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Between Ricardo and Wagner: A Case Study on the History of Banking Legislation (1876-1879) 李嘉图与瓦格纳之间:银行立法史个案研究(1876-1879)
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2018-001004
A. Bruna
This paper provides a case history of the attempt by the first Italian left-wing government to regulate the banks’ issue system in the second half of the 19th century. From the point of view of banking policy, behind the gradualist approach to institutional changes lay an "eclectic" theory on the value of money between Ricardo and Wagner, which also characterized the action of the Minister of Economy Majorana in the first three years of the left-wing Government. The "middle way" favored by the Minister for banking regulation was largely inspired by the financial policy developed by Chase, Secretary of the Treasury in President Lincoln’s cabinet, during the American Civil War. These measures formed a model of "moderate" free banking, in the balance between hard and soft money, between the money issued by the State and that produced by private banks, and indeed between decentralization and centralization of the monetary institutions. This policy proved able to unify the currency in the Union on a permanent basis, appropriate to control the very strong inflationary pressures triggered by military spending, also financed by issue of greenbacks, but, above all, opportune to create a market for government bonds. In the case of Italy, examined here, regulatory response proved ineffective due both to the many changes that had been made to the project during parliamentary approval, severely compromising the rationality and consistency of Majorana’s original project, and to the failure to implement it. The insufficient legislation introduced was not able to stem the banking crisis, which became systemic in the early1890s.
本文提供了19世纪下半叶意大利第一个左翼政府试图规范银行发行制度的历史案例。从银行政策的角度来看,在对制度变革采取渐进主义方法的背后,是里卡多和瓦格纳之间关于货币价值的“折衷主义”理论,这也是左翼政府头三年经济部长马约拉纳行动的特点。银行监管部长青睐的“中间道路”主要是受到林肯总统内阁财政部长蔡斯在美国内战期间制定的金融政策的启发。这些措施形成了一种“适度”的自由银行模式,在硬货币和软货币之间、在国家发行的货币和私人银行发行的货币之间、实际上在货币机构的分散和集中之间取得平衡。事实证明,这一政策能够在联盟内永久统一货币,适合控制由军事开支引发的非常强烈的通货膨胀压力,军事开支也由发行美钞提供资金,但最重要的是,这是创造政府债券市场的机会。以意大利为例,由于在议会批准期间对项目进行了许多更改,严重损害了马约拉纳原始项目的合理性和一致性,以及未能实施,监管反应被证明是无效的。引入的立法不足未能阻止银行业危机,这场危机在19世纪90年代初成为系统性危机。
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引用次数: 0
Paul van Zeeland and the First Decade of the US Federal Reserve System: the Analysis from a European Central Banker who was a Student of Kemmerer Paul van Zeeland与美国联邦储备系统的第一个十年——来自凯默勒学生时期的欧洲央行行长的分析
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2018-002001
I. Maes, Rebeca Gomez Betancourt
The establishment of a central bank occurred at very different moments in the process of economic integration in the United States and the European Union. In this paper, we go into the first years of the Federal Reserve System through the lens of Paul van Zeeland’s PhD dissertation. Paul van Zeeland (1893-1973) became the first Head of the Economics Service of the National Bank of Belgium in 1921, after his studies in Princeton with Edwin Walter Kemmerer. There are clear similarities in their analyses of the Federal Reserve System, for instance in their adherence to the gold standard and the real bills doctrine as well as in their emphasis on the elasticity of the money supply. Moreover, they shared a view - with hindsight a rather naive view - that with the Fed in place, financial crises would be a distant memory. However, there were also important differences. So, van Zeeland, like several other economists as Warburg, accorded greater significance to the discount market (a key factor for the international role of the dollar) and to a stronger centralization of the Fed (which would be taken up in the 1935 Banking Act). Moreover, very specific for van Zeeland is the importance given to the Fed's independence from the State (an element related to his continental European background and Belgium's experience of monetary financing during the war).
中央银行的建立发生在美国和欧盟经济一体化进程中非常不同的时刻。在本文中,我们通过保罗·范·泽兰的博士论文的镜头进入联邦储备系统的最初几年。保罗·范·泽兰(Paul van Zeeland, 1893-1973)在1921年跟随埃德温·沃尔特·凯默勒(Edwin Walter Kemmerer)在普林斯顿大学学习后,成为比利时国家银行经济服务处的首任负责人。他们对联邦储备系统的分析有明显的相似之处,例如,他们坚持金本位和实物票据原则,以及他们对货币供应弹性的强调。此外,他们还持有一种观点——事后看来,这是一种相当天真的观点——即只要有美联储在,金融危机就会成为遥远的记忆。然而,也有重要的区别。因此,van Zeeland和Warburg等其他几位经济学家一样,更重视贴现市场(美元国际地位的关键因素)和美联储更强的中央集权(这将在1935年的《银行法》中得到采纳)。此外,范泽兰特别强调美联储独立于国家的重要性(这与他的欧洲大陆背景和比利时在战争期间的货币融资经验有关)。
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引用次数: 6
Centro Europa Ricerche from its foundation to the end of the ‘First Republic’ 从它的建立到“第一共和国”的结束
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-002005
C. Cristiano
The Centro Europa Ricerche (CER) was created in Rome in 1981 by Giorgio Ruffolo in collaboration with Antonio Pedone, Luigi Spaventa and a few others. Although very close to the Partito Socialista Italiano (PSI), CER was frequently very critical of the governments in which the PSI took part. While supporting successive reforms of the scala mobile, CER was highly critical of the budgetary policy, with a rapid shift of emphasis from the insufficient and unequal revenues to the need for structural spending cuts from 1983 onwards. Parallel to this ran the analysis of Italian industries and their outlook. While pointing to slow growth of productivity and scant innovation as the main problems of Italian industry, CER lamented the lack of an industrial policy and did not share the Bank of Italy view on the effects of the central bank exchange rate management within the EMS. While the central bank considered it possible to stimulate organisational and technological innovation by means of an overvalued lira, CER denounced the negative effects of this policy on employment. At a later stage, CER also began to view the growing size of the tertiary sector with increasing concern. The situation emerging at the end of the 1980s was that workers laid off from the exporting sectors were finding employment in the less competitive tertiary sector, thus producing an upward pressure on prices which generated inflation and reduced the competitiveness of the entire economy. In response to this, CER proposed several reforms. The reforms proposed, and the arguments supporting them, to some extent anticipated the kind of reformism that would prevail at a later stage, when Italy decided to enter the EMU. However, the kind of reformism proposed at CER from 1982 to 1992 was not based on the idea that an external constraint ought to be imposed on a recalcitrant country. What CER was proposing was an autonomous process of reform, opposed to any external constraint a la Maastricht.
1981年,Giorgio Ruffolo与Antonio Pedone、Luigi Spaventa等人在罗马合作创建了欧洲葡萄酒中心(CER)。虽然与意大利社会主义党(PSI)关系密切,但CER经常对PSI所参与的政府持批评态度。虽然支持连续的scala mobile改革,但CER对预算政策持高度批评态度,从1983年开始,重点从收入不足和不平等迅速转移到需要结构性削减开支。与此同时,对意大利工业及其前景进行了分析。虽然指出意大利工业的主要问题是生产率增长缓慢和缺乏创新,但CER对缺乏产业政策表示遗憾,并且不同意意大利银行对欧洲经济体系内央行汇率管理影响的看法。虽然中央银行认为有可能通过高估里拉来刺激组织和技术创新,但CER谴责了这一政策对就业的负面影响。在后期,经济研究中心也开始越来越关注第三产业的规模。1980年代末出现的情况是,从出口部门下岗的工人在竞争力较弱的第三部门找到了工作,从而对价格产生了上行压力,从而造成通货膨胀,降低了整个经济的竞争力。对此,CER提出了几项改革建议。提出的改革以及支持改革的论据,在某种程度上预示了后来意大利决定加入欧洲货币联盟时将盛行的那种改革主义。然而,1982年至1992年在CER会议上提出的那种改革主义,并不是基于应该对一个顽固不化的国家施加外部约束的想法。CER提出的是一个自主的改革过程,反对任何马斯特里赫特条约的外部约束。
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引用次数: 1
Economic expertise and policy beliefs - The think tanks of the Italian economy from the social conflict of the 1970s to the Maastricht Treaty 经济专业知识和政策信念-意大利经济智囊团从20世纪70年代的社会冲突到马斯特里赫特条约
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-002001
P. Bini
This paper explores the activities of five think tanks at work on the Italian economy during the 1970s and 1980s. They are: Cespe (Economic Policy Research Centre) and Csc (the research departement of the Confederation of Italian Industries) in the second half of the 1970s; Ceep (Economic Policy Study Center) from 1973 to 1992; Cer (Research Europe Center) from 1981 to 1992; Isel (Labour Economic Studies Institute) from 1981 to 1985. Based on the experience of these study centres, the paper considers some leading topics in the think tank’s literature, such as 1) the relationship between knowledge and power; 2) the challenging and problematic path between the economic expertise and the aspiration to influence the policy-making. In particular, the study-cases analysed show a variety of nexus between knowledge and policy, in some cases of a conflictual nature, in others of a dialectical nature, and in yet others legitimising one another. As a consequence of this focus on these 5 think tanks, some major issues of the Italian economy of that time are also brought to the attention of the reader: the ways then adopted to escape from inflation; the inability of the ruling powers to address the crisis of public finance and the soaring public debt; and the great uncertainty about the effectiveness of the quantitative parameters of the Maastricht Treaty in providing an appropriate solution for Italy. In general, the paper provides some reflections on the different guises in which economics seeks a place in public discourse.
本文探讨了五个智库在20世纪70年代和80年代对意大利经济的研究活动。他们是:Cespe(经济政策研究中心)和Csc(意大利工业联合会的研究部门)在20世纪70年代后半期;经济政策研究中心(Ceep), 1973 - 1992年;1981年至1992年担任欧洲研究中心主任;1981年至1985年在以色列劳动经济研究所工作。基于这些研究中心的经验,本文考虑了智库文献中的一些主要问题,如:1)知识与权力的关系;2)经济专业知识和影响政策制定的愿望之间的挑战和问题的路径。特别是,分析的研究案例显示了知识与政策之间的各种联系,在某些情况下具有冲突性质,在其他情况下具有辩证性质,并且在其他情况下相互合法化。由于对这5个智库的关注,当时意大利经济的一些主要问题也引起了读者的注意:当时采取的避免通货膨胀的方法;执政大国无力解决公共财政危机和不断飙升的公共债务;以及《马斯特里赫特条约》的数量参数在为意大利提供适当解决办法方面的有效性存在很大的不确定性。总的来说,本文对经济学在公共话语中寻求一席之地的不同伪装提供了一些反思。
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引用次数: 2
Tough Times for an Italian Think Tank - The "Economic Policy Study Centre" (Ceep) from its foundation to the end of the First Republic (1973-1992) 意大利智库的艰难时期——从成立到第一共和国结束的“经济政策研究中心”(Ceep)(1973年至1992年)
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-002004
P. Bini
The paper deals with the experience of Centro Studi di Politica Economica - Ceep (Economic Policy Study Center) from its constitution in Turin in 1973 up to the early 1990s. The paper begins with some considerations on certain statutory, practical and organizational aspects of this Centre, together with its publishing initiatives involving various economic journals. Thereafter, the author analyses the special case of Giorgio La Malfa as head of Ceep and, at the same time, Minister for the Budget in the Italian Governments during the period 1980-1982. In the last part of the paper, the author describes the interesting annual debates arganized by Ceep on the topics of Italian budget deficits and the growing public debt as from 1988 up to 1992. In the course of the paper, the author offers various considerations on the influence this think tank exerted on the policy-decision process during its life.
本文介绍了经济政策研究中心(Centro Studi di Politica Economica-Ceep)从1973年在都灵成立到20世纪90年代初的经验。本文首先对该中心的某些法律、实践和组织方面进行了一些考虑,以及该中心涉及各种经济期刊的出版举措。此后,作者分析了Giorgio La Malfa在1980-1982年期间担任Ceep负责人,同时担任意大利政府预算部长的特殊情况。在论文的最后一部分,作者描述了从1988年到1992年,Ceep每年就意大利预算赤字和不断增长的公共债务进行的有趣的辩论。在本文中,作者对该智库在其生命周期中对政策决策过程的影响提出了各种思考。
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引用次数: 1
Balance of Payment, Wage Indexation and Growth: the Role of CESPE in Italian Policy-Making in the 1970s 国际收支、工资指数化和增长:CESPE在20世纪70年代意大利政策制定中的作用
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-002002
Francesco Cattabrini, Fabio Masini
Italian policy-making changed dramatically during the Seventies. Exogenous events (like the end of the Bretton Woods system and the oil shocks) and endogenous transformations of the major economic (wage indexation, planning system, instrument of governmental intervention in industries, tax system, relationship between monetary authority and Treasury) and political institutions (workers statute, public health insurance, role of regions, school system) deeply changed the Italian society. Such changes were accompanied and often guided by experts, who exerted a major influence on policymaking. This influence mainly operated through some influential think tanks, which set the table for fundamental public policies. Among them, one of the most relevant was CESPE, the research centre of the Italian Communist Party, to which most leading Italian economists of the time gave their contribution, and that organized several workshops and published research and policy papers. The aim of the paper is to highlight the contribution CESPE gave to the transformation of Italian policy-making in the Seventies.
意大利的政策制定在70年代发生了巨大变化。外生事件(如布雷顿森林体系的终结和石油危机)和主要经济(工资指指化、计划制度、政府干预工业的工具、税收制度、货币当局与财政部之间的关系)和政治制度(工人法规、公共医疗保险、地区角色、学校制度)的内生变革深刻地改变了意大利社会。这些变化往往是由专家陪同和指导的,他们对政策制定产生了重大影响。这种影响主要通过一些有影响力的智库来发挥作用,这些智库为基本的公共政策制定了议程。其中,最相关的是意大利共产党的研究中心CESPE,当时大多数主要的意大利经济学家都为该中心作出了贡献,该中心组织了几次讲习班并发表了研究和政策文件。本文的目的是强调CESPE对七十年代意大利政策制定变革的贡献。
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引用次数: 3
The case of ISEL within the strategy of CISL ISEL在CISL战略中的案例
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-002006
Giovanni Michelagnoli
The history of ISEL, the research center affiliated to the Italian Confederation of Labor Trade Unions (CISL), is to be considered closely related to the intellectual and personal vicissitudes of EzioTarantelli, the Italian economist who first prompted the creation of a trade union study center. Since its foundation (1981), ISEL activities have led to various publishing initiatives and formulation of the econometric model of the labor market (MOMEL). We will discuss how ISEL was originally founded in order to provide a suitable basis to support the key choices of the trade unions. Nevertheless, behind the rapid decrease in ISEL activity and its subsequent dissolution, which occurred in the immediate aftermath of Tarantelli’s death, lay the aim of giving back the trade unionists a degree of freedom in political terms.
ISEL是意大利劳动工会联合会(CISL)下属的研究中心,它的历史被认为与意大利经济学家埃齐奥·塔兰泰利(EzioTarantelli)的思想和个人变迁密切相关。塔兰泰利是最早推动建立工会研究中心的人。自1981年成立以来,ISEL的活动导致了各种出版倡议和劳动力市场计量经济模型(MOMEL)的制定。我们将讨论ISEL最初是如何成立的,以便为支持工会的关键选择提供合适的基础。然而,在塔兰泰利死后立即发生的以色列工会活动迅速减少及其随后解散的背后,其目的是在政治方面给工会主义者一定程度的自由。
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引用次数: 1
Re-founding a think tank: the Research Department of the Italian Industrial Association and its findings (1976-1980) 重建智库:意大利工业协会研究部及其研究成果(1976-1980)
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-002003
Alessandro Dafano
This work focuses on the Research Department established by the Italian Confederazione Generale dell’Industria (CSC), under the leadership of Guido Carli, between 1976 and 1980. This topic has been considered worthy of investigation because it represents an attempt to place Italy within a long-run stable macroeconomic path through supply-side policies and to foster a structural turning point able to overcome stagflation. Our specific goal is to stress the features of CSC as a modern think tank that worked through theoretical analysis supported by econometric research by both Italian and internationall economists.
这项工作的重点是意大利工业总联合会(CSC)在1976年至1980年期间在Guido Carli领导下设立的研究部。这个主题被认为是值得研究的,因为它代表着一种尝试,即通过供给侧政策将意大利置于长期稳定的宏观经济道路上,并培育一个能够克服滞胀的结构性转折点。我们的具体目标是强调CSC作为一个现代智库的特点,通过意大利和国际经济学家的计量经济学研究支持的理论分析来工作。
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引用次数: 2
A Universal Allowance to all Citizens: Juliet Rhys-Williams’ Alternative to The Beveridge Plan 全民津贴:Juliet Rhys Williams对Beveridge计划的替代方案
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-001002
C. Orsi
Studying the social and economic ideas underpinning political debates offers a deeper understanding of policy decision-making and institutional change. According to a well-established tradition, policies "can be regarded as embodying ideas about society, the economy, the state, citizens and relations between these. They embody views about justice, equality and individual responsibility" (Alcock et. al. 2000: 184). With this in mind, we shall investigate Lady Juliet Rhys-Williams’ critical reflections on the Beveridge Report and the alternative proposal she presented in Something to Look Forward to (1943). In this book, she elaborated an integrated approach to social security and income tax aimed at providing "complete security to those classes, especially the independent workers, widows and spinsters, who are not adequately covered by the Beveridge scheme" (Rhys-Williams 1943: vii). At the very heart of her social vision was the idea of distributing a universal allowance (basic income system) to all British citizens (children included). The rationale underpinning Rhys-Williams’ basic income system was the recognition that the problem afflicting British society was the ill-distribution of wealth, that hindered economic growth and prevented the attainment of full employment.
研究支持政治辩论的社会和经济思想,可以加深对政策决策和制度变革的理解。根据一个根深蒂固的传统,政策“可以被视为体现了关于社会、经济、国家、公民及其之间关系的观念。它们体现了关于正义、平等和个人责任的观点”(Alcock et. al. 2000: 184)。考虑到这一点,我们将研究朱丽叶·里斯-威廉姆斯夫人对贝弗里奇报告的批判性反思,以及她在《值得期待的事情》(1943)中提出的替代建议。在这本书中,她详细阐述了一种社会保障和所得税的综合方法,旨在“为那些未被贝弗里奇计划充分覆盖的阶层,特别是独立工人、寡妇和老处女提供完全的保障”(Rhys-Williams 1943: vii)。她的社会愿景的核心是向所有英国公民(包括儿童)发放普遍津贴(基本收入制度)的想法。支撑里斯-威廉姆斯基本收入制度的基本原理是,人们认识到,困扰英国社会的问题是财富分配不公,这阻碍了经济增长,阻碍了充分就业的实现。
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引用次数: 1
Antoine de Montchrétien and development economics Antoine de montchratien和发展经济学
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.3280/SPE2017-001005
Claudia Sunna
This work analyzes the economic thought of Antoine de Montchretien in the light of the categories of development economics, which emerged in the aftermath of World War II. In the history of economic thought the reconstructions of economic development analysis have often recognized that mercantilists and development economists have much in common. We will apply this comparison to Montchretien’s Traicte de l’Oeconomie Politique by analyzing the common ground of development economics and mercantilism in relation to national industrialization and economic growth. There will be also a focus on the "microfoundations" of the Traicte regarding individual behavior and unemployment as crucial factors for the explanation of economic development. We conclude that it is highly significant to find very similar rationales in explaining development processes in such an extensive time frame.
本文从第二次世界大战后出现的发展经济学的范畴出发,分析了安托万·德·蒙切雷蒂安的经济思想。在经济思想史上,经济发展分析的重建经常认识到重商主义者和发展经济学家有很多共同点。我们将通过分析发展经济学和重商主义与国家工业化和经济增长的共同点,将这种比较应用于Montchretien的《经济政治特征》。还将重点关注Traicte的“微观基础”,将个人行为和失业视为解释经济发展的关键因素。我们得出的结论是,在如此广泛的时间框架内解释开发过程时,找到非常相似的理由是非常重要的。
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引用次数: 0
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History of Economic Thought and Policy
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