首页 > 最新文献

South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance最新文献

英文 中文
Impact of Non-Interest Income on Bank Efficiency: Evidence from Sri Lanka 非利息收入对银行效率的影响:来自斯里兰卡的证据
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.4038/sajf.v1i1.25
J. Weerasuriya, R. Rathnayake, P. Fernando
Purpose: To explore the impact of non-traditional activities on both the cost and profit efficiency of banks as the measures of banks’ performance for the context of Sri Lanka. Design/Methodology/Approach: This study has considered systemically important banks in Sri Lanka as the sample and a panel data set for the period 2009 to 2019 obtained from annual reports of the banks. Estimation of bank efficiency was based on Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA). The efficiency of banks estimated using Cobb-Douglas and Translog Frontier forms. Findings: The efficiency scores indicate that profit efficiency of banks have decreased due to the involvement in non-traditional activities while the cost efficiency of banks have increased due to the involvement in non-traditional activities. The analysis shows that technology development has a significant impact on profit inefficiency under both cobb-douglas and translog models, while ATM development has only a significant impact on cost inefficiency under translog model when banks engage in both traditional and non-traditional banking activities. Yet, both profit and cost inefficiency of banks does not influence due to the ownership status of banks under the both models. Originality: This study contributes to the extant literature by highlighting the impact of inclusion of non-interest income as the secondary source of banks’ income to the banks’ performance in terms of profit and cost efficiencies as existing literature is silent regarding in this aspect.
目的:以斯里兰卡为背景,探讨非传统活动对银行成本和利润效率的影响,作为衡量银行绩效的指标。设计/方法/方法:本研究将斯里兰卡具有系统重要性的银行作为样本,并从银行的年度报告中获得2009年至2019年的面板数据集。银行效率的估计基于随机前沿分析(SFA)。利用科布-道格拉斯表格和Translog Frontier表格估算银行效率。研究发现:效率得分表明,银行的利润效率因参与非传统活动而降低,而银行的成本效率则因参与非传统活动而提高。分析表明,在cobb-douglas模型和translog模型下,技术发展对利润无效率都有显著影响,而在translog模型下,当银行从事传统和非传统银行业务时,ATM发展仅对成本无效率有显著影响。然而,在两种模式下,由于银行的所有权地位,银行的利润和成本低效率都不受影响。独创性:本研究对现有文献的贡献在于突出了将非利息收入作为银行收入的第二来源对银行利润和成本效率绩效的影响,因为现有文献在这方面没有提及。
{"title":"Impact of Non-Interest Income on Bank Efficiency: Evidence from Sri Lanka","authors":"J. Weerasuriya, R. Rathnayake, P. Fernando","doi":"10.4038/sajf.v1i1.25","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4038/sajf.v1i1.25","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: To explore the impact of non-traditional activities on both the cost and profit efficiency of banks as the measures of banks’ performance for the context of Sri Lanka. Design/Methodology/Approach: This study has considered systemically important banks in Sri Lanka as the sample and a panel data set for the period 2009 to 2019 obtained from annual reports of the banks. Estimation of bank efficiency was based on Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA). The efficiency of banks estimated using Cobb-Douglas and Translog Frontier forms. Findings: The efficiency scores indicate that profit efficiency of banks have decreased due to the involvement in non-traditional activities while the cost efficiency of banks have increased due to the involvement in non-traditional activities. The analysis shows that technology development has a significant impact on profit inefficiency under both cobb-douglas and translog models, while ATM development has only a significant impact on cost inefficiency under translog model when banks engage in both traditional and non-traditional banking activities. Yet, both profit and cost inefficiency of banks does not influence due to the ownership status of banks under the both models. Originality: This study contributes to the extant literature by highlighting the impact of inclusion of non-interest income as the secondary source of banks’ income to the banks’ performance in terms of profit and cost efficiencies as existing literature is silent regarding in this aspect.","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72992937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Short and Long Term Determinants of Bank Credit Growth in Sri Lanka 斯里兰卡银行信贷增长的短期和长期决定因素
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.4038/sajf.v1i1.24
P. Dharmadasa
{"title":"Short and Long Term Determinants of Bank Credit Growth in Sri Lanka","authors":"P. Dharmadasa","doi":"10.4038/sajf.v1i1.24","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4038/sajf.v1i1.24","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89445795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Antecedents of Customer Adoption on Digital Banking with Special Reference to Non-Banking Financial Institutes in Sri Lanka 客户采用数字银行的前因——以斯里兰卡的非银行金融机构为例
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.4038/sajf.v1i1.28
K. Madusanka, D. Kumari
{"title":"Antecedents of Customer Adoption on Digital Banking with Special Reference to Non-Banking Financial Institutes in Sri Lanka","authors":"K. Madusanka, D. Kumari","doi":"10.4038/sajf.v1i1.28","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4038/sajf.v1i1.28","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"69 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76773086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Financial Sustainability of Microfinance Institutions and Macroeconomic Factors: A Case of South Asia 小额信贷机构的金融可持续性与宏观经济因素——以南亚为例
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-05-06 DOI: 10.1177/22779787211007970
A. Memon, W. Akram, Ghulam Abbas, A. Chandio, Sultan Adeel, Iram Yasmin
This study explores the financial sustainability of microfinance institutions (MFIs) in the economic context to identify how macro-level economic decisions affect the micro-level decisions in the microfinance sector in South Asia. For that purpose, the data of 409 South Asian MFIs combined with the macroeconomic variables of respective countries are used over the period 1999–2017. The empirical analysis uses a fixed-effect model (FEM) to analyse the unbalance panel data of microfinance institutions and macroeconomic variables. We employ two-stage least squares (2SLS) model for robustness and System Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) to address the potential endogeneity and over-identification bias. The results reveal that economic indicators such as foreign investment, human development, inflation, interest rate, private credit, and labour force participation have negatively influenced financial sustainability except for the GDP growth. The overall economic results seem imperative from the good-governance perspective of MFIs. Besides, the government and microfinance policymakers need to give due consideration to the macro-level economic decisions to achieve the financial sustainability of MFIs. JEL Classification: A12, G21, G28, O1, Q01
本研究探讨了经济背景下小额信贷机构(mfi)的财务可持续性,以确定宏观经济决策如何影响南亚小额信贷部门的微观决策。为此,我们使用了1999年至2017年期间409家南亚小额信贷机构的数据以及各自国家的宏观经济变量。实证分析采用固定效应模型(FEM)对小额信贷机构面板数据与宏观经济变量的不平衡进行分析。我们采用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)模型来增强鲁棒性,并采用系统广义矩法(GMM)来解决潜在的内生性和过度识别偏差。结果表明,除GDP增长外,外国投资、人类发展、通货膨胀、利率、私人信贷和劳动力参与等经济指标对金融可持续性产生了负向影响。从小额信贷机构良好治理的角度来看,总体经济结果似乎是必不可少的。此外,政府和小额信贷政策制定者需要充分考虑宏观经济决策,以实现小额信贷机构的财务可持续性。JEL分类:A12, G21, G28, O1, Q01
{"title":"Financial Sustainability of Microfinance Institutions and Macroeconomic Factors: A Case of South Asia","authors":"A. Memon, W. Akram, Ghulam Abbas, A. Chandio, Sultan Adeel, Iram Yasmin","doi":"10.1177/22779787211007970","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/22779787211007970","url":null,"abstract":"This study explores the financial sustainability of microfinance institutions (MFIs) in the economic context to identify how macro-level economic decisions affect the micro-level decisions in the microfinance sector in South Asia. For that purpose, the data of 409 South Asian MFIs combined with the macroeconomic variables of respective countries are used over the period 1999–2017. The empirical analysis uses a fixed-effect model (FEM) to analyse the unbalance panel data of microfinance institutions and macroeconomic variables. We employ two-stage least squares (2SLS) model for robustness and System Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) to address the potential endogeneity and over-identification bias. The results reveal that economic indicators such as foreign investment, human development, inflation, interest rate, private credit, and labour force participation have negatively influenced financial sustainability except for the GDP growth. The overall economic results seem imperative from the good-governance perspective of MFIs. Besides, the government and microfinance policymakers need to give due consideration to the macro-level economic decisions to achieve the financial sustainability of MFIs. JEL Classification: A12, G21, G28, O1, Q01","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":"116 - 142"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/22779787211007970","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48711363","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Determinism and Non-linear Behaviour of Log-return and Conditional Volatility: Empirical Analysis for 26 Stock Markets 对数收益与条件波动的确定性与非线性行为:26个股票市场的实证分析
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-04 DOI: 10.1177/2277978721995654
Zouhaier Dhifaoui
Determinism and non-linear behaviour in log-return and conditional volatility time series of the stock market index is examined for twenty-six countries. For this goal, the principal statistical techniques used in this study are a robust estimator of correlation dimension, a normalized non-linear prediction error, and pseudo-periodic surrogate data method. The proposed approach indicates, first, the stochastic behaviour of all log-return time series. Second, the inability of local linear, ARMA, or state- dependent noise models (such as ARCH, GARCH, and EGARCH) to describe its structure for the frontier, emerging, and developed markets. The same stochastic behaviour of conditional volatility time series, estimated by the stochastic volatility model with moving average innovations, is detected. This finding proves the efficiency of the stochastic volatility model compared with some analysed types of GARCH models for all studied markets. JEL Classification: C12, C52, D53, E44
研究了26个国家股票市场指数对数收益率和条件波动率时间序列的决定性和非线性行为。为此,本研究中使用的主要统计技术是相关维数的稳健估计、归一化非线性预测误差和伪周期代理数据方法。所提出的方法首先表明了所有对数回归时间序列的随机行为。其次,局部线性、ARMA或状态相关噪声模型(如ARCH、GARCH和EGARCH)无法描述其在前沿、新兴和发达市场的结构。利用具有移动平均创新的随机波动率模型估计了条件波动率时间序列的相同随机行为。这一发现证明了随机波动率模型与所有研究市场的某些分析类型的GARCH模型相比的有效性。JEL分类:C12、C52、D53、E44
{"title":"Determinism and Non-linear Behaviour of Log-return and Conditional Volatility: Empirical Analysis for 26 Stock Markets","authors":"Zouhaier Dhifaoui","doi":"10.1177/2277978721995654","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978721995654","url":null,"abstract":"Determinism and non-linear behaviour in log-return and conditional volatility time series of the stock market index is examined for twenty-six countries. For this goal, the principal statistical techniques used in this study are a robust estimator of correlation dimension, a normalized non-linear prediction error, and pseudo-periodic surrogate data method. The proposed approach indicates, first, the stochastic behaviour of all log-return time series. Second, the inability of local linear, ARMA, or state- dependent noise models (such as ARCH, GARCH, and EGARCH) to describe its structure for the frontier, emerging, and developed markets. The same stochastic behaviour of conditional volatility time series, estimated by the stochastic volatility model with moving average innovations, is detected. This finding proves the efficiency of the stochastic volatility model compared with some analysed types of GARCH models for all studied markets. JEL Classification: C12, C52, D53, E44","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":"69 - 94"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2277978721995654","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45873919","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Were Foreign Exchange Markets Reacting Negatively to Political Events? The Case of Malaysia 外汇市场对政治事件反应消极吗?马来西亚案例
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2277978721995649
Hon-Chung Hui
This article explores the effects of political events on foreign exchange returns in Malaysia. We identify five political events in recent history, namely the 13th General Election (GE13), the imprisonment of a key opposition politician, the scandal from the 1MDB exposé, the appointment of a new Central Bank Governor and the 14th General Election (GE14). Using event studies, our findings show that the imprisonment of the opposition party leader triggered a favourable response from the foreign exchange market. However, market reactions to the 1MDB scandal were largely unfavourable. The GE13 triggered unfavourable market response, while the reverse is true for market reactions to GE14. Market response to the appointment of the new Central Bank Governor was rather positive. The Event Study is the first of its kind that examines the foreign exchange market implications of key political events in Malaysia. There are practical considerations that emanate from these findings. JEL Classification: F31, D72, D73, O38
本文探讨了政治事件对马来西亚外汇收益的影响。我们确定了近代史上的五个政治事件,即第13次大选(GE13)、一名主要反对派政治家被监禁、1MDB曝光的丑闻、任命新的中央银行行长和第14次大选(GE 14)。通过事件研究,我们的研究结果表明,反对党领袖被监禁引发了外汇市场的积极反应。然而,市场对1MDB丑闻的反应在很大程度上是不利的。GE13引发了不利的市场反应,而市场对GE14的反应正好相反。市场对新任央行行长的任命反应相当积极。事件研究是第一个研究马来西亚主要政治事件对外汇市场影响的研究。这些发现产生了一些实际的考虑。JEL分类:F31、D72、D73、O38
{"title":"Were Foreign Exchange Markets Reacting Negatively to Political Events? The Case of Malaysia","authors":"Hon-Chung Hui","doi":"10.1177/2277978721995649","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978721995649","url":null,"abstract":"This article explores the effects of political events on foreign exchange returns in Malaysia. We identify five political events in recent history, namely the 13th General Election (GE13), the imprisonment of a key opposition politician, the scandal from the 1MDB exposé, the appointment of a new Central Bank Governor and the 14th General Election (GE14). Using event studies, our findings show that the imprisonment of the opposition party leader triggered a favourable response from the foreign exchange market. However, market reactions to the 1MDB scandal were largely unfavourable. The GE13 triggered unfavourable market response, while the reverse is true for market reactions to GE14. Market response to the appointment of the new Central Bank Governor was rather positive. The Event Study is the first of its kind that examines the foreign exchange market implications of key political events in Malaysia. There are practical considerations that emanate from these findings. JEL Classification: F31, D72, D73, O38","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"10 1","pages":"105 - 129"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2277978721995649","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41910377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incentives, Status and Thereafter: A Critical Survey 激励,地位和之后:一个关键的调查
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/2277978721990970
Oindrila Dey, Swapnendu Banerjee
This article provides a critical discussion on the working of status as an instrument to elicit desirable effort within an organization. It postulates a comprehensive survey of the studies on incentive, especially non-monetary incentives like status. Different studies are summarized concisely and elaborate comments on the divergent views on valuation for status, the relationship between monetary and status incentives, the technique of modelling status and the cost of introducing status have been illustrated. The article underlines some probable adverse consequences associated with the use of the status incentive. Status works by creating inequality and has strong unwarranted influence even beyond organizational purview. It emphasizes the need for profound research to account for the optimal and prudent use of status as incentives. JEL Classification: L2, D21, D86
本文对状态作为一种工具的工作进行了批判性的讨论,以在组织中引出理想的工作。它要求对激励的研究进行全面的调查,特别是像地位这样的非金钱激励。本文对不同的研究进行了简要的总结,并对地位评价、货币激励与地位激励之间的关系、地位建模技术和引入地位的成本等不同观点进行了详细的评论。这篇文章强调了与使用地位激励有关的一些可能的不良后果。地位通过制造不平等而起作用,甚至在组织范围之外也有强大的不必要的影响。它强调需要进行深入的研究,以说明如何最佳和谨慎地使用地位作为激励措施。JEL分类:L2, D21, D86
{"title":"Incentives, Status and Thereafter: A Critical Survey","authors":"Oindrila Dey, Swapnendu Banerjee","doi":"10.1177/2277978721990970","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978721990970","url":null,"abstract":"This article provides a critical discussion on the working of status as an instrument to elicit desirable effort within an organization. It postulates a comprehensive survey of the studies on incentive, especially non-monetary incentives like status. Different studies are summarized concisely and elaborate comments on the divergent views on valuation for status, the relationship between monetary and status incentives, the technique of modelling status and the cost of introducing status have been illustrated. The article underlines some probable adverse consequences associated with the use of the status incentive. Status works by creating inequality and has strong unwarranted influence even beyond organizational purview. It emphasizes the need for profound research to account for the optimal and prudent use of status as incentives. JEL Classification: L2, D21, D86","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":"95 - 115"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2277978721990970","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44907137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
International Capital Flows When Safe Assets Scarcity Matters 当安全资产稀缺重要时,国际资本流动
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-15 DOI: 10.1177/2277978721989934
L. Hung, N. T. Hoan
In an open multi-country economy, the safe assets supply shapes the pattern of international capital flows. A higher productivity growth rate raises the net capital inflows for economies with abundant safe assets, but reduces the net capital inflows for economies with scarce safe assets. The cross-section analysis on a sample of 170 economies over 1980–2013 confirms the theory. The evidence is robust for instrument-variable (IV) analysis method. JEL Classifications: F15, F36, F43
在开放的多国经济中,安全的资产供给决定了国际资本流动的格局。更高的生产率增长率提高了安全资产充足经济体的净资本流入,但减少了安全资产稀缺经济体的资本净流入。对1980-2013年170个经济体样本的横截面分析证实了这一理论。该证据对于仪器变量(IV)分析方法是稳健的。JEL分类:F15、F36、F43
{"title":"International Capital Flows When Safe Assets Scarcity Matters","authors":"L. Hung, N. T. Hoan","doi":"10.1177/2277978721989934","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978721989934","url":null,"abstract":"In an open multi-country economy, the safe assets supply shapes the pattern of international capital flows. A higher productivity growth rate raises the net capital inflows for economies with abundant safe assets, but reduces the net capital inflows for economies with scarce safe assets. The cross-section analysis on a sample of 170 economies over 1980–2013 confirms the theory. The evidence is robust for instrument-variable (IV) analysis method. JEL Classifications: F15, F36, F43","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":"151 - 167"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2277978721989934","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45250414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Emerging Issues in Fiscal Sustainability in India: A Study of Central Government Finances, 1979–1980 to 2018–2019 印度财政可持续性中的新问题:1979–1980年至2018–2019年中央政府财政研究
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-11 DOI: 10.1177/2277978721989929
A. Rath, A. Sachan
The objective of the article is to examine the fiscal sustainability of the Indian central government’s finances in the era of rule-based fiscal policy. Asymmetric budgetary adjustment process and revenue–expenditure nexus are also analysed in this article by employing threshold autoregressive models/momentum threshold autoregressive models. Findings of the article reveal emerging issues in fiscal sustainability in India. The central government’s expenditure as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) has been falling continuously, leaving little room for further pruning. The current scenario of negative growth in central government’s revenue as a share of GDP, if not reversed, can become the Achilles heel of government finances in India. JEL Classification: E62, H600, H500, C32
本文的目的是考察在基于规则的财政政策时代,印度中央政府财政的财政可持续性。本文还采用阈值自回归模型/动量阈值自回归模式分析了非对称预算调整过程和收支关系。文章的研究结果揭示了印度财政可持续性方面正在出现的问题。中央政府的支出占国内生产总值的比例一直在持续下降,几乎没有进一步削减的余地。目前中央政府收入占GDP的比例出现负增长的情况,如果不加以扭转,可能会成为印度政府财政的致命弱点。JEL分类:E62、H600、H500、C32
{"title":"Emerging Issues in Fiscal Sustainability in India: A Study of Central Government Finances, 1979–1980 to 2018–2019","authors":"A. Rath, A. Sachan","doi":"10.1177/2277978721989929","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978721989929","url":null,"abstract":"The objective of the article is to examine the fiscal sustainability of the Indian central government’s finances in the era of rule-based fiscal policy. Asymmetric budgetary adjustment process and revenue–expenditure nexus are also analysed in this article by employing threshold autoregressive models/momentum threshold autoregressive models. Findings of the article reveal emerging issues in fiscal sustainability in India. The central government’s expenditure as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) has been falling continuously, leaving little room for further pruning. The current scenario of negative growth in central government’s revenue as a share of GDP, if not reversed, can become the Achilles heel of government finances in India. JEL Classification: E62, H600, H500, C32","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":"39 - 68"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2277978721989929","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49534098","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Output-inflation Trade-off in the Presence of Foreign Capital: Evidence for Vietnam 外资存在下的产出-通胀权衡:以越南为例
IF 0.9 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-02-27 DOI: 10.1177/2277978720979890
L. Hung
On one monthly time-series data set of Vietnam economy over 02/2008–09/2018, the Time-Varying-Coefficient VAR model records that the trade-off between inflation and output growth is mitigated by the foreign capital inflows. The inflation is mostly determined by credit supply growth, while output growth is largely driven by foreign direct investment (FDI) capital inflows. A monthly increase of FDI by USD 1 billion can raise 1.77% of monthly output growth rate. The result also holds on accounting for exchange rate fluctuation. JEL Classifications: E31, F15, F36, F43
在2008年2月至2018年9月的越南经济月度时间序列数据集上,时变系数VAR模型显示,外国资本流入缓解了通胀与产出增长之间的权衡关系。通货膨胀主要是由信贷供应增长决定的,而产出增长主要是由外国直接投资(FDI)资本流入驱动的。外国直接投资每月增加10亿美元,可提高月产出增长率1.77%。这一结果也适用于考虑汇率波动。JEL分类:E31, F15, F36, F43
{"title":"Output-inflation Trade-off in the Presence of Foreign Capital: Evidence for Vietnam","authors":"L. Hung","doi":"10.1177/2277978720979890","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/2277978720979890","url":null,"abstract":"On one monthly time-series data set of Vietnam economy over 02/2008–09/2018, the Time-Varying-Coefficient VAR model records that the trade-off between inflation and output growth is mitigated by the foreign capital inflows. The inflation is mostly determined by credit supply growth, while output growth is largely driven by foreign direct investment (FDI) capital inflows. A monthly increase of FDI by USD 1 billion can raise 1.77% of monthly output growth rate. The result also holds on accounting for exchange rate fluctuation. JEL Classifications: E31, F15, F36, F43","PeriodicalId":40308,"journal":{"name":"South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance","volume":"10 1","pages":"179 - 192"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1177/2277978720979890","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47347076","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
期刊
South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1