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Asymmetric Effect of Remittances on Environmental Degradation in Nigeria 汇款对尼日利亚环境退化的不对称影响
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-23 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500191
T. Akinlo
Nigeria has become one of the sub-Saharan Africa’s largest remittance recipients. Despite the economic benefits of remittances, there is rising concern about their impact on environmental degradation. The NARDL approach was used to analyze time-series data from 1980 to 2018, to determine the impact of remittances increases and decreases on environmental degradation in Nigeria. The cointegration results show that remittances and environmental degradation have a long-run relationship. The study found that remittances is asymmetrically connected to ecological footprint (EFP) as a measure of environmental degradation both in the long run and short run whereas it is asymmetrically connected with CO2 as a measure of environmental degradation in the long run only. The study also found that remittances increase contributes to environmental degradation in Nigeria in the long run.
尼日利亚已成为撒哈拉以南非洲地区最大的汇款接收国之一。尽管汇款具有经济效益,但人们对其对环境退化的影响日益感到关切。使用NARDL方法分析了1980年至2018年的时间序列数据,以确定汇款增加和减少对尼日利亚环境退化的影响。协整结果表明,汇款与环境退化之间存在长期关系。研究发现,汇款与生态足迹(EFP)作为长期和短期环境退化的衡量指标存在不对称关系,而汇款与二氧化碳仅作为长期环境退化的衡量指标存在不对称关系。该研究还发现,从长远来看,汇款的增加会加剧尼日利亚的环境恶化。
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引用次数: 1
Prediction of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Geographical Distribution of Dysentery in Iran 气候变化对伊朗痢疾地理分布影响的预测
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1142/s234574812250018x
Giti Bahrami, H. Sajadi, H. Rafiee, M. Norouzi, A. Shakiba
Dysentery is a water- and food-borne infectious disease and its incidence is sensitive to climate change. Although the impact of climate change on dysentery is being studied in specific areas, a study in Iran is lacking. In this study, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios were used to predict the prevalence of dysentery in Iran between 2050 and 2070. This study is a secondary analysis using Geographically Weighted Regression, and 273 cities of Iran were analyzed between March 2011 and March 2017. Bioclimate variables were used as independent variables. Ecological data about the prevalence and incidence of dysentery, which were collected between 2011 and 2017, were used as the dependent variables. The result shows the incidence of dysentery is significantly associated with bioclimate change exposure, in 2050 and 2070, based on RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Our findings showed that in the absence of adaptation of the population, an increase in the risk of bioclimate-related diseases is expected by around 95.6% in the mid-century compared with the beginning of the century with regional variations. Based on these findings, the geographical distribution of the disease will also change. In 2050, the pattern of disease distribution would be changed, and the north of Iran will be included in the vulnerable regions. In 2070, the southeastern and northern parts of Iran will have the most vulnerability to climate change. Our study contributes important knowledge to this perspective by providing insightful findings and pieces of evidence for climate change adaptation and mitigation.
痢疾是一种水和食物传播的传染病,其发病率对气候变化很敏感。尽管气候变化对痢疾的影响正在特定地区进行研究,但缺乏对伊朗的研究。在这项研究中,RCP 4.5和RCP 8.5情景用于预测2050年至2070年间伊朗痢疾的流行率。本研究是使用地理加权回归的二次分析,在2011年3月至2017年3月期间对伊朗273个城市进行了分析。生物气候变量被用作自变量。使用2011年至2017年间收集的痢疾流行率和发病率的生态数据作为因变量。结果表明,根据RCP 4.5和RCP 8.5,2050年和2070年痢疾的发病率与生物气候变化暴露显著相关。我们的研究结果表明,在人口缺乏适应的情况下,与本世纪初相比,由于区域差异,本世纪中叶与生物气候相关疾病的风险预计将增加约95.6%。基于这些发现,该疾病的地理分布也将发生变化。到2050年,疾病分布模式将发生变化,伊朗北部将被纳入脆弱地区。2070年,伊朗东南部和北部地区将最容易受到气候变化的影响。我们的研究为适应和缓解气候变化提供了深刻的发现和证据,为这一观点贡献了重要的知识。
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引用次数: 1
Does Globalization, Tourism, Foreign Direct Investment, and Natural Resources Influencing Ecological Footprint? 全球化、旅游业、外国直接投资和自然资源是否影响生态足迹?
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-16 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500178
Tanzeela Yaqoob, Maria Babi, Rimsha Khalid
The environmental problem has become a worldwide issue that must be frequently examined. Thus, this study investigates the relation of tourism, natural resources, globalization, and foreign direct investment on the ecological footprint of the USA, the UK, Pakistan, China, and India by using annual data from 1995 to 2020. The study applied Zivot and Andrews (1992) test to demonstrate the stationarity properties of the series, and an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach was employed to estimate the long-run and short-run dynamics. The long-run findings disclose that tourism has a significantly positive effect on China and Pakistan, but a significantly negative impact on India. The outcomes further suggest that foreign direct investment increases environmental degradation in India and China in both long and short periods, but contributes to improving the UK’s ecosystem. Besides, globalization in China tends to save its environment. Natural resources in the long run also harm the ecosystems of Pakistan, China, and the USA. The error correction term is negatively significant for all countries. The reliability of the model is investigated through diagnostic tests. The selected model is stable as the critical value of CUSUM and CUSUMSQ lie within the 5% significance level.
环境问题已成为一个必须经常审查的世界性问题。本文利用1995 - 2020年的年度数据,考察了旅游、自然资源、全球化和外国直接投资对美国、英国、巴基斯坦、中国和印度生态足迹的影响。本研究采用Zivot和Andrews(1992)检验来证明序列的平稳性,并采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法来估计长期和短期动态。长期研究结果表明,旅游业对中国和巴基斯坦有显著的积极影响,但对印度有显著的消极影响。研究结果进一步表明,外国直接投资在长期和短期内都加剧了印度和中国的环境恶化,但有助于改善英国的生态系统。此外,中国的全球化倾向于保护环境。从长远来看,自然资源也会损害巴基斯坦、中国和美国的生态系统。误差修正项对所有国家都是负显著的。通过诊断试验对模型的可靠性进行了研究。所选择的模型是稳定的,因为CUSUM和CUSUMSQ的临界值在5%的显著性水平内。
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引用次数: 1
An Analysis of Chinese Cities’ Pathways towards Carbon Peaking under the Carbon Neutrality Goal 碳中和目标下中国城市碳达峰路径分析
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500166
Ke-wen Wang, Baiying Xing, Yuhe Jiang
Now, China has made it clear that it will strive to have CO2 emissions peak before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 (the “dual carbon” goals), based on the logic that carbon peaking is a prerequisite for carbon neutrality. The year 2021 is the first year of China’s 14th Five-Year Plan period. As the main battlefields to achieve the “dual carbon” goals, cities are also required to build on their pathways towards such goals under new conditions. Based on the progress China has made with pilot cities for low-carbon development and the discussion on 60 cities by category, this paper identifies the commonalities and differences between Chinese cities’ pathways towards carbon peaking, and concludes that Chinese cities need to peak their carbon emissions in an organized and step-wise way on the basis of classification and according to their own development level and emission characteristics. In light of the above conclusion, this paper provides feasible suggestions for Chinese cities’ carbon peaking.
现在,中国已经明确表示,将努力在2030年前实现二氧化碳排放峰值,并在2060年前实现碳中和(“双碳”目标),这是基于碳达峰是碳中和的先决条件的逻辑。2021年是中国“十四五”规划的开局之年。作为实现“双碳”目标的主战场,城市也需要在新的条件下建立实现这一目标的道路。基于中国在低碳发展试点城市方面取得的进展,以及对60个城市的分类讨论,本文确定了中国城市碳达峰路径的共性和差异,并得出结论,中国城市需要在分类的基础上,根据自身的发展水平和排放特点,有组织、有步骤地实现碳排放峰值。基于以上结论,本文为我国城市碳达峰提供了可行的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Building China’s National Carbon Market That Serves Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals 建设中国全国碳市场,实现碳峰值和碳中和目标
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500129
Xin Zhang
This paper summarizes the new progress in building China’s national carbon market since 2020, and analyzes the connotation of China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals (“dual carbon” goals) and its significance to socio-economic development in China. Through case analysis, this paper expounds the role of China’s recent carbon trading activities in promoting the transition toward green and low-carbon socio-economic development. On that basis, this paper conceives a top-level design for building the national carbon market that serves the “dual carbon” goals: building and improving the national carbon market that fundamentally serves as an emission reduction tool, developing the institutions and systems of the national carbon market with a focus on emission cap, creating a multilevel and diversified carbon trading scheme centered on the national carbon market, exploring a mechanism that takes carbon emission reduction as the core and promotes the synergistic effect of the carbon market with other environmental rights trading markets, and pursuing the healthy and orderly development of carbon finance that aims to serve carbon emission reduction.
本文总结了2020年以来中国全国碳市场建设的新进展,分析了中国碳调峰和碳中和目标(“双碳”目标)的内涵及其对中国社会经济发展的意义。本文通过案例分析,阐述了中国近期碳交易活动对推动社会经济向绿色低碳转型的作用。在此基础上,提出了构建服务于“双碳”目标的全国碳市场的顶层设计:建立健全以减排为根本工具的全国碳市场,发展以排放总量控制为核心的全国碳市场的制度体系,构建以全国碳市场为中心的多层次、多样化的碳交易体系,探索以碳减排为核心,促进碳市场与其他环境权交易市场协同效应的机制。推动以服务碳减排为宗旨的碳金融健康有序发展。
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引用次数: 1
Development Paths for China’s Transport Sector under the Carbon Neutrality Goal 碳中和目标下中国交通运输业的发展路径
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500105
Xunmin Ou, Zhiyi Yuan
The greenhouse gas emissions from China’s transport sector, which account for a large proportion of China’s total greenhouse gas emissions, are still increasing rapidly. Therefore, low-carbon transformation is urgently needed in China’s transport sector. This paper provides an overview of the situation and features of greenhouse gas emissions from China’s transport sector, and proposes carbon-neutral development paths for the transport sector based on current national policies, goals and previous research. China needs to work on many aspects, including transport restructuring, alternative fuel technologies and energy efficiency improvement, to achieve near-zero emission goals by 2060. Under the carbon neutrality goal, China’s transport sector should strive to reach the carbon peaking goal by 2030, and limit carbon emissions within 100 million tons by 2060.
占中国温室气体排放总量很大比例的中国交通运输部门的温室气体排放量仍在快速增长。因此,中国交通运输业迫切需要低碳转型。本文概述了我国交通运输行业温室气体排放的现状和特点,并根据国家现行政策、目标和以往研究,提出了交通运输行业碳中和的发展路径。中国需要在许多方面开展工作,包括交通结构调整、替代燃料技术和提高能源效率,以在2060年前实现接近零排放的目标。在碳中和目标下,中国交通运输部门应努力在2030年前实现碳达峰目标,并在2060年前将碳排放量限制在1亿吨以内。
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引用次数: 1
The Pathways toward Carbon Peak and Carbon Neutrality in China’s Building Sector 中国建筑行业碳峰值与碳中和之路
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500117
Siyue Guo, Yi Jiang, Shan Hu
Achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality in the building sector is an important component of China’s “dual carbon” goals. In recent years, the country’s direct carbon emissions in the building sector have hit a plateau while the total emissions still grow rapidly. Besides, the building materials for construction and refrigerants leaked during buildings’ operation also result in greenhouse gas emissions. To achieve the targets set for future low-carbon development, the building sector should feature “sufficient demand, decarbonized structure and flexible load.” According to the analysis of the emission reduction approaches adopted by different sectors, China’s building sector should make a ceaseless effort to promote building energy conservation, improve electrification, and load flexibility, reform the energy system in rural areas, optimize the heating structure in northern China’s urban areas, as well as reduce the emissions during construction and the non-CO2 gas emissions. In the 14th Five-Year period, it is suggested to clarify the total energy consumption and carbon emission targets, adjust the energy structure more vigorously, and draw up more measures to reduce the emissions related to construction and refrigerant leakage.
建筑行业实现碳达峰和碳中和是中国“双碳”目标的重要组成部分。近年来,该国建筑业的直接碳排放量已达到平稳水平,而总排放量仍在快速增长。此外,建筑材料和建筑运行过程中泄漏的制冷剂也会导致温室气体排放。为实现未来低碳发展的目标,建筑业应具有“需求充足、结构脱碳、负荷灵活”的特点。根据对不同行业采用的减排方法的分析,中国建筑业应不断努力促进建筑节能,提高电气化水平,以及负荷灵活性,改革农村能源系统,优化中国北方城市地区的供暖结构,以及减少施工期间的排放和非二氧化碳气体排放。在“十四五”期间,建议明确能源消耗总量和碳排放目标,更大力地调整能源结构,制定更多措施来减少与建筑和制冷剂泄漏有关的排放。
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引用次数: 2
Research on China’s Pathways to Achieve Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals 中国实现碳达峰和碳中和目标的路径研究
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500075
Qimin Chai
Since September 22, 2020, President Xi Jinping, who is also the general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, has reiterated China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals on many major international occasions and at many important conferences of the CPC Central Committee. The transition to carbon neutrality is becoming a systemic revolution concerning whether China’s high-quality economic and social development and sustainable prosperity can be achieved. Incorporating carbon peaking and carbon neutrality well into overall economic and social development framework and ecological civilization construction, setting out the timetable, clarifying the roadmap, and proposing specific action plans have become a global concern. Through the analysis of international situations and China’s national strategies, and the application of Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC), this paper explores China’s pathways to carbon peaking and neutrality, and puts forward recommendations for high-quality development featuring low emissions.
向碳中和的转变正在成为一场关于中国经济社会高质量发展和可持续繁荣能否实现的系统性革命。把碳达峰、碳中和纳入经济社会发展总体框架和生态文明建设,制定时间表、明确路线图、提出具体行动计划,已成为全球关注的问题。通过对国际形势和中国国家战略的分析,以及综合评估模型联盟(IACC)的应用,探讨了中国实现碳达峰和碳中和的途径,并提出了低排放高质量发展的建议。
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引用次数: 1
Building a New-Type Power System to Promote Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in the Power Industry in China 构建新型电力系统促进中国电力工业碳调峰和碳中和
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500099
Chang-Yi Liu, Xin Tan, Yifang Liu
Power industry is the largest carbon emission sector in China. Therefore, this industry will play an important role in achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals (“dual carbon” goals) for the whole society. For this purpose, it is critical to balance four relationships, i.e. relationship between carbon mitigation and energy security, carbon peaking in the short term and carbon neutrality in the long term, the coordinated carbon mitigation in power industry and other industries, and technical feasibility and economic efficiency. This paper proposes the China’s Energy Interconnection scenario to promote carbon peaking and carbon neutrality of the society, which can be divided into three stages, i.e. peaking carbon emissions before 2030, rapid emission reduction during 2030–2050, and comprehensive carbon neutrality before 2060. It is expected that the power system will achieve zero emissions before other industries and contribute negative emissions afterwards, providing emission space for carbon neutrality in other industries across the society. Looking into the future, China’s electricity demand will continue to grow. Clean energy will become the main power source, the use of coal-fired power will be gradually reduced, and gas-fired power will undertake the function of peak-load regulation. Faster progress will be made in forming an overall grid pattern with ultra-high voltage (UHV) grid as the backbone and featuring “west-to-east and north-to-south power transmission, a balanced energy mix, and transnational power interconnection.” Finally, this paper discusses a new-type of power system characterized by a high proportion of electricity generated from clean energy, high ratio of electric and electronic equipment, and a high proportion of power transmission and reception, together with summer and winter high load periods, and points out the challenges faced by the new-type power system with a high proportion of renewable energy sources in terms of flexibility, safety, and economic efficiency, and proposes corresponding policy recommendations.
电力行业是中国最大的碳排放行业。因此,该行业将在实现全社会碳达峰和碳中和目标(“双碳”目标)方面发挥重要作用。为此,必须平衡四个关系,即碳减排与能源安全的关系、短期碳达峰与长期碳中和的关系、电力行业和其他行业的协调碳减排以及技术可行性和经济效率。本文提出了中国能源互联互通情景,以促进社会碳达峰和碳中和,可分为三个阶段,即2030年前碳排放达峰、2030-2050年快速减排和2060年前全面碳中和。预计电力系统将先于其他行业实现零排放,之后贡献负排放,为社会其他行业的碳中和提供排放空间。展望未来,中国的电力需求将继续增长。清洁能源将成为主要能源,燃煤电力的使用将逐步减少,燃气电力将承担调峰功能。加快形成以特高压电网为骨干、“西电东送、北电南送、能源结构均衡、电力跨国互联”的整体电网格局,高比例的电力和电子设备、高比例的输电和受电,以及夏季和冬季的高负荷期,指出了可再生能源比例高的新型电力系统在灵活性、安全性和经济性方面面临的挑战,并提出了相应的政策建议。
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引用次数: 3
Transformation and Development of the Coal-Based Energy Industry Under the Goals of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality 碳调峰与碳中和目标下的煤基能源工业转型与发展
IF 1.4 Q3 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-19 DOI: 10.1142/s2345748122500087
Dalin Jiang
The coal-based energy industry plays a huge role in supporting the development of a national economy. As China pledges to achieve carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, how to keep a balance between carbon emission reduction and coal consumption has become a serious problem and daunting challenge facing the industrial chain of coal-based energy for a long time. The prospects for the coal mining industry are increasingly limited under carbon constraints. Faced with serious challenges in its positioning and technological development, the coal-fired power industry is suffering the consequences of negative environmental externalities. Therefore, the low-carbon transformation of China’s coal-based energy industry is necessary and urgent. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of the development status of China’s coal-based energy industry under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and the obstacles in the transformation and upgrade of the coal-based energy industry, and comes up with response strategies. The future coal-based energy industry should make full use of emerging low-carbon clean technologies such as carbon capture, utilization, and storage to achieve low-carbon transformation, and upgrade of the entire industrial chain, following the current development trends.
煤炭能源行业在支持国民经济发展方面发挥着巨大作用。随着中国承诺实现碳达峰和碳中和目标,如何在碳减排和煤炭消费之间保持平衡,已成为长期以来煤炭能源产业链面临的严峻问题和严峻挑战。在碳约束下,煤炭开采业的前景越来越有限。面对定位和技术发展方面的严峻挑战,煤电行业正遭受负面环境外部性的影响。因此,中国煤炭能源产业的低碳转型是必要和紧迫的。本文深入分析了我国在碳达峰和碳中和目标下的煤炭能源产业发展现状,以及煤炭能源产业转型升级的障碍,并提出应对策略。未来的煤炭能源行业应充分利用碳捕获、利用和储存等新兴低碳清洁技术,按照当前的发展趋势,实现低碳转型和全产业链升级。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies
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