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Towards a System of Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Global Inequality Estimates from WID.world 迈向分配型国民经济核算体系:方法与全球不平等估计
Pub Date : 2020-10-08 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2020.517t.2018
Facundo Alvaredo, L. Chancel, T. Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, G. Zucman
This paper briefly presents the methodology of Distributional National Accounts (DINA), which distributes total national income and total wealth among all individual residents. With DINA, we can estimate inequality statistics and growth by income and wealth groups that are consistent with aggregate growth from National Accounts. This methodology has been recently applied to a number of countries, and the data produced are available from WID.world. The paper summarizes the initial empirical findings. We observe rising top income and wealth shares in nearly all countries in recent decades, but the magnitude of the increase varies substantially, thereby suggesting that different country-specific institutions and policies matter. We combine countries' statistics to estimate global inequality since 1980. Global inequality has increased since 1980 in spite of the catching up of large emerging countries like China and India. This has been driven by the income growth of top world earners.
本文简要介绍了分配国民账户(DINA)的方法,它将国民总收入和总财富分配给所有居民。使用DINA,我们可以估计收入和财富群体的不平等统计数据和增长,这些数据与国民账户的总增长相一致。这种方法最近已应用于若干国家,所产生的数据可从WID.world获得。本文总结了初步的实证结果。我们观察到,近几十年来,几乎所有国家的最高收入和财富份额都在上升,但增长幅度差异很大,因此表明不同国家的具体制度和政策很重要。我们结合各国的统计数据来估计自1980年以来的全球不平等。尽管中国和印度等大型新兴国家正在迎头赶上,但自1980年以来,全球不平等现象有所加剧。这是由全球高收入者的收入增长推动的。
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引用次数: 7
Irish GDP Growth in 2015: A Puzzle and Propositions for a Solution 2015年爱尔兰国内生产总值增长:一个难题和解决方案
Pub Date : 2020-10-08 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2020.517t.2026
M.-B. Khder, J. Montornès, N. Ragache
Résumé – 2016, a revu fortement à la la croissance annuelle du PIB pour l’année 2015, de 7 % à 26 %. Cette révision ne correspond pas à une hausse de l’emploi ni à une accumulation de capital physique, mais à la relocalisation d’actifs immatériels existants en Irlande par des multinationales. L’article présente de façon détaillée l’effet de ces relocalisations sur le PIB et la balance des paiements irlandais en 2015. Nous questionnons la nécessité de modifier les normes comptables qui définissent les agrégats macroéconomiques ou le cadre de l’analyse économique. Nous concluons à la nécessité d’un effort pour adapter et réviser les normes de la comptabilité nationale afin d’appréhender les transactions internationales des multinationales, particulièrement en clarifiant le concept de propriété économique de la production et des produits de la propriété intellectuelle, puis en facilitant sa mise en œuvre. Abstract – In July 2016, the Irish statistical institute significantly revised GDP annual growth in 2015 from 7% to 26%. This revision does not correspond to a similar increase in employment nor in the accumulation of new physical capital, but to the relocation of preexisting intangible assets by multinationals to Ireland. This article provides a comprehensive depiction of the effects of these relocations on the Irish GDP and balance of payments in 2015. We question the need to change the accounting standards defining the macroeconomic aggregates and the framework for economic analysis. We conclude that an effort to adapt and revamp the standards of national accounts is thus necessary to achieve a consistent recording of multinationals’ transactions, cru cially by clarifying the concept of economic ownership over production and intellectual property and then by facilitating its implementation.
总结- 2016年,2015年gdp年增长率从7%大幅调整至26%。这一修订并不反映就业的增加或物质资本的积累,而是反映跨国公司对爱尔兰现有无形资产的重新安置。本文详细介绍了这些搬迁对2015年爱尔兰gdp和国际收支的影响。我们质疑是否有必要修改定义宏观经济总量或经济分析框架的会计准则。我们需要努力调整和修改有关国民核算标准,以便了解跨国公司的国际交易,特别是澄清所有权的概念、经济生产和产品的知识产权,然后在推动其执行。摘要- 2016年7月,爱尔兰统计局大幅修订了2015年的年GDP增长率,从7%降至26%。这一修订并不反映就业或新物质资本积累方面的类似增加,而是反映跨国公司将原有的无形资产转移到爱尔兰。本文全面描述了这些搬迁对2015年爱尔兰GDP和国际收支的影响。我们询问是否需要改变定义宏观经济总量和经济分析框架的会计准则。我们的结论是,因此必须努力调整和更新国民核算标准,以实现对跨国交易的持续记录,特别是通过澄清生产和知识产权的经济所有权概念,然后促进其实施。
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引用次数: 0
What do Young Employees Dream of? Quality of Work, Career Aspirations and Desire for Mobility Among the Under 30s 年轻员工的梦想是什么?30岁以下年轻人的工作质量、职业抱负和流动欲望
Pub Date : 2020-07-09 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2020.514t.2007
Chris Fournier, Marion Lambert, Isabelle Marion-Vernoux
Les aspirations professionnelles des jeunes salaries, saisies au travers du Dispositif d’enquetes sur les formations et les itineraires des salaries (Defis), ne repondent pas, loin de la, a un modele unique. Pour une part, elles sont orientees par un projet de carriere ou de meilleure adequation formation‑emploi. Pour une autre part, elles repondent au souhait d’un desserrement des contraintes professionnelles pour mieux concilier vie personnelle et professionnelle, ou du lien de subordination pour gagner en autonomie. Les conditions d’emploi restent un determinant majeur des aspirations des jeunes salaries mais elles ne suffisent pas a en rendre compte. Les projets formules en debut de vie active tiennent largement a l’appreciation portee sur la qualite du travail exerce, tant du point de vue de sa realisation que des articulations qu’il permet avec les spheres extra‑professionnelles.
通过雇员培训和职业道路调查(Defis)记录的年轻雇员的职业抱负远不符合单一的模式。一方面,他们是由职业规划或更好的培训/就业匹配驱动的。另一方面,它们回应了放松职业限制以更好地协调个人和职业生活的愿望,或从属关系以获得自主权的愿望。就业条件仍然是年轻女性雇员抱负的主要决定因素,但不足以反映这一点。在工作生涯开始时的公式项目很大程度上取决于对工作质量的欣赏,无论是从工作的实现角度,还是从它与非专业领域的联系角度。
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引用次数: 1
Are French Football Fans Sensitive to Outcome Uncertainty 法国球迷对比赛结果的不确定性敏感吗
Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.513.2001
Luc Arrondel, Richard Duhautois
[eng] The idea that competitive balance increases the utility of fans, and therefore their spending and the revenue of professional clubs, lies at the heart of sports economics in general and the economics of football in particular. This notion of competitive balance is often invoked to explain the decisions of professional leagues to change the rules of competitions or the distribution of TV rights. However, the empirical literature shows that the relationship between competitive balance and fan demand is far from obvious. In this paper, we examine the idea of competitive balance as perceived by football fans. In the case of Ligue 1, it is mainly explained by medium- and long-term uncertainty, while in the case of the Champions League it is more a matter of long-term suspense. But uncertainty over the outcome is far from being the only factor explaining the demand for football since around 30% of fans report that they would always be willing to attend or watch games even in the hypothetical case that there is no suspense left.
竞技平衡增加了球迷的效用,从而增加了他们的支出和职业俱乐部的收入,这一观点是体育经济学的核心,尤其是足球经济学。这种竞争平衡的概念经常被用来解释职业联赛改变比赛规则或电视转播权分配的决定。然而,实证文献表明,竞争平衡与球迷需求之间的关系并不明显。在本文中,我们研究了足球迷所感知的竞争平衡的概念。对于法甲来说,这主要是由中长期的不确定性来解释的,而对于欧冠来说,这更多的是一个长期的悬念。但结果的不确定性远不是解释足球需求的唯一因素,因为大约30%的球迷报告说,即使在没有悬念的假设情况下,他们也总是愿意参加或观看比赛。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial Intelligence, Growth and Employment: The Role of Policy 人工智能、增长和就业:政策的作用
Pub Date : 2019-12-18 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.510t.1994
P. Aghion, C. Antonin, S. Bunel
[eng] In this survey paper, we argue that the effects of artificial intelligence (AI) and automation on growth and employment depend to a large extent on institutions and policies. We develop a two-fold analysis. In a first section, we survey the most recent literature to show that AI can spur growth by replacing labor by capital, both in the production of goods and services and in the production of ideas. Yet, we argue that AI may inhibit growth if combined with inappropriate competition policy. In a second section, we discuss the effect of robotization on employment in France over the 1994-2014 period. Based on our empirical analysis on French data, we first show that robotization reduces aggregate employment at the employment zone level, and second that non-educated workers are more negatively affected by robotization than educated workers. This finding suggests that inappropriate labor market and education policies reduce the positive impact that AI and automation could have on employment.
在这篇调查论文中,我们认为人工智能(AI)和自动化对增长和就业的影响在很大程度上取决于制度和政策。我们进行了双重分析。在第一部分中,我们调查了最新的文献,以表明人工智能可以通过用资本取代劳动力来刺激增长,无论是在商品和服务的生产中,还是在思想的生产中。然而,我们认为,如果与不适当的竞争政策相结合,人工智能可能会抑制增长。在第二部分中,我们讨论了1994-2014年期间机器人化对法国就业的影响。基于我们对法国数据的实证分析,我们首先表明,机器人化降低了就业区层面的总就业,其次,未受过教育的工人比受过教育的工人受到机器人化的负面影响更大。这一发现表明,不适当的劳动力市场和教育政策会降低人工智能和自动化对就业可能产生的积极影响。
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引用次数: 37
Gender Equality on the Labour Market in France: A Slow Convergence Hampered by Motherhood 法国劳动力市场上的性别平等:母亲身份阻碍了缓慢的趋同
Pub Date : 2019-12-18 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.510t.1990
D. Meurs, Pierre Pora
[eng] In France since the 1970s, the growth in labour force has been driven largely by that of women’s participation in the labour market and the fact that they interrupt their careers less often after motherhood. Their level of education has also risen considerably, and they have, on average, been more highly educated than men since the 1990s. But these developments did not result in reducing the gender pay gap to what might have been expected: the average hourly wage gap in the private sector has remained around 20% since the mid-1990s. In this average gap, the share explained by differences in human capital (education, experience) was cancelled out and even reversed between 1968 and 2015. The persistence of the wage gap now appears to be mainly linked to the consequences of motherhood. A child’s arrival causes mothers a loss of annual income largely due to adjustments in their working time. This penalty is higher for mothers whose wages are at the bottom of the wage distribution.
在法国,自20世纪70年代以来,劳动力的增长主要是由于妇女参与劳动力市场以及她们在成为母亲后较少中断职业生涯这一事实。她们的受教育程度也有了显著提高,自20世纪90年代以来,她们的平均受教育程度高于男性。但这些发展并没有使性别工资差距减少到预期的水平:自20世纪90年代中期以来,私营部门的平均时薪差距一直保持在20%左右。在这一平均差距中,由人力资本(教育、经验)差异解释的份额在1968年至2015年间被抵消,甚至逆转。现在看来,工资差距的持续存在主要与做母亲的后果有关。孩子的到来导致母亲的年收入减少,这主要是由于她们工作时间的调整。对于那些处于工资分配底部的母亲来说,这种惩罚更大。
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引用次数: 5
Introduction – The Value Chain of Scanner and Web Scraped Data 导论-扫描仪和网络抓取数据的价值链
Pub Date : 2019-10-03 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.509.1980
Jens Mehrhoff
With the advent of scanner and web scraped data, “big data” sources are increasingly finding their way into official statistics. This second part of the special issue on “Big Data and Statistics” is devoted to developments in the use of these data for consumer price indices. To what extent are big data different to more traditional data sources such as the collection of prices in the field, and how do they change the process of producing consumer price indices? The four papers in this special issue address these questions by means of the experiences gained in the statistical offices of France, Sweden and the Netherlands. This introduction puts them into perspective vis-a-vis the value chain of scanner and web scraped data and looks at some further issues for research in this field.
随着扫描仪和网络抓取数据的出现,“大数据”来源越来越多地进入官方统计。“大数据与统计”特刊的第二部分专门讨论这些数据用于消费者价格指数的发展。大数据在多大程度上不同于更传统的数据来源,如现场价格收集,它们如何改变消费者价格指数的生成过程?本期特刊的四篇论文根据法国、瑞典和荷兰统计部门取得的经验来讨论这些问题。本引言将它们与扫描仪和网络抓取数据的价值链进行比较,并展望了该领域进一步研究的一些问题。
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引用次数: 5
Scanner Data: Advances in Methodology and New Challenges for Computing Consumer Price Indices 扫描仪数据:计算消费者价格指数的方法进展和新挑战
Pub Date : 2019-10-03 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.509.1981
M. Leclair, Isabelle Léonard, G. Rateau, P. Sillard, Gaëtan Varlet, Pierre Vernédal
[eng] When consumers pay for their purchases at the store checkout, the barcodes (also known as GTINs) of the goods purchased are scanned, recording quantities and the prices linked to each barcode in the process. Scanner data present an opportunity for use in constructing consumer price indices, which could supersede the use of survey data. Based on the existing concept of consumer price indices, the volume and new types of information provided by scanner datasets raise a number of new methodological questions, in particular in relation to price aggregation to produce indices, handling quality adjustments, classifying goods by homogeneous consumption segment and dealing with product relaunches and promotions. This article looks at how these questions have been addressed in France.
当消费者在商店收银台付款时,所购商品的条形码(也称为GTINs)会被扫描,在此过程中记录数量和与每个条形码相关联的价格。扫描器数据为构建消费者价格指数提供了一个机会,它可以取代调查数据的使用。根据现有的消费者价格指数概念,扫描数据集所提供的大量和新类型的资料提出了一些新的方法问题,特别是关于收集价格以编制指数、处理质量调整、按同质消费部分分类商品和处理产品重新推出和促销的问题。本文着眼于法国是如何解决这些问题的。
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引用次数: 2
Comparing Price Indices of Clothing and Footwear for Scanner Data and Web Scraped Data 服装和鞋类价格指数的扫描数据和网络抓取数据的比较
Pub Date : 2019-10-03 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.509.1984
A. Chessa, R. Griffioen
[eng] Statistical institutes are considering web scraping of online prices of consumer goods as a feasible alternative to scanner data. The lack of transaction data generates the question whether web scraped data are suited for price index calculation. This article investigates this question by comparing price indices based on web scraped and scanner data for clothing and footwear in the same webshop. Scanner data and web scraped prices are often equal, with the latter being slightly higher on average. Numbers of web scraped product prices and products sold show remarkably high correlations. Given the high churn rates of clothing products, a multilateral method (Geary-Khamis) was used to calculate price indices. For 16 product categories, the indices show small overall differences between the two data sources, with year on year indices differing only by 0.3 percentage point at COICOP level (men’s and women's clothing). It remains to be investigated whether such promising results for web scraped data will also be found for other retailers.
统计机构正考虑在网上搜集消费品的网上价格,作为扫描器数据的可行替代方案。交易数据的缺乏产生了一个问题,即网络抓取的数据是否适合用于价格指数的计算。本文通过比较同一网店中基于web抓取和扫描仪数据的服装和鞋类价格指数来研究这个问题。扫描仪数据和网页抓取的价格通常相等,后者的平均价格略高。网络抓取产品的数量和产品的销售价格显示出非常高的相关性。鉴于服装产品的高流失率,采用多边方法(Geary-Khamis)计算价格指数。对于16种产品类别,两种数据来源之间的指数总体差异很小,在COICOP水平(男装和女装)上,年度指数仅相差0.3个百分点。在其他零售商身上是否也能发现网络抓取数据的这种有希望的结果,还有待调查。
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引用次数: 5
Spacial Differences in Price Levels between French Regions and Cities with Scanner Data 用扫描仪数据分析法国地区和城市之间价格水平的空间差异
Pub Date : 2019-10-03 DOI: 10.24187/ecostat.2019.509.1983
Isabelle Léonard, P. Sillard, Gaëtan Varlet, J.-P. Zoyem
[eng] This study is based on scanner data from large retailers sent daily to Insee in 2013. Its aim is to calculate indices that measure differences in consumer price levels between different areas of metropolitan France, focusing specifically on food products sold in supermarkets. A hedonic index based on the regression of the product price on barcode and territory dummies is developed. Several assessments are carried out over different weeks, with one week of data already providing a great degree of accuracy. The dispersion of price levels between regions or large conurbations is limited and, for the most part, robust to the choice of week. The highest prices are found in the Paris region and Corsica, with a magnitude of differences in the order of a few percentage points. A comparison of the new findings with research conducted by Insee between 1970 and 2000 shows that differences in food prices across different areas of metropolitan France are essentially structural and change little over time.
这项研究基于2013年每天发送给Insee的大型零售商的扫描仪数据。其目的是计算衡量法国大都市不同地区消费者价格水平差异的指数,特别关注超市销售的食品。建立了基于商品价格对条码和区域模型回归的快乐指数。在不同的周内进行了几次评估,一周的数据已经提供了很高的准确性。地区或大城市之间价格水平的差异是有限的,而且在大多数情况下,对周的选择是强有力的。价格最高的是巴黎地区和科西嘉岛,其幅度相差几个百分点。将这些新发现与法国国家统计局1970年至2000年间的研究进行比较后发现,法国大都市不同地区的食品价格差异基本上是结构性的,随着时间的推移变化不大。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics
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