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Long-term Coastline evolution of Figueira da Foz – Nazaré sector (Portugal) 葡萄牙Figueira da Foz - nazar<s:1>扇区海岸线的长期演变
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n507
L. Rebêlo, S. Nave
ASBTRACT Some sectors of the west Portuguese coast are particularly endangered by erosion and flooding. Regional to local scale information, on coastline evolutionary trend, is particularly valuable in sectors that includes areas with relevant erosion. A continuous, high-resolution, dataset on coastal evolution, from 1947 and 2015, between Figueira da Foz and Nazaré, was achieved within the Programme “Geological and Coastal Hazard Mapping at a 1:3000 resolution scale” at the National Laboratory of Energy and Geology (LNEG). This work, due to the detailed scale of analysis in a wide geographic context, allows to have both, a general overview of the coastal evolution and, at the same time, when zooming in up to 1:3000 scale, to observe the local behaviour and to quantify the occurred changes. Also, the well time-spaced aerial photograph dataset allows to compare the resultant coastline movement between the oldest and the youngest coastline (NSM index), with the total coastline oscillation (SCE index), bringing new insights on the coastline stability at a local scale. The evolution trend shows an overall erosional behaviour, if considering the entire sector. Erosion occurs predominantly in the north, as the south shows more stability and progradation. Quantification of the land-lost and land-gain due to the coastline shift in a 68-year period shows that 1 164 888 m2 of land were lost along 30 470 m of the coastal fringe, and 462 330 m2 were gained along an extension of 21 010 m. Keywords: Coastal hazard mapping; Western Portuguese coast; Coastline evolution; Coastal erosion and accretion; Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS).
葡萄牙西海岸的一些地区尤其受到侵蚀和洪水的威胁。关于海岸线演变趋势的区域到地方尺度的信息,在包括相关侵蚀地区在内的部门特别有价值。在国家能源和地质实验室(LNEG)的“1:3000分辨率的地质和沿海灾害测绘”项目中,获得了1947年至2015年Figueira da Foz和nazar之间沿海演变的连续、高分辨率数据集。这项工作,由于在广泛的地理背景下进行了详细的分析,可以同时获得沿海演变的总体概况,同时,当放大到1:3000的比例时,观察当地的行为并量化发生的变化。此外,时间间隔良好的航空照片数据集允许比较最老和最年轻海岸线之间的最终海岸线运动(NSM指数),以及总海岸线振荡(SCE指数),为局部尺度上的海岸线稳定性带来新的见解。如果考虑到整个行业,演变趋势显示出整体的侵蚀行为。侵蚀主要发生在北部,而南部表现出更多的稳定性和退化。岸线移动导致的68年土地损失量和土地增收量的量化结果表明,沿岸线30 470 m方向的土地损失量为1 164 888 m2,沿岸线21 010 m方向的土地损失量为462 330 m2。关键词:沿海灾害制图;葡萄牙西部海岸;海岸线演变;海岸侵蚀和增生;数字海岸线分析系统(DSAS)。
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引用次数: 2
Derramamento de óleo na zona costeira do Brasil: uma análise das unidades de conservação marinhas 巴西沿海地区石油泄漏:海洋保护单位分析
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n455
Regina Célia Macêdo do Nascimento, Fernanda Vale de Sousa, Caroline Pardi Vicente, Adriana Maria Zalla Catojo
RESUMO A implementação de mecanismos de gestão de Unidades de Conservação (UCs) e de áreas costeiras, de maneira integrada, são fundamentais nos processos de previsão de impactos e desastres, e na criação de medidas de mitigação. As zonas costeiras estão sujeitas a uma vulnerabilidade ambiental quanto a mudanças climáticas, pressões antrópicas e acidentes químicos em diferentes escalas. Dessa forma, o presente trabalho tem como objetivo analisar os planos de manejo das UCs Marinhas atingidas pelo derramamento de óleo na zona costeira do Brasil no ano de 2019, tendo em vista a verificação e análise da presença de planos de contingenciamento, bem como a identificação de possíveis ações propostas para mitigação do referido impacto. Com esta pesquisa, pôde-se constatar que das 119 UCs Marinhas nos estados atingidos, apenas 42 apresentaram plano de manejo. Destas, 20 faziam parte da área atingida pelos derramamentos, abrangendo 26 municípios em 7 estados, porém, nenhuma delas apresentou em seu plano de manejo ações referentes ao contingenciamento ou mitigação de impactos devidos a acidentes químicos. Ademais, em relação a atualização dos planos de manejo, os mesmos encontraram-se desatualizados desde a sua publicação nos anos 90, como verificado nas Unidades do estado da Bahia. Sendo assim, sugere-se que ao realizar as atualizações, os planos venham a incluir especificações direcionadas a incidentes com químicos, em especial o petróleo, além das demais ações antrópicas as quais os ambientes costeiros estão predispostos. Palavras-chave: Desastre Ambiental, Gerenciamento Costeiro, Impacto Ambiental, Plano de Manejo.
摘要以综合方式实施保护单位和沿海地区的管理机制,对于预测影响和灾害以及制定缓解措施至关重要。由于气候变化、人为压力和不同规模的化学事故,沿海地区受到环境脆弱性的影响。这样,这个工作的目的是分析计划中海洋UCs受到石油泄漏在巴西沿海地区在2019年,为了验证和分析存在的计划contingenciamento识别,以及可能采取的行动方案缓解的影响。通过这项研究,我们发现,在受影响州的119个海洋保护区中,只有42个提交了管理计划。其中20个是受泄漏影响地区的一部分,包括7个州的26个城市,但没有一个城市在其管理计划中提出与化学品事故的应急或减轻影响有关的行动。此外,关于管理计划的更新,正如巴伊亚州的单位所证实的那样,这些计划自90年代出版以来已经过时。因此,建议在进行更新时,计划应包括针对化学品事故,特别是石油事故的规范,以及沿海环境容易发生的其他人类活动。关键词:环境灾害,海岸管理,环境影响,管理计划。
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引用次数: 1
Environmental impacts on marine energy: collision risks for marine animals and priority species for monitoring in Brazil 对海洋能源的环境影响:巴西海洋动物和优先监测物种的碰撞风险
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n496
Catarina Luiza Damasceno Lima da Silva, Pedro Henrique Castello Branco Dágola, Marcos Antônio Cruz Moreira, Luís Felipe Umbelino dos Santos
ABSTRACT Brazil has great potential for the development of technologies for the conversion of marine energy from waves and tides, which raises the discussion about the possible environmental impacts of these projects. This article seeks to synthesize knowledge about the risks of collision of marine animals, such as mammals, fish and birds, with marine renewable energy (MRE) devices, as well as to identify priority species for environmental monitoring along the Brazilian coast. The risk of marine mammals colliding with MRE devices is influenced by regional and behavioral factors. The risk of collision in a fish community is influenced by the avoidance behavior, the distribution of fish in the MRE sites and the stages of the enterprise (installation, operation and maintenance). Seabird collision risk is influenced by species behavior (geographical distribution, seasonal habitat use, diving time and depth) and the location of MRE structures (surface and/or water column). The survey of priority species for monitoring the risk of collision with MRE devices in Brazil consisted of 5 species of marine mammals, 13 taxa of seabirds, 5 species of endangered sea turtles and 18 species or groups of species of fish of economic importance to the country. The research review did not record the occurrence of collisions with marine animals. However, this does not mean that they did not occur, but that they may not have been observed due to monitoring challenges. The study concluded that research on the interaction of marine animals with MRE devices should be encouraged, even in prototypes and non-commercial projects, in order to reduce knowledge gaps and support the development of MRE in an environmentally sound manner. Keywords: Marine renewable energy, Collision risk, Species, Marine animals.
巴西在开发海浪和潮汐转化海洋能源的技术方面具有巨大潜力,这引发了关于这些项目可能对环境产生影响的讨论。本文试图综合有关海洋动物(如哺乳动物、鱼类和鸟类)与海洋可再生能源(MRE)设备碰撞风险的知识,并确定巴西沿海环境监测的优先物种。海洋哺乳动物碰撞MRE装置的风险受区域和行为因素的影响。鱼类群落的碰撞风险受避碰行为、MRE场地内鱼类分布和企业阶段(安装、运行和维护)的影响。海鸟碰撞风险受物种行为(地理分布、季节性栖息地利用、潜水时间和深度)和MRE结构位置(水面和/或水柱)的影响。巴西监测与MRE装置碰撞风险的重点物种调查包括5种海洋哺乳动物、13种海鸟分类群、5种濒危海龟和18种对该国具有经济重要性的鱼类。该研究综述没有记录与海洋动物发生碰撞的情况。然而,这并不意味着它们没有发生,而是由于监测方面的挑战,它们可能没有被观察到。该研究的结论是,应鼓励对海洋动物与MRE装置相互作用的研究,即使是在原型和非商业项目中,以减少知识差距,并以无害环境的方式支持MRE的发展。关键词:海洋可再生能源,碰撞风险,物种,海洋动物
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引用次数: 1
Coastal environment: risks and impacts 沿海环境:风险与影响
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n532
F. Taveira-Pinto, P. Rosa-Santos, T. Fazeres-Ferradosa, A. R. Carrasco
Coastal regions show a varied exposure to anthropogenic and natural risks, whose impact can often endanger the delicate balance of coastal habitats. Over the past issues of the Journal of Integrated Coastal Zone Management, several coastal risks have been broadly analysed, along with practical case studies, novel research and scientific findings ( e.g ., Taveira-Pinto et al . (2021), Hoff et al . (2022) and Costa (2022)). The continuous study of coastal risks, hazards, and the short or long-term interactions between inhabitants and the coast, remains an important research topic, particularly given the rising pressure in coastal areas, due to widely known factors, e.g . climate change, increasing population and development of large cities, as well as the increase of industrial, commercial and social activities near the coast (Pelling and Blackburn, 2013), including recently boosting sectors of the so-called sea economy, such as the ones related to marine renewable energy and aquaculture, among others. In this context, the present journal issue provides a unique set of works dedicated to the analysis of several environmental risks and impacts, which represent paradigmatic cases that have a profound impact on the sustainable and integrated management of coastal resources. there is a complete absence of management and contingency plans, while in the portion of of were in the by the oil municipalities and 7 The conducted analysis showed that none of these cases had a management and contingency plan covering the chemical impacts related to oil spilling, which in turn leads to unprepared populations and authorities in case of a disaster. This study concludes with recommendations to update the management and contingency plans of coastal regions in Brazil and provides a benchmark study that can be useful for other nations and municipalities with heavy oil and maritime traffic related activities.
沿海地区面临的人为和自然风险各不相同,这些风险的影响往往会危及沿海栖息地的微妙平衡。在过去的几期《综合海岸带管理杂志》中,对几种沿海风险进行了广泛的分析,并附带了实际案例研究、新研究和科学发现(如Taveira-Pinto等)。(2021), Hoff等人。(2022)和Costa(2022))。沿海风险、灾害以及居民与海岸之间的短期或长期相互作用的持续研究仍然是一个重要的研究课题,特别是考虑到沿海地区的压力不断上升,由于众所周知的因素,例如:气候变化、人口增长和大城市的发展,以及沿海地区工业、商业和社会活动的增加(Pelling和Blackburn, 2013),包括最近推动所谓的海洋经济部门,如与海洋可再生能源和水产养殖相关的部门等。在此背景下,本期杂志提供了一组独特的作品,专门分析了几种环境风险和影响,这些环境风险和影响代表了对沿海资源的可持续和综合管理产生深远影响的典型案例。完全缺乏管理和应急计划,而在石油市政当局和7的部分中,所进行的分析表明,这些案例中没有一个涉及与石油泄漏有关的化学影响的管理和应急计划,这反过来导致发生灾难时民众和当局毫无准备。本研究报告最后提出了更新巴西沿海地区管理和应急计划的建议,并提供了一项基准研究,可用于从事重油和海上交通相关活动的其他国家和城市。
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引用次数: 1
Use of Brachionus Plicatilis (rotifera) to assess the quality of marine water in Callao bay, Peru 用纹尾轮尾虫评价秘鲁卡亚奥湾海水水质
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n441
Marco Osorio, Seid Romero, A. Guabloche, Lorena Alvariño-Flores, Y. Ayala-Sulca, Carlos Carrasco-Badajoz, Luz Castañeda, Luis Roman Carrasco, J. Iannacone
ASBTRACT The present investigation used Brachionus plicatilis (Rotifera) to evaluate the water quality in Callao Bay, Peru. The water samples were taken in four areas: P1 in La Punta, P2 in Chucuito, P3 in front of the Callao Port Terminal and P4 in the San Lorenzo and El Frontón Islands, and in four seasonal periods: autumn-2015, winter- 2015, spring-2015, and summer-2016. Physical-chemical parameters, chlorophyll, phycocyanin, heavy metals, and bioassays with seawater at 24 h and 48 h of exposure to Brachionus plicatilis obtained from a standardized culture were evaluated in each area and seasonal period. High concentrations of Ag, Pb, Hg, Cu, Cr, Ni and Zn were found at all the sampling sites. The ​​ no observed effect concentration (NOEC) values (concentration at which a significant effect of mortality is not observed with respect to the control) and lowest observed effect concentration (LOEC) (minimum concentration at which a significant effect of mortality is observed with respect to the control) at 48 h of exposure to the B. plicatilis bioassay were lower for P1 (winter-2015) and P2 (winter-2015). Principal components analysis (PCA) showed that principal component 1 (PC1) contributed 38.70% and PC2 17.70%. PC1 was formed by LOEC of Cd, Hg, Ni, Ag, and Pb while PC2 was related to Cu, Cr and Zn. According to these results Brachionus plicatilis can be used as a bioindicator organism to assess water quality in the marine environment. Keywords: acute bioassay, Brachionus, heavy metals, mortality, rotifer.
摘要本研究采用轮尾轮尾虫(Brachionus plicatilis)对秘鲁卡亚奥湾水质进行了评价。水样在四个区域采集:P1在La Punta, P2在chuuito, P3在Callao港口码头前,P4在San Lorenzo和El Frontón群岛,并在四个季节期间采集:2015年秋季,2015年冬季,2015年春季和2016年夏季。在每个地区和季节对标准化培养的柔韧性臂轮虫暴露24 h和48 h时的理化参数、叶绿素、藻蓝蛋白、重金属和海水生物测定进行了评估。在所有采样点均发现了高浓度的Ag、Pb、Hg、Cu、Cr、Ni和Zn。P1(2015年冬季)和P2(2015年冬季)暴露于白藜芦醇生物测定48小时时的无观察效应浓度(NOEC)值(与对照组相比未观察到显著死亡率影响的浓度)和最低观察效应浓度(LOEC)(与对照组相比观察到显著死亡率影响的最低浓度)较低。主成分分析(PCA)表明,主成分1 (PC1)和主成分2 (PC2)的贡献率分别为38.70%和17.70%。PC1是由Cd、Hg、Ni、Ag和Pb的LOEC形成的,PC2是由Cu、Cr和Zn形成的。根据这些结果,可以将柔顺臂轮虫作为海洋环境水质评价的生物指示生物。关键词:急性生物测定,臂虫,重金属,死亡率,轮虫。
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引用次数: 3
Mapeamento da sensibilidade ambiental a derrames de óleo do arquipélago dos Alcatrazes (São Paulo, Brasil) Alcatrazes群岛对石油泄漏的环境敏感性测绘(sao Paulo,巴西)
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n452
N. Hoff, Leonardo Silveira Takase, Eduardo Siegle, June Ferraz Dias
Na transição tropical-subtropical, no litoral norte do estado de São Paulo (Brasil), a presença de um porto e um terminal petrolífero, associados a outras atividades humanas como pesca, turismo e industrialização, pressionam a integridade ecológica e a biodiversidade do arquipélago de Alcatrazes, que compreende duas áreas marinhas protegidas (ESEC Tupinambás e REVIS Alcatrazes). Este trabalho tem como objetivo a elaboração de uma carta de sensibilidade ambiental ao derramamento de óleo (carta SAO) para subsidiar a proteção dessas unidades de conservação. A carta SAO utilizou dados primários da ictiofauna demersal e dados secundários para outras variáveis biológicas, socioeconômicas e oceanográficas. O mapa operacional produzido (escala 1: 50000) destaca pontos estratégicos de importância biológica e para as atividades desenvolvidas em Alcatrazes. As regiões abrigadas do arquipélago, compostas por falésias expostas com menor declive, ou rochas protegidas da ação das ondas, apresentaram os maiores índices de sensibilidade ambiental. A biodiversidade de Alcatrazes apresenta 835 táxons, e muitos são considerados ameaçados, de acordo com diferentes níveis de proteção, ou por seu endemismo ou por serem espécies comercialmente importantes. As áreas marinhas protegidas não estão necessariamente seguras contra derramamentos de óleo que ocorram além de seus limites geográficos, tornando a carta SAO do arquipélago de Alcatrazes uma ferramenta essencial para ações de combate a derramamentos de óleo, para a elaboração de planos de contingência, e como uma fonte de dados para trabalhos futuros.
在北部沿海热带过渡-subtropical,巴西(圣保罗)港口和石油终端的出现,与人类其他活动,如钓鱼、旅游、工业化,推动鸬鹚群岛的生态完整性和生物多样性,包括两个海洋保护区(ESEC Tupinambás REVIS鸬鹚)。这项工作的目的是制定一份石油泄漏环境敏感性宪章(SAO宪章),以支持对这些保护区的保护。SAO图表使用了底栖鱼类的初级数据和其他生物、社会经济和海洋学变量的次级数据。制作的行动地图(比例尺1:5万)突出了在Alcatrazes开展的生物和活动的重要战略点。群岛的庇护区域,由斜坡较低的裸露悬崖或受海浪保护的岩石组成,表现出最高的环境敏感性指数。柏油鱼的生物多样性有835个类群,其中许多类群根据不同的保护程度被认为受到威胁,要么是因为它们是特有种,要么是因为它们是具有商业重要性的物种。海洋保护区的不一定是安全与石油泄漏军事地理的界限,使马蹄兰群岛的信是一个必不可少的工具行为。石油泄漏的应急计划,为未来工作的数据来源。
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引用次数: 2
Coastal Zones and Archipelagos 沿海地区和群岛
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n509
F. Taveira-Pinto, P. Rosa-Santos, T. Fazeres-Ferradosa, A. R. Carrasco
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of environment, socio-economic, and stakeholder partnership for integrated coastal management in Semarang City, Indonesia 对印尼三宝垄市综合沿海管理的环境、社会经济和利益相关者伙伴关系的分析
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n431
N. K. T. Martuti, R. Pribadi, N. K. Dewi, W. A. B. N. Sidiq, D. Mutiatari
Land transformation is the main factor that may increase ecological vulnerability in coastal areas in Semarang City, Indonesia. Therefore, environmental damage in coastal areas should be restored using an integrated management strategy based on the ecosystem, social and economic condition, as well as stakeholder partnership. This research aimed to measure the resilience score of environmental and socio-economic conditions and to identify stakeholder partnership in arranging integrated coastal area management in Semarang City. A descriptive observational study was conducted in Mangkang Kulon and Tugurejo Sub-district, Tugu District, Semarang City using in-depth interviews, field observations and survey-mapping. The ecological conditions data was collected using image analysis of aerial photographs following the concept of environmental and geophysical. Meanwhile, the social-community conditions data were diagnosed using a socio-economic assessment. The result showed that changes in the coastline occured due to the disappearance of some area of mangrove that were turned indented close to the ocean. However, the socio-economic index showed a medium to a high score, which means high opportunities for the local community to develop their livelihood. Therefore, various community empowerment programs initiated by government, academics, the private sectors, and non-government organizations have increased the resilience of the community.
土地改造是印尼三宝垄市沿海地区生态脆弱性增加的主要因素。因此,沿海地区的环境破坏应采用基于生态系统、社会和经济条件以及利益相关者伙伴关系的综合管理策略进行恢复。本研究旨在衡量环境和社会经济条件的恢复力得分,并确定在三宝垄市安排综合沿海地区管理的利益相关者伙伴关系。采用深度访谈、实地观察和测绘等方法,在三宝垄市土古区芒康库隆和土古列霍街道开展描述性观察研究。根据环境和地球物理的概念,利用航空照片的图像分析方法收集生态条件数据。同时,使用社会经济评估对社会-社区状况数据进行诊断。结果表明,海岸线的变化是由于一些红树林的消失,这些红树林在靠近海洋的地方变成了凹痕。但是,社会经济指数为中高,这意味着当地社区发展生计的机会很大。因此,由政府、学术界、私营部门和非政府组织发起的各种社区赋权项目提高了社区的复原力。
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引用次数: 1
La delimitación de espacios terrestres bajo influencia marina en condiciones de insularidad. Estudio de caso: grandes islas del archipiélago cubano 在岛屿条件下受海洋影响的陆地空间的划分。案例研究:古巴群岛的大岛
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n438
A. A. Mallea, E. S. Chávez, G. Rodríguez
La zona costera constituye un espacio singular por la compleja interacción que ejercen los dominios oceánico, terrestre y aéreo. Para la planificación y gestión ambiental es fundamental delimitar el espacio terrestre donde se originan los procesos naturales que definen la influencia del dominio oceánico, así como las características socioeconómicas que modulan el proceso de gobernanza. Con el objetivo de definir bajo condiciones de insularidad algunos criterios básicos e identificar los principales descriptores de posible uso en la delimitación del espacio comprendido entre el borde litoral y el limite interior de la faja terrestre sometida a la influencia oceánica, se efectuó un ejercicio grupal con 25 especialistas de las Ciencias de la Tierra. Los juicios se relacionaron a la litología, tectónica, relieve, clima, suelos, paisajes, ecosistemas y hábitats así como a los peligros, vulnerabilidades y riesgos. A microescala, fueron identificados 24 descriptores, a mesoescala 25 y a macroescala 28. Se reconoció la importancia que todos ellos tienen para la delimitación de ese espacio, en particular los vinculados al paisaje y al relieve, concluyendo que la magnitud del proceso de antropización, determina la importancia relativa de los mismos. Cuando la naturalidad es elevada, los límites de las formaciones vegetales adquieren notoria importancia, pero cuando la “litoralización” es total solo las conurbaciones y los factores de riesgo determinan la extensión de esta faja terrestre. La identificación de este espacio geográfico resulta de gran importancia ya que su conservación o recuperación depende del transporte de materia y contaminantes derivado del escurrimiento terrestre, particularmente de aquel proveniente de las cuencas hidrográficas asociadas, casi siempre con un notable deterioro ambiental.
由于海洋、陆地和空中领域的复杂相互作用,海岸带是一个独特的空间。对于环境规划和管理来说,界定界定海洋主导影响的自然过程产生的陆地空间以及调节治理过程的社会经济特征是至关重要的。目的定义条件下岛国一些基本标准和识别主要使用描述符空间划分至沿海和极限边缘地带的陆地受到海洋的影响,集团演习进行了地球科学专家25日。评估涉及岩性、构造、地形、气候、土壤、景观、生态系统和生境以及危害、脆弱性和风险。在微观尺度上鉴定了24个描述符,在中尺度上鉴定了25个,在宏观尺度上鉴定了28个。在这篇文章中,我们分析了不同类型的人类活动对该地区的影响,并提出了不同类型的人类活动对该地区的影响。在自然程度高的地方,植物形态的边界是非常重要的,但在完全“海岸化”的地方,只有城市和风险因素决定了这片土地的范围。确定这一地理区域是非常重要的,因为它的保存或恢复取决于陆地径流产生的物质和污染物的运输,特别是来自相关流域的物质和污染物,几乎总是伴随着显著的环境恶化。
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引用次数: 0
Elevação do nível médio do mar em São João da Barra, RJ, Brasil 巴西RJ州sao joao da Barra的平均海平面上升
Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.5894/rgci-n466
José Antônio da Silva Júnior, M. A. Pedlowski
Identificar áreas alagáveis nas Zonas Costeiras (ZCs) é essencial para a elaboração de planos de gestão capazes de minimizar os impactos associados à elevação do Nível Global Médio do Mar (NGMM). O objetivo deste trabalho foi projetar a vulnerabilidade e susceptibilidade à intrusão marinha em São João da Barra/RJ, considerando dois cenários previstos pelo Painel Intergovernamental sobre Mudança Climática (IPCC) para o período 2081-2100: “otimista” (elevação do NGMM de 0.26 a 0.55 m) e “pessimista” (0.45 a 0.82 m). Através do software QGis foi construído um banco de dados para a representação das unidades de paisagem e a ponderação de variáveis que condicionam as inundações. Dos 453.00 km2 de território são-joanense até 193.01 km2 (42.60%) e 253.38 km2 (55.85%) podem ser inundados nos cenários “otimista” e “pessimista”, respectivamente. A elevação no intervalo 0.26-0.82m pode tornar inundável até 16.46 km2 (42.81%) dos 38.44 km2 da RPPN Caruara e até 60% (11.52 km2) dos 19.20 km2 do Porto do Açu. As áreas de maior vulnerabilidade ambiental concentram-se nos manguezais. As regiões mais afetadas economicamente nos dois cenários são aquelas onde vivem os agricultores familiares. Com base nos resultados obtidos, é possível concluir que devido às suas configurações geológicas e ambientais, a ZC são-joanense é vulnerável à elevação do NGMM, com maiores reflexos sobre áreas urbanas e rurais de baixa altitude e em ecossistemas naturais. Até 2100 o município poderá perder mais da metade de sua área territorial e caso não sejam tomadas ações de contingenciamento, haverá grandes perdas econômicas e ambientais.
确定沿海地区的湿地对于制定能够最大限度地减少与全球平均海平面上升相关的影响的管理计划至关重要。这个工作的目的是设计脆弱、易受干扰的海军在圣条/ r . j .,考虑到两个场景的政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC) 2081 - -2100年:“乐观”(胸部NGMM 0点0 55分(m)和“悲观”(0 . 45 0 6米)。通过QGis建一个数据库软件的表示单位的景观和变量的权重影响洪水。在“乐观”和“悲观”的情况下,sao joao的453.00平方公里到193.01平方公里(42.60%)和253.38平方公里(55.85%)的领土可能被洪水淹没。海拔在0.26-0.82米范围内,卡鲁亚拉RPPN 38.44平方公里中高达16.46平方公里(42.81%),acu港口19.20平方公里中高达60%(11.52平方公里)。环境最脆弱的地区集中在红树林。在这两种情况下,受经济影响最严重的地区都是家庭农民居住的地区。根据研究结果,可以得出结论,由于其地质和环境配置,sao -joanense ZC容易受到NGMM上升的影响,对城市和农村低洼地区以及自然生态系统的影响更大。到2100年,市政当局可能会失去一半以上的领土面积,如果不采取应急行动,将会有巨大的经济和环境损失。
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Journal of Integrated Coastal Zone Management
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