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Financial Innovation, Regulation, and Reform 金融创新、监管和改革
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-01-01 DOI: 10.7916/D87M0JFV
C. Calomiris
Financial innovations often respond to regulation by sidestepping regulatory restrictions that would otherwise limit activities in which people wish to engage. Securitization of loans (e.g., credit card receivables, or subprime residential mortgages) is often portrayed, correctly, as having arisen in part as a means of "arbitraging" regulatory capital requirements by booking assets off the balance sheets of regulated banks. Originators of the loans were able to maintain lower equity capital against those loans than they otherwise would have needed to maintain if the loans had been placed on their balance sheets. (1) Capital regulation of securitization invited this form of off-balance-sheet regulatory arbitrage, and did so quite consciously. Several of the capital requirement rules for the treatment of securitized assets originated by banks, and for the debts issued by those conduits and held or guaranteed by banks, were specifically and consciously designed to permit banks to allocate less capital against their risks if they had been held on their balance sheets (Calomiris 2008a). Critics of these capital regulations have rightly pointed to these capital requirements as having contributed to the subprime crisis by permitting banks to maintain insufficient amounts of equity capital per unit of risk undertaken in their subprime holdings. Investment banks were also permitted by capital regulations that were less strict than those applying to commercial banks to engage in subprime-related risk with insufficient budgeting of equity capital. Investment banks faced capital regulations under SEC guidelines that were similar to the more permissive Basel II rules that apply to commercial banks outside the United States. Because those capital regulations were less strict than capital regulations imposed on U.S. banks, investment banks were able to lever their positions snore than commercial banks. Investment banks' use of overnight repurchase agreements as their primary source of finance also permitted them to "ride the yield curve" when using debt to fund their risky asset positions; in that respect, collateralized repos appeared to offer a substitute for low-interest commercial bank deposits. (2) But as the collateral standing behind those repos declined in value and became risky, "haircuts" associated with repo collateral became less favorable, and investment banks were unable to roll over their repos positions, a liquidity risk that added to their vulnerability and made their equity capital positions even more insufficient as risk buffers. There is no doubt that the financial innovations associated with securitization and repo finance were at least in part motivated by regulatory arbitrage. Furthermore, there is no doubt that if on-balance-sheet commercial bank capital regulations had determined the amount of equity budgeted by all subprime mortgage originators, then the leverage ratios of the banking system would not have been as large, and the liquid
金融创新通常通过避开监管限制来应对监管,否则这些限制将限制人们希望参与的活动。贷款证券化(例如,信用卡应收账款或次级住宅抵押贷款)经常被正确地描述为部分作为“套利”监管资本要求的一种手段,通过将资产记在受监管银行的资产负债表之外。这些贷款的发起人能够维持较低的权益资本,而如果这些贷款被放在他们的资产负债表上,他们就需要维持较低的权益资本。(1)资产证券化的资本监管招致了这种表外监管套利,而且是有意识地这样做的。处理由银行发起的证券化资产,以及由这些渠道发行并由银行持有或担保的债务的一些资本要求规则,是专门和有意识地设计的,允许银行在资产负债表上持有的情况下分配较少的资本来应对风险(Calomiris 2008a)。这些资本监管的批评者正确地指出,这些资本要求导致了次贷危机,因为它们允许银行在其持有的次贷所承担的每单位风险中保持不足的股本。投资银行还被允许在没有充分的权益资本预算的情况下,从事与次贷相关的风险。在美国证券交易委员会的指导下,投资银行面临的资本监管类似于适用于美国以外商业银行的更为宽松的《巴塞尔协议II》(Basel II)规定。由于这些资本监管没有对美国银行的资本监管那么严格,投资银行能够比商业银行更有效地杠杆化自己的头寸。投资银行使用隔夜回购协议作为主要融资来源,也使它们能够在利用债务为其风险资产头寸融资时“利用收益率曲线”;在这方面,抵押回购似乎是低利率商业银行存款的替代品。(2)但是,随着这些回购背后的抵押品价值下降并变得有风险,与回购抵押品相关的“削发”变得不那么有利,投资银行无法对其回购头寸进行展期,这种流动性风险增加了它们的脆弱性,并使它们的权益资本头寸更不足以作为风险缓冲。毫无疑问,与证券化和回购融资相关的金融创新,至少在一定程度上是受到监管套利的驱动。此外,毫无疑问,如果表内商业银行资本监管规定了所有次级抵押贷款发起人预算的股本金额,那么银行体系的杠杆率就不会那么高,回购融资的流动性风险也会大大降低,这两者都将有助于减轻金融危机的严重程度。然而,我不同意那些认为次贷危机主要是政府“疏忽的错误”的人的观点,由于现有的表内商业银行资本监管对投资银行和表外渠道承担的风险的应用不足,这使得银行得以逃避监管纪律。相反,次贷危机的主要故事是政府的“操作失误”,这在造成巨大风险和巨额损失、拖垮美国金融体系方面要重要得多。出了什么问题,为什么?次贷危机首先反映了大型金融机构的管理者愿意承担风险,购买定价不合理的金融工具,这使得购买这些工具违背了投资这些工具的机构股东的利益。…
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引用次数: 128
Book Review: The Libertarian Illusion: Ideology, Public Policy, and the Assault on the Common Good 书评:自由主义的幻觉:意识形态、公共政策和对共同利益的攻击
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2009-01-01 DOI: 10.5860/choice.46-2941
J. Kuznicki
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引用次数: 0
Renminbi Exchange Rates and Relevant Institutional Factors 人民币汇率及其相关制度因素
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2008-03-22 DOI: 10.4324/9780203885321.ch3
Y. Gang
In recent years, China has experienced rapid social and economic development. Against this backdrop, growing pressure for renminbi appreciation emerged and China's trade surplus and foreign reserves increased rapidly. This article explains the development of the RMB exchange rate by examining productivity growth and institutional factors, such as the transformation of the foreign exchange rate system and legal reforms to strengthen the hale of law. Development of the Renminbi Exchange Rate On January 1, 1994, China unified the "dual" exchange rate regime into a single one. The official rate before January 1, 1994 was 5.8 RMB per USD and 8.7 RMB per USD after exchange rate unification. Some observers argued that China depreciated the RMB by 40 percent in 1994. However, that argument is a misconception. Before 1994, China was still under the "dual" exchange rate regime, under which 80 percent of the foreign exchange trading volume was at the market rate, and only 20 percent at the official rate. The 8.7 RMB per USD rate was basically the market rate at the end of 1993. During 1993, the supply of foreign exchange mainly consisted of two sources: (1) joint-venture firms that were 'allowed to retain their foreign exchange, and (2) domestic export companies that had excess foreign exchange retained under the foreign exchange retention system. Under the "dual" exchange rate regime, if a firm needed foreign exchange to import, it could obtain foreign exchange through three channels: (1) buy foreign exchange at the market rate, (2) buy a quota from the market and use the quota to purchase foreign exchange at the official rate, and (3) apply for a quota from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) and use the quota to buy foreign exchange at the official rate. The price of a quota was roughly the difference between the official and the market rates. My estimation is that the weighted average of the RMB exchange rate depreciated by 4 percent vis-a-vis the dollar in 1993, compared with the 8.7 RMB per USD as the starting rate of the new regime at the beginning of 1994 (Table 1). The trade surplus in 1994 was very modest, only $5.4 billion. And the trade surplus for 1995-2004 was fairly stable, indicating that the RMB/USD exchange rate was close to its equilibrium level. the appreciation pressure afterward was partly driven by the productivity gains and the institutional reasons explained in this article, and partly by the weakening of U.S. dollar; especially since 2002. Since 1994, China has been promoting market-oriented reform of the RMB exchange rate mechanism. Three stages can be delineated: 1. 1994-96: a single and managed floating exchange rate regime based on market supply and demand. During this period, the nominal BMB/USD exchange rate rose by nearly 5 percent. 2. 1997-2005: after the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis China maintained a stable exchange rate at 8.28 RMB per USD. 3. July 2005-present: China reformed the RMB exchange rate regi
近年来,中国社会经济快速发展。在此背景下,人民币升值压力不断加大,中国贸易顺差和外汇储备迅速增加。本文通过考察生产率增长和制度因素(如汇率制度的转变和加强法制的法律改革)来解释人民币汇率的发展。人民币汇率的发展1994年1月1日,中国将“二元”汇率制度统一为单一汇率制度。1994年1月1日前的官方汇率为1美元兑5.8元人民币,统一汇率后为1美元兑8.7元人民币。一些观察人士认为,中国在1994年将人民币贬值了40%。然而,这种说法是一种误解。1994年以前,中国仍然实行“双轨制”汇率制度,即80%的外汇交易量按市场汇率计算,只有20%按官方汇率计算。1993年底8.7元人民币兑1美元的汇率基本上是市场汇率。1993年期间,外汇供应主要有两种来源:(1)获准保留外汇的合资企业;(2)在外汇保留制度下有多余外汇保留的国内出口企业。在“二元”汇率制度下,如果企业需要进口外汇,可以通过三种渠道获得外汇:(1)按市场汇率购买外汇;(2)从市场上购买配额,用配额按官方汇率购买外汇;(3)向国家外汇管理局申请配额,用配额按官方汇率购买外汇。配额的价格大致是官方汇率和市场汇率之间的差额。我的估计是,1993年人民币兑美元的加权平均汇率贬值了4%,而1994年初新汇率制度开始时的汇率是8.7元人民币兑1美元(表1)。1994年的贸易顺差非常有限,只有54亿美元。1995-2004年的贸易顺差较为稳定,说明人民币兑美元汇率接近均衡水平。之后的升值压力部分是由生产率的提高和本文解释的制度原因驱动的,部分是由美元的疲软驱动的;尤其是自2002年以来。自1994年以来,中国一直在推进人民币汇率形成机制的市场化改革。可以划分为三个阶段:1。1994-96年:实行以市场供求为基础的单一和有管理的浮动汇率制度。在此期间,巴林货币兑美元的名义汇率上升了近5%。2. 1997-2005年:1997-98年亚洲金融危机后,中国将人民币兑美元汇率稳定在8.28。3.2005年7月至今:中国改革人民币汇率形成机制,实行以市场供求为基础,参考一篮子货币,有管理地浮动。新制度的特点是扩大浮动区间,完善即期汇率形成机制,建立远期市场,改革公开市场操作,建立更加市场化的外汇管理机制。2005年7月21日至2007年11月底,人民币对美元累计升值12%。据国际清算银行统计,1994年1月至2002年2月,人民币的名义有效汇率指数上升了40.9%,2002年2月至2005年7月下降了13.1%,2005年7月至2007年11月又上升了2.1%。人民币实际有效汇率指数从1994年1月到2002年2月上升了58%,从2002年2月到2005年7月下降了16.5%,然后又上升了6%。…
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引用次数: 17
Cold Case Files: The Athenian Grain Merchants, 386 B.C 悬案档案:雅典谷物商人,公元前386年
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.976028
Wayne R. Dunham
While most economic analysis of the effects of market power has focused on monopoly power (a single seller of a good) or cartels among sellers, there has always remained some degree of interest in monopsony power (a single buyer) or buying cartels. In the United States there have been antitrust cases involving monopsony and buyer's cartels at least as far back as 1925, and there is continuing interest in the potential for monopsony power in the retail and health care sectors. This paper examines one of the earliest known antitrust or competition policy cases for possible lessons concerning antitrust treatment of monopsony power in the present day. In 388 B.C., grain regulators in Athens, Greece, were attempting to respond to a sharp increase in grain prices. They encouraged grain importers to form a buyers' cartel with the purpose of decreasing the price of imported grain. However, this action resulted in an overall increase in price and the grain merchants soon found themselves on trial for their lives. In this paper the information presented at that trial is used to evaluate the grain merchants' actions and the impact of monopsony on prices and consumption more generally.
虽然大多数对市场力量影响的经济分析都集中在垄断力量(一个商品的单一卖家)或卖家之间的卡特尔上,但对垄断力量(一个买家)或收购卡特尔的兴趣始终存在一定程度。在美国,至少早在1925年就有涉及垄断和买方卡特尔的反垄断案件,人们对零售和医疗保健部门潜在的垄断力量一直很感兴趣。本文考察了已知最早的反垄断或竞争政策案例之一,以期为当今反垄断处理垄断权提供可能的教训。公元前388年,希腊雅典的粮食监管机构正试图应对粮食价格的急剧上涨。他们鼓励粮食进口商组成买方卡特尔,目的是降低进口粮食的价格。然而,这一行动导致了粮价的全面上涨,粮商们很快就发现自己受到了生死审判。本文利用该试验提供的信息来评估粮食商人的行为以及垄断对价格和消费的影响。
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引用次数: 2
The Roadblock to a Sovereign Bankruptcy Law 主权破产法的障碍
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2003-03-22 DOI: 10.7916/D80G3RTV
J. Sachs
Bankruptcy law is a necessary feature of a modern economy, and the principles for a bankruptcy apply whether the debtor happens to be a sovereign or not. The essential point is that markets cannot handle situations of extreme financial distress or debtor-creditor workouts in an efficient manner without a sound legal framework. Indeed, Adam Smith himself was a champion of applying bankruptcy processes to insolvent sovereign debtors, arguing that when the situation warranted it, bankruptcy was a sensible alternative to the chaotic ways that sovereign insolvency was otherwise handled. 1 Thus, the fact that the private financial community continues to oppose a sovereign bankruptcy law is quite unconvincing, especially since an enormous number of countries has had a sovereign workout at some point in history.
破产法是现代经济的必要特征,无论债务人是否为主权国家,破产原则都适用。关键的一点是,如果没有健全的法律框架,市场就无法以有效的方式处理极端金融困境或债务人-债权人重组的情况。事实上,亚当•斯密本人就支持将破产程序应用于资不抵债的主权债务人,他认为,当情况需要时,破产是一种明智的选择,而不是以混乱的方式处理主权破产。因此,私人金融界继续反对主权破产法的事实是相当难以令人信服的,特别是因为历史上有大量国家在某个时候经历过主权破产。
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引用次数: 6
Lessons from Argentina and Brazil 阿根廷和巴西的教训
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2003-03-22 DOI: 10.7916/D802922V
Charles W. Calomiris
What have we learned from the sovereign debt crises in Argentina and Brazil, and what can the United States and the International Monetary Fund do, if anything, to repair the damage, and to avoid similar problems elsewhere? Policy Lessons I would emphasize five policy lessons: * First, in emerging market countries (EMs), monetary policy--or, what amounts to the same thing, exchange rate policy--is often constrained by the need to finance government spending, which underlies the eventual collapse of the exchange rate. * Second, even well-regulated banking systems are highly vulnerable to the risks of fiscal imbalance. * Third, the IMF needs to stop intervening to prevent sovereign defaults when they are necessary. * Fourth, EM debt capacity cannot be captured adequately by the ratio of sovereign debt to GDP. Export growth, and hence the need to follow through on trade reform, is just as important a fundamental determinant of debt repayment as discipline over government spending. * Fifth, "contagion" among sovereign debtors is selective. Fiscal Imbalance and Monetary Collapse Unlike the United States or the European Union, where an independent central bank determines monetary policy, in most EMs, the policies of central banks are often determined by arithmetic--the arithmetic that requires debts to be monetized, because that is the only way that they can be repaid. When government debt grows too fast, the government is unable to repay debt service with future taxes, and the government forces debt monetization to occur. That problem is at the core of every exchange rate collapse of the recent and distant past. Typically, exchange rate depreciation precedes debt monetization because the markets anticipate the inevitable monetization that will occur. Sometimes, fiscal imbalance does not show itself in government accounts. That was true of Brazil in the 1970s, which used off-balance sheet spending to disguise its fiscal imbalance (Brazil often ran an official fiscal surplus 'alongside high inflation in the 1960s and 1970s). Anticipated banking bailouts (which have been costing upward of 20 percent of GDP in the "twin-crises" countries of the past two decades) are the most frequent source of fiscal imbalance in recent crises. But Brazil and Argentina reached their current fiscal difficulties and weak currencies largely in the "old-fashioned way"--by failing to rein in measured government spending programs. In Argentina, government spending grew substantially in the final years of the Menem administration, despite the crescendo of criticism of the debt run-up and the visible need to reform the infamous "coparticipation" system that hampered fiscal reform. And that debt was almost entirely denominated in hard currency, despite the lack of adequate growth in exports. The fiscal side of the liberalization cycle in these and other countries seems to follow a familiar path: liberalization and privatization result in new revenues for government and ebullient e
我们从阿根廷和巴西的主权债务危机中学到了什么?美国和国际货币基金组织(imf)能做些什么(如果有的话)来修复损害,并避免其他地方出现类似的问题?我想强调五个政策教训:*首先,在新兴市场国家(EMs),货币政策——或者说汇率政策——往往受到政府支出融资需求的制约,这是汇率最终崩溃的基础。第二,即使是监管良好的银行体系也极易受到财政失衡风险的影响。*第三,IMF需要在必要时停止干预以防止主权违约。*第四,主权债务与GDP之比无法充分反映新兴市场的债务能力。出口增长,以及因此需要坚持贸易改革,是债务偿还的一个基本决定因素,与政府支出纪律同样重要。*第五,主权债务国之间的“传染”是有选择性的。与由独立的中央银行决定货币政策的美国或欧盟不同,在大多数新兴市场中,中央银行的政策通常是由算术决定的——算术要求债务货币化,因为这是偿还债务的唯一途径。当政府债务增长过快时,政府无法用未来的税收偿还债务,政府就会迫使债务货币化。这个问题是最近和很久以前每一次汇率崩溃的核心问题。通常,汇率贬值先于债务货币化,因为市场预期货币化将不可避免地发生。有时,财政失衡不会在政府账户中体现出来。上世纪70年代的巴西就是这样,它利用表外支出来掩盖财政失衡(上世纪60年代和70年代,巴西经常在高通胀的同时出现官方财政盈余)。预期的银行救助(在过去二十年的“双重危机”国家中,这已经花费了GDP的20%以上)是最近危机中财政失衡最常见的来源。但巴西和阿根廷目前的财政困难和货币疲软主要是通过“老办法”解决的,即未能控制有节制的政府支出计划。在阿根廷,政府支出在梅内姆(Menem)执政的最后几年大幅增长,尽管对债务飙升的批评越来越多,而且显然需要改革阻碍财政改革的臭名昭著的“共同参与”制度。尽管出口缺乏足够的增长,但这些债务几乎全部以硬通货计价。在这些国家和其他国家,自由化周期的财政方面似乎遵循着一条熟悉的道路:自由化和私有化为政府带来新的收入,并对国内生产总值、政府收入和出口的未来增长产生热烈的期望;市场对改革的信心降低了私营部门和公共部门获得外国资本的成本;新兴市场政府无法抗拒赤字,但财政失衡会加剧,并最终追上它们。最初,对这一事实的反应是否认,在多边贷款机构(不仅是国际货币基金组织)的帮助下——里卡多·豪斯曼被著名的拉美债务市场市场分析师沃尔特·莫拉诺(Walter Molano)描述为上世纪90年代中后期阿根廷政府债务的首席推销员,当时豪斯曼是美洲开发银行(IDB)的首席经济学家。然后,国际货币基金组织的“计划”规模扩大,与此同时,国际货币基金组织坚持以反增长的增税作为提供“稳定”的回报。此时,债券收益率上升,市场“分析师”基本上变成了政治预测者:“这种债务互换能给我带来短期利润吗?”…
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引用次数: 15
WHEN WILL ECONOMICS GUIDE IMF AND WORLD BANK REFORMS 经济学何时将指导国际货币基金组织和世界银行的改革
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2000-01-01 DOI: 10.7916/D8CC1961
Charles W. Calomiris
The “Report of the International Financial Institution Advisory Commission” (IFIAC 2000), released in March, is a blueprint for reforming the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and other multilateral development banks. That report, known as the “Meltzer Commission Report” (Allan H. Meltzer was chairman of the IFIAC), was signed by a bipartisan majority of 8 to 3. It has generated its share of criticism from opponents in the commission minority, the Clinton administration, labor unions, and Congress. 1 Since our report was published, it has become clear to me that two separate debates are being waged over the new “global financial architecture.” One is the narrow (visible) debate over the technical aspects of specific proposals for designing mechanisms to achieve well-defined economic objectives. The other is a broader (less visible) debate over whether the IMF, the World Bank, and the other development banks should have narrowly defined economic objectives or alternatively, be used as tools of ad hoc diplomacy. Until we settle that second, broader political debate, we cannot seriously even begin the constructive dialogue over how best to achieve economic objectives. That dialogue is important; our proposals are a starting point for
今年3月发表的《国际金融机构咨询委员会报告》(IFIAC 2000)是改革国际货币基金组织(imf)、世界银行(World Bank)和其他多边开发银行的蓝图。这份报告被称为“梅尔泽委员会报告”(Allan H. Meltzer是IFIAC的主席),两党以8比3的多数通过。它也招致了来自委员会少数派、克林顿政府、工会和国会的批评。1自从我们的报告发表以来,我已经清楚地看到,围绕新的“全球金融架构”正在进行两场独立的辩论。一个是关于设计机制以实现明确的经济目标的具体建议的技术方面的狭隘(可见)辩论。另一个是更广泛的(不太引人注目的)辩论,即国际货币基金组织、世界银行和其他开发银行是否应该狭隘地定义经济目标,或者作为临时外交的工具。在我们解决第二场更广泛的政治辩论之前,我们甚至无法认真地就如何最好地实现经济目标展开建设性对话。这种对话很重要;我们的建议是一个起点
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引用次数: 28
MISES AND HIS UNDERSTANDING OF THE CAPITALIST SYSTEM 米塞斯和他对资本主义制度的理解
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 1999-01-01 DOI: 10.4324/9780203465974.ch9
Israel M. Kirzner, G. Tullock
To someone not familiar with Ludwig von Mises’ understanding of the market, there would, on the surface of Mises’ exposition, appear to be a puzzling tension in that exposition—a tension having to do with some very basic elements of Mises’ position. We shall find that the resolution of this tension is, once it has been explained, fairly obvious, but we shall also find that a careful consideration of this resolution can help us more fully appreciate the uniqueness (and the intellectual integrity) of Mises’ understanding of the capitalist system.
对于那些不熟悉路德维希·冯·米塞斯对市场的理解的人来说,在米塞斯的阐述的表面上,似乎有一种令人困惑的张力——一种与米塞斯立场的一些非常基本的元素有关的张力。我们会发现,这种矛盾的解决,一旦得到解释,是相当明显的,但我们也会发现,仔细考虑这个解决,可以帮助我们更充分地欣赏米塞斯对资本主义制度理解的独特性(和知识完整性)。
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引用次数: 19
Is There a Need for an International Lender of Last Resort 是否需要一个国际最后贷款人
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 1999-01-01 DOI: 10.4324/9780203327586-30
A. Schwartz
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引用次数: 20
THE FUTURE OF THE WTO wto的未来
Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 1999-01-01 DOI: 10.30875/71402755-en
Daniel T. Griswold
Once an obscure international body tucked away in Geneva, Switzerland, the World Trade Organization (WTO) has become almost a household word in the United States today. Its name recognition rose dramatically in fall 1999 when tens of thousands of protestors took over the streets of Seattle at the beginning of the WTO’s November 30–December 3 ministerial meeting. The demonstrators seemed to blame the WTO for undermining all that is good in the world—from democracy and living standards to air quality and sea turtles. The protests were followed later in the week by the collapse of talks among the WTO’s more than 100 members, talks that were supposed to launch a new round of multilateral trade negotiations. This double failure—to persuade hearts and minds outside the negotiating rooms and to achieve consensus within—was an undeniable setback for the WTO and free trade. Events in Seattle invigorated opponents of the WTO, weakened its base of support in Congress, and revived questions about the desirability of trade liberalization itself as a goal of U.S. policy. More so than anytime since its founding, doubts are being raised about the future of the WTO. Those doubts need to be met head-on. Both the WTO and, before it, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade have played an important role in expanding international trade during the post-World War II era, which in turn has helped to spread prosperity to a widening circle of humanity. When representatives of 23 mostly industrialized nations met in 1947 to sign the original General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) treaty, the world economy was still on its knees
世界贸易组织(WTO)曾经是一个隐藏在瑞士日内瓦的默默无闻的国际组织,如今在美国几乎成了一个家喻户晓的词。1999年11月30日至12月3日世贸组织部长级会议开始时,数以万计的抗议者占领了西雅图的街道,世贸组织的知名度急剧上升。示威者似乎指责世贸组织破坏了世界上一切美好的事物——从民主和生活水平到空气质量和海龟。本周晚些时候,抗议活动爆发后,世贸组织100多个成员国之间的谈判破裂,这些谈判本应启动新一轮多边贸易谈判。这种双重失败——既无法在谈判室外说服人心,又无法在谈判室内达成共识——是世贸组织和自由贸易不可否认的挫折。西雅图的事件激发了世贸组织的反对者,削弱了其在国会的支持基础,并重新引发了对贸易自由化本身作为美国政策目标的可取性的质疑。自WTO成立以来,人们对其未来的质疑比以往任何时候都要强烈。我们需要直面这些质疑。世界贸易组织及其前身《关税及贸易总协定》(gatt)在二战后扩大国际贸易方面发挥了重要作用,这反过来又有助于将繁荣传播到更广泛的人类圈子。1947年,当23个主要工业化国家的代表齐聚一堂,签署最初的关税与贸易总协定(GATT)条约时,世界经济仍处于低迷状态
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引用次数: 32
期刊
Cato Journal
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