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Flight from Liquidity and Corporate Bond Yields 逃离流动性和公司债券收益率
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12182
Ali Ebrahim Nejad, Saeid Hoseinzade, Aryan Molanaei

This paper documents that in distress periods, liquidity constrained investors sell liquid corporate bonds and hold onto illiquid ones, a phenomenon which we refer to as flight from liquidity. Performing within issuer-time analysis to properly control for credit risk, we find that flight from liquidity results in a decline in the liquidity premium. In other words, liquid bonds that are significantly more expensive in normal market conditions, lose more value in distress periods and trade at a closer, and sometimes at an indistinguishable, yield spread to their illiquid peers from the same issuer. We also find that these shocks to the liquidity premium are short-lived and do not have a long-lasting pricing impact. We provide suggestive evidence that the liquidity clientele effect derives these results. Our findings suggest that investment exposure to liquid bonds entails a unique risk arising during periods of distress.

本文证明,在危机时期,流动性受限的投资者出售流动性强的公司债券,并持有非流动性的公司债券,这种现象我们称之为逃离流动性。在发行人时间内进行分析,以适当控制信用风险,我们发现流动性逃离导致流动性溢价下降。换句话说,在正常市场条件下价格高得多的流动性债券,在危机时期会损失更多的价值,与来自同一发行人的流动性差债券相比,收益率差更小,有时甚至几乎没有差别。我们还发现,这些对流动性溢价的冲击是短暂的,不会对定价产生长期影响。我们提供了启发性的证据,证明流动性客户效应产生了这些结果。我们的研究结果表明,对流动性债券的投资暴露在困境期间带来了独特的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Sentimental Sustainability: Does What Companies Say Tell More Than What Companies Do? 情感上的可持续性:公司所说的比公司所做的更能说明问题吗?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-04 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12181
Konstantin Ignatov, Markus Rudolf

Based on a sample of more than eleven thousand unique 10-K reports of US companies filed with SEC in period 2013 to 2018, this study examines the relationship between actual sustainability performance of companies, evaluated by MSCI ESG performance scores, and the extent and the scope of environmental, social, and governance information disclosure in their annual reports. The study shows empirical evidence supporting the signalling theory view of voluntary disclosure of ESG information in annual reports for most industries, while environmentally unfriendly companies belonging to the Mining industry division show excessive reporting behavior favoring environmental topics, which is consistent with incentives to improve public image and mitigate social, political, and legal risks in line with the legitimacy theory of information disclosure. When differentiating between forward-looking and non-forward-looking ESG statements, the study shows that companies providing more forward-looking ESG information in annual reports show better next-year ESG performance. This study implements established content analysis techniques with focus on ESG reporting and performance, building up on the study of Baier, Berninger, and Kiesel (2020) that proposed an ESG-tailored dictionary for textual analysis purposes.

基于2013年至2018年期间向美国证券交易委员会提交的11000多份美国公司的10-K报告样本,本研究考察了通过MSCI ESG绩效得分评估的公司实际可持续性绩效与年度报告中环境、社会和治理信息披露的程度和范围之间的关系。该研究显示,实证证据支持大多数行业在年度报告中自愿披露ESG信息的信号理论观点,而采矿业部门对环境不友好的公司表现出过度的报告行为,倾向于环境主题,这与改善公众形象和缓解社会、政治、,以及符合信息披露合法性理论的法律风险。在区分前瞻性和非前瞻性ESG声明时,研究表明,在年报中提供更多前瞻性ESG信息的公司明年的ESG表现更好。本研究在Baier、Berninger和Kiesel(2020)的研究基础上,实施了既定的内容分析技术,重点关注ESG报告和性能,该研究提出了一个用于文本分析目的的ESG定制词典。
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引用次数: 0
Security Analysts’ Site Visits and Stock Price Synchronicity 证券分析师实地考察与股价同步
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-11 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12180
Yu Jiang, Adrian C. H. Lei

This paper investigates how security analysts’ corporate site visits impact listed firms’ stock-price informativeness. Examining a sample of security analysts’ visits to Chinese listed firms from 2010 to 2019, we find that security analysts incorporate firm-specific information into share prices through site visits, significantly reducing the visited firms’ stock price synchronicity. This finding is robust to an alternative measure of stock price informativeness and a two-stage least-squares approach using the introduction of high-speed rail as the instrumental variable. We also find that the impact of analysts’ site visits on firms’ stock price synchronicity is more pronounced for firms with lower information disclosure quality and poor corporate governance than for other firms. Further analysis on firm characteristics documents that this effect is stronger for large-size firms, firms in the manufacturing industry, and state-owned enterprises.

本文研究了证券分析师的企业网站访问对上市公司股价信息性的影响。通过考察2010年至2019年安全分析师对中国上市公司的访问样本,我们发现安全分析师通过实地访问将公司特定信息纳入股价,显著降低了被访问公司的股价同步性。这一发现对于另一种衡量股价信息性的方法和使用高铁作为工具变量的两阶段最小二乘法是稳健的。我们还发现,与其他公司相比,信息披露质量较低、公司治理较差的公司,分析师的现场访问对公司股价同步性的影响更为显著。对企业特征的进一步分析表明,这种效应对大型企业、制造业企业和国有企业更为强烈。
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引用次数: 0
Keeping up with the Joneses? Evidence from Peer Performance in the Banking Industry 攀比?来自银行业同行绩效的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12179
Wassim Dbouk, Lawrence Kryzanowski

This paper traces the reaction of US banks to ROE underperformance on liquidity creation, equity capital, and loan loss provisions. We find that banks change their structures in the subsequent quarter after underperformance by increasing their on-balance and off-balance sheet liquidity creation to increase profitability. Banks tend to increase their equity capital and improve their loan quality by lowering non-discretionary loan loss provisions to become safer. Banks signal their ability to overcome underperformance by increasing their discretionary loan loss provisions. Our results reveal that large banks rely mainly on off-balance sheet liquidity creation as their primary tool to recover from underperformance while medium-size and small banks adjust their equity capital to increase their safety.

本文追踪了美国银行对ROE在流动性创造、股本和贷款损失准备金方面表现不佳的反应。我们发现,银行在表现不佳后,会在下一季度通过增加表内和表外流动性创造来提高盈利能力,从而改变其结构。银行倾向于通过降低非可自由支配的贷款损失准备金来增加股本并提高贷款质量,以变得更安全。银行有能力通过增加可自由支配的贷款损失准备金来克服表现不佳的问题。我们的研究结果表明,大银行主要依靠表外流动性创造作为其从表现不佳中恢复的主要工具,而中小银行则调整其股本以提高其安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Implications of Internal Funds Surplus for Determining Agency Spending of SEO Proceeds and Timing Incentives 内部资金盈余对决定SEO收益和时间激励的机构支出的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-06 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12173
Ebrahim Bazrafshan

According to the pecking order theory, firms with potential investment projects should raise external capital if and only if sufficient internal funds are not available. The theory can be violated if equity issuers are motivated by market timing and increasing funds for insiders’ benefits, indicating that firms may already have internal funds surplus without including external funds, but still issue equity. By controlling for future funds needs, the analyses show that issuers that engage in market timing and spend the SEO proceeds on value-destroying projects are strongly associated with their internal funds surplus. Moreover, SEO announcement returns are lower for issuers with internal funds surplus. This pattern strongly supports the predictive ability of internal funds surplus to detect the need for external capital and ultimately to determine timing incentives and agency spending of SEO proceeds.

根据排序理论,有潜在投资项目的公司应该在没有足够的内部资金的情况下筹集外部资本。如果股票发行人的动机是市场时机和增加资金以获取内部人士的利益,这表明公司可能已经有了内部资金盈余,而不包括外部资金,但仍然发行股票,那么这一理论可能会被违反。通过控制未来的资金需求,分析表明,参与市场时机并将SEO收益用于价值破坏项目的发行人与其内部资金盈余密切相关。此外,内部资金盈余的发行人的SEO公告回报率较低。这种模式有力地支持了内部资金盈余的预测能力,以检测对外部资本的需求,并最终确定SEO收益的时间激励和代理支出。
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引用次数: 1
Across-the-Curve Credit Spread Indices 跨曲线信贷利差指数
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-02 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12172
Antje Berndt, Darrell Duffie, Yichao Zhu

We design a novel across-the-curve credit spread index, AXI, a measure of the recent cost of wholesale unsecured debt funding for publicly listed US bank holding companies and commercial banks. AXI, a benchmark for bank lending and risk management, is the weighted average of credit spreads for unsecured debt instruments with maturities ranging from overnight to five years, with weights that reflect both transaction and issuance volumes. We provide illustrative output of the bond-based component of AXI. By widening coverage to include all corporate debt issuers, we also build a financial conditions index (FXI).

我们设计了一个新的跨曲线信用利差指数AXI,这是一个衡量美国上市银行控股公司和商业银行最近批发无担保债务融资成本的指标。AXI是银行贷款和风险管理的基准,是到期日从隔夜到五年不等的无担保债务工具的信用利差的加权平均值,其权重反映了交易量和发行量。我们提供了AXI的基于键的组件的说明性输出。通过扩大覆盖范围以包括所有公司债券发行人,我们还建立了财务状况指数(FXI)。
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引用次数: 0
Intensified Competition and The Impact on Credit Ratings in the RMBS market 人民币S市场竞争加剧及其对信用评级的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12170
Vivian M. van Breemen, Frank J. Fabozzi, Dennis Vink

In this paper, we empirically investigate the impact of intensified competition on rating quality in the credit rating market for residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) in the period 2017–2020. We provide evidence that competition between large credit rating agencies (CRAs) (Moody's and Standard & Poor's) and newer smaller ones (Dominion Bond Rating Service Morningstar and Kroll Bond Rating Agency) creates credit rating inconsistencies in the RMBS market. While a credit rating should solely represent the underlying credit risk of a RMBS, irrespective of the competition in the market, our results show that this is not the case. When competitive pressure is higher, both large and small CRAs tend to adjust their rating standards (smaller CRAs react to large CRAs and vice versa).

在本文中,我们实证研究了2017-2020年期间,住房抵押贷款支持证券信用评级市场竞争加剧对评级质量的影响。我们提供的证据表明,大型信用评级机构(穆迪和标准普尔)与较新的小型评级机构(道明债券评级服务公司晨星和克罗尔债券评级机构)之间的竞争导致人民币s市场的信用评级不一致。尽管信用评级应仅代表人民币S的潜在信用风险,而不考虑市场竞争,但我们的结果表明事实并非如此。当竞争压力更大时,大型和小型CRA都倾向于调整其评级标准(小型CRA对大型CRA做出反应,反之亦然)。
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引用次数: 0
Credit ETFs in Mutual Funds and Corporate Bond Liquidity 共同基金中的信用ETF与公司债券流动性
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12171
Jeffrey Meli, Zornitsa Todorova

We show that high yield (HY) mutual funds own and trade ETFs to manage liquidity needs driven by fund flows, whereas investment grade (IG) funds do not. The use of ETFs by HY mutual funds to manage liquidity shifts some trading away from bonds and into ETFs, which reduces the liquidity of the underlying bonds. This substitution effect outweighs the better-understood inclusion effect, whereby bond liquidity benefits from increased ETF ownership, such that the net effect of ETFs is to reduce HY liquidity. In IG, the substitution effect is not significant and ETFs result in increased bond liquidity.

我们发现,高收益(HY)共同基金拥有和交易ETF是为了管理资金流驱动的流动性需求,而投资级(IG)基金则没有。HY共同基金使用ETF来管理流动性,将一些交易从债券转移到ETF,这降低了基础债券的流动性。这种替代效应超过了更好理解的包容性效应,即债券流动性受益于ETF所有权的增加,因此ETF的净效应是减少HY流动性。在IG中,替代效应并不显著,ETF导致债券流动性增加。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental reputational risk, negative media attention and financial performance 环境声誉风险、负面媒体关注和财务业绩
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-07-07 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12163
Leonardo Becchetti, Rocco Ciciretti, Iftekhar Hasan, Gabriele La Licata

Tracing negative media attention, this paper investigates the effect of reputational risk on firm value. Decomposing reputational damage into environmental, social and corporate-governance dimensions, it reports that environmental reputational risk has the most significant negative effect on price earnings, i.e., firms exposed to environmental risk are likely to be priced at a discount or charged a higher risk premium when discounting future earnings.

本文以负面媒体关注为线索,探讨声誉风险对企业价值的影响。将声誉损害分解为环境、社会和公司治理三个维度,报告称环境声誉风险对价格收益的负面影响最为显著,即,在贴现未来收益时,面临环境风险的公司可能会被折价定价或收取更高的风险溢价。
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引用次数: 1
Secret Recipe of IPO survival: ESG disclosure and performance IPO生存秘方:ESG披露与业绩
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-24 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12169
Mengchuan Fu, Dantong Yu, Dan Zhou

While ESG initiation and disclosure may help newly listed companies maintain a social license to operate, mitigate information asymmetry, and attract investor attention, it may impose significant costs on initial public offering (IPO) firms and magnify agency problems. Using a sample of 1102 IPOs issued in the U.S and the ESG data from MSCI between 1999 and 2016, the paper empirically tests the competing hypotheses and examines the influence of ESG disclosure and performance on the survivability of IPOs. We document that (1) voluntary ESG disclosure reduces IPO failure risks and improves long-run performance of IPO; (2) the sooner ESG information is disclosed after the IPO, the greater the likelihood of survival and better long-run performance; and (3) IPOs with better ESG score are less likely to fail, with the impact largely attributable to the company's social and governance performance. Our findings identify new failure risks for IPOs, supply evidence of value-relevance of ESG, and provide practical guidance for managers.

虽然ESG的发起和披露可能有助于新上市公司保持运营的社会许可证,缓解信息不对称,吸引投资者的注意力,但它可能会给首次公开募股(IPO)公司带来巨大成本,并加剧代理问题。本文以美国1102家IPO为样本,利用摩根士丹利资本国际1999年至2016年的ESG数据,实证检验了相互竞争的假设,并考察了ESG披露和业绩对IPO生存能力的影响。我们证明:(1)自愿ESG披露降低了IPO失败风险,提高了IPO的长期业绩;(2) IPO后ESG信息披露得越早,生存的可能性就越大,长期业绩也就越好;(3)ESG得分较高的IPO失败的可能性较小,其影响主要归因于公司的社会和治理绩效。我们的研究结果确定了IPO的新失败风险,为ESG的价值相关性提供了证据,并为管理者提供了实际指导。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments
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