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A Study on the Applicability of a Swat Model in Predicting the Water Yield and Water Balance of the Upper Ouémé Catchment in the Republic of Benin Swat模型在贝宁共和国上乌萨梅斯流域水量和水量平衡预测中的适用性研究
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2022-0007
Oluwatosin Olofintoye, Am Ayanshola, A. W. Salami, Akim Idrissiou, J. O. Iji, O. Adeleke
Abstract This study investigates the applicability of a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model in predictions of the water yields and water balance of the Upper Oueme catchment in the northern part of the Republic of Benin. Meteorological and hydrological data for a period of 20 years were collected from the Meteorological Agency of Benin and the National Directorate of Water respectively. Spatial data such as a Digital Elevation Model and land use and soil maps were also extracted from suitable databases. Geographic information system (GIS) software was applied in combination with SWAT to process the spatial data and simulate the streamflow record. A good correlation between the simulated and observed data during the calibration and validation was found, using statistical measures such as the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE>0.65%), the standard deviation ratio (RSR<0.6), percent bias (±10%≤PBIAS<±15%), and the coefficient of determination (R2=0.78). An estimated potential water yield of 18,671.61mm in the catchment over the period of the simulation suggests that subsistence agriculture is sustainable in the area. The model is suitable for estimating the water yield and water balance in the catchment.
摘要本研究调查了土壤和水评估工具(SWAT)模型在预测贝宁共和国北部Upper Oueme流域的水量和水平衡方面的适用性。分别从贝宁气象局和国家水利局收集了20年的气象和水文数据。还从适当的数据库中提取了数字高程模型、土地利用和土壤图等空间数据。将地理信息系统(GIS)软件与SWAT相结合,对空间数据进行处理,并模拟径流记录。在校准和验证过程中,使用Nash-Sutcliffe效率(NSE>0.65%)、标准偏差比(RSR<0.6)、偏差百分比(±10%≤PBIAS<±15%)等统计指标,发现模拟数据和观测数据之间存在良好的相关性,和决定系数(R2=0.78)。在模拟期间,集水区的估计潜在水量为18671.61mm,这表明该地区的自给农业是可持续的。该模型适用于估算集水区的水量和水量平衡。
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引用次数: 3
Specific Design Features of Prefabricated Fire-Resistant Floor Slabs Made from Lightweight Concrete 轻质混凝土预制防火楼板的特殊设计特点
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2022-0001
O. Konoplianyk, Nikolay Kotov, Illia Iliev
Abstract Reinforced concrete roof and floor structures have the highest heating temperatures and are exposed to the most difficult conditions during fires that occur in buildings and structures. The standardized fire resistance of hollow-core slabs made of heavy concrete from Portland cement is regulated as REI 45 or REI 60. The aim of the work is to develop a composition of lightweight fire-resistant concrete and architectural engineering for floor slab devices. The composition of lightweight fire-resistant concrete made from expanded clay aggregates and alumina cement was developed as a result of the work. The degree of fire resistance of the lightweight concrete composition with a bulk density of 1475 kg/m3 has been practically determined; i.e., REI 90. The structural solution of the floor slab has been improved; at the same time, we propose to develop a slab with a flat section made of lightweight fire-resistant concrete. Such floor slabs, along with an increase in the fire resistance limit, improve the heat-insulating ability of a floor due to a significant reduction in the coefficient of the thermal conductivity of lightweight concrete.
摘要钢筋混凝土屋顶和地板结构在建筑物和结构发生火灾时具有最高的加热温度,并暴露在最困难的条件下。由硅酸盐水泥制成的重型混凝土制成的空心板的标准耐火性被规定为REI 45或REI 60。这项工作的目的是开发一种用于楼板装置的轻质耐火混凝土成分和建筑工程。根据这项工作,开发了由膨胀粘土骨料和氧化铝水泥制成的轻质耐火混凝土的成分。体积密度为1475kg/m3的轻质混凝土组合物的耐火程度已经实际确定;即REI 90。改进了楼板的结构解决方案;同时,我们建议开发一种由轻质耐火混凝土制成的平截面楼板。这种楼板,随着耐火极限的增加,由于轻质混凝土的导热系数的显著降低,提高了地板的隔热能力。
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引用次数: 4
The Impact of Climate Change on Stochastic Variations of the Hydrology of the Flow of the Indus River 气候变化对印度河流量水文随机变化的影响
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2022-0004
M. Yonus, Syed Ahmad Hassan
Abstract Pakistan’s agricultural economy is reliant on the Indus River’s irrigation system, which is fed by the water coming from the great Himalayas-Karakoram Glacier Mountains. Because of hilly terrain areas, the climatic variations have an intense effect on the river flow, especially during the winter and monsoon months. Consequently, significant variations, which are observed annually, result in flooding situations in the monsoon months and reduced flows in the winter season. Thousands of people have lost their lives and massive property destruction has taken place due to disastrous floods that occurred during 2010 and 2016. Past studies have focused on proper water resources and the management of extreme events such as floods and droughts; however, modelling and forecasting based on the various climatic factors and stochastic variations are rare. This paper attempts to forecast Indus River flows using multiple linear regression (MLR), the stochastic time series, the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA), and its reduced heteroscedasticity model, i.e., SARIMA-GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) methods at the Kalabagh station. The results show that MLR is best over the short-term; SARIMA is better over the long-term, and SARIMA-GARCH may be superior for a very long-term forecast.
摘要巴基斯坦的农业经济依赖于印度河的灌溉系统,该系统由喜马拉雅山脉-喀喇昆仑冰川山脉的水提供水源。由于丘陵地带,气候变化对河流流量有很大影响,尤其是在冬季和季风月份。因此,每年观测到的显著变化导致季风月份的洪水泛滥,冬季的流量减少。2010年和2016年发生的灾难性洪水造成数千人丧生,大规模财产破坏。过去的研究侧重于适当的水资源和洪水和干旱等极端事件的管理;然而,基于各种气候因素和随机变化的建模和预测很少。本文试图在Kalabagh站使用多元线性回归(MLR)、随机时间序列、季节自回归综合移动平均(SARIMA)及其降异方差模型,即广义自回归条件异方差(SARIMA-GARCH)方法来预测印度河流量。结果表明,MLR在短期内表现最佳;从长远来看,SARIMA更好,而SARIMA-GARCH可能更适合长期预测。
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引用次数: 2
Detection of Changes in the Hydrological Balance in Seven River Basins Along the Western Carpathians in Slovakia 斯洛伐克喀尔巴阡山脉西部七个流域水文平衡变化的探测
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0027
KeszeliovÁ Anita, HlavČovÁ Kamila, DanÁČovÁ Michaela, DanÁČovÁ Zuzana, Szolgay Ján
Abstract Due to a changing climate, likely changes to a hydrological regime are one of the primary sources of uncertainty to consider in managing water resources. In Slovakia, a decline in the country’s water resources, combined with a change in the seasonality of runoff and an increase in the extremeness of floods and droughts, represents a potential threat. The objective of the paper was to explore trends in the components of the long-term hydrological balance of various river basins to detect the impacts of changing climate conditions along the Western Carpathians. The proposed method is a comparative exploratory analysis of the hydrological balance of the selected river basins. Temporal changes in the catchments’ average air temperatures, precipitation, runoff, and their differences (considered as an index of the actual evapotranspiration), were estimated for 49 years of data; two non-overlapping sub-periods (25 and 24 years) in the seven river basins were also compared. This work also aims at evaluating the applicability of gridded inputs from the CarpatClim database for modelling the hydrological balance over an extended period. The results document the impact of the rising air temperature and, in part, local physiographic factors on the changes in runoff and actual catchment evapotranspiration.
摘要由于气候变化,水文状况的可能变化是水资源管理中需要考虑的不确定性的主要来源之一。在斯洛伐克,该国水资源的减少,加上径流季节性的变化以及极端洪水和干旱的增加,构成了一种潜在的威胁。本文的目的是探索不同流域长期水文平衡组成部分的趋势,以检测喀尔巴阡山脉西部气候条件变化的影响。所提出的方法是对选定流域的水文平衡进行比较探索性分析。根据49年的数据估计了集水区平均气温、降水量、径流量的时间变化及其差异(被视为实际蒸散的指标);比较了7个流域的两个非重叠子周期(25年和24年)。这项工作还旨在评估CarpatClim数据库中网格输入在长期水文平衡建模中的适用性。研究结果记录了气温上升以及部分当地地形因素对径流量和实际集水区蒸发蒸腾量变化的影响。
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引用次数: 8
Causes of Failures in Circular Concrete Silo Walls, Particularly Under Environmental Influences 圆形混凝土筒仓墙失效的原因,特别是在环境影响下
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0021
J. Bilčík, J. Šoltész, Lýdia Leppakorpi Matiašková, K. Gajdosova
Abstract The paper reports the results of a case study for achieving longer service life and increasing the environmental sustainability of concrete silos. Damage mechanisms in concrete silo walls, and respectively in cylindrical structures (e.g., chimneys, cooling towers, and tanks), are widely diverse. The common causes of failures include those due to poor design considerations, construction deficiencies, non-compliance with operational rules and regulations, lack of maintenance, and insufficient and/or corroded reinforcements, together with the environmental conditions affecting the walls. In addition to the ultimate limit state design, temperature-induced cracking may often be underestimated in the design of reinforced concrete silos, leading to premature deterioration and losses in serviceability. Cracks from environmental or service conditions facilitate the ingress of moisture and corrosive agents. Therefore, there is an increased interest in reducing the appearance of cracks and limiting their width. The aim of this paper is to highlight the synergistic effects in the design, construction, and operation of silo walls, particularly under varying environmental influences. The research undertaken indicates that systematic errors can be identified and corrected.
摘要:本文报告了混凝土筒仓实现更长的使用寿命和提高环境可持续性的案例研究结果。混凝土筒仓壁和圆柱形结构(如烟囱、冷却塔和储罐)的损伤机制是多种多样的。常见的故障原因包括设计考虑不佳、施工缺陷、不符合操作规则和条例、缺乏维护、加固不足和/或腐蚀,以及影响墙壁的环境条件。除了极限状态设计之外,在钢筋混凝土筒仓的设计中,温度引起的裂缝可能经常被低估,导致过早劣化和丧失使用能力。环境或使用条件造成的裂缝有利于湿气和腐蚀剂的进入。因此,人们对减少裂缝的出现和限制裂缝的宽度越来越感兴趣。本文的目的是强调筒仓墙的设计、建造和运行中的协同效应,特别是在不同的环境影响下。所进行的研究表明,系统误差是可以识别和纠正的。
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引用次数: 0
Research on a Trackside Concrete Reinforcement Scheme of a Small Radius Curve at a Junction Section of a Modern Tram 现代有轨电车交接处小半径曲线轨侧混凝土加固方案研究
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0023
Zhiqiang Wang, Z. Lei
Abstract In order to ensure the normal use of a junction section of a modern tram, this paper mainly studied a trackside concrete reinforcement scheme. Firstly, the entire non-reinforcement system model with a small radius curve composed of rail, fastener, fastener cover, flexible material, asphalt layer and track slab was established using the ABAQUS finite element software, and the stress distribution and deformation state of the asphalt layers of the non-reinforcement system model under the social vehicle load were analyzed. Then, the whole system model of the concrete reinforcement scheme was founded, and the stress and deformation of the asphalt layers under the same load were investigated. Finally, the calculation results of the concrete reinforcement model were com-pared with those of the non-reinforcement model, and the reinforcement effect was studied. The results show that the concrete reinforcement scheme significantly reduces the stress and deformation of the asphalt layers and improves the stress distribution and deformation state of the asphalt layers.
摘要:为了保证现代有轨电车交接处段的正常使用,本文主要研究了一种轨侧混凝土加固方案。首先,利用ABAQUS有限元软件建立了由钢轨、扣件、扣件盖、柔性材料、沥青层和轨板组成的小半径曲线整体无筋系统模型,分析了社会车辆荷载作用下无筋系统模型中沥青层的应力分布和变形状态。然后,建立了混凝土加固方案的整体系统模型,研究了相同荷载作用下沥青层的应力和变形。最后,将混凝土加筋模型的计算结果与不加筋模型的计算结果进行对比,研究加筋效应。结果表明:混凝土加固方案显著降低了沥青层的应力和变形,改善了沥青层的应力分布和变形状态;
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引用次数: 0
Extensive Roof Greenery as a Response to Heat Islands: Some Problems 大面积屋顶绿化对热岛效应的响应:几个问题
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0022
Matej Holečka, Martin Jamnický, Matúš Krajčík, R. Rabenseifer
Abstract Extensive roof greenery is one of the ways to reduce the extent and impact of urban heat islands. A prerequisite is the correct design and operation of both the structural and vegetation part of a roof. If adequate maintenance, especially irrigation of the greenery, cannot be ensured, the use of extensive roof greenery can also be counterproductive. The case study to be presented deals with problems of a flat roof with extensive greenery above an underground garage under Central European climate conditions. Infrequent irrigation leads to extremely high temperatures of the substrate in the summer and makes the purpose of this roof pointless. The contribution analyzes the reason for the failure of the vegetation part of the roof, which was claimed to be maintenance-free, points out fire safety issues, and suggests improvements that might be considered in similar cases. At the present time, which is marked by the climate change crisis, there is great societal pressure to build green roofs. However, if it is not possible to ensure their perfect functionality, it is perhaps better to use classically proven types of roofs, but with greater reflectivity of the top layer surface.
摘要广泛的屋顶绿化是减少城市热岛影响的方法之一。前提条件是屋顶结构和植被部分的正确设计和操作。如果不能确保足够的维护,特别是对绿化的灌溉,那么使用大量的屋顶绿化也可能适得其反。将要介绍的案例研究涉及中欧气候条件下地下车库上方的平屋顶和大量绿化的问题。不频繁的灌溉会导致夏季基质温度极高,使屋顶的用途变得毫无意义。该贡献分析了屋顶植被部分故障的原因,该部分声称是免费维护的,指出了消防安全问题,并提出了在类似情况下可以考虑的改进措施。在气候变化危机的当下,建造绿色屋顶面临着巨大的社会压力。然而,如果无法确保其完美的功能,最好使用经典的屋顶类型,但顶层表面的反射率更高。
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引用次数: 1
Risk Assessment Model Based on Fuzzy Logic for Residential Buildings 基于模糊逻辑的住宅建筑风险评价模型
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0026
N. Hedaoo, Amey Pawar
Abstract Risk is involved in every construction project. Residential building construction projects comprise a variety of risks and are more likely to be affected due to their difficulty and many operations and threats. The study aims to identify the various risk elements and their effect on construction projects of residential buildings using a fuzzy approach with the help of MATLAB software. This study includes 60 risk factors recognised through an expert opinion and literature review. These factors are categorised into 7 major groups, i.e., construction, project manager, architect/consultant, contractor, owner, resources, and external environment-specific risk factors. A questionnaire was prepared and sent using emails based on the identified risk factors to be filled out by construction industry professionals in India and by conducting in-person interviews. Based on the risk severities obtained from the fuzzy model, the top 10 risk factors have been considered. As a result, for identified top severe risk factors, a significant risk response strategy was implemented.
摘要每一个建设项目都涉及到风险。住宅建筑建设项目包含多种风险,难度大,操作和威胁多,更容易受到影响。本研究的目的是借助MATLAB软件,采用模糊方法识别各种风险因素及其对住宅建筑项目的影响。本研究包括通过专家意见和文献综述确认的60个风险因素。这些因素可分为7大类,即建筑、项目经理、建筑师/顾问、承建商、业主、资源和外部环境特定风险因素。根据确定的风险因素,准备了一份调查问卷,并通过电子邮件发送,由印度建筑业专业人员填写,并进行了面对面的访谈。根据模糊模型得到的风险严重程度,考虑前10个风险因素。因此,对于确定的最严重风险因素,实施了重要的风险应对策略。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis of the Effect of the Speed Factor on Highway Safety Using the Machine Learning Method 用机器学习方法分析速度因子对公路安全的影响
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0024
Vahid Najafi moghaddam Gilani, Milad Sashurpour, S. Hassanjani, S. Hosseinian
Abstract Speed is one of the most important factors that can significantly change the severity of accidents. Providing a model with predictive factors leads to designing traffic plans to promote safety. This study aims to create statistical models for accidents occurred on Firuzkuh highway, Iran. Moreover, the probability of each type of accident was determined using the logit model. Various modeling methods, such as backward, forward, and entering methods, were evaluated to find the best method. Finally, since the backward method had the best performance in terms of R2 and goodness of fit, the logit model of accidents was created. According to the model, the independent variables of the 12-24 hours, rainy weather, a speed of 81-95 and 96-110 km/h, the lack of attention ahead and the Pride brand of vehicle increased the severity of accidents, while the variables with negative coefficients of Tuesdays, the summer and spring seasons, sunny weather, a male driver, and daylight, reduced the severity of accidents.
摘要车速是影响交通事故严重程度的重要因素之一。提供一个具有预测因素的模型,从而设计交通计划以促进安全。本研究旨在为伊朗Firuzkuh高速公路上发生的事故建立统计模型。利用logit模型确定了各类事故发生的概率。评估了各种建模方法,如向后、向前和进入方法,以找到最佳方法。最后,由于后向方法在R2和拟合优度方面表现最好,因此建立了事故的logit模型。模型显示,12-24小时、阴雨天气、81-95 km/h和96-110 km/h的车速、前方不注意和Pride品牌等自变量增加了事故的严重程度,而星期二、夏季和春季、晴天、男性驾驶员和日光等负系数变量降低了事故的严重程度。
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引用次数: 2
Assessment of the Energy Demands for Heating in an Historic Building. Case Study: Renewal of a Functionalist Building of the Infectious Diseases Pavilion in Topoľčany, Slovakia 历史建筑供暖能源需求评估。案例研究:斯洛伐克托波切尼传染病馆功能主义建筑的更新
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.2478/sjce-2021-0025
Andrea Vargová, Rastislav Ingeli
Abstract The case study seeks an optimal solution for preserving the cultural values of a functionalist building so that it fulfils the legislative essence of the protection of a historic building and, at the same time, contributes to the improvement of its thermophysical properties. The paper focuses on the degree of the application of energy performance requirements for the adaptive reuse of a historic building. The efforts to preserve cultural values (architectural, aesthetic, the value of the authenticity of an area and its building constructions, etc.) in legally protected buildings often do not permit the application of building construction processes such as those used in ordinary older buildings. The research responds to a situation where a building with historic values, built in a functionalist style (the 1940s), permits variants of the surface treatment of the facade so as to not disturb the essential stylistic values of that facade and, at the same time, reduce its energy demands to the required value. Heat demands for heating have a significant effect on the energy needs for heating and thus on the overall energy need of a building. The heat demands depend on the efficiency and quality of the thermal protection in buildings. In the case of cultural monuments, the calculation of the thermophysical properties of building structures forms the basis for determining the heating and cooling demands. Building structures and their elements that form the building envelope must meet current and demanding thermophysical requirements in accordance with the applicable standards, if technically and economically feasible. When restoring cultural monuments in the Slovak Republic, it is not required to meet requirements for energy efficiency. On the other hand, it is necessary to verify the thermophysical requirements in accordance with the applicable standards in each specific case. The paper responds to a continuing interdisciplinary discussion on this topic. The analysis is conducted within the scope of the KEGA 016STU-4/2017 project.
摘要案例研究寻求保护功能主义建筑文化价值的最佳解决方案,使其满足保护历史建筑的立法本质,同时有助于改善其热物理特性。本文重点研究了历史建筑适应性再利用的能源性能要求的应用程度。在受法律保护的建筑中保护文化价值(建筑、美学、一个地区及其建筑结构的真实性价值等)的努力往往不允许采用普通老建筑中使用的建筑施工工艺。这项研究回应了这样一种情况,即一座具有历史价值的建筑,以功能主义风格建造(20世纪40年代),允许对立面进行各种表面处理,以免干扰立面的基本风格价值,同时将其能源需求降低到所需值。供暖的热量需求对供暖的能量需求有显著影响,从而对建筑物的整体能量需求有重要影响。热量需求取决于建筑物热防护的效率和质量。在文化古迹的情况下,建筑结构的热物理性质的计算构成了确定供暖和制冷需求的基础。如果技术和经济可行,构成建筑围护结构的建筑结构及其元件必须符合适用标准的当前和苛刻的热物理要求。在斯洛伐克共和国修复文化古迹时,不需要满足能效要求。另一方面,有必要根据每个具体情况下的适用标准验证热物理要求。这篇论文回应了关于这一主题的持续的跨学科讨论。该分析是在KEGA 016STU-4/2017项目的范围内进行的。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Slovak Journal of Civil Engineering
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