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Tax enforcement and R&D credits
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2025.101784
Mary Cowx
Tax enforcement deters noncompliance, increasing tax revenue, but may also discourage taxpayer investment in activities that policymakers aim to incentivize through tax credits and deductions. This paper investigates this investment-revenue trade-off through the lens of the research and development (R&D) tax credit, a federal tax incentive that is highly scrutinized by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). My results suggest that expectations about IRS corporate tax scrutiny are negatively associated with both R&D tax credits and R&D investment, on average. I estimate each $1 of aggregate enforcement spending is associated with a reduction in R&D tax credits of $2.64. In terms of elasticities, a 1 % increase in my estimate of IRS corporate tax scrutiny is associated with a decline in R&D tax credits and R&D investment of 0.4 % and 0.2 %, respectively. A survey of 116 managers further supports that the risk of IRS scrutiny affects both R&D tax credit take-up and R&D investment decisions. Moreover, both the survey responses and archival evidence underscore the importance of internal information quality in claiming R&D tax credits, suggesting tax policy simplification as a means to address enforcement-related declines in R&D investment.
税收执法可以遏制违规行为,增加税收收入,但也可能阻碍纳税人对政策制定者旨在通过税收抵免和减免激励的活动进行投资。本文通过研究与开发(R&D)税收抵免这一受到美国国内税收署(IRS)高度关注的联邦税收激励措施来研究这种投资与收入之间的权衡。我的研究结果表明,对国税局企业税收审查的预期与研发税收抵免和研发投资平均呈负相关。我估计,每增加 1 美元的总体执法支出,研发税收抵免就会减少 2.64 美元。就弹性而言,我估计国税局企业税收审查每增加 1%,研发税收抵免和研发投资就会分别减少 0.4% 和 0.2%。对 116 位经理的调查进一步证明,国税局审查风险会影响研发税收抵免和研发投资决策。此外,调查答复和档案证据都强调了内部信息质量在申请研究与开发税收抵免中的重要性,这表明简化税收政策是解决与执法相关的研究与开发投资下降问题的一种手段。
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引用次数: 0
Mandatory disclosures and opportunism: Evidence from repurchases
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2025.101783
Brian Bratten, Meng Huang, Nicole Thorne Jenkins, Hong Xie
We examine the effect of disclosure requirements on managers' stock repurchase decisions. In 2003, the SEC amended Rule 10b-18, significantly increasing the disclosure requirements for and transparency of stock repurchases for all issuers. While stock repurchases are often used by firms to efficiently return capital to shareholders, they can also be used opportunistically to increase earnings per share. We find that the 2003 SEC amendment enables investors to detect and discount opportunistic repurchases, curtails the extent to which firms use opportunistic repurchases, and reduces or eliminates the negative real effects stemming from opportunistic repurchases (reduced employment, reduced capital expenditures, and reduced R&D expenditures). Our evidence suggests that disclosures aimed at increasing the transparency of firms’ activities can significantly reduce the extent to which firms use these activities opportunistically to manage earnings, thereby reducing the accompanying real consequences of opportunistic behavior.
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引用次数: 0
Current Expected Credit Losses and consumer loans
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2025.101781
João Granja, Fabian Nagel
We use data from TransUnion, a large U.S. credit bureau covering millions of individual consumer loans, to examine the transition to the Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) accounting standard and to provide novel evidence about the impact that raising reserve requirements has on banks’ pricing and lending decisions in the U.S. consumer lending market. We find that greater reserve requirements following the adoption of CECL induce a statistically significant but economically moderate increase in loan interest rates. The effects are more pronounced for weakly-capitalized banks and even more so for underprivileged individuals borrowing from weakly-capitalized banks. Our evidence informs the ongoing policy debate between standard setters and members of the financial industry about the potential effects of CECL on credit markets.
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引用次数: 0
The asset pricing and real implications of relationship intensity disclosure
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2025.101770
Xu Jiang, Jordi Mondria, Liyan Yang
Investors in financial markets are often uncertain about the relationship intensity between firms and have to rely on firms’ disclosure of such relationship intensity. We analytically study the asset pricing implications of this relationship intensity uncertainty and how such uncertainty affects firms’ incentives to form and disclose their relationship intensities (i.e., the real implications). We find that while such disclosure has a positive price impact by increasing the expected cash flow, it also has a negative impact by reducing the diversification benefit of investing in multiple firms that have more correlated cash flows. The price impact upon relationship intensity disclosure is therefore not monotone: it increases with the expected benefit of relationship and decreases with the risk of the underlying relationship. Our analysis implies that mandatory disclosure of firm relationship intensities may both destroy relationship development and reduce investor welfare, i.e., has adverse real consequences.
金融市场上的投资者通常无法确定公司之间的关系强度,只能依赖于公司对这种关系强度的披露。我们分析研究了这种关系强度不确定性对资产定价的影响,以及这种不确定性如何影响企业形成和披露其关系强度的动机(即实际影响)。我们发现,虽然这种披露会增加预期现金流,从而对价格产生积极影响,但同时也会减少投资于现金流相关性更高的多家公司的多样化收益,从而产生负面影响。因此,披露关系强度对价格的影响并不是单调的:它随关系的预期收益而增加,随潜在关系的风险而减少。我们的分析表明,强制披露公司关系强度既可能破坏关系发展,也可能降低投资者福利,即产生不利的实际后果。
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引用次数: 0
Partisan regulatory actions: Evidence from the SEC 党派监管行动:来自美国证券交易委员会的证据
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2025.101777
Vivek Pandey, Xingyu Shen, Joanna Shuang Wu
We study the influence of political partisanship in SEC investigations and AAER enforcement actions against financial misconduct. We find that the SEC is more likely to launch an investigation against a firm that is misaligned with the agency’s political ideology than other firms. The likelihood of an AAER appears unaffected by political misalignment, but once named in an AAER, a misaligned firm faces harsher penalties than other firms. We find evidence that collectively points to potential misallocation of scarce enforcement resources due to partisanship: conditional on investigation, misaligned firms are less likely to receive an enforcement action, and conditional on misreporting, non-misaligned firms are less likely to be investigated.
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引用次数: 0
Signaling long-term information using short-term forecasts
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2025.101768
Mirko S. Heinle, Chongho Kim, Daniel J. Taylor, Frank S. Zhou
This paper shows theoretically and empirically that the decision to disclose a short-term earnings forecast can reveal managers’ private information about long-term performance. Consistent with the predictions of our model, we find that the decision to disclose a short-term earnings forecast predicts long-term performance for up to three years. The relation strengthens when current period performance is poor, when managers have longer horizons, and when competitive threats are lower. Endogenizing the proprietary costs of disclosure, our analysis suggests that––despite the short horizon––the decision to provide an earnings forecast contains significant information about long-term performance and thus can entail proprietary costs.
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引用次数: 0
Vocal delivery quality in earnings conference calls 收益电话会议的声音传递质量
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2024.101763
Bok Baik, Alex G. Kim, David S. Kim, Sangwon Yoon
We study the economic consequences of managers’ vocal delivery quality during earnings conference calls. We introduce a novel measure, vocal delivery quality, that captures the acoustic comprehensibility of audio information for an average listener. Our measure relies on a deep-learning algorithm applied to a large sample of earnings call audio files. Consistent with predictions from the psychology and accounting literatures, we find evidence that the quality of managers’ vocal delivery deteriorates when they deliver negative news, such as a decrease in earnings or negative narrative information, and positive but transitory earnings news. We show that the stock market reacts in real time to managers’ vocal delivery quality. We also document that the vocal delivery quality has an effect on information intermediaries such as analysts and the media. Overall, our findings underscore the role of vocal dimensions in corporate oral disclosures.
我们研究了经理人在财报电话会议中声音传递质量的经济后果。我们介绍了一个新的测量,声音传递质量,捕捉音频信息的声学可理解性为一个普通的听众。我们的测量方法依赖于一种深度学习算法,该算法应用于大量财报电话会议音频文件样本。与心理学和会计文献的预测一致,我们发现有证据表明,当管理者传递负面消息(如收益减少或负面叙事信息)和积极但短暂的收益消息时,他们的声音传递质量会恶化。我们的研究表明,股票市场会对经理人的声音传递质量做出实时反应。我们也证明了声音传递质量对信息中介如分析师和媒体有影响。总体而言,我们的研究结果强调了发声维度在企业口头披露中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Reflections on the founding of the journal of accounting andeconomics 《会计与经济》杂志创刊的思考
IF 1.2 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2024.101762
Jerold L. Zimmerman
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Trade Openness and Agriculture on Tax Revenue Performance in Kenya 贸易开放和农业对肯尼亚税收绩效的影响
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.47604/ijecon.2122
Jordan Moses, Nelson Obange, Evans Kiganda
Purpose: Taxes play a critical role for most governments around the world in funding investments in capital, infrastructure and the delivery of essential services. The study therefore sought to examine the effect of trade openness and agriculture on tax revenue performance in Kenya. Methodology: The study adopted correlational research design, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) mechanism and Granger causality test to establish the relationship between the study variables. The choice of the VECM was influenced by its ability to estimate both short run and long run relationships. The theoretical framework of the study followed Heller’s neoclassical maximization utility approach. Annual time series data for the study were sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators for the period 1980-2020. Results: The study findings established that in the long-run agriculture share (-0.64, t-statistics = 14.57) and trade openness (-0.08, t-statistics = 3.88) have negative and significant effect on tax revenue performance in Kenya. The Pairwise Granger Causality test results indicated unidirectional causality running from tax revenue performance to trade openness. This suggests that tax rates have effect on trade openness in Kenya. Unique Contribution to Theory, Policy and Practice: The study adds to literature by proving the Arthur’s Laffer curve theory which advocates for lowering tax rates in order to boost productivity and encourage expansion of corporation. The findings of the study may provide the National Treasury with foundation for policy formulation and analytical framework for estimating the associated tax revenue with variables under consideration in this study. The study may be of importance to KRA in determining appropriate tax rates that are favorable in boosting revenue mobilization.
目的:对世界上大多数政府来说,税收在为资本、基础设施和提供基本服务的投资提供资金方面发挥着关键作用。因此,该研究试图检验贸易开放和农业对肯尼亚税收绩效的影响。方法:采用相关研究设计、向量误差修正模型(Vector Error Correction Model, VECM)机制和格兰杰因果检验来建立研究变量之间的关系。VECM的选择受到其评估短期和长期关系的能力的影响。本研究的理论框架遵循了海勒的新古典主义效用最大化方法。该研究的年度时间序列数据来自世界银行1980-2020年期间的发展指标。结果:研究发现,从长期来看,农业份额(-0.64,t统计量= 14.57)和贸易开放(-0.08,t统计量= 3.88)对肯尼亚税收绩效具有显著的负向影响。两两格兰杰因果检验结果表明,税收绩效与贸易开放之间存在单向因果关系。这表明税率对肯尼亚的贸易开放程度有影响。 对理论、政策和实践的独特贡献:该研究通过证明亚瑟·拉弗曲线理论增加了文献,该理论主张降低税率以提高生产率并鼓励公司扩张。研究结果可为国家财政部提供政策制定的基础,并提供分析框架,以估计本研究所考虑的变量的相关税收。这项研究可能对KRA确定有利于促进收入调动的适当税率具有重要意义。
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 Methodology: The study adopted correlational research design, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) mechanism and Granger causality test to establish the relationship between the study variables. The choice of the VECM was influenced by its ability to estimate both short run and long run relationships. The theoretical framework of the study followed Heller’s neoclassical maximization utility approach. Annual time series data for the study were sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators for the period 1980-2020.
 Results: The study findings established that in the long-run agriculture share (-0.64, t-statistics = 14.57) and trade openness (-0.08, t-statistics = 3.88) have negative and significant effect on tax revenue performance in Kenya. The Pairwise Granger Causality test results indicated unidirectional causality running from tax revenue performance to trade openness. This suggests that tax rates have effect on trade openness in Kenya.
 Unique Contribution to Theory, Policy and Practice: The study adds to literature by proving the Arthur’s Laffer curve theory which advocates for lowering tax rates in order to boost productivity and encourage expansion of corporation. The findings of the study may provide the National Treasury with foundation for policy formulation and analytical framework for estimating the associated tax revenue with variables under consideration in this study. The study may be of importance to KRA in determining appropriate tax rates that are favorable in boosting revenue mobilization.","PeriodicalId":42721,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Economics Management and Accounting","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135195365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effect of Per Capita Income on Youth Unemployment in Kenya 肯尼亚人均收入对青年失业的影响
Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.47604/ijecon.2118
Jerry Okuom, Nelson Obange, Scholastica Odhiambo
Purpose: The objective was to determine the effect of per capita income on youth unemployment in Kenya. Methodology: The study was anchored on Okun’s law, which predicts a 1% drop in employment from a 2% drop in GDP. The study used the World Bank Database’s quantitative time series data from 1991–2021. The choice of the ARDL was based on the ability of the model to give long-run and short-run analyses of stationary and non-stationary variables. Pre-estimation procedures and diagnostics tests were used to determine the stability of the model. Findings: Findings revealed a significant negative relationship between per capita income (-0.3666, p = 0.013) and youth unemployment in the long-run. The speed of adjustment (-0.89999, p = 0.0001) from the short-run to the long-run is evident. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: This study may help academicians develop their knowledge of youth unemployment. It may increase understanding of per capita income as an indicator of growth and its application in Okun’s law. The Salaries and Remuneration Commission (SRC) may benefit from this study by creating better packages of salaries, allowances, and mortgages that may attract and improve the standard of living of Kenyan youth. The Public Service Board (PSB) may establish youth-friendly offices to motivate youth to stay in the labour force. Moreover, this study may guide the State Department for Youth Affairs to promote youth employment and increase labour productivity in Kenya. The State Department of Gender may use the study in gender mainstreaming and gender policy management. Policymakers will assess the effectiveness of the curriculum in preparing youth for the job market. An increase in labour productivity will result from increasing youth employment.
目的:目的是确定肯尼亚人均收入对青年失业的影响。 研究方法:该研究以奥肯定律为基础,该定律预测GDP下降2%会导致就业下降1%。该研究使用了世界银行数据库1991-2021年的定量时间序列数据。ARDL的选择是基于模型对平稳和非平稳变量进行长期和短期分析的能力。使用预估计程序和诊断测试来确定模型的稳定性。 研究发现:长期来看,人均收入(-0.3666,p = 0.013)与青年失业率呈显著负相关。从短期到长期的调整速度(-0.89999,p = 0.0001)是明显的。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:本研究有助于学术界对青年失业问题的认识。它可以增进对人均收入作为经济增长指标及其在奥肯定律中的应用的理解。工资和薪酬委员会(SRC)可能会从这项研究中受益,通过制定更好的工资、津贴和抵押贷款一揽子计划,吸引和提高肯尼亚年轻人的生活水平。公务员事务局可设立青年友好办事处,鼓励青年留在劳动大军。此外,这项研究可以指导国家青年事务部促进青年就业和提高肯尼亚的劳动生产率。国务院性别平等司可将该研究用于性别平等主流化和性别平等政策管理。决策者将评估课程在帮助年轻人为就业市场做好准备方面的有效性。增加青年就业将导致劳动生产率的提高。
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 Methodology: The study was anchored on Okun’s law, which predicts a 1% drop in employment from a 2% drop in GDP. The study used the World Bank Database’s quantitative time series data from 1991–2021. The choice of the ARDL was based on the ability of the model to give long-run and short-run analyses of stationary and non-stationary variables. Pre-estimation procedures and diagnostics tests were used to determine the stability of the model.
 Findings: Findings revealed a significant negative relationship between per capita income (-0.3666, p = 0.013) and youth unemployment in the long-run. The speed of adjustment (-0.89999, p = 0.0001) from the short-run to the long-run is evident.
 Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: This study may help academicians develop their knowledge of youth unemployment. It may increase understanding of per capita income as an indicator of growth and its application in Okun’s law. The Salaries and Remuneration Commission (SRC) may benefit from this study by creating better packages of salaries, allowances, and mortgages that may attract and improve the standard of living of Kenyan youth. The Public Service Board (PSB) may establish youth-friendly offices to motivate youth to stay in the labour force. Moreover, this study may guide the State Department for Youth Affairs to promote youth employment and increase labour productivity in Kenya. The State Department of Gender may use the study in gender mainstreaming and gender policy management. Policymakers will assess the effectiveness of the curriculum in preparing youth for the job market. An increase in labour productivity will result from increasing youth employment.","PeriodicalId":42721,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Economics Management and Accounting","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135957983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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International Journal of Economics Management and Accounting
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