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Re-Allocating Taxing Rights and Minimum Tax Rates in International Profit Taxation 国际利得税中的征税权再分配与最低税率
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3797373
G. Kempkes, Nikolai Stähler
What are the macroeconomic implications of re-allocating taxing rights away from source countries (where goods are produced) to market countries (where goods are consumed) and introducing minimum rates in international profit taxation? We assess this question in a dynamic macroeconomic model that gives a meaningful role to profit taxation. We find that, in low tax economies, the average profit tax rate will rise. On the one hand, this reduces price competitiveness of firms located in these regions and, thereby, output. On the other hand, higher profit tax revenues help to reduce other taxes. Moreover, lower expected future output requires less capital in production in the long run. Firms hence invest less and (temporarily) augment dividend payments. This raises disposable income of households, who (at least temporarily) increase consumption. The opposite holds for high tax economies. When taxing rights are re-allocated, wealth transfers between regions mitigate these effects. In terms of welfare, low tax economies can benefit from an increase in profit taxation.
将征税权从来源国(商品生产国)重新分配给市场国(商品消费国),并在国际利得税中引入最低税率,对宏观经济有何影响?我们在一个动态宏观经济模型中评估了这个问题,该模型赋予了利得税一个有意义的角色。我们发现,在低税率经济体中,平均利润税税率将上升。一方面,这降低了位于这些地区的公司的价格竞争力,从而降低了产量。另一方面,利得税收入的增加有助于减少其他税收。此外,从长远来看,较低的预期未来产出需要较少的生产资本。公司因此减少投资并(暂时)增加股息支付。这增加了家庭的可支配收入,他们(至少暂时)增加了消费。高税收经济体的情况正好相反。当征税权重新分配时,地区之间的财富转移会减轻这些影响。在福利方面,低税经济体可以从利得税的增加中受益。
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引用次数: 3
A Re-examination of Firm Size and Taxes 企业规模与税收的再考察
Pub Date : 2021-09-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3928145
Fabio B. Gaertner, Brent Glover, Oliver Levine
We document that larger firms pay substantially lower cash effective tax rates (cash ETRs) in the long-term than do smaller firms. This pattern in long-term cash ETRs is robust to various specifications, but vanishes when cash ETRs are measured over a single year. Over a ten-year period, firms in the largest decile pay 10.8 p.p. (26 percent) lower taxes than those in the smallest decile, while this gap balloons to 14.4 p.p. (35 percent) for the largest 1 percent of firms. The relation between firm size and taxes over the long run cannot be explained by foreign operations, asset tangibility, R&D spending, capital structure, net operating loss carryforwards, or releases in the valuation allowance. While profitability explains near a quarter of this effect, about 80 percent of the association between size and taxes can be explained by the magnitude of losses within the horizon period. Overall, our results suggest large firms pay fewer taxes over the long run primarily by avoiding losses, potentially mitigating the negative consequences of tax convexity.
我们证明,大公司长期支付的现金有效税率(现金ETRs)比小公司低得多。这种模式在长期现金ETRs中对各种规格都是稳健的,但在一年的时间内测量现金ETRs时就消失了。在十年的时间里,收入最高的十分之一的公司比收入最低的十分之一的公司少交10.8个百分点(26%)的税,而收入最高的1%的公司的这一差距扩大到14.4个百分点(35%)。长期来看,企业规模与税收之间的关系无法用国外业务、资产有形性、研发支出、资本结构、净经营亏损结转或估值准备的释放来解释。虽然盈利能力解释了近四分之一的影响,但规模和税收之间约80%的关联可以用短期内亏损的幅度来解释。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,从长期来看,大公司主要通过避免损失来减少税收,从而潜在地减轻了税收凸性的负面影响。
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引用次数: 3
Output, Employment, and Price Effects of U.S. Narrative Tax Changes: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression Approach 产出、就业和价格对美国叙述性税收变化的影响:一个因子增强向量自回归方法
Pub Date : 2021-06-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3870896
Masudul Alam
This paper examines the short- and long-run effects of U.S. federal personal income and corporate income tax cuts on a wide array of economic policy variables in a data-rich environment. Using a panel of U.S. macroeconomic data set, made up of 132 quarterly macroeconomic series for 1959-2018, the study estimates factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVARs) models where an extended narrative tax changes dataset combined with unobserved factors. The narrative approach classifies if tax changes are exogenous or endogenous. This paper identifies narrative tax shocks in the vector autoregression model using the sign restrictions with Uhlig's (2005) penalty function. Empirical findings show a significant expansionary effect of tax cuts on the macroeconomic variables. Cuts in personal and corporate income taxes cause a rise in output, investment, employment, and consumption; however, cuts in personal taxes appear to be a more effective fiscal policy tool than the cut in corporate income taxes. Real GDP, employment, investment, and industrial production increase significantly and reach their maximum response values two years after personal income tax cuts. The effects of corporate tax cuts have relatively smaller effects on output and consumption but show immediate and higher effects on fixed investment and price levels.
本文在数据丰富的环境中考察了美国联邦个人所得税和企业所得税削减对一系列经济政策变量的短期和长期影响。该研究使用由1959-2018年132个季度宏观经济系列组成的美国宏观经济数据集,估计了因素增强向量自回归(FAVARs)模型,其中扩展的叙事税收变化数据集与未观察到的因素相结合。叙事方法对税收变化是外生的还是内生的进行分类。本文使用带有Uhlig(2005)惩罚函数的符号限制来识别矢量自回归模型中的叙事性税收冲击。实证结果表明,减税对宏观经济变量具有显著的扩张效应。个人和企业所得税的削减会导致产出、投资、就业和消费的增加;然而,削减个人所得税似乎是一种比削减企业所得税更有效的财政政策工具。实际GDP、就业、投资、工业生产均显著增长,并在个人所得税下调两年后达到最大响应值。企业减税对产出和消费的影响相对较小,但对固定投资和价格水平的影响则是直接和较高的。
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引用次数: 7
Tax Policy Expectations and Firm Behavior: Evidence from the 2016 U.S. Election and the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act 税收政策预期与企业行为:来自2016年美国大选和《减税与就业法案》的证据
Pub Date : 2021-01-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3775710
John Gallemore, Stephan Hollander, M. Jacob, Xiang Zheng
We examine how beliefs about tax policy affect firms’ investment decisions. Exploiting the periods around the surprise election of Donald Trump, who campaigned heavily on tax reform, and the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), we find that expectations regarding tax policy have both first-moment (sentiment) and second-moment (uncertainty) effects on investment, which vary heterogeneously across events and firms. In particular, we document that tax policy sentiment (uncertainty) enhances (dampens) the change in investment around the passage of the TCJA, suggesting that these beliefs affect the ability of tax reforms to spur economic growth.
我们考察了对税收政策的信念如何影响企业的投资决策。利用唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)意外当选前后的时期,他大力宣传税收改革,以及减税和就业法案(TCJA),我们发现,对税收政策的预期对投资既有第一时刻(情绪)影响,也有第二时刻(不确定性)影响,这种影响在不同事件和公司之间存在差异。特别是,我们记录了税收政策情绪(不确定性)增强(抑制)了围绕TCJA通过的投资变化,这表明这些信念影响了税收改革刺激经济增长的能力。
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引用次数: 3
Fair Corporate Taxation: Why and How International Tax Rules Need to Be Changed 公平公司税:为什么以及如何改变国际税收规则
Pub Date : 2020-11-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3729352
Séverine Picard
Tax avoidance harms public budgets as is estimated that at least 20 per cent of corporate income tax revenues are lost due to such corporate behaviour. Furthermore, the business models used by multinational enterprises to reduce tax payments (such as letterbox-type practices) have a detrimental impact on productive investment, on workers’ involvement in management’s decisions and on collective bargaining for a fair share of the wealth. Indeed, current international tax rules do not take into account the complex business and tax strategies in which multinationals are engaged at global level. First, a move towards a unitary taxation principle is required, which means that the profits of a multinational should be determined globally and shared out between countries in proportion to the real level of economic activity. Second, a global minimum tax rate should limit tax competition between countries and raise corporate tax revenues. And finally, greater transparency about tax practices, including a breakdown of revenues and profits by country (country-by-country reporting), is needed to enable workers’ representatives to understand the tax practices of their companies.
避税损害公共预算,据估计,至少20%的企业所得税收入因此类企业行为而损失。此外,跨国企业用于减少纳税的商业模式(如信箱式做法)对生产性投资、工人参与管理决策和为公平分享财富而进行的集体谈判产生了有害影响。事实上,目前的国际税收规则并没有考虑到跨国公司在全球范围内参与的复杂的商业和税收战略。首先,需要向单一税收原则迈进,这意味着跨国公司的利润应在全球范围内确定,并在各国之间按实际经济活动水平的比例分配。其次,全球最低税率应该限制国家之间的税收竞争,提高企业税收收入。最后,需要提高税收实践的透明度,包括按国家分列收入和利润(按国家报告),以使工人代表能够了解其公司的税收实践。
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引用次数: 1
An Economic Assessment of the Evolution of the Corporate Tax System in Italy 意大利公司税制度演变的经济评估
Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3710103
Ernesto Zangari
This paper provides an assessment of the evolution of the Italian corporate tax system over the last decade through the computations of new and updated effective tax rates. The analysis takes into account the specificities of Italy’s Allowance for Corporate Equity (ACE) and looks at the evolution of market interest rates to evaluate the effects. It relies on a new method to measure the effect of the limits to the deductibility of the cost of debt. Over the period 2010-2020, the legislative changes led to effective taxation becoming highly volatile. This dynamic was mostly driven by the evolution of the ACE regime. Since 2016, the temporary tax incentives for purchasing machinery greatly reduced the cost of capital. However, since 2019 the provision that phased out the incentives at higher-levels of investment may have lowered their effectiveness for larger firms. The analysis also shows that ACE has better economic properties than the Mini-Ires regime that replaced it temporarily in 2019, in terms of incentive to invest and to increase equity funding.
本文通过计算新的和更新的有效税率,对意大利公司税制度在过去十年中的演变进行了评估。该分析考虑了意大利公司股权补贴(ACE)的特殊性,并考察了市场利率的演变,以评估其影响。它依赖于一种新的方法来衡量债务成本可抵扣性限制的影响。在2010-2020年期间,立法变化导致有效税收变得高度不稳定。这种动态主要是由ACE制度的演变所驱动的。自2016年起,购买机械的临时税收优惠大大降低了资金成本。然而,自2019年以来,逐步取消高投资水平激励措施的条款可能降低了它们对大公司的有效性。分析还表明,在激励投资和增加股权融资方面,ACE比2019年暂时取代的Mini-Ires制度具有更好的经济特性。
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引用次数: 14
The Influence of Corporate Income Taxes on Investment Location: Evidence from Corporate Headquarters Relocations 企业所得税对投资区位的影响:来自企业总部搬迁的证据
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2867298
Travis Chow, Sterling Huang, K. Klassen, Jeffrey Ng
This study examines the effects of jurisdictions’ corporate taxes and other policies on firms’ headquarters (HQ) location decisions. Using changes in state corporate income tax rates across time and states as the setting, we find that a one-percentage-point increase in the HQ state corporate income tax rate increases the likelihood of firms relocating their HQ out of the state by 16.8%, and an equivalent decrease in the HQ state rate decreases the likelihood of HQ relocations by 9.1%. Exploiting the unique tax policy features within the state apportionment system lends strong support to the interpretation that taxation drives this effect. Our analyses also demonstrate that state income tax features affect the destination of the HQ move. We contribute to the literature on corporate decision making by showing how state income taxation affects a real corporate decision that has significant economic consequences for the company and the state. This paper was accepted by Brian Bushee, accounting.
本研究考察了司法管辖区的公司税和其他政策对公司总部选址决策的影响。以不同时期和不同州的企业所得税税率变化为背景,我们发现,总部所在州的企业所得税税率每提高1个百分点,公司将总部迁出该州的可能性就会增加16.8%,而总部所在州的税率每降低1个百分点,总部迁出该州的可能性就会降低9.1%。利用国家分配制度中独特的税收政策特征,为税收驱动这一效应的解释提供了强有力的支持。我们的分析还表明,国家所得税的特点会影响总部的目的地。我们通过展示国家所得税如何影响对公司和国家具有重大经济后果的真实公司决策,为公司决策做出贡献。这篇论文被会计Brian Bushee接受。
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引用次数: 15
Global Firms, National Corporate Taxes: An Evolution of Incompatibility 跨国公司,国家公司税:不相容的演变
Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.5089/9781513556376.001.A001
Shafik Hebous
How did the rise of multinational enterprises (MNEs) put pressure on the prevailing international corporate tax framework? MNEs, and firms with market power, are not new phenomena, nor is the corporate income tax, which dates to the early 20th century. This prompts the question, what is distinctly new (about multinational enterprises)—if anything—that has triggered unprecedented recent concerns about vulnerabilities in international tax arrangements and the taxation of MNEs? This paper presents a set of empirical observations and a synthesis of strands of the literature to answer this question. A key message is that MNEs of the 21st century operate differently from prior periods and have evolved to become global firms—with important tax ramifications. The fragility of international tax arrangements was present at the outset of designing international tax rules, but the challenges have drastically intensified with the global integration of business, the increased trade in hard-to-price services and intangibles, and the rapid growth of the digital economy.
跨国企业(MNEs)的兴起对现行的国际公司税框架造成了怎样的压力?跨国公司和拥有市场力量的公司并不是什么新现象,公司所得税也不是什么新现象,它可以追溯到20世纪初。这就提出了一个问题,什么是(关于跨国企业)明显的新事物——如果有的话——引发了最近前所未有的对国际税收安排和跨国公司税收漏洞的担忧?本文提出了一套实证观察和综合股的文献来回答这个问题。一个关键的信息是,21世纪的跨国公司的运作方式与以往不同,并已发展成为全球性公司——这带来了重要的税收后果。国际税收安排的脆弱性在制定国际税收规则之初就存在,但随着全球商业一体化、难以定价的服务和无形资产贸易的增加以及数字经济的快速增长,挑战急剧加剧。
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引用次数: 0
Tax Avoidance, Tax Risk, and the Volatility of Stock Returns 避税、税务风险和股票收益的波动性
Pub Date : 2020-05-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3613038
Alain A. Krapl, R. Salyer, Reilly White
We explore the effects of tax avoidance and tax risk on stock return volatilities of U.S. firms. We find that firms with very low and very high levels of tax avoidance and firms with high levels of tax risk have more volatile stock returns. We observe that tax avoidance primarily affects stock return volatility through changes in investors’ cash flow expectations; in contrast, tax risk seems to affect stock returns through cash flow and discount rate channels. Furthermore, we find that changes in expected cash flows and discount rates are less offsetting for firms with extreme levels of tax avoidance and high levels of tax risk.
本文探讨了避税和税收风险对美国公司股票收益波动的影响。我们发现,避税水平非常低和非常高的公司以及税收风险水平较高的公司的股票回报波动性更大。我们观察到,避税主要通过改变投资者的现金流预期来影响股票收益波动;相比之下,税收风险似乎通过现金流和贴现率渠道影响股票收益。此外,我们发现预期现金流量和贴现率的变化对极端避税和高税收风险的公司的抵消作用较小。
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引用次数: 0
Tax Aggressiveness in Brazilian Companies with Foreign Capital Participation 外资参与巴西公司的税收侵略性
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3589280
Antonio Lopo Martinez, Clébio Bis
This study explores the relationship between tax aggressiveness and foreign capital participation in Brazilian companies listed on the BM&F BOVESPA from 2010 to 2015, using the concept of tax aggressiveness as a reduction of taxable income through tax management and planning (Chen et al., 2010). Observing that previous studies show a significant relationship between tax aggressiveness and ownership structures, this research seeks to understand whether this relationship is significant if there is foreign capital participation in the company. The sample was composed of Brazilian companies listed on the BM&F BOVESPA. Two metrics of tax aggressiveness were used to investigate this relationship: effective tax rate (ETR) and book-tax difference (BTD). The use of these metrics was inspired in a review on tax research by Hanlon and Heitzman (2010), who concluded that ETR and BTD could capture the reduction of taxable income through tax planning. The results showed no significant relationship between foreign capital participation and tax aggressiveness, demonstrating that the origin of equity capital is not a factor of tax aggressiveness.
本研究探讨了2010年至2015年巴西BM&F BOVESPA上市公司的税收侵略性与外资参与之间的关系,使用税收侵略性的概念作为通过税收管理和规划减少应税收入(Chen et al., 2010)。观察到先前的研究表明税收侵略性和所有权结构之间存在显著关系,本研究试图了解如果公司有外资参与,这种关系是否显著。样本由在巴西工商期货交易所上市的巴西公司组成。税收侵略性的两个指标被用来调查这种关系:有效税率(ETR)和账面税收差异(BTD)。使用这些指标的灵感来自于Hanlon和Heitzman(2010)对税收研究的回顾,他们得出结论,ETR和BTD可以通过税收规划捕捉到应税收入的减少。结果显示,外资参与与税收侵略性之间没有显著关系,这表明权益资本的来源不是税收侵略性的一个因素。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
FEN: Differences in Taxation & Corporate Finance (Topic)
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