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Parameter estimation of exponentiated exponential distribution under selective ranked set sampling 选择性排序集抽样下指数分布的参数估计
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0041
A. Hassan, Rasha S. Elshaarawy, H. Nagy
Abstract Partial ranked set sampling (PRSS) is a cost-effective sampling method. It is a combination of simple random sample (SRS) and ranked set sampling (RSS) designs. The PRSS method allows flexibility for the experimenter in selecting the sample when it is either difficult to rank the units within each set with full confidence or when experimental units are not available. In this article, we introduce and define the likelihood function of any probability distribution under the PRSS scheme. The performance of the maximum likelihood estimators is examined when the available data are assumed to have an exponentiated exponential (EE) distribution via some selective RSS schemes as well as SRS. The suggested ranked schemes include the PRSS, RSS, neoteric RSS (NRSS), and extreme RSS (ERSS). An intensive simulation study was conducted to compare and explore the behaviour of the proposed estimators. The study demonstrated that the maximum likelihood estimators via PRSS, NRSS, ERSS, and RSS schemes are more efficient than the corresponding estimators under SRS. A real data set is presented for illustrative purposes.
摘要部分排序集采样(PRSS)是一种经济高效的采样方法。它是简单随机抽样(SRS)和排序集抽样(RSS)设计的组合。当很难对每组中的单元进行完全置信度排序或当实验单元不可用时,PRSS方法允许实验者在选择样本时具有灵活性。在本文中,我们引入并定义了PRSS方案下任何概率分布的似然函数。当通过一些选择性RSS方案以及SRS假设可用数据具有指数(EE)分布时,检查最大似然估计器的性能。建议的排序方案包括PRSS、RSS、近代RSS(NRSS)和极端RSS(ERSS)。进行了深入的模拟研究,以比较和探索所提出的估计量的行为。研究表明,通过PRSS、NRSS、ERSS和RSS方案的最大似然估计量比SRS下的相应估计量更有效。为了便于说明,提供了一个真实的数据集。
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引用次数: 3
Robustness of randomisation tests as alternative analysis methods for repeated measures design 随机试验作为重复测量设计的替代分析方法的稳健性
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0043
A. Oladugba, Ajali John Obasi, O. C. Asogwa
Abstract Randomisation tests (R-tests) are regularly proposed as an alternative method of hypothesis testing when assumptions of classical statistical methods are violated in data analysis. In this paper, the robustness in terms of the type-I-error and the power of the R-test were evaluated and compared with that of the F-test in the analysis of a single factor repeated measures design. The study took into account normal and non-normal data (skewed: exponential, lognormal, Chi-squared, and Weibull distributions), the presence and lack of outliers, and a situation in which the sphericity assumption was met or not under varied sample sizes and number of treatments. The Monte Carlo approach was used in the simulation study. The results showed that when the data were normal, the R-test was approximately as sensitive and robust as the F-test, while being more sensitive than the F-test when data had skewed distributions. The R-test was more sensitive and robust than the F-test in the presence of an outlier. When the sphericity assumption was met, both the R-test and the F-test were approximately equally sensitive, whereas the R-test was more sensitive and robust than the F-test when the sphericity assumption was not met.
摘要当数据分析中违反经典统计方法的假设时,随机检验(R检验)经常被提出作为假设检验的替代方法。在单因素重复测量设计的分析中,评估了R检验在I型误差和功率方面的稳健性,并将其与F检验的稳健性进行了比较。该研究考虑了正态和非正态数据(偏斜:指数分布、对数正态分布、卡方分布和威布尔分布)、异常值的存在和缺乏,以及在不同样本量和处理次数下是否满足球形假设的情况。模拟研究采用蒙特卡罗方法。结果表明,当数据正常时,R检验与F检验一样灵敏和稳健,而当数据具有偏斜分布时,R测试比F检验更灵敏。在存在异常值的情况下,R检验比F检验更灵敏、更稳健。当满足球形度假设时,R检验和F检验的灵敏度大致相等,而当不满足球形度假定时,R试验比F检验更灵敏和稳健。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal allocation for equal probability two-stage design 等概率两阶段设计的最优分配
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0046
W. Molefe
Abstract This paper develops optimal designs when it is not feasible for every cluster to be represented in a sample as in stratified design, by assuming equal probability two-stage sampling where clusters are small areas. The paper develops allocation methods for two-stage sample surveys where small-area estimates are a priority. We seek efficient allocations where the aim is to minimize the linear combination of the mean squared errors of composite small area estimators and of an estimator of the overall mean. We suggest some alternative allocations with a view to minimizing the same objective. Several alternatives, including the area-only stratified design, are found to perform nearly as well as the optimal allocation but with better practical properties. Designs are evaluated numerically using Switzerland canton data as well as Botswana administrative districts data.
摘要:本文通过假设等概率两阶段抽样,其中集群是小区域,在分层设计中,当每个集群在样本中表示为不可行的情况下,开发了最优设计。本文开发了两阶段抽样调查的分配方法,其中小区域估计是优先考虑的。我们寻求有效的分配,其目的是最小化复合小面积估计器和总体均值估计器的均方误差的线性组合。我们建议一些备选的分配办法,以期尽量减少同样的目标。几种替代方案,包括仅面积分层设计,被发现执行几乎和最佳分配一样好,但具有更好的实用性能。设计采用瑞士各州数据和博茨瓦纳行政区数据进行数值评估。
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引用次数: 0
Supsim: a Python package and a web-based JavaScript tool to address the theoretical complexities in two-predictor suppression situations Supsim:一个Python包和一个基于web的JavaScript工具,用于解决两种预测抑制情况下的理论复杂性
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0049
M. Nazifi, Hamid Fadishei
Abstract Two-predictor suppression situations continue to produce uninterpretable conditions in linear regression. In an attempt to address the theoretical complexities related to suppression situations, the current study introduces two different versions of a software called suppression simulator (Supsim): a) the command-line Python package, and b) the web-based JavaScript tool, both of which are able to simulate numerous random two-predictor models (RTMs). RTMs are randomly generated, normally distributed data vectors x1, x2, and y simulated in such a way that regressing y on both x1 and x2 results in the occurrence of numerous suppression and non-suppression situations. The web-based Supsim requires no coding skills and additionally, it provides users with 3D scatterplots of the simulated RTMs. This study shows that comparing 3D scatterplots of different suppression and non-suppression situations provides important new insights into the underlying mechanisms of two-predictor suppression situations. An important focus is on the comparison of 3D scatterplots of certain enhancement situations called Hamilton’s extreme example with those of redundancy situations. Such a comparison suggests that the basic mathematical concepts of two-predictor suppression situations need to be reconsidered with regard to the important issue of the statistical control function.
摘要在线性回归中,两种预测抑制情况继续产生不可解释的条件。为了解决与抑制情况相关的理论复杂性,目前的研究引入了两种不同版本的软件,称为抑制模拟器(Supsim):a)命令行Python包和b)基于web的JavaScript工具,这两种工具都能够模拟许多随机的双预测模型(RTM)。RTM是随机生成的、正态分布的数据向量x1、x2和y的模拟方式,使得在x1和x2上回归y导致出现许多抑制和非抑制情况。基于网络的Supsim不需要编码技能,此外,它还为用户提供了模拟RTM的3D散点图。这项研究表明,比较不同抑制和非抑制情况的3D散点图,为了解两种预测抑制情况的潜在机制提供了重要的新见解。一个重要的焦点是将某些增强情况的3D散点图(称为汉密尔顿极限示例)与冗余情况的三维散点图进行比较。这样的比较表明,对于统计控制函数这一重要问题,需要重新考虑两种预测抑制情况的基本数学概念。
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引用次数: 0
Generalised Lindley shared additive frailty regression model for bivariate survival data 二变量生存数据的广义Lindley共享加性脆弱性回归模型
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0048
Arvind Pandey, David D. Hanagal, Shikha Tyagi
Abstract Frailty models are the possible choice to counter the problem of the unobserved heterogeneity in individual risks of disease and death. Based on earlier studies, shared frailty models can be utilised in the analysis of bivariate data related to survival times (e.g. matched pairs experiments, twin or family data). In this article, we assume that frailty acts additively to the hazard rate. A new class of shared frailty models based on generalised Lindley distribution is established. By assuming generalised Weibull and generalised log-logistic baseline distributions, we propose a new class of shared frailty models based on the additive hazard rate. We estimate the parameters in these frailty models and use the Bayesian paradigm of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique. Model selection criteria have been applied for the comparison of models. We analyse kidney infection data and suggest the best model.
摘要脆弱模型是解决个体疾病和死亡风险中未观察到的异质性问题的可能选择。基于早期的研究,共享虚弱模型可用于分析与生存时间相关的双变量数据(例如配对实验、双胞胎或家庭数据)。在这篇文章中,我们假设虚弱是危险率的附加因素。基于广义Lindley分布建立了一类新的共享脆弱性模型。通过假设广义威布尔和广义对数逻辑基线分布,我们提出了一类新的基于加性风险率的共享脆弱性模型。我们估计了这些脆弱性模型中的参数,并使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)技术的贝叶斯范式。模型选择标准已应用于模型的比较。我们分析了肾脏感染数据,并提出了最佳模型。
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引用次数: 0
An improved ridge type estimator for logistic regression 一种改进的logistic回归岭型估计量
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0033
N. Varathan
Abstract In this paper, an improved ridge type estimator is introduced to overcome the effect of multi-collinearity in logistic regression. The proposed estimator is called a modified almost unbiased ridge logistic estimator. It is obtained by combining the ridge estimator and the almost unbiased ridge estimator. In order to asses the superiority of the proposed estimator over the existing estimators, theoretical comparisons based on the mean square error and the scalar mean square error criterion are presented. A Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the proposed estimator with the existing ones. Finally, a real data example is provided to support the findings.
摘要为了克服逻辑回归中多重共线性的影响,提出了一种改进的脊型估计。所提出的估计量称为改进的几乎无偏岭逻辑估计量。它是由脊估计和几乎无偏脊估计相结合得到的。为了评价所提估计量相对于现有估计量的优越性,给出了基于均方误差和标量均方误差准则的理论比较。通过蒙特卡罗仿真研究,比较了所提估计器与现有估计器的性能。最后,给出了一个真实的数据例子来支持研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Two-stage cluster sampling with unequal probability sampling in the first stage and ranked set sampling in the second stage 第一阶段采用不等概率抽样,第二阶段采用排序集抽样的两阶段聚类抽样
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0038
M. C. Ugwu, M. Madukaife
Abstract In this research work we introduce a new sampling design, namely a two-stage cluster sampling, where probability proportional to size with replacement is used in the first stage unit and ranked set sampling in the second in order to address the issue of marked variability in the sizes of population units concerned with first stage sampling. We obtained an unbiased estimator of the population mean and total, as well as the variance of the mean estimator. We calculated the relative efficiency of the new sampling design to the two-stage cluster sampling with simple random sampling in the first stage and ranked set sampling in the second stage. The results demonstrated that the new sampling design is more efficient than the competing design when a significant variation is observed in the first stage units.
摘要在这项研究工作中,我们引入了一种新的抽样设计,即两阶段聚类抽样,其中在第一阶段单元中使用与替换大小成比例的概率,在第二阶段单元中采用排序集抽样,以解决第一阶段抽样所涉及的总体单元大小的显著可变性问题。我们得到了总体均值和总数的无偏估计量,以及均值估计量的方差。我们计算了新采样设计对第一阶段简单随机采样和第二阶段排序集采样的两阶段聚类采样的相对效率。结果表明,当在第一级机组中观察到显著变化时,新的采样设计比竞争设计更有效。
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引用次数: 0
Modified exponential time series model with prediction of total COVID-19 cases in Belgium, Czech Republic, Poland and Switzerland 基于修正指数时间序列模型的比利时、捷克、波兰和瑞士COVID-19总病例预测
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0035
W. Permpoonsinsup, R. Sunthornwat
Abstract The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic affected every country worldwide. In particular, outbreaks in Belgium, the Czech Republic, Poland and Switzerland entered the second wave and was exponentially increasing between July and November, 2020. The aims of the study are: to estimate the compound growth rate, to develop a modified exponential time-series model compared with the hyperbolic time-series model, and to estimate the optimal parameters for the models based on the exponential least-squares, three selected points, partial-sums methods, and the hyperbolic least-squares for the daily COVID-19 cases in Belgium, the Czech Republic, Poland and Switzerland. The speed and spreading power of COVID-19 infections were obtained by using derivative and root-mean-squared methods, respectively. The results show that the exponential least-squares method was the most suitable for the parameter estimation. The compound growth rate of COVID-19 infection was the highest in Switzerland, and the speed and spreading power of COVID-19 infection were the highest in Poland between July and November, 2020.
摘要冠状病毒(新冠肺炎)大流行影响了世界各地的每个国家。特别是,比利时、捷克共和国、波兰和瑞士的疫情进入第二波,并在2020年7月至11月呈指数级增长。该研究的目的是:估计复合增长率,开发一个与双曲线时间序列模型相比较的修正指数时间序列模型,并基于指数最小二乘法、三个选点法、偏模法和双曲线最小二乘法估计比利时、捷克共和国、,波兰和瑞士。分别采用导数法和均方根法获得新冠肺炎感染的速度和传播力。结果表明,指数最小二乘法最适合于参数估计。2020年7月至11月,新冠肺炎感染的复合增长率在瑞士最高,新冠肺炎感染的速度和传播力在波兰最高。
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引用次数: 0
New polynomial exponential distribution: properties and applications 新的多项式指数分布:性质和应用
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0032
Abdelfateh Beghriche, Halim zeghdoudi, Vinoth Raman, Sarra Chouia
Abstract The study describes the general concept of the XLindley distribution. Forms of density and hazard rate functions are investigated. Moreover, precise formulations for several numerical properties of distributions are derived. Extreme order statistics are established using stochastic ordering, the moment method, the maximum likelihood estimation, entropies and the limiting distribution. We demonstrate the new family’s adaptability by applying it to a variety of real-world datasets.
摘要该研究描述了XLindley分布的一般概念。研究了密度函数和危险率函数的形式。此外,还导出了分布的几个数值性质的精确公式。使用随机排序、矩量法、最大似然估计、熵和极限分布建立了极值阶统计量。我们通过将新家族应用于各种真实世界的数据集来展示其适应性。
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引用次数: 3
Polish inequality statistics reconsidered: are the poor really that poor? 重新审视波兰的不平等统计数据:穷人真的那么穷吗?
Q4 Mathematics Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0031
A. Szulc
Abstract In the present study income inequality in Poland is evaluated using corrected income data to provide more reliable estimates. According to most empirical studies based on household surveys and considering the European standards, the recent income inequality in Poland is moderate and decreased significantly after reaching its peaks during the first decade of the 21st century. These findings were challenged by Brzeziński et al. (2022), who placed Polish income inequality among the highest in Europe. Such a conclusion was possible when combining the household survey data with information on personal income tax. In the present study the above-mentioned findings are further explored using 2014 and 2015 data and employing additional corrections to the household survey incomes. Incomes of the poorest people are replaced by their predictions made on a large set of well-being correlates, using the hierarchical correlation reconstruction. Applying this method together with the corrections based on Brzeziński’s et al. results reduces the 2014 and 2015 revised Gini indices, still keeping them above the values obtained with the use of the survey data only. It seems that the hierarchical correlation reconstruction offers more accurate proxies to the actual low incomes, while matching tax data provides better proxies to the top incomes.
摘要在本研究中,使用校正后的收入数据对波兰的收入不平等进行了评估,以提供更可靠的估计。根据大多数基于家庭调查并考虑到欧洲标准的实证研究,波兰最近的收入不平等是温和的,在21世纪头十年达到峰值后显著减少。这些发现受到了Brzeziński等人的质疑。(2022),他将波兰的收入不平等列为欧洲最高的国家之一。当将家庭调查数据与个人所得税信息相结合时,这样的结论是可能的。在本研究中,使用2014年和2015年的数据,并对家庭调查收入进行额外修正,进一步探讨了上述发现。最贫穷的人的收入被他们使用层次相关性重建对一大组幸福感相关性的预测所取代。将该方法与基于Brzeziński等人的修正相结合使用。结果降低了2014年和2015年修订的基尼系数,仍保持在仅使用调查数据获得的值之上。层级相关性重建似乎为实际低收入提供了更准确的指标,而匹配的税收数据则为最高收入提供了更好的指标。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Statistics in Transition
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