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When Governments Promise to Prioritize Public Debt: Do Markets Care? 当政府承诺优先处理公共债务时:市场会在意吗?
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-20 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fjaa001
Mitu Gulati,Ugo Panizza,W Mark C Weidemaier,Gracie Willingham
Abstract During the European sovereign debt crisis of 2011–13, some nations faced with rising borrowing costs adopted commitments to treat bondholders as priority claimants. That is, if there were a shortage of funds, bondholders would be paid first. In this article, we analyse the prevalence and variety of these types of commitments and ask whether they impact borrowing costs. We examine a reform that was widely touted at the height of the Euro sovereign debt crisis in 2011, in which Spain enshrined in its constitution a strong commitment to give absolute priority to public debt claimants. We find no evidence that this reform had any impact on Spanish sovereign bond yields. By contrast, our examination of the US Commonwealth of Puerto Rico suggests that constitutional priority promises can have an impact, at least where the borrower government is subject to supervening law and legal institutions.
在2011 - 2013年欧洲主权债务危机期间,一些面临借款成本上升的国家采取了将债券持有人视为优先索赔人的承诺。也就是说,如果出现资金短缺,债券持有人将首先得到偿付。在本文中,我们分析了这些类型承诺的普遍性和多样性,并询问它们是否会影响借贷成本。我们研究了一项在2011年欧洲主权债务危机最严重时被广泛吹捧的改革,在这项改革中,西班牙在其宪法中郑重承诺绝对优先考虑公共债务索赔人。我们没有发现任何证据表明这一改革对西班牙主权债券收益率有任何影响。相比之下,我们对美国波多黎各联邦的研究表明,宪法优先承诺可能会产生影响,至少在借款人政府受监管法律和法律机构约束的地方是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Controlling the Long-Term Problem of Short-Term Funding 控制短期融资的长期问题
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-01-17 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJZ004
B. Johnson, H. Scott
While financial crises can be triggered by several causes, runs on short-term liabilities are at the heart of all financial crises, with the recent 2007–09 financial crisis being no exception. Given the unpredictability of crisis triggers and the overwhelming predictability of short-term funding’s role in financial crises, legislative and regulatory responses to the recent financial crisis should focus on the consequences of relying on short-term funding in the financial system. However, in addressing the problem of such funding, it is important to recognize the social benefits afforded by short-term liabilities and not simply the costs. To this end, this paper provides a brief overview of short-term funding in the U.S. financial system, while also highlighting the trade-off between the costs and benefits of short-term liabilities. The paper proceeds with an analysis of various proposals aimed at addressing the short-term funding issue.
虽然金融危机可能由多种原因引发,但短期负债挤兑是所有金融危机的核心,最近的2007-09年金融危机也不例外。鉴于危机触发因素的不可预测性以及短期融资在金融危机中所起作用的不可预测性,立法和监管机构对最近金融危机的反应应侧重于金融体系中依赖短期融资的后果。然而,在解决这种筹资问题时,重要的是要认识到短期负债所带来的社会利益,而不仅仅是成本。为此,本文简要概述了美国金融体系中的短期融资,同时也强调了短期负债的成本和收益之间的权衡。本文接着分析了旨在解决短期资金问题的各种建议。
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引用次数: 0
Volume Limit: An Effective Response to the India Flash Crash? 成交量限制:对印度闪电崩盘的有效回应?
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJZ006
Viktoria Dalko, Michael H. Wang
This paper assesses the recently enacted securities regulation, called the volume limit, by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. It reviews the literature on the negative consequences of large sale volumes on the stability of the stock market. The paper also examines the recent development of high-frequency trading in India. The two investigations unveil areas in which the regulation is effective and those in which it is inadequate. That is, the effectiveness of the regulation of the volume limit lies in reducing large price impacts due to genuine transactions. However, the inadequacy of this regulation is exposed when manipulation tactics arise regarding order display, such as spoofing by certain high-frequency traders.
本文评估了印度证券交易委员会最近颁布的被称为交易量限制的证券监管。它回顾了大量销售对股票市场稳定性的负面影响的文献。本文还考察了印度高频交易的最新发展。这两项调查揭示了该法规有效的领域和不足的领域。也就是说,监管数量限制的有效性在于减少真实交易对价格的巨大影响。然而,当出现与订单显示有关的操纵策略时,例如某些高频交易者的欺骗,这一规定的不足就暴露出来了。
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引用次数: 0
The Disruption of the Prudential Regulatory Framework 审慎监管框架的瓦解
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fjz009
P. Siciliani
This article first explores how the prudential regulatory framework may be drastically changed as a result of the adoption of regtech and suptech innovations. The adoption of a shared data architecture, whereby the regulator is provided with seamless access to the accounts of regulated firms, may result in the development of a centralized approach to regulatory modelling, thus bypassing the existing partition between internal models and standardized approaches. Secondly, this article discusses how, thanks to the adoption of advanced predictive analytics, non-bank fintech lenders can gain insights into borrowers’ creditworthiness irrespective of banks’ control over traditional sources of information for credit scoring. This, though, may give rise to a new type of strategic gaming, this time by borrowers keen to maximize their chances of being granted a loan. In any case, preventing banks from adopting these new methods for the purpose of regulatory modelling might weaken their competitiveness. Thirdly, this article explores whether the transition to a centralized approach for credit risk management would conflate the distinction between microprudential and macroprudential interventions, in particular with respect to the countercyclical macroprudential policy. Finally, the article argues that non-bank (fintech) firms could be persuaded to coalesce behind endorsement of the new regulatory shared data platform in return for the support from the central bank. In this way, the regulatory perimeter could be extended in order to steer the adoption of financial innovations in a manner that benefits society overall.
本文首先探讨了审慎监管框架如何因采用监管科技和监管科技创新而发生巨大变化。通过采用共享数据架构,监管机构可以无缝访问受监管公司的账户,这可能会导致开发一种集中的监管建模方法,从而绕过内部模型和标准化方法之间的现有划分。其次,本文讨论了由于采用了先进的预测分析,非银行金融科技贷款机构如何能够洞察借款人的信誉,而不考虑银行对信用评分的传统信息来源的控制。然而,这可能会引发一种新型的战略博弈,这一次是借款人热衷于最大化他们获得贷款的机会。无论如何,阻止银行采用这些新方法来建立监管模型,可能会削弱它们的竞争力。第三,本文探讨了向集中式信贷风险管理方法的过渡是否会混淆微观审慎和宏观审慎干预之间的区别,特别是在反周期宏观审慎政策方面。最后,文章认为非银行(金融科技)公司可以被说服联合起来支持新的监管共享数据平台,以换取中央银行的支持。通过这种方式,可以扩大监管范围,以引导金融创新以有利于整个社会的方式被采用。
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引用次数: 3
The EU’s Regulatory Commitment to a European Harmonized Pension Product (PEPP): The Portability of Pension Rights vis-à-vis the Free Movement of Capital 欧盟对欧洲统一养老金产品(PEPP)的监管承诺:养老金权利相对于资本自由流动的可移植性
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJZ005
Kyra Borg, Andrea Minto, H. V. Meerten
European demographic structure and age composition are currently in a state of flux—life expectancy has increased, fertility rates have dropped, and baby-boomers have reached retirement age. The implications of these changes, coupled with the fragmented market for personal pension products throughout the EU are vast and call for close scrutiny of the relationship between financial and pension markets. This article examines the current regulatory efforts aimed at creating a Pan-European Personal Pension Product (PEPP). In doing so, it pursues two primary objectives: firstly, it seeks to explain the relevance of a European harmonized pension product to the overall concept of the single market; and secondly, it aims to explore the looming regulatory challenges stemming from the portability of social and pension rights. This is done by elaborating upon established law and economics scholarship on capital markets, including the Legal Theory of Finance developed by Katharina Pistor. By assessing the costs faced by prospective pensioners against the benefits of legislative harmonization (and other policy-related alternatives), from both a normative perspective as well as a positive one, this article attempts to make a case for an effective and sustainable governance response. The article ultimately seeks to provide a well-balanced, albeit modern outlook to the regulatory endeavours that have more recently been made applicable to the EU personal pension market in virtue of the creation of the PEPP and the wide-ranging effects of such reforms on law, finance, and society.
欧洲人口结构和年龄构成目前处于变动状态——预期寿命增加,生育率下降,婴儿潮一代已达到退休年龄。这些变化的影响,加上整个欧盟个人养老金产品市场的分散,要求对金融和养老金市场之间的关系进行密切审查。本文考察了目前旨在创建泛欧个人养老金产品(pep)的监管努力。在此过程中,它追求两个主要目标:首先,它试图解释欧洲统一养老金产品与单一市场整体概念的相关性;其次,它旨在探讨由于社会和养老金权利的可移植性而产生的迫在眉睫的监管挑战。这是通过详细阐述关于资本市场的既定法律和经济学奖学金来完成的,包括Katharina Pistor开发的金融法律理论。通过从规范和积极的角度评估未来养老金领取者所面临的成本与立法协调(以及其他与政策相关的替代方案)的好处,本文试图为有效和可持续的治理响应提出理由。本文最终寻求为监管努力提供一个平衡的,尽管是现代的观点,这些监管努力最近由于PEPP的创建而适用于欧盟个人养老金市场,以及此类改革对法律,金融和社会的广泛影响。
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引用次数: 2
The Myth of Diversification: The Destabilizing Impact of Diversification on Financial Institutions 多元化的神话:多元化对金融机构的不稳定影响
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-09-01 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fjz007
Kwon-Yong Jin
This article analyses the impact of asset and activity diversification on the stability of major financial institutions. Diversification is typically viewed as a positive element in risk management. However, examining recent examples concerning diversified multinational financial institutions and a theoretical model of failure risk facing them, this article demonstrates that under certain conditions, diversification can actually increase systemic risk. Financial conglomerates can be ‘too big to manage’, they can become too similar to each other and susceptible to coordinated failure, and, most importantly, catastrophic losses in one part of the firm can overwhelm the whole firm. Based on this finding, this article proposes a number of mitigation measures to limit intra-firm spillover and to make the resolution of troubled financial institutions smoother.
本文分析了资产和活动多元化对主要金融机构稳定性的影响。多元化通常被视为风险管理中的一个积极因素。然而,通过考察最近关于多元化跨国金融机构的例子以及它们面临的失败风险的理论模型,本文表明,在某些条件下,多元化实际上会增加系统性风险。金融企业集团可能“太大而无法管理”,它们可能变得过于相似,容易出现协同失败,最重要的是,公司一部分的灾难性损失可能会压垮整个公司。基于这一发现,本文提出了一些缓解措施,以限制企业内部溢出,并使陷入困境的金融机构的解决更加顺利。
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引用次数: 1
Inaction in Macro-prudential Supervision: Assessing the EU’s Response 宏观审慎监管的不作为:评估欧盟的反应
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJZ001
Pierre Schammo
In the macro-prudential literature, ‘inaction bias’ describes the supposed tendency of macro-prudential actors to favour inaction over action when considering the use of macro-prudential tools. While inaction bias is a topic of much interest in macro-prudential policy circles, it has received scant attention from legal scholarship. The aim of this article is to contribute to filling this gap by studying inaction in an EU macro-prudential context and by evaluating the institutional arrangements that were put in place in order to address so-called inaction bias. Several actors at the EU level have a role to play in macro-prudential supervision, especially the European Systemic Risk Board and the European Central Bank (ECB). This paper will assess their capabilities and their capacity to turn these into actions. The role of the ECB will be of particular interest since it was vested with real powers to address possible inaction bias among states participating in the Banking Union. Among other things, I will examine whether the ECB’s macro-prudential powers are the cure to the problems that are said to underpin inaction bias at the national level.
在宏观审慎文献中,“不作为偏见”描述了宏观审慎行为者在考虑使用宏观审慎工具时倾向于不作为而不是行动的假设趋势。虽然不作为偏见是宏观审慎政策界非常感兴趣的话题,但它很少受到法律学术界的关注。本文的目的是通过研究欧盟宏观审慎背景下的不作为,以及通过评估为解决所谓的不作为偏见而实施的制度安排,来填补这一空白。欧盟层面的几个参与者在宏观审慎监管方面可以发挥作用,特别是欧洲系统风险委员会和欧洲中央银行(ECB)。本文将评估它们的能力以及它们将这些能力转化为行动的能力。欧洲央行的角色将受到特别关注,因为它被赋予了解决银行业联盟成员国可能存在的不作为偏见的实权。除其他事项外,我将研究欧洲央行的宏观审慎权力是否能解决据称在国家层面助长不作为偏见的问题。
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引用次数: 3
Ignorance, Debt, and Cryptocurrencies: The Old and the New in the Law and Economics of Concurrent Currencies* 无知,债务和加密货币:并行货币的法律和经济学的新旧*
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fjz002
Hossein Nabilou, André Prüm
Cryptocurrencies are expected to have a significant impact on banking, finance, and monetary systems. Due to the uncertainty as to the possible future trajectories of the evolving cryptocurrency ecosystem, governments have taken a relatively hands-off approach to regulating such currencies. This approach may be justified within the theoretical information-economics framework of this paper, which draws parallels between the information economics of money and quasi-money creation within the current central banking, commercial banking, and shadow banking systems with that of the cryptocurrency ecosystem. In particular, drawing lessons from the literature on the role of information in creating ‘safe assets’, in this paper the authors find that by building on symmetric (common) knowledge as to the inner workings of the Bitcoin Blockchain—though in a different way—bitcoin possesses a degree of endogenous information insensitivity typical of safe assets. This endogenous information insensitivity could support bitcoin’s promise of maturing into a viable store of value and a niche medium of exchange. This finding should not be overlooked in the policy discussions for potential future regulatory interventions in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
预计加密货币将对银行、金融和货币体系产生重大影响。由于不断发展的加密货币生态系统未来可能的轨迹存在不确定性,各国政府采取了相对不干涉的方式来监管这些货币。在本文的理论信息经济学框架内,这种方法可能是合理的,该框架将当前中央银行、商业银行和影子银行系统中的货币和准货币创造的信息经济学与加密货币生态系统的信息经济学进行了比较。特别是,从有关信息在创建“安全资产”中的作用的文献中吸取教训,作者在本文中发现,通过建立关于比特币区块链内部工作的对称(共同)知识-尽管以不同的方式-比特币具有一定程度的安全资产典型的内生信息不敏感性。这种内生的信息不敏感可以支持比特币成熟为可行的价值储存和利基交换媒介的承诺。在关于加密货币生态系统未来潜在监管干预的政策讨论中,这一发现不应被忽视。
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引用次数: 7
The Case for Market-Based Stress Tests 基于市场的压力测试案例
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-10-09 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fjz008
J. Vickers
The author contends that, for major banks with price-to-book ratios less than one, stress tests based on market values should be run and published by regulators alongside existing stress test results.
作者认为,对于市盈率低于1的大银行,监管机构应根据市场价值进行压力测试,并在现有压力测试结果的基础上公布压力测试结果。
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引用次数: 8
Should Fair-lending Investigators Better Mix Qualitative and Quantitative Methods? 公平贷款调查人员应该更好地将定性和定量方法结合起来吗?
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-10-05 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJY008
C. Cosans
The author examines a controversy over the methods used by federal agencies to enforce fair-lending laws. Some hold that investigators should use primarily qualitative reviews of documents in loan files in their investigations. Others hold that the qualitative methodology of file reviews is inadequate and needs to be supplemented or replaced by quantitative statistical methods. The author argues that the methods in the federal Interagency Fair Lending Examination Procedure should be revised to use a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods in a better way so that they complement each other. Investigations should rely primarily on quantitative methods to investigate institutional discrimination, but use the qualitative methods of file reviews in the investigation of individual agents for their discriminatory decisions.
作者探讨了关于联邦机构执行公平贷款法的方法的争议。一些人认为,调查人员在调查中应该主要使用对贷款档案中文件的定性审查。其他人则认为,档案审查的定性方法不够充分,需要用定量统计方法加以补充或取代。作者认为,应修订联邦机构间公平贷款审查程序中的方法,更好地将定性和定量方法相结合,使其相互补充。调查应主要依靠定量方法来调查机构歧视,但在调查个人代理人的歧视性决定时应使用档案审查的定性方法。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Financial Regulation
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