The Virtual Supply Chain Management pattern based on CyberMediary (CM-VSCM) is a public service system of supply chain management (SCM) which is established by a third-party organization and serves different types of enterprises in certain industry. The cybermediary (CM), as an information integration center, can provide common technology supports and information resource services for information sharing and collaboration between member enterprises of the supply chain (SC). This paper analyzes many advantages of the CM-VSCM pattern applied to the Chinese automotive industry and constructs a model of the CM-VSCM system. Main functions and design technology of the CM-VSCM system based on the J2EE platform are also expatiated in the paper.
{"title":"Study on Management System of Virtual Supply Chain Based on the Cybermediary in Chinese Automotive Industry","authors":"Liu Xuehong, Guo Shunsheng","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.94","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.94","url":null,"abstract":"The Virtual Supply Chain Management pattern based on CyberMediary (CM-VSCM) is a public service system of supply chain management (SCM) which is established by a third-party organization and serves different types of enterprises in certain industry. The cybermediary (CM), as an information integration center, can provide common technology supports and information resource services for information sharing and collaboration between member enterprises of the supply chain (SC). This paper analyzes many advantages of the CM-VSCM pattern applied to the Chinese automotive industry and constructs a model of the CM-VSCM system. Main functions and design technology of the CM-VSCM system based on the J2EE platform are also expatiated in the paper.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117350793","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Based on analysis of traffic safety of third class highway in western area, the text has adopted 28 more important influence factors as the evaluation index from eight aspects, which is natural condition, route condition, and roadside condition and so on. With the help of safety reliability, it has set up the evaluation index system of third class highway traffic safety. The fuzzy synthetic model was built by adopting AHP and fuzzy mathematics theory. The instance of G212 in Zhangxian Country Gansu province is calculated and analyzed with this method, and if the safety reliability satisfied the need, the results are agree with investigates of highway management department. The method can reflect the traffic safety of third class highway in western area.
{"title":"Synthetic Evaluation Model of Traffic Safety Based on Reliability Theory","authors":"Yongsheng Qian, Qiong Zeng","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.25","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.25","url":null,"abstract":"Based on analysis of traffic safety of third class highway in western area, the text has adopted 28 more important influence factors as the evaluation index from eight aspects, which is natural condition, route condition, and roadside condition and so on. With the help of safety reliability, it has set up the evaluation index system of third class highway traffic safety. The fuzzy synthetic model was built by adopting AHP and fuzzy mathematics theory. The instance of G212 in Zhangxian Country Gansu province is calculated and analyzed with this method, and if the safety reliability satisfied the need, the results are agree with investigates of highway management department. The method can reflect the traffic safety of third class highway in western area.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"30 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120875426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
There are usually three methods for supplier slecetion, they have their own characteristics and are suitable for different environmental requirements. In real economic activity, supplier selection usually take place in the environment with insufficient information, the evaluation indicators of which show both the quantitative and qualitative characteristics. Grey system theory solved the evaluation issues under the circumstances with limited data and incomplete or inadequate information. It can whiten and quantify the grey qualitative indicators, and effectively reduce the subjectivity of indicators weight measurement in the previous expert investigation or level analysis, and provide new ideas for effectivly solving supplier evaluation index weight problems and scientifically chosing suppliers. We introduce the grey system theory into this paper, and give examples to support the construction of supplier selection model (grey correlation analysis model) through seven progressive steps. The model has universal significance in supplier selection problems under the environment with insufficient information and evaluation indicators are both quantitative and qualitative.
{"title":"Supplier Selection Model Based on the Grey System Theory","authors":"Zou Huixia, Yu Tao","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.13","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.13","url":null,"abstract":"There are usually three methods for supplier slecetion, they have their own characteristics and are suitable for different environmental requirements. In real economic activity, supplier selection usually take place in the environment with insufficient information, the evaluation indicators of which show both the quantitative and qualitative characteristics. Grey system theory solved the evaluation issues under the circumstances with limited data and incomplete or inadequate information. It can whiten and quantify the grey qualitative indicators, and effectively reduce the subjectivity of indicators weight measurement in the previous expert investigation or level analysis, and provide new ideas for effectivly solving supplier evaluation index weight problems and scientifically chosing suppliers. We introduce the grey system theory into this paper, and give examples to support the construction of supplier selection model (grey correlation analysis model) through seven progressive steps. The model has universal significance in supplier selection problems under the environment with insufficient information and evaluation indicators are both quantitative and qualitative.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114179258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
It is proved that the individual risk models for a single period are equivalent to the collective risk models for a single period when the number-of-claim random variable has 0-1 distribution. Furthermore, the individual risk model is close to a compound Poisson distribution when the number-of-claim random variable has a Poisson distribution with small parameter. Applying the Panjer iteration as calculation tool, the paper provides a novel solution to the problem for random variable calculating distribution of aggregate claims.
{"title":"Correlation Study between Individual Risk Models and Collective Risk Models for a Single Period","authors":"Shun-hua Yang, X. Zhao","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.63","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.63","url":null,"abstract":"It is proved that the individual risk models for a single period are equivalent to the collective risk models for a single period when the number-of-claim random variable has 0-1 distribution. Furthermore, the individual risk model is close to a compound Poisson distribution when the number-of-claim random variable has a Poisson distribution with small parameter. Applying the Panjer iteration as calculation tool, the paper provides a novel solution to the problem for random variable calculating distribution of aggregate claims.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128422818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
There are a number of residences with low income in China that cannot afford the current electricity price. The lifeline electricity price is the price that the government set up to satisfy the basic living demand for low-income group. This paper aims at these people, the urban and rural, tries to develop a model of lifeline electricity price and consequently gives some suggestions for government.
{"title":"Study on Mechanism of Electric Universal Service Income Compensation Lifeline Electricity Price","authors":"Huijing Zhao, N. Chi, Chun-jie Li","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.100","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.100","url":null,"abstract":"There are a number of residences with low income in China that cannot afford the current electricity price. The lifeline electricity price is the price that the government set up to satisfy the basic living demand for low-income group. This paper aims at these people, the urban and rural, tries to develop a model of lifeline electricity price and consequently gives some suggestions for government.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131577124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
He Yong-xiu, Yang Li-fang, Li Yan, Liu Shuo, Zhang Yu
In this paper, the city input-output efficiency analysis which includes electric power input has been done based on the extension models of DEA to Chinapsilas typical cities. At first, it established index system of comprehensive evaluation of city efficiency, and did input-output-effectiveness evaluation which include electric power input for China's 23 cities in 2006 and sorted by the urban development level, analyzed the returns to scale, and emphasized on the rationality of power input of the cities. Then it analyzed their efficiency vertically for some typical cities, and optimized the power input channels. At last, based on the comparing and analysis of the calculation results, it raised reasonable suggestions for the improvement of the input-output efficiency of Chinapsilas cities, especially the electric power input..
{"title":"Comparative Research on Power Input and Efficiency of China's Typical Cities Based on Extension Model of DEA","authors":"He Yong-xiu, Yang Li-fang, Li Yan, Liu Shuo, Zhang Yu","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.6","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, the city input-output efficiency analysis which includes electric power input has been done based on the extension models of DEA to Chinapsilas typical cities. At first, it established index system of comprehensive evaluation of city efficiency, and did input-output-effectiveness evaluation which include electric power input for China's 23 cities in 2006 and sorted by the urban development level, analyzed the returns to scale, and emphasized on the rationality of power input of the cities. Then it analyzed their efficiency vertically for some typical cities, and optimized the power input channels. At last, based on the comparing and analysis of the calculation results, it raised reasonable suggestions for the improvement of the input-output efficiency of Chinapsilas cities, especially the electric power input..","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"95 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127025313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
On the basis of the analysis of internal and external research on current situation of quality supervision theory for cooperative manufacturing preparing process in virtual enterprise, the quality supervision model for cooperative manufacturing preparing process in virtual enterprise is firstly constructed; and secondly, this paper mainly probes into contents and quantitative method of the supervision and approve of process planning and trial manufacturing quality plans in cooperative manufacturing process by means of ISO 9000 family standards and the method of system reliability analysis; thirdly, the method of appraisal and approve of the stability and capability in initial process is exploited by the methods of data transfer in continuous process and SPC technology ; finally, contents and quantitative method of the appraisal and approve of trial products are presented; Meanwhile, the applied research is proposed in combined with the practice of cooperative manufacturing preparing process of power products in a virtual enterprise.
{"title":"Research on Quality Supervision Model for Cooperative Manufacturing Preparing Process in Virtual Enterprise","authors":"Liu Shuqing, C. Xiaojun","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.115","url":null,"abstract":"On the basis of the analysis of internal and external research on current situation of quality supervision theory for cooperative manufacturing preparing process in virtual enterprise, the quality supervision model for cooperative manufacturing preparing process in virtual enterprise is firstly constructed; and secondly, this paper mainly probes into contents and quantitative method of the supervision and approve of process planning and trial manufacturing quality plans in cooperative manufacturing process by means of ISO 9000 family standards and the method of system reliability analysis; thirdly, the method of appraisal and approve of the stability and capability in initial process is exploited by the methods of data transfer in continuous process and SPC technology ; finally, contents and quantitative method of the appraisal and approve of trial products are presented; Meanwhile, the applied research is proposed in combined with the practice of cooperative manufacturing preparing process of power products in a virtual enterprise.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123794695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper considers a supply chain model in which a single supplier sells a single product to a single retailer who faces the newsvendor problem. The retailer has combined decision bias. The results show that the supply chain can achieve channel coordination with return policy, the return price increases as the retailerpsilas waste-averse preferences increases and decreases as stockout-averse preferences increases. And we demonstrate that the expected profit and utility of return policy are more than that of the decentralized decision making system by using numerical examples.
{"title":"Modeling for Return Policy with Retailer's Combined Decision Bias","authors":"J. Zhu, Fugen Song","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.45","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.45","url":null,"abstract":"This paper considers a supply chain model in which a single supplier sells a single product to a single retailer who faces the newsvendor problem. The retailer has combined decision bias. The results show that the supply chain can achieve channel coordination with return policy, the return price increases as the retailerpsilas waste-averse preferences increases and decreases as stockout-averse preferences increases. And we demonstrate that the expected profit and utility of return policy are more than that of the decentralized decision making system by using numerical examples.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124427789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper aims to compare three models in terms of development policies, development potentials and operational mechanism by evaluating, identifying and choosing the best one to meet the needs of tourism development and management in the nonoptimal tourism districts (NTDs). The methods of Participatory Rural Tourism Appraisal and Analytic Hierarchy Process are employed to collect the necessary data and analyze the key issues of three models. According to the analysis, market-oriented rural tourism development model and resource-oriented rural tourism development model are suitable for Moutuo community at the beginning stage of tourism development, while industry-oriented rural tourism development model is potential and beneficial to its further development. Some effective management practices for different models are recommended to overcome the barriers of nonoptimal characteristics and balance the interest of tourism stakeholders. And sustainable development of rural tourism in NTD could come true with the guidance of rational models and polycentric management.
{"title":"Cognizing and Choosing Model for Rural Tourism Development in Nonoptimal Tourism District: A Case Study of Moutuo Village in Qiang Minority Community, Southwestern China","authors":"Deyun Yang, You-Jun Chen, Dao-jie Wang","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.66","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.66","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to compare three models in terms of development policies, development potentials and operational mechanism by evaluating, identifying and choosing the best one to meet the needs of tourism development and management in the nonoptimal tourism districts (NTDs). The methods of Participatory Rural Tourism Appraisal and Analytic Hierarchy Process are employed to collect the necessary data and analyze the key issues of three models. According to the analysis, market-oriented rural tourism development model and resource-oriented rural tourism development model are suitable for Moutuo community at the beginning stage of tourism development, while industry-oriented rural tourism development model is potential and beneficial to its further development. Some effective management practices for different models are recommended to overcome the barriers of nonoptimal characteristics and balance the interest of tourism stakeholders. And sustainable development of rural tourism in NTD could come true with the guidance of rational models and polycentric management.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"61 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127095714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Although some of these methods lead to models with a satisfactory ability to discriminate between healthy and bankrupt firms, they suffer from some limitations, often due to only give an alarm, but cannot forecast. This is why we have undertaken a research aiming at weakening these limitations. We propose an Exponential Smoothing Forecasting and Pattern Recognition (ESFPR) approach and illustrate how ESFPR can be applied to business failure prediction modeling. The results are very encouraging, and prove the usefulness of the proposed method for bankruptcy prediction.
{"title":"Business Failure Prediction Using Exponential Smoothing Forecasting and Pattern Recognition","authors":"Tang Bao-jun, Qiu Wanhua, Sun Xing","doi":"10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.7","url":null,"abstract":"Although some of these methods lead to models with a satisfactory ability to discriminate between healthy and bankrupt firms, they suffer from some limitations, often due to only give an alarm, but cannot forecast. This is why we have undertaken a research aiming at weakening these limitations. We propose an Exponential Smoothing Forecasting and Pattern Recognition (ESFPR) approach and illustrate how ESFPR can be applied to business failure prediction modeling. The results are very encouraging, and prove the usefulness of the proposed method for bankruptcy prediction.","PeriodicalId":430801,"journal":{"name":"2008 International Conference on Risk Management & Engineering Management","volume":"181 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125155077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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