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Book Review: Sukh Deo Muni and Rahul Mishra, India’s Eastward Engagement: From Antiquity to Act East Policy 书评:苏克·迪欧·穆尼和拉胡尔·米什拉,《印度的向东接触:从古代到向东行动政策》
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419868416
S. Sundararaman
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: Biswajit Nag and Debashis Chakraborty (Eds.), India’s Trade Analytics—Patterns and Opportunity 书评:Biswajit Nag和Debashis Chakraborty主编,《印度贸易分析——模式与机遇》
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419868417
Anusree Paul
NTMs may be legitimate measures addressing market or coordination failures and achieving a wide range of policy objectives from consumers’ safety and health to environment purposes. However, they can hurt competitiveness and unnecessarily raise the cost of living. Restricted access to key inputs and intermediate products, and cumbersome procedures for import and export licences and permits, cause delays and extra costs to firms hurting small and medium enterprises particularly and dampening diversification efforts. NTMs can also increase the cost of important food staples and household consumer products. The challenge is to identify ways to reduce the trade-impeding effect of NTMs while ensuring that legitimate regulatory objectives are attained. The challenge for trading partners/governments is to achieve their regulatory and public policy objectives in a way that also allows them to maximize the gains from trade for all. Cooperation among governments in designing NTMs offers an efficient option to achieve regulatory objectives while reducing potentially unnecessary trade costs. This approach can lead to greater coherence and inter-operability across national regulatory regimes, thereby enabling economies to take better advantage of the welfare-enhancing benefits from trade. The volume is a valuable document and will greatly benefit policymakers and those engaged in the foreign trade activity.
非国家措施可能是解决市场或协调失灵问题和实现从消费者安全和健康到环境目的的广泛政策目标的合法措施。然而,它们会损害竞争力,并不必要地提高生活成本。获得关键投入物和中间产品的机会受到限制,进出口许可证和许可证的程序繁琐,这些都给公司造成延误和额外成本,尤其伤害了中小型企业,并阻碍了多样化的努力。ntm还会增加重要主食和家庭消费品的成本。面临的挑战是,在确保实现合法监管目标的同时,确定减少非关税措施对贸易的阻碍作用的方法。贸易伙伴/各国政府面临的挑战是,如何在实现其监管和公共政策目标的同时,使它们能够最大限度地从所有人的贸易中获益。政府间合作设计ntm为实现监管目标提供了一个有效的选择,同时减少了潜在的不必要的贸易成本。这种方法可以提高各国监管制度的一致性和互操作性,从而使各经济体能够更好地利用贸易带来的增进福利的好处。这本书是一份有价值的文件,对政策制定者和从事对外贸易活动的人将大有裨益。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: ASEAN India Centre at the Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS), Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs): Evidence from ASEAN-India Trade 东盟印度发展中国家研究和信息系统中心(RIS),非关税措施(ntm):来自东盟印度贸易的证据
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419872121
Arvind Kumar
the RCEP need to be put in perspective and/or explained in the context of RCEP. Similarly, Chapter 11 by Kumar and Tripathi presents a broad perspective on protectionism and its repercussions for GVCs. There is little focus on RCEP. It would have done better if the authors were to reflect on how regional economic integration in Asia through RCEP could counter advanced economy contribution to a slowdown in trade growth through increased protectionism. A more focused selection of papers would have made for a far more useful reference for educating the reader as well as providing valuable inputs for ongoing RCEP negotiations. Finally, careful editing could have taken care of typographical errors in the text that, even if minor, can be irritating to the reader.
需要在RCEP的背景下正确看待和/或解释RCEP。同样,Kumar和Tripathi的第11章对保护主义及其对全球价值链的影响提出了一个广泛的视角。很少有人关注RCEP。如果作者们能够思考,通过RCEP实现亚洲区域经济一体化,如何能够抵消发达经济体因保护主义加剧而导致的贸易增长放缓的影响,那就更好了。更集中的论文选择将为教育读者提供更有用的参考,并为正在进行的RCEP谈判提供有价值的投入。最后,仔细的编辑可以处理文本中的印刷错误,即使是很小的错误,也会让读者感到恼火。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: Deeparghya Mukherjee (Ed.), Economic Integration in Asia: Key Prospects and Challenges with the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership 书评:Deeparghya Mukherjee主编,《亚洲经济一体化:区域全面经济伙伴关系的主要前景与挑战》
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419862158
A. Batra
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引用次数: 1
Book Review: Bimal Jalan, India Ahead 2025 and Beyond 书评:比姆·贾兰《2025年及以后的印度》
Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419853168
J. Nair
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引用次数: 0
The Nexus Among Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment in Bhutan 不丹经济增长、通货膨胀和失业之间的关系
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418822204
Ugyen M. Tenzin
In order to understand the dynamics of unemployment in Bhutan at a macro-level, this study has explored the association among economic growth, inflation and unemployment from 1998 to 2016. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model was applied to estimate the impact of economic growth and inflation on unemployment. The results of this empirical analysis suggest that economic growth had no impact on the reduction of unemployment rate in Bhutan both in the short and in the long run. In fact, as the economic growth increased, so did the unemployment rate. However, inflation had a negative association with unemployment rate in the short run and a positive association in the long run. In other words, an increase in the employment rate led to an increase in the inflation in the short run. Likewise, if inflation is not monitored or controlled, the uncertainty of inflation can lead to lower investment and lower economic growth, thereby causing unemployment to rise in the long run. This study, therefore, recommends policymakers to take into account the employment elasticity with respect to economic output and focus on sectors, which have more absorptive capacity in engaging the young labour market entrants. JEL: B22, C22, E24, E31
为了从宏观层面了解不丹失业的动态,本研究探讨了1998年至2016年经济增长、通货膨胀和失业之间的关系。应用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型估计经济增长和通货膨胀对失业的影响。这一实证分析的结果表明,经济增长对不丹失业率的降低在短期和长期都没有影响。事实上,随着经济增长,失业率也在上升。然而,通货膨胀与失业率在短期内呈负相关,而在长期内呈正相关。换句话说,就业率的上升在短期内导致了通货膨胀的上升。同样,如果不监测或控制通货膨胀,通货膨胀的不确定性可能导致投资减少和经济增长放缓,从而导致长期失业率上升。因此,本研究建议政策制定者考虑到经济产出方面的就业弹性,并将重点放在那些在吸引年轻劳动力市场进入者方面具有更强吸收能力的部门。Jel: b22, c22, e24, e31
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引用次数: 29
The Indian Inflation 2006–2016: An Econometric Investigation 2006-2016年印度通货膨胀:计量经济学调查
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418822205
Paramita Mukherjee, D. Coondoo
Recently several changes have been adopted in the conduct of monetary policy in India, like tracking CPI (Consumer Price Index), targeting inflation and so on. However, certain curious features of inflation may have some implications on the effectiveness of such measures. This article tries to explore the nature of inflation during the last decade. There are certain views about the nature of Indian inflation from the structuralist perspective. This article contributes to the literature by empirically testing those propositions and coming out with some significant policy implications. The article is based on monthly data from January 2006 to March 2016. By employing econometric techniques like cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR), the article tries to explain the movements of different components of WPI (Wholesale Price Index) and CPI inflation, both core and headline inflation and how they are related to macroeconomic policy variables. The empirical analyses focus on finding out the existence of co-movements among the inflation and macroeconomic variables, explaining the role of components like food and fuel price in driving CPI and WPI. The results have some important policy implications. First, the movements of WPI and CPI and their headline and core counterparts are not explained by same set of variables. Second, food inflation is not explained by agricultural output pointing to the insufficient increase in supply in agriculture. Third, the determinants of CPI headline and core inflation are not same. So, both of them should be tracked while formulating policies. The relationship among the components of inflation point to the possibility of some adjustment in demand from one set of goods to another, implying adjustments in terms of relative prices which needs further exploration. JEL: E31, E52, C32
最近,印度的货币政策采取了一些变化,如跟踪CPI(消费者价格指数),目标通货膨胀等。然而,通货膨胀的某些奇怪特征可能会对这些措施的有效性产生一些影响。本文试图探讨过去十年通货膨胀的本质。从结构主义的角度对印度通货膨胀的本质有一定的看法。本文通过实证检验这些命题,并提出了一些重要的政策启示,为文献做出了贡献。本文基于2006年1月至2016年3月的月度数据。通过采用协整和向量自回归(VAR)等计量经济学技术,本文试图解释WPI(批发价格指数)和CPI通胀的不同组成部分的运动,包括核心和总体通胀,以及它们与宏观经济政策变量的关系。实证分析的重点是发现通货膨胀与宏观经济变量之间存在协同运动,解释食品和燃料价格等成分对CPI和WPI的驱动作用。研究结果具有一些重要的政策含义。首先,WPI和CPI的变动,以及它们的标题和核心对应的变动,不能用同一组变量来解释。其次,粮食通胀不能用农业产出来解释,这表明农业供应增长不足。第三,总体CPI和核心CPI的决定因素并不相同。因此,在制定政策时,这两者都应该被跟踪。通货膨胀各组成部分之间的关系表明,从一组商品到另一组商品的需求可能出现某种调整,这意味着相对价格方面的调整需要进一步探讨。Jel: e31, e52, c32
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引用次数: 1
The Economic Impact of Road Accidents: The Case of Sri Lanka 道路交通事故的经济影响:以斯里兰卡为例
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418822210
T. Bhavan
The purpose of this study is to disclose accident-related indices and investigate the extent to which the road accidents impact on the economic performance of Sri Lanka during the period from 1977 to 2016. Annual time-series data are used to evaluate the accident indices for econometric analysis. Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root analysis and Johansen’s maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a cointegrating vector error correction model (VECM) are employed to test the stationary properties of the time series and to examine the long-run relationship between the variables, respectively. The results derived from the analysis confirm the existence of long-run relationship between the accident-related indices and macroeconomic indicators. The long-run elasticity values imply the signs and magnitude of impact of the accident indices on macroeconomic indicators. JEL: R41, H510, I310, I32
本研究的目的是披露事故相关指数,并调查道路事故对1977年至2016年期间斯里兰卡经济绩效的影响程度。采用年度时间序列数据对事故指数进行评价,进行计量分析。采用增广的Dickey-Fuller (ADF)单位根分析和协整向量误差修正模型(VECM)参数的Johansen最大似然估计分别检验了时间序列的平稳性和变量之间的长期关系。分析结果证实了事故相关指标与宏观经济指标之间存在长期关系。长期弹性值反映了事故指数对宏观经济指标的影响程度和程度。Jel: r41, h510, i310, i32
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引用次数: 9
Book Review: Sanjay Kathuria, A Glass Half Full: The Promise of Regional Trade in South Asia 书评:桑贾伊·卡图里亚,《半满的杯子:南亚地区贸易的前景》
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419829657
Mustafiz Rahman
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引用次数: 0
Is Bangladesh’s Economy Approaching the Lewis Turning Point? 孟加拉国经济正在接近刘易斯拐点吗?
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418822208
S. Bairagi, M. Kamal
During the last decade, Bangladesh economy grew consistently over 6 per cent annually; however, growth rate in the agriculture sector declined. Labour away from agriculture is evident; it is also evident real wages in the agriculture sector are rising. This could be an indication that Bangladesh is moving to a different stage of economic development. This article investigates whether Bangladesh is approaching a stage of economic development where marginal productivity of labour equals its price, called the Lewis turning point (LTP). We find that the reallocation of labour away from agriculture has had a positive but insignificant impact on economic growth in Bangladesh. We also find that the surplus agricultural labour has not fully been absorbed by the economy. Therefore, we conclude Bangladesh has yet to reach the LTP and suggest initiating policies (e.g., job creation in the service sector) that might speed up the country’s movement to the LTP. JEL: O11, O17, O41, O53
在过去十年中,孟加拉国经济的年增长率一直超过6%;然而,农业部门的增长率下降了。农业以外的劳动力是显而易见的;农业部门的实际工资也在明显上升。这可能表明孟加拉国正在进入一个不同的经济发展阶段。本文调查孟加拉国是否正在接近一个经济发展阶段,即劳动力的边际生产率等于其价格,称为刘易斯拐点(LTP)。我们发现,农业劳动力的再分配对孟加拉国的经济增长产生了积极但不显著的影响。我们还发现,农业剩余劳动力并没有完全被经济吸收。因此,我们得出结论,孟加拉国尚未达到长期发展计划,并建议启动可能加速该国向长期发展计划迈进的政策(例如,在服务业创造就业机会)。耶利米书:11、17、41、53
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引用次数: 3
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South Asia Economic Journal
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