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Spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on adult and youth unemployment 经济政策不确定性对成人和青年失业的溢出效应
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2023-0001
Silvo Dajčman, Alenka Kavkler, Natalia Levenko, Dejan Romih
Abstract The paper studies the effects of foreign (the US, the UK and the Chinese) and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on unemployment in Germany, France, Italy and Spain. The analysis is run separately for the rates of adult and youth unemployment. Impulse responses derived from vector autoregressive models show that the magnitudes of the responses of the adult and youth segments of the labour market are quite different. Following an uncertainty shock, the youth unemployment rate increases significantly more than the adult unemployment rate. This is the case for France, Italy and Spain. The German labour market seems to be resistant to foreign (except Chinese) and domestic EPU shocks, while the remaining labour markets, foremost the Spanish and Italian ones, are susceptible to uncertainty shocks, especially to the US EPU shocks.
摘要本文研究了外国(美国、英国和中国)和国内经济政策不确定性(EPU)冲击对德国、法国、意大利和西班牙失业率的影响。该分析分别针对成人失业率和青年失业率进行。从矢量自回归模型得出的脉冲响应表明,劳动力市场中成人和青年部分的响应幅度有很大不同。在经历不确定性冲击之后,青年失业率的增幅明显高于成人失业率。法国、意大利和西班牙的情况就是如此。德国劳动力市场似乎对外国(中国除外)和国内EPU冲击具有抵抗力,而其余的劳动力市场,主要是西班牙和意大利的劳动力市场,容易受到不确定性冲击,尤其是美国EPU冲击的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Travel behaviour changes during the pandemic: Prague-Pilsen rail case study 大流行期间旅行行为的变化:布拉格-皮尔森铁路案例研究
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0015
Simona Surmařová, Martin Vrána, Jan Ilík
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has affected many aspects of our everyday lives. Governments have taken numerous measures to contain the spread of the pandemic, which has had a direct impact on daily mobility, modal choice and the function of public transport. This study uses quantitative and qualitative data to describe how the pandemic influenced travel on the Prague-Pilsen (Praha-Plzeň) railway line. The results of the case study on the Prague-Pilsen railway line are consistent with experiences in other countries. 38% decrease in passenger numbers was found between 2019 and 2020. Although numbers are increasing again, they still have not reached the pre-pandemic level. The number of connections has also decreased by a third on average (2019 to 2020). We also conducted in-depth interviews with train passengers on the above-mentioned route. Two-thirds of passengers stated that the frequency of their journeys had not been affected by the pandemic. However, like the other participants, they described other changes caused by the pandemic. Fear of infection played an important role, and the inconvenience of overcrowding was mentioned several times. The switch from buses to trains was mentioned, as was the fact that more and more travellers prefer to travel first class. In some cases, changes in the temporality of trips were also documented. The survey suggests that respondents travel less frequently by train for systematic, functional, health or social reasons.
摘要新冠肺炎大流行影响了我们日常生活的许多方面。各国政府采取了许多措施来遏制疫情的传播,这对日常出行、模式选择和公共交通的功能产生了直接影响。这项研究使用定量和定性数据来描述疫情如何影响布拉格-皮尔森(Praha Plzeń)铁路线上的出行。布拉格-皮尔森铁路线的案例研究结果与其他国家的经验一致。2019年至2020年间,乘客人数下降了38%。尽管人数再次增加,但仍未达到疫情前的水平。连接数量也平均减少了三分之一(2019年至2020年)。我们还对上述线路上的列车乘客进行了深入采访。三分之二的乘客表示,他们的行程频率没有受到疫情的影响。然而,与其他参与者一样,他们描述了疫情造成的其他变化。对感染的恐惧发挥了重要作用,人们多次提到过度拥挤带来的不便。人们提到了从公共汽车到火车的转变,以及越来越多的旅客更喜欢乘坐头等舱的事实。在某些情况下,还记录了旅行时间性的变化。调查表明,由于系统、功能、健康或社会原因,受访者乘坐火车的频率较低。
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引用次数: 1
Financial shocks and their effects on velocity of money in agent-based model 基于主体模型的金融冲击及其对货币流通速度的影响
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0011
J. Bohacik
Abstract The interaction of debt and economic performance has been getting more attention over the last few years. However, models making provision for debt are still outnumbered by models completely ignoring it. This paper is the first one to analyze the relationship between household debt (in the form of bank loans) and economic performance (in terms of aggregate income) considering both the impact of wealth and income distribution, and the impact of the MPC distribution under various financial shocks. The outcomes of the model are velocities calculated as ratios of aggregate income to aggregate debt. The paper demonstrates how financial shocks affect the income velocity of money under different distributions of wealth/income and marginal propensity to consume across the population. For this purpose, an original agent-based simulation model with a limited loan supply was designed. Proposed model shocks are shocks to loan demand, loan supply, marginal propensity to consume, macro-prudential regulatory ratios, real estate capital gains, repayment ratios, shocks to the structure of loans provided and to the structure of real estate property transactions. It is shown that the more equal the distributions of wealth/income and of the marginal propensity to consume, the higher is the income velocity of money. From financial shocks, the marginal propensity to consume shock and the shock to the structure of new real estate property purchases have the largest impact on velocity. The shock to regulatory ratios has generally the lowest magnitude.
摘要近年来,债务与经济绩效的相互作用越来越受到人们的关注。然而,计提债务准备金的模型仍然多于完全忽略债务准备金的模式。本文首次分析了家庭债务(以银行贷款的形式)与经济绩效(以总收入的形式)之间的关系,同时考虑了财富和收入分配的影响,以及在各种金融冲击下MPC分配的影响。该模型的结果是以总收入与总债务的比率计算的速度。本文展示了在不同的财富/收入分布和人口边际消费倾向下,金融冲击如何影响货币的收入速度。为此,设计了一个具有有限贷款供应的基于代理的模拟模型。所提出的模型冲击是对贷款需求、贷款供应、边际消费倾向、宏观审慎监管比率、房地产资本收益、还款比率、提供贷款结构和房地产交易结构的冲击。研究表明,财富/收入分配和边际消费倾向越平等,货币的收入速度就越高。从金融冲击来看,边际消费倾向的冲击和对新建房地产购买结构的冲击对速度的影响最大。冲击与监管比率通常是最低的。
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引用次数: 0
Diversity and Inclusion Practices as a Booster for Firm Sustainability: Evidence from the Czech Automotive Sector 多元化和包容性实践作为企业可持续发展的助推器:来自捷克汽车行业的证据
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2023-0002
E. Velinov, P. Strach
Abstract The paper investigates implemented diversity and inclusion practices’ effect on firm sustainability. The study covers a sample of small and middle-sized automotive firms in Czechia, where diversity and inclusion practices have been implemented in relation to firm sustainability. The paper’s methodology is based on theoretical models of diversity management and firm sustainability in the automotive sector. The paper provides evidence that a low number of firms in the Czech Republic in the automotive sector have been rolling out any diversity and inclusion measures but at the same time, the majority of the selected firms have been considering the development and implementation of human resource management practices in the area of diversity and inclusion as a vital part of attracting more investors and aligning with the global sustainable goals of the United Nations. Moreover, the paper brings evidence that the automotive firms in the Czech Republic are following global and regional trends on diversity and inclusion as an important step for a sustainable strategic development.
摘要本文研究了实施的多元化和包容性实践对企业可持续发展的影响。该研究涵盖了捷克中小型汽车公司的样本,其中多样性和包容性实践已经实施,涉及到公司的可持续性。本文的方法是基于汽车行业的多样性管理和公司可持续性的理论模型。本文提供的证据表明,捷克共和国汽车行业的少数公司已经推出了任何多元化和包容性措施,但与此同时,大多数选定的公司一直在考虑在多元化和包容性领域开发和实施人力资源管理实践,作为吸引更多投资者和与联合国全球可持续发展目标保持一致的重要组成部分。此外,本文带来的证据表明,捷克共和国的汽车公司正在遵循全球和区域趋势的多样性和包容性,作为可持续战略发展的重要一步。
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引用次数: 0
The disutility of driving below the speed limit on highways 在高速公路上超速行驶的无效性
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0012
N. Filipi, Bára Karlínová, Ondřej Krčál
Abstract Reducing travel speed below the highway speed limit leads to savings in fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. However, car drivers may be reluctant to drive more slowly either because they do not want to lose time or for other reasons we refer to as ‘the disutility of driving at lower speeds’. In this paper, we use a survey experiment to isolate the disutility of driving at lower speeds by comparing drivers’ willingness to accept compensation for a fixed increase in travel time caused either by taking a longer route or by travelling at below-limit speeds. We show that Czech drivers require higher compensation for travelling at lower speeds than they require for the same travel time increment caused by a longer distance. This result represents the first piece of evidence showing that the disutility of driving at below-limit speeds on a highway is substantial and economically relevant.
摘要将行驶速度降低到高速公路限速以下可以节省燃料消耗和二氧化碳排放。然而,汽车司机可能不愿意开得更慢,要么是因为他们不想浪费时间,要么是由于我们称之为“低速驾驶的无效性”的其他原因。在本文中,我们使用了一项调查实验,通过比较驾驶员是否愿意接受因走更长路线或以低于极限速度行驶而导致的行驶时间固定增加的补偿,来隔离低速行驶的不利影响。我们发现,捷克司机在较低速度下行驶时需要的补偿比在较长距离导致的相同行驶时间增量下需要的补偿更高。这一结果代表了第一个证据,表明在高速公路上以低于极限速度行驶的无效性是实质性的和经济相关的。
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引用次数: 0
Planned construction of HSR in Czechia and occasional long-distance work commuting: impact of passenger income 捷克高铁规划建设与偶尔的长途通勤:对乘客收入的影响
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0013
Jakub Petříček, Marek Komárek, Miroslav Marada, Jakub Randák
Abstract This article analyses occasional work commuting mobility within three major metropolitan areas in Czechia in the context of future HSR routes. The main aim is to explain uneven commuting flows of inter-metropolitan travelers through their level of income, given their potential for the use of HSR from a demand perspective. To achieve the goals, the paper uses quantitative data analysis methods performed on a selection of 228 respondents who realized at least one business trip between Prague and Brno or Prague and Ostrava between January and September 2019. The results reveal that the level of income plays a significant role in the issue of using potential high-speed lines for occasional long-distance commutes.
摘要本文分析了在未来高铁路线的背景下,捷克三大城市地区的偶尔工作通勤流动性。主要目的是通过他们的收入水平来解释大都市间旅行者通勤流的不均衡,考虑到他们从需求角度使用高铁的潜力。为了实现这些目标,本文使用了定量数据分析方法,对228名受访者进行了选择,这些受访者在2019年1月至9月期间至少在布拉格和布尔诺或布拉格和俄斯特拉发之间进行了一次商务旅行。研究结果表明,收入水平在偶尔使用高速线路进行长途通勤的问题上起着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Development Aid on Donor’s Exports: A Case of the Czech Republic 发展援助对捐助国出口的影响:以捷克共和国为例
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0008
Gabriela Dufková, Pavel Šálek
Abstract The main goal of foreign aid should be the support of developing regions; however, due to the rising international requirements on the amount of provided aid, donors start to focus on the benefits aid can bring them as well. Both country-specific and general studies have been conducted to evaluate the return of aid from the donor’s perspective, with the majority of them suggesting that provided aid boosts donor’s exports to the developing countries. As no such analysis exists for the Czech Republic, this paper tries to fill this gap and aims to find out whether there is a positive relationship between the Czech aid and Czech exports. While employing the gravity model of international trade, the study, however, suggests that the Czech aid is not statistically significant for the volume of Czech exports. Unlike other donors, the Czech Republic thus leaves a considerable trade potential arising from the foreign aid untapped. The reasons might be other motives behind the Czech aid (both official and unofficial), poor co-operation of aid and trade policies, or changes in trade patterns.
对外援助的主要目标应该是支持发展中地区;然而,由于国际社会对援助金额的要求不断提高,捐助者也开始关注援助能给他们带来的好处。已经进行了针对具体国家和一般性研究,以从捐助者的角度评估援助的回报,其中大多数研究表明,所提供的援助促进了捐助者对发展中国家的出口。由于对捷克共和国没有这样的分析,本文试图填补这一空白,并旨在找出捷克援助与捷克出口之间是否存在积极关系。然而,尽管采用了国际贸易的引力模型,该研究表明,捷克的援助对捷克的出口量在统计上并不重要。因此,与其他捐助者不同,捷克共和国在对外援助方面有相当大的贸易潜力尚未开发。原因可能是捷克援助背后的其他动机(官方和非官方)、援助和贸易政策合作不力或贸易模式的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach 使用财务比率确定公司业绩的最佳代理:CHAID方法
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0010
Muhammad Yousaf, S. Dey
Abstract The main purpose of this study is to investigate the best predictor of firm performance among different proxies. A sample of 287 Czech firms was taken from automobile, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Panel data of the firms was acquired from the Albertina database for the time period from 2016 to 2020. Three different proxies of firm performance, return of assets (RoA), return of equity (RoE), and return of capital employed (RoCE) were used as dependent variables. Including three proxies of firm’s performance, 16 financial ratios were measured based on the previous literature. A machine learning-based decision tree algorithm, Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detector (CHAID), was deployed to gauge each proxy’s efficacy and examine the best proxy of the firm performance. A partitioning rule of 70:30 was maintained, which implied that 70% of the dataset was used for training and the remaining 30% for testing. The results revealed that return on assets (RoA) was detected to be a robust proxy to predict financial performance among the targeted indicators. The results and the methodology will be useful for policy-makers, stakeholders, academics and managers to take strategic business decisions and forecast financial performance.
摘要本研究的主要目的是研究不同代理之间的企业绩效最佳预测指标。从汽车、建筑和制造业抽取了287家捷克公司的样本。这些公司的面板数据是从Albertina数据库中获取的,时间为2016年至2020年。公司绩效的三个不同指标,资产回报率(RoA)、股权回报率(RoE)和使用资本回报率(RoCE)被用作因变量。包括三个代表公司业绩的指标在内,16个财务比率是基于以前的文献来衡量的。部署了一种基于机器学习的决策树算法——卡方自动交互检测器(CHAID),以衡量每个代理的功效,并检查企业绩效的最佳代理。保持了70:30的划分规则,这意味着数据集的70%用于训练,其余30%用于测试。结果显示,在目标指标中,资产回报率(RoA)被检测为预测财务业绩的可靠指标。研究结果和方法将有助于决策者、利益相关者、学者和管理者做出战略商业决策和预测财务业绩。
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引用次数: 3
Exploring the limitations of GDP per capita as an indicator of economic development: a cross-country perspective 探讨人均国内生产总值作为经济发展指标的局限性:一个跨国视角
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0009
Radek Dědeček, Viktar Dudzich
Abstract In this paper, we explore the drawbacks of GDP per capita in purchasing power parity as an indicator of economic development and well-being and evaluate the factors which diminish its ability to represent the level of life. Firstly, we theoretically outline the issues that might be undermining the suitability of GDP per capita as a measure of well-being, and debate other development indicators. Subsequently, we confront GDP per capita with the most well-known development indicator – the Human Development Index HDI – and calculate the deviations between these two indicators for a panel of 141 countries. To empirically evaluate the potential limitations of GDP in measuring development, we regress the computed deviations between development and GDP on an array of economic, social, and political variables employing a heterogeneous panel dataset and robust fixed effects estimators. The results reveal that countries with higher income inequality and level of economic freedom are characterised by lower development than implied by their GDP per capita. Contrarily, the size of the shadow economy is negatively linked to the deviations of HDI from GDP. Certain sociocultural, geographic, and ecological factors, such as higher fertility rates, cold climate, and the depletion of natural resources, are prevalent among nations ranking higher in GDP per capita than in development.
摘要在本文中,我们探讨了人均GDP在购买力平价中作为经济发展和福祉指标的弊端,并评估了削弱其代表生活水平能力的因素。首先,我们从理论上概述了可能破坏人均国内生产总值作为衡量福祉指标的适用性的问题,并对其他发展指标进行了辩论。随后,我们将人均国内生产总值与最著名的发展指标——人类发展指数——进行了比较,并计算了141个国家的这两个指标之间的偏差。为了实证评估GDP在衡量发展方面的潜在局限性,我们使用异质面板数据集和稳健的固定效应估计量,对一系列经济、社会和政治变量上的发展和GDP之间的计算偏差进行回归。结果表明,收入不平等程度和经济自由程度较高的国家的发展水平低于其人均国内生产总值。相反,影子经济的规模与人类发展指数与国内生产总值的偏差呈负相关。某些社会文化、地理和生态因素,如较高的生育率、寒冷的气候和自然资源的枯竭,在人均国内生产总值高于发展水平的国家中普遍存在。
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引用次数: 4
Activation programs for unemployment benefit recipients in Slovenia 斯洛文尼亚失业救济金领取者激活计划
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/revecp-2022-0004
S. Laporšek, Milan Vodopivec, Matija Vodopivec
Abstract Activation of the unemployed has been an important topic among policymakers during the last decades. This paper reviews the current measures in Slovenia in the area of activation of unemployment benefit recipients and it compares its formal requirements related to activation against the international background. The paper focuses on five activation areas: adjustment of unemployment benefit eligibility, improving employment services, participation in active labour market policies, monitoring and sanctions. The review lists several recommendations Slovenia should apply to activate unemployment benefit recipients, including introducing more demanding job search requirements and increased monitoring of the compliance with these requirements, introducing compulsory participation in active labour market programs, checking the consistency and effectiveness of the current profiling system, and strengthening the ex-ante effect of sanctions.
摘要在过去的几十年里,激活失业者一直是政策制定者的一个重要话题。本文回顾了斯洛文尼亚在激活失业救济金领取者方面的现行措施,并将其与激活有关的正式要求与国际背景进行了比较。该文件侧重于五个激活领域:调整失业救济资格、改善就业服务、参与积极的劳动力市场政策、监测和制裁。审查列出了斯洛文尼亚应适用于激活失业救济金领取者的几项建议,包括引入更严格的求职要求和加强对这些要求遵守情况的监测,引入强制性参与积极的劳动力市场计划,检查现行档案系统的一致性和有效性,以及加强制裁的事前效果。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Review of Economic Perspectives
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