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Panarchies of transformation and resilience: Delineating systemic change in the society, economy, and ecology of Malakand 转型和韧性的泛政府主义:描绘马拉坎社会、经济和生态的系统性变化
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-09 DOI: 10.1177/20578911231153257
M. Jan, M. Zubair, S. Aman
Malakand district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province in Pakistan has been going through phenomenal transformations in the socioeconomic, political, and ecological spheres since 1969. To understand these transformations, this article employs the theories of ‘panarchy’, ‘resilience’, and ‘adaptive cycles’, borrowed from the literature on socio-ecological systems and sustainability transformation. These studies see disruptive transformation as a systemic change in the economy and society in relation to ecology. The evidence for the article is derived from fieldwork conducted by the first author during his doctoral study in 2007–2008 and later visits in September to October 2012. The scales chosen for the analysis are local (Batkhela, Malakand) and regional (North West of Pakistan). The article argues that theoretical constructs such as panarchy, and adaptive cycles have explanatory value to delineate the socioeconomic, political, and ecological transformation, in the Malakand region, over a period. The article finds out that in Malakand, smaller actors at smaller scales enacted change at bigger scales of adaptive cycles. The change at a smaller scale due to the emergence of Batkhela Bazaar brought changes at bigger scales in the region. However, due to the interaction between multiple cycles at different scales, the system demonstrated some resilience to change, consequently forging a sustainable change in the region. Despite these explicit findings, we understand that interpreting theoretical constructs such as panarchies and adaptive cycles requires more rigorous research, particularly to develop a more precise connection between ecological change and socio-economic transformation in Malakand.
自1969年以来,巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省的马拉坎德区在社会经济、政治和生态领域经历了显著的变革。为了理解这些转变,本文借鉴了社会生态系统和可持续性转变文献中的“全能”、“韧性”和“适应性循环”理论。这些研究将破坏性转型视为经济和社会与生态的系统性变化。这篇文章的证据来源于第一作者在2007-2008年攻读博士期间进行的实地调查,以及后来在2012年9月至10月的访问。选择用于分析的量表为当地(巴特凯拉、马拉坎德)和地区(巴基斯坦西北部)。文章认为,泛政府主义和适应性循环等理论结构对描述一段时期内马拉坎地区的社会经济、政治和生态转型具有解释价值。文章发现,在马拉坎,较小规模的较小参与者在较大规模的适应周期中实施了变化。巴特凯拉集市的出现带来了该地区更大范围的变化。然而,由于不同规模的多个周期之间的相互作用,该系统表现出了一定的变化弹性,从而在该地区形成了可持续的变化。尽管有这些明确的发现,但我们明白,解释泛体系和适应周期等理论结构需要更严格的研究,特别是在马拉坎的生态变化和社会经济转型之间建立更精确的联系。
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引用次数: 0
CPEC: Pakistan and China’s joint step towards a shared destiny 中巴经济走廊:巴基斯坦和中国共同迈向命运共同体
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-09 DOI: 10.1177/20578911231156102
Tabassum Majeed, Z. Anwar, Faiza Bashir
China has been considered to be a sleeping giant but is now actively playing its role in regional and world politics. There are many reasons behind the shift in China’s foreign policy from ignoring multi-lateral diplomacy to owning it, one of which is the economic rise of China due to its increasing energy demands. The “good neighbor policy” was introduced by Chinese President Hu Jintao in 2003, making China endorse interdependence regionally and internationally, instead of competition. This policy of China’s turned its surrounding regions into a trading hub. Pakistan has always had a very friendly foreign policy with its neighboring country China. The China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is proof of the Pak–China friendship in the 21st century. This corridor is not only advantageous for China and Pakistan but will bring stability to the South Asian region as well. This descriptive-analytical study dichotomizes the concept of “win-win cooperation” by applying it to CPEC as a win-win outcome for both China and Pakistan. The study describes that CPEC is a chance for Pakistan to become stronger as a country in the international community and will work as a booster for China in becoming the topmost economy of the world. The study highlights the key objective of CPEC by substantiating that better logistics, developed infrastructure, and improved transportation among countries are vital for economic stability and progress. Further, CPEC can revitalize the economy of Pakistan by enhancing infrastructural and social progress while giving a secure and short route to China as a replacement for the Strait of Malacca, increasing and speeding up the trading and investment activities of China throughout the world.
中国一直被认为是沉睡的巨人,但现在正在积极发挥其在地区和世界政治中的作用。中国外交政策从忽视多边外交转向重视多边外交的原因有很多,其中一个原因是中国能源需求的增长带来的经济崛起。中国的这一政策使其周边地区成为一个贸易中心。巴基斯坦对邻国中国一直奉行非常友好的外交政策。中巴经济走廊是21世纪中巴友谊的见证。这条走廊不仅对中国和巴基斯坦有利,也将给南亚地区带来稳定。这一描述性分析研究将“合作共赢”的概念一分为二,将其应用于中巴经济走廊,认为这是中国和巴基斯坦的双赢结果。该研究称,中巴经济走廊是巴基斯坦在国际社会中变得更强大的机会,也将成为中国成为世界头号经济体的助推器。该研究强调了中巴经济走廊的关键目标,证明了各国之间更好的物流、发达的基础设施和改善的运输对经济稳定和进步至关重要。此外,CPEC可以通过加强基础设施和社会进步来振兴巴基斯坦的经济,同时为中国提供一条安全而短的路线,以取代马六甲海峡,增加和加快中国在全球的贸易和投资活动。
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引用次数: 1
Justifiable narratives: The rise and fall of family politicians in South Korea 正当叙事:韩国家族政治家的兴衰
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221129653
J. Park
Like other Asian democracies, family politics is not unknown to South Korea. The triumph of Park Geun–hye, daughter of former authoritarian ruler Park Chung–hee, in the 2012 presidential election was in particular interpreted as a precursor of ‘dynastization’ in Korean politics. Nevertheless, up to the present day, political families in South Korea have been significantly less successful in securing offices through electoral competition than their Asian counterparts. Using extensive evidence from statistical and documentary sources, I argue the following: First, South Korean family politicians are more likely to face unfavorable popular sentiment towards their candidacies in elections than family politicians in other Asian democracies. Second, in addition to inheriting their predecessors' political advantages, they are required to enhance their own electoral appeal by properly justifying that their electoral participation is compatible with popular demands for meritocracy and procedural fairness. This argument highlighting politico–cultural requirements, or what I call justifiable narratives, for dynastic succession is empirically supported by case studies of four South Korean family politicians.
与亚洲其他民主国家一样,韩国的家庭政治并不陌生。前独裁统治者朴正熙(Park Chung-hee)的女儿朴槿惠(Park Geun-hye)在2012年总统选举中获胜,尤其被解读为韩国政治“王朝化”的前兆。然而,到目前为止,韩国的政治家族在通过选举竞争获得职位方面远不如亚洲同行成功。利用来自统计和文献资料的大量证据,我提出以下论点:首先,与亚洲其他民主国家的家族政治家相比,韩国家族政治家在选举中更有可能面临对其候选人不利的民意。其次,除了继承其前任的政治优势外,他们还需要通过适当地证明他们的选举参与符合大众对精英政治和程序公平的要求来增强自己的选举吸引力。这一论点强调了政治文化要求,或者我称之为“正当叙事”,对王朝继承的研究得到了四位韩国家族政治家的案例研究的实证支持。
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引用次数: 0
Humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan: Changing global dynamics and Pakistan's policy choices 阿富汗人道主义危机:不断变化的全球动态和巴基斯坦的政策选择
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221148520
Muhammad Fahim Khan, Asadikhoob Hassan, Aamer Raza
Afghanistan has gone through a series of turmoils propelled by internal conflicts and foreign interventions. As the neighbor that shares Afghanistan's longest and, arguably, most important neighbor, Pakistan cannot remain aloof from the developments in Afghanistan. During the past 40 years, Pakistan has supported Mujahiddin against Soviets in 1980s, recognized the Taliban regime in 1990s, and joined the US-led war on terror in the 2000s and 2010s. The article argues that the current Afghan imbroglio confronts Pakistan with a peculiar set of challenges due to the lack of legitimacy of the Taliban regime in the eyes of foreign powers and the humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan. We contend that Pakistan needs to engage with the Taliban and use its leverage to make the Afghan government under the Taliban more inclusive. The same will help to resolve the miseries of the Afghan population.
阿富汗经历了一系列由内部冲突和外国干预推动的动荡。作为与阿富汗时间最长、可以说是最重要的邻国,巴基斯坦不能对阿富汗的事态发展置若罔闻。在过去的40年里,巴基斯坦在20世纪80年代支持穆贾希德丁对抗苏联,在20世纪90年代承认塔利班政权,并在2000年代和2010年代加入了美国领导的反恐战争。文章认为,由于塔利班政权在外国势力眼中缺乏合法性,以及阿富汗的人道主义危机,目前阿富汗的混乱局面使巴基斯坦面临一系列特殊的挑战。我们认为,巴基斯坦需要与塔利班接触,并利用其影响力使塔利班领导下的阿富汗政府更加包容。这将有助于解决阿富汗人民的苦难。
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引用次数: 1
Exploring intra-party democracy and political finance in Pakistan: The case of effectiveness of mainstream political parties 探究巴基斯坦的党内民主与政治金融:以主流政党的有效性为例
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221149422
Syed Waqas Ali Kausar, Azeem Gul, Saira Hafeez
This article explores the effectiveness of political parties in relation to political finance and intra-party democracy in Pakistan. The aim of the article is to offer an objective understanding of these variables and suggest a model for the effectiveness of political parties. Primary data was collected from a sample of 1000 respondents from eight different but politically relevant parties. The respondents have diverse socio-political backgrounds and positions in parties hailing from all the provinces of Pakistan and Azad Jammu & Kashmir – a semi-autonomous territory under the administration of Pakistan. The instrument was developed and its validity and reliability were ensured. For empirical verification, extensive statistical tests were carried out, including validity and reliability analysis, standard regression and correlation, to test the assumptions of the research. Statistical analysis established that the independent variables are very significant in explaining the relationship with the dependent variable. Overall, most of the political parties are not internally democratic as they do not follow laid-down democratic processes in electing leadership and candidate selection, the findings revealed. Political parties are monopolized by personalities with weak organization and are institutionally fragile and compromise on their ideological foundation by preferring political expediency while decision making. Likewise, parties also rank poor in political finance as they rarely follow legal and administrative requirements laid down by the Election Commission of Pakistan on political finance. This has a direct bearing upon party effectiveness, as poor intraparty and weak political finance hinder party development as effective institutions aiming to aggregate the interests of the masses. The parties must ensure inclusiveness in choice making, build formal democratic decision-making structures and reinforce the key procedures for political financing. Moreover, political parties should be transparent and responsive towards democratic values and institutional practices to increase their effectiveness.
本文探讨了巴基斯坦政党在政治财政和党内民主方面的有效性。本文的目的是提供对这些变量的客观理解,并为政党的有效性提出一个模型。主要数据是从来自八个不同但政治相关政党的1000名受访者中收集的。受访者有着不同的社会政治背景和政党立场,他们来自巴基斯坦所有省份和巴基斯坦管理下的半自治领土阿扎德查谟和克什米尔。开发了该仪器,确保了仪器的有效性和可靠性。为了进行实证验证,进行了广泛的统计检验,包括有效性和可靠性分析、标准回归和相关性,以检验研究的假设。统计分析表明,自变量在解释与因变量的关系方面非常重要。调查结果显示,总体而言,大多数政党内部并不民主,因为它们在选举领导层和候选人时没有遵循既定的民主程序。政党被组织薄弱的人物垄断,制度脆弱,在决策时偏好政治权宜,在意识形态基础上妥协。同样,政党的政治财政状况也很差,因为它们很少遵守巴基斯坦选举委员会关于政治财政的法律和行政要求。这直接关系到党的有效性,因为糟糕的党内和薄弱的政治财政阻碍了党作为旨在聚集群众利益的有效机构的发展。各方必须确保选择的包容性,建立正式的民主决策结构,并加强政治融资的关键程序。此外,各政党应透明,并对民主价值观和体制做法作出回应,以提高其效力。
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引用次数: 0
Political dynasties and democratization: A case study of Taiwan 政治王朝与民主化:以台湾为例
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221148830
Christian Schafferer
Political families in transitional societies are often seen in the context of corruption, democratic regression, deterioration of socio-economic development, inequality, and deprivation. High levels of dynasticism, however, also exist in advanced democratic societies. Using the example of Taiwan, this article explores the factors behind the evolution of electoral dynasties and how the behavior of hereditary politicians has been conditioned by democratization. More specifically, the article argues that legacy politicians are not per se the Pandora’s box of low-quality politics. Rather, they act like other networks of personal relations. As such, self-imposed ethical standards and inherited cultural norms may substantially restrain the intrinsic particularistic potentials of such networks, but in the long run only political modernization can prevent them from cultivating political capitalism—the predatory use of public resources. That is, political modernization conditions the behavior of electoral dynasties. It transforms particularistic networks into more progressive and programmatic forms of dynasticism.
过渡社会中的政治家庭经常出现在腐败、民主倒退、社会经济发展恶化、不平等和贫困的背景下。然而,在先进的民主社会中也存在着高度的王朝主义。本文以台湾为例,探讨选举王朝演变背后的因素,以及世袭政治家的行为如何受到民主化的制约。更具体地说,文章认为,传统政客本身并不是低质量政治的潘多拉盒子。相反,他们的行为就像其他人际关系网络。因此,自我强加的道德标准和继承的文化规范可能会在很大程度上抑制这种网络的内在特殊潜力,但从长远来看,只有政治现代化才能阻止它们培养政治资本主义——对公共资源的掠夺性利用。也就是说,政治现代化为选举王朝的行为提供了条件。它将特殊的网络转变为更进步、更具纲领性的王朝主义形式。
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引用次数: 0
Voters’ perceptions and evaluations of dynastic politics in Japan 选民对日本王朝政治的认知与评价
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221144101
Hirofumi Miwa, Yuko Kasuya, Yoshikuni Ono
Political family dynasties are a staple part of Japanese politics. According to one study, Japan has the fourth highest number of dynastic politicians among democratic countries, after Thailand, the Philippines, and Iceland. As a result, many scholars have qualitatively studied how these political families are born and managed. In contrast to the wealth of qualitative studies on this subject, however, few quantitative studies on Japanese political dynasties focus on how voters view them. To understand this question, we conducted two nation-wide surveys. Our major findings are that while the majority of respondents dislike dynastic candidates, they also value certain attributes of those candidates, such as their political networks, their potential for ministerial appointments, and their ability to bring pork projects to their constituencies. These results fill a gap in benchmark information on dynastic politics in Japan and are a departure from existing studies that show Japanese voters are neutral regarding whether a candidate is from a dynastic family in voting decisions.
政治家族王朝是日本政治的重要组成部分。根据一项研究,在民主国家中,日本的王朝政治家数量排名第四,仅次于泰国、菲律宾和冰岛。因此,许多学者对这些政治家族的诞生和管理进行了定性研究。然而,与对这一主题的大量定性研究相比,对日本政治王朝的定量研究很少关注选民如何看待他们。为了理解这个问题,我们进行了两次全国性的调查。我们的主要发现是,虽然大多数受访者不喜欢王朝候选人,但他们也重视这些候选人的某些属性,例如他们的政治网络,他们获得部长任命的潜力,以及他们为选区带来猪肉项目的能力。这些结果填补了日本王朝政治基准信息的空白,并且偏离了现有的研究,这些研究表明日本选民在投票决定中对候选人是否来自王朝家庭持中立态度。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term effects of political violence on political trust: Evidence from the case of the Gwangju Massacre in South Korea, 1980 政治暴力对政治信任的长期影响:来自1980年韩国光州大屠杀的证据
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-12-27 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221147994
Esther E. Song
What are the long-term effects of authoritarian repression on political trust in a post-democratization context? Using the Gwangju Massacre in South Korea as a case study, this article finds that indirect and direct experience of state-perpetrated violence of the critical-period cohort—who were aged 17–25 during the incident—can have long-term negative effects on trust levels towards the government. Difference-in-difference analysis of national survey data collected in 2008 and 2012 reveals that experience with violence has long-term negative consequences on government trust. Results are robust even when including significant covariates of institutional theories and cultural theories, such as interpersonal trust, evaluation of government performance, as well as satisfaction with the economy. Drawing from memory studies, this article argues that the effects are due to collective memory formed during the critical period.
在后民主化的背景下,专制镇压对政治信任的长期影响是什么?本文以韩国光州大屠杀为例,发现关键时期人群(事件发生时年龄在17-25岁之间)对国家实施的暴力的间接和直接经历会对对政府的信任水平产生长期的负面影响。对2008年和2012年收集的全国调查数据进行的差异分析显示,暴力经历对政府信任有长期的负面影响。即使包括制度理论和文化理论的重要协变量,如人际信任、政府绩效评估以及对经济的满意度,结果也是稳健的。本文从记忆研究的角度出发,认为这种效应是由于在关键时期形成的集体记忆。
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引用次数: 0
Preventing the Philippines from pivoting toward China: The role of the US–Japan security alliance 防止菲律宾转向中国:美日安全联盟的作用
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-12-27 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221148005
R. D. de Castro
Shortly after becoming the Philippines’ 16th president in mid-2016, Rodrigo Roa Duterte had unraveled his predecessor's agenda of standing up to China's expansive claims in the South China Sea. He distanced his country from its long-time treaty ally and gravitated toward China which is resolute in reconfiguring the global commons in the Asia-Pacific region. He also set aside the 2016 UNCLOS decision on the South China Sea dispute favorable to the Philippines. His appeasement toward China contrasted sharply with the late President Benigno Aquino III's balancing strategy. President Duterte reoriented Philippine policy alarmed both the US and Japan. Consequently, Washington and Tokyo shored up their respective security ties with the Philippine military. The effort was aimed to prevent the Philippines from being pulled into China's orbit. Moreover, the US is the hub while Japan and the Philippines are spokes in the San Francisco System of alliances. This article concludes that the 1950 San Francisco Peace Conference not only established the series of US bilateral alliances in Asia, but also laid down the foundation of regional order and security which outlives the Cold War, and prevailed way beyond the second decade of the 21st century.
罗德里戈·罗亚·杜特尔特在2016年年中成为菲律宾第16任总统后不久,就打破了前任的议程,即对抗中国在南中国海的广泛主权主张。他疏远了他的国家与其长期的条约盟友,并倾向于中国,因为中国决心重新配置亚太地区的全球公域。他还搁置了2016年《联合国海洋法公约》关于南海争端的有利于菲律宾的决定。他对中国的绥靖政策与已故总统阿基诺三世的平衡策略形成鲜明对比。杜特尔特总统重新调整了菲律宾的政策,这让美国和日本都感到震惊。因此,华盛顿和东京加强了各自与菲律宾军方的安全关系。此举旨在防止菲律宾被拉入中国的轨道。此外,美国是旧金山联盟体系的中心,而日本和菲律宾是联盟体系的轮辐。本文认为,1950年旧金山和会不仅确立了美国在亚洲的一系列双边同盟关系,而且奠定了地区秩序和安全的基础,这种秩序和安全延续了冷战时期,并在21世纪第二个十年之后盛行。
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引用次数: 0
The persevering power of provincial dynasties in Thai electoral politics 省级王朝在泰国选举政治中的持久权力
IF 0.7 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221142132
P. Chambers, Srisompob Jitpiromsri, Katsuyuki Takahashi
Provincial clans and dynasties have long been crucial in Thai electoral politics. Their influence was felt since before the 1969 poll. Post-1988 and post-1992 political space gave clans room to expand in power. But their sway has been interrupted by several factors, including military coups, changing constitutions, and national transformations. Thailand's March 2019 general election, December 2020 provincial administrative organization elections, and March 2021 subdistrict administrative organization elections demonstrated the persistence of provincial clan influence owing partly to the 2019 end of military dictatorship but also to the needs by national parties to partner with provincial political families to achieve success and finally because local clans saw an opportunity to revitalize their power. In 2022 Thailand, provincial clans and dynasties appear to be alive and well. This study examines the historical evolution of provincial dynasties involved in Thai electoral politics in four different provinces. The study analyzes the reasons why only some provinces have experienced clan (familial) domination, strategies for and obstacles to dynastic family control over provincial politics, and the future of dynastic provincial families in Thailand's democratic future.
长期以来,省级部族和王朝一直是泰国选举政治的关键。他们的影响力在1969年投票之前就已经显现出来了。1988年后和1992年后的政治空间给了部族权力扩张的空间。但他们的影响力受到了一些因素的干扰,包括军事政变、宪法变化和国家转型。泰国2019年3月大选,2020年12月省级行政机构选举,2021年3月的分区行政组织选举表明,省级部族的影响力持续存在,部分原因是2019年军事独裁的结束,但也因为国家政党需要与省级政治家族合作以取得成功,最后是因为地方部族看到了重振权力的机会。2022年,泰国的省级部族和王朝似乎还很活跃。本研究考察了四个不同省份的省级王朝参与泰国选举政治的历史演变。本研究分析了只有一些省份经历了氏族(家族)统治的原因,王朝家族控制省级政治的策略和障碍,以及王朝省级家族在泰国民主未来的未来。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Journal of Comparative Politics
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