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Incentive-compatible contracts in merger negotiations: The role of acquirer idiosyncratic stock return volatility 并购谈判中的激励相容契约:收购方特殊股票收益波动的作用
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12124
Dimitris Alexakis, Leonidas G. Barbopoulos

We show that the acquiring firm's idiosyncratic stock return volatility (sigma) is an important determinant of the selection and perceived valuation effects of earnouts in Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As). Earnout-based M&As are more often announced by high-sigma acquirers (nearly 40% of all earnout-based M&As), yet the documented higher risk-adjusted returns accrued to acquirers in earnout-based M&As, relative to M&As settled in cash, stock or mixed payments (the earnout effect), appear in deals announced by low-sigma acquirers (nearly 20% of all earnout-based M&As). High-sigma acquirers employing earnouts appear to break even, or even experience losses, relative to their counterparts employing single up-front payments. These results are confirmed based on a quasi-experimental design through which the earnout effect is measured in isolation. We argue that in M&As announced by high-sigma acquirers, the earnout effect is potentially elusive due to the presence of an acquirer-specific information revelation effect, resulting from the heightened extent of information asymmetry between (small) acquirers’ managers and outside investors. On the contrary, the use of earnouts in M&As announced by low-sigma (large) acquirers, whereby the acquirer-specific information revelation effect is likely negligible, sends a strong signal for value creation that also prevents investors from inducing a size-related discount.

我们发现收购公司的特殊股票收益波动率(sigma)是并购(M&As)中盈利选择和感知估值效应的重要决定因素。以盈利能力为基础的并购交易通常由高西格玛收购者宣布(占所有以盈利能力为基础的并购交易的近40%),然而,与以现金、股票或混合支付(盈利能力效应)结算的并购交易相比,以盈利能力为基础的并购交易对收购者产生的经风险调整后的更高回报,出现在低西格玛收购者宣布的交易中(占所有以盈利能力为基础的并购交易的近20%)。高西格玛收购者采用盈利方式,相对于采用单一预付付款的对手,他们似乎实现了盈亏平衡,甚至出现了亏损。这些结果是基于准实验设计的,通过这种设计,增益效应是在隔离的情况下测量的。我们认为,正如高西格玛收购者所宣布的那样,由于存在收购者特有的信息披露效应,盈利能力效应可能难以实现,这是由(小)收购者管理者与外部投资者之间的信息不对称程度加剧造成的。相反,在低西格玛(大型)收购方宣布的并购中使用盈利,即收购方特定的信息披露效应可能可以忽略不计,这发出了一个强烈的价值创造信号,也阻止了投资者诱导与规模相关的折扣。
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引用次数: 7
Investor behaviour and reaching for yield: Evidence from the sterling corporate bond market† 投资者行为和对收益的追求:来自英镑公司债券市场的证据†
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-09-02 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12122
Robert Czech, Matt Roberts-Sklar

We provide evidence on how corporate bond investors react to a change in yields, and how this behaviour differs in times of market-wide stress. We also investigate ‘reaching for yield’ across investor types, as well as providing insights into the structure of the corporate bond market. Using proprietary sterling corporate bond transaction data, we show that insurance companies, hedge funds and asset managers are typically net buyers when corporate bond yields rise. Dealer banks clear the market by being net sellers. However, we find evidence for this behaviour reversing in times of stress for some investors. During the 2013 ‘taper tantrum’, asset managers were net sellers of corporate bonds in response to a sharp rise in yields, potentially amplifying price changes. At the same time, dealer banks were net buyers. Finally, we provide evidence that insurers, hedge funds and asset managers tilt their portfolios towards higher risk bonds, consistent with ‘reaching for yield’ behaviour.

我们提供了证据,说明公司债券投资者如何对收益率变化做出反应,以及这种行为在整个市场承压时期有何不同。我们还调查了投资者类型的“追求收益”,并提供了对公司债券市场结构的见解。我们使用专有的英镑公司债券交易数据表明,当公司债券收益率上升时,保险公司、对冲基金和资产管理公司通常是净买家。交易商银行以净卖家的身份出清市场。然而,我们发现有证据表明,在一些投资者面临压力时,这种行为会发生逆转。在2013年的“缩减恐慌”(taper tantrum)期间,资产管理公司净卖出公司债券,以应对收益率的大幅上升,这可能放大了价格变化。与此同时,交易商银行是净买家。最后,我们提供的证据表明,保险公司、对冲基金和资产管理公司的投资组合倾向于高风险债券,这与“追求收益”的行为是一致的。
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引用次数: 16
Managerial ability and bond rating changes 管理能力与债券评级变化
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-08-30 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12123
Joel Harper, Kristopher J. Kemper, Li Sun

This study examines the relation between managerial ability and bond credit rating changes. We attempt to add to the credit rating agency literature by exploring the role managerial ability plays in the initial bond rating assignments and in rating changes. We predict firms with more-able managers are more likely to have higher bond ratings and to be more able to have a positive influence on rating changes. We find a significant and positive relation between managerial ability and change in credit ratings, suggesting that more-able managers can take effective actions to improve their credit ratings.

本研究探讨管理能力与债券信用评级变动之间的关系。我们试图通过探索管理能力在初始债券评级分配和评级变化中的作用来增加信用评级机构的文献。我们预测,拥有更有能力的管理者的公司更有可能获得更高的债券评级,并且更有能力对评级变化产生积极影响。我们发现管理能力与信用评级的变化之间存在显著的正相关关系,这表明更有能力的管理者可以采取有效的行动来提高他们的信用评级。
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引用次数: 6
The impact of multilateral trading facilities on price discovery: Further evidence from the European markets 多边贸易设施对价格发现的影响:来自欧洲市场的进一步证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-08-27 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12121
Mike Buckle, Jing Chen, Qian Guo, Xiaoxi Li

This study examines relative price discovery for three major European indices, FTSE, CAC, and DAX, their futures and exchange traded funds (ETFs) using the data on 5-minute intraday transaction prices over a four-year period. We computed both Hasbrouck (1995) information share with error bounds and Gonzalo and Granger's (1995) common factor weights approach. Gonzalo and Granger's (1995) common factor weights suggest the index futures contracts play a dominant role in price discovery in the CAC market: the CAC 40 index futures lead the price discovery and Lyxor CAC 40 ETFs serving the second resort for information transmission. This could be due to the less frequent trading of ETFs. More importantly, CAC40 under the Gonzalo & Granger (1995) test shows upper and lower error bounds in good range may be the main reason to drive for the meaningful results. In contrast, the upper and lower bounds estimated from the Hasbrouck (1995) are far distant for most cases. Finally, FTSE and DAX markets offer compelling evidence to show that ETFs lead price discovery and spots and futures follows.

本研究考察了三个主要的欧洲指数,富时,CAC和DAX,它们的期货和交易所交易基金(etf)的相对价格发现,使用的数据是4年期间5分钟的盘中交易价格。我们计算了Hasbrouck(1995)带误差边界的信息共享和Gonzalo and Granger(1995)的公因子权重方法。Gonzalo和Granger(1995)的公因子权重表明,指数期货合约在CAC市场的价格发现中起主导作用:CAC 40指数期货主导价格发现,Lyxor CAC 40 etf作为信息传递的第二手段。这可能是由于etf的交易频率较低。更重要的是,Gonzalo &Granger(1995)检验表明,上下误差边界在良好范围内可能是驱动结果有意义的主要原因。相比之下,从Hasbrouck(1995)估计的上界和下界在大多数情况下是很遥远的。最后,富时和DAX市场提供了令人信服的证据,表明etf引领价格发现,现货和期货紧随其后。
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引用次数: 0
ESG in credit ratings and the impact on financial markets ESG在信用评级和对金融市场的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-05-20 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12114
Florian Kiesel, Felix Lücke

This study examines environment, social, governance (ESG) consideration in rating reports published by credit rating agencies. 3,719 Moody's credit rating reports between 2004 and 2015 are examined and the ESG consideration is analyzed using a latent dirichlet allocation (LDA) approach. We further analyze the stock returns and credit default swap (CDS) spread changes to check whether ESG consideration has an effect on the capital market reactions. We find a small but present consideration of ESG in rating decisions. Within ESG, corporate governance plays the most important role. Moreover, the results reveal that ESG consideration is a significant determinant in the stock return and CDS spread around the rating announcement. We find that all ESG criteria are important for equity and debt investors.

本研究考察了信用评级机构在评级报告中对环境、社会和治理(ESG)的考虑。研究了2004年至2015年间3,719份穆迪信用评级报告,并使用潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)方法分析了ESG考虑因素。我们进一步分析股票收益和信用违约互换(CDS)价差的变化,以检验ESG对价是否会影响资本市场的反应。我们发现,在评级决策中,对ESG的考虑很少,但很现实。在ESG中,公司治理扮演着最重要的角色。此外,研究结果显示,ESG对价是股票收益和信用违约掉期价差的重要决定因素。我们发现,所有ESG标准对股票和债券投资者都很重要。
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引用次数: 34
Motivating high-impact innovation: Evidence from managerial compensation contracts 激励高影响力创新:来自管理层薪酬合同的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-05-20 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12115
Bill B. Francis, Iftekhar Hasan, Zenu Sharma, Maya Waisman
We investigate the relationship between Chief Executive Officer (CEO) compensation and firm innovation and find that long‐term incentives in the form of options, especially unvested options, and protection from managerial termination in the form of golden parachutes are positively related to corporate innovation, and particularly to high‐impact, exploratory (new knowledge creation) invention. Conversely, non‐equity pay has a detrimental effect on the input, output and impact of innovation. Tests using the passage of an option expensing regulation (FAS 123R) as an exogenous shock to option compensation suggest a causal interpretation for the link between long‐term pay incentives, patents and citations. Furthermore, we find that the decline in option pay following the implementation of FAS 123R has led to a significant reduction in exploratory innovation and therefore had a detrimental effect on innovation output. Overall, our findings support the idea that compensation contracts that protect from early project failure and incentivize long‐term commitment are more suitable for inducing high‐impact corporate innovation.
我们研究了首席执行官(CEO)薪酬与企业创新之间的关系,发现期权形式的长期激励,特别是未授予期权,以及以黄金降落伞形式的管理终止保护与企业创新呈正相关,特别是对高影响,探索性(新知识创造)发明。相反,非股权薪酬对创新的投入、产出和影响有不利影响。使用通过的期权费用管理条例(FAS 123R)作为期权补偿的外生冲击,对长期薪酬激励、专利和引用之间的联系进行了因果解释。此外,我们发现,在实施FAS 123R之后,期权薪酬的下降导致了探索性创新的显著减少,因此对创新产出产生了不利影响。总的来说,我们的研究结果支持这样一种观点,即防止项目早期失败和激励长期承诺的补偿合同更适合于诱导高影响力的企业创新。
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引用次数: 6
Editorial of special issue 2016 Portsmouth – Fordham conference on Banking and Finance 2016年朴茨茅斯-福特汉姆银行与金融会议特刊编辑
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12105
Ioannis Chatziantoniou, Iftekhar Hasan, Fotios Pasiouras
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引用次数: 0
The impact of business group affiliation on stock price informativeness: Evidence from an emerging market 企业集团隶属关系对股价资讯性的影响:来自新兴市场的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-05 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12111
A. Melih Küllü, Doug Dyer, Gokhan Yilmaz, Zenu Sharma

This paper examines the relationship between business group affiliation and stock price informativeness in an emerging market setting. We use stock price synchronicity as a measure, and study the impact of group affiliation -specifically the extent of affiliation, ownership structure and existence of group bank- on firm specific information content. Results reveal that the amount of firm-specific information capitalized into stock prices tends to be lower (higher) when the firm is group-affiliated (unaffiliated), indirectly (directly) owned, and affiliated group has (does not have) a group bank. Additionally, the extent of group affiliation maintains a non-linear relationship with synchronicity, suggesting that the perception of higher versus lower levels of group ownership differs.

本文研究了新兴市场背景下企业集团隶属关系与股票价格信息量之间的关系。我们以股价同步性为衡量标准,研究集团关联度——特别是关联度、股权结构和集团银行的存在——对企业具体信息含量的影响。结果显示,当公司是集团附属(无关联),间接(直接)拥有,以及附属集团有(没有)集团银行时,公司特定信息资本化到股票价格的数量往往更低(更高)。此外,群体归属程度与同步性保持着非线性关系,这表明对较高和较低群体所有权水平的感知是不同的。
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引用次数: 3
Trustee reputation in securitization: When does it matter? 证券化中的受托人声誉:何时起作用?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-05 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12106
Solomon Y. Deku, Alper Kara, David Marques-Ibanez

We consider the role of trustees–who are nominated to protect the interests of investors–in securitization pricing and whether investors rely on them to mitigate risks. In particular, we examine the effect of trustee reputation on initial yield spreads of European mortgage-backed security (MBS) issuances between 1999 and the first half of 2007. We find that engaging reputable trustees led to lower spreads during the credit boom period prior to the 2007–2009 financial crisis. Our findings suggest that trustees’ reputation was considered by investors to be more important when risk assessment became more challenging.

我们考虑受托人在证券化定价中的作用——受托人被任命为保护投资者的利益——以及投资者是否依赖他们来降低风险。特别是,我们研究了受托人声誉对1999年至2007年上半年欧洲抵押贷款支持证券(MBS)发行的初始收益率息差的影响。我们发现,在2007-2009年金融危机之前的信贷繁荣时期,聘请信誉良好的受托人导致利差降低。我们的研究结果表明,当风险评估变得更具挑战性时,投资者认为受托人的声誉更重要。
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引用次数: 12
Economic volatility and financial markets: The case of mortgage-backed securities 经济波动和金融市场:以抵押贷款支持证券为例
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-05 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12107
Gaetano Antinolfi, Celso Brunetti

The volatility of aggregate economic activity in the United States decreased markedly in the mid-eighties. The decrease involved several components of GDP and has been linked to a more stable economic environment, identified by smaller shocks, more effective policy, and a diverse set of innovations in technology as well as financial markets. We study one such financial innovation, and document a negative relation between the rapid growth of mortgage-backed securities and the volatility of GDP and some of its components from the mid-1970s to the late 1990s. We also document that this relation changed sign, from negative to positive, in the early 2000s.

美国总体经济活动的波动性在八十年代中期显著下降。这种下降涉及GDP的几个组成部分,并与更稳定的经济环境有关,经济环境的特征是较小的冲击、更有效的政策以及技术和金融市场的各种创新。我们研究了一个这样的金融创新,并记录了从20世纪70年代中期到90年代末,抵押贷款支持证券的快速增长与GDP及其部分组成部分的波动性之间的负相关关系。我们还记录了这种关系在21世纪初从负向正的变化。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments
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