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2019 4th International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS)最新文献

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Proposal of a Systematic Approach to Risk Assessment and Management in Space Station 空间站风险评估与管理的系统方法建议
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987653
Fulvio Enzo Ramundo, L. Fedele
International Space Station (ISS) is the state-of-the-art largest man-made habitable living space in low Earth orbit. Safety is of primary concern in human missions to space; the problems in space are mostly of different nature than that encountered here on Earth and therefore, different ways and tools have to be developed to solve such issues: for this purpose it is necessary to consider both technical and environmental challenges. This report tries to investigate criticalities, challenges in addressing them and how they have been solved, from the point of view point of Safety; furthermore, an attempt was made to investigate the complexities of the problems of this habitable orbiting structure and smart ideas adopted to solve these problems in terms of safety and maintenance. The objective of the present report aims to understand how safety can be quantified with a help of FMECA methology, thus, giving an idea to what type of failures are most vulnerable ones and how one can work to eliminate or, otherwise, minimize it. Due to the fact that, the ISS consists of hundreds of thousands of components, only one of the subsystem (propulsion system) has been taken into consideration during the analysis. However, most of the major, systems, sub-systems, and their components have been enlisted to better understand the important aspects of the space station. The description and interpretation of the results obtained with the FMECA analysis offer further ideas, which can be useful to improve the safety of human missions in space.
国际空间站(ISS)是目前世界上最大的低地球轨道人造可居住空间。安全是人类空间任务的首要关切;空间中的问题大多与在地球上遇到的问题性质不同,因此,必须发展不同的方法和工具来解决这些问题:为此目的,必须同时考虑技术和环境方面的挑战。本报告试图从安全的角度调查关键问题,解决这些问题的挑战以及如何解决这些问题;此外,还试图研究这种可居住轨道结构问题的复杂性,并在安全和维护方面采用聪明的想法来解决这些问题。本报告的目的是了解如何在FMECA方法的帮助下对安全性进行量化,从而了解哪种类型的故障是最容易发生的,以及如何消除或最小化故障。由于国际空间站由数十万个部件组成,在分析过程中只考虑了其中一个子系统(推进系统)。然而,为了更好地理解空间站的重要方面,大多数主要系统、子系统和它们的组成部分都被征调了。对FMECA分析结果的描述和解释提供了进一步的思路,有助于提高人类太空任务的安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Risk Influencing Factors of Hydrocarbon Release Accidents in Maintenance Operations using FRAM 基于FRAM的维修作业烃类泄漏事故风险影响因素建模
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987694
Behnaz Hosseinnia, N. Khakzad, R. Patriarca, N. Paltrinieri
Maintenance operations are mainly aimed at avoiding and reducing the leakages in petroleum facilities, there is a high risk of hydrocarbon release during maintenance operation. Maintenance is a socio-technical process, consisting of several human, technical and organizational factors, each with a potential to affect the risk of hydrocarbon release. This paper describes the idea of how a Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) can facilitate the modeling and assessing the risks arising from dynamic interactions in maintenance operations. A generic FRAM model is first developed for the maintenance operations, and a Resilience Analysis Matrix (RAM) approach is then used as a supportive tool for systematic assessment and evaluation of the most critical Risk Influencing Factors (RIFs) together with the FRAM model.
维修作业的主要目的是避免和减少石油设施的泄漏,维修作业中存在较高的烃类泄漏风险。维修是一个社会技术过程,由几个人为、技术和组织因素组成,每个因素都有可能影响碳氢化合物释放的风险。本文描述了功能共振分析方法(FRAM)如何促进建模和评估维护操作中动态相互作用产生的风险。首先为维护操作开发了一个通用的FRAM模型,然后将弹性分析矩阵(RAM)方法作为支持工具,与FRAM模型一起对最关键的风险影响因素(rif)进行系统评估和评价。
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引用次数: 1
Extended Matrix Approach for Differential Calculus and Its Application to Reliability Engineering 微分学的扩展矩阵方法及其在可靠性工程中的应用
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987680
Mizuki Soeda, M. Hayashi
This paper proposes a new way of executing second order partial differential calculus using 4 by 4 matrices and demonstrates an important application to the reliability engineering field. The existing matrix approach for ordinary or first-order differential calculus prevents an exponential increase in computation time of the post-expression obtained by differential calculus and realizes a linear time increase instead. It was emphasized that this approach is a breakthrough for solving computation problems not only in reliability engineering fields, but also all science and engineering fields, because differential calculus is essential to and commonly used for almost all of them. However, the existing approach can only be applied to ordinary or first-order partial differential calculus. Higher order partial differential derivatives are out of its scope. This paper first extends the matrix approach to second-order partial differential calculus as an important step towards higher order calculus. The proposed method is used to compute the Joint Reliability Importance of System, which is a key index in reliability engineering. We emphasize that our matrix approach is especially useful if a system has a large number of components as in the case of communications systems.
提出了一种利用4 × 4矩阵进行二阶偏微分计算的新方法,在可靠性工程领域具有重要的应用价值。现有的常阶或一阶微分的矩阵法避免了微分后表达式的计算时间呈指数增长,而实现了线性增长。该方法不仅在可靠性工程领域,而且在所有科学和工程领域都是解决计算问题的突破,因为微分学是几乎所有科学和工程领域的基础和常用方法。然而,现有的方法只能应用于常阶或一阶偏微分。高阶偏微分超出了它的范围。本文首先将矩阵方法推广到二阶偏微分学中,作为迈向高阶微积分的重要一步。该方法用于计算系统的联合可靠性重要性,这是可靠性工程中的一个关键指标。我们强调,如果一个系统有大量的组件,如通信系统,我们的矩阵方法特别有用。
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引用次数: 1
Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter for Actuator Fault Diagnosis 自适应扩展卡尔曼滤波用于执行器故障诊断
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987708
Martin Skriver, Jannes Helck, A. Hasan
This paper presents an algorithm for actuator fault diagnosis of nonlinear systems. The method is derived under classical uniform complete observability, controllability, and persistent excitation condition. To this end, the fault is modeled as a constant or a piecewise constant parameter vector. The diagnosis algorithm is based on the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) with an explicit update law for the actuator fault estimation. From a practical point of view, the proposed algorithm can be used for general nonlinearity. To illustrate the effectiveness of the diagnosis algorithm, we present two numerical examples using the models of an autonomous car and a gantry crane.
提出了一种非线性系统执行器故障诊断算法。该方法是在经典的均匀完全可见性、可控性和持续激励条件下推导的。为此,将故障建模为常量或分段常量参数向量。该诊断算法基于扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF),具有明确的更新规律,用于执行器故障估计。从实际应用的角度来看,该算法可用于一般非线性问题。为了说明该诊断算法的有效性,我们给出了两个使用自动驾驶汽车和龙门起重机模型的数值算例。
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引用次数: 8
A Novel Software Reliability Growth Model of Safety-critical Software Considering Fault Severity Classification 一种考虑故障严重性分类的安全关键型软件可靠性增长模型
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987594
Chao Guo, Shuqiao Zhou, Jianghai Li, Fan Chen, Duo Li, Xiaojin Huang
The safety-critical software of Reactor Protection System (RPS) plays a significant role for the safe operation of the nuclear power plant (NPP). However, it also brings challenges both to the reliability analysis of the RPS and to the Probabilistic Risk Assessment of the NPPs. The reliability analysis of safety-critical software is also expected by the nuclear regulation agencies and the software development groups for test evaluation and optimization. The detected faults during the software test process are regarded to have close connection with the software reliability and there have been hundreds of test-based software reliability models. Due to the particularity of its function, the safety-critical software of an NPP is especially sensitive to the faults with higher severity levels which should be paid special attention to. Severity levels of faults are commonly taken into account during software reliability modelling. In this paper, a novel software reliability growth model considering actual severity data was built based on a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Ratio of fatal faults with highest severity level to all accumulated faults was modelled with logistic curve. Then the mean value functions of both fatal and general faults were derived. A belief factor was employed to describe the trend of severity classification. In the end, the test data of a practical project was used to verify this model. The analysis results showed that this model had better prediction effect than Goel-Okumoto model and Inflection S-shaped model even when limited test data were collected. This novel model can be used as a helpful tool to evaluate both the reliability and the release time of the safety-critical software of an NPP.
反应堆保护系统(RPS)的安全关键软件对核电厂的安全运行起着重要的作用。然而,这也给核电厂的可靠性分析和概率风险评估带来了挑战。核管理机构和软件开发小组也期望对安全关键软件进行可靠性分析,以进行测试评估和优化。软件测试过程中检测到的故障被认为与软件的可靠性有着密切的联系,基于测试的软件可靠性模型已有数百种。核电厂安全关键软件由于其功能的特殊性,对严重程度较高的故障尤为敏感,应引起高度重视。在软件可靠性建模过程中,通常要考虑故障的严重程度。本文基于非齐次泊松过程,建立了一种考虑实际严重性数据的软件可靠性增长模型。用logistic曲线对严重程度最高的致命故障与所有累积故障的比值进行建模。然后分别推导了致命故障和一般故障的均值函数。采用信念因子描述严重程度分类的趋势。最后,通过一个实际工程的测试数据对该模型进行了验证。分析结果表明,在有限的试验数据下,该模型的预测效果优于Goel-Okumoto模型和Inflection s型模型。该模型可作为评价核电站安全关键软件可靠性和发布时间的有用工具。
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引用次数: 2
Comparative Analysis of Pseudorange Error of GPS and GLONASS Satellite Systems GPS与GLONASS卫星系统伪距误差比较分析
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987691
J. Tomaszewska, M. Woch, Jakub Krzyszkowski, M. Zieja
This contribution presents a comparison of two GPS and GLONASS satellite systems. Data concerning pseudorange errors and the possibility of eliminating the space geometric coefficient were taken into account. In addition, the study contains information about errors in satellite systems. Both satellite systems and their booster stations were specified. The research on the comparison of two satellite systems has been presented. Experimental studies will be presented successively in order to demonstrate the statistical analysis showing the differences of pseudo-distance error of GPS and GLONASS satellite systems.
这篇文章介绍了两个GPS和GLONASS卫星系统的比较。考虑了伪距误差数据和消除空间几何系数的可能性。此外,该研究还包含有关卫星系统误差的信息。对卫星系统及其助推站都作了具体规定。对两种卫星系统进行了比较研究。为了证明GPS和GLONASS卫星系统伪距离误差差异的统计分析,将陆续进行实验研究。
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引用次数: 0
Credibility Analysis for Available Information Sources on the Web: A Review and a Contribution 网络上可用信息源的可信度分析:综述与贡献
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987623
Irvin Dongo, Yudith Cardinale, A. Aguilera
In this paper, we present a study about the most popular information sources available on the Web (e.g., Google, Facebook, Twitter) and the available methods to verify their publications. We propose a generic credibility analysis model for social information sources, which is instantiated for Twitter. We show a proof of concepts through the development of World White Web, a Google Chrome extension application that implements the model to analyze tweets in real time, using web scraping. Our study demonstrates the feasibility and suitability of creating efficient methods to analyze the credibility of publication on social networks and points out the challenges and open problems that should be overcome in future solutions in this area.
在本文中,我们提出了一项关于网络上最受欢迎的信息源(例如,谷歌,Facebook, Twitter)以及验证其出版物的可用方法的研究。我们提出了一个社会信息源的通用可信度分析模型,并以Twitter为例进行了实例化。我们通过开发World White Web展示了概念的证明,World White Web是一个Google Chrome扩展应用程序,它实现了使用网络抓取实时分析tweet的模型。我们的研究证明了创建有效方法来分析社交网络上出版物可信度的可行性和适用性,并指出了在该领域未来解决方案中应该克服的挑战和开放问题。
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引用次数: 7
Reliability Modeling for Hydraulic Components of Heavy Duty Machine Tools Based on Degradation Path for Oil Contamination 基于油液污染降解路径的重型机床液压元件可靠性建模
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987617
Chuanhai Chen, Junqi Long, H. Tian, Zhaojun Yang, Shizheng Li, Xinda Zhou, Dachuan Wang
The failures of heavy-duty machine tool was mainly on the hydraulic system and caused by oil contamination. Aim at the problem, the trend change test of oil contamination have been carried out. After the time domain analysis on test data of oil sample, the dimensional parameters of particle numbers was obtained. Through the analysis by Q-Q plot on dimensional parameters, it can be seen that the degradation data of contaminated particles obey the normal distribution. Hydraulic component was summarized into three categories, pipeline, valve and filter. The blockage of pipeline and valve was studied by the particle number about 5μm. The wear of pipeline and valve was studied by the particle number larger than 15μm. The blockage of filter was studied by particles with the similar filtering accuracy. The threshold of the particle number was set according to the 20/17 level of ISO4406 standard. Reliability models of various components for a single failure mode was established based on the degradation path. The reliability model under multiple failure modes was fused by the former model.
重型机床的故障主要发生在液压系统上,主要是由油液污染引起的。针对这一问题,进行了油液污染趋势变化试验。对油样试验数据进行时域分析,得到了颗粒数的尺寸参数。通过对尺寸参数的Q-Q图分析,可以看出污染颗粒的降解数据服从正态分布。将液压元件归纳为管道、阀门和过滤器三类。采用粒径约为5μm的颗粒对管道和阀门的堵塞进行了研究。采用粒径大于15μm的颗粒对管道和阀门的磨损进行了研究。用具有相似过滤精度的颗粒对过滤器的堵塞进行了研究。颗粒数阈值按ISO4406标准20/17级别设置。基于退化路径,建立了单一失效模式下各部件的可靠性模型。多失效模式下的可靠性模型在前一模型的基础上进行融合。
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引用次数: 1
Power Converter Maintenance Optimization Using a Model-Based Digital Reliability Twin Paradigm 基于模型的数字可靠性双范式的电源变换器维护优化
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987629
L. Felsberger, B. Todd, D. Kranzlmüller
Optimization of operations and maintenance activities in factories was estimated to have a global economic potential of 1.2 to 3.7 trillion USD by recent studies. Digital twins offer a framework to achieve such optimization by studying potential improvements in the virtual space before applying them to the real world. We studied the use of a digital twin based on a general model of system failure behaviour for maintenance optimization by combining existing methodologies into a general framework. Applying it to a real-world power converter use case, we identified either reactive or preventive maintenance to be more cost-effective depending on the operating conditions. This allowed to predict optimal maintenance for existing and future systems.
根据最近的研究,工厂运营和维护活动的优化估计具有1.2至3.7万亿美元的全球经济潜力。数字孪生提供了一个框架,通过研究虚拟空间中的潜在改进,然后将其应用于现实世界,从而实现这种优化。我们研究了基于系统故障行为的一般模型的数字孪生的使用,通过将现有方法结合到一个一般框架中来进行维护优化。将其应用于实际的电源转换器用例,我们确定了根据操作条件,被动维护或预防性维护更具成本效益。这允许预测现有和未来系统的最佳维护。
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引用次数: 7
Extending SafeConcert for Modelling Augmented Reality-equipped Socio-technical Systems* 扩展SafeConcert建模增强现实装备社会技术系统*
Pub Date : 2019-11-01 DOI: 10.1109/ICSRS48664.2019.8987702
Soheila Sheikh Bahaei, B. Gallina
With the emergence of new technologies such as augmented reality in socio-technical systems, traditional risk assessment methods may fail to have a comprehensive system modelling, because these technologies extend human's capabilities, which might introduce new types of human failures caused by failing these extended capabilities and new types of faults leading to human failures. Current state-of-the-art modelling techniques do not contemplate these capabilities and augmented reality-caused faults leading to human failures. In our previous work, we proposed an extension for modelling safety-critical socio-technical systems, to model augmented reality-extended humans by using a taxonomy that contains AR-specific human's failure behavior. In this paper, we continue our extension by investigating faults leading to human failures including faults because of augmented reality. Our extension builds on top of a metamodel for modelling socio-technical component-based systems, named SafeConcert. We illustrate our extension on two fictitious but credible systems taken from air traffic control and rail industry. In order to model augmented reality-equipped socio-technical systems, we need to consider human and organization as parts of the system and augmented reality as a technology used in the system.
随着增强现实等新技术在社会技术系统中的出现,传统的风险评估方法可能无法进行全面的系统建模,因为这些技术扩展了人类的能力,这可能会引入由于这些扩展能力失败而导致的新型人为故障和导致人为故障的新型故障。目前最先进的建模技术没有考虑到这些能力和增强现实导致的错误,导致人为故障。在我们之前的工作中,我们提出了对安全关键社会技术系统建模的扩展,通过使用包含ar特定人类失败行为的分类法来建模增强现实扩展的人类。在本文中,我们通过研究导致人为故障的故障(包括由于增强现实导致的故障)来继续我们的扩展。我们的扩展建立在一个元模型之上,用于建模基于社会技术组件的系统,名为SafeConcert。我们用两个虚构但可信的系统来说明我们的扩展,这些系统取自空中交通管制和铁路行业。为了对配备增强现实的社会技术系统进行建模,我们需要将人和组织视为系统的一部分,并将增强现实视为系统中使用的一种技术。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
2019 4th International Conference on System Reliability and Safety (ICSRS)
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