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Book Review: Arvind Panagariya, Free Trade & Prosperity: How Openness Helps Developing Countries Grow Richer and Combat Poverty 书评:arind Panagariya,《自由贸易与繁荣:开放如何帮助发展中国家致富和消除贫困》
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419825550
Anusree Paul
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引用次数: 0
Male–Female Wage Gap and Informal Employment in Bangladesh: A Quantile Regression Approach 孟加拉国男女工资差距与非正式就业:分位数回归方法
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418824477
Mustafiz Rahman, Md. Al-Hasan
This article undertakes an examination of Bangladesh’s latest available Quarterly Labour Force Survey 2015–2016 data to draw in-depth insights on gender wage gap and wage discrimination in Bangladesh labour market. The mean wage decomposition shows that on average a woman in Bangladesh earns 12.2 per cent lower wage than a man, and about half of the wage gap can be explained by labour market discrimination against women. Quantile counterfactual decomposition shows that women are subject to higher wage penalty at the lower deciles of the wage distribution with the wage gap varying between 8.3 per cent and 19.4 per cent at different deciles. We have found that at lower deciles, a significant part of the gender wage gap is on account of the relatively larger presence of informal employment. Conditional quantile estimates further reveal that formally employed female workers earn higher wage than their male counterparts at the first decile but suffer from wage penalty at the top deciles. JEL: C21, J31, J46, J70
本文对孟加拉国最新的2015-2016年季度劳动力调查数据进行了研究,以深入了解孟加拉国劳动力市场的性别工资差距和工资歧视。平均工资分解显示,孟加拉国女性的平均工资比男性低12.2%,其中约一半的工资差距可以用劳动力市场对女性的歧视来解释。分位数反事实分解表明,在工资分配的较低十分位数,妇女受到较高的工资惩罚,不同十分位数的工资差距在8.3%至19.4%之间。我们发现,在较低的十分位数,性别工资差距的很大一部分是由于非正式就业的相对较大的存在。有条件的分位数估计进一步揭示,正式就业的女性工人在前十分位数的工资高于男性同行,但在前十分位数的工资受到惩罚。j21, j31, j46, j70
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引用次数: 10
Some Common Lessons from Uncommon FTAs 从不常见的自由贸易协定中得到的一些共同教训
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418824479
K. Gaurav, Nalin Bharti
The present study endeavours to observe the trade creation and trade diversion effects of three free trade agreements (FTAs) in Asia, namely, India–Japan CEPA (IJCEPA), India–Sri Lanka FTA (ISFTA), and India–Bhutan FTA (IBFTA). The article aims to evaluate three uncommon FTAs that include developing–developed, developing–developing and developing–least developed countries. The objective is to evaluate the effects of these FTAs on exports and draw lessons for both the contracting parties and for other economies to commence FTAs that promote trade liberalization. This paper also aims to debunk the myth that FTAs between developing-least developed countries is not beneficial for the developing or least developed counterpart. The study applies augmented gravity model to capture the trade creation and trade diversion effects. The results confirm that ISFTA and IBFTA have trade creation effect, while in case of IJCEPA, there is trade diversion. These bilateral agreements can open the ways for multilateral trade liberalization in the long-run. JEL : F10, F13, F14
本研究试图观察印度-日本CEPA (IJCEPA)、印度-斯里兰卡自由贸易协定(ISFTA)和印度-不丹自由贸易协定(IBFTA)在亚洲的贸易创造和贸易转移效应。本文旨在对发展中国家与发达国家、发展中国家与发展中国家、发展中国家与最不发达国家三种不常见的自由贸易协定进行评估。目的是评估这些自由贸易协定对出口的影响,并为缔约双方和其他经济体开始促进贸易自由化的自由贸易协定吸取教训。本文还旨在揭穿发展中国家与最不发达国家之间的自由贸易协定对发展中国家或最不发达国家不利的神话。本研究运用增强引力模型捕捉贸易创造效应和贸易转移效应。结果表明,ISFTA和IBFTA具有贸易创造效应,而IJCEPA存在贸易转移效应。从长远来看,这些双边协定可以为多边贸易自由化开辟道路。Jel: f10, f13, f14
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引用次数: 5
Trade Impacts of South Asian Free Trade Agreements in Sri Lanka 南亚自由贸易协定对斯里兰卡的贸易影响
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418822203
Hiroyuki Taguchi, Don Chalani Imasha Rubasinghe
This article aims to examine the trade effects of the South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) with a focus on Sri Lanka, by applying a gravity trade model. The study targets the following three FTAs: the SAFTA, the India–Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (ISFTA), and the Pakistan–Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement (PSFTA). The outcomes of the gravity trade model estimation suggested that the trade creation effects were identified in the ISFTA, while those were not verified in the SAFTA and that the PSFTA had the trade creation effects only on the Sri Lankan imports. Those results seem to reflect the differentials in the preferential tariff rates. In particular, ISFTA could have the predominant positive effects on Sri Lankan trade flows due to its lowest preferential tariff rates, and thus the SAFTA effect might be crowded out at the current stage of Sri Lankan trade. JEL: F13, F14, O53
本文旨在通过应用重力贸易模型,以斯里兰卡为重点,考察南亚自由贸易协定(SAFTA)的贸易影响。这项研究的目标是以下三个自由贸易协定:南亚自由贸易协定、印度-斯里兰卡自由贸易协定(ISFTA)和巴基斯坦-斯里兰卡自由贸易协定(PSFTA)。重力贸易模型估计的结果表明,ISFTA确定了贸易创造效应,而这些效应未在SAFTA中得到验证,并且PSFTA仅对斯里兰卡进口具有贸易创造效应。这些结果似乎反映了优惠关税税率的差别。特别是,由于优惠关税税率最低,伊斯兰自由贸易协定可能对斯里兰卡的贸易流动产生主要的积极影响,因此,在斯里兰卡贸易的当前阶段,南亚自由贸易协定的影响可能被排挤掉。Jel: f13, f14, o53
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引用次数: 4
Book Review: Paras Kharel (ed.), South Asian Cooperation: Issues, Old and New 书评:帕拉斯·卡雷尔主编,《南亚合作:新旧问题》
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419825551
Sampa Kundu
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引用次数: 0
India–China Trade: Asymmetrical Developments and Future Prospects 印中贸易:不对称发展和未来前景
Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561419840137
Sunanda Ghosh, M. Agarwal, Adrita Banerjee
This article seeks to provide an overview of the evolution and analyses the changing composition of trade between India and China over the period 1983–2017. We find that Chinese exports are almost completely concentrated in manufactures, especially finished equipment goods, whereas Indian exports consist of both agriculture and manufactures and over time have shifted predominantly to intermediate goods. Further, both the countries are exporting those commodities to each other in which they have a revealed comparative advantage, with China’s exports being more diversified. We employ vector error correction estimation and show that China’s exports to India are dependent on India’s household consumption expenditure, while India’ exports to China are correlated to Chinese manufacturing value added. Finally, we calculate the share of each country’s commodity-wise export to the partner in their respective total exports with a view to studying prospects for India–China trade. We conclude that for further trade expansion, diversification is extremely necessary, and Indian exports of inputs to Chinese industries need to change substantially to accommodate the changing nature of China’s industrial structure. JEL: F14, F15, O24
本文旨在概述这一演变,并分析1983-2017年期间印度和中国之间贸易构成的变化。我们发现,中国的出口几乎完全集中在制成品上,尤其是制成品,而印度的出口既包括农产品,也包括制成品,而且随着时间的推移,出口主要转向了中间产品。此外,两国都在向对方出口各自具有明显比较优势的商品,而中国的出口更加多样化。我们采用向量误差修正估计,表明中国对印度的出口依赖于印度的家庭消费支出,而印度对中国的出口与中国制造业增加值相关。最后,我们计算了每个国家对合作伙伴的商品出口在各自出口总额中的份额,以研究印中贸易的前景。我们得出的结论是,为了进一步扩大贸易,多样化是极其必要的,印度对中国产业的投入品出口需要发生重大变化,以适应中国产业结构的变化。Jel: f14, f15, o24
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引用次数: 1
Determinants of Financial Stress of Indian Banks 印度银行财务压力的决定因素
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418794695
N. Kumar, Arvind Shrivastava, Dayashankar Singh, Purnendu Kumar
The study examines factors influencing non-performing loans (NPLs) for Indian banks. The analysis contributes by including restructured advances also in addition to standard measures of asset quality that provides comprehensive picture of pressure on banks’ balance sheet. Moreover, Bayesian technique with multivariate t-distributed prior is applied for robust estimation. Utilizing quarterly dataset from 2005 to 2015, strong persistence of bad assets is clearly evident. Bank-specific characteristics such as growth of advances, profitability and net interest margin are significant determinants. Among macro-factors, high growth rate is having retarding impact on bad assets. Moreover, ownership effect is having differential behaviour with state-owned banks being most vulnerable. JEL: G21, C11, C23
该研究考察了影响印度银行不良贷款的因素。该分析的贡献在于,除了对资产质量的标准衡量之外,还包括了重组垫款,后者提供了银行资产负债表压力的全面图景。此外,采用多元t分布先验贝叶斯技术进行稳健估计。利用2005年至2015年的季度数据,不良资产的强劲持久性显而易见。银行特有的特征,如预付款增长、盈利能力和净息差,是重要的决定因素。在宏观因素中,高增长率对不良资产产生了迟滞作用。此外,所有权效应表现出差异性,国有银行最为脆弱。耶利米书:21,11,23
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引用次数: 4
Book Review: Export-Import Bank of India, Act East: Enhancing India’s Trade with Bangladesh and Myanmar across Border 书评:印度进出口银行,《向东行动:加强印度与孟加拉国和缅甸的跨境贸易》
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418800512
K. Biswal
which can then be modelled for forecasting different disasters, for example, ideal transboundary flood forecasting system. The authors suggest conducting a postdisaster needs assessment in order to assess full extent of a disaster’s impact for developing a recovery strategy. There have been considerable international efforts for disaster risk reduction worldwide. Yokohama Strategy for a Safer World: guidelines for natural disaster prevention, preparedness and mitigation and its plan of action (1994) was one of the first guidance to address disaster risk reduction globally. The gaps in Yokohama Strategy led to the adoption of the Hyogo Framework for Action 2005–2015, building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters. Subsequently, Sendai Framework (post-2015) was adopted in the third UN World conference on Disaster Risk Reduction held in Sendai in 2015. It is an international framework to reduce disaster risk within the context of sustainable development. The priorities of Sendai Framework are to understand disaster risk, strengthen disaster risk governance, increase resilience and enhance disaster preparedness. In Asia, countries have developed the Asian Regional Plan for implementation of the Sendai Framework that helps to facilitate cooperation and collaboration in view of building risk resilience in Asia. Summarizing, the book is an interesting mix of chapters which can be used both as a text book as well as for research in disaster management. It illustrates the basic concepts of disaster management in an easily understandable language. Though the context of the book is based in Asia, the concepts are universal and can be applied all over the world. Overall, the book focuses on disaster management than natural hazards per se, simultaneously, the authors utilize various case studies to illustrate the concepts and principles. The inclusion of best practices in disaster response would have added more substance to the book. The examples cited could have been presented with more well researched insights on the management of disasters to provide a holistic picture. The structure and content of this book encourages a multi-sectoral and multidisciplinary approach towards disaster management. By examining science and technology as well as disaster governance, the authors try to balance the scientific and social approach to disaster management.
然后可以将其建模用于预测不同的灾害,例如理想的跨境洪水预报系统。这组作者建议进行灾后需求评估,以便全面评估灾难对制定恢复战略的影响。在世界范围内,为减少灾害风险已经作出了相当大的国际努力。《建立更安全世界的横滨战略:预防、备灾和减轻自然灾害的准则及其行动计划》(1994年)是解决全球减少灾害风险问题的首批指南之一。《横滨战略》中的空白促成了《2005-2015年兵库行动框架》的通过,旨在增强国家和社区的抗灾能力。随后,2015年在仙台举行的第三届联合国世界减少灾害风险大会通过了《仙台框架(2015年后)》。这是一个在可持续发展的背景下减少灾害风险的国际框架。仙台框架的重点是了解灾害风险,加强灾害风险治理,提高抗灾能力,加强备灾。在亚洲,各国制定了《仙台框架亚洲区域实施计划》,有助于促进合作与协作,以增强亚洲的风险抵御能力。总之,这本书是一个有趣的章节组合,既可以用作教科书,也可以用于灾害管理的研究。它用通俗易懂的语言阐述了灾害管理的基本概念。虽然这本书的背景是在亚洲,但其中的概念是普遍的,可以在世界各地应用。总的来说,这本书侧重于灾害管理而不是自然灾害本身,同时,作者利用各种案例研究来说明概念和原则。如果将灾难应对方面的最佳实践纳入书中,这本书将会有更多的内容。所引用的例子本可以与关于灾害管理的更深入研究的见解一起提出,以提供一个全面的情况。本书的结构和内容鼓励对灾害管理采取多部门和多学科的方法。通过考察科学技术和灾害治理,作者试图平衡灾害管理的科学方法和社会方法。
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引用次数: 2
Does Improvement in Trade Openness Facilitate Renewable Energy Transition? Evidence from Selected South Asian Economies 贸易开放度提高是否有利于可再生能源转型?来自部分南亚经济体的证据
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418794691
Muntasir Murshed
The aim of this article is to empirically shed light on the impacts of trade openness (TO) on facilitation of renewable energy transition (RET) across Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Nepal. Against this backdrop, this article incorporated annual time series data stemming from 2000 to 2017 and employed the two-stage least squares (2SLS) panel data estimation methodology. In addition, the panel Granger causality test was also applied to distinguish the possible long-run causal associations between the variables considered in the regression models. In the light of the estimated results, it is found that an improvement in TO triggers renewable energy consumption, improves the primary energy-use efficiency and elevates the access to clean cooking fuel technology within the selected South Asian economies. However, the results also led to the concerning conclusion regarding the ineffectiveness of the trade liberalization policies in curbing the relative consumption of non-renewable energy resources, thereby marginalizing the prospects of overall RET within these economies. JEL: O13, P2, Q42, D12, F35
本文的目的是通过实证揭示贸易开放对促进孟加拉国、印度、巴基斯坦、斯里兰卡和尼泊尔的可再生能源转型(RET)的影响。在此背景下,本文结合2000年至2017年的年度时间序列数据,采用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)面板数据估计方法。此外,还采用面板格兰杰因果检验来区分回归模型中考虑的变量之间可能存在的长期因果关系。根据估计的结果,研究发现,在选定的南亚经济体中,TO的改善引发了可再生能源消费,提高了初级能源使用效率,并提高了清洁烹饪燃料技术的使用机会。然而,这些结果也导致了令人担忧的结论,即贸易自由化政策在抑制不可再生能源的相对消费方面是无效的,从而使这些经济体的总体可再生能源利用前景边缘化。Jel: o13, p2, q42, d12, f35
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引用次数: 84
Book Review: Indrajit Paul and Tuhin Ghosh, Natural Hazards Management in Asia 书评:Indrajit Paul和Tuhin Ghosh,亚洲自然灾害管理
Pub Date : 2018-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/1391561418798895
Swati Sulagna
Natural disasters are one of the major challenges of modern day society. Management of the same requires convergence of different disciplines and active participation of policymakers, engineers and citizens alike. The book titled Natural Hazards Management in Asia by Indrajit Paul and Tuhin Ghosh, tries to balance the need for information of all these key players involved in preventing natural hazards from becoming a disaster. Covering the wide range of concepts in disaster management can be challenging. The book discusses basic disaster management concepts before moving on to the application side of science and technology and policy interventions for disaster recovery and rehabilitation. The book consists of ten chapters, while the first five chapters focus on introducing different concepts of disaster management, the following chapters present research methods, science and technology and governance regarding disaster management. Natural hazards are natural processes occurring on earth required to sustain it. However, these processes may affect human settlements causing widespread destruction and casualties. The Disaster Management Act, 2005, defines disaster as
自然灾害是现代社会面临的主要挑战之一。同样的管理需要不同学科的融合和政策制定者、工程师和公民的积极参与。Indrajit Paul和Tuhin Ghosh撰写的《亚洲自然灾害管理》一书试图平衡所有这些关键参与者对信息的需求,以防止自然灾害成为灾难。涵盖灾害管理中广泛的概念可能具有挑战性。本书讨论了基本的灾害管理概念,然后转移到科学和技术的应用方面,以及灾害恢复和重建的政策干预。全书共分十章,前五章主要介绍灾害管理的不同概念,后几章主要介绍灾害管理的研究方法、科学技术和治理。自然灾害是地球上发生的维持自然灾害所需的自然过程。然而,这些进程可能影响人类住区,造成广泛的破坏和伤亡。2005年的《灾害管理法》将灾害定义为
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引用次数: 0
期刊
South Asia Economic Journal
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