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Extension of Stein’s Lemmas to General Functions and Distributions 斯坦引理在一般函数和分布中的推广
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i4p77-88
Moawia Alghalith, W. Wong
In this paper, we extend the lemmas in Stein (1973, 1981) and others to include situations in which the variables are dependent and non-normally distributed. There is no restriction on the form of the function, which could be linear or nonlinear, provided that the function is differentiable and the expectation of the derivative of the function exists. Thereafter, we give some examples of nonnormal distributions and nonlinear functions to illustrate the theorems developed in the paper to hold, and show that the assertion of Genest (2020) is incorrect. In addition, we discuss applications of using the theorems in decision sciences.
在本文中,我们扩展了Stein(1973,1981)和其他人的引理,以包括变量相关和非正态分布的情况。函数的形式没有限制,可以是线性的,也可以是非线性的,只要函数是可微的,并且函数导数的期望存在。然后,我们给出了一些非正态分布和非线性函数的例子来说明本文中发展的定理是成立的,并证明了Genest(2020)的断言是不正确的。此外,我们还讨论了这些定理在决策科学中的应用。
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引用次数: 1
Time-Varying Spillovers between Currency and Stock Markets in the USA: Historical Evidence From More than Two Centuries 美国货币和股票市场的时变溢出效应:两个多世纪以来的历史证据
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i4p44-76
Semei Coronado, Rangan Gupta, Besma Hkiri, O. Rojas
In this paper, we analyze time-varying causality between the dollar-pound exchange rate and S&P 500 returns over the monthly period of September, 1791 to September, 2019. Based on a Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Multivariate Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heterosckedasticity (DCC-MGARCH) framework, we find that evidence of unidirectional causality between the two returns is in general weak, and primarily restricted to the period following the breakdown of the Bretton Woods agreement. However, instantaneous spillovers across the returns of these two markets is quite strong, which in turn tends to suggest the existence of nonsynchronous trading and also high-frequency causal dependency, with the latter confirmed based on daily data covering 3 January 1900 – 4 October 2019. Moreover, the underlying DCC reveals that there is actually portfolio diversification opportunities for investors. Finally, an analysis of the second moments reveal much stronger evidence of volatility spillovers between these two assets, when compared to the return linkages. This result has important implications from the perspective of policy making aiming to reduce the impact of uncertainty on the real economy.
在本文中,我们分析了1791年9月至2019年9月期间美元兑英镑汇率与标准普尔500指数回报率之间随时间变化的因果关系。基于动态条件相关-多元广义自回归条件异方差(DCC-MGARCH)框架,我们发现两种回报之间单向因果关系的证据通常很弱,并且主要局限于布雷顿森林协议破裂后的时期。然而,这两个市场回报的瞬时溢出效应相当强,这反过来往往表明存在非同步交易和高频因果依赖,后者基于1900年1月3日至2019年10月4日的每日数据得到证实。此外,潜在的DCC表明,投资者实际上有投资组合多样化的机会。最后,对第二时刻的分析显示,与回报联系相比,这两种资产之间存在波动性溢出效应的证据要强得多。这一结果对于制定旨在减少不确定性对实体经济影响的政策具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 5
Does Political Dominance Impact Economic Inequality? 政治优势影响经济不平等吗?
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i1p121-149
H. Ryu, D. Slottje
This paper examines the relationship between political dominance and economic inequality in the U.S. for the years 1947-2017. Conventional wisdom suggests that when Democrats control Congress and the Presidency, they will pursue policy goals that are inequality reducing through government actions. Republican controlled Congresses and presidencies are presumed to pursue economic growth and limited government intervention policies. However, are these beliefs true? Economic inequality is a broad term with various interpretations. In this paper we adopt a different approach. We consider the distribution of utility that individuals possess, while understanding that of course this depends in part on their income levels. We do find that Democratic presidential administrations correlate with lowering economic inequality and when Republican presidents hold the White House this correlates with increasing levels of economic inequality. However, we find that dominance by a given party in Congress has a negligible impact.
本文考察了1947年至2017年美国政治主导地位与经济不平等之间的关系。传统观点认为,当民主党控制国会和总统职位时,他们将追求通过政府行动减少不平等的政策目标。共和党控制的国会和总统被认为会追求经济增长和有限的政府干预政策。然而,这些信念是真的吗?经济不平等是一个有着多种解释的广义术语。在本文中,我们采用了一种不同的方法。我们考虑个人拥有的效用分配,同时理解这当然部分取决于他们的收入水平。我们确实发现,民主党总统执政与经济不平等程度的降低有关,而共和党总统执政与经济不平等程度的增加有关。然而,我们发现某一政党在国会的主导地位的影响可以忽略不计。
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引用次数: 1
The US Term Structure and Return Volatility in Global REIT Markets 全球房地产投资信托基金市场中的美国期限结构和收益波动
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i3p84-109
Rıza Demirer, Rangan Gupta, Asli Yuksel, Aydin Yuksel
This paper examines the information content of the U.S. term structure of interest rates on the market for real estate investment trusts (REITs) by decomposing the term structure of U.S. Treasury yields into two components that reflect the expectations factor and the maturity premium. We show that the expectations factor component of the U.S yield curve has significant explanatory power over return volatility in REIT stocks, both in the U.S. and globally, even after controlling for stock market trading activity. The expectations factor is generally found to have a positive effect on REIT market volatility, more significantly for the U.S. and Japanese REITs, highlighting the role of global funding conditions (via expected short rates) on return fluctuations in real estate markets. Comparing the findings for the pre- and post-global crisis periods, however, we find that the U.S. term structure has largely lost its explanatory power over global REIT markets, implied by largely insignificant effects during the post-global crisis period. The findings highlight the changing dynamics in REIT investments in the aftermath of the 2018 global credit crunch, possibly due to the slowdown of investments in the real estate sector globally, and suggest that investors will have to focus more on the idiosyncratic risk factors that drive these markets.
本文通过将美国国债收益率的期限结构分解为反映预期因素和期限溢价的两个组成部分,考察了房地产投资信托基金(REITs)市场上美国利率期限结构的信息含量。我们表明,即使在控制股票市场交易活动之后,美国收益率曲线的预期因素组成部分对REIT股票的回报波动具有显著的解释力,无论是在美国还是在全球。预期因素通常对房地产投资信托基金市场波动有积极影响,对美国和日本的房地产投资信托基金影响更为显著,这凸显了全球融资条件(通过预期短期利率)对房地产市场回报波动的作用。然而,比较全球危机前后时期的研究结果,我们发现美国期限结构在很大程度上失去了对全球REIT市场的解释力,这意味着在全球危机后时期的影响基本上不显著。调查结果突显了2018年全球信贷紧缩后房地产投资信托基金(REIT)投资动态的变化,这可能是由于全球房地产行业投资放缓,并表明投资者将不得不更多地关注推动这些市场的特殊风险因素。
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引用次数: 0
Summary of Advances in Decision Sciences (ADS) – 2020 决策科学进展综述(ADS) - 2020
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i4p89-100
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引用次数: 1
Net Interest Margin of Commercial Banks in Vietnam 越南商业银行净息差
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i1p1-27
Nguyen Duy Suu, Thu-Quang Luu, Kim-Hung Pho, M. McAleer
The paper investigates the factors that affect the net interest margin (NIM) of commercial banks (CBs) in Vietnam between 2008 and 2018. We examine secondary data of CBs with 308 observations during the period 2008-2018, and apply a range of investigative methods to confirm the empirical findings. The results show that operating expenses and credit risk have a positive impact on NIM, whereas the level of risk aversion, quality of management, income from trading, and the proportion of deposits have negative impacts on NIM. The empirical findings offer suggestions which should help bank management to identify the factors affecting the marginal interest rate to apply suitable policies in supervising CBs in Vietnam.
本文研究了2008年至2018年越南商业银行净息差(NIM)的影响因素。我们研究了2008-2018年期间308次观测的次生数据,并应用了一系列调查方法来证实实证结果。结果表明,经营费用和信用风险对企业净资产收益率有正向影响,风险规避水平、管理质量、交易收益和存款比例对企业净资产收益率有负向影响。实证研究结果有助于银行管理层识别影响边际利率的因素,从而在监管越南的商业银行时采取合适的政策。
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引用次数: 12
Impact of Board Characteristics and State Ownership on Dividend Policy in Vietnam 越南董事会特征和国有制对股利政策的影响
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i4p1-34
Dang-Khoa Duong, T. Phan, Kim-Hung Pho, M. McAleer
The relationship between board characteristics and state ownership on dividend policy has been carefully examined in the literature in developed and emerging markets. This paper would seem to be the first to analyse the impacts of board gender diversity and state ownership in the Vietnam market for the following: (1) the number of female directors on the boards of directors is about 25%, which is the highest among South-East Asian countries; and (2) Vietnam has not fully transformed into a market economy, so the state ownership in the listed firm is apparent. Therefore, it is worth trying to examine the impacts of board gender diversity and state ownership on dividend policy in Vietnam. This paper illustrates that the female CEO and female CEO duality decrease the dividend ratio, while chairwomen tend to use dividend ratio as a tool to manage the company. Moreover, Boards of Directors (BODs) with more than three female members usually decrease the dividend payout ratio. The empirical findings are consistent with agency theory, as managers increase payouts to reduce free cash flow and agency costs in firms. The results also indicate that there is an inverse relationship between state ownership and the dividend payout ratio. It is due to higher state ownership allows firms to access external debts easily, so these firms pay high dividends to reduce agency costs. Moreover, governments perceive dividends from holding capital in listed firms as a source of revenue for the state budget. Therefore, firms with higher state ownership are more likely to increase dividend payouts.
在发达市场和新兴市场的文献中,对董事会特征和国有制对股利政策的影响关系进行了仔细的研究。本文似乎是第一个分析董事会性别多样性和国有所有权对越南市场的影响的文章,原因如下:(1)越南董事会中女性董事的数量约为25%,是东南亚国家中最高的;(2)越南尚未完全转变为市场经济,因此上市公司的国有制是显而易见的。因此,研究越南董事会性别多样性和国有所有权对股利政策的影响是值得尝试的。本文阐述了女性CEO和女性CEO的二元性降低了股息率,而女董事长倾向于将股息率作为管理公司的工具。此外,女性成员超过三名的董事会通常会降低派息率。实证研究结果与代理理论一致,认为管理者通过增加支出来减少企业的自由现金流和代理成本。结果还表明,国有制与股息支付率之间存在负相关关系。这是由于较高的国有制使企业更容易获得外债,因此这些企业支付高股息以降低代理成本。此外,政府将持有上市公司资本的股息视为国家预算收入的一个来源。因此,国有企业更有可能增加股息支付。
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引用次数: 2
Review of Matrix Theory with Applications in Education and Decision Sciences 矩阵理论及其在教育与决策科学中的应用综述
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i1p28-69
N. Hau, T. T. Tình, Hoa Anh Tuong, W. Wong
Matrix theory plays a very important role in teaching Mathematics and solving mathematical problems. Studying the theory of matrix can help academics, practitioners, and students solve many problems in Engineering, Econometrics, Finance, Economics, Optimization, Decision Sciences, and many other areas. To review the matrix theory with applications, in this paper we first review the theory of matrix. We then discuss how to build up some mathematical, financial, economic, and statistical models by using matrix theory and discuss the applications by using the theory of matrix in Decision Sciences and other related areas like Mathematics, Economics, Finance, Statistics, and Education with real-life examples.
矩阵理论在数学教学和解决数学问题中起着非常重要的作用。研究矩阵理论可以帮助学者、实践者和学生解决工程、计量经济学、金融学、经济学、最优化、决策科学和许多其他领域的许多问题。为了回顾矩阵理论及其应用,本文首先回顾了矩阵理论。然后,我们讨论如何利用矩阵理论建立一些数学、金融、经济和统计模型,并通过实际例子讨论矩阵理论在决策科学和其他相关领域(如数学、经济、金融、统计和教育)中的应用。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis of Bus Commuting Time of High School Students in Taichung City, Taiwan 台中市中学生巴士通勤时间分析
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i2p167-189
Y. Lien, Jing-Doo Wang, S. Pan, Cheng-Yuan Ho, S. Liao
Most high school students in the metropolitan areas of Taiwan commute to school by public transportation. Due to the great pressure of academic workload, the time spent on commuting is an unbearable burden. In this study, by using both field study and the analysis based on the Taichung City Traffic Big Data database, we analyzed the bus journeying behavior of high school students of Taichung City on their school commuting. Our study results will be provided to the city government and high schools as a reference to support their transportation policy making. The results of the study show that, with the exception of a very small number of students, most students ridded less than one hour. It took less time to go to school in the morning and more time to get home in the afternoon. We also provided descriptive statistics on the commuting time of the main commuters of each school. The results of big data analysis was verified by the field observation without any obvious inconsistency, which lays an empirical basis for further use of big data analysis in the future.
台湾大都市区的高中学生大多乘公共交通工具上学。由于巨大的学业压力,通勤时间是一种难以承受的负担。本研究采用实地调查与台中市交通大数据数据库分析相结合的方法,分析台中市高中生在学校通勤中的公交出行行为。我们的研究结果将提供给市政府和高中作为参考,以支持他们制定交通政策。研究结果表明,除了极少数学生外,大多数学生的学习时间都不到一个小时。早上去学校花的时间更少,下午回家花的时间更多。我们还提供了各学校主要通勤者的通勤时间的描述性统计。现场观测验证了大数据分析结果,无明显不一致现象,为今后进一步运用大数据分析奠定了经验基础。
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引用次数: 1
Revisiting the Role of Gender in Health Taxonomy: Evidence from the Elderly in India 性别在健康分类中的作用:来自印度老年人的证据
Q2 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.47654/v24y2020i2p104-133
D. Ghosh, Jaydeep Sengupta, A. Tiwari
Considering the unprecedented population aging problem and health-related difficulties in India, the study attempts to explore the health-related discrepancies among male and female elderly, with the help of a composite health indicator. The composite health indicator is formulated using the underlying characteristics of different health dimensions and expressed by a single health index as the representative of the overall health status of the elderly. Findings suggest that individual characteristics like, education and marital status have the greater exploratory power of gender health difference than the household characteristics. Socioeconomic variables like education levels, social groups, religious groups and geographic region influence almost similarly in constructing overall health of elderly across gender, however, almost after a decade the health difficulties has accelerated among the higher income classes both for men and women elderly.
考虑到印度前所未有的人口老龄化问题和健康相关困难,本研究试图借助一个综合健康指标来探讨男性和女性老年人在健康相关方面的差异。综合健康指标是利用不同健康维度的基本特征制定的,用单一健康指数表示,代表老年人的整体健康状况。研究发现,教育程度、婚姻状况等个体特征对性别健康差异的探索力大于家庭特征。教育水平、社会群体、宗教团体和地理区域等社会经济变量对不同性别老年人整体健康状况的影响几乎相似,然而,几乎在十年之后,高收入阶层的男性和女性老年人的健康问题加速了。
{"title":"Revisiting the Role of Gender in Health Taxonomy: Evidence from the Elderly in India","authors":"D. Ghosh, Jaydeep Sengupta, A. Tiwari","doi":"10.47654/v24y2020i2p104-133","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.47654/v24y2020i2p104-133","url":null,"abstract":"Considering the unprecedented population aging problem and health-related difficulties in India, the study attempts to explore the health-related discrepancies among male and female elderly, with the help of a composite health indicator. The composite health indicator is formulated using the underlying characteristics of different health dimensions and expressed by a single health index as the representative of the overall health status of the elderly. Findings suggest that individual characteristics like, education and marital status have the greater exploratory power of gender health difference than the household characteristics. Socioeconomic variables like education levels, social groups, religious groups and geographic region influence almost similarly in constructing overall health of elderly across gender, however, almost after a decade the health difficulties has accelerated among the higher income classes both for men and women elderly.","PeriodicalId":38875,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Decision Sciences","volume":"24 1","pages":"104-133"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70849045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Advances in Decision Sciences
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