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Wage-rise contract and mixed Cournot duopoly competition with profit-maximizing and socially concerned firms 与利润最大化和社会关注企业的工资上涨合同和混合古诺双寡头竞争
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.1142/s2737566822500025
K. Ohnishi
This paper investigates a Cournot game model with a nonlinear demand function where a profit-maximizing firm competes against a socially concerned firm. The timing of the game is as follows. In stage one, each firm non-cooperatively decides whether to offer a wage-rise contract policy as a strategic commitment device. In stage two, after observing the rival’s decision in stage one, each firm non-cooperatively chooses its actual output. The paper presents the equilibrium solutions of the model.
本文研究了一个具有非线性需求函数的古诺博弈模型,其中利润最大化企业与社会关注企业竞争。比赛的时间安排如下。在第一阶段,各企业非合作地决定是否提供加薪合同政策作为战略承诺手段。在第二阶段,在观察了竞争对手在第一阶段的决策后,每个企业都非合作地选择了自己的实际产出。本文给出了该模型的平衡解。
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引用次数: 1
Understanding Startup Valuation and its Impact on Startup Ecosystem 理解创业价值及其对创业生态系统的影响
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2022-0020
Ramesh Menon, Leena James
Abstract Startups play a substantial role in the economic growth of a nation, by introducing new technologies, ground-breaking innovation, creating jobs, etc. A couple of decades back, it was extremely difficult to start a business, but today new businesses pop up every day, all around the world. Recognizing the importance of a startup, governments across the globe are doing their best to provide an atmosphere where startups can bloom. Despite its importance and all the support, the startup failure rate is at 90%; about 10% of startups fail in the first year and 70% fail in two to five years. The startup boom saw the emergence of alternative sources of funding like Venture Capitalist, Angel Investors, etc. These investors (Venture Capitalist, Angel Investors, etc.) played a crucial role in startup success by providing easy access to funds which is a critical and scarce resource for any founder. Traditionally business success is linked with sustainable profitability but in the startup world most used method to define success is valuation. Based on CB Insights research, as of January 2022, there are more than 900 unicorns (startup with a valuation of over $1 billion) around the world and of these unicorns less than 10% are profitable. It’s difficult to explain/comprehend how startups’ which are neither profitable nor foresee profitability in near future are valued higher than traditional business with stable profitability. Current valuation methods have impacted the startup ecosystem. Today, founders start their business with exit in mind, the focus of founders is on growth/scale rather than profitability. There is a school of thought that believes that such valuations will soon result in the bursting of the startup bubble just like the dotcom bubble seen in late 1990s. The focus of this paper is to investigate the techniques used by investors for startup valuation and how these techniques are impacting the startup ecosystem and its founders. The paper looks at all stages of the investment cycle, from seed to IPO or takeover and understands the process of valuation at each stage and how it impacts all stakeholders in the ecosystem.
摘要初创企业通过引入新技术、突破性创新、创造就业机会等,在一个国家的经济增长中发挥着重要作用。几十年前,创业极其困难,但今天,世界各地每天都有新企业涌现。认识到创业公司的重要性,全球各国政府都在尽最大努力为创业公司提供一个蓬勃发展的氛围。尽管它的重要性和所有的支持,但启动失败率为90%;大约10%的创业公司在第一年失败,70%在两到五年内失败。创业热潮中出现了其他资金来源,如风险资本家、天使投资者等。这些投资者(风险资本家、Angel Investors等)通过提供方便的资金渠道,在创业成功中发挥了至关重要的作用,而资金对任何创始人来说都是关键和稀缺的资源。传统上,企业的成功与可持续盈利能力有关,但在初创企业界,定义成功的最常用方法是估值。根据CB Insights的研究,截至2022年1月,全球有900多家独角兽(估值超过10亿美元的初创公司),其中盈利的独角兽不到10%。很难解释/理解那些既不盈利也没有预见到在不久的将来盈利的初创公司如何比盈利稳定的传统企业估值更高。目前的估值方法已经影响了创业生态系统。如今,创始人在创业时考虑到了退出,创始人的重点是增长/规模,而不是盈利能力。有一种学派认为,这样的估值将很快导致创业泡沫的破灭,就像20世纪90年代末的网络泡沫一样。本文的重点是调查投资者用于初创企业估值的技术,以及这些技术如何影响初创企业生态系统及其创始人。本文着眼于投资周期的各个阶段,从种子到IPO或收购,了解每个阶段的估值过程,以及它如何影响生态系统中的所有利益相关者。
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引用次数: 1
The Performance of Option Pricing Models Estimating the Marketability Discount in a Pre-IPO Real-World Data Setting: Evidence from Europe 在Pre-IPO真实世界数据设定下,期权定价模型估计可售性折扣的表现:来自欧洲的证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2021-0020
Stefan Otto Grbenic
Abstract Valuation analysts adjust prices of private firm’s stock downward from their fully marketable counterparts, reflecting the private firms’ lower level of marketability. This discount for lack of marketability can be substantial in magnitude. This study examines the performance (according to bias and accuracy employing estimation error methodology) of seven popular option pricing models in generating discount estimates to coincide with empirically observed discount benchmarks (based on the pre-IPO methodology) in European Union member countries over the period 2004 until 2018. The results allow for the general conclusion that some option pricing models are superior in most settings, coinciding with their individual benefits and deficiencies. The detailed analysis indicates that (i) the superiority of these option pricing models holds for a wide range of periods of assumed restricted marketability, (ii) segmenting discount benchmarks according to their size improves the performance of the option pricing models, (iii) segmenting discount benchmarks according to both, the underlying volatility of stock returns and dividend yields, does not improve the performance of the option pricing models, and (iv) IPO underperformance has no material impact on relative option pricing model’s performance.
摘要估值分析师将民营企业的股票价格从完全可上市的股票价格下调,反映出民营企业的可上市性水平较低。这种由于缺乏适销性而造成的折扣可能是相当大的。本研究考察了2004年至2018年期间欧盟成员国七种流行的期权定价模型在产生贴现估计时的表现(根据偏差和采用估计误差方法的准确性),以符合经验观察到的贴现基准(基于ipo前的方法)。研究结果表明,某些期权定价模型在大多数情况下都是优越的,这与它们各自的优势和不足相吻合。详细分析表明:(1)这些期权定价模型的优势在假定的有限可售性的大范围内保持不变;(2)根据其规模分割贴现基准提高了期权定价模型的性能;(3)根据股票收益率和股息收益率的潜在波动率分割贴现基准并没有提高期权定价模型的性能。(四)IPO表现不佳对相对期权定价模型的绩效没有实质性影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Proper Treatment of Cash Holdings in DCF Valuation Theory and Practice DCF估值中现金持有量的正确处理理论与实践
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2022-0009
James L. Canessa, G. Jarrell
Abstract The discounted cash flow (“DCF”) model is widely used for valuing corporate assets. But valuable assets that do not generate cash flows will be missed by the DCF approach. Because cash interest income is generally not included in the projected net cash flows of operating assets, the value of cash is regarded as a non-operating asset whose value must be added to the DCF enterprise value. Unfortunately, it has become standard practice on Wall Street and for the courts to exclude some amount of cash from non-operating assets on the basis that it will be used to finance the immediate operations of the business. The exclusion of so-called “operating” or “working-capital” cash is widely accepted as necessary and is recommended in virtually all valuation texts and treatises. We disagree and show that all cash should generally be added as a non-operating asset, except in unique circumstances where “wasting cash” is not earning a fair market return. We explain that excluding operating cash is correct only if either the interest income on cash is included in the net cash flows projections used to compute DCF value, or if the specific (near-term) operating expenses that will be covered by operating cash are excluded from the net cash flow projections. In either case, the full economic benefits of owning operating cash are fully reflected in the DCF enterprise value of the company, causing the DCF value to be higher by the exact amount of operating cash that is excluded. We call this the symmetry principle of operating cash. In practice, neither condition is normally met, so that all cash should generally be treated as a non-operating asset.
贴现现金流(discounted cash flow,简称DCF)模型被广泛用于企业资产估值。但是,不产生现金流的有价值资产将被DCF方法忽略。由于现金利息收入一般不包括在经营性资产的预计净现金流量中,因此现金的价值被视为非经营性资产,其价值必须加到DCF企业价值中。不幸的是,这已经成为华尔街和法院的标准做法,从非经营性资产中排除一定数量的现金,理由是这些现金将用于为企业的直接运营提供资金。排除所谓的“经营”或“营运资本”现金被广泛认为是必要的,并且在几乎所有估值文本和论文中都被建议。我们不同意并表明所有现金通常应作为非经营性资产添加,除非在“浪费现金”无法获得公平市场回报的特殊情况下。我们解释说,排除经营性现金是正确的,只有当现金的利息收入包括在用于计算DCF值的净现金流量预测中,或者将由经营性现金覆盖的特定(近期)经营费用从净现金流量预测中排除。在这两种情况下,拥有经营性现金的全部经济效益都充分体现在公司的DCF企业价值中,导致DCF值比排除在外的经营性现金的确切数额高。我们称之为经营性现金的对称原则。在实践中,这两个条件通常都不满足,因此所有现金通常应被视为非经营性资产。
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引用次数: 0
Relative Valuation of Private Held Companies: Valuation Multiples in the Czech Brewing Industry 私人控股公司的相对估值:捷克酿酒业的估值倍数
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2021-0023
M. Drabek
Abstract This article focuses on the topic of the relative valuation from the perspective of non-publicly traded companies and the determination of industry multiples allowing the subsequent application of this approach to specific industries. I chose the Czech brewing industry as the target industry, represented by the 50 most important entities (covering more than 99% of the industry’s turnover). Due to the fact that no market value data are available for this type of company, I first used an income valuation approach – the discounted cash flow (DCF) method to assess the market value of each company in the sample. I then quantified valuation multiples of P/E, EV/EBIT, EV/EBITDA, P/S, EV/S, P/BV, and EV/IC for each company, from which I determined industry statistics. I verified their suitability for use in the relative valuation approach and compared them with the results of existing studies on the most commonly used valuation approaches in the Czech Republic. Furthermore, I compared my own calculations of industry multiples for non-publicly traded companies with available data on industry multiples of publicly-traded companies in the brewing industry across Europe. The results of the comparison show that these multiples are on average lower for non-publicly traded companies than for listed companies.
摘要本文从非公开上市公司的角度出发,重点讨论了相对估值的主题,以及行业倍数的确定,从而使该方法能够随后应用于特定行业。我选择捷克酿酒行业作为目标行业,以50个最重要的实体为代表(占行业营业额的99%以上)。由于这类公司没有可用的市场价值数据,我首先使用了收入评估方法——现金流折现法(DCF)来评估样本中每家公司的市场价值。然后,我量化了每家公司的市盈率、EV/EBIT、EV/EBITDA、P/S、EV/S、P/BV和EV/IC的估值倍数,并据此确定了行业统计数据。我验证了它们在相对估价方法中的适用性,并将其与捷克共和国最常用估价方法的现有研究结果进行了比较。此外,我将自己对非公开上市公司行业倍数的计算与欧洲酿酒行业公开上市公司的行业倍数的可用数据进行了比较。比较结果表明,非上市公司的这些倍数平均低于上市公司。
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引用次数: 1
THE CHANGING NIGERIAN MARKETING ENVIRONMENT: AN ASSESSMENT OF CONSUMER BEHAVIOR, GOVERNMENT ROLE AND CRITICISMS 不断变化的尼日利亚营销环境:对消费者行为、政府角色和批评的评估
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737566821500080
Bello Ayuba
The purpose of this study is to examine how the changing Nigerian marketing environment affects consumer behavior with emphasis on the role of government and the criticisms that follow. A total of 323 questionnaires were distributed to the respondents cutting across consumers of various categories of products in the Nigerian manufacturing sector including employees and government officials of business regulatory agencies in the 36 States of the six geo-political zones of the Nigerian Federation including Abuja, the Federal Capital Territory. The study adopted simple random sampling technique to select the sample of the study. The study was analyzed using descriptive statistics, Chi-square and multiple linear regression analysis and qualitative descriptive method to help in achieving the research objectives. The study revealed that changes brought about by the environment are caused by several macro-environmental factors such as economic, technological, socio-cultural, legal/political and international factors which have significant effect on consumers’ buying characteristics (social, cultural, personal and psychological) which subsequently affect consumers’ satisfaction and purchase decision. Economic and legal/political variables were found to exhibit the most significant impact while the technological variable exhibits the least impact.
本研究的目的是研究如何不断变化的尼日利亚营销环境影响消费者的行为,强调政府的作用和随之而来的批评。总共向受访者分发了323份调查问卷,涉及尼日利亚制造业各类产品的消费者,包括尼日利亚联邦六个地缘政治区36个州(包括联邦首都地区阿布贾)的商业监管机构的雇员和政府官员。本研究采用简单随机抽样技术选择研究样本。本研究采用描述性统计、卡方和多元线性回归分析以及定性描述方法进行分析,以帮助实现研究目标。研究表明,环境带来的变化是由经济、技术、社会文化、法律/政治和国际等几个宏观环境因素引起的,这些因素对消费者的购买特征(社会、文化、个人和心理)产生重大影响,进而影响消费者的满意度和购买决策。经济和法律/政治变量显示出最显著的影响,而技术变量显示出最小的影响。
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引用次数: 0
CHANGES IN CAREER PREFERENCES DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC: A STUDY OF BUSINESS UNDERGRADUATE STUDENTS IN BANGLADESH COVID-19大流行期间职业偏好的变化:对孟加拉国商科学本科学生的研究
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737566821500109
M. R. Khan, Sumaiya Binte Ekram Esha
Purpose: This study attempts to investigate the change in career preference of business undergraduates of Bangladesh due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Design/Methodology: This study is an observational study, where 620 respondents’ data are collected and analyzed. Percentages of career preference changes and reasons for career preference changes of business undergraduates due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic are analyzed based on Dhaka, Bangladesh. The paired sample [Formula: see text]-test is used to define the significance of this study. Findings: Most of the preferred fields by the respondents in the coming years are MNCs and the banking sector. However, because of the major consequences of COVID-19, graduates plan to change their careers. More than average, all respondents are planning to change their career preferences to government services and business. The main reasons for the career preference of business graduates before COVID-19 were financial benefits and compensation, social status, and good career opportunities. Now they want a safe and secure source of income for their families and for themselves. Practical Implications: The results of the study can be useful for both academics in their quest to guide students in changes in career preferences and for governments and practitioners to understand the future career preferences of business graduates.
目的:本研究试图调查孟加拉国商科本科生在持续的COVID-19大流行中职业偏好的变化。设计/方法:本研究为观察性研究,收集并分析了620名受访者的数据。以孟加拉国达卡为例,分析了持续的COVID-19大流行导致的商科学生职业偏好变化的百分比和职业偏好变化的原因。使用配对样本[公式:见文]检验来定义本研究的显著性。调查结果:受访者在未来几年最青睐的领域是跨国公司和银行业。然而,由于新冠肺炎的严重后果,毕业生们计划转行。超过平均水平的受访者计划将他们的职业偏好转向政府服务和商业。新冠肺炎疫情前,商科毕业生选择职业的主要原因是经济利益和薪酬、社会地位和良好的就业机会。现在他们想要一个安全可靠的收入来源,为他们的家庭和自己。实践意义:本研究的结果对学者指导学生职业偏好的变化,以及政府和从业人员了解商科学生未来的职业偏好都有一定的参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
PATIENTS’ TRIO NEED SATISFACTION: A GAP ANALYSIS BETWEEN EXPECTATIONS AND PERCEPTIONS 患者的三重奏需要满足:期望和感知之间的差距分析
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737566821500079
S. Islam, Nazlida Muhamad
Healthcare improvement relating to basic hospital service attributes is one of the most fundamental driving forces to uplifting in economic and social transition for developing countries in an emerging context. The purpose of this paper is to measure patients’ trio need satisfaction toward doctor service quality (DSQ), nurse caring quality (NCQ), and hospital environment quality (HEQ) and compare the effects of perceived, expected, and service quality gap on patient satisfaction. Multiple regression analysis was used to explain the patient satisfaction. The result shows that the perceived service quality (67.3%) and the service quality gap (50.8%) can better explain patient satisfaction than the expected service quality (3.0%). Both perception and gap model show that DSQ, NCQ, and HEQ are significant predictors of patient satisfaction, where NCQ is the most important dimension in explaining patient satisfaction. This study focuses on patient need satisfaction research by being one of the few empirical studies relating to the most basic hospital service quality attributes, contributing to the development of hospital service quality in a developing context of Bangladesh.
与医院基本服务属性相关的医疗保健改善是在新兴背景下促进发展中国家经济和社会转型的最根本动力之一。本研究旨在测量病患对医生服务品质(DSQ)、护士关怀品质(NCQ)和医院环境品质(HEQ)的三重需求满意度,并比较感知、期望和服务品质差距对病患满意度的影响。采用多元回归分析对患者满意度进行解释。结果表明,感知服务质量(67.3%)和服务质量差距(50.8%)比预期服务质量(3.0%)更能解释患者满意度。感知模型和差距模型均表明,DSQ、NCQ和HEQ是患者满意度的显著预测因子,其中NCQ是解释患者满意度的最重要维度。本研究侧重于患者需求满意度研究,是为数不多的与最基本的医院服务质量属性相关的实证研究之一,有助于孟加拉国发展中国家医院服务质量的发展。
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引用次数: 0
FREE CASH FLOW, MANAGERIAL OWNERSHIP, AND AGENCY COST: A NONLINEAR EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIAN QUOTED CONSUMER AND INDUSTRIAL GOODS FIRMS 自由现金流、管理层所有权和代理成本:来自尼日利亚消费品和工业品上市公司的非线性证据
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737566821500110
Jibril Ibrahim Yero, Nuhu Abubakar, Aisha Muhamud Hamman, Sani Saidu
This study focuses on a nonlinear approach in assessing the effect of free cash flow and managerial ownership on the agency cost of firms listed under the Consumer and Industrial Goods sector in the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). Based on the extant theories, firms with high free cash flow are more exposed to agency costs. Existing literature however shows that managerial ownership could moderate this tendency. In this study, we argue that the extent to which managerial ownership moderates the effect of free cash flow on firms’ agency costs is dependent upon the level of the ownership, and thus, the moderation effect is not entirely linear. The study therefore empirically investigates whether free cash flow has a significant positive effect on agency costs; whether managerial ownership has a nonlinear effect on free cash flow; and whether the moderating effect of managerial ownership on the association of free cash flow and agency costs is nonlinear (not the same at different levels [Formula: see text]25% and above 25%). We estimate the panel regression using data from 2009 to 2015 to test three main hypotheses. We measured free cash flow using the cash flow approach and adopted the inverse of asset utilization to proxy for agency costs. The findings reveal that while free cash flow linearly and negatively affects agency costs, managerial ownership has a nonlinear effect on free cash flow and on the effect of free cash flow on agency costs. In line with the findings, this study concludes that managerial ownership is not a straight jacket remedy for tacking problems associated with agency costs that results from having excess free cash flow. Further studies should consider other proxies of agency costs.
本研究侧重于评估自由现金流和管理层所有权对尼日利亚证券交易所(NSE)消费品和工业产品部门上市公司代理成本的影响的非线性方法。根据现有理论,自由现金流高的企业更容易受到代理成本的影响。然而,现有文献表明,管理层所有权可以缓和这种趋势。在本研究中,我们认为管理层持股对自由现金流对企业代理成本影响的调节程度取决于管理层持股水平,因此,这种调节作用并不完全是线性的。因此,本研究实证考察了自由现金流对代理成本是否具有显著的正向影响;管理层持股对自由现金流是否有非线性影响;管理层所有权对自由现金流和代理成本关联的调节作用是否是非线性的(在不同层次上不相同[公式:见文本]25%和25%以上)。我们使用2009年至2015年的数据估计面板回归,以检验三个主要假设。我们使用现金流方法测量自由现金流,并采用资产利用率的逆来代替代理成本。研究结果表明,自由现金流对代理成本具有线性和负向影响,而管理层所有权对自由现金流和自由现金流对代理成本的影响具有非线性影响。与研究结果一致,本研究得出的结论是,管理所有权并不是解决因自由现金流过多而导致的代理成本相关问题的直接补救措施。进一步的研究应考虑代理成本的其他代理指标。
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引用次数: 0
Author Index Volume 4 (2021) 作者索引第4卷(2021)
Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1142/s2737566821990012
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis
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