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Toward Runtime Assurance of Complex Systems with AI Components 基于AI组件的复杂系统运行时保证研究
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3361
Yuning He, J. Schumann, Huafeng Yu
AI components (e.g., Deep Neural Networks) are increasingly used in safety-relevant aerospace applications. Rigorous Verification and Validation (V&V) is mandatory for such components, yet V&V techniques for DNNs are still in their infancy and can often only provide relatively weak guarantees. In this paper, we will present a runtime-monitoring architecture, which combines the advanced statistical analysis framework SYSAI (System Analysis using Statistical AI) with temporal and probabilistic runtime monitoring carried out by R2U2 (Realizable, Responsive, and Unobtrusive Unit). We will present initial results of our tool set and architecture on a case study, a DNN-based autonomous centerline tracking system (ACT).
人工智能组件(如深度神经网络)越来越多地用于与安全相关的航空航天应用。严格的验证和验证(V&V)是这些组件的强制性要求,但dnn的V&V技术仍处于起步阶段,通常只能提供相对较弱的保证。在本文中,我们将介绍一个运行时监控架构,该架构将先进的统计分析框架SYSAI(使用统计人工智能的系统分析)与R2U2(可实现的,响应性的和不显眼的单元)执行的时间和概率运行时监控相结合。我们将在一个案例研究中介绍我们的工具集和架构的初步结果,这是一个基于dnn的自主中心线跟踪系统(ACT)。
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引用次数: 0
Online Flow Estimation for Condition Monitoring of Pumps in Aircraft Hydraulics 用于飞机液压系统泵状态监测的流量在线估计
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3341
P. Bischof, F. Thielecke, D. Metzler
Hydraulic systems in conventional civil aviation are currently monitored in a very rudimentary way. Normally, measured values are compared with a fixed threshold. If these measured values are outside the predefined limits, the entire hydraulic system is usually shut down. To overcome this deficit, a study regarding a novel prognostic health management method for aircraft hydraulic pumps, which allows a statement about the pump condition, is presented in this paper. The method is based on measuring differential pressure and temperature at a suitable resistance. In the first part of the study, the overall concept for monitoring the motor pump unit is analyzed. This is followed by a discussion of possible measurement methods and suitable resistors to determine the condition of the pump. In the second part of the study, the implementation for online monitoring of the pump is discussed. After a suitable approximation is found, the quality of the proposed method is evaluated with real hydraulic power generation and consumers.
目前,传统民用航空的液压系统监测还处于非常初级的阶段。通常,测量值与固定阈值进行比较。如果这些测量值超出预定义的限制,则通常关闭整个液压系统。为了克服这一缺陷,本文提出了一种新的飞机液压泵预后健康管理方法,该方法允许对泵的状态进行声明。该方法基于在合适的电阻下测量压差和温度。在研究的第一部分,分析了电机泵单元监测的总体概念。接下来是讨论可能的测量方法和合适的电阻来确定泵的状况。在研究的第二部分,讨论了泵在线监测的实现。在找到合适的近似后,用实际的水力发电和用户对所提方法的质量进行了评价。
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引用次数: 0
Wrong Injection Detection in a Small Diesel Engine, a Machine Learning Approach 小型柴油机错喷检测:一种机器学习方法
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3311
Piero Danti, Ryota Minamino, G. Vichi
In the last ten years, Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) have overwhelmed every engineering research branch finding a broad variety of applications; anomaly detection and anomaly classification are two of the topics that have benefited mostly by data-driven methods’ insights. On the other side, in the small diesel engine domain, the current trend is to lean on traditional anomaly detection/classification procedures and do not foster the use of AI. The goal of this work is to detect anomalies in the in-cylinders injectors of a small diesel engine as soon as a wrong quantity of fuel is inputted into one or more cylinders by means of ML approaches. Part of the analysis aim to understand which measurements are the most relevant for the detection and to compare different techniques to select the most suitable one. Furthermore, a condition-based methodology for maintenance is proposed. After a brief review of the state-of-the-art, the case study scenario is presented grouping sensors accordingly to their degree of accessibility; then, the implemented techniques are explained, and results are discussed.
在过去的十年里,机器学习(ML)和人工智能(AI)已经压倒了每一个工程研究分支,找到了各种各样的应用;异常检测和异常分类是两个主要受益于数据驱动方法洞察力的主题。另一方面,在小型柴油机领域,目前的趋势是依靠传统的异常检测/分类程序,而不促进人工智能的使用。这项工作的目标是通过ML方法在一个或多个气缸中输入错误数量的燃料时,检测小型柴油机气缸内喷油器的异常情况。分析的部分目的是了解哪些测量与检测最相关,并比较不同的技术以选择最合适的技术。此外,还提出了一种基于状态的维修方法。在简要回顾了最新技术之后,案例研究场景根据传感器的可访问程度对其进行分组;然后对实现的技术进行了说明,并对结果进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty Informed Anomaly Scores with Deep Learning: Robust Fault Detection with Limited Data 基于深度学习的不确定性通知异常评分:有限数据的鲁棒故障检测
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3342
Jannik Zgraggen, Gianmarco Pizza, Lilach Goren Huber
Quantifying the predictive uncertainty of a model is an important ingredient in data-driven decision making. Uncertainty quantification has been gaining interest especially for deep learning models, which are often hard to justify or explain. Various techniques for deep learning based uncertainty estimates have been developed primarily for image classification and segmentation, but also for regression and forecasting tasks. Uncertainty quantification for anomaly detection tasks is still rather limited for image data and has not yet been demonstrated for machine fault detection in PHM applications.In this paper we suggest an approach to derive an uncertaintyinformed anomaly score for regression models trained with normal data only. The score is derived using a deep ensemble of probabilistic neural networks for uncertainty quantification. Using an example of wind-turbine fault detection, we demonstrate the superiority of the uncertainty-informed anomaly score over the conventional score. The advantage is particularly clear in an ”out-of-distribution” scenario, in which the model is trained with limited data which does not represent all normal regimes that are observed during model deployment.
量化模型的预测不确定性是数据驱动决策的重要组成部分。不确定性量化已经引起了人们的兴趣,特别是对于通常难以证明或解释的深度学习模型。基于不确定性估计的各种深度学习技术主要用于图像分类和分割,但也用于回归和预测任务。异常检测任务的不确定性量化对于图像数据仍然相当有限,并且尚未在PHM应用中的机器故障检测中得到证明。在本文中,我们提出了一种方法,为仅使用正常数据训练的回归模型导出不确定性通知异常评分。该分数是使用不确定性量化的概率神经网络的深度集合派生的。以风力发电机故障检测为例,证明了不确定性通知异常评分相对于传统评分的优越性。这种优势在“非分布”的情况下尤其明显,在这种情况下,模型是用有限的数据训练的,这些数据不能代表在模型部署期间观察到的所有正常情况。
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引用次数: 3
Sensor Fault/Failure Correction and Missing Sensor Replacement for Enhanced Real-time Gas Turbine Diagnostics 传感器故障/故障纠正和缺失传感器更换增强实时燃气轮机诊断
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3315
A. Fentaye, V. Zaccaria, K. Kyprianidis
Gas turbine sensors are prone to bias and drift. They may also become unavailable due to maintenance activities or failure through time. It is, therefore, important to correct faulty signal or replace missing sensors with estimated values for improved diagnostic solutions. Coping with a small number of sensors is the most difficult to achieve since this often leads to underdetermined and indistinguishable diagnostic problems in multiple fault scenarios. On the other hand, installing additional sensors has been a controversial issue from cost and weight perspectives. Gas path locations with difficult conditions to install sensors is also among other sensor installation related challenges. This paper proposes a sensor fault/failure correction and missing sensor replacement method. Auto-regressive integrated moving average models are employed to correct measurements from faulty and failed sensors. To replace additional sensors needed for further diagnostic accuracy improvements, neural network models are devised. The performance of the developed approach is demonstrated by applying to a three-shaft turbofan engine. Test results verify that the method proposed can well-recover measurements from faulty/failed sensors, no matter with small or major failures. It can also compensate key missing temperature and pressure measurements on the gas path based on the data from other available sensors.
燃气轮机传感器容易产生偏置和漂移。由于维护活动或故障,它们也可能变得不可用。因此,重要的是纠正故障信号或用估计值替换缺失的传感器,以改进诊断解决方案。处理少量传感器是最难实现的,因为这通常会导致在多个故障场景中存在不确定和无法区分的诊断问题。另一方面,从成本和重量的角度来看,安装额外的传感器一直是一个有争议的问题。在条件恶劣的气路位置安装传感器也是与传感器安装相关的挑战之一。提出了一种传感器故障/故障校正和缺失传感器替换方法。采用自回归综合移动平均模型对故障传感器的测量结果进行校正。为了取代进一步提高诊断准确性所需的额外传感器,设计了神经网络模型。在某三轴涡扇发动机上验证了该方法的有效性。测试结果证明,该方法可以很好地恢复故障/失效传感器的测量值,无论是小故障还是大故障。它还可以根据其他可用传感器的数据,补偿气路上关键缺失的温度和压力测量。
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引用次数: 1
Novel Graph-Based Features for Bearing Fault Diagnosis: Two Aspects of Time Series Structure 基于图的轴承故障诊断新特征:时间序列结构的两个方面
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3314
Sangho Lee, Youngdoo Son, Chihyeon Choi
The feature-based methods for bearing fault diagnosis in prognostics and health management have been achieved satisfactory performances because of their robustness to noise and reduced dimension by pre-defined features. However, widely employed time- and frequency-domain features are insufficient to recognize the global pattern that indicates the structure of a time-series instance. In this paper, we propose two novel graph-based features which reflect the connection strength and degree of time series, respectively. First, we construct a graph of which an edge is defined as the Euclidean distance between each pair of time steps to measure the strengths of connections between the nodes. The other graph is constructed by the visibility algorithm, which converts a time series into a complex network to reflect the degrees of connections. Then, we calculate the Frobenius norms of the adjacency matrices of both graphs and use them as features for bearing fault diagnosis. To verify the proposed features, we performed several experiments with both synthetic and real datasets. From the synthetic datasets, it is observed that the changes in amplitudes and frequencies are detected by the features for the connection strength and degree, respectively. In addition, the proposed features also well-separate the distributions of each bearing state, including normal and several fault types, and show significant performance improvement as applied to the fault diagnosis task.
基于特征的轴承故障诊断方法由于具有对噪声的鲁棒性和预定义特征的降维性,在预测和健康管理中取得了令人满意的效果。然而,广泛使用的时域和频域特征不足以识别表明时间序列实例结构的全局模式。在本文中,我们提出了两个新的基于图的特征,分别反映时间序列的连接强度和程度。首先,我们构造一个图,其中的边被定义为每对时间步长之间的欧几里得距离,以测量节点之间的连接强度。另一个图是由可见性算法构造的,该算法将时间序列转换成一个复杂的网络来反映连接的程度。然后,计算两图邻接矩阵的Frobenius范数,并将其作为轴承故障诊断的特征。为了验证所提出的特征,我们在合成和真实数据集上进行了几个实验。从合成数据集中,可以观察到连接强度和连接度的特征分别检测到振幅和频率的变化。此外,所提出的特征还很好地分离了各种轴承状态的分布,包括正常和几种故障类型,并且在应用于故障诊断任务时表现出显着的性能提高。
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引用次数: 0
Improved Time-Frequency Representation for Non-stationary Vibrations of Slow Rotating Machinery 慢速旋转机械非平稳振动的改进时频表示
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3363
C. Peeters, A. Jakobsson, J. Antoni, J. Helsen
The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is a staple analysis tool for vibration signal processing due to it being a robust, non-parametric, and computationally efficient technique to analyze non-stationary signals. However, despite these beneficial properties, the STFT suffers from high variance, high sidelobes, and a low resolution. This paper investigates an alternative non-parametric method, namely the sliding-window iterative adaptive approach, to use for time-frequency representations of non-stationary vibrations. This method reduces the sidelobe levels and allows for high resolution estimates. The performance of the method is evaluated on both simulated and experimental vibration data of slow rotating machinery such as a multi-megawatt wind turbine gearbox. The results indicate significant benefits as compared to the STFT with regard to accuracy, readability, and versatility.
短时傅里叶变换(STFT)是一种鲁棒性、非参数性和计算效率高的非平稳信号分析技术,是振动信号处理的主要分析工具。然而,尽管有这些有益的特性,STFT仍然存在高方差、高副瓣和低分辨率的问题。本文研究了一种替代的非参数方法,即滑动窗口迭代自适应方法,用于非平稳振动的时频表示。这种方法降低了旁瓣电平,并允许高分辨率估计。通过多兆瓦级风力发电机齿轮箱等慢速旋转机械的模拟和实验振动数据,对该方法的性能进行了评价。结果表明,与STFT相比,在准确性、可读性和通用性方面有显著的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Design Methodology for Robust Model-Based Fault Diagnosis Schemes and its Application to an Aircraft Hydraulic Power Package 基于鲁棒模型的故障诊断方案设计方法及其在飞机液压动力系统中的应用
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3339
Felix Mardt, P. Bischof, F. Thielecke
In a system’s design phase, where knowledge about the actual behavior of the system is shallow, the design of an efficient and robust system diagnostics is a complex task. In order to simplify this process, this paper presents a modelbased methodology for the design of fault diagnosis schemes. The methodology analyzes the structure of available behavioral models of the system and proposes minimal sets of sensors to fulfill diagnostic requirements. In order to choose an optimal set of sensors, the method evaluates the sets in terms of costs and diagnostic robustness. The proposed fault detection, isolation and identification schemes rely on the robust evaluation of model-based residuals using Monte-Carlo methods and highest density regions to account for measurement and parameter uncertainty. To show the design capabilities, the presented method is applied to an aircraft hydraulic power package and the resulting schemes are tested on a real test rig.
在系统的设计阶段,对系统的实际行为知之甚少,因此设计一个高效且健壮的系统诊断程序是一项复杂的任务。为了简化这一过程,本文提出了一种基于模型的故障诊断方案设计方法。该方法分析了系统可用行为模型的结构,并提出了满足诊断要求的最小传感器集。为了选择最优的传感器集,该方法从成本和诊断鲁棒性两个方面对传感器集进行评估。所提出的故障检测、隔离和识别方案依赖于使用蒙特卡罗方法和最高密度区域对基于模型的残差进行鲁棒评估,以考虑测量和参数的不确定性。为验证该方法的设计能力,将该方法应用于某型飞机液压动力总成,并在实际试验台上进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Domain Knowledge Informed Unsupervised Fault Detection for Rolling Element Bearings 基于领域知识的滚动轴承无监督故障检测
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3348
Douw Marx, K. Gryllias
Early and accurate detection of rolling element bearing faults in rotating machinery is important for minimizing production downtime and reducing unnecessary preventative maintenance. Several fault detection methods based on signal processing and machine learning methods have been proposed. Particularly, supervised, data-driven approaches have proved to be very effective for fault detection and diagnostics of rolling element bearings. However, supervised methods rely heavily on the availability of failure data with volume, variety and veracity, which is mostly unavailable in industry. As an alternative data-driven strategy, unsupervised methods are trained on healthy data only and do not require any failure data.In contrast to supervised and un-supervised data-driven models, physics-based and phenomenological models are based on domain knowledge and not on historical data. Although these models are useful for studying the way in which damage is expected to manifest in a measured signal, they are difficult to calibrate and often lack the fidelity required to model reality. In this paper, an unsupervised data-driven anomaly detection method that exploits informative domain knowledge is proposed. Hereby, the versatility of unsupervised data-driven methods are combined with domain knowledge.In this approach, supplementary training data is generated by augmenting healthy data towards its possible future faulty state based on the characteristic bearing fault frequencies. Both healthy and augmented squared envelope spectrum data is used to train an autoencoder model that includes regularisation designed to constrain the latent features at the autoencoder bottleneck. Regularisation in the autoencoder loss enforces that the expected deviation of the healthy latent representation towards the augmented latent representation at dam aged conditions, is constrained to be maximally different for different fault modes. Consequently, the likelihood of a new test sample being healthy can be evaluated based on the projection of the sample onto an expected failure direction in the latent representation.A phenomenological and experimental dataset is used to demonstrate that the addition of augmented training data and a specialized autoencoder loss function can create a separable latent representation that can be used to generate interpretable health indicators.
旋转机械中滚动轴承故障的早期和准确检测对于最大限度地减少生产停机时间和减少不必要的预防性维护至关重要。提出了几种基于信号处理和机器学习方法的故障检测方法。特别是,有监督的、数据驱动的方法已被证明对滚动轴承的故障检测和诊断非常有效。然而,监督方法在很大程度上依赖于故障数据的数量、种类和准确性,这在工业中大多是不可用的。作为一种替代的数据驱动策略,无监督方法仅在健康数据上进行训练,不需要任何故障数据。与有监督和无监督的数据驱动模型相比,基于物理和现象学的模型是基于领域知识而不是历史数据的。尽管这些模型对于研究被测信号中预期的损伤表现方式很有用,但它们很难校准,而且往往缺乏模拟现实所需的保真度。本文提出了一种利用信息性领域知识的无监督数据驱动异常检测方法。因此,将无监督数据驱动方法的通用性与领域知识相结合。在这种方法中,根据轴承的特征故障频率,将健康数据增强到未来可能出现的故障状态,从而生成补充训练数据。健康和增强的平方包络谱数据都用于训练一个自编码器模型,该模型包括正则化,旨在约束自编码器瓶颈处的潜在特征。自编码器损耗的正则化使得在坝龄条件下健康潜在表示对增强潜在表示的期望偏差,在不同的故障模式下被约束为最大的不同。因此,新测试样本健康的可能性可以根据样本在潜在表示中的预期失效方向上的投影来评估。使用现象学和实验数据集来证明添加增强训练数据和专门的自编码器损失函数可以创建可分离的潜在表示,可用于生成可解释的健康指标。
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引用次数: 0
Experiences of a Digital Twin Based Predictive Maintenance Solution for Belt Conveyor Systems 基于数字孪生的带式输送机系统预测性维护解决方案的经验
Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.36001/phme.2022.v7i1.3355
Kammal Al-Kahwati, W. Birk, Evert Flygel Nilsfors, R. Nilsen
Availability of belt conveyor systems is essential in production and logistic lines to safeguard production and delivery targets to customers. In this paper, experiences from commissioning, validation, and operation of an interactive predictive maintenance solution are reported. The solution and its development is formerly presented in Al-Kahwati et.al. (Al-Kahwati, Saari, Birk, & Atta, 2021), where the principles to derive a digital twin of a typical belt conveyor system comprising component-level degradation models,estimation schemes for the remaining useful life and the degradation rate, and vision-based hazardous object detection.Furthermore, the validation approach of modifying the belt conveyor and thus exploiting the idler misalignment load (IML) for the degradation predictions for individual components (including long-lasting ones) together with the actionable insights for the decision support is presented and assessed. Moreover, the approach to testing and validation of the object detection and its performance is assessed and presented in the same manner. An overall system assessment is then given and concludes the paper together with lessons learned.As pilot site for the study a belt conveyor system at LKAB Narvik in northern Norway is used.
带式输送机系统的可用性是至关重要的生产和物流线,以保障生产和交付目标的客户。本文介绍了一种交互式预测维护方案的调试、验证和运行经验。该解决方案及其发展以前在Al-Kahwati等人中提出。(Al-Kahwati, Saari, Birk, & Atta, 2021),其中推导典型带式输送机系统的数字孪生的原理,包括组件级降解模型,剩余使用寿命和降解率的估计方案,以及基于视觉的危险物体检测。此外,提出并评估了修改带式输送机的验证方法,从而利用惰轮不对中负载(IML)对单个组件(包括长期组件)进行退化预测,以及为决策支持提供可操作的见解。此外,以同样的方式对目标检测的测试和验证方法及其性能进行了评估和介绍。然后给出一个全面的系统评估,并总结本文的经验教训。作为研究的试点地点,在挪威北部的LKAB Narvik使用了带式输送机系统。
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引用次数: 1
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