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Local Government Implicit Debt Under China’s Public Private Partnerships: Scope, Formation and Governance 中国公私合作下的地方政府隐性债务:范围、形成与治理
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-11-19 DOI: 10.11648/j.jim.20180705.11
Lizhen Li, Xiumei An
Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs), as an important mean to establish a standardized local government debt financing mechanism, relieve the pressure of local government debt, resolve the fund shortage of urbanization and promote supply-side structural reform, has increasingly become the main mode and source of China's infrastructure investment and financing. It has made an important contribution to the increase of supply scale, quality and efficiency in public services and infrastructures. But with the rapid promotion and widespread, local government provided illegal guarantees of fixed income and repurchase, or beared the loss of principal, issued Local Government Financing Vehicles(LGFVs) debts, and even disguised government purchasing services, which have make the PPPs alienated into a new financing vehicles. This paper defines the concept and scope of local government implicit debt, analyzes the tool characteristics of PPPs, the necessary and sufficient conditions for debt governance function of PPPs, and the formation mechanism, manifestation and evolution path of local government implicit debt. Then several countermeasures of implicit debt governance and risk prevention strategies under PPPs are put forward, including clarifying the relationship between the government and the market, promoting PPPs debt governance through win-win cooperation, improving PPPs laws and regulations, strengthening PPPs performance management, and improving PPPs risk sharing mechanism.
公私伙伴关系作为建立规范的地方政府债务融资机制、缓解地方政府债务压力、解决城镇化资金短缺、推进供给侧结构性改革的重要手段,日益成为我国基础设施投融资的主要模式和来源。它为提高公共服务和基础设施的供应规模、质量和效率做出了重要贡献。但随着其快速推广和广泛存在,地方政府提供固定收益和回购的非法担保,或承担本金损失,发行地方政府融资工具债务,甚至变相提供政府购买服务,使PPP异化为一种新的融资工具。本文界定了地方政府隐性债务的概念和范围,分析了购买力平价的工具特征、购买力平价发挥债务治理功能的充要条件,以及地方政府隐性负债的形成机制、表现形式和演化路径。然后提出了PPP下隐性债务治理的对策和风险防范策略,包括明确政府与市场的关系,通过合作共赢促进PPP债务治理,完善PPP法律法规,加强PPP绩效管理,完善PPP风险分担机制。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Agricultural Technology Adoption: The Case of Improved Highland Maize Varieties in Toke Kutaye District, Oromia Regional State, Ethiopia 农业技术采用的决定因素:埃塞俄比亚奥罗米亚州Toke Kutaye地区改良高地玉米品种的案例
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-10-09 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180704.13
Dawit Milkias, Abduselam Abdulahi Mohamed, Abduselam Abdulahi
Improved highland Maize is a new and promising crop gradually becoming important in Ethiopian highlands. Its production is rapidly increasing where it has been a minor crop in the past. The empirical evidences on the determinants of agricultural technology adoption and their intensity of adoption are very limited. In this paper, determinants of adoption and intensity of adoption of improved highland maize varieties were investigated by using descriptive statistics and econometric model (Tobit). Two stage sampling procedure was followed in order to draw 150 sample respondents. The model result revealed that variables such as farm size, household income, access to credit, contact with extension agents, participation in training, and field day were positively and significantly influenced whereas, age of household and market distance negatively influenced adoption and intensity of use of improved highland maize varieties in the study area. Therefore, government policies and intervention on adoption and intensity use of agricultural technology should pay attention and move along with those variables significantly influencing adoption and intensity of use of new agricultural technology.
改良高原玉米是一种新兴的、有发展前途的作物,在埃塞俄比亚高原地区逐渐成为重要作物。它的产量正在迅速增加,过去它是一种次要作物。关于农业技术采用的决定因素及其采用强度的实证证据非常有限。本文采用描述统计和计量经济模型(Tobit)对高原玉米改良品种的采收影响因素和采收强度进行了研究。遵循两阶段抽样程序,抽取150名样本受访者。模型结果显示,农场规模、家庭收入、信贷获取、与推广机构的联系、培训参与和田间天数等变量对研究区高原玉米改良品种的采用率和使用强度具有显著的正向影响,而家庭年龄和市场距离对研究区高原玉米改良品种的采用率和使用强度具有负向影响。因此,政府对农业技术采用和集约化使用的政策和干预应关注并与那些显著影响新农业技术采用和集约化使用的变量同步。
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引用次数: 20
A New Stock Selection Model Based on Decision Tree C5.0 Algorithm 一种新的基于决策树C5.0算法的股票选择模型
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-09-21 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180704.12
Qiansheng Zhang, Jingru Zhang, Zisheng Chen, Miao Zhang, Songying Li
Due to the disordered characteristic and strong randomness of China's stock market, the typical data mining algorithms currently used to analyze and forecast the stock have imprecise prediction outcomes. In order to solve this problem, based on the industry rotation cycle theory, this paper constructs a new stock selection model combining Decision Tree C5.0 Algorithm and factor analysis. Industry rotation cycle theory aims to analyze the development trend of various industries to find promising industries as initial stock pool. According to this principle, this paper selects four industries and the A-share stocks of these industries are used as initial stock pool. This paper builds a stock index system consisting of six effective factors based on the factor analysis of stocks financial indicators and technical indicators. Then Decision Tree C5.0 Algorithm is presented to realize the prediction of stock returns and the classification of stocks. The empirical test of the proposed stock selection model, using the data from the second and the third quarter of 2017 in China A-share stock market, demonstrates that this model has significant difference in the classification accuracy between low-yielding stocks and high-yielding stocks in that case classification accuracy shows a trend opposite against stock return rate. In a conclusion, this model can effectively help investors to avoid risks and make rational investment but has little effect on obtaining excess return.
由于中国股票市场的无序性和强随机性,目前用于股票分析和预测的典型数据挖掘算法预测结果不精确。为了解决这一问题,本文基于行业轮换周期理论,结合决策树C5.0算法和因子分析,构建了一个新的股票选择模型。产业轮换周期理论旨在分析各行业的发展趋势,寻找有前景的行业作为初始存量池。根据这一原则,本文选择了四个行业,并将这些行业的a股作为初始股票池。本文在对股票财务指标和技术指标进行因子分析的基础上,构建了由六个有效因子组成的股票指标体系。然后提出决策树C5.0算法,实现股票收益预测和股票分类。利用中国a股市场2017年第二季度和第三季度的数据对本文提出的选股模型进行实证检验,结果表明该模型在低收益股和高收益股的分类准确率上存在显著差异,分类准确率与股票收益率呈相反趋势。综上所述,该模型可以有效地帮助投资者规避风险,进行理性投资,但对获得超额收益的影响不大。
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引用次数: 3
Delays in Services and Customer Service Evaluation: A Study of Family Dining Restaurants of Pakistan 服务延迟与顾客服务评价:巴基斯坦家庭餐厅研究
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-08-17 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180704.11
Maqsood Ahmad, H. Naseer
Wait management is very important subject in service sectors because people are moving towards services due to globalization and now it has become common phenomena. Dining at restaurants has become a trend in today’s world due to increasing demand of family’s as well as time constraints. In developed countries, there is much focus on service sectors and it is producing half revenues ($1.258 trillion) of countries like USA, UK, and Japan. However, in developing countries, a service sector has not yet generated much revenue because it seems difficult for developing countries to handle it due to different demands and niche of customers. In current study, 400 questionnaires were distributed to respondents and 300 were received back. Data was analyzed using SPSS version 17 and results revealed that if good environment is provided at waiting area of restaurant lobbies, then waiting customer behavior can be managed and consequently customer satisfaction. Our results also revealed that physical environment has a positive relationship with customer satisfaction and when this relationship is checked through mediating variable (customer behavior during wait), it also shows positive relationship. On the contrary, social environment has a negative relationship with customer satisfaction and when this relationship is checked through mediating variable (customer behavior during wait), it also shows negative relationship.
等待管理是服务行业中非常重要的课题,因为人们由于全球化而转向服务,现在它已经成为一种普遍现象。由于家庭需求的增加以及时间的限制,在餐馆吃饭已经成为当今世界的一种趋势。在发达国家,服务业非常受关注,它创造了美国、英国和日本等国家一半的收入(1.258万亿美元)。然而,在发展中国家,服务部门还没有产生多少收入,因为发展中国家由于不同的需求和客户利基,似乎很难处理它。本次研究共发放问卷400份,回收问卷300份。使用SPSS version 17对数据进行分析,结果表明,如果在餐厅大堂的等候区提供良好的环境,那么可以管理等候的顾客行为,从而提高顾客满意度。我们的研究结果还表明,物理环境与顾客满意度之间存在正相关关系,当通过中介变量(顾客等待行为)来检验这种关系时,它也表现出正相关关系。相反,社会环境与顾客满意呈负向关系,当通过中介变量(顾客等待行为)检验这种关系时,也表现为负向关系。
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引用次数: 0
Customer Based Retail Brand Equity Dimensions on Retail Brand Equity of Pakistani Markets 基于客户的零售品牌资产对巴基斯坦市场零售品牌资产的影响
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-08-15 DOI: 10.11648/j.jim.20180703.15
Muhammad Umair, Mubarak Ahmad
Customer brand equity become the major concept in last decades due to increase the competition and also rise in demands of the customer. This study investigate the impact of customer brand equity in Pakistan in embryonic areas and mature areas because in immature area customer preference change and in mature areas customer demands may also be differ so for checking the retailer base customer’s brand equity [RBCBE]. We select the two markets of Pakistan Hakim hyper Market [HHM] and Metro cash and carry [MCC]. Sample was selected 100 respondents in both Regression analyses; Pearson’s correlation and Cronbach alpha used for the purpose of the investigation and results reveal that market loyalty have positive impact on retail brand equity in backward areas while market association have strong positive impact on retail brand equity in advance areas.
随着竞争的加剧和客户需求的增加,客户品牌资产成为近几十年来的主要概念。本研究调查了巴基斯坦客户品牌资产在萌芽地区和成熟地区的影响,因为在不成熟地区客户偏好的变化和成熟地区客户需求也可能不同,因此用于检查零售商基础客户的品牌资产[RBCBE]。我们选择了巴基斯坦哈基姆超级市场[HHM]和麦德龙现汇[MCC]这两个市场。样本在两个回归分析中都选择了100名受访者;研究结果表明,市场忠诚度对落后地区的零售品牌资产具有正向影响,而市场联想对先进地区的零售商标资产具有较强的正向影响。
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引用次数: 1
Research on Strategic Analysis and Decision Modeling of Venture Portfolio 风险投资组合的战略分析与决策建模研究
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-08-13 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180703.14
L. Xiaobing, Tian Yingjie, Liu Manhong
The value of risk project is usually uncertain, so venture investor must make investment decision based on prior estimation of future value of risk projects. This paper constructs a portfolio optimization model of risk projects considering the psychological characteristics of venture investors, and proposes a Bayesian method to deal with the uncertainty of value estimation in project portfolio selection, and utilizes Monte Carlo method to simulate the model as a linear integer programming problem. The study finds that, compared with portfolio selection based directly on ex ante value estimation, Bayesian modeling of project estimates of project value uncertainty can provide more accurate value estimates and use the resulting revised estimates to make portfolio decisions can help to select a project portfolio with a higher expected utility, eliminate the expected interval between the expected pre-expected utility and the expected utility of post-implementation, and reduce the degree of disappointment of venture investor's expected decision-making.
风险项目的价值通常是不确定的,因此风险投资者必须基于对风险项目未来价值的先验估计来进行投资决策。本文构建了考虑风险投资者心理特征的风险项目投资组合优化模型,提出了一种贝叶斯方法来处理项目投资组合选择中价值估计的不确定性,并利用蒙特卡罗方法将该模型模拟为线性整数规划问题。研究发现,与直接基于事前价值估计的项目组合选择相比,对项目价值不确定性的项目估计进行贝叶斯建模可以提供更准确的价值估计,并利用由此产生的修正估计进行项目组合决策,有助于选择具有更高期望效用的项目组合,消除预期的预期望效用与实施后期望效用之间的期望区间。降低风险投资者预期决策的失望程度。
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引用次数: 1
Innovative Activity as a Means of Developing the Economic Potential of the Tourism Industry 创新活动是开发旅游业经济潜力的手段
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-08-06 DOI: 10.11648/j.jim.20180703.13
Ismailov Adhambek Bakhramovich
This article gives an overview of the peculiarities of the use of innovations in tourism and their role in improving the investment attractiveness of the tourism industry of the Republic of Uzbekistan. And also the article highlights different approaches of creating favorable investment conditions for the creation of innovative tourism products. In the article the role of tourism has been demonstrated in the development of regional economies and the current condition of tourism in the region is analyzed with different approaches and methods. Thus, the distinctive feature of the development of innovative activities in tourism from classical tourist activities is the creation of a new or improvement of the existing tourist product, the improvement of transport, hotel and other services, the development of new markets, the introduction of advanced information and telecommunications technologies and modern forms of organizational and managerial activity.
本文概述了旅游业创新的特点及其在提高乌兹别克斯坦共和国旅游业投资吸引力方面的作用。文章还强调了为创造创新旅游产品创造有利投资条件的不同方法。本文论证了旅游业在区域经济发展中的作用,并用不同的方法和途径分析了该地区旅游业的现状。因此,旅游业创新活动的发展与传统旅游活动的不同之处在于创造新的或改进现有的旅游产品,改善交通、酒店和其他服务,开发新市场,引进先进的信息和电信技术以及现代形式的组织和管理活动。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis on the Operation Modes and Strategies of China's Product Placement 中国产品布局的运作模式与策略分析
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-08-02 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180703.12
Xu Meng
When audiences are increasingly bored with mandatory advertisements for television programs, branding is vitally important to the company. Therefore, a new type of advertising named product placement has emerged. Compared with traditional advertisements, such advertisements can reduce the audience's resistance to advertisements. However, in real life, consumers are not satisfied with such kind of advertising due to various reasons.
当观众越来越厌倦电视节目的强制性广告时,品牌对公司来说至关重要。因此,出现了一种新的广告形式——植入式广告。与传统广告相比,这种广告可以减少观众对广告的抵制。然而,在现实生活中,由于各种原因,消费者对此类广告并不满意。
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引用次数: 0
Non-traditional Types of Youth Tourism and Developing Problems of Tourism 青年旅游的非传统类型与旅游发展问题
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-07-27 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180703.11
N. Jabbarov
In the article, nonconventional types and the basic problems of development of youth travel are considered. Thus, authors treat youth travel as an innovative direction of development of recreational sphere. Except for the presence of various tourist-recreational resources of the country allows developing almost all kinds of youth travel. The decision of this problem along with spiritual improvement of the nation is one of strategic problems, both on republican, and at regional level. Actual the problem of working out of the adaptive approach to the organization of tourist service of youth in Republic Uzbekistan thereupon is. The satisfaction of these requirements in the conditions of realization of social control should become priority from the state and accessible to youth. Participation in tourist campaigns, walks, country excursions, tourist meetings and competitions promotes spiritual and physical development, give skills of self-organizing, expand an outlook of the person and promote its improvement. It is necessary to notice also that amateur and sports tourism is as much as possible accessible to youth. Besides, tourism can be rather profitable branch of economy.
本文探讨了青年旅游的非传统类型及其发展的基本问题。因此,笔者认为青少年旅游是休闲领域发展的一个创新方向。除了各种旅游休闲资源的存在,国家允许发展几乎所有类型的青年旅游。这一问题的解决伴随着民族精神建设的发展,既是国家层面的战略问题,也是地区层面的战略问题。因此,研究出适合乌兹别克斯坦青年旅游服务组织的实际问题。在实现社会控制的条件下满足这些要求应该成为国家的优先事项,并为青年所接受。参加旅游活动、散步、乡村游览、旅游会议和比赛,可以促进精神和身体的发展,培养自我组织的技能,扩大人的视野,促进其发展。还需要注意的是,业余和体育旅游尽可能地为年轻人所接受。此外,旅游业可以是一个相当有利可图的经济部门。
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引用次数: 0
Factors Affecting the Performance of Micro and Small Scale Enterprises: Experience from North Shewa Zone, Ethiopia 影响中小企业绩效的因素:埃塞俄比亚北谢瓦地区的经验
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2018-06-15 DOI: 10.11648/J.JIM.20180702.14
Woldetsadik Kagnew Abebaw, Sisay Mulate, Lemma Nigussie
Research has shown that there are factors that contribute to success or failure in small enterprises in the government departments in the world. An environment conducive for the growth of MSEs is required, and this has necessitated an investigation into the factors affecting the performance of SMEs in North Shewa Zone, Ethiopia. The general objective of the study is to investigate factors that influencing the performance of micro and small enterprises in North Shewa Zone town, Ethiopia. The research used probability; strata sampling techniques. The researcher selected 386 respondents out of 11,244 populations. For data analysis, we have used OLS regression analysis Pearson correlation Coefficient. Based on the data collected from 386 MSEs in North Shewa Zone, Ethiopia, the results showed that there is a significant positive relationship between entrepreneurship, labour skill, infrastructure, finance, leadership skill and the performance of SMEs. This study recommends that the MSE businesses and government should effectively address the infrastructure especially in terms of electricity, work place, market place and roads in order to increase their performance.
研究表明,在世界各国的政府部门中,有一些因素影响着小企业的成功或失败。需要一个有利于中小企业成长的环境,因此有必要对影响埃塞俄比亚北谢瓦区中小企业业绩的因素进行调查。本研究的总体目标是调查影响埃塞俄比亚北谢瓦区小镇微型和小型企业绩效的因素。该研究使用了概率;地层取样技术。调查人员从11244人中选出了386名受访者。对于数据分析,我们使用OLS回归分析Pearson相关系数。基于对埃塞俄比亚北谢瓦区386家中小企业的数据收集,结果表明,创业精神、劳动技能、基础设施、财务、领导技能与中小企业绩效之间存在显著的正相关关系。本研究建议MSE企业和政府应有效解决基础设施问题,特别是在电力、工作场所、市场和道路方面,以提高其绩效。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Journal of Investment Management
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