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Work, leisure, and the Monday Blue: Does culture matter? 工作、休闲和周一忧郁:文化重要吗?
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.3.2023.203-212
Iordanis Petsas, Fengyun Li, Jinghan Cai
This paper finds that national culture differences can explain the variation in the cross-country day-of-the-week (DOW) effect. More specifically, countries with lower individualism and higher power distance index tend to have a stronger DOW effect. We argue that in countries with lower individualism and higher power distance index, the distinction between weekend leisure and weekday work is more prominent, leading to more pessimistic feelings on Mondays, and subsequently to a stronger DOW effect. Our results support the Monday Blue hypothesis.
研究发现,民族文化差异可以解释跨国周日效应的差异。具体而言,个人主义水平越低、权力距离指数越高的国家,其DOW效应越强。我们认为,在个人主义程度较低、权力距离指数较高的国家,周末休闲与工作日工作的区别更加突出,导致周一的悲观情绪更加强烈,进而产生更强的DOW效应。我们的研究结果支持星期一蓝色假说。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting VIX: the illusion of forecast evaluation criteria 预测VIX:预测评价标准的假象
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.3.2023.231-240
Eleftheria Kafousaki, Stavros Degiannakis
The study uses daily realized volatility measures in order to gain forecast accuracy over stocks’ market implied volatility, as proxied by VIX Index. We evaluate forecast accuracy by incorporating a traditional statistical loss function, along with an objective-based evaluation criterion, that is the cumulative returns earned from the different HAR-type volatility models, through a simple yet effective trading exercise on VIX futures. Findings, illustrate how illusive the choice between the two metrics may be, as it ends in two contradicting results.
本研究采用每日已实现波动率度量,以获得对股票市场隐含波动率的预测准确性,以VIX指数为代表。我们通过结合传统的统计损失函数来评估预测的准确性,以及基于客观的评估标准,即通过对波动率指数期货进行简单而有效的交易练习,从不同的har型波动率模型中获得的累积回报。研究结果表明,在两个指标之间的选择可能是多么虚幻,因为它最终会产生两个相互矛盾的结果。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of home protection schemes on non-performing loans in Greece 希腊住房保护计划对不良贷款的影响
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.3.2023.186-202
Andreas Zervas, Apostolos Fasianos, Konstantinos Loizos
This paper explores the determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) in Greece for the period 2002Q4 to 2018Q2, distinguishing between consumer, housing, and business loans. We contribute to the existing NPL literature by examining the impact of the home protection scheme, which has governed the Greek insolvency framework since the onset of the 2010 crisis. Consistent with previous research on NPLs, our findings indicate that the primary driver for all types of NPL classes has been the business cycle. Additionally, we uncover some evidence suggesting that the initial version of the home protection scheme may have contributed to non-repayment in specific NPL classes as property values declined. However, subsequent amendments to the scheme appear to have played a role in reducing NPL ratios, in addition to the positive effect of improving macroeconomic conditions. Our results offer valuable insights for policymakers seeking to address the burden of high NPL levels on Greece's economic recovery.
本文探讨了2002年第四季度至2018年第二季度希腊不良贷款(NPLs)的决定因素,区分了消费者贷款、住房贷款和商业贷款。我们通过研究家庭保护计划的影响,为现有的不良贷款文献做出贡献,该计划自2010年危机爆发以来一直管辖着希腊破产框架。与之前对不良贷款的研究一致,我们的研究结果表明,所有类型不良贷款类别的主要驱动因素都是商业周期。此外,我们发现了一些证据表明,随着财产价值下降,房屋保护计划的初始版本可能导致了特定不良贷款类别的无法偿还。然而,该计划的后续修订似乎在降低不良贷款率方面发挥了作用,此外还对改善宏观经济状况产生了积极影响。我们的研究结果为政策制定者提供了有价值的见解,以寻求解决希腊经济复苏中高不良贷款水平的负担。
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引用次数: 0
Do tourism, economic complexity and globalization affect economic growth? New empirical evidence in the context of TALC theory and accounting for cross sectional dependence 旅游业、经济复杂性和全球化是否影响经济增长?新的经验证据在背景下的TALC理论和会计横截面依赖
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.3.2023.213-230
Thomas Panagiotou, Constantinos Katrakilidis
This paper investigates the Tourism Led Growth (TLG) relationship, incorporating the law of economic returns and the Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC) theory, along with economic complexity and globalization. To measure tourism accurately, principal components analysis is employed, integrating five tourism-specific variables for 127 countries spanning the period from 1995 to 2020. The empirical analysis utilizes advanced panel dynamic models that account for cross-sectional dependence, yielding robust evidence of a nonlinear TLG relationship. Our findings reveal an inverted U-shaped curve characterizing the TLG relationship in both the short and long run, highlighting distinct impacts of tourism specialization in each time frame. Specifically, higher levels of tourism specialization in the short run can lead to diminishing returns to scale in the long run. Furthermore, our analysis demonstrates that cultural globalization positively facilitates the TLG relationship, while economic complexity exerts a negative influence on the impact of tourism on economic growth.
本文结合经济回报规律和旅游区生命周期理论,结合经济复杂性和全球化,对旅游带动增长(TLG)关系进行了研究。为了准确衡量旅游业,采用主成分分析,整合了1995年至2020年127个国家的五个旅游特定变量。实证分析采用先进的面板动态模型,考虑横截面依赖性,产生非线性TLG关系的有力证据。研究结果显示,旅游专业化在短期和长期的影响均呈倒u型曲线,突出了旅游专业化在每个时间框架内的不同影响。具体来说,短期内旅游专业化水平的提高会导致长期规模收益递减。此外,我们的分析表明,文化全球化正向促进TLG关系,而经济复杂性对旅游对经济增长的影响产生负向影响。
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引用次数: 0
The dynamic effect of macroprudential policies on income inequality: some evidence 宏观审慎政策对收入不平等的动态影响:一些证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.3.2023.248-265
Panagiotis Konstantinou, Anastasios Rizos, Artemis Stratopoulou
We study the dynamic effects of the adoption of macroprudential policies on income inequality over the period 1990 - 2015. We utilize local projections for horizons up to 5 years, and we document that the implementation of borrower-targeted MAPs increases income inequality since they pose obstacles to the access to credit based on household-specific characteristics; however, some financial institutions-targeted instruments (i.e., capital and reserve requirements) lead to a more equal income distribution.
我们研究了1990 - 2015年间宏观审慎政策对收入不平等的动态影响。我们利用了长达5年的地方预测,并记录了针对借款人的map的实施加剧了收入不平等,因为它们基于家庭特定特征对获得信贷构成了障碍;然而,一些以金融机构为目标的工具(即资本和准备金要求)导致了更平等的收入分配。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental, social and governance scores in Europe: what drives financial performance for larger firms? 欧洲的环境、社会和治理得分:是什么推动了大公司的财务业绩?
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.2.2023.121-131
Tiago Cruz Gonçalves, Victor Barros, José Vicente Avelar
This paper aims to investigate the association between firms’ financial performance and their sustainability performance, as measured by Tobin's Q, with a focus on the individual ESG pillars. Our study analyzes constituents of the Stoxx Europe 600 index. We employ different econometric approaches and perform a comprehensive analysis of the post-2015 agreement concerning climate change. Results suggest a statistically positive relationship between firms’ ESG and financial performance, although of greater magnitude for the social component. Overall, our findings highlight the superior relevance of social performance in yielding shareholder value for the largest European firms.
本文旨在调查企业的财务绩效与其可持续性绩效之间的关系,通过Tobin’s Q来衡量,重点关注单个ESG支柱。我们的研究分析了斯托克欧洲600指数的组成部分。我们采用了不同的计量经济学方法,并对2015年后气候变化协议进行了全面分析。结果表明,企业的ESG与财务业绩之间存在统计上的正相关关系,尽管社会成分的相关性更大。总的来说,我们的研究结果强调了社会绩效在欧洲最大公司产生股东价值方面的优越相关性。
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引用次数: 1
The degrees of central bank digital currency adoption across countries: a preliminary analysis 各国央行采用数字货币的程度:初步分析
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.2.2023.97-104
Tu D. Q. Le, Son Tran, D. Nguyen, Thanh D. Ngo
This study empirically examines factors affecting the different stages of CBDC adoption using a sample of 55 countries engaged in CBDC projects from 2014 to 2021. The findings indicate that anti-money laundering and terrorist financing and the financial market development, inflation and technological factors are critical determinants of CBDC adoption at different stages.
本研究使用2014年至2021年参与CBDC项目的55个国家的样本,实证研究了影响CBDC采用不同阶段的因素。研究结果表明,反洗钱和恐怖主义融资以及金融市场发展、通货膨胀和技术因素是不同阶段采用CBDC的关键决定因素。
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引用次数: 1
Steady state economic freedom 稳定的经济自由
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.2.2023.132-136
Ryan H. Murphy
This note projects forward into the distant future the number of countries existing under regimes of different levels of economic liberalism by deriving a transition probability matrix from Economic Freedom of the World data. Naively extrapolating trends from 1970-2020 suggests a modest majority of 165 countries will be economically free in the long-run steady state, with results driven by improvements in variables associated with the freedom to trade internationally and especially the quality of the legal system and property rights.
本说明通过从世界经济自由度数据中得出过渡概率矩阵,预测了在不同程度的经济自由主义制度下存在的国家数量。天真地推断1970-2020年的趋势表明,165个国家中的绝大多数将在长期稳定状态下实现经济自由,其结果是由于与国际贸易自由相关的变量的改善,特别是法律体系和产权的质量。
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引用次数: 0
Developing central bank digital currencies: a reality check during cryptocurrency euphoria 开发中央银行数字货币:加密货币兴奋期间的现实检查
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.2.2023.105-114
I. Cioroianu, S. Corbet, C. Larkin, L. Oxley
Using estimated sentiment indices based on CBDC-related social media posts, and testing for the effects of regulatory-related announcements upon blockchain and cryptocurrency-related funds, this research presents two key findings: first, the continued evolution of the pricing structures of digital finance products to respond to such perceived threats constitutes a further evolutionary point in the product's life-cycle. However, secondly, the very fact that returns fall while volatility increases, indicates a largely negative market response to the threat of potential external regulation of cryptocurrencies in the future. The nature of this negative response validates concerns that anonymity continues to be a central attractive feature for cryptocurrency stakeholders, further verifying the necessity for third-party oversight.
利用基于cbdc相关社交媒体帖子的估计情绪指数,并测试监管相关公告对区块链和加密货币相关基金的影响,本研究提出了两个关键发现:首先,数字金融产品定价结构的持续演变,以应对这种感知到的威胁,构成了产品生命周期中的进一步进化点。然而,其次,回报率下降而波动性增加的事实表明,市场对未来加密货币潜在的外部监管威胁的反应基本上是负面的。这种负面反应的性质证实了人们的担忧,即匿名性仍然是加密货币利益相关者的核心吸引力,进一步验证了第三方监督的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
CSR committee and firm value during the COVID-19 pandemic 企业社会责任委员会和新冠疫情期间的企业价值
IF 0.9 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.2.2023.137-146
Yu-Lin Hsu, Ya-Ching Chu
This paper investigates whether the presence of CSR committees has a mitigating effect on firm value (measured by Tobin’s Q) during the COVID-19 pandemic. Analyzing UK listed firm data, we find that although the pandemic results in lower firm value, the presence of CSR committees helps to mitigate the negative impact of COVID-19 on firm value. The results suggest that the formation of CSR committees is not a symbolic impression management tool but an effective sustainability governance mechanism during the crisis. Our results should be helpful for regulators and companies in making decisions related to CSR committees.  
本文研究了在新冠肺炎大流行期间,企业社会责任委员会的存在是否对企业价值(以托宾Q衡量)有缓解作用。通过分析英国上市公司的数据,我们发现,尽管疫情导致公司价值下降,但企业社会责任委员会的存在有助于减轻新冠肺炎对公司价值的负面影响。研究结果表明,企业社会责任委员会的成立不是一种象征性的印象管理工具,而是危机期间一种有效的可持续性治理机制。我们的研究结果应该有助于监管机构和公司做出与企业社会责任委员会相关的决策。
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Economics and Business Letters
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