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Comparison of parametric and non-parametric time-series analysis methods on a long-term meteorological data set 长期气象数据集参数和非参数时间序列分析方法的比较
Pub Date : 2017-12-04 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.011
T. Kocsis, I. Kovács-Székely, A. Anda
In the present explorative study, different time-series analysis methods, such as moving average, deterministic methods (linear trend with seasonality), and non-parametric Mann–Kendall trend test, were applied to monthly precipitation data from January 1871 to December 2014, with the aim of comparing the results of these methods and detecting the signs of climate change. The data set was provided by the University of Pannonia, and it contains monthly precipitation data of 144 years of measurements (1,728 data points) from the Keszthely Meteorological Station. This data set is special because few stations in Hungary can provide such long and continuous measurements with detailed historical background. The results of the research can provide insight into the signs of climate change in the past for the region of West Balaton. Parametric methods (linear trend and t-test for slope) for analyzing time series are the simplest ones to obtain insight into the changes in a variable over time. These methods have a requirement for normal distribution of the residuals that can be a limitation for their application. Non-parametric methods are distribution-free and investigators can get a more sophisticated view of the variable tendencies in time series.
本探索性研究采用移动平均法、确定性方法(随季节变化的线性趋势)和非参数Mann-Kendall趋势检验等不同的时间序列分析方法对1871年1月至2014年12月的逐月降水数据进行分析,比较不同分析方法的结果,发现气候变化的迹象。该数据集由潘诺尼亚大学提供,包含Keszthely气象站144年的月降水数据(1728个数据点)。这个数据集是特殊的,因为匈牙利很少有站点能够提供如此长时间和连续的测量,并提供详细的历史背景。研究结果可以为西巴拉顿地区过去气候变化的迹象提供见解。分析时间序列的参数方法(线性趋势和斜率的t检验)是最简单的方法,可以深入了解变量随时间的变化。这些方法对残差的正态分布有要求,这可能是其应用的一个限制。非参数方法是无分布的,研究人员可以更复杂地观察时间序列中的变量趋势。
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引用次数: 24
Long-term durability tests of andesite aggregates from Hungary 匈牙利安山岩骨料的长期耐久性试验
Pub Date : 2017-11-13 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.010
Balázs Czinder, Á. Török
The Micro-Deval test method is used for testing of aggregate durability. The present paper focuses on two Hungarian andesites obtained from the quarries of Recsk (Matra Mountains, Hungary) and of Nogradkovesd (Cserhat Mountains, Hungary). The aim of this study is to find a simple test method based on the original Micro-Deval test method to assess the long-term durability of aggregates. An additional part of the research was to develop suitable mathematical models that can describe the behavior of the andesite aggregates under continuous abrasive impact. The relevant standard (EN 1097-1:2012) recommends 12,000 rotations to determine the Micro-Deval coefficient required for classification of the aggregates. Within the framework of this research, a modified Micro-Deval test was applied: the number of rotations was increased in several steps and the degree of abrasion was measured afterwards. Regression analyses were used to outline mathematical forms which characterize the dependence between the number of rotations and the degree of abrasion. According to the results, the long-term Micro-Deval tests significantly modify the assessed durability and thus provide information on the long-term abrasive impact. The degree of change depends on the studied material: the ratio of the long-term Micro-Deval coefficients of the two studied andesite types is larger than 3. The regression analyses of the measured Micro-Deval coefficients revealed that quadratic curves are suitable to describe these tendencies for both andesite aggregates.
骨料耐久性试验采用微孔试验法。本文着重于从Recsk(匈牙利Matra山脉)和Nogradkovesd(匈牙利Cserhat山脉)的采石场获得的两个匈牙利安山岩。本研究的目的是在原有Micro-Deval试验方法的基础上,寻找一种简便的试验方法来评估集料的长期耐久性。研究的另一部分是开发合适的数学模型,以描述安山岩聚集体在持续磨料冲击下的行为。相关标准(EN 1097-1:2012)建议旋转12,000次以确定骨料分类所需的Micro-Deval系数。在本研究的框架内,采用了一种改进的Micro-Deval试验:在几个步骤中增加旋转次数,然后测量磨损程度。回归分析被用来概述数学形式,表征旋转次数和磨损程度之间的依赖关系。根据结果,长期的Micro-Deval试验显著地改变了评估的耐久性,从而提供了长期磨料冲击的信息。变化程度与所研究的安山岩材料有关,两种安山岩类型的长期微蚀系数之比均大于3。对测量的Micro-Deval系数的回归分析表明,二次曲线适合于描述这两种安山岩集合体的趋势。
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引用次数: 11
The continental fish fauna of the Late Cretaceous (Santonian) Iharkút locality (Bakony Mountains, Hungary) 晚白垩世(Santonian)大陆鱼类区系Iharkút产地(Bakony Mountains, Hungary)
Pub Date : 2017-09-21 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.009
SzabóMárton, ŐsiAttila
The Late Cretaceous (Santonian) fish fauna of the Iharkut vertebrate site (Bakony Mountains, Hungary) is described here. The ichthyofauna includes the lepisosteid Atractosteus sp., the pycnodontid cf. Coelodus sp., Vidalamiinae indet., a non-vidalamiin Amiidae indet., Elopiformes indet., two indeterminate ellimmichthyiforms, cf. Salmoniformes indet., Acanthomorpha indet., at least one indeterminate teleostean, and numerous indeterminate actinopterygians (represented by teeth). Among these taxa, the Iharkut remains of Vidalamiinae and the suggested indeterminate Salmoniformes represent their first occurrence in the Late Cretaceous of Europe. The unidentifiable specimens may suggest the presence of further fish taxa. The gar remains described here further support the Atractosteus sp. affinity of the Iharkut form. Most of the Iharkut fishes are carnivorous, but durophagous taxa are also represented. Although chondrichthyan remains have not been identified in the Iharkut vertebrate material up to now, the eco...
Iharkut脊椎动物遗址(Bakony Mountains,匈牙利)的晚白垩纪(Santonian)鱼类动物群在这里被描述。鱼科动物包括lepisosteid Atractosteus sp., pycnodontid cf. Coelodus sp., Vidalamiinae indet.。,一种非维生素a酰胺类昆虫。, Elopiformes。,两种不确定的鲑鱼形,参见鲑鱼形indet。;棘皮;至少有一种不确定的硬骨细胞,以及许多不确定的动翼细胞(以牙齿为代表)。在这些分类群中,Vidalamiinae的Iharkut遗迹和未确定的Salmoniformes代表了它们在晚白垩纪欧洲的首次出现。这些无法辨认的标本可能表明存在其他鱼类分类群。这里描述的gar遗迹进一步支持了Atractosteus sp.与Iharkut形式的亲缘关系。大部分伊哈库特鱼为肉食性鱼类,但也有硬食性鱼类的代表。虽然到目前为止还没有在Iharkut脊椎动物材料中发现软骨鱼的遗骸,但生态学家认为……
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引用次数: 11
Shock-induced alterations in the recently found H chondrite Csátalja meteorite and its implications 最近发现的H球粒陨石Csátalja的冲击诱导变化及其意义
Pub Date : 2017-09-13 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.007
I. Gyollai, Á. Kereszturi, Z. Kereszty, M. Szabó, E. Chatzitheodoridis
Shock-driven annealing of pyroxene and shock deformation of olivine were analyzed in a recently found H chondrite called Csatalja. The most characteristic infrared (IR) spectral shape of shock-annealed sub-grained pyroxene was identified: the strongest peak occurs at 860 cm−1 with a smaller shoulder at 837−840 cm−1, and small bands are at 686, 635−638, and 1,044−1,050 cm−1. The appearance of forbidden bands in pyroxene and shift of band positions to a lower wave number in olivines clearly demonstrate the crystal lattice disordering due to shock metamorphism. The shock annealing produced mixed dark melt along fractures, which consists of feldspar−pyroxene and olivine−pyroxene melt. The dark shock melt at sub-grain boundaries of shocked pyroxenes and along fracture of pyroxenes is characterized by elevated Ca, Na, and Al content relative to its environment, detected by element mapping. So far, shock deformation of pyroxene and olivine was not studied by IR spectroscopy; this method has turned out to be a po...
在最近发现的一种名为Csatalja的H球粒陨石中,分析了辉石的冲击驱动退火和橄榄石的冲击变形。确定了冲击退火亚晶粒辉石最具特征的红外光谱形状:最强的峰值出现在860 cm−1处,较小的肩部出现在837−840 cm−1,小的谱带出现在686、635−638和1044−1050 cm−1。辉石中禁带的出现和橄榄石中禁带位置向较低波数的移动清楚地表明了冲击变质作用导致的晶格无序。冲击退火沿裂缝产生混合的深色熔体,由长石-辉石和橄榄石-辉石熔体组成。元素映射检测到,在冲击辉石的亚晶界和沿着辉石断裂的暗冲击熔体的特征是Ca、Na和Al含量相对于其环境升高。到目前为止,还没有用红外光谱研究辉石和橄榄石的冲击变形;这种方法被证明是一种可行的方法。。。
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引用次数: 6
The Budaörs-1 well revisited: contributions to the Triassic stratigraphy, sedimentology, and magmatism of the southwestern part of the Buda Hills 重新考察Budaörs-1:对布达山西南部三叠纪地层学、沉积学和岩浆作用的贡献
Pub Date : 2017-09-13 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.008
J. Haas, Tamás Budai, I. Dunkl, Éva Farics, S. Józsa, Szilvia Kövér, A. Götz, Olga Piros, Péter Szeitz
The 1,200-m-deep Budaors-1 borehole provided important data for our understanding of the stratigraphy and tectonic setting of the southern part of the Buda Hills. Although previous reports contained valid observations and interpretations, a number of open questions remained. The importance of this borehole and the unsolved problems motivated us to revisit the archived core. The new studies confirmed the existing stratigraphic assignment for the upper dolomite unit (Budaors Dolomite Formation) as the dasycladalean alga flora proved its late Anisian to Ladinian age assignment. An andesite dike was intersected within the Budaors Dolomite. U–Pb age determination performed on zircon crystals revealed a Carnian age (~233 Ma), and settled the long-lasting dispute on the age of this dike, proving the existence of a Carnian volcanic activity in this area after the deposition of the Budaors Dolomite. Palynostratigraphic studies provided evidence for a late Carnian to early Norian age of the upper part of the lower ...
布达山1号井深1200 m,为认识布达山南部地层和构造背景提供了重要资料。虽然以前的报告载有有效的意见和解释,但仍有一些悬而未决的问题。这个钻孔的重要性和未解决的问题促使我们重新审视存档的岩心。新的研究证实了上白云岩单元(布达尔斯白云岩组)的现有地层划分,因为dasycladalean藻类植物群证明了其晚安尼西亚至拉丁期的年龄划分。一条安山岩堤在布达尔斯白云岩中相交。锆石结晶的U-Pb年龄测定显示了卡尼期年龄(~ 233ma),解决了长期以来关于该岩脉年龄的争论,证明了布达尔斯白云岩沉积后该地区存在卡尼期火山活动。孢粉地层研究提供了下第三纪上部卡尼世晚期至诺里世早期的证据。
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引用次数: 4
Stochastic modeling in geology: Determining the sufficient number of models 地质中的随机建模:确定足够数量的模型
Pub Date : 2017-06-20 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.005
N. Jakab
Finding the optimal number of realizations to represent the model uncertainty when applying stochastic approaches is still a relevant question in geostatistics. The essence of the method is to visualize the realizations in a suitably constructed attribute space. To construct this space, the static connectivity metrics of the realizations were used. Within this framework, the creation of new realizations can be regarded as a sampling process, in which each new stochastic image is the equivalent of a new sampling point in the attribute space. The sampling process begins with the first few realizations appearing in a dispersed manner in random parts of the attribute space. The addition of more realizations causes the gradual emergence of higher point densities, which in the end, results in a point structure where most of the points are located in areas of high point densities with areas of low point densities surrounding them. High point densities represent typical realizations showing very similar connectiv...
在应用随机方法时,找到表示模型不确定性的最佳实现数量仍然是地质统计学中的一个相关问题。该方法的本质是在适当构建的属性空间中可视化实现。为了构建这个空间,使用了实现的静态连通性度量。在这个框架内,新实现的创建可以被视为一个采样过程,其中每个新的随机图像都等价于属性空间中的一个新采样点。采样过程从最初的几个实现开始,这些实现以分散的方式出现在属性空间的随机部分中。更多实现的增加导致更高点密度的逐渐出现,这最终导致点结构,其中大多数点位于高点密度的区域中,而低点密度的区域围绕着它们。高点密度代表了典型的实现,显示出非常相似的连通性。。。
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引用次数: 6
Preliminary fluid inclusion microthermometry results from secondary inclusion planes crosscutting a metamorphic quartz lens from the Mecsekalja Zone metamorphic complex Mecsekalja带变质杂岩中横切变质石英透镜体的次级包裹体平面的初步流体包裹体显微测温结果
Pub Date : 2017-06-20 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.006
G. Dabi, F. Tóth, F. Schubert
In this study, new microthermometric data of fluid inclusions distributed along planar assemblages crosscutting a metamorphic quartz lens from the Mecsekalja Zone metamorphic complex are presented. Three fluid generations are defined, none of which have previously been identified by earlier paleofluid evaluations of the study area. Petrographic description of the host quartz is provided to identify textures related to crystalloplastic deformation resulting from ductile deformation. The textural relationship of the studied assemblages to the dynamic recrystallization features is discussed. The possible affinities of the fluids introduced in this study to those identified in the region by previous authors are discussed. The affinities and timing of the fluid flow events are discussed based on the physicochemical properties of the fluids. One local carbonic (high XCO2) fluid is recognized. A high- and a moderate-salinity fluid generation are also revealed. The relationship of these fluid generations to those...
在这项研究中,提供了Mecsekalja带变质杂岩中沿横切变质石英透镜体的平面组合分布的流体包裹体的新的微温测量数据。定义了三个流体世代,之前对研究区域的古流体评估没有确定任何一个。提供了主石英的岩石学描述,以确定与韧性变形引起的晶体塑性变形有关的纹理。讨论了所研究组合的织构与动态再结晶特征的关系。讨论了本研究中引入的流体与先前作者在该地区发现的流体的可能亲和力。基于流体的物理化学性质讨论了流体流动事件的亲和力和时间。识别出一种局部碳酸(高XCO2)流体。还揭示了高盐度和中等盐度流体的生成。这些流动世代与那些。。。
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引用次数: 1
Collection of the thinnest: A unique eggshell assemblage from the Late Cretaceous vertebrate locality of Iharkút (Hungary) 最薄的集合:伊哈库特(匈牙利)白垩纪晚期脊椎动物地区的一个独特蛋壳组合
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.004
E. Prondvai, Gábor Botfalvai, Koen Stein, Zoltán Szentesi, A. Ősi
As a result of several years of screen-washing activity, a remarkable assemblage of eggshell fragments has been recovered from the Late Cretaceous vertebrate locality of Iharkut, Hungary. Detailed investigation of the assemblage by multiple visualization techniques (scanning electron microscopy, polarizing light microscopy, X-ray micro-computed tomography), quantitative morphometric analyses, and micro X-ray fluorescence spectrometry revealed a diverse composition of five different eggshell morphotypes (MT I–MT V) and three subcategories within the second morphotype (MT II/a, b, c), with MT I being by far the most abundant (83%) in the assemblage. MT I, MT III, and MT V represent theropod dinosaurian eggshells, whereas MT II and MT IV show characteristics of crocodilian and squamate eggshells, respectively. Hence, despite their fragmentary nature, these eggshells represent the first clear evidence that various sauropsid taxa had nesting sites near the ancient fluvial system of Iharkut. Besides the implied...
经过几年的筛洗活动,在匈牙利伊哈尔库特的晚白垩世脊椎动物地区发现了一组引人注目的蛋壳碎片。通过多种可视化技术(扫描电子显微镜、偏光显微镜、X射线显微计算机断层扫描)、定量形态计量分析、,微X射线荧光光谱法揭示了五种不同蛋壳形态类型(MT I–MT V)和第二种形态类型中的三个子类别(MT II/a、b、c)的不同组成,其中MT I是迄今为止组合中最丰富的(83%)。MT I、MT III和MT V代表兽脚亚目恐龙的蛋壳,而MT II和MT IV分别代表鳄鱼和鳞片蛋壳的特征。因此,尽管这些蛋壳的性质是零碎的,但它们代表了第一个明确的证据,证明各种蜥脚下目分类群在伊哈尔库特的古代河流系统附近有筑巢地。除了隐含的。。。
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引用次数: 12
Erratum to: Petrology and paleokarst features of the Gomba hydrocarbon reservoir (central Hungary) 匈牙利中部贡巴油气储层岩石学和古岩溶特征勘误
Pub Date : 2017-03-09 DOI: 10.1556/24.60.2017.003
BauerMárton, M. TóthTivadar, RaucsikBéla, GaragulyIstván
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引用次数: 0
Ore geology of the copper sulfide mineralization in the Rudabánya ore-bearing complex Rudabánya含矿杂岩中铜硫化矿化的矿床地质
Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI: 10.1556/24.59.2016.005
N. Németh, J. Földessy, J. Turi
The mineralized complex of Rudabanya hosts deposits of several mineral resources including base metal ores. Recent exploration provided new information on the enrichment of copper within this complex. The primary copper mineralization consists of sulfides. The paragenetic sequence starts with fahlore, continues with bornite, and concludes in chalcopyrite formation partly replacing the former phases. It is hosted by brecciated carbonate rocks, overprinting the paragenesis of the iron metasomatism. It was found to be spatially separated from zinc and lead enrichments. Oxidation and a subsequent new pulse of mineralization formed several new copper, zinc, and lead minerals, probably by the remobilization of the primary parageneses.
Rudabanya的矿化复合体拥有多种矿产资源,包括贱金属矿。最近的勘探为该杂岩中铜的富集提供了新的信息。原生铜矿化由硫化物组成。共生序列从法赫洛尔开始,以斑铜矿继续,并以黄铜矿形成结束,部分取代了前一阶段。它主要由角砾化碳酸盐岩承载,叠加了铁交代作用的共生作用。它被发现在空间上与锌和铅富集分离。氧化和随后的新的矿化脉冲形成了几种新的铜、锌和铅矿物,可能是通过原生共生体的再活化。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Central European Geology
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