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Internet digital content pricing and subscribers control 互联网数字内容定价与订户控制
Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230304
Sobhi Mejjouali, Lotfi Tadj
We use optimal control theory to determine the optimal rate of change in the subscription fee and the optimal ratio of ad space to the total web page space for a web content provider. An optimal solution is obtained using the maximum principle approach and the model predictive control approach. Numerical experiments show that it is preferable to use the first approach when the planning horizon is short and the second approach when the planning horizon is long
我们使用最优控制理论来确定订阅费用的最优变化率和广告空间与网页总空间的最优比例。采用极大值原理法和模型预测控制方法得到了最优解。数值实验表明,当规划水平较短时,采用第一种方法,当规划水平较长时,采用第二种方法
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引用次数: 0
An integrated modelling approach for an optimal location of warehouses in the defence industry organisation 国防工业组织中仓库最佳位置的集成建模方法
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230203
Melda Gelibolu Bayrakcı, Ö. Baykoç
Countries’ defence industries are the leading indicator of their global power. The warehouse is the place where the materials are kept until the customer order arrives so that the companies are viable and can respond appropriately to internal/external customer demands. In this regard, warehouse location plays a vital role in the defence industry in terms of storage options with increased flexibility, a simplified supply chain with cost management and optimal positioning according to deployment locations. In this study, the decision on the location of warehouses for logistic support during the warranty period of military vehicles manufactured and supplied to the armed forces by a defence company was made. It is aimed to propose the best solution to a real-life problem with high complexity, containing many data and constraints. In this context, the criteria that are thought to be most relevant to this problem have been determined by taking expert opinions. Having determined the order of importance of the requirements by the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) with the Super Decisions V 2.10, their weights were included as a coefficient of the objective function in the goal programming (GP) model. As a result of solving the GP model using GAMS (general algebraic modelling system), it was decided to select the warehouses that provided the optimal results among the alternative warehouse locations in 9 different locations. Furthermore, to see the impact of changes in criterion weights, sensitivity analysis has also been included. The significance of this research lies within the integrated usage of AHP and GP in the defence industry when determining warehouse locations by the experts’ opinions. With this study, not only a solution strategy was developed, but also a basis for the warehouse location decision in the defence industry projects already signed or to be signed was given.
一个国家的国防工业是其全球实力的主要指标。仓库是在客户订单到达之前保存材料的地方,以便公司能够生存并能够适当地响应内部/外部客户的需求。在这方面,仓库位置在国防工业的存储选择方面发挥着至关重要的作用,具有更高的灵活性,简化的供应链,成本管理和根据部署位置的最佳定位。在这项研究中,决定了一家防务公司制造和供应给武装部队的军用车辆在保证期内后勤支助仓库的地点。它旨在为现实生活中具有高复杂性、包含许多数据和约束的问题提出最佳解决方案。在这方面,被认为与这个问题最相关的标准是通过听取专家意见来确定的。利用Super Decisions V 2.10,通过层次分析法(AHP)确定需求的重要顺序,将其权重作为目标规划(GP)模型中目标函数的系数。利用GAMS(通用代数建模系统)求解GP模型,决定在9个不同地点的备选仓库位置中选择提供最优结果的仓库。此外,为了看到标准权重变化的影响,还包括敏感性分析。本研究的意义在于结合AHP和GP在国防工业中根据专家意见确定仓库位置的应用。通过本研究,不仅制定了解决方案策略,而且为国防工业项目中已经签署或即将签署的仓库选址决策提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
An empirical analysis of Malaysian palm oil export to world major palm oil importing countries: evidence from a panel cointegration model 马来西亚棕榈油出口到世界主要棕榈油进口国的实证分析:来自面板协整模型的证据
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230105
Nur Ain Mohd Hassan, K. Zakaria, Kamalrudin Mohamed Salleh, Siti Mashani Ahmad
The paper explores the long-term causal relationships of Malaysian palm oil exports with the real effective exchange rate of the respective importing countries, palm oil consumption, vegetable oil production, and GDP growth. The study applied panel cointegration and causality approaches based on data from 10 main palm oil importing countries between 2004 and 2018. The impacts of economic growth, the effective real exchange rate, and the production of other vegetable oils by the main palm oil importing countries on Malaysian palm oil exports were found to be negative. However, palm oil consumption by the main palm oil importers was found to be a statistically significant positive determinant of Malaysian palm oil exports. This finding indicates that consumption has a direct positive effect on the demand for exports. A panel Granger causality analysis revealed a unidirectional causality between importing countries’ production of other vegetable oils and Malaysian exports of palm oil.
本文探讨了马来西亚棕榈油出口与各自进口国的实际有效汇率、棕榈油消费、植物油生产和GDP增长之间的长期因果关系。该研究基于2004年至2018年10个主要棕榈油进口国的数据,采用了面板协整和因果关系方法。经济增长、有效实际汇率和主要棕榈油进口国生产的其他植物油对马来西亚棕榈油出口的影响是负面的。然而,主要棕榈油进口国的棕榈油消费被发现是马来西亚棕榈油出口的统计上显着的积极决定因素。这一发现表明,消费对出口需求有直接的积极影响。面板格兰杰因果分析显示,进口国生产其他植物油与马来西亚出口棕榈油之间存在单向因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Characterisation of some generalized continuous distributions by doubly truncated moments 一些广义连续分布的双截断矩表征
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230101
Haseeb Athar, M. Ahsanullah, Mohd. Almech Ali
The characterisation of probability distribution plays an important role in statistical studies. There are various methods of characterisation available in the literature. The characterisation using truncated moments limits the observations; hence, researchers may save time and cost. In this paper, the characterisation of three general forms of continuous distributions based on doubly truncated moments has been studied. The results are given simply and explicitly. Further, the results have been applied to some well-known continuous distributions.
概率分布的表征在统计研究中起着重要的作用。在文献中有各种各样的表征方法。使用截断矩的表征限制了观测值;因此,研究人员可以节省时间和成本。本文研究了基于双截断矩的连续分布的三种一般形式。结果是简单明了的。进一步,将所得结果应用于一些著名的连续分布。
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引用次数: 0
Gold rush optimizer: A new population-based metaheuristic algorithm 淘金热优化器:一种新的基于人口的元启发式算法
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230108
Kamran Zolfi
Today’s world is characterised by competitive environments, optimal resource utilization, and cost reduction, which has resulted in an increasing role for metaheuristic algorithms in solving complex modern problems. As a result, this paper introduces the gold rush optimizer (GRO), a population-based metaheuristic algorithm that simulates how gold-seekers prospected for gold during the Gold Rush Era using three key concepts of gold prospecting: migration, collaboration, and panning. The GRO algorithm is compared to twelve well-known metaheuristic algorithms on 29 benchmark test cases to assess the proposed approach’s performance. For scientific evaluation, the Friedman and Wilcoxon signed-rank tests are used. In addition to these test cases, the GRO algorithm is evaluated using three real-world engineering problems. The results indicated that the proposed algorithm was more capable than other algorithms in proposing qualitative and competitive solutions.
当今世界的特点是竞争环境,优化资源利用和降低成本,这导致了元启发式算法在解决复杂的现代问题中的作用越来越大。因此,本文介绍了淘金热优化器(GRO),这是一种基于人口的元启发式算法,它模拟了淘金热时代淘金者如何利用三个关键的金矿找矿概念:迁移、协作和淘金。在29个基准测试用例上,将GRO算法与12种知名的元启发式算法进行了比较,以评估该方法的性能。为了进行科学评价,使用了Friedman和Wilcoxon符号秩检验。除了这些测试用例之外,GRO算法还使用三个现实世界的工程问题进行了评估。结果表明,该算法在定性求解和竞争性求解方面优于其他算法。
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引用次数: 5
Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices. Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding? 结合电价的预测分布。在日前投标中,最小化CRPS是否会导致最优决策?
Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230307
Weronika Nitka, Rafał Weron
Probabilistic price forecasting has recently gained attention in power trading because decisions based on such predictions can yield significantly higher profits than those made with point forecasts alone. At the same time, methods are being developed to combine predictive distributions, since no model is perfect and averaging generally improves forecasting performance. In this article, we address the question of whether using CRPS learning, a novel weighting technique minimizing the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), leads to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding. To this end, we conduct an empirical study using hourly day-ahead electricity prices from the German EPEX market. We find that increasing the diversity of an ensemble can have a positive impact on accuracy. At the same time, the higher computational cost of using CRPS learning compared to an equal-weighted aggregation of distributions is not offset by higher profits, despite significantly more accurate predictions.
概率价格预测最近在电力交易中引起了人们的关注,因为基于这种预测的决策比仅凭点预测做出的决策产生的利润要高得多。同时,结合预测分布的方法正在开发,因为没有一个模型是完美的,平均通常可以提高预测性能。在本文中,我们讨论了使用CRPS学习(一种新颖的加权技术,最小化连续排名概率得分(CRPS))是否能在日前投标中产生最优决策的问题。为此,我们使用德国EPEX市场的每小时日前电价进行了实证研究。我们发现增加集合的多样性可以对精度产生积极的影响。与此同时,使用CRPS学习的较高计算成本与分布的等加权聚合相比,并没有被更高的利润所抵消,尽管预测明显更准确。
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引用次数: 0
Pricing-inventory model with discrete demand and delivery orders 需求和交货订单离散的定价-库存模型
Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230308
Heibatolah Sadeghi, Hêriş Golpîra, Faicel Hnaien, Cosimo Magazzino
This paper aims to develop an inventory model considering discrete demand, coordinated pricing, and multiple delivery policy in a single-buyer single-supplier production-inventory system. The shortage is not allowed and the planning horizon is considered to be infinite. The main objective of the framework is to equip the decision-maker with optimal order, pricing, and shipment quantities to maximize the total profit of the system. The results obtained from the numerical example reveal that the proposed approach with an average selling price equal to about 94% of the classical model, has resulted in an average profit increase of about 16% and an average order increase of about 34% compared to the classical approach
本文旨在建立一个考虑单买家单供应商生产库存系统中离散需求、协调定价和多重交货策略的库存模型。短缺是不允许的,规划范围被认为是无限的。该框架的主要目标是为决策者提供最优的订单、定价和出货数量,以使系统的总利润最大化。数值算例结果表明,在平均销售价格约为经典模型的94%的情况下,与经典模型相比,该方法的平均利润增加约16%,平均订单增加约34%
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引用次数: 0
Teaching assistant selection in Thailand by using an extended VIKOR based on piecewise linear approximation of fuzzy numbers 基于模糊数分段线性逼近的扩展VIKOR在泰国的助教选择
Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230306
Akan Narabin, Phairoj Samutrak
Because of the COVID-19 situation, selection for a teaching assistant position to get a TA scholarship in a university in Thailand needs to be performed online by the formed committee. Due to the online process and the limited number of scholarships offered by the university, beyond the face-to-face interview, multiple-criteria decision analysis can help to select a proper student. In this study, we use the extended VIKOR method with fuzzy numbers to help committees to select the students from the applicants. The criteria and the weights of the criteria are provided with the help of committees. Both trapezoidal and triangular linguistic variables are used to find the solution and to observe the range of the possible result. The different weights supporting the strategy of maximum group utility are varied to detect the potential alternatives. The ranking results are also compared with the one obtained from the TODIM approach to illustrate the appropriate alternative.
由于新冠肺炎疫情,泰国一所大学获得助教奖学金的助教职位的选拔需要由组建的委员会在网上进行。由于在线申请过程和大学提供的奖学金数量有限,除了面对面的面试,多标准决策分析可以帮助选择合适的学生。在本研究中,我们使用带有模糊数的扩展VIKOR方法来帮助委员会从申请人中选择学生。标准和标准的权重是在委员会的帮助下提供的。使用梯形和三角形语言变量来寻找解并观察可能结果的范围。通过改变支持群体效用最大化策略的不同权重来检测潜在的备选方案。还将排序结果与从TODIM方法获得的排序结果进行了比较,以说明适当的替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Neutrosophic data envelopment analysis based on the possibilistic mean approach 基于可能性均值法的中性数据包络分析
IF 0.4 Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230205
Kshitish Kumar Mohanta, Deena Sunil Sharanappa, Vishnu Narayan Mishra
Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a non-parametric approach for the estimation of production frontier that is used to calculate the performance of a group of similar decision-making units (DMUs) which employ comparable inputs to produce related outputs. However, observed values might occasionally be confusing, imprecise, ambiguous, inadequate, and inconsistent in real-world applications. Thus, disregarding these factors may result in incorrect decision-making. Thus neutrosophic sets have been created as an extension of intuitionistic fuzzy sets to represent ambiguous, erroneous, missing, and inaccurate information in real-world applications. In this study, we have proposed a technique for solving the neutrosophic form of the Charnes–Cooper–Rhodes (CCR) model based on single-value trapezoidal neutrosophic numbers (SVTrNNs). The possibilistic mean for SVTrNNs is redefined and applied the Mehar approach to transforming the neutrosophic DEA (Neu-DEA) model into its corresponding crisp DEA model. As a result, the efficiency scores of the DMUs are calculated using different risk parameter values lying in [0, 1]. A numerical example is given to analyze the performance of the all India institutes of medical sciences and compared it with Abdelfattah’s ranking approach.
数据包络分析(DEA)是一种用于估计生产前沿的非参数方法,用于计算一组类似决策单元(dmu)的绩效,这些决策单元采用可比较的投入来产生相关的产出。然而,在实际应用程序中,观察到的值有时可能令人困惑、不精确、模棱两可、不充分和不一致。因此,忽视这些因素可能会导致错误的决策。因此,中性集作为直觉模糊集的扩展被创建,以表示现实世界应用中的模糊、错误、缺失和不准确的信息。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种基于单值梯形中性粒细胞数(SVTrNNs)的求解Charnes-Cooper-Rhodes (CCR)模型的中性粒细胞形式的技术。重新定义了svtrnn的可能性均值,并应用Mehar方法将嗜中性DEA (new -DEA)模型转化为相应的脆DEA模型。因此,采用[0,1]中不同的风险参数值计算dmu的效率得分。给出了一个数值例子,分析了印度所有医学科学研究所的表现,并将其与Abdelfattah的排名方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 1
Linear programming models for optimal workload and batching in pick-and-pass warehousing systems 拣传仓储系统中最优工作量和批处理的线性规划模型
Q4 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.37190/ord230309
Grzegorz Tarczyński
Pick-and-pass systems are a part of picker-to-parts order-picking systems and constitute a very common storage solution in cases where customer orders are usually small and need to be completed very quickly. As workers pick items in the zones connected by conveyor, their work needs to be coordinated. The paper presents MILP models that optimize the order-picking process. The first model uses information about expected demand for items to solve the storage location problem and balance the workload across zones. The task of the next model is order-batching and sequencing – two concepts are presented that meet different assumptions. The results of the exemplary tasks solved with the use of the proposed MILP models show that the total picking time of a set of orders can be reduced by about 35-45% in comparison with random policies. The paper presents an equation for the lower bound of a makespan. Recommendations about the number of zones that guarantee the required system efficiency are also introduced.
拾取-传递系统是拾取-零件订单拾取系统的一部分,在客户订单通常很少且需要快速完成的情况下,它构成了一种非常常见的存储解决方案。当工人在由传送带连接的区域中挑选物品时,他们的工作需要协调。本文提出了优化拣货过程的MILP模型。第一个模型使用有关物品预期需求的信息来解决存储位置问题,并在不同区域之间平衡工作负载。下一个模型的任务是订单批处理和排序——提出了满足不同假设的两个概念。使用所提出的MILP模型解决的示例任务的结果表明,与随机策略相比,一组订单的总挑选时间可以减少约35-45%。本文给出了极限区间下界的一个方程。还介绍了关于保证所需系统效率的区域数量的建议。
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引用次数: 0
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Operations Research and Decisions
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