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A fuzzy approach to multi-objective mixed integer linear programming model for multi-echelon closed-loop supply chain with multi-product multi-time-period 多产品多时段多级闭环供应链多目标混合整数线性规划模型的模糊求解方法
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200102
Sema Akin Bas, B. Ozkok
By the green point of view, supply chain management (SCM), which contains supplier and location selection, production, distribution, and inventory decisions, is an important subject being examined in recent years by both practitioners and academicians. In this paper, the closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) network that can be mutually agreed by meeting at the level of common satisfaction of conflicting objectives is designed. We construct a multi-objective mixed-integer linear programming (MOMILP) model that allows decision-makers to more effectively manage firms’ closed-loop green supply chain (SC). An ecological perspective is brought by carrying out the recycling, remanufacturing and destruction to SCM in our proposed model. Maximize the rating of the regions in which they are located, minimize total cost and carbon footprint are considered as the objectives of the model. By constructing our model, the focus of customer satisfaction is met, as well as the production, location of facilities and order allocation are decided, and we also carry out the inventory control of warehouses. In our multi-product multi-component multi-time-period model, the solution is obtained with a fuzzy approach by using the min operator of Zimmermann. To illustrate the model, we provide a practical case study, and an optimal result containing a preferable level of satisfaction to the decision-maker is obtained.
从绿色的角度来看,供应链管理(SCM),包括供应商和位置选择,生产,分销和库存决策,是近年来被实践者和学者研究的一个重要课题。本文设计了在相互冲突的目标的共同满足水平上相互满足的闭环供应链(CLSC)网络。我们构建了一个多目标混合整数线性规划(MOMILP)模型,使决策者能够更有效地管理企业的闭环绿色供应链(SC)。在我们提出的模型中,通过对供应链进行回收、再制造和破坏,带来了一个生态的视角。最大限度地提高他们所在地区的评级,最小化总成本和碳足迹被认为是模型的目标。通过构建我们的模型,满足客户满意度的关注点,确定生产、设施选址和订单分配,并对仓库进行库存控制。在多产品多分量多时段模型中,利用Zimmermann最小算子采用模糊方法求解。为了说明该模型,我们提供了一个实际的案例研究,并得到了一个包含对决策者满意程度的最优结果。
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引用次数: 1
Inventory model for deteriorating items with negative exponential demand, probabilistic deterioration and fuzzy lead time under partial back logging 需求负指数、概率劣化和模糊提前期条件下劣化物品的库存模型
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200207
Nabendu Sen, S. Saha
The effect of lead time plays an important role in inventory management. It is also important to study the optimal strategies when the lead time is not precisely known to the decision makers. The aim of this paper is to examine the inventory model for deteriorating items with fuzzy lead time, negative exponential demand, and partially backlogged shortages. This model is unique in its nature due to probabilistic deterioration along with fuzzy lead time. The fuzzy lead time is assumed to be triangular, parabolic, trapezoidal numbers and the graded mean integration representation method is used for the defuzzification purpose. Moreover, three different types of probability distributions, namely uniform, triangular and Beta are used for rate of deterioration to find optimal time and associated total inventory cost. The developed model is validated numerically and values of optimal time and total inventory cost are given in tabular form, corresponding to different probability distribution and fuzzy lead-time. The sensitivity analysis is performed on variation of key parameters to observe its effect on the developed model. Graphical representations are also given in support of derived optimal inventory cost vs. time.
提前期在库存管理中起着重要的作用。当决策者不能精确地知道交货时间时,研究最优策略也很重要。本文的目的是研究具有模糊前置时间、负指数需求和部分积压短缺的变质物品的库存模型。该模型在其性质上是独特的,由于概率恶化以及模糊的提前期。假设模糊提前时间为三角形、抛物线、梯形数,采用梯度平均积分表示法进行去模糊化。此外,劣化率采用三种不同类型的概率分布,即均匀分布、三角形分布和Beta分布,以找到最优时间和相关的总库存成本。对所建立的模型进行了数值验证,并以表格形式给出了不同概率分布和模糊前置时间下的最优时间和总库存成本值。对关键参数的变化进行敏感性分析,观察其对模型的影响。图形表示也给出了支持导出的最优库存成本与时间。
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引用次数: 2
Risk estimation and decision making in management (in selected areas of science) 管理中的风险评估和决策(在选定的科学领域)
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200103
T. Galanc, W. Kołwzan, J. Pieronek, Agnieszka Skowronek-Grądziel
Risk is a category that is inseparably connected with uncertainty and probability, which means that the nature of risk as a category of science is complex, and the concept of risk is very difficult to define by one conceptual system of modern science. Due to the above, the main research hypothesis of the work is oriented to the assumption that the complexity of the risk category is determined by the diversity (variety) of reality, as a result of which in science there is currently no uniform methodology for risk assessment and estimation. As a result, the main goal of the article is to describe the research area based on selected representative methods of risk estimation and logical decision-making schemes, as well as to systematise the knowledge about the methodology used in them. In the article, the authors illustrate risk estimation with examples developed by themselves and quoted from various fields of science, differing from one another in formal terms in quantitative and qualitative (numerical and content-verbally) dimensions. Strategic risk, risk of fraction estimation, Bayesian risk, Bayesian methods for estimation of population distribution parameters, risk of econometric model assessment, interest rate risk, banking risk, and adverse event as a measure of risk are here addressed. The article also focuses on the problem of risk estimation in terms of the theory of fractals. The work is to have not only cognitive but also practical meaning. The created source of knowledge should prove helpful for decision-makers in the area of management since effective process management requires the expertise of risk estimation in various dimensions and using various mathematical tools.
风险是一个与不确定性和概率密不可分的范畴,这意味着风险作为一个科学范畴的性质是复杂的,风险的概念很难用现代科学的一个概念体系来定义。因此,本工作的主要研究假设是风险类别的复杂性是由现实的多样性(多样性)决定的,因此在科学上目前还没有统一的风险评估和估计方法。因此,本文的主要目标是根据所选的风险估计和逻辑决策方案的代表性方法来描述研究领域,并将其中使用的方法知识系统化。在文章中,作者用他们自己开发的例子来说明风险评估,这些例子引用自不同的科学领域,在定量和定性(数字和口头内容)方面的正式术语彼此不同。策略风险、分数估计风险、贝叶斯风险、估计人口分布参数的贝叶斯方法、计量经济模型评估风险、利率风险、银行风险和作为风险度量的不良事件。本文还重点讨论了分形理论中的风险估计问题。工作不仅要有认识意义,而且要有实践意义。所创造的知识来源应该证明对管理领域的决策者有帮助,因为有效的过程管理需要在各个方面进行风险估计和使用各种数学工具的专门知识。
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引用次数: 0
Application of fuzzy programming techniques to solve solid transportation problem with additional constraints 模糊规划技术在附加约束固体运输问题中的应用
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200104
S. Halder, Biswapati Jana
An innovative, real-life solid transportation problem is explained in a non-linear form. As in real life, the total transportation cost depends on the procurement process or type of the items and the distance of transportation. Besides, an impurity constraint is considered here. The proposed model is formed with fuzzy imprecise nature. Such an interesting model is optimised through two different fuzzy programming techniques and fractional programming methods, using LINGO-14.0 tools followed by the generalized gradient method. Finally, the model is discussed concerning these two different methods.
一个创新的,现实生活中的固体运输问题解释了非线性的形式。就像在现实生活中一样,总运输成本取决于采购过程或物品类型以及运输距离。此外,这里还考虑了杂质约束。该模型具有模糊不精确性。这样一个有趣的模型通过两种不同的模糊规划技术和分数规划方法进行优化,使用LINGO-14.0工具,然后使用广义梯度方法。最后,对这两种方法的模型进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 3
Intuitionistic fuzzy sets in assessing the marginal value of the elements of a multigraph 评价多图元素边际值的直觉模糊集
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ORD200402
B. Gładysz, J. Mercik
The paper presents a method of assessing the value of individual elements of the multigraph, i.e., the value of its vertices and arcs, considering the fuzziness of its parameters. The need to take into account the specificity of the existing types of vertices (including logical functions specified on them) and the possibility of multiple relationships between two neighbouring vertices make it necessary to use a multigraph. The assumed basis for the evaluation of the individual elements of the multigraph was their marginal value, which is the so-called contribution of a given element to the entire multigraph, assuming that the given element affects not only the adjacent elements directly related to it but in a way, perhaps indirect, every other element of the multigraph.
考虑多图参数的模糊性,提出了一种评价多图各元素值的方法,即评价多图的顶点和弧的值。由于需要考虑现有顶点类型的特殊性(包括在其上指定的逻辑函数),以及两个相邻顶点之间存在多重关系的可能性,因此有必要使用多重图。对多图中各个元素进行评估的假设基础是它们的边际值,即所谓的给定元素对整个多图的贡献,假设给定元素不仅影响与其直接相关的相邻元素,还以某种方式(可能是间接的)影响多图中的其他元素。
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引用次数: 1
Information gap in value propositions of business models of language schools 语言学校商业模式价值主张中的信息鸿沟
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200202
Z. Malara, P. Ziębicki
The paper presents the results of the second stage of research on business models of language schools. It was assumed that there is a significant difference in the value propositions of schools and the expectations of their clients. An examination procedure was planned with the use of a questionnaire and statistical analysis such as factor analysis, on its basis. Respondents consisted of a group of school managers (representing the majority of enterprises in Lower Silesia) on the one hand and, on the other hand, a large group of former and current clients. The results of the research confirm the existence of a gap in the perception of the values of both groups. The analysis has been conducted in the convention of the business model canvas template. The distinctness of the offer’s perception is presented in the form of activity packages, responsible for creating value for the clients (the right side of the model canvas). The structure of the packages, as a picture of the gap, is discussed. The results of the first stage of the research, diagnosing the influence of the surrounding elements on the business models of language schools, are also referred to. Directional changes in the business models that result from both stages of the research are suggested. The strategic dimension of the gap results from the strategy-business model relation. In light of the literature review, it may be supposed that the research is unique due to the segment of subjects and research methodology.
本文介绍了语言学校商业模式第二阶段研究的结果。假设学校的价值主张和客户的期望存在显著差异。在此基础上,通过问卷调查和因子分析等统计分析,制定了检查程序。受访者一方面包括一组学校管理人员(代表下西里西亚的大多数企业),另一方面包括一大批以前和现在的客户。研究结果证实了两组人对价值观的认知存在差距。分析是在业务模型画布模板的约定下进行的。要约感知的独特性以活动包的形式呈现,负责为客户创造价值(模型画布的右侧)。包的结构,作为一个图片的差距,进行了讨论。本文还引用了第一阶段的研究结果,即对语言学校商业模式的影响进行了诊断。在这两个阶段的研究中,提出了商业模式的方向性变化。差距的战略维度源于战略与商业模式的关系。根据文献综述,可以认为,由于研究对象的细分和研究方法,该研究是独一无二的。
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引用次数: 1
Moving Average control charts for Burr X and Inverse Gaussian distributions 布尔X和反高斯分布的移动平均控制图
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ORD200406
A. Shafqat, Muhammad Aslam, M. Albassam
The Burr X and inverse Gaussian (IG) distributions have been considered to design an attribute control chart for time truncated life test with the moving average (MA) scheme w. The presentation of the MA control chart has been estimated in terms of average run length (ARL) by using the Monte Carlo simulation. The ARL is determined for different values of sample sizes, MA statistics size, parameters’ values, and specified average run length. The performance of this new MA attribute control chart has been compared with the usual time truncated control chart for Burr X and IG distributions. The performance of a new control chart is better than that of the existing control chart.
考虑了Burr X和逆高斯(IG)分布,设计了一种移动平均(MA)方案w的时间截短寿命试验属性控制图。利用蒙特卡罗模拟,从平均运行长度(ARL)的角度估计了MA控制图的表示。ARL是根据不同的样本量、MA统计量、参数值和指定的平均运行长度来确定的。将这种新的MA属性控制图的性能与Burr X和IG分布的常用时间截断控制图进行了比较。新控制图的性能优于现有的控制图。
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引用次数: 1
Governmental combat of migration between competing terrorist organisations 政府间相互竞争的恐怖组织之间的移民斗争
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200302
K. Hausken
Each terrorist organisation is modelled with four coupled differential time equations for the evolution of ideologues, criminal mercenaries, captive participants, and capital sponsoring. Emigration of ideologues may cause unbounded growth of the organisation receiving ideologues. The organisation losing ideologues may reach a stationary state where ideologues are supported by capital sponsors and mercenaries. Emigration of mercenaries may cause the organisation losing mercenaries to experience growth. The organisation receiving mercenaries may lose capital sponsors permanently, allowing for the presence of mercenaries, or capital sponsors may rebound deterring mercenaries. Emigration of ideologues from one organisation to another requires more government intervention into the latter to ensure termination. Emigration of mercenaries from one organisation to another may require more government intervention into the latter, since mercenaries support ideologues. Competing terrorist organisations may facilitate their mutual extinction. Various intervention strategies are considered: the most threatening organisation is eliminated first, aided by competition from the least threatening, after which the remaining organisation is eliminated. The government’s instantaneous and accumulated utilities are analysed through time and compared, depending on emigration, competition, and government intervention strategies.
每个恐怖组织都用四个耦合的微分时间方程来建模,以描述理论家、犯罪雇佣军、俘虏参与者和资本赞助的演变。意识形态的移民可能导致接收意识形态的组织的无限增长。失去意识形态家的组织可能会达到一种静止状态,意识形态家得到资本赞助者和雇佣兵的支持。雇佣兵的移民可能会使失去雇佣兵的组织经历成长。接受雇佣军的组织可能会永久失去资本赞助者,允许雇佣军的存在,或者资本赞助者可能会反弹,阻止雇佣军。意识形态从一个组织迁移到另一个组织,需要政府对后者进行更多的干预,以确保终止。雇佣军从一个组织迁移到另一个组织,可能需要政府对后者进行更多的干预,因为雇佣军支持理论家。相互竞争的恐怖组织可能会促进它们的相互灭绝。考虑了各种干预策略:最具威胁性的组织首先被淘汰,通过威胁最小的组织的竞争来辅助,然后剩余的组织被淘汰。根据移民、竞争和政府干预策略,通过时间分析和比较政府的瞬时效用和累积效用。
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引用次数: 0
Game theoretic analysis of ideologically biased clickbait or fake news and real news 意识形态偏见的标题党或假新闻与真实新闻的博弈论分析
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord200203
K. Hausken
A decision and game theoretic model is developed for how one and two news organisations strike balances between producing clickbait or fake news, and real news. Each news organisation seeks to attract gullible consumers who consume more clickbait or fake news than real news, and non-gullible consumers who conscientiously consume only real news. Increasing a news organisation budget results in obtaining both more clickbait or fake news, and more real news. More clickbait or fake news is produced if the news organisation’s unit cost of effort to produce real news, the production efficiency for clickbait or fake news, and the fraction of consumers consuming clickbait or fake news, increase. In contrast, less clickbait or fake news is produced if a news organisation’s unit cost of effort to produce clickbait or fake news, and the production efficiency for real news, increase, and the gullible consumers consume real news with a higher frequency. Lower unit effort costs and higher budget and production efficiencies cause higher utility for a news organisation and lower utility for the competing news organisation. Higher weight assigned to the contest over clickbait or fake news induces both news organisations to exert higher effort to produce clickbait or fake news. When the gullible consumers of a news organisation consume a relatively large amount of real news in comparison to the consumers of another news organisation, then the first news organisation exerts higher effort to produce real news and obtains higher utility than the other news organisation.
一个决策和博弈论模型被开发出来,用于研究一个和两个新闻机构如何在生产标题党或假新闻与真实新闻之间取得平衡。每个新闻机构都试图吸引轻信的消费者,这些消费者消费更多的标题党或假新闻,而不是真正的新闻,以及不轻信的消费者,他们认真地只消费真正的新闻。增加新闻机构的预算会导致获得更多的标题党或假新闻,以及更多的真实新闻。如果新闻机构生产真实新闻的单位努力成本、标题党或假新闻的生产效率以及消费标题党或假新闻的消费者比例增加,就会生产更多的标题党或假新闻。相反,如果新闻机构生产标题党或假新闻的单位努力成本和真实新闻的生产效率提高,容易上当受骗的消费者消费真实新闻的频率更高,那么标题党或假新闻的生产就会减少。较低的单位工作成本和较高的预算和生产效率会导致新闻机构的效用较高,而竞争新闻机构的效用较低。对标题党或假新闻的竞争赋予更高的权重,会促使两家新闻机构都更努力地生产标题党或假新闻。当一个新闻机构的易受骗消费者比另一个新闻机构的消费者消费更多的真实新闻时,那么第一个新闻机构比另一个新闻机构付出更大的努力来生产真实新闻,从而获得更高的效用。
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引用次数: 4
Solutions for network games and symmetric group representations 网络游戏和对称群表示的解
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord190405
J. Sánchez-Pérez
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引用次数: 1
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Operations Research and Decisions
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