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Do police stations deter crime? 警察局能阻止犯罪吗?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00193-4
Rémi Boivin, Silas Nogueira de Melo
Abstract Purpose The introduction of community policing led to a significant increase in the number of police stations, particularly in urban settings. Police stations are largely assumed to have an impact on crime but there are few studies dedicated to the issue. Methods The concept of deterrence suggests a negative relationship between police and crime: an increased police presence should lead to a reduction of crime. While it is difficult to directly test that relationship, the present study takes advantage of two recent events in Montreal (Canada) to test the hypothesis that the closure of a police station causes an increase of crime in the surrounding area. Andresen’s Spatial point pattern tests and Wheeler and Ratcliffe’ weight displacement difference tests were conducted. Findings While tests suggest that crime geographic patterns were dissimilar pre- and post-closure, none of those differences support the deterrence hypothesis because the number of areas in which an increase in crime was recorded is lower than would be expected by chance. Similarly, decreases in breaking and entering, mischief, theft in or on vehicles and total crime were found, which does not support the deterrence hypothesis. Conclusions The study of hotspot policing led to the belief that police presence needs to be concentrated in both time and space if it is to have a significant preventive impact on crime. It also led to the development of strategies of concentrated policing that encompass a variety of prevention actions aimed at specific individuals, specific crime types, and/or specific areas. Police stations provide something different: a concentrated presence at one point location with the ability to deploy to respond to any crime, at any time, in a particular area.
社区警务的引入导致警察局数量的显著增加,特别是在城市环境中。警察局在很大程度上被认为对犯罪有影响,但很少有研究专门针对这个问题。方法威慑的概念表明警察和犯罪之间的负相关关系:增加警察的存在应该导致犯罪的减少。虽然很难直接检验这种关系,但本研究利用最近在蒙特利尔(加拿大)发生的两起事件来检验一个假设,即关闭警察局导致周围地区的犯罪增加。采用Andresen的空间点模式试验和Wheeler和Ratcliffe的重量位移差试验。虽然测试表明,犯罪地理模式在关闭前和关闭后是不同的,但这些差异都不支持威慑假设,因为记录在案的犯罪增加的地区数量比偶然预期的要少。同样,非法闯入、恶作剧、车辆内或车辆上的盗窃和总犯罪也有所减少,这并不支持威慑假设。热点警务的研究使我们认为,要想对犯罪产生显著的预防作用,警察的存在需要在时间和空间上都是集中的。它还导致了集中警务战略的发展,其中包括针对特定个人、特定犯罪类型和/或特定地区的各种预防行动。警察局提供了一些不同的东西:在一个地点集中存在,能够在任何时候对特定地区的任何犯罪做出反应。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the impact of measurement error in police recorded crime rates through sensitivity analysis 通过敏感性分析探讨测量误差对警方记录犯罪率的影响
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00192-5
J. Pina-Sánchez, I. brunton-smith, David Buil-Gil, A. Cernat
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the impact of the state of emergency on crime trends in Japan: a panel data analysis 衡量紧急状态对日本犯罪趋势的影响:小组数据分析
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00187-2
T. Shimada, Ai Suzuki, Mamoru Amemiya
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引用次数: 0
Circumstances, policing, and attrition of multiple compared to single perpetrator rape cases within the South African criminal justice system 南非刑事司法系统内多人强奸案与单人强奸案的情况、治安和自然减员
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-07 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00191-6
M. Machisa, R. Jina, G. Labuschagne, L. Vetten, L. Loots, R. Jewkes
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引用次数: 0
Why do people legitimize and cooperate with the police? Results of a randomized control trial on the effects of procedural justice in Quito, Ecuador 为什么人们会认可并配合警察?厄瓜多尔基多一项程序正义影响的随机对照试验结果
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00188-1
David Anrango Narváez, José Eugenio Medina Sarmiento, Cristina Del-Real
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引用次数: 0
The value of criminal history and police intelligence in vetting and selection of police 犯罪史和警察情报在审查和选拔警察中的价值
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00186-3
Timothy I. C. Cubitt
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引用次数: 1
A field-experiment testing the impact of a warrant service prioritization strategy for police patrol officers 一项实地实验测试了警察巡逻人员的逮捕令服务优先策略的影响
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00184-5
Travis A. Taniguchi, Brian Aagaard, Peter Baumgartner, A. Young
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引用次数: 0
Towards cyber-biosecurity by design: an experimental approach to Internet-of-Medical-Things design and development 通过设计实现网络生物安全:医疗物联网设计与开发的实验方法
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-023-00181-8
Mariam Elgabry
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引用次数: 0
Supporting crime script analyses of scams with natural language processing 用自然语言处理支持诈骗犯罪脚本分析
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-022-00177-w
Zeya Lwin Tun, Daniel Birks
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引用次数: 0
Police practitioner views on the challenges of analysing and responding to knife crime 警察从业人员对分析和应对持刀犯罪挑战的看法
IF 6.1 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1186/s40163-022-00180-1
K. Bullock, Iain Agar, M. Ashby, Iain R. Brennan, Gavin Hales, A. Sidebottom, N. Tilley
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引用次数: 0
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Crime Science
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