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The Bright Future of Liberal Democracy Explained through Revisited Modernization Theory 通过重新审视现代化理论解释自由民主的光明前景
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341675
Denis Danilenko
Many think that liberal democracy is currently under attack. This view leads to considering modernization theory as a fallacy because economic development indicators show that authoritarian economies continue to grow. This study challenges this idea and attempts to update modernization theory. We argue that not mere economic development is a requirement of liberal democracy, as initially advanced, but economic liberalization is. Economic development induces democratization only if it is accompanied by economic liberalization. This phenomenon occurs because economic development in free-market terms, accompanied by economic liberalization, not only produces socioeconomic consequences, as shown by classic modernization theory, but also institutional outcomes, such as legal restraints on political power. To update modernization theory, we propose revisiting other prerequisites. Social modernization supposes that education levels will increase, and secularization will change attitudes toward political power and sociocentered (non-liberal) values, which will serve as a prerequisite for democratization. The modernization of communication technologies makes people more independent of the government, which gives them more influence over the state. Thus, it plays a democratizing role. Finally, ecological modernization, particularly energy market modernization, will have a significant democratizing role because it will directly affect rentiers’ authoritarianism. These prerequisites not only demonstrate positive trends but also suggest that they continue to progress, which makes it possible to conclude that democracy has a bright future.
许多人认为,自由民主目前正受到冲击。这种观点导致人们认为现代化理论是一种谬论,因为经济发展指标显示,专制经济体继续增长。本研究对这一观点提出质疑,并试图更新现代化理论。我们认为,并非像最初提出的那样,经济发展是自由民主的必要条件,经济自由化才是。只有在经济自由化的同时,经济发展才会诱发民主化。之所以会出现这种现象,是因为正如经典的现代化理论所表明的那样,自由市场条件下的经济发展伴随着经济自由化,不仅会产生社会经济后果,还会产生制度性结果,如对政治权力的法律约束。为了更新现代化理论,我们建议重新审视其他先决条件。社会现代化假定教育水平会提高,世俗化会改变人们对政治权力和以社会为中心(非自由主义)的价值观的态度,这将成为民主化的先决条件。通信技术的现代化使人们更加独立于政府,从而对国家产生更大的影响。因此,它起到了民主化的作用。最后,生态现代化,尤其是能源市场的现代化,将直接影响到租借者的专制主义,因此具有重要的民主化作用。这些先决条件不仅显示出积极的趋势,而且表明它们将继续发展,因此可以得出结论,民主的前景是光明的。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Future of Education: Harnessing Data Mining to Illuminate Pathways to Success 引领教育的未来:利用数据挖掘阐明成功之路
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341676
Becharef Kada, Belhamiti Amel, Bouziani Abderrezzaq, Ammour El Batoul
This study aims to enhance educational assessment tools in Algerian middle schools by utilizing Educational Data Mining (EDM) techniques to predict student performance in the Middle School Certificate Examination. Recognizing a gap in the Algerian education system’s use of abundant student data for improving learning outcomes and decision-making, this research applies advanced data analytics to overcome the limitations of traditional evaluation methods. Using a dataset of 541,760 student records from the Ministry of National Education, the study employs regression models including CatBoost, Ridge, and linear regression, to analyze and forecast student examination performance. Findings indicate that EDM can effectively predict student outcomes, offering educators and policymakers a valuable resource for crafting targeted educational interventions and enhancing student success rates. This research underscores the significance of bridging the gap between available data and data-driven decision-making, advocating for the integration of EDM to modernize and improve educational efficacy in Algeria.
本研究旨在利用教育数据挖掘(EDM)技术预测学生在初中证书考试中的表现,从而改进阿尔及利亚中学的教育评估工具。本研究认识到阿尔及利亚教育系统在利用丰富的学生数据改善学习成果和决策方面存在差距,因此采用先进的数据分析技术来克服传统评价方法的局限性。该研究利用国家教育部的 541 760 份学生记录数据集,采用 CatBoost、Ridge 和线性回归等回归模型来分析和预测学生的考试成绩。研究结果表明,EDM 可以有效预测学生的成绩,为教育工作者和政策制定者提供了宝贵的资源,帮助他们制定有针对性的教育干预措施,提高学生的成功率。这项研究强调了弥合可用数据与数据驱动决策之间差距的重要性,倡导整合 EDM 以实现阿尔及利亚教育的现代化并提高教育效率。
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引用次数: 0
Social Media and Emergence of Neo-Traditional Protests: Exploring Communicative Ecology of Oromo Protests in Ethiopia 社交媒体与新传统抗议活动的出现:探索埃塞俄比亚奥罗莫族抗议活动的传播生态
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341671
Urgessa Deressa Gutu, Mercy Fekadu Mulugeta
Entanglements of rituals and networks of the past with the present have not been sufficiently appreciated by studies of contemporary protest movements; instead, most emphasis the contrast between protest movements mobilized online and traditional offline platforms. This article adopts the holistic lens of communicative ecology to analyze the entanglements between the novel (online) and traditional (offline) communication repertoires and actors during the Oromo Protests in Ethiopia (2014–2018). We collected data from key Oromo Protests actors in five cities in Oromia, focusing on their engagement with social media and how that impacted the movement. This study reveals that traditional platforms and actors in the Oromo Protests were critically aided by online platforms; giving rise to a new dynamic of protests that can be characterized as ‘neo-traditional’ protests; protests in which majority of the activities and platforms are offline but complemented by online channels or platforms and activists.
对当代抗议运动的研究并未充分认识到过去的仪式和网络与现在的纠葛;相反,大多数研究强调了在线动员的抗议运动与传统线下平台之间的对比。本文采用传播生态学的整体视角,分析埃塞俄比亚奥罗莫族抗议活动(2014-2018 年)期间新颖(线上)与传统(线下)传播方式和参与者之间的纠葛。我们从奥罗莫州五个城市的奥罗莫抗议活动主要参与者那里收集了数据,重点关注他们与社交媒体的互动以及社交媒体对运动的影响。本研究揭示了奥罗莫抗议活动中的传统平台和参与者得到了网络平台的重要帮助;这导致了一种新的抗议动态,可被定性为 "新传统 "抗议活动;在这种抗议活动中,大多数活动和平台都是离线的,但得到了在线渠道或平台和活动家的补充。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of the Developments in Artificial Intelligence and Open-Access Software on the Visions of Academicians 人工智能和开放式软件的发展对院士视野的影响
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341673
Meri Taksi Deveciyan, Sinan Bataklar
This research aims to examine the effects of developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and open-access software on the visions of academicians. The research was conducted using the phenomenology pattern, one of the qualitative research methods, and semi-structured in-depth interviews were preferred during the data collection process. Descriptive and coding-based qualitative content analysis methods were used in the research process. Emerging themes include the use of artificial intelligence in higher education; situation analysis of the use of AI in academics (SWOT); and strategic dimension of using AI in higher education. These themes explain in detail the potential effects of AI and open-access software on the strategy and competitiveness dimensions of academics’ visions. It is expected that the study will make significant contributions to understanding the changes that AI and open-access software will create in the academic world and how these technologies can be integrated into the way academics work.
本研究旨在探讨人工智能(AI)和开放式软件的发展对院士愿景的影响。研究采用了定性研究方法之一的现象学模式,并在数据收集过程中首选了半结构式深度访谈。研究过程中使用了描述性和基于编码的定性内容分析方法。新出现的主题包括:人工智能在高等教育中的应用;人工智能在学术界应用的情况分析(SWOT);以及在高等教育中应用人工智能的战略维度。这些主题详细解释了人工智能和开放获取软件对学术界愿景的战略和竞争力方面的潜在影响。预计本研究将对理解人工智能和开放获取软件将给学术界带来的变化以及如何将这些技术融入学术界的工作方式做出重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Manifestation of the Socio-Psychological Impact of COVID-19 in Selected Contexts around the Globe COVID-19 的社会心理影响在全球特定环境中的体现
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341674
A. Ketwa, Simon Murote Kang’ethe
According to the World Health Organization (2020), the COVID-19 pandemic has had significant psychological and social effects on the population. Research has highlighted the impact on the psychological well-being of the most exposed groups, including children, college students, and health workers who are more likely to develop post-traumatic stress disorder, anxiety, depression, and other symptoms of distress. This article aims to investigate the socio-psychological impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in selected contexts of the globe. The researchers have used a literature review method by using various research engines such as the Web of Science, ResearchGate, Scopus, Education Resources Information Center (ERIC), and Google Scholar. The environment of COVID-19 was associated with the following thematic information: immense grief and bereavement; increased mental health illnesses; detrimental effects on family life; high demands on health care; and the application of online psychotherapy, and cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) to address the health care doldrums caused by the disease. Further, the disease resulted in deaths, loss of jobs, drastic stigmatization, domestic violence, suicidal ideation, and various spates of depression. The article concludes by advocating for psycho-emotional education in different country contexts as a way of increasing disease resilience and coping.
据世界卫生组织(2020 年)称,COVID-19 大流行对人们的心理和社会产生了重大影响。研究强调了对受影响最严重群体的心理健康的影响,包括儿童、大学生和医务工作者,他们更容易患上创伤后应激障碍、焦虑症、抑郁症和其他痛苦症状。本文旨在调查 COVID-19 大流行在全球特定环境中造成的社会心理影响。研究人员采用了文献综述法,使用了各种研究引擎,如 Web of Science、ResearchGate、Scopus、教育资源信息中心(ERIC)和 Google Scholar。COVID-19 的环境与以下主题信息相关:巨大的悲伤和丧亲之痛;精神疾病增加;对家庭生活的不利影响;对医疗保健的高要求;以及应用在线心理治疗和认知行为疗法(CBT)来解决该疾病造成的医疗保健低迷问题。此外,该疾病还导致死亡、失业、严重的污名化、家庭暴力、自杀念头和各种抑郁症。文章最后提倡在不同国家开展心理情感教育,以提高对疾病的适应能力和应对能力。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing Sustainable Development Goals through Enhanced Literacy in Nuclear Science and Technology: Emphasizing Hands-On Experiences 通过提高核科学技术素养推进可持续发展目标:强调亲身体验
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341672
Phannee Saengkaew, Supitcha Chanyotha, Phongphaeth Pengvanich, Benjawan Srijaroen, Phiphat Phruksarojanakun, Chainarong Cherdchu, Rieko Takaki, Takeshi Iimoto
In alignment with the United Nations’ sustainable development goals (SDG s), nuclear science and technology (NST) significantly contributes to nine out of seventeen SDG s. As an integral component of nuclear human resource development (HRD), it is imperative to introduce young students to NST through effective STEAM or STEM methodologies. However, Thailand’s progress in NST literacy and public awareness has been suboptimal, despite over five decades of nuclear HRD initiatives. While various nuclear-related organizations have undertaken numerous activities, their lack of coordination and comprehensiveness poses challenges for sustainable development. To address this, concerted efforts must involve collaboration with schoolteachers to integrate NST into the national science curriculum and syllabus. This entails a review and revision process aimed at incorporating more hands-on experiments to ignite students’ curiosity and enthusiasm for NST. Through strategic planning and implementation, Thai students will develop a deeper familiarity with NST, thereby enhancing their overall NST literacy and contributing to the nation’s sustainable development goals.
根据联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs),核科学技术(NST)对十七项可持续发展目标中的九项做出了重大贡献。作为核人力资源开发(HRD)不可或缺的组成部分,通过有效的 STEAM 或 STEM 方法向青年学生介绍 NST 势在必行。然而,尽管泰国已开展了五十多年的核人力资源开发活动,但在普及核科技知识和提高公众认识方面的进展一直不尽如人意。虽然各种核相关组织开展了大量活动,但这些活动缺乏协调性和全面性,给可持续发展带来了挑战。为解决这一问题,必须与学校教师合作,共同努力将核科技纳入国家科学课程和教学大纲。这需要一个审查和修订过程,旨在纳入更多的动手实验,以点燃学生对 NST 的好奇心和热情。通过战略规划和实施,泰国学生将更深入地了解 NST,从而提高他们的整体 NST 素养,为实现国家的可持续发展目标做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Digitalization and Sustainable Development in Africa 非洲数字化与可持续发展分析
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341668
Arbia Hlali, Nesrine Gfasi

Many countries in the world competed to integrate technology in all sectors, and some of them were able to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals in this area. However, African countries face several challenges in the field of digitalization. This article aims to study the results of these difficulties that appeared clearly during the COVID-19 crisis. The study used a SWOT analysis to highlight the status of the digital transformation in Africa. The results recommend that the countries need to integrate the digital innovation into the systems of work, education, healthcare, and environment. Also, it proved that these challenges, especially those related to the digital integration, represents a great obstacle to achieve the goals of sustainable development.

世界上许多国家竞相将技术融入各行各业,其中一些国家在这一领域实现了可持续发展目标。然而,非洲国家在数字化领域面临着一些挑战。本文旨在研究在 COVID-19 危机期间明显出现的这些困难的结果。研究采用 SWOT 分析法来突出非洲数字化转型的现状。研究结果表明,各国需要将数字化创新融入工作、教育、医疗和环境系统。研究还证明,这些挑战,尤其是与数字融合相关的挑战,是实现可持续发展目标的巨大障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Unpacking Pertinent States of Stigma and Stigmatization Associated with COVID-19 in Eclectic Contexts: a Review of the Literature 在折衷背景下解读与 COVID-19 相关的成见和污名化的相关状态:文献综述
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341669
Simon Murote Kang’ethe

Incontrovertibly, stigma and its concomitant stigmatization continue to derail the efficacy of the campaign to subdue stigma that negatively affects people’s health-seeking behavior. This is because they are engulfed with fear, despondency, shame, and guilt. The current article, through a literature review methodology, discusses pertinent states of stigma and stigmatization associated with COVID-19 in eclectic contexts, but with more focus directed to Sub-Saharan Africa. Findings indicate that COVID-19 is associated with stigma and stigmatization: fear of contagion; hatred and maltreatment meted out against health professionals; a lack or unavailability of the vaccines and concerns for their efficacy; and mythical and fallacious environments. The article recommends that for effective de-stigmatization of COVID-19, societies need to explore how stigma is caused. The governments and other COVID-19 campaign authorities must work synergistically to control, regulate, and streamline the information dissemination process so that it is bereft of ambiguities, myths, and mistruths surrounding COVID-19.

不容置疑的是,成见及其伴随的污名化继续破坏着消除成见运动的效果,对人们寻求健康的行为产生了负面影响。这是因为他们被恐惧、绝望、羞耻和内疚所吞噬。本文通过文献综述的方法,讨论了与 COVID-19 有关的成见和污名化的相关情况,其背景不拘一格,但更侧重于撒哈拉以南非洲地区。研究结果表明,COVID-19 与成见和污名化有关:对传染的恐惧;对卫生专业人员的憎恨和虐待;疫苗的缺乏或无法获得以及对其功效的担忧;神话和谬误的环境。文章建议,为了有效消除 COVID-19 的污名化,社会需要探讨污名化是如何产生的。政府和其他 COVID-19 宣传机构必须协同合作,控制、规范和简化信息传播过程,使其摆脱围绕 COVID-19 的含糊不清、神话和误解。
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引用次数: 0
Vulnerable Group Theory of Financial Inclusion 弱势群体金融普惠理论
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341667
Peterson K. Ozili

In this article, I propose the vulnerable group theory of financial inclusion. The theory begins with the premise that vulnerable people are often left behind in society, they suffer the most from economic hardship and crises, and they are at risk of being excluded from the formal financial sector. The theory therefore proposes that financial inclusion efforts should be targeted at all vulnerable people and groups in society. Bringing vulnerable people into the formal financial sector will give them access to available formal financial services, which they can use to earn income and acquire assets that they can use to take themselves out of the vulnerability bracket. The study also identifies the vulnerable groups in need of financial inclusion and proposes a vulnerability grid. Several avenues to expand the theory are suggested.

在本文中,我提出了普惠金融的弱势群体理论。该理论的前提是,弱势群体往往被社会遗忘,他们遭受的经济困难和危机最为严重,而且有可能被排除在正规金融部门之外。因此,该理论提出,普惠金融工作应针对社会中的所有弱势人群和群体。将弱势群体纳入正规金融部门将使他们有机会获得现有的正规金融服务,他们可以利用这些服务赚取收入和获得资产,从而摆脱弱势地位。本研究还确定了需要金融包容性的弱势群体,并提出了脆弱性网格。还提出了扩展该理论的若干途径。
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引用次数: 0
Does Behavioral Decision Theory Influence the Adoption of Mobile Banking among Customers? Experience from Tanzania 行为决策理论是否影响客户采用移动银行?坦桑尼亚的经验
IF 0.3 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1163/15691497-12341666
Yuslida John

Though the benefits of mobile adoption in banking institutions are extensively recognized, there is a low pace of its adoption among customers. The establishment of behavioral factors that can motivate banking customers to adopt mobile banking has been a concern. Provided that no single framework can fit all sizes, this study builds on past research to invest in behavioral factors among customers toward MB adoption. Through a cross-sectional survey design, 325 questionnaires were distributed among university students in Tanzania to assess customer behavior that can motivate MB adoption. Using structural equation modeling (AMOS 21), the study found that when customers possess judgmental heuristic knowledge that allows them to understand how risks associated with the adoption of MB can be resolved, they are motivated to adopt the innovation. The study recommends the importance of providing knowledge to their customers through various mechanisms and the benefits associated with mobile banking adoption.

尽管银行机构采用移动技术的好处已得到广泛认可,但客户采用移动技术的速度却很慢。建立能够激励银行客户采用手机银行的行为因素一直是个问题。鉴于没有一个单一的框架可以适用于所有规模的银行,本研究在以往研究的基础上,对客户采用移动银行的行为因素进行了研究。通过横截面调查设计,在坦桑尼亚的大学生中发放了 325 份调查问卷,以评估促使客户采用手机银行的行为。通过结构方程建模(AMOS 21),研究发现,如果客户拥有判断启发式知识,能够了解如何解决与采用甲基溴相关的风险,他们就会有采用创新的动力。研究建议通过各种机制向客户提供知识的重要性,以及采用手机银行的相关好处。
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引用次数: 0
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