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2017 International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS)最新文献

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Distance measuring and sorting method of general grey number based on kernel and grey degree 基于核和灰度的一般灰数距离测量与排序方法
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077667
Shi-quan Jiang, Sifeng Liu, Zhigeng Fang, Zhongxia Liu
Firstly, aiming at the characteristics of accuracy and complexity of uncertain information representation. the interval grey number extended the general grey number. Then, the concept of extended general grey number is put forward based on grey number theory, which is used to represent complex uncertain information. Secondly, according to the essence of the kernel and degree of greyness of general grey number, the basic method of reducing general grey number to interval grey number is given. Thirdly, the measurement method of general grey number distance is given based on the essential characteristics of kernel and grey degree and Euclidean metric. Finally, from perspective of expectation and variance, the concept of kernel expectation and kernel variance of general grey number is put forward, and the ranking method of general grey number is given.
首先,针对不确定信息表示的准确性和复杂性特点。区间灰数是一般灰数的扩展。然后,在灰数理论的基础上,提出了扩展广义灰数的概念,用于表示复杂的不确定信息。其次,根据核的本质和一般灰数的灰度度,给出了一般灰数约化为区间灰数的基本方法;然后,根据核和灰度的本质特征,结合欧几里得度量,给出了广义灰数距离的度量方法。最后,从期望和方差的角度,提出了一般灰数的核期望和核方差的概念,并给出了一般灰数的排序方法。
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引用次数: 1
The analysis of the constitution and structure of China's civil-military integration industrial policy system 中国军民融合产业政策体系的构成与结构分析
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077733
Qingmei Tan, Lingbo Yang
Civil-Military Integration is a national strategy of China. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China established a committee of Civil-Military Integration development recently to provide a primary guarantee for the implementation of this major strategy. In order to put the strategy into practice at the industrial level, we need to study on the composition, structure and construction measures of the Civil-Military Integration industrial policy system. This paper argues that in the era of law-based governance, using law to reflect national strategy is the fundamental way to make it implement in social practice. At the industrial level, it is necessary to formulate and implement the policy of Civil-Military Integration industries to make the integrate development strategy into the practice of national defense and economic construction. But in current, Civil-Military Integration industry-related laws, regulations and policies are not perfect, we need pay more attention to establish a sound Civil-Military Integration industrial policy system. This paper analyzes the constituent elements and structural forms of the Civil-Military Integration industrial policy system, and puts forward the key measures to establish this system.
军民融合是中国的国家战略。最近,中共中央成立军民融合发展委员会,为实施这一重大战略提供了首要保障。为使这一战略在产业层面得以实施,需要对军民融合产业政策体系的构成、结构和建设措施进行研究。本文认为,在依法治国时代,用法律来体现国家战略是国家战略在社会实践中得以实施的根本途径。在产业层面,要制定和实施军民融合产业政策,使军民融合发展战略融入国防和经济建设实践。但目前,军民融合产业相关法律法规和政策还不完善,需要更加重视建立健全军民融合产业政策体系。分析了军民融合产业政策体系的构成要素和结构形式,提出了建立军民融合产业政策体系的关键措施。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the evaluation of the level of social security of floating population in China based on the two stage grey clustering method 基于两阶段灰色聚类法的中国流动人口社会保障水平评价研究
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077715
Yifan Wang, Yu Zhang
Restricted by the localization management and other factors, the social security level of the floating population in China is quite different. This study used the 2014 national population dynamic monitoring data, employment and living conditions, social insurance, housing and living conditions, public health and health conditions of the four first level indexes and two stage grey clustering model selected 21 level three indexes based on the country's 31 provinces (cities, districts) to evaluate the flow the population level of social security. The evaluation result shows that with the implementation of the Chinese policy, there are 20 provinces in the floating population social security level in the strong gray in the two stage results, the social security level of the floating population is better; but after adjusting, the medium level is 8, and Qinghai is added to the weak class. This study puts forward countermeasures and suggestions mainly about floating population social security countermeasures of moderate and weak areas.
受地方化管理等因素的制约,中国流动人口的社会保障水平参差不齐。本研究利用2014年全国人口动态监测数据,以就业与生活状况、社会保险、住房与生活状况、公共卫生与健康状况四个一级指标和两阶段灰色聚类模型为基础,选取全国31个省(市、区)的21个三级指标来评价流动人口的社会保障水平。评价结果表明,随着中国政策的实施,有20个省份的流动人口社会保障水平在两阶段结果中处于强灰色,流动人口的社会保障水平较好;但调整后,中等水平为8,青海被加入弱类。本研究主要针对流动人口社会保障的中弱地区提出对策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Construction and application of performance evaluation system for Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry from stakeholders' perspective 利益相关者视角下我国医药制造业绩效评价体系的构建与应用
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077728
Xianglian Zhao, Juan Du
The purpose of the paper is to design a comprehensive evaluation system for the Chinese pharmaceutical manufacturing industry from the stakeholders' respective, and then apply it to evaluate listed companies by using entropy weight method and building the grey cluster evaluation model. The final evaluation results provide a reference for the stakeholders. The system is conductive to promote and guide sustainable development of pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.
本文旨在从利益相关者的角度设计中国医药制造业的综合评价体系,并运用熵权法建立灰色聚类评价模型,将其应用于上市公司评价。最终的评价结果为利益相关者提供参考。该制度有利于促进和引导医药制造业的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 1
A diffusion model of the multi-generations products competition by system dynamics analyzing 基于系统动力学分析的多代产品竞争扩散模型
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077729
Huan Guo, Sifeng Liu
Based on the system dynamics analyzing and considering the competition environment sufficiently, this study constructs an integrated multi-generation diffusion model based on system dynamics, which considers dynamic market potential with a competitive relationship among generations and products. In addition, this study investigates how the price could be included as an explanatory variable. To verify the proposed model, an empirical study on telecommunication products. The finding reveal that given insufficient historical data related to product spread, the model has a perfect fitness, and the parameter estimate results tell a good story about the whole picture of telecommunication products spread. The model has done better than other models in terms of forecasts precision. Accordingly, we can conclude that the multi-generation product diffusion model is effective.
在系统动力学分析的基础上,充分考虑竞争环境,构建了基于系统动力学的集成多代扩散模型,该模型考虑了代与产品之间竞争关系下的动态市场潜力。此外,本研究还探讨了如何将价格作为一个解释变量。为了验证本文提出的模型,本文对电信产品进行了实证研究。结果表明,在产品传播相关历史数据不足的情况下,该模型具有很好的拟合性,参数估计结果很好地反映了电信产品传播的全貌。在预测精度方面,该模型比其他模型做得更好。因此,我们可以得出多代产品扩散模型是有效的。
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引用次数: 0
Evolutionary game analysis of online travel agency and hotels' pricing strategy 在线旅行社与酒店定价策略的演化博弈分析
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077723
Shan Li, Yehui Yao, Lanjing Xu
This paper built a local tourism supply chain by taking the accommodation services as an example based on the present situation of the online travel industry, and described the co-opetition relationship between online travel agency and hotels in detail. In order to explore the coordination mechanism considering longitudinal and horizontal co-opetition relationship between online travel agency and hotels, two basic models for the longitudinal competition and cooperation relationship were first built. Then, by adding horizontal competition between hotels, we established the evolutionary game, and discussed the ESS in different situations. At last, we provided a numerical analysis to illustrate the rationality and efficiency of the model, and made some suggestions for online travel agency according to the result.
本文基于在线旅游行业的现状,以住宿服务为例构建了本地旅游供应链,并详细描述了在线旅行社与酒店之间的合作竞争关系。为了探究在线旅行社与酒店之间考虑纵向和横向合作竞争关系的协调机制,首先构建了纵向竞争与合作关系的两个基本模型。然后,通过加入酒店间的横向竞争,建立演化博弈,讨论不同情况下的ESS。最后通过数值分析说明了模型的合理性和有效性,并根据分析结果对在线旅行社提出了建议。
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引用次数: 2
Using opposite-direction average generating operator to construct grey forecasting model 采用反方向平均生成算子构建灰色预测模型
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077696
Baohua Yang, Jinshuai Zhao
A grey model with opposite-direction average generating operator is put forward in order to fully extract information concealed in new data. Besides, the relationship between the sample size and the error from the inverse opposite-direction average generating operator is discussed. Compared with traditional grey forecasting model, the results of practical numerical examples have demonstrated that this grey model perform well in forecasting problems with limited data, and can provide reliable and acceptable accuracy for future prediction.
为了充分提取新数据中隐藏的信息,提出了一种带反方向平均生成算子的灰色模型。此外,还讨论了样本大小与反向平均生成算子误差之间的关系。与传统的灰色预测模型相比,实际算例结果表明,该灰色预测模型能较好地解决有限数据的预测问题,并能提供可靠的、可接受的未来预测精度。
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引用次数: 0
Application of the grey system theory to predict the chloride ion capacity of concrete subjected to salt lake environment 应用灰色系统理论预测盐湖环境下混凝土氯离子容量
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077697
Liming Zhang, Hong-fa Yu
Concrete specimens made with Portland cement at water-binder ratio of 0.35 incorporating 0% mineral admixture or 10% silica fume or 30% fly ash or 50% ground blast furnace slag with the replacement of cement were made and exposed to a wetting-drying salt lake environment. Total chloride ion content and free chloride ion content of specimens were measured. Concrete chloride binding capacity was calculated based on the test data. Effects of wet-dry cycle time, mineral admixtures on concrete chloride binding capacity were studied through the grey relational analysis. Multivariate grey prediction model was established to predict the rule of concrete chloride binding capacity subjected to salt lake environment. The study ranked these effective variables from high to low by silica fume content, fly ash content, ground blast furnace slag content, and wet-dry cycle time. Multivariate grey prediction model shows enough precision to predict the rule of concrete chloride binding capacity subjected to sulfate environment.
采用水胶比为0.35的硅酸盐水泥,掺入0%矿物掺合料或10%硅灰或30%粉煤灰或50%磨碎的高炉矿渣,置换水泥制成混凝土试件,置于干湿盐湖环境中。测定了试样的总氯离子含量和游离氯离子含量。根据试验数据计算了混凝土氯离子结合力。通过灰色关联分析,研究了干湿循环时间、矿物外加剂对混凝土氯离子结合力的影响。建立多元灰色预测模型,预测盐湖环境下混凝土氯离子结合力的变化规律。该研究将这些有效变量按硅灰含量、粉煤灰含量、高炉磨渣含量和干湿循环时间从高到低进行排序。多元灰色预测模型能较好地预测硫酸盐环境下混凝土氯离子结合力的变化规律。
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引用次数: 1
Dynamic grey stochastic decision-making method based on Markov chain and “matching” thought 基于马尔可夫链和匹配思想的动态灰色随机决策方法
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077705
D. Luo, Min Liu
In view of dynamic multi-criteria decision-making problems, in which the criteria value of alternatives are three-parameters interval numbers and criteria exists different natural states, a dynamic grey stochastic multi-criteria decision-making method is proposed. According to the stationary distribution thought of Markov chain, the final state of natural possibility is obtained. The time information is concentrated by calculating the importance of time function. On this basis, the three-unit connection number of three-parameter interval number is defined, and the optimization models based on single to noise ratio theory are constructed and solved according to the interactive interference of alternatives. Then, the comprehensive criteria weights are given based on the compromise thought, and alternatives are sorted by comparing the values of satisfaction of single to noise. Finally, An illustrative example shows the feasibility and rationality of the proposed approach.
针对方案的准则值为三参数区间数且准则存在不同自然状态的动态多准则决策问题,提出了一种动态灰色随机多准则决策方法。根据马尔可夫链的平稳分布思想,得到了自然可能性的最终状态。通过计算时间函数的重要度来集中时间信息。在此基础上,定义了三参数区间数的三单元连接数,构建了基于单噪比理论的优化模型,并根据备选方案的交互干扰进行了求解。然后,基于折衷思想给出综合准则权重,并通过比较单项对噪声的满意度值对备选方案进行排序。最后,通过实例说明了所提方法的可行性和合理性。
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引用次数: 0
Profit distribution mechanism of industrial innovation platform research 产业创新平台利润分配机制研究
Pub Date : 2017-08-01 DOI: 10.1109/GSIS.2017.8077662
Lei Wang, Qingmei Tan, Xiao Lu
Industrial innovation platform is the engine of China's industrial structure transformation and upgrading in the new era and how to protect the interests of the cooperative units in the platform is an important factor to ensure the stable operation of the entire platform. Cooperative interest distribution is a complete and complex system engineering, which needs to consider the input, output, risk, brand and other factors. However, the constraints are often fuzzy constraint, coefficient is grey number. Therefore, this paper constructs the Shapley value model for profit distribution based on grey system theory. The grey coefficients of the model will be treated with whitening. The model can promote the scientific distribution of benefits and ensure the sustainable operation of industrial innovation platform.
产业创新平台是新时代中国产业结构转型升级的引擎,如何保护平台内合作单位的利益是保证整个平台稳定运行的重要因素。合作利益分配是一项完整而复杂的系统工程,需要考虑投入、产出、风险、品牌等因素。然而,约束条件往往是模糊约束,系数是灰色数。因此,本文基于灰色系统理论构建了利润分配的Shapley值模型。对模型的灰色系数进行白化处理。该模型能够促进效益的科学分配,保证产业创新平台的可持续运行。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2017 International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS)
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