片类药物过量危机继续在美国造成过高的发病率和死亡率,政府机构采用了各种方法来预防过量使用,包括执法努力(例如,逮捕吸毒者,打断贩毒者等)和基于治疗的方法(例如,纳洛酮,阿片类药物使用障碍药物等)。公众对这些方法的认知和支持与政策信息、资源分配和有效实施社区干预措施以预防与毒品有关的危害有关。方法:采用嵌入式信息调查设计,我们实验评估了公众对南卡罗来纳州预防药物过量策略的支持是否受到联邦机构描述治疗或执法方法的语言的影响。受访者被随机分配到以下三组之一:(1)基于执法的方法,(2)基于治疗的方法,或(3)控制条件。被分配到实验组的人获得了药物过量死亡的统计数据,随后收到了来自DEA(执法)或NIH(治疗)的关于药物过量预防方法的信息提示,而对照组没有收到任何信息提示。结果:来自4,675名受访者的调查结果表明,分配给DEA提示的人更有可能支持以执法为基础的方法来逮捕贩毒者和吸毒者(AME = 0.060, p)。结论:这些发现揭示了公众对解决阿片类药物流行的方法的看法,以及在联邦机构的语言下有限的可修改性。这可能为未来的研究、实践和/或政策提供信息,旨在维护公共安全,同时也为吸毒者提供治疗选择,以减少过量死亡。
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引用次数: 0
Overdose education and naloxone distribution in jails: Examining the impact of the Communities That HEAL intervention in 4 states. 监狱中的过量教育和纳洛酮分发:检查4个州社区康复干预的影响。
IF 2.6 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00353-5
Timothy Hunt, Carrie B Oser, Peter D Friedmann, Nicole Mack, Peter Balvanz, Bridget Freisthler, Redonna K Chandler, Karli Hochstatter, Daniel R Harris, LaShawn Glasgow, Lauren D'Costa, Mary R Russo, Barry Eggleston, Arnie Aldridge, Paul Bellair, Allyson G Cogan, James L David, Nabila El-Bassel, Dawn Goddard-Eckrich, Steve Gomori, Holly Hagan, Steve Hanson, JaNae Holloway, Elizabeth N Kinnard, Charlie Knott, Michael W Konstan, Sharon L Walsh, Patricia A LeBaron, Michael S Lyons, Margaret McGladrey, Joan Papp, Sean M Murphy, Sandra Springer, Emmanuel Oga, Michele Staton, Elizabeth Schady, Fernando Montero, Hilary L Surratt, Danelle Stevens-Watkins, John Winhusen, Gary A Zarkin, Greer A Hamilton, Joel G Sprunger
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引用次数: 0
Advancing antiracist research: addressing health inequities among juvenile legal system-impacted youth using Public Health Critical Race Praxis. 推进反种族主义研究:利用公共卫生关键种族实践解决受青少年法律制度影响的青少年中的卫生不平等问题。
IF 3 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00346-4
Emily Dauria, Johanna Folk, Sarah Godoy, Evan Holloway, Jeanne McPhee, David Hoskins, Ali Yurasek, Katharine Galbraith, Sheridan Sweet, Eraka Bath, Marina Tolou-Shams

Youth impacted by the juvenile legal system (JLS) disproportionately experience health and healthcare inequities, including those related to substance use, mental health, and sexual and reproductive health. Structural racism is a primary driver of JLS systems contact and health inequities, interacting with other forms of oppression to negatively impact minoritized youth at every step of the JLS process. Despite the growing unmet need for tailored, empirically-driven programmatic and policy solutions, research focused on this multiply marginalized group often fails to explore or address racism as a factor shaping these inequities and identifying relevant health solutions. We use the Public Health Critical Race Praxis to offer recommendations for improving data collection and quality in longitudinal research addressing health inequities among JLS-impacted youth and families. Recommendations stem from a team of federally funded researchers and clinicians representing different career development stages, training backgrounds, and lived experiences, all of whom are working to address health inequities. Given the challenges JLS-impacted youth face and the significant need for rigorous research illuminating their health outcome and service needs, clinical and translational researchers would benefit from guidance on how to apply antiracist principles and research strategies to successfully engage JLS-impacted youth and families in longitudinal studies.

受少年法律制度(JLS)影响的青少年不成比例地经历健康和医疗保健不平等,包括与药物使用、心理健康以及性健康和生殖健康有关的不平等。结构性种族主义是JLS系统接触和健康不平等的主要驱动因素,与其他形式的压迫相互作用,在JLS过程的每一步都对少数族裔青年产生负面影响。尽管对量身定制的、以经验为导向的方案和政策解决方案的需求日益未得到满足,但侧重于这一多重边缘化群体的研究往往未能探索或解决种族主义作为形成这些不平等的一个因素,并确定相关的卫生解决方案。我们使用公共卫生关键种族实践提供建议,以改善数据收集和纵向研究的质量,解决受jls影响的青少年和家庭的健康不平等问题。这些建议来自一个由联邦政府资助的研究人员和临床医生组成的团队,他们代表着不同的职业发展阶段、培训背景和生活经历,所有人都在努力解决卫生不平等问题。考虑到受jls影响的青年所面临的挑战以及对阐明其健康结果和服务需求的严格研究的迫切需要,临床和转化研究人员将受益于关于如何应用反种族主义原则和研究策略以成功地使受jls影响的青年和家庭参与纵向研究的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Site engagement in implementation research: Introducing SEAMLIS as a conceptual and measurement framework. 实施研究中的现场参与:将seamis作为概念和度量框架引入。
IF 3 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00349-1
Sarah D Jones, John P Bartkowski, Steven Belenko, Jennifer E Becan, Faye S Taxman, Gail A Wasserman, Gregory A Aarons, Larkin S McReynolds, Cheyenne Dolbear, Xiaohe Xu

Background: Multisite implementation research in justice and health settings often does not systematically assess differential degrees of project involvement among participating sites, despite its implications for both research and the intervention. Tracking organization and participant involvement across sites, when attempted, has typically entailed the use of discrete and sometimes disjointed fidelity measures that may not accurately reflect engagement with a project. This article advances a more comprehensive and sophisticated conceptual model for measuring and monitoring site engagement. This conceptual model was developed from a literature review of the implementation science and related disciplines while being informed by multisite project implementation experience. We propose the Site Engagement Activity Model Leveraging Implementation Science (SEAMLIS), a conceptual model that holistically identifies the breadth of agency participation (diverse activities such as trainings, meetings, etc.) and duration of site engagement (participation levels from inception to completion) to be measured, assessed, and reported.

Case presentation: We also describe Juvenile Justice Translational Research on Interventions for Adolescents in the Legal System (JJ-TRIALS), a 36-site implementation research project, as an illustrative case example of our proposed model. We then operationalize all proposed domains and subdomains and specify key measures from the project.

Conclusions: We provide analytical recommendations for the application and future research of the proposed model in health and justice settings. In multisite implementation research, site engagement could be fruitfully used as an independent, dependent, or intervening (moderating or mediating) variable.

Trial registration: NCT02672150, February 3, 2016.

背景:司法和卫生环境中的多地点实施研究通常没有系统地评估参与地点之间项目参与的不同程度,尽管它对研究和干预都有影响。当试图跟踪组织和参与者跨站点的参与时,通常需要使用离散的,有时是脱节的保真度度量,这些度量可能不能准确地反映对项目的参与。本文提出了一个更全面和复杂的概念模型来测量和监测现场参与。这个概念模型是根据对实施科学和相关学科的文献综述而发展起来的,同时受到多地点项目实施经验的影响。我们提出利用实施科学的现场参与活动模型(SEAMLIS),这是一个概念模型,它从整体上确定机构参与的广度(各种活动,如培训、会议等)和现场参与的持续时间(从开始到完成的参与水平),以进行测量、评估和报告。案例介绍:我们还描述了青少年司法干预的少年司法翻译研究(JJ-TRIALS),这是一个36个站点的实施研究项目,作为我们提出的模型的一个说明性案例。然后,我们操作所有建议的域和子域,并指定项目中的关键度量。结论:我们为提出的模型在卫生和司法环境中的应用和未来研究提供了分析建议。在多站点实施研究中,站点参与度可以作为独立、依赖或干预(调节或中介)变量。试验注册:NCT02672150, 2016年2月3日。
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引用次数: 0
Personality predicts internalizing symptoms and quality of life in police cadets: a comparison of artificial intelligence and parametric approaches. 人格预测警察学员的内化症状和生活质量:人工智能和参数化方法的比较。
IF 3 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1186/s40352-025-00351-7
Macià Buades-Rotger, Ana Martínez Catena, Guillermo Recio, Mireia Cano Gallent, Jordi Niñerola I Maymí, Anna Figueras Masip, David Gallardo-Pujol

Background: Police cadets undergo persistent and elevated stress due to continuous training and evaluation. Identifying resilience and risk factors in this population can thus crucially inform management decisions within the police force. Here, in two large cohorts of police cadets (n = 1069, 30% women and n = 1377, 35% women) we investigated whether broad personality traits could predict internalizing symptoms (somatization, depression, and anxiety) as well as mental health-related quality of life (MHRQoL). Moreover, we compared seven popular artificial intelligence and linear regression models (Elastic Net, General Linear Model, Lasso Regression, Neural Networks, Random Forests, and Support Vector Regression) in predicting MHRQoL as a function of all other variables.

Results: A Random Forest accounted for about half of the observed variance in MHRQoL, and outperformed all other models by up to 12% in an out-of-sample cross-validation. In all analyses, emotional stability emerged as the primary personality trait linked to MHRQoL, with anxiety and somatization symptoms partially mediating this relationship.

Conclusions: Our findings delineate the personality factors that best predict internalizing symptoms and MHRQoL among cadets, and tentatively suggest that Random Forest models might be a powerful forecasting tool in police management.

背景:由于持续的训练和评估,警察学员承受着持续和不断增加的压力。因此,确定这一人群的复原力和风险因素可以为警察部队的管理决策提供重要信息。在这里,在两个大型的警察学员队列中(n = 1069, 30%为女性和n = 1377, 35%为女性),我们调查了广泛的人格特征是否可以预测内化症状(躯体化、抑郁和焦虑)以及心理健康相关的生活质量(MHRQoL)。此外,我们比较了七种流行的人工智能和线性回归模型(弹性网络、一般线性模型、Lasso回归、神经网络、随机森林和支持向量回归)在预测MHRQoL作为所有其他变量的函数方面的效果。结果:随机森林在MHRQoL中约占观察到的方差的一半,并且在样本外交叉验证中优于所有其他模型高达12%。在所有分析中,情绪稳定性是与MHRQoL相关的主要人格特征,焦虑和躯体化症状部分介导了这种关系。结论:我们的研究结果描述了最能预测学员内化症状和MHRQoL的人格因素,并初步表明随机森林模型可能是警察管理中一个强大的预测工具。
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引用次数: 0
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