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The Roadmap Approach to Regulating Digital Financial Services 监管数字金融服务的路线图
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fjv008
J. Greenacre
Mobile phones are spreading rapidly throughout developing countries. Banks and other firms are increasingly using mobile phones and other non-traditional banking infrastructure, such as phone companies and retail shops, to provide financial services to large, low-income populations in these countries. This article provides a framework for regulating such services.
移动电话在发展中国家迅速普及。银行和其他公司越来越多地使用移动电话和其他非传统银行基础设施,如电话公司和零售商店,向这些国家的大量低收入人口提供金融服务。本文提供了一个规范此类服务的框架。
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引用次数: 1
Why Operational Risk Modelling Creates Inverse Incentives 为什么操作风险模型会产生反向激励
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJV005
R. Doff
Operational risk modelling has become commonplace in large international banks and is gaining popularity in the insurance industry as well. This is partly due to financial regulation (Basel II, Solvency II). This article argues that operational risk modelling is fundamentally flawed, despite efforts to resolve the scarce data in the tail of the probability distributions. Potential solutions are special statistical techniques or shared (external) data initiatives. While capital regulation might be one perspective, internal capital modelling efforts are also flawed because of the main principles of the RAROC methodology. Rather than handling the issue of data scarcity, institutions and regulators should better focus on operational risk management and avoid large losses. Capital regulation for operational risk should be further simplified.
操作风险建模在大型国际银行中已经司空见惯,在保险业也越来越受欢迎。这部分是由于金融监管(巴塞尔协议II,偿付能力II)。本文认为,尽管努力解决概率分布尾部的稀缺数据,但操作风险模型从根本上是有缺陷的。潜在的解决方案是特殊的统计技术或共享(外部)数据计划。虽然资本监管可能是一个角度,但由于RAROC方法的主要原则,内部资本建模工作也存在缺陷。机构和监管机构应该更好地关注操作风险管理,避免巨额损失,而不是处理数据稀缺问题。进一步简化操作风险资本监管。
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引用次数: 2
Sovereign Debt Litigation in Argentina: Implications of the Pari Passu Default 阿根廷主权债务诉讼:同等权益违约的影响
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU006
Julian Schumacher
On 31 July 2014, Argentina defaulted on its sovereign bonds for the second time in the 21st century. It was also its eighth default since independence1; at such frequency, this was perhaps not an especially noteworthy event. What made it so extraordinary was not that another domestic financial crisis triggered the payment default, but rather an injunction handed down by a federal district court in New York. However, despite public outrage, the wider impact of this decision is likely to be limited. That is even more so if reforms that have already started continue to be implemented.The case dates back to Christmas Eve 2001, when the interim Saa administration declared a payment suspension on foreign debt.2 The first scheduled payments affected by this decision were due in January 2002. Only weeks later, in March, the first lawsuits by American investors against the Argentine government were filed in US courts (see Figure 1). But a real rush to the courthouse took place from September 2003 onwards, when the first details of the intended debt restructuring were published. With a present value loss (‘haircut’) for investors of approximately 90 per cent, they were considerably harsher than most bond exchange offers since the 1990s, which saw average haircuts of 35 per cent.3 A debt exchange finally took place in June 2005 with a haircut of approximately 77 per cent. About 76 per cent of creditors accepted the offer, later increased to slightly more than 90 per cent after a reopening at identical terms in 2010. Afterwards, Argentina resumed payments to participating investors on the new ‘exchange’ bonds, but refused to make any payments to the ‘holdout’ creditors who kept the original bonds. Figure 1. Lawsuits filed since 2002. Cumulative nominal claims in litigation against the Republic of Argentina, Provinces of …
2014年7月31日,阿根廷发生了21世纪以来的第二次主权债券违约。这也是该国独立以来第八次违约;在这样的频率下,这可能不是一个特别值得注意的事件。之所以如此不同寻常,并不是因为另一场国内金融危机引发了支付违约,而是纽约一家联邦地区法院发布的禁令。然而,尽管公众愤怒,这一决定的广泛影响可能是有限的。如果已经开始的改革继续实施,情况更是如此。这个案子要追溯到2001年的平安夜,当时南非临时政府宣布暂停支付外债受这一决定影响的第一批定期付款应于2002年1月到期。仅仅几周后,也就是3月份,美国投资者针对阿根廷政府的第一起诉讼在美国法院提起(见图1)。但是,从2003年9月开始,当拟进行债务重组的第一批细节公布后,真正涌向法院的情况才开始出现。投资者的现值损失(“减记”)约为90%,这比上世纪90年代以来的大多数债券交换要约都要严厉得多,上世纪90年代以来的债券交换要约的平均减记幅度为35%。3 2005年6月,债务交换最终达成,减记幅度约为77%。约76%的债权人接受了这一要约,后来在2010年以相同条款重新开放后,这一比例略高于90%。之后,阿根廷恢复向新“交换”债券的参与投资者支付款项,但拒绝向持有原始债券的“拒绝”债权人支付任何款项。图1所示。诉讼从2002年就开始了。针对阿根廷共和国、……省的诉讼中累积的名义索赔
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引用次数: 5
Alternative Investment Markets under Criticism: Reasons to be Worried? Lessons from Gowex 另类投资市场饱受批评:有理由担心吗?Gowex的教训
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU008
A. Martínez
The recent financial scandal of Gowex in the Spanish Alternative Investment Market (MAB) has reopened the debate about the dangers of lightly regulated markets and their optimal level of regulation. This article argues that Gowex’s collapse was not a failure of these markets but a failure of the gatekeepers in charge of overseeing Gowex’s activities. Therefore, we propose that regulators should focus on providing mechanisms to encourage gatekeepers to do their work in an effective and credible way. Namely, we propose that regulators should enhance the role and effectiveness of Nominated Advisers, since these players have been created precisely for the purpose of compensating for the lower level of information issued by companies in these markets. Likewise, when it is not currently applicable in an Alternative Investment Market, regulators should also consider the possibility of implementing some—relatively costless—corporate governance policies applied in Main Markets such as the imposition of independent directors. Thus, by mitigating perverse incentives between directors and executive officers, the board of directors would be in a better position to oversee the managers. Finally, we also argue that regulators should improve the reputation and expertise of their own financial authorities, especially in cases of relatively new Alternative Investment Markets such as the Spanish MAB. Otherwise, they will not create a safe environment for investors; the efforts to preserve the Alternative Investment Market might be useless and costly; and the most likely end for this market would be its closure, as was the case with Germany's Neuer Markt after its reputation was severely damaged as a result of various cases of fraud and corporate bankruptcies in the aftermath of the high-tech bubble.
最近发生在西班牙另类投资市场(MAB)的Gowex金融丑闻重新引发了关于监管宽松的市场及其最佳监管水平的危险的辩论。本文认为,Gowex的倒闭不是这些市场的失败,而是负责监督Gowex活动的看门人的失败。因此,我们建议监管机构应专注于提供机制,以鼓励看门人以有效和可信的方式开展工作。也就是说,我们建议监管机构应该加强提名顾问的作用和有效性,因为这些参与者的创建正是为了补偿这些市场中公司发布的较低水平的信息。同样,当它目前不适用于另类投资市场时,监管机构还应考虑实施一些在主要市场适用的成本相对较低的公司治理政策的可能性,例如强加独立董事。因此,通过减轻董事和高管之间的不当激励,董事会将处于更好的位置来监督经理。最后,我们还认为,监管机构应提高本国金融当局的声誉和专业知识,特别是在相对较新的另类投资市场(如西班牙MAB)的情况下。否则,他们不会为投资者创造一个安全的环境;保护另类投资市场的努力可能是无用的,而且代价高昂;这个市场最有可能的结局是关闭,就像德国的Neuer市场一样,在高科技泡沫破灭后,由于各种欺诈和企业破产的案件,Neuer市场的声誉严重受损。
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引用次数: 7
Critical Reflections on Bank Bail-ins 对银行内部纾困的批判性反思
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU009
E. Avgouleas, C. Goodhart
Many of the world’s developed economies have introduced, or are planning to introduce, bank bail-in regimes that involve the participation of bank creditors in bearing the costs of restoring a failing bank to health. There is a long list of actual or hypothetical advantages attached to the bail-in process. Therefore, there is a need for a closer examination of the bail-in process, if it is to become a successful substitute to the unpopular bailout approach. The bail-in tool involves replacing the implicit public guarantee, on which fractional reserve banking has operated, with a system of private penalties. The bail-in approach may, indeed, be much superior to bailouts in the case of idiosyncratic failure. In other cases, the bail-in process may entail important risks. The article provides a legal and economic analysis of some of the key potential risks bail-ins may entail both in the domestic and cross-border contexts. It explains why bail-in regimes will not eradicate the need for injection of public funds where there is a threat of systemic collapse, because a number of banks have simultaneously entered into difficulties, or in the event of the failure of a large complex cross-border bank, unless the failure was clearly idiosyncratic.
世界上许多发达经济体已经或正计划引入银行纾困机制,即让银行债权人参与承担使濒临倒闭的银行恢复健康的成本。在纾困过程中,有一长串实际或假想的优势。因此,如果要成功地取代不受欢迎的纾困方式,就有必要更仔细地审视纾困程序。内部纾困工具包括用私人惩罚体系取代部分准备金银行所依赖的隐性公共担保。事实上,在特殊失败的情况下,“内部纾困”方法可能比纾困要好得多。在其他情况下,内部纾困过程可能会带来重大风险。本文对内部纾困在国内和跨境背景下可能带来的一些关键潜在风险进行了法律和经济分析。它解释了为什么纾困机制不能消除在存在系统性崩溃威胁的情况下注入公共资金的必要性,因为许多银行同时陷入困境,或者在一家大型复杂跨境银行倒闭的情况下,除非这家银行的倒闭明显是特殊的。
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引用次数: 110
Halliburton II: What It’s All About 哈里伯顿2:它的全部
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/jfr/fju004
M. Fox
Rule 10b-5 private damages actions cannot proceed on a class basis unless the plaintiffs are entitled to the fraud-on-the-market presumption of reliance. In Halliburton II , the US Supreme Court provides defendants with an opportunity, before class certification, to rebut the fraud-on-the-market presumption through evidence that the misstatement had no effect on the issuer’s share price. It left unspecified, however, the standard by which the sufficiency of this evidence should be judged.This article explores the two most plausible approaches to setting this standard. One approach would be to impose the same statistical burden on defendants seeking to show there was no price effect as is currently imposed on plaintiffs to show that there was a price effect when the plaintiffs later need to demonstrate loss causation. The other approach would be to decide that defendants can rebut the presumption of reliance simply by persuading the court that the plaintiffs will not be able to meet their statistical burden. If the courts choose the first approach, Halliburton II is unlikely to have much effect on the cases that are brought or on their resolution by settlement or adjudication. If they choose the second approach, the decision’s effect will be more substantial. The article concludes with a brief discussion of some of the considerations that should be relevant to courts in their choice between the two approaches.
规则10b-5私人损害赔偿诉讼不能以集体为基础进行,除非原告有权获得信赖的市场欺诈推定。在哈里伯顿II案中,美国最高法院为被告提供了一个机会,在集体认证之前,通过证明错误陈述对发行人股价没有影响,反驳市场欺诈的假设。但是,它没有说明判断这一证据是否充分的标准。本文探讨了设置该标准的两种最合理的方法。一种方法是,对寻求证明没有价格效应的被告施加同样的统计负担,就像目前对原告施加同样的统计负担,以表明原告后来需要证明损失因果关系时存在价格效应。另一种方法是判定被告可以简单地通过说服法院原告将无法履行其统计负担来反驳信赖推定。如果法院选择第一种方法,哈里伯顿II不太可能对提起的案件或通过和解或裁决解决这些案件产生太大影响。如果他们选择第二种方法,决定的效果将更加实质性。文章最后简要讨论了法院在这两种方法之间进行选择时应考虑的一些因素。
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引用次数: 1
Regulating Sovereign Wealth Funds to Avoid Investment Protectionism 监管主权财富基金,避免投资保护主义
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU002
G. Kratsas, J. Truby
Chinese and Emirati purchases of US companies have collapsed because of suspicions that their Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) status is a disguise for political ambitions. SWFs have grown in size and number, drawing the attention of many government officials because of their non-transparent nature and expansionary investment policies. Their government-controlled status and non-transparent nature have raised fears among governments of political rather than economic investment motivations. SWFs may use their economic influence to obtain critical information, transfer jobs abroad, or compromise the operation of strategically important companies. Such concerns have led to proposals for national measures to regulate investments of foreign SWFs with a view to controlling their economic and security impact. This article questions whether the existence of SWFs justifies the adoption a particular set of national or international foreign investment regulations. It offers an assessment of competing models from the viewpoint of theory, costs, and implementation. It also examines the alternative model of international self-regulation.
中国和阿联酋对美国企业的收购已宣告失败,因为人们怀疑,它们的主权财富基金(SWF)身份是其政治野心的伪装。主权财富基金的规模和数量都在增长,由于其不透明的性质和扩张性的投资政策,引起了许多政府官员的注意。它们由政府控制的地位和不透明的性质,引发了各国政府对政治(而非经济)投资动机的担忧。主权财富基金可能利用其经济影响力获取关键信息,将工作转移到国外,或损害具有重要战略意义的公司的运营。这种担忧已导致一些国家提议采取措施,对外国主权财富基金的投资进行监管,以期控制其对经济和安全的影响。本文质疑主权财富基金的存在是否证明采用一套特定的国家或国际外国投资法规是正当的。它从理论、成本和实现的角度对竞争模型进行了评估。它还考察了国际自我监管的另一种模式。
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引用次数: 14
Moral Hazard and Government Guarantees in the Banking Industry 银行业的道德风险与政府担保
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU003
Franklin Allen, E. Carletti, Itay Goldstein, Agnese Leonello
The massive use of public funds in the financial sector and the large costs for taxpayers are often used to justify the idea that public intervention should be limited. This conclusion is based on the idea that government guarantees always induce financial institutions to take excessive risk. In this article, we challenge this conventional view and argue that it relies on some specific assumptions made in the existing literature on government guarantees and on a number of modelling choices. We review the theory of government guarantees by highlighting and discussing the role that these underlying assumptions play in the assessment of the desirability and effectiveness of government guarantees and propose a new framework for thinking about them.
公共资金在金融部门的大量使用以及纳税人的巨大成本,常常被用来证明应该限制公共干预的观点是合理的。这一结论是基于这样一种观点:政府担保总是会诱使金融机构承担过度风险。在本文中,我们挑战这一传统观点,并认为它依赖于现有文献中关于政府担保和一些建模选择的一些具体假设。我们通过强调和讨论这些基本假设在评估政府担保的可取性和有效性方面所起的作用来回顾政府担保理论,并提出一个思考它们的新框架。
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引用次数: 94
Judge Jed Rakoff and Law’s Penumbra 杰德·拉科夫法官和劳的半影地带
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU005
C. Hill
Judge Jed Rakoff has famously written opinions that contain very strong dicta describing his views. In the contexts in which he is writing, law ‘on the books' has not sufficed and probably could not suffice: society has been harmed, and the actors harming it cannot be sufficiently constrained. Judge Rakoff's dicta may help expand law's penumbra to encompass what ‘law on the books' cannot.
杰德·拉科夫(Jed Rakoff)法官撰写的意见书中包含了描述其观点的强烈措辞,这是出了名的。在他写作的背景下,“书本上的”法律还不够,可能也不可能足够:社会受到了伤害,伤害社会的行为者无法得到充分约束。拉科夫法官的判决可能有助于扩大法律的模糊范围,使之涵盖“书面法律”无法涵盖的内容。
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引用次数: 0
Public Enforcement of Market Abuse Bans. The ECtHR Grande Stevens Decision 公开执行市场滥用禁令。欧洲人权委员会格兰德史蒂文斯决定
IF 2.6 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2015-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JFR/FJU007
Matteo Gargantini
The decision of the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) in Grande Stevens et al v Italy has already become an oft-mentioned touchstone on the implications of human rights protection in financial markets law.1 The Court’s ruling sets out some important principles in two fundamental areas: first, it clarifies to what extent administrative procedures are bound by the fair trial provisions of the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) (Article 6) when sanctions are applied that—albeit administrative in form—are criminal in substance. Secondly, the decision imposes some limits on the joint application of criminal and (formally) administrative sanctions in light of the double jeopardy clause set forth in Article 4, Protocol 7, ECHR.Grande Stevens concerned an alleged lack of disclosure relating to an equity swap on shares issued by Fiat Spa, the Italian carmaker listed on the Milan Stock Exchange. In 2002, Fiat was in financial distress and received a convertible loan from a bank syndicate. The loan covenants provided that if Fiat did not repay its debt at maturity (September 2005), it would have to instead deliver shares for an equivalent amount. As the repayment deadline approached, it became clear that a share issue would have been more convenient than total repayment. However, conversion of the outstanding debt would have diluted the Agnelli family's controlling stake—held through the listed company Ifil Spa—from 30.06 to 22 percent of the outstanding voting capital, while the bank syndicate would have ended up with a global participation of up to 28 per cent.In April 2005, Exor Group Spa entered an equity swap contract on 90 million Fiat shares with Merrill Lynch. Both Exor and Ifil were controlled by Giovanni Agnelli Sapa. Under the contract, Exor took the equity leg and had the right to receive cash flows if the price of …
欧洲人权法院(ECtHR)在格兰德·史蒂文斯等人诉意大利一案中的判决已经成为金融市场法中人权保护含义的试金石法院的裁决在两个基本领域阐明了一些重要的原则:首先,它澄清了在何种程度上行政程序受《欧洲人权公约》(ECHR)(第6条)公平审判条款的约束,当实施制裁时,尽管形式上是行政制裁,但实质上是刑事制裁。其次,根据《欧洲人权公约》第7议定书第4条规定的双重审判条款,该决定对刑事和(正式)行政制裁的联合适用施加了一些限制。格兰德·史蒂文斯(Grande Stevens)关注的是,在米兰证券交易所(Milan Stock Exchange)上市的意大利汽车制造商菲亚特(Fiat Spa)发行的一笔股票换股交易据称缺乏披露。2002年,菲亚特陷入财务困境,从一家银行辛迪加获得了一笔可转换贷款。贷款契约规定,如果菲亚特在到期时(2005年9月)没有偿还债务,它将不得不以等额的价格出售股票。随着还款期限的临近,很明显,发行股票比全额还款更方便。然而,未偿债务的转换将稀释阿涅利家族通过上市公司Ifil Spa持有的控制股权,从占未偿投票资本的30.06%降至22%,而银行银团最终将在全球拥有至多28%的股份。2005年4月,Exor Group Spa与美林(Merrill Lynch)签订了一份9000万股菲亚特股票的股权互换合同。Exor和Ifil都由Giovanni Agnelli Sapa控制。根据合同,Exor拥有股权,并有权获得现金流,如果价格…
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Journal of Financial Regulation
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