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Simulation model explores alternative wholesale power market structures 仿真模型探讨了电力批发市场的不同结构
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/67.993757
S. T. Lee
The power crisis in California from the summer of 2000 to the spring of 2001 caused great interest and concern in the power industry about deregulation and liberalization of the wholesale power market. In response to this interest, EPRI has developed a prototype computer simulation model to study alternative wholesale power market structures. The results were presented at a workshop organized jointly by the California Energy Commission and EPRI on 7 November 2001 in Sacramento, California. This article is based on that presentation and represents work in progress. There are four objectives of developing and applying the EPRI Long Term Power Market Simulation Model (LTPMS): improve the understanding of how a competitive power market works in the long term; study the potential price volatility and boom-bust cycles of the power market; study alternative market designs and the role of a power authority to complement the market; and compare the long-term impacts of various market structures on the end-users and society.
2000年夏至2001年春发生在加州的电力危机引起了电力行业对电力批发市场放松管制和自由化的极大兴趣和关注。为了响应这种兴趣,EPRI开发了一个原型计算机模拟模型来研究替代的批发电力市场结构。研究结果于2001年11月7日在加州萨克拉门托由加州能源委员会和欧洲环境研究所联合举办的研讨会上发表。本文以该演示文稿为基础,代表了正在进行的工作。开发和应用EPRI长期电力市场模拟模型(LTPMS)有四个目标:提高对竞争性电力市场长期运作方式的理解;研究电力市场的潜在价格波动和盛衰周期;研究可供选择的市场设计和电力当局的作用,以补充市场;并比较各种市场结构对最终用户和社会的长期影响。
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引用次数: 13
Guest editorial - thriving on risk 客座评论-在风险中繁荣
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/MCAP.2002.993753
H. Merrill
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引用次数: 0
Restructured Electric Power Systems: Operation, Trading, and Volatility [Book Review] 重组电力系统:运作、交易和波动[书评]
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/MCAP.2002.993762
M. Shahidehpour, M. Alomoush
The electric power industry is in the midst of a major restructuring in which electric energy would be traded as a commodity, electric power markets would foster open access to all suppliers of electric power, discrimination against any user of the transmission system would be reduced or eliminated, a competitive wholesale market at the national level would be fostered to reduce prices, and a competitive retail market at the state level would be encouraged to provide customer choice and competition in service and reliability. Ultimately, small customers will be able to choose their electric supplier much as they currently select their long-distance telephone carrier. For decades the electric utilities monopolized the way power was generated, transmitted, and distributed to customers in their service territories. Utilities were vertically integrated and provided generation, transmitted power in bulk from generating stations to load centers, and distributed power to customers. Although these three components remained the same, where restructuring brought on by deregulation has occurred, the three services were unbundled. Furthermore, coordination and rules were established to guarantee competition and nondiscriminatory open access to all users in the interconnection. These changes were brought about by a series of FERC Orders that progressively changed the environment in response to how the industry responded and how FERC felt it measured up to its objectives for a competitive, efficient marketplace. The energy shortages and rolling blackouts in California and elsewhere suggest that the evolution from a monopolistic to a competitive marketplace has not always been smooth. Restructured Electric Power Systems: Operation, Trading, and Volatility provides the reader with information without taking any position for or against any of these FERC Orders. It provides rational pro and con arguments made as these FERC Orders were discussed prior to implementation and the reasons that FERC gave for issuing the orders in their final form. The authors provide unbiased reporting of background information. Fortunately for the reader, they selected a self-consistent set of topics that could be covered in a book about operation under a restructured electric power system environment. The book covers the following developments: A competitive marketplace needed new trading-based methods for scheduling which generators and services would be provided for whom and by whom. This was carried out in detail for various restructured systems. A second level of concern existed, regarding what level of generation and what level of service each of the scheduled generators and control devices would provide based on the marketplace trading. This was also carried out for several restructured systems. The transactions and limitations of the trading marketplace-based operation process must be transparent in order to bolster customer and supplier confidence. Thus, the Open Access Same-T
电力工业正在进行重大改组,其中电能将作为一种商品进行交易,电力市场将促进向所有电力供应商开放,对输电系统任何用户的歧视将减少或消除,将在国家一级培育竞争性批发市场以降低价格。鼓励在州一级建立竞争性零售市场,为客户提供选择,并在服务和可靠性方面进行竞争。最终,小客户将能够像选择长途电话运营商一样选择他们的电力供应商。几十年来,电力公司垄断了电力的产生、传输和分配给其服务区域内客户的方式。公用事业垂直整合并提供发电,将电力从发电站批量传输到负荷中心,并将电力分配给客户。虽然这三个组成部分保持不变,但在放松管制带来的重组中,这三种服务是分开的。此外,还建立了协调和规则,以保证互联中所有用户的竞争和非歧视性开放接入。这些变化是由FERC的一系列命令带来的,这些命令逐渐改变了环境,以响应行业的反应,以及FERC如何衡量其竞争,高效市场的目标。加州和其他地方的能源短缺和轮流停电表明,从垄断市场到竞争市场的演变并不总是一帆风顺的。《重组电力系统:操作、交易和波动》为读者提供信息,但不支持或反对联邦电力监管委员会的任何指令。它提供了合理的赞成和反对,因为这些FERC命令在实施之前进行了讨论,以及FERC给出的最终形式发布命令的原因。作者提供了公正的背景信息报道。对读者来说幸运的是,他们选择了一组自我一致的主题,这些主题可以在一本关于在重组电力系统环境下运行的书中涵盖。这本书涵盖了以下发展:竞争性市场需要新的基于交易的方法来安排哪些发电机和服务将为谁提供,由谁提供。对各种重组系统进行了详细的研究。第二个关切是,根据市场交易情况,每个预定的发电机和控制装置将提供何种水平的发电和服务。对几个改组后的系统也进行了这项工作。基于交易市场的操作流程的交易和限制必须是透明的,以增强客户和供应商的信心。因此,开放存取同步信息系统(OASIS),一个报告过程和系统,被实施。关于OASIS的讨论,它提供的信息,以及如何确定它是在限制电力流动的能源短缺或互联拥堵的情况下进行的,这是许多以前未知的风险中的两个,这些风险可能导致垄断环境中的市场波动。需要并创建基于市场的工具来减少和管理已确定的每一种风险。讨论了风险和为管理每种风险而创建的各种工具。对美国不同地区的市场化经营结构进行了比较,并对几个国外的重组进行了比较
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引用次数: 10
IT strategy in the Texas energy market 德州能源市场的IT策略
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/67.976992
V. Janardhan, B. Fesmire, J. Chapman
The Texas Electric Choice Act, signed in 1999, cleared the way for the deregulation state's electricity market. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) has slated 1 January 2002 for the opening of Texas' electric power market to full retail competition. The pilot market was opened on 31 July, with wholesale deregulation and retail access allowed for 5% of the total retail market. Presently, there are 30 firms certified as qualified scheduling entities (QSE) to participate in the restructured Texas market. Each of these companies faces a variety of IT requirements for communications, analysis, and operations in order to do business in ERCOT's territory. This article focuses on identifying these needs and discusses the IT solutions that must be deployed to meet them.
1999年签署的《德州电力选择法案》(Texas Electric Choice Act)为该州放松电力市场管制扫清了道路。德州电力可靠性委员会(ERCOT)已定于2002年1月1日开放德州电力市场,以进行全面的零售竞争。试点市场于7月31日开放,批发市场放松管制,零售市场准入占零售市场总量的5%。目前,有30家公司被认证为合格调度实体(QSE),可以参与重组后的德克萨斯州市场。为了在ERCOT的领域内开展业务,这些公司中的每一个都面临着通信、分析和操作方面的各种IT需求。本文着重于识别这些需求,并讨论必须部署以满足这些需求的IT解决方案。
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引用次数: 5
ANN approach assesses system security 人工神经网络方法评估系统安全性
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/MCAP.2002.1018820
K. Swarup, P. B. Corthis
Large interconnected power systems with dispersed and geographically isolated generators and load constitute a majority of the power network. Present-day power systems are dynamic in nature, where the network topology frequently changes with load demand. With increase in load, the power system network is loaded to its limits, making it susceptible to collapse even under minor disturbances. In order to operate the power system economically, the current operating state of the system must be identified as either secure or insecure. An artificial neural network (ANN) aided method for security assessment is proposed and illustrated for a model six-bus power system. The work demonstrates the feasibility of classification of load patterns for power system static security assessment using a Kohonen self-organizing feature map. The most important aspect of this network is its generalization property. Using 15 different line-loading patterns for training, the network successfully classifies the unknown loading patterns. This powerful and versatile feature is especially useful for power system operation. Research is in progress to include contingency analysis in the security assessment program.
具有分散和地理隔离的发电机和负载的大型互联电力系统构成了电网的大部分。当今的电力系统是动态的,其网络拓扑结构经常随着负荷的变化而变化。随着负荷的增加,电网负荷达到极限,即使受到很小的扰动也容易崩溃。为了使电力系统经济运行,必须将系统的当前运行状态识别为安全或不安全。提出了一种人工神经网络辅助的六母线电力系统安全评估方法,并给出了实例。研究表明,利用Kohonen自组织特征映射对电力系统静态安全评估进行负荷模式分类是可行的。该网络最重要的方面是它的泛化性。使用15种不同的线加载模式进行训练,网络成功地对未知的加载模式进行了分类。这一功能强大、用途广泛的特性对电力系统运行尤其有用。将应急分析纳入安全评估计划的研究正在进行中。
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引用次数: 45
AI automates substation control 人工智能自动化变电站控制
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/67.976991
G. Botura
The control of a substation is a very complex task due to the great number of related problems and, therefore, the decision variables that can influence the substation performance. Under such circumstances, the use of learning control systems can be very useful. The difficulties associated with the application of artificial intelligence techniques include: selection of the magnitudes to be controlled; definition and implementation of the soft techniques; and elaboration of a programming tool to execute the control. The interest of the present work is to expose the obtained results and to present them for discussion. The objective is to show that it is possible to control the status of circuit breakers (CB) in a substation making use of a knowledge base that relates some of the operation magnitudes, mixing status variables with time variables and fuzzy sets. Even when all the magnitudes to be controlled cannot be included in the analysis (mostly due to the great number of measurements and status variables of the substation and, therefore, to the rules that would be required by the controller), it is possible to control the desired status while supervising some important magnitudes as the voltage, power factor, and harmonic distortion, as well as the present status.
变电站的控制是一项非常复杂的任务,因为有大量的相关问题,因此,决策变量可以影响变电站的性能。在这种情况下,使用学习控制系统是非常有用的。与人工智能技术应用相关的困难包括:选择要控制的幅度;软技术的定义与实现;并详细设计了一个执行控制的编程工具。本文的兴趣在于揭示已获得的结果,并提出供讨论。目的是表明,利用一个知识库来控制变电站断路器(CB)的状态是可能的,该知识库与一些运行量有关,将状态变量与时间变量和模糊集混合在一起。即使不能将所有要控制的幅度都包含在分析中(主要是由于变电站的测量和状态变量非常多,因此需要控制器的规则),也可以在监控电压、功率因数、谐波畸变等重要幅度以及当前状态的同时控制所需的状态。
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引用次数: 5
Future trends in power system control 电力系统控制的未来趋势
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/MCAP.2002.1018819
B. Fardanesh
To buy time for online computations needed for central coordination and to attain wider-area objectives for optimum operation, one has had to resort to decomposition and, therefore, multilevel hierarchical control schemes. This article looks into the future state of power system operations and control based on a number of assumptions and provides an analysis of the direction that this area might take over the next 25 years. Issues related to development of techniques and requirements for fully coordinated, high-bandwidth, and robust controls for power systems are discussed, and some methodologies are suggested. Proceeding toward this ultimate goal, system-wide automatic voltage control (SAVC), system-wide automatic power control (SAPC), and the integrated system-wide automatic control (SAC) concepts are introduced for coordination of injection (shunt) and routing (series) controllers for both real and reactive power.
为了争取时间进行中央协调所需的联机计算,并达到最优操作的更广泛的区域目标,人们不得不求助于分解,因此,多层次的控制方案。本文在若干假设的基础上展望了电力系统运行和控制的未来状态,并对该领域未来25年的发展方向进行了分析。讨论了与电力系统完全协调、高带宽和鲁棒控制技术发展和要求有关的问题,并提出了一些方法。为了实现这一最终目标,引入了全系统自动电压控制(SAVC)、全系统自动功率控制(SAPC)和集成的全系统自动控制(SAC)概念,以协调实功率和无功功率的注入(并联)和路由(串联)控制器。
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引用次数: 78
Managing risk in the new power business: a sequel 新能源行业的风险管理:续集
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/67.993754
J. Higle, S. Wallace
As the power business is moving into new territory with market deregulation, there is a need for expressing a view on financial and physical risks. By means of an example published earlier in this magazine, we discuss what could be appropriate measures of risk for a producer. In the article by M.V.F. Pereira, et al. "Managing Risk in the New Power Business," (see ibid., p.18-24, April 2000), management in the deregulated power markets is discussed. The article is valuable, both in its reflection on risk and its description of market issues. However, a central theme that resonates throughout the article involves the use of min-max regret as a method for controlling risk in the decision-making process. We have observed that the use of this measure is, itself, a "risky" prospect, largely because its conclusions can be so sensitive to the manner in which the problem is posed. In response to this observation, we suggest alternative approaches to risk management.
随着市场放松管制,电力行业正在进入新的领域,有必要表达对金融和实物风险的看法。通过本杂志早些时候发表的一个例子,我们讨论了对生产者来说,什么是适当的风险衡量标准。在M.V.F. Pereira等人的文章中。“管理新电力业务中的风险”(同上,第18-24页,2000年4月),讨论了解除管制的电力市场的管理。这篇文章很有价值,无论是对风险的反思还是对市场问题的描述。然而,贯穿整篇文章的一个中心主题涉及到在决策过程中使用最小-最大后悔作为控制风险的方法。我们已经注意到,使用这一措施本身是一种“危险的”前景,主要是因为它的结论可能对提出问题的方式非常敏感。针对这一观察结果,我们提出了风险管理的替代方法。
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引用次数: 17
Integrated ANN approach to forecast load 综合人工神经网络方法预测负荷
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/67.993760
K. Swarup, B. Satish
The demand for electricity is known to vary by the time of the day, week, month, temperature, and usage habits of the consumers. Though usage habit is not directly observable, it may be implied in the patterns of usage that have occurred in the past. A short-term load-forecasting (STLF) program that uses an integrated artificial neural network (ANN) approach is capable of predicting load for basic generation scheduling functions, assessing power system security, and providing timely dispatcher information. How well training data is chosen in an ANN is the defining factor in how well the network's output will match the event being modeled.
众所周知,电力需求会随着一天、一周、一月、温度和消费者使用习惯的不同而变化。虽然使用习惯不能直接观察到,但它可能隐含在过去发生的使用模式中。采用综合人工神经网络(ANN)方法的短期负荷预测(STLF)程序能够预测基本发电调度功能的负荷,评估电力系统的安全性,并及时提供调度员信息。在人工神经网络中,训练数据的选择有多好,是网络输出与被建模事件匹配程度的决定性因素。
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引用次数: 36
Internet-based SCADA display system 基于internet的SCADA显示系统
Pub Date : 2002-08-07 DOI: 10.1109/67.976986
B. Qiu, H. Gooi, Yilu Liu, E. Chan
In the deregulated environment, information is the key to secure operation, profitability, customer retention, market advantage, and growth for the power industry. The rapid development of the Internet and distributed computing have opened the door for feasible and cost-effective solutions. This article describes and demonstrates a unique Internet-based application in a substation automation system that is implemented based on the existing system control and data acquisition (SCADA) system and very large-scale integration (VLSI) information technologies (IT). The user can view the real-time data superimposed on one-line diagrams generated automatically using VLSI placement and routing techniques. In addition, the user can also control the operation of the substation at the server site. The choice of Java technologies, such as Java Native Interface (JNI), Java Remote Method Invocation (RMI), and Enterprise Java Bean (EJB), offers unique and powerful features, such as zero client installation, on-demand access, platform independence, and transaction management for the design of the online SCADA display system.
在放松管制的环境中,信息是电力行业确保运营、盈利、客户保留、市场优势和增长的关键。互联网和分布式计算的快速发展为可行且具有成本效益的解决方案打开了大门。本文描述并演示了基于现有系统控制和数据采集(SCADA)系统和超大规模集成(VLSI)信息技术(IT)实现的变电站自动化系统中一个独特的基于互联网的应用。用户可以查看叠加在使用VLSI放置和路由技术自动生成的单线图上的实时数据。此外,用户还可以在服务器站点控制变电站的运行。Java技术的选择,如Java本机接口(JNI)、Java远程方法调用(RMI)和企业Java Bean (EJB),提供了独特而强大的特性,如零客户端安装、按需访问、平台独立性和用于在线SCADA显示系统设计的事务管理。
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引用次数: 67
期刊
IEEE Computer Applications in Power
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