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The sample is not the population 样本不是总体
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1111/test.12385
J. S. Allison, L. Santana, I. J. H. Visagie
Given sample data, how do you calculate the value of a parameter? While this question is impossible to answer, it is frequently encountered in statistics classes when students are introduced to the distinction between a sample and a population (or between a statistic and a parameter). It is not uncommon for teachers of statistics to also confuse these concepts. An excerpt of a national mathematics examination paper, where a sample is mistaken for the population, is used to illustrate this confusion as well as sample variation and its link to sample size. We discuss two techniques that can be used to explain the difference between a parameter and a statistic. The first is a visual technique in which the variability in calculated statistics is contrasted to the fixed value of the corresponding parameter. Thereafter, we discuss Monte Carlo simulation techniques and explain the contribution that these methods may have.
给定样本数据,如何计算参数值?虽然这个问题无法回答,但在统计学课堂上,当学生们了解样本和总体(或统计量和参数)之间的区别时,经常会遇到这个问题。统计教师也经常混淆这些概念。我们摘录了一份全国数学考试试卷,其中样本被误认为是总体,用来说明这种混淆以及样本变异及其与样本大小的联系。我们将讨论用于解释参数和统计量之间区别的两种方法。第一种是直观技术,将计算统计量的变异性与相应参数的固定值进行对比。之后,我们将讨论蒙特卡罗模拟技术,并解释这些方法可能带来的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Fear of the unknown: Relationship between statistics anxiety and attitudes toward statistics of university students in three countries 对未知的恐惧三个国家大学生的统计焦虑与统计态度之间的关系
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/test.12381
Malgorzata Korolkiewicz, Nick Fewster‐Young, Fernando Marmolejo‐Ramos, Florence Gabriel, Pamela Kariuki, Jorge López Puga, Rebecca Marrone, Andrew Miles, Ana María Ruiz‐Ruano García
In an increasingly data‐driven world, statistical literacy is a necessity yet statistical learning is often inhibited by statistics anxiety. Using the Auzmendi Scale to Measure Attitude toward Statistics (ASMAS), this study examines how statistics anxiety in university students is related to other dimensions of their attitudes toward statistics and how statistics anxiety and other dimensions change following introductory statistics instruction. Based on data collected from Spain, Canada, and Australia, this study finds that anxiety is negatively related to security–confidence, pleasantness, and motivation. The structure of these relationships is consistent across countries and disciplines and remains in place after statistics instruction. Further, by the end of an introductory statistics course, students report higher security–confidence and pleasantness but lower anxiety. Results thus suggest where efforts to improve students' experience with statistics might need to be directed, and the paper concludes with a discussion of the implications of these results for statistics instruction.
在数据日益驱动的世界中,统计素养是一种必需品,但统计学习却常常受到统计焦虑的抑制。本研究使用奥兹门迪统计态度量表(ASMAS),考察了大学生的统计焦虑与他们对统计态度的其他方面之间的关系,以及统计焦虑和其他方面在统计入门教学后的变化情况。根据从西班牙、加拿大和澳大利亚收集的数据,本研究发现,焦虑与安全-自信、愉快和动机呈负相关。这些关系的结构在不同国家和学科之间是一致的,并且在统计教学结束后依然存在。此外,在统计学入门课程结束时,学生会报告较高的安全自信心和愉快感,但焦虑感较低。因此,研究结果表明了改善学生统计体验的努力方向,本文最后讨论了这些结果对统计教学的影响。
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引用次数: 0
In praise of pioneers 赞美先驱
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/test.12383
Helen MacGillivray
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引用次数: 0
Tribute to Jim Ridgway and his contributions to statistics education and statistical literacy 向吉姆-里奇韦及其对统计教育和统计扫盲的贡献致敬
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1111/test.12382
Joachim Engel, Iddo Gal, Sean McCusker, James Nicholson
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the Bayes factor: A Shiny/R app 贝叶斯因子简介Shiny/R 应用程序
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1111/test.12380
Jorge N. Tendeiro, Rink Hoekstra, Tsz Keung Wong, Henk A. L. Kiers
Most researchers receive formal training in frequentist statistics during their undergraduate studies. In particular, hypothesis testing is usually rooted on the null hypothesis significance testing paradigm and its p‐value. Null hypothesis Bayesian testing and its so‐called Bayes factor are now becoming increasingly popular. Although the Bayes factor is often introduced as being the Bayesian counterpart to the p‐value, its computation, use, and interpretation are quite distinct from the p‐value. There is now evidence confirming that the application of the Bayes factor in applied research is ill‐devised. To improve the current status quo, we have created a Shiny/R app called the Bayes factor, which offers a dynamic tutorial for learning all the basics about the Bayes factor. In this paper, we explain how the app works and we offer suggestions on how to use it in class or self‐study settings. The app is freely available at https://statsedge.org/shiny/LearnBF/.
大多数研究人员在本科学习期间都接受过频繁统计的正规培训。特别是,假设检验通常植根于零假设显著性检验范式及其 p 值。现在,零假设贝叶斯检验及其所谓的贝叶斯因子正变得越来越流行。尽管贝叶斯因子经常被介绍为 p 值的贝叶斯对应物,但其计算、使用和解释与 p 值截然不同。现在有证据证实,贝叶斯因子在应用研究中的应用并不完善。为了改善目前的现状,我们创建了一个名为贝叶斯因子的 Shiny/R 应用程序,它提供了一个学习贝叶斯因子所有基础知识的动态教程。在本文中,我们将解释该应用程序的工作原理,并就如何在课堂或自学环境中使用该应用程序提出建议。该应用程序可在 https://statsedge.org/shiny/LearnBF/ 免费获取。
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引用次数: 0
Tribute to Peter Holmes and his statistical education achievements 向彼得-霍姆斯及其统计教育成就致敬
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1111/test.12376
Neville Davies, Helen MacGillivray
Peter Holmes, renowned teacher, statistical educator, and founding editor of this journal, passed away peacefully on April 2, 2024, age 86 years. Peter was one of the great UK pioneers of statistical education in the 20th and 21st centuries. He developed a reputation nationally and internationally for his teaching ability, innovative ideas for pedagogy, and resource creation for students and teachers in statistics. Many people benefitted from his skills and generosity of ideas, both in the United Kingdom and globally.
著名教师、统计教育家、本刊创刊编辑彼得-霍姆斯(Peter Holmes)于 2024 年 4 月 2 日安详辞世,享年 86 岁。彼得是 20 世纪和 21 世纪英国统计教育的伟大先驱之一。他的教学能力、创新的教学理念以及为学生和教师创造的统计资源在国内外享有盛誉。无论是在英国还是在全球,许多人都受益于他的技能和慷慨的思想。
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引用次数: 0
New viruses are inevitable; pandemics are optional—Lessons for and from statistics 新病毒不可避免,大流行可有可无--统计的启示与借鉴
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/test.12379
James Nicholson, Jim Ridgway
We explore ways in which statistics can be used to understand disease spread and support decision‐making by governments. “Past performance does not guarantee future results”—we hope. We discuss and show examples from the National Science Foundation (NSF)‐funded COVID‐Inspired Data Science Education through Epidemiology (CIDSEE) project. Throughout, the emphasis is on the relationships between evidence, modeling and theorizing, and appropriate action. Statistics should be an essential element in all these aspects. We point to some “big statistical ideas” that underpin the whole process of modeling, which can be illustrated vividly in the context of pandemics. We argue that statistics education should emphasize the application of statistics in practical situations, and that many curricula do not equip students to use their understandings of statistics outside the classroom. We offer a framework for curriculum analysis and point to some rich teaching resources.
我们探讨如何利用统计数据来了解疾病传播情况,并为政府决策提供支持。我们希望 "过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果"。我们讨论并展示了美国国家科学基金会(NSF)资助的 COVID-Inspired Data Science Education through Epidemiology (CIDSEE) 项目中的实例。我们始终强调证据、建模和理论化与适当行动之间的关系。统计应该是所有这些方面的基本要素。我们指出了一些 "大统计思想",它们是整个建模过程的基础,可以在大流行病的背景下生动地加以说明。我们认为,统计教育应强调统计在实际情况中的应用,而许多课程并没有使学生具备在课堂之外运用他们对统计的理解的能力。我们提供了一个课程分析框架,并指出了一些丰富的教学资源。
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引用次数: 0
Pre‐service middle school teachers' specialized content knowledge on sampling variability 职前中学教师关于抽样变异性的专业内容知识
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/test.12377
Omar Abu‐Ghalyoun, Adnan Al‐Abed
This study investigates a range of non‐normative ideas that pre‐service teachers (PSTs) employ in reasoning about sampling variability. This issue was studied in the context of a content course on statistics and probability for pre‐service middle grade teachers at a Midwestern American university. Analysis of seven PSTs' video and screen records of task‐based interviews has articulated fundamental facets of sampling variability that have not yet been fully explicated in the literature, especially with middle grade PSTs. With the content expectation of sampling variability for middle grade students as suggested by policy reports in the United States of America, this study is particularly fertile ground for designing curricula that can support middle grade PSTs' development of critical specialized content knowledge on sampling variability.
本研究调查了职前教师(PSTs)在推理抽样变异性时所采用的一系列非正则思想。这一问题是在美国中西部一所大学为中年级职前教师开设的统计与概率课程的背景下进行研究的。通过分析七名 PST 的任务型访谈视频和屏幕记录,阐明了文献中尚未充分阐述的抽样变异性的基本方面,尤其是对中年级 PST 的阐述。根据美国政策报告的建议,中年级学生对抽样变异性的内容有了更高的要求,因此,本研究特别有助于设计课程,支持中年级 PST 发展有关抽样变异性的关键专业内容知识。
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引用次数: 0
An empirical study on sample size for the central limit theorem using Japanese firm data 利用日本公司数据对中心极限定理样本大小的实证研究
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/test.12378
Kosei Fukuda
In statistics classes, the central limit theorem has been demonstrated using simulation‐based illustrations. Known population distributions such as a uniform or exponential distribution are often used to consider the behavior of the sample mean in simulated samples. Unlike such simulations, a number of real‐data‐based simulations are here implemented in which the populations are empirical distributions of data selected from Japanese firms. The dataset chosen contains 38 variables familiar to business students, such as sales and assets. The maximum population size of the variables is 2243. One thousand samples with replacement are selected for specific variable–sample size combinations. Hypothesis testing results indicate that the normality hypothesis for the sample mean is rejected for 31 variables at the 0.1% level even with a sample size of 500. It is emphasized that the data for these variables indicate that this should not be a surprise, and emphasize the importance of looking at data.
在统计学课程中,中心极限定理是通过模拟图解来演示的。已知的总体分布(如均匀分布或指数分布)通常用于考虑模拟样本中样本平均值的行为。与此类模拟不同的是,这里采用了一些基于真实数据的模拟,其中的种群是选自日本公司数据的经验分布。所选数据集包含 38 个商科学生熟悉的变量,如销售额和资产。变量的最大群体规模为 2243 个。针对特定的变量-样本大小组合,选取了一千个替换样本。假设检验结果表明,即使样本量为 500 个,31 个变量的样本平均值在 0.1%的水平上拒绝正态性假设。需要强调的是,这些变量的数据表明这并不令人意外,同时也强调了研究数据的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The VSSL scale: A brief instructor tool for assessing students' perceived value of software to learning statistics VSSL 量表:用于评估学生对软件在统计学习中的感知价值的简明教师工具
IF 0.8 Q2 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1111/test.12374
Udi Alter, Carmen Dang, Zachary J. Kunicki, Alyssa Counsell
The biggest difference in statistical training from previous decades is the increased use of software. However, little research examines how software impacts learning statistics. Assessing the value of software to statistical learning demands appropriate, valid, and reliable measures. The present study expands the arsenal of tools by reporting on the psychometric properties of the Value of Software to Statistical Learning (VSSL) scale in an undergraduate student sample. We propose a brief measure with strong psychometric support to assess students' perceived value of software in an educational setting. We provide data from a course using SPSS, given its wide use and popularity in the social sciences. However, the VSSL is adaptable to any statistical software, and we provide instructions for customizing it to suit alternative packages. Recommendations for administering, scoring, and interpreting the VSSL are provided to aid statistics instructors and education researchers understand how software influences students' statistical learning.
与前几十年相比,统计培训的最大不同在于软件使用的增加。然而,很少有研究探讨软件如何影响统计学习。评估软件对统计学习的价值需要适当、有效和可靠的测量方法。本研究通过报告软件对统计学习的价值(VSSL)量表在本科生样本中的心理测量特性,扩展了工具库。我们提出了一个简短的、具有强大心理测量支持的量表,用于评估学生在教育环境中对软件价值的感知。鉴于 SPSS 在社会科学领域的广泛应用和普及,我们提供了一门使用 SPSS 的课程的数据。不过,VSSL 可适用于任何统计软件,我们还提供了如何定制 VSSL 以适应其他软件包的说明。我们还提供了管理、评分和解释 VSSL 的建议,以帮助统计教师和教育研究人员了解软件如何影响学生的统计学习。
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Teaching Statistics
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