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Deflation Dread Disorder "The CPI is Falling!" “CPI在下降!”
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-02-07 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1819
Edward Leamer
We’re suffering an epidemic of deflation dread disorder, according to Edward Leamer of UCLA who takes on the New York Times and leading talking heads. Leamer's contention is that deflation is not so bad and maybe not coming.
美国加州大学洛杉矶分校(UCLA)的爱德华•利默(Edward Leamer)在接受《纽约时报》(New York Times)采访时表示,我们正遭受一种通货紧缩恐惧症的流行。利默的观点是,通缩并没有那么糟糕,或许不会到来。
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引用次数: 4
What's an $800 Billion Stimulus Worth? 8000亿美元的经济刺激价值几何?
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-26 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1861
B. Abrams
What's an $800 billion stimulus worth? Negative $475 billion, according to Burton A. Abrams of the University of Delaware.
8000亿美元的刺激计划值多少钱?负4750亿美元,据特拉华大学的伯顿A.艾布拉姆斯说。
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引用次数: 2
Why Systemic Risk Considerations Affect the Market for Long-Term Care Insurance 为什么系统性风险因素会影响长期护理保险市场
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-24 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1873
R. Lumsdaine
New capital requirements and regulations, aimed at controlling systemic risk in the financial sector, could have the unfortunate, unintended consequence of discouraging insurers from offering long-term care insurance, according to Robin Lumsdaine of American University.
美国大学的Robin Lumsdaine认为,旨在控制金融部门系统性风险的新资本要求和法规可能会带来不幸的、意想不到的后果,即阻碍保险公司提供长期护理保险。
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引用次数: 0
Comment on Hoerger: Early Pilots of Medicare Auctions Bring No Solace to Auction Experts 评论Hoerger:医疗保险拍卖的早期试点没有给拍卖专家带来安慰
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-18 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1857
P. Cramton, Brett Katzman
Peter Cramton and Brett Katzman stick to their guns: Medicare auctions remain fatally flawed and must be fixed. They argue that contrary to Hoerger's comment, no comfort can be drawn from the fact that the market was able to withstand price reductions in early pilots.
彼得·克拉姆顿(Peter Cramton)和布雷特·卡兹曼(Brett Katzman)坚持自己的立场:医疗保险拍卖仍然存在致命缺陷,必须加以修正。他们认为,与Hoerger的评论相反,市场能够承受早期试点价格下降的事实并不能让人感到安慰。
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引用次数: 2
Tracking the Sputnik Economy 追踪卫星经济
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-14 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1833
E. Barbier
In his 2011 State of the Union address, President Obama stressed investment in infrastructure, education and clean energy in the U.S. economy to "win the future." Edward Barbier of the University of Wyoming argues that to track the progress of such an investment strategy will require replacing GDP per capita as the main economic indicator with a Net Domestic Product (NDP) measure that is "adjusted" for real depreciation or appreciation in the reproducible, human and natural capital stock.
奥巴马总统在2011年的国情咨文中强调,要在美国经济中投资基础设施、教育和清洁能源,以“赢得未来”。怀俄明大学(University of Wyoming)的爱德华•巴比尔(Edward Barbier)认为,要跟踪这种投资策略的进展,就需要用国内生产总值(NDP)指标取代人均GDP作为主要经济指标,该指标根据可再生、人力和自然资本存量的实际贬值或升值进行“调整”。
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引用次数: 1
The Path to Universal Broadband: Why We Should Grant Low-Income Subsidies and Use Experiments and Auctions to Determine the Specifics 通往普遍宽带的道路:为什么我们应该给予低收入补贴,并使用实验和拍卖来确定细节
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-11 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1791
Gregory L. Rosston, S. Wallsten
Gregory Rosston of Stanford University and Scott Wallsten of the Technology Policy Institute argue that the switch from voice to broadband services provides a rare opportunity to reform universal service programs. Rossten and Wallsten offer an alternative design to deliver services in an efficient and politically-palatable manner.
斯坦福大学的Gregory Rosston和技术政策研究所的Scott Wallsten认为,从语音服务到宽带服务的转变为改革普遍服务项目提供了难得的机会。Rossten和Wallsten提供了另一种设计,以高效和政治上可接受的方式提供服务。
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引用次数: 6
Comment on Kamstra: Reasons for Developing Countries to Be Thrilled about Trills 评论Kamstra:发展中国家对颤音感到兴奋的原因
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-03 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1836
Hammad Siddiqi
Shiller’s trills might prevent the flight of capital from developing to developed countries, according to Hammad Siddiqi of Lahore University of Management Sciences, who suggests they could be used to realign the objectives of developing nations and international lending agencies such the World Bank and the IMF.
拉合尔管理科学大学(Lahore University of Management Sciences)的哈马德•西迪奇(Hammad Siddiqi)表示,希勒的颤音可能会阻止资本从发展中国家流向发达国家。西迪奇建议,这些颤音可以用来调整发展中国家和世界银行(World Bank)、国际货币基金组织(IMF)等国际贷款机构的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Comment on DeLong: The Pain Has a Purpose, Namely, Higher Profits 评德隆:痛苦是有目的的,那就是更高的利润
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1841
B. Bergmann
Here’s a simple and simply nasty hypothesis that would explain why governments are carrying on policies that will prolong high unemployment: 1. The business community has considerable influence on what governments do and don’t do. 2. Globalization has decreased the concern that managements of large corporations used to have for the well-being of the people in the high-wage economies. 3. The prolonged high unemployment is having the effect of putting downward pressure on wages in the high-wage countries. It is also increasing productivity, as the remaining workforce is being worked harder. 4. That will likely result in higher profits, both now and in the future. 5. The business community likes that.
这里有一个简单而又令人讨厌的假设,可以解释为什么政府正在实施将延长高失业率的政策:商界对政府做什么和不做什么有相当大的影响力。2. 全球化减少了大公司管理层过去对高工资经济体中人民福祉的关注。3.长期的高失业率对高工资国家的工资产生了下行压力。它还提高了生产率,因为剩余的劳动力正在更加努力地工作。4. 这可能会带来更高的利润,无论是现在还是未来。5. 商界喜欢这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Comment on Song: Mortgage Interest Deduction 评宋:按揭利息扣除
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1842
Richard K. Gordon
In his letter commenting on the Constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act, Edward Song compares the mortgage interest “tax deduction scheme” to the penalty imposed for failure to purchase health insurance under the ACA’s individual mandate. He notes that “renters pay a higher proportional income tax than home owners do” and suggests that a deduction for mortgage interest is “an individual mandate to buy a home.” As the German economist Georg Shanz first laid out in the late 19th century (and as was developed by American economists Robert Haig and Henry Simons in the 1920s and 30s) income is equal to consumption plus change in net worth over a specific time period. In determining net income, therefore, interest received is included while interest paid is deducted, including mortgage interest. This has nothing to do with an individual mandate to purchase a house and everything to do with the proper computation of an income tax base. A better tax analogy for Mr. Song would be to the failure of the U.S. to include the rental value of owner-occupied housing in its income tax base. In essence, a homeowner may couple a deduction (of interest expense) with an exclusion (tax-free rental value), which we tax professors often describe as the Promised Land.
在评论《平价医疗法案》的合宪性的信中,爱德华·宋将抵押贷款利息的“税收减免计划”比作没有按照《平价医疗法案》的个人授权购买医疗保险而受到的罚款。他指出,“租房者比房主缴纳的比例所得税更高”,并建议减免抵押贷款利息是“个人购房的强制要求”。正如德国经济学家乔治•尚兹(Georg Shanz)在19世纪末首次提出的那样(美国经济学家罗伯特•黑格(Robert Haig)和亨利•西蒙斯(Henry Simons)在20世纪二三十年代进一步提出的),收入等于特定时期内的消费加上净资产变化。因此,在确定净收入时,包括收到的利息,而扣除支付的利息,包括抵押贷款利息。这与个人强制购买房屋无关,而是与正确计算所得税基数有关。对宋先生来说,一个更好的税收类比应该是美国未能将自有住房的租金价值纳入其所得税税基。从本质上讲,房主可以将扣除(利息支出)与排除(免税租金价值)结合起来,我们的税务教授经常将其描述为应许之地。
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引用次数: 0
Comment on Cramton and Katzman: Medicare Competitive Bidding Lowered Expenditures 评论克拉姆顿和卡兹曼:医疗保险竞争性招标降低了支出
IF 0.4 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.2202/1553-3832.1820
T. Hoerger
In contrast to Cramton and Katzman’s assertion that Medicare encountered serious problems with its pilot competitive bidding program, Thomas Hoerger of RTI International cites his early evaluations that suggested strikingly positive results.
与克拉姆顿和卡兹曼的断言相反,RTI国际公司的托马斯·霍格引用了他早期的评估,显示出惊人的积极结果。
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引用次数: 0
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