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Estimating the Decayed, Missing, and Filled permanent Teeth (DMFT) index of the University of Split student population using the Monte Carlo method 使用蒙特卡洛法估算斯普利特大学学生群体的恒牙龋坏、缺失和填充(DMFT)指数
Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.48188/so.5.2
Dora Dodig, Darko Kero
Aim: To generate data for the Decayed, Missing, and Filled Permanent Teeth (DMFT) index of the entire student popu-lation of the University of Split from three samples of differ-ent sizes using the Monte Carlo method.Methods: We collected data during clinical exercises in the courses ‘Restorative Dental Medicine 2’ and ‘Endodontics 2.’ All participants (n = 200) were students at the University of Split. We derived three samples from the collected data on the DMFT index – small (n = 50), medium-sized (n = 100), and the entire sample (n = 200). Afterwards, we ran Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) to derive DMFT index data for three student populations of 20 000 individuals each from those samples. The probabilities of individual outcomes for the DMFT index and its components, as well as their correla-tions, were entered as assumptions for the MCS.Results: The estimated mean DMFT index of the student population was 8.96 (standard deviation (SD) = 0.69, 99% CI = 8.91–9.00) for MCS 50, 9.12 (SD = 0.47, 99% CI = 9.08–9.21) for MCS 100, and 8.82 (SD = 0.36, 99% CI = 8.77–8.87) for MCS 200. Regarding the components of the DMFT index, the number of repaired teeth in MCS 50, MCS 100, and MCS 200 was most strongly correlated with the DMFT index, with R values of 0.84, 0.82, and 0.77, respectively. The estimated mean DMFT indices by MCS differed from the mean DMFT indices of the corresponding samples and each other by less than 1 point.Conclusions: The Monte Carlo method may be useful in es-timating the population means of clinical indices in dental medicine, including the DMFT index. According to the as-sumptions made for MCS in this study, the size of the origi-nal samples did not significantly affect the estimates of the parameters of the DMFT index.
目的:使用蒙特卡洛方法,从三个不同规模的样本中生成斯普利特大学全体学生的恒牙龋坏、缺失和充填(DMFT)指数数据:我们在 "口腔修复医学 2 "和 "牙髓病学 2 "课程的临床实践中收集了数据。所有参与者(n = 200)都是斯普利特大学的学生。我们从收集到的 DMFT 指数数据中提取了三个样本--小型样本(n = 50)、中型样本(n = 100)和全部样本(n = 200)。然后,我们进行蒙特卡洛模拟(MCS),从这些样本中得出三个学生群体的 DMFT 指数数据,每个群体有 20 000 个个体。DMFT 指数及其组成部分的个体结果概率以及它们之间的相关性被输入作为蒙特卡洛模拟的假设条件:估计学生群体的 DMFT 指数平均值为:MCS 50 为 8.96(标准差 (SD) = 0.69,99% CI = 8.91-9.00),MCS 100 为 9.12(标准差 = 0.47,99% CI = 9.08-9.21),MCS 200 为 8.82(标准差 = 0.36,99% CI = 8.77-8.87)。关于DMFT指数的组成部分,MCS 50、MCS 100和MCS 200中修复牙齿的数量与DMFT指数的相关性最强,R值分别为0.84、0.82和0.77。按MCS估算的平均DMFT指数与相应样本的平均DMFT指数和彼此的平均DMFT指数相差不到1个点:蒙特卡洛法可用于估计包括 DMFT 指数在内的口腔医学临床指数的群体均值。根据本研究对蒙特卡洛方法的假设,原始样本的大小对 DMFT 指数参数的估计值没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Operational plan for responding to and rescuing works of art in the event of a fire 发生火灾时应对和抢救艺术品的行动计划
Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.16
Marin Buble, Jasna Popović
Objective: To develop a model of an operational plan for rescuing cultural heritage on the example of the Sacred Art Collection in the city of Trogir, Croatia.Methods: We assessed the situation in the Sacred Art Collection, evaluated the existing safety measures, estimated the value of artifacts, made prioritization by value, measured each artifact, and developed grab sheets.Results: We produced an operational plan containing the general facility information, interior and exterior contacts’ list, the evacuation of people procedure, risk assessment, floor plans, list of priority artifacts, management structure, artifact evacuation procedure, triage room location, temporary storage areas, and grab sheets.Conclusion: The specific measurement for responding to and rescuing work of art in case of fire should be separate for each heritage micro and macro site in the historical cities. These measures differ from other similar measures because they take into consideration the material and non-material value of a work of art, which differ from case to case.
目的:以克罗地亚特罗吉尔市的神圣艺术收藏品为范例,制定文化遗产抢救行动计划模式:以克罗地亚特罗吉尔市的神圣艺术收藏馆为例,制定抢救文化遗产的行动计划模式:我们评估了神圣艺术收藏馆的情况,评估了现有的安全措施,估算了文物的价值,按价值排定了优先顺序,对每件文物进行了测量,并编制了抢救表:我们制定了一份行动计划,其中包括设施概况、内部和外部联系人名单、人员疏散程序、风险评估、平面图、优先文物清单、管理结构、文物疏散程序、分诊室位置、临时存放区和抢救表:结论:在发生火灾时,应对和抢救艺术品的具体措施应针对历史名城的每个微观和宏观遗 址分别制定。这些措施不同于其他类似措施,因为它们考虑到了艺术品的物质和非物质价值,而这些价值又因具体情况而异。
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引用次数: 0
Work disability due to cardiovascular diseases in newly diagnosed patients in Ukraine during the first year of the war (2022) compared to prior nine years (2013-2021) 战争第一年(2022年)与前九年(2013-2021年)相比,乌克兰新诊断患者因心血管疾病导致的工作残疾
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.15
Alla Kyrychenko, Inna Khanyukova, Nataliia Sanina, Olena Moroz, Damir Sapunar
Aim: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are a significant problem in Ukraine, accounting for over 60% of all deaths in the country. It is expected that the ongoing Russian aggression will augment this problem. The study aimed to analyze the trends of work disability due to CVDs in newly-diagnosed patients between 2013 and 2022. Methods: This retrospective study included data obtained from the official document “Report on the Causes of Disability and Indications for Medical, Professional, and Social Rehabilitation” commissioned by the Ministry of Health of Ukraine. The data on disability due to CVD were obtained from 24 regions and the city of Kyiv for 2013-2022. Results: Between 2013 and 2022, the average incidence of work disability due to CVD per 10000 working-age individuals was 9.86. Among these disabilities, cerebrovascular diseases accounted for the highest proportion, followed by ischemic heart disease (IHD). The incidence of CVD-related primary disabilities displayed a variable upward trend over the observed period, with cerebrovascular diseases and hypertensive diseases showing clear upward trends. Compared to 2021, in the year 2022 (corresponding to the beginning of the Russian aggression) an 20% increase has been observed for CVDs, while for cerebrovascular diseases, IHD, hypertensive disease, acute rheumatic fever, and chronic rheumatic heart disease the increase was 20%, 18%, 22%, and 14%, respectively. The CVD-related work disability varied substantially in different regions of Ukraine. Conclusions: During the first year of the war in Ukraine (the year 2022) there was an increase in primary disability due to CVD compared to the period between 2013 and 2021. This may be associated with war-related psychosocial factors and global impact on CVD. The regions in southwestern parts of Ukraine proved to be especially prone to this increase requiring special attention.
目的:心血管疾病(cvd)是乌克兰的一个重大问题,占该国所有死亡人数的60%以上。预计俄罗斯正在进行的侵略将加剧这一问题。该研究旨在分析2013年至2022年期间新诊断患者因心血管疾病导致工作残疾的趋势。方法:这项回顾性研究的数据来自乌克兰卫生部委托编写的官方文件“残疾原因和医疗、专业和社会康复指征报告”。2013-2022年由心血管疾病导致的残疾数据来自24个地区和基辅市。结果:2013 - 2022年,每万名劳动年龄人口因心血管疾病导致工作残疾的平均发病率为9.86。在这些残疾中,脑血管疾病占比最高,其次是缺血性心脏病(IHD)。在观察期间,心血管疾病相关初级残疾的发病率呈可变上升趋势,脑血管疾病和高血压疾病的发病率呈明显上升趋势。与2021年相比,在2022年(与俄罗斯开始侵略相对应),心血管疾病增加了20%,而脑血管疾病、心脏病、高血压、急性风湿热和慢性风湿性心脏病分别增加了20%、18%、22%和14%。与心血管病有关的工作残疾在乌克兰不同地区差别很大。结论:在乌克兰战争的第一年(2022年),与2013年至2021年期间相比,心血管疾病导致的原发性残疾有所增加。这可能与战争相关的社会心理因素和心血管疾病的全球影响有关。乌克兰西南部的地区证明特别容易出现这种增加,需要特别注意。
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引用次数: 0
The crime of perjury in the legislation of the Republic of Croatia 克罗地亚共和国立法中的伪证罪
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.14
Damir Juras
Objective: The paper aims to provide a description and analysis of perjury in the legislation of the Republic of Croatia, the standpoints of legal theory, and perjury charges and prosecution in practice. Methods: This paper presents an analysis of legal provisions concerning the crime of perjury in Croatia, statistical data on perjury charges and conviction rates, perspectives of other authors, and relevant judicial practice. Results: The legislator has established criminal liability for perjury on the part of any witness, expert, translator, or interpreter who provides false testimony in a procedure. On the other hand, parties other than the defendant are liable for perjury if the final decision in the procedure was based on their false testimony. Legal theory and judicial practice agree that the crime is committed as soon as the person has finished testifying, that a prescribed format should be observed when testifying, that perjury may also be committed by withholding a decisive fact, as well as that in general, a retrial of a proceeding in which the perjury allegedly occurred is permissible only if based on a final judgment against the perjurer. An exceedingly large percentage of suspended sentences may fail to advance either general or specific deterrence. Regarding the contentious issue of necessary conditions for initiating perjury proceedings, the author argues that the conditions are met immediately upon providing false testimony. Conclusion: The legislator has criminalized perjury because providing false testimony constitutes a willful and intentional obstruction of the process of proving facts in issue in proceedings before competent authorities. The judicial sentencing policy is not consistent regarding the application of prescribed punishment. By stipulating criminal liability of a party only if their testimony was instrumental for the judgment, the party unjustifiably enjoys a more favorable position in relation to witnesses, experts, interpreters, and translators.
目的:本文旨在对克罗地亚共和国立法中的伪证罪、法理立场以及实践中的伪证罪指控和起诉进行描述和分析。方法:本文分析了克罗地亚有关伪证罪的法律规定、伪证罪指控和定罪率的统计数据、其他作者的观点以及相关的司法实践。结果:立法者确立了证人、专家、笔译或口译员在程序中提供虚假证词的伪证罪的刑事责任。另一方面,如果诉讼中的最终决定是基于被告以外的当事人的虚假证词,则被告以外的当事人应承担伪证罪。法律理论和司法实践一致认为,一旦证人作证完毕即构成犯罪,作证时应遵守规定的格式,也可以通过隐瞒决定性事实而犯伪证,以及一般来说,只有根据对伪证者不利的最终判决,才允许对据称发生伪证的诉讼进行重审。很大比例的缓刑可能无法推进一般或特定的威慑。关于提起伪证诉讼的必要条件这一有争议的问题,发件人认为,提供伪证后立即满足了这些条件。结论:立法者将伪证罪定为刑事犯罪,因为提供虚假证词构成了在主管当局的诉讼中故意阻碍证明事实的过程。司法量刑政策在规定刑适用上不一致。通过规定当事人的刑事责任,只有当他们的证词对判决有帮助时,当事人在证人、专家、口译员和翻译人员中享有更有利的地位,这是不合理的。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a simple algorithm for linear accelerator construction and simulation 开发了一种简单的直线加速器构建和仿真算法
Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.13
Rocco Barač, T. Šćulac
Aim: To develop a simple algorithm that accurately constructs and simulates an Alvarez-type linear accelerator given the initial conditions and number of accelerator parts.Methods: We wrote the algorithm in Python, a programming language with numerous useful math and science libraries, and the ability to use classes and objects. The particles were accelerated in electric fields (which we assumed to be constant within each cavity at any given moment) to allow for a comparison of numerical results with an analytic expression. No magnetic fields were present in the simulations used in this article, and the particle beams were instead focused by using collimators. The algorithm first constructed the accelerator by guessing the appropriate length of each segment until it found optimal lengths for accelerating most particles in the beam. Once constructed, the accelerator could accelerate beams of particles and the results could be analyzed.Results: The algorithm successfully constructed multiple different accelerators from the initially given conditions. The first two simulations had arbitrary accelerators in which hydrogen and lead ions were accelerated, and the results were in line with expectations from the analytic solution. The largest simulation was that of CERN’s Linac4 accelerator, which produced results similar to those found in the real world.Conclusion: Significant results could be obtained even with an algorithm as simple as the one described here. The algorithm could be further improved by using a more realistic potential inside the accelerator cavities, and more particles could pass through if magnetic fields which focus the beam were turned on
目的:在给定初始条件和加速器零件数量的情况下,开发一种能够精确构造和模拟阿尔瓦雷斯型直线加速器的简单算法。方法:我们用Python编写算法,Python是一种编程语言,具有许多有用的数学和科学库,并且能够使用类和对象。粒子在电场中加速(我们假设电场在任何给定时刻在每个腔内都是恒定的),以便将数值结果与解析表达式进行比较。在本文中使用的模拟中没有磁场存在,而是使用准直器聚焦粒子束。该算法首先通过猜测每个片段的适当长度来构建加速器,直到找到加速光束中大多数粒子的最佳长度。一旦建成,加速器就可以加速粒子束,并对结果进行分析。结果:该算法在给定初始条件下成功构建了多个不同的加速器。前两次模拟使用了任意的加速器,其中氢离子和铅离子被加速,结果与解析解的预期一致。最大的模拟是欧洲核子研究中心的Linac4加速器,它产生的结果与现实世界中发现的结果相似。结论:即使使用本文描述的简单算法也可以获得显著的结果。通过使用加速器腔内更真实的电位,该算法可以进一步改进,如果打开聚焦光束的磁场,更多的粒子可以通过
{"title":"Development of a simple algorithm for linear accelerator construction and simulation","authors":"Rocco Barač, T. Šćulac","doi":"10.48188/so.4.13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.48188/so.4.13","url":null,"abstract":"Aim: To develop a simple algorithm that accurately constructs and simulates an Alvarez-type linear accelerator given the initial conditions and number of accelerator parts.Methods: We wrote the algorithm in Python, a programming language with numerous useful math and science libraries, and the ability to use classes and objects. The particles were accelerated in electric fields (which we assumed to be constant within each cavity at any given moment) to allow for a comparison of numerical results with an analytic expression. No magnetic fields were present in the simulations used in this article, and the particle beams were instead focused by using collimators. The algorithm first constructed the accelerator by guessing the appropriate length of each segment until it found optimal lengths for accelerating most particles in the beam. Once constructed, the accelerator could accelerate beams of particles and the results could be analyzed.Results: The algorithm successfully constructed multiple different accelerators from the initially given conditions. The first two simulations had arbitrary accelerators in which hydrogen and lead ions were accelerated, and the results were in line with expectations from the analytic solution. The largest simulation was that of CERN’s Linac4 accelerator, which produced results similar to those found in the real world.Conclusion: Significant results could be obtained even with an algorithm as simple as the one described here. The algorithm could be further improved by using a more realistic potential inside the accelerator cavities, and more particles could pass through if magnetic fields which focus the beam were turned on","PeriodicalId":422483,"journal":{"name":"St open","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127173389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The association of different levels of knowledge with the oral health status and oral hygiene habits among dental medicine students: a cross-sectional study 口腔医学学生不同知识水平与口腔健康状况和口腔卫生习惯的关系:一项横断面研究
Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.12
Martina Tomić, Ivona Domazet, Marija Roguljić
Aim: To investigate whether different levels of knowledge about oral diseases are associated with oral health status, oral hygiene habits, and overall quality of life related to oral health by comparing the first- and the fifth-year dental students at the University of Split.Methods: All students underwent dental examination which included an evaluation of periodontal and dental hard tissues. Periodontal indices included plaque index (PI), bleeding on probing (BoP), pocket probing depth (PPD), and clinical attachment level (CAL). We estimated hard tooth tissues using the decayed, missing, filled permanent teeth (DMFT) index. We also collected basic medical history data and oral hygiene habits, as well as oral health-related quality of life data through the Oral Health Impact Profile (OHIP-14) questionnaire.Results: Fifty-seven dental medicine students participated in this study. The median number of teeth in both groups of students was 28 (interquartile range (IQR)=24-32 for he first-year students; IQR=25-32 for the fifth-year students). All first-year students were diagnosed with healthy periodontium, while two fifth-year students had periodontitis and six had gingivitis. The fifth-year students used interdental brushes, mouth rinses and went for professional teeth cleaning more frequently. Logistic regression analysis showed that the fifth-year students had higher PI (odds ratio (OR)=1.157, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.025-1.306, P=0.018) and BoP (OR=1.466, 95% CI=1.116-1.925, P=0.006). They also used mouth rinses more often (OR=7.102, 95% CI=1.215-41.524, P=0.030). We found no statistically significant differences in quality of life between the first- and the fifth-year students.Conclusion: Higher educational level could be associated with better oral hygiene habits, although it did not result in better oral health status among dental students.
目的:通过对斯普利特大学一年级和五年级牙科专业学生的比较,探讨不同程度的口腔疾病知识是否与口腔健康状况、口腔卫生习惯以及与口腔健康相关的整体生活质量有关。方法:所有学生接受牙科检查,包括牙周和牙硬组织的评估。牙周指标包括菌斑指数(PI)、探诊出血(BoP)、探诊袋深度(PPD)和临床附着水平(CAL)。我们使用蛀牙、缺牙、补牙指数(DMFT)来估计硬牙组织。我们还通过口腔健康影响问卷(OHIP-14)收集了基本病史资料和口腔卫生习惯,以及与口腔健康相关的生活质量数据。结果:57名口腔医学院学生参与本研究。两组学生牙数中位数均为28颗(四分位间距(IQR)=24 ~ 32颗);五年级学生IQR=25-32)。所有的一年级学生都被诊断出患有健康的牙周炎,而两名五年级学生患有牙周炎,六名患有牙龈炎。五年级的学生使用牙间刷、漱口水,并且更频繁地进行专业的牙齿清洁。Logistic回归分析显示,五年级学生的PI(优势比(OR)=1.157, 95%可信区间(CI)=1.025-1.306, P=0.018)和BoP (OR=1.466, 95% CI=1.116-1.925, P=0.006)较高。他们使用漱口水的频率也更高(OR=7.102, 95% CI=1.215 ~ 41.524, P=0.030)。我们发现一年级和五年级学生的生活质量没有统计学上的显著差异。结论:高等教育程度与良好的口腔卫生习惯相关,但与口腔健康状况无关。
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引用次数: 0
Socioeconomic status is the main predictor of the demand for voluntary health insurance in Croatia 社会经济地位是克罗地亚自愿医疗保险需求的主要预测因素
Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.11
Klara Muslim, Nensi Bralić
Aim: To explore economic, demographic and personal fac-tors influencing the demand for voluntary health insurance in the Republic of Croatia.Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted using a 19-item online questionnaire. The questionnaire was dis-tributed to participants using convenience and snowballing sampling strategies. A logistic regression model was used to estimate the association of selected determinants with the demand for voluntary health insurance.Results: A total of 203 participants completed the question-naire (age range 24-42) A statistically significant associa-tion was found between higher insurance policy sales price (odds ratio (OR)=1.016, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.002-1.031), increased awareness of healthy diet (eating habits) (OR=1.768, 95% CI=1.100-2.841) and buying a voluntary health insurance policy. People in a higher income class (OR=0.594, 95% CI=0.364-0.970) and with a good subjec-tive perception of personal health status (OR=0.454, 95% CI=0.232-0.889) were less likely to buy a voluntary health insurance policy. Also, the demand for voluntary health in-surance decreased with age (OR=0.924, 95% CI=0.873-0.978), with older participants being less likely to buy voluntary health insurance than younger ones.Conclusion: The choice to buy a voluntary health insurance policy largely correlates with an individual’s socioeconom-ic status in today’s society. Older participants with a higher income and good eating habits are less likely to buy a vol-untary health insurance policy. At the same time, younger adults with lower incomes and poorer health are more like-ly to decide to acquire a voluntary health insurance policy.
目的:探讨影响克罗地亚共和国自愿医疗保险需求的经济、人口和个人因素。方法:采用横断面调查法,采用19项在线问卷。问卷采用方便抽样和滚雪球抽样的方法分发给参与者。使用逻辑回归模型来估计选定的决定因素与自愿健康保险需求的关联。结果:共203名受试者完成问卷(年龄24 ~ 42岁)。较高的保单销售价格(优势比(OR)=1.016, 95%可信区间(CI)=1.002 ~ 1.031)与提高健康饮食(饮食习惯)意识(OR=1.768, 95% CI=1.100 ~ 2.841)与自愿购买健康保险之间存在统计学显著相关。高收入阶层(OR=0.594, 95% CI=0.364-0.970)和对个人健康状况有良好主观认知(OR=0.454, 95% CI=0.232-0.889)的人不太可能购买自愿健康保险政策。此外,自愿健康保险的需求随年龄的增长而下降(OR=0.924, 95% CI=0.873-0.978),年龄较大的参与者比年轻的参与者更不可能购买自愿健康保险。结论:在当今社会,购买自愿医疗保险的选择与个人的社会经济地位密切相关。收入较高、饮食习惯良好的老年参与者不太可能购买自愿健康保险。与此同时,收入较低、健康状况较差的年轻人更有可能决定购买自愿健康保险政策。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the eastern Adriatic sea-level extremes 东亚得里亚海海平面极值分析
Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-5676
M. Pervan, J. Šepić

The Adriatic Sea is known to be under a high flooding risk due to both storm surges and meteorological tsunamis, with the latter defined as short-period sea-level oscillations alike to tsunamis but generated by atmospheric processes. In June 2017, a tide-gauge station with a 1-min sampling resolution has been installed at Stari Grad (middle Adriatic Sea), the well-known meteotsunami hot-spot, which is, also, often hit by storm surges. 

Three years of corresponding sea-level measurements were analyzed, and 10 strongest episodes of each of the following extreme types were extracted from the residual series: (1) positive long-period (T > 210 min) extremes; (2) negative long-period (T > 210 min) extremes; (3) short-period (T < 210) extremes. Long-period extremes were defined as situations during which sea level surpasses (is lower than) 99.7 (i.e. 2) percentile of sea level height, and short-period extremes as situations during which variance of short-period sea-level oscillations is higher than 99.4 percentile of total variance[J1]  of short-period series. A strong seasonal signal was detected for all extremes, with most of the positive long-period extremes appearing during November to February, and most of the negative long-period extremes during January to February. As for the short-period extremes, these appear evenly throughout the year, but strongest events seem to appear during May to July.

All events were associated to characteristic atmospheric situations, using both local measurements of the atmospheric variables, and ERA5 Reanalysis dataset. It was shown that positive low-pass extremes commonly appear during presence of low pressure over the Adriatic associated with strong SE winds (“sirocco”), and negative low-pass extremes are associated to the high atmospheric pressure over the area associated with either strong NE winds (“bora”), or no winds at all. On the other hand, high-pass sea level extremes are noticed during two distinct types of atmospheric situations corresponding to both “bad” (low pressure, strong SE wind) and “nice” (high pressure, no wind) weather.

It is particularly interesting that short-period extremes, of which strongest are meteotsunamis, are occasionally coincident with positive long-period extremes contributing with up to 50 percent to total sea level height – thus implying existence of a double danger phenomena (meteotsunami + storm surge). 

众所周知,由于风暴潮和气象海啸,亚得里亚海处于高洪水风险之下,后者被定义为与海啸相似的短周期海平面振荡,但由大气过程产生。2017年6月,在亚得里亚海中部著名的海啸高发区斯塔里格拉德(Stari Grad)建立了一个采样分辨率为1分钟的潮汐测量站,并对3年相应的海平面测量数据进行了分析,从残差序列中提取了以下极端类型的10个最强事件:(1)正长周期(T > 210分钟)极端事件;(2)负长周期极值(T > 210 min);(3)短周期极值(T < 210)。长周期极值是指海平面超过(低于)海平面高度的99.7(即2)个百分位,短周期极值是指短周期海平面振荡的方差大于总方差的99.4个百分位[J1] 短周期级数。所有极端事件均具有较强的季节信号,大部分正长周期极端事件出现在11 - 2月,而大部分负长周期极端事件出现在1 - 2月。至于短期极端事件,它们均匀地出现在全年,但最强的事件似乎出现在5月至7月。利用大气变量的本地测量值和ERA5再分析数据集,所有事件都与特征大气状况相关。结果表明,正低通极值通常出现在亚得里亚海上空与强东南风(“sirocco”)相关的低压中,而负低通极值通常出现在该地区与强东北风(“bora”)相关的高气压中,或者根本没有风。另一方面,在两种不同类型的大气情况下(“bad”(低压,强东南风)和“nice”(高压,无风)天气。特别有趣的是,短期极端事件,其中最强的是气象海啸,偶尔与积极的长期极端事件同时发生,对总海平面高度的贡献高达50% –这意味着存在双重危险现象(海啸+风暴潮)。 
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the eastern Adriatic sea level extremes 东亚得里亚海海平面极值分析
Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.10
Marija Pervan, Jadranka Šepić
Aim: To examine the frequency, strength, and driving mech-anisms of the eastern Adriatic sea level extremes. Methods: In 2017, a tide-gauge station, and a meteorological station have been installed at Stari Grad (Hvar Island, east-ern middle Adriatic Sea). Three years of sea level and at-mospheric measurements were analysed. Ten strongest ep-isodes of the following extreme types were extracted from sea level data: positive long-period (T &gt;210 min) extremes; negative long-period (T &gt;210 min) extremes; short-period (T &lt; 210) extremes. Long-period extremes were defined as situations when sea level surpasses (is lower than) 99.7 (i.e., 2) percentile of residual long-period sea level height, and short-period extremes as situations when 2.5-h variance of short-period sea level oscillations is higher than 99.4 per-centile of total variance of short-period series. Types of sea level extremes were subsequently associated to characteris-tic atmospheric situations. Results: Positive long-period extremes commonly appeared during the presence of low-pressure atmospheric systems over the Adriatic – such system were accompanied with strong SE winds. Negative long-period extremes were as-sociated with presence of high atmospheric pressure fields over the Adriatic Sea, either with strong NE winds, or calm weather. Appearance of short-period sea level extremes corresponded to either low atmospheric pressure fields and strong SE wind, or normal/high pressure fields and calm weather/no winds over the Adriatic. A strong seasonal sig-nal was detected, with the positive long-period extremes occurring mostly during November to February, and the negative long-period extremes occurring during January to February. The short-period extremes appeared throughout the year, but strongest events appeared during May to July. Conclusion: Results show that Stari Grad is a flood-prone lo-cation, both when it comes to positive long-period extremes and to short-period extremes. Furthermore, long-period and short-period extremes occasionally occur simultane-ously in Stari Grad, pointing to a previously unknown added hazard level
目的:研究亚得里亚海东部海平面极端事件的频率、强度及其驱动机制。方法:2017年在亚得里亚海中东部赫瓦尔岛的斯塔里格拉德(Stari Grad)安装了一个潮汐测量站和一个气象站。对三年的海平面和大气测量数据进行了分析。从海平面资料中提取了以下极端类型的10个最强ep- isov:正长周期(T >210 min)极端;负长周期(T >210 min)极值;短周期(T <210)极端。长周期极值是指海平面超过(小于)99.7(即2)个长周期海平面高度剩余百分位时的情况;短周期极值是指海平面振荡的2.5 h方差大于短周期序列总方差的99.4个百分位时的情况。海平面极值的类型随后与特征性的大气状况相联系。结果:亚得里亚海低气压系统存在时,常出现正长周期极值,且伴随有强烈的东南风。负的长周期极端与亚得里亚海上空的高气压场有关,要么是强劲的东北风,要么是平静的天气。短周期海平面极值的出现对应于低气压场和强东南风,或正常/高压场和亚得里亚海上空的平静天气/无风。长周期正极值多出现在11 ~ 2月,负极值多出现在1 ~ 2月。短期极端事件全年都有出现,但最强的极端事件出现在5月至7月。结论:无论是正长周期极值还是短周期极值,斯塔里格勒都是洪水易发区。此外,在Stari Grad,长周期和短周期的极端情况偶尔会同时发生,这表明了一个以前未知的额外危险水平
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引用次数: 0
Organizational structures and processes for research ethics and integrity 研究伦理和诚信的组织结构和流程
Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.48188/so.4.9
I. Jadrić, Monika Adamczuk, Urszula Szczesna, Maciej Siwy, Nathalie Queffelec, M. Dželalija, A. Marušić
Aim: To explore the structures and processes for research ethics and integrity among the universities that are a part of the European University of the Seas (SEA-EU) Alliance.Methods: Data from the public websites or experts from the six universities of the European University of the Seas (SEA-EU) Alliance: University of Cádiz (Spain), University of Western Brittany in Brest (France), University of Kiel (Germany), University of Gdańsk (Poland), University of Split (Croatia) and University of Malta (Malta) were collected. We followed the approach of the EC Mutual Learning Exercise on Research Integrity and the country report cards at The Embassy of Good Science.Results: We identified similarities and differences regarding research infrastructure, funding, strategy, research governance, compliance, integrity, regulations, and measures to promote good scientific practices and open science at the country level. The universities that are partners in the SEA-EU Alliance differed in the research capacity, expressed as the number of higher education institutions in the country, number of full-time researchers, gross expenditure on research and development, number of grants as well as in the structures and processes at the institutional and national levels for research ethics and research integrity. The differences in the research ethics and integrity frameworks at individual universities were related to the national legislation but also to the national and institutional incentives to promote responsible research.Conclusions: In collaborative research, it is necessary that partner universities respect the differences between their organizational and national ethical and integrity frameworks, and establish the processes for ethics approval at the level of the Alliance in order to carry out joint research activities in accordance/conformity with ethical standards for scientific research and good scientific and publishing practice. The same is true for the investigation of research misconduct allegations at the Alliance level.
目的:探讨欧洲海洋大学(SEA-EU)联盟各大学研究伦理和诚信的结构和过程。方法:收集欧洲海洋大学(SEA-EU)联盟6所大学(西班牙Cádiz大学、法国布列斯特西布列塔尼大学、德国基尔大学、波兰Gdańsk大学、克罗地亚斯普利特大学和马耳他大学)的公共网站或专家的数据。我们采用了欧共体研究诚信互学活动的方法和优秀科学大使馆的国家报告卡。结果:我们确定了研究基础设施、资助、战略、研究治理、合规性、完整性、法规以及在国家层面促进良好科学实践和开放科学的措施方面的异同。作为SEA-EU联盟合作伙伴的大学在研究能力方面存在差异,表现为该国高等教育机构的数量、全职研究人员的数量、研究和开发的总支出、赠款的数量,以及机构和国家层面的研究伦理和研究诚信的结构和流程。各个大学在研究伦理和诚信框架方面的差异与国家立法有关,但也与促进负责任研究的国家和机构激励机制有关。结论:在合作研究中,合作院校有必要尊重其组织和国家伦理和诚信框架的差异,建立联盟层面的伦理审批流程,以便根据科学研究伦理标准和良好的科学和出版实践开展联合研究活动。在联盟层面对研究不当行为指控的调查也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
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