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The Human Potential Quality of Russian Professionals: Analyzing The Data From 2010, 2021 俄罗斯专业人员的人力潜力质量:2010年和2021年数据分析
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.4.018-041
Natalia Tikhоnova
In this article we analyze the dynamics of the human potential quality of Russian professionals based on RLMS HSE data from 2010 and 2021. It has been demonstrated that due to the increasing immersion of Russians in the digital environment, the overall quality of human potential has increased. However, for a third of professionals it remains low, and for one in five it is very low. Only a third of professionals are currently characterized by high indicators of the human potential quality. This is partly due to their belonging to generations that have gone through socialization in different eras, so the shift in the age structure of professionals also plays its role – under the influence of the “demographic echo” of the 1990s, the number of people under 30 in their composition decreased while the proportion of 30–39-year-olds increased. This is most typical for large cities, while rural areas are characterized by a sharp increase in the number of professionals in older ages against the decrease in the number of 30–39-year-olds due to their migration to cities. Good quality of human potential increases the chances for professionals over 60 to remain employed, but since 2010 this trend has noticeably weakened. Among the institutional factors that determine the quality of human potential the decisive role is played by factors related to the characteristics of primary socialization in the family and school, as well as the characteristics of local labor markets, including the presence of a “bonus” for professionals with a good quality of human potential for their willingness to change profession. However, in general, the situation that has developed in the country with the professionals working outside their specialty requires serious institutional changes – currently, about two-thirds of them work outside their profession. The mass nature of this phenomenon devalues the importance of specialized education in the eyes of employers, even for those professionals who are obliged to have it: every tenth among doctors, and more than half among engineers do not have a specialized education.
在本文中,我们基于2010年和2021年的RLMS HSE数据分析了俄罗斯专业人员的人类潜在质量的动态。事实证明,由于俄罗斯人越来越多地沉浸在数字环境中,人类潜力的整体质量得到了提高。然而,对于三分之一的专业人士来说,这一比例仍然很低,五分之一的专业人士的这一比例非常低。目前,只有三分之一的专业人员具有较高的人力潜力素质指标。这部分是由于他们属于不同时代经历社会化的一代人,所以专业人员年龄结构的变化也起到了一定的作用——在90年代“人口回声”的影响下,专业人员组成中30岁以下的人数减少,而30 - 39岁的比例增加。这在大城市最为典型,而农村地区的特点是,年龄较大的专业人员数量急剧增加,而30 - 39岁的专业人员数量由于迁移到城市而减少。高质量的人力潜力增加了60岁以上专业人士继续就业的机会,但自2010年以来,这一趋势明显减弱。在决定人的潜力质量的制度因素中,与家庭和学校的初级社会化特征以及当地劳动力市场的特征有关的因素发挥了决定性作用,包括对具有良好的人的潜力质量的专业人员的“奖金”的存在,因为他们愿意转行。但是,总的来说,该国专业人员在其专业以外工作的情况需要进行重大的体制改革- -目前约有三分之二的专业人员在其专业以外工作。这种现象的普遍性降低了专业教育在雇主眼中的重要性,即使对那些必须接受专业教育的专业人士来说也是如此:十分之一的医生和一半以上的工程师没有接受过专业教育。
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引用次数: 0
Government Failures in The Implementation of Effective Contracts 有效合同执行中的政府失灵
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.4.056-069
M. Kurbatova, I. Donova
The paper examines the results of reforms in the remuneration system of university lecturers. Two stages of the transformation process have been considered: the transition to the new remuneration system in 2008 and the introduction of effective contracts in 2012. The paper explains how the political and bureaucratic mechanisms of the formation of the remuneration system have changed. We have made an attempt to describe the government failures in the implementation of effective contracts. It is assumed that the new mechanism remains over-regulated and is based on the idea of the local nature of the academic labor market. The imitation regulation is considered to be one of the most important reasons of the state failures. On the one hand, the government manifested the establishment of understandable and achievable indicators, on the other hand, the authorities failed to solve real problems of the production and transfer of the new knowledge. Governmental stakeholders in education are interested in maintaining and further expanding of their functions. Meanwhile, insufficient professionalism in decision-making and short-termism become the reasons for inefficient waste of budgetary resources for the indicators production and elaboration of various of insurance procedures. The study shows that for many universities the achievement of the target salary level is associated with serious difficulties. There are also significant differences in remuneration systems between universities. Interregional differences in the level of wages of university staff create different conditions for investment in the human capital of university lecturers and incentives for interregional staff turnover that weakens the resource potential of universities in a number of regions.
本文考察了大学讲师薪酬制度改革的结果。已经考虑了转型过程的两个阶段:2008年过渡到新的薪酬制度和2012年引入有效合同。本文解释了薪酬制度形成的政治和官僚机制是如何发生变化的。我们试图描述政府在执行有效合同方面的失败。假设新机制仍然是过度监管的,并且是基于学术劳动力市场的地方性的想法。模仿管制被认为是国家失灵的重要原因之一。一方面,政府表现为建立了可理解、可实现的指标,另一方面,当局未能解决新知识生产和转移的实际问题。政府教育利益相关者希望保持并进一步扩大其职能。同时,决策的专业性不足和短期主义成为各种保险程序指标的制定和制定造成预算资源低效浪费的原因。研究表明,对于许多大学来说,实现目标工资水平伴随着严重的困难。大学之间的薪酬制度也存在显著差异。大学教师工资水平的地区间差异为大学教师人力资本投资创造了不同的条件,也为区域间人员流动提供了激励,从而削弱了一些地区大学的资源潜力。
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引用次数: 1
Efficient Public Procurement and The Role of Competition 有效的公共采购与竞争的作用
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.119-131
V. Melnikov
The authors explain why accurate conclusions on public procurement efficiency are impossible in light of the current formal rules of the public contractual system. In regulatory acts, efficiency is replaced with saving and effectiveness - concepts that have different meaning and do not focus on the scale of transaction costs associated with contract conclusion and execution. Since assessing public procurement efficiency has no economic meaning outside the interests of particular actors, achieving the indicators specified in the Budget Code of the Russian Federation is not indicative of the desirable vector of development and result interpretation. In this case, control over efficient satisfaction of public needs is replaced with attaining the metrics (pseudo-objectives) and procedural compliance, which increases the regulator' influence. Multiple control parameters lead to adverse selection of the stuff of customer's contractual services and affect the quality of procured goods. Quasi- market competition based on directive buyer- seller interaction gives the appearance of fair transactions but does not stimulate efficiency or saving of public financial resources against transaction costs. Fair procedures designed to protect competitors from each other do not allow to build up trust-based interactions within the contractual system and engage supplier's reputation as well as establish long-term economic relations. To further develop the contractual system in Russia, would be useful to have a legal definition of public procurement efficiency and give the criteria for achieving it or rejecting procedural regulation.
作者解释了为什么在现行公共合同制度的正式规则下,不可能得出关于公共采购效率的准确结论。在监管行为中,效率被节约和有效性所取代,这两个概念的含义不同,并不关注与合同订立和执行有关的交易成本的规模。由于评估公共采购效率在特定行为者的利益之外没有任何经济意义,实现《俄罗斯联邦预算法》中规定的指标并不能表明理想的发展方向和结果解释。在这种情况下,对有效满足公众需求的控制被实现指标(伪目标)和程序合规所取代,这增加了监管者的影响力。多种控制参数导致客户合同服务对象的逆向选择,影响采购产品的质量。建立在买卖双方直接互动基础上的准市场竞争提供了公平交易的表象,但并不能提高效率或节约公共财政资源以对抗交易成本。旨在相互保护竞争对手的公平程序不允许在合同体系内建立基于信任的互动,也不允许参与供应商的声誉以及建立长期的经济关系。为了进一步发展俄罗斯的合同制度,最好对公共采购效率作出法律定义,并提出实现或拒绝程序管制的标准。
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引用次数: 0
Ritual Economy, or How Much Is Spent on A Wedding in Central Asia 仪式经济,或者说在中亚举办婚礼要花多少钱
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.046-058
S. Barsukova
The article describes the rituals that form a complex of wedding traditions in the countries of Central Asia. We are talking about rites (pre-wedding, wedding and post-wedding) and related expenses. Observance of traditions imposes heavy financial obligations on the families of the bride and groom, driving them into credit burden and depriving them of economic well-being for many years. Why do families participate in this wasteful excess? What drives them? The article focuses on decoding the institute of Central Asian wedding. The article is based on interviews with students from Central Asian countries studying in Moscow. Arrival in Moscow indicates a willingness to accept values conventionally called "Western". Representatives of the westernized youth critically evaluate the economy of weddings, seeing no sense in following traditions that condemn families to excessive waste. In their opinion, the reproduction of the ritual economy is supported by public opinion and is based on the fear of the family to spoil the reputation. The wedding turns into an act of demonstrative generosity, which confirms the social status of families.Students reconstruct the logic of parents in terms of being forced to follow certain rules under vigilant social control: the rule of the reciprocal exchange of gifts; demonstration of social status and maintaining the prestige of the family; competition between the families of the bride and groom; confirmation of membership in a related clan; showing loyalty within the official hierarchy, investing in a career. Despite the legislative restrictions on the scale of weddings adopted in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan no impressive results have been achieved. The discrepancy between social expectations threaten to turn into reputational losses. People continue to pay tribute to the requirements of the ritual economy, going to all sorts of tricks in order not to fall under the sanctions of the state
这篇文章描述了在中亚国家形成复杂的婚礼传统的仪式。我们说的是仪式(婚礼前、婚礼和婚礼后)和相关费用。遵守传统给新娘和新郎的家庭带来了沉重的经济负担,使他们陷入信贷负担,并剥夺了他们多年的经济福利。为什么家庭要参与这种浪费?他们的动力是什么?本文着重对中亚婚俗制度进行解读。这篇文章基于对在莫斯科学习的中亚国家学生的采访。抵达莫斯科表明愿意接受传统上被称为“西方”的价值观。西化的年轻人的代表批判地评价婚礼的经济性,认为遵循那些谴责家庭过度浪费的传统毫无意义。在他们看来,仪式经济的再生产得到了舆论的支持,是建立在害怕家庭破坏名誉的基础上的。婚礼变成了一种彰显慷慨的行为,它确认了家庭的社会地位。学生重构了父母在警惕的社会控制下被迫遵守某些规则的逻辑:礼物的相互交换规则;彰显社会地位,维护家族威望;新娘和新郎的家庭之间的竞争;亲属确认;在官场中表现忠诚,在事业上投资。尽管乌兹别克斯坦和塔吉克斯坦对婚礼规模有立法限制,但没有取得令人印象深刻的成果。社会期望之间的差异可能会导致名誉损失。人们继续向仪式经济的要求致敬,为了不受到国家的制裁,他们使出了各种各样的花招
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引用次数: 0
Specific Skills and Its Assessment in A New Institutional Context: Discussions, Challenges and Prospects 新制度背景下的特殊技能及其评估:讨论、挑战与展望
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.059-073
P. Sorokin, V. Maltseva, Paulina V. Gass
The search for new drivers of global socio-economic development in the face of a slowdown (partially due to the COVID-19) put the issues of skills development, including institutional solutions of the human capital formation, at the front line. Despite significant progress in understanding the importance of general skills and their contribution to economic growth, professional skills as the pivot of specific human capital are commonly analyzed through the vague categories like formal qualification and years of tenure. The lack of an institutionalized and commonly accepted practice for measuring professional skills restrains research in economics dealing with returns to skills, as well as institutional studies. The present study aims to partially fill this gap by analyzing the discussion about professional skills in broader discourse about skills and systematizing the existing approaches to professional skills’ assessments, as well as by mapping the prospects in the context of emerging digital technologies and institutional change attributed to them. The analysis was conducted on academic papers and reports published in 2013–2020. The research showed that although the number of academic papers focusing on professional skills is high, the discussion (especially, about assessment) is fragmented reflecting industries’ specifics. The mainstream expert discussion on skills and their assessment tends to focus on general skills, overlooking professional skills, with partial exception of certain digital skills. Discussion largely grounds on traditional approaches, which cannot produce scalable and comparable results for further economic analysis. At the same time, new digital assessment tools are not yet widely disseminated. There is a need for further improvement and expansion of traditional skills assessments via exams or tests, alongside with searching for novel approaches to measuring skills acquired and being used on the workplace. This could also contribute to the institutional studies dealing with the research of transformations happened in corporate, national, and international level.
面对经济放缓(部分原因是2019冠状病毒病),为全球社会经济发展寻找新动力,将技能发展问题,包括人力资本形成的制度性解决方案放在了首要位置。尽管在理解一般技能的重要性及其对经济增长的贡献方面取得了重大进展,但作为特定人力资本支点的专业技能通常通过正式资格和任期等模糊类别进行分析。缺乏一种制度化和普遍接受的衡量专业技能的做法,限制了处理技能回报的经济学研究以及制度研究。本研究旨在通过分析更广泛的技能讨论中关于专业技能的讨论,并将现有的专业技能评估方法系统化,以及通过绘制新兴数字技术背景下的前景和归因于它们的制度变革,来部分填补这一空白。该分析是对2013-2020年发表的学术论文和报告进行的。研究表明,虽然关注专业技能的学术论文数量很多,但讨论(尤其是关于评估的讨论)是碎片化的,反映了行业的具体情况。主流专家对技能的讨论和评估往往侧重于一般技能,忽视了专业技能,某些数字技能部分例外。讨论主要基于传统方法,这些方法不能为进一步的经济分析产生可扩展和可比较的结果。与此同时,新的数字评估工具尚未广泛传播。有必要进一步改进和扩大通过考试或测验进行的传统技能评估,同时寻找新的方法来衡量获得的技能和在工作场所使用的技能。这也有助于处理在公司、国家和国际一级发生的变革的研究的制度研究。
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引用次数: 0
Social Contract in Russia: Before and After 2022 俄罗斯的社会契约:2022年前后
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.074-090
E. Balatsky, N. Ekimova
The article considers the problem of cardinal revision of the social contract (SC) between the Russian society and the supreme power, which emerged as a result of the global transformation of the geopolitical system in 2022. The shifts that have begun mark a radical change in the mode of governance of the country. The subject of the article is the general contours, content and logic of the new SC; the methodological basis is institutional theory, the paradigm of historical narratives and philosophical concepts of social orientation. The revised SC includes the following requirements: new ideology; definition of the country's economic structure; provision of professional social elevators and personal responsibility; integration of the Bank of Russia into the general government system; economy debureaucratization; fight against extreme forms of inequality; cessation of uncontrolled immigration; and introduction of responsibility for political sabotage. The bearing structure of the new SC is the ideology of the Russian Civilization, which is determined by the disclosure of the following issues: concept, slogan, economic and social foundations, philosophical foundations, values, international status and the domestic perception. To determine the attitudes of Russians towards the idea of the Russian Civilization, a spontaneous conversation method was developed, which allowed to establish the "psychological triangle effect", the essence of which consists in the presence of three phases of perception of the idea — rejection, acceptance and use.
本文研究了俄罗斯社会与最高权力之间的社会契约的根本性修正问题,这是2022年全球地缘政治体系转型的结果。这些已经开始的转变标志着这个国家治理模式的根本改变。本文的主题是新SC的总体轮廓、内容和逻辑;方法论基础是制度理论、历史叙事范式和社会取向的哲学概念。修订后的SC包括以下要求:新思想;国家经济结构的界定;提供专业的社交电梯和个人责任;将俄罗斯银行纳入一般政府体系;经济debureaucratization;反对极端形式的不平等;停止不受控制的移民;并引入政治破坏的责任。新国家安全委员会的承载结构是俄罗斯文明的意识形态,这是由以下问题的揭示决定的:概念、口号、经济和社会基础、哲学基础、价值观、国际地位和国内认知。为了确定俄罗斯人对俄罗斯文明观念的态度,一种自发的谈话方法被开发出来,它允许建立“心理三角效应”,其本质在于存在对观念的三个阶段的感知-拒绝,接受和使用。
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引用次数: 0
Game-Theoretic Approach to Modeling Collective Labor Incentives for Regional Civil Servants in Russia 基于博弈论的俄罗斯地区公务员集体劳动激励模型研究
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.103-118
L. Cherednichenko, R. Gubarev, Evgeny I. Dziuba, F. Fayzullin
Currently, a number of external factors (in particular, sanctions pressure from the US and EU countries, the pandemic of a new coronavirus infection) have a strong negative impact on the socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. Therefore, the head of almost any Russian region is forced to perform the functions of an anti-crisis manager. The modern system of stimulating the work of civil regional employees can help improve the efficiency of public administration, and as a result, ensure the socio-economic development of a constituent entity of the Russian Federation. The author's approach to this issue is based on the simultaneous application of a number of modern scientific methods, namely index, neural network technologies and mathematical game theory. The use of neural network technologies makes it possible to objectively assess the achieved level of socio-economic development of a constituent entity of the Russian Federation. Taking into account the positive foreign (Singapore and South Korean) experience in the field of civil service reform, it is proposed to make the amount of collective incentive payments (bonus fund) of regional civil servants directly dependent on the achieved level of socio-economic development of the subject of the Russian Federation. In turn, this implies the development of a hierarchical system of collective-individual stimulation of the work of regional civil servants. During the construction of the game-theoretic model, the correct establishment of the relationship between the level of collective incentive payments to regional civil servants and the socio-economic development of a constituent entity of the Russian Federation is ensured. After experimental refinement of the parameters of the game-theoretic model, there is a possibility of its practical application to stimulate the work of regional civil servants in Russia. The introduction of the author's approach into the practice of regional management, firstly, will allow coordinating the activities of ministries and departments, and secondly, will strengthen control over the targeted spending of budgetary funds on bonus payments to civil civil servants.
当前,一些外部因素(特别是来自美国和欧盟国家的制裁压力、新型冠状病毒大流行)对俄罗斯联邦主体的社会经济发展产生了强烈的负面影响。因此,俄罗斯几乎所有地区的领导人都被迫履行反危机管理者的职能。鼓励地区公务员工作的现代制度有助于提高公共行政的效率,从而确保俄罗斯联邦一个组成实体的社会经济发展。作者对这一问题的处理方法是基于同时应用一些现代科学方法,即指数、神经网络技术和数学博弈论。利用神经网络技术可以客观地评价俄罗斯联邦一个组成实体的社会经济发展水平。考虑到外国(新加坡和南朝鲜)在公务员制度改革领域的积极经验,建议将区域公务员的集体奖励金(奖金基金)数额直接取决于俄罗斯联邦主体的社会经济发展水平。反过来,这意味着发展一种集体-个人激励区域公务员工作的等级制度。在构建博弈论模型的过程中,确保正确建立对地区公务员的集体激励支付水平与俄罗斯联邦组成实体的社会经济发展之间的关系。在对博弈论模型的参数进行实验细化后,有可能将其实际应用于激励俄罗斯地区公务员的工作。将作者的方法引入区域管理实践,首先可以协调各部和部门的活动,其次可以加强对预算资金用于向公务员支付奖金的定向支出的控制。
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引用次数: 0
Institution of Regional Strategies in The Russian Innovation System 俄罗斯创新体系中的区域战略研究
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.006-030
V. Volchik, Sophia Panteeva, I. Shiriaev
The purpose of the article is to identify the features and problems specific to regional innovation strategies in Russia. The regional innovation strategy is to be interpreted as a formal institution designed to intensify innovation activity in the regional economy. The success of the strategy implementation depends on institutional and resource factors, including those at a higher, federal level. But this does not eliminate the issue of the regional innovation strategy optimal design (formulation, construction). The paper presents a brief overview of research on regional innovation development in Russia. Six regions (Kurgan region, city of Moscow, Nizhny Novgorod region, Novosibirsk region, Republic of Tatarstan, Rostov region) were selected for in-depth analysis of the innovation strategies content. The novelty of the proposed approach lies in the comparison of the results of the regional innovation strategies analysis and the results of the analysis of regional innovation activities narratives expressed by the Russian innovation system actors. Regional innovation development strategies are aimed at solving the innovation development problems that have been identified by policy makers. However, these problems are also reflected in the studied before narratives of the Russian innovation system actors. The paper summarizes these problems and identifies some of the features specific to the regional innovation strategies of the selected regions.
本文的目的是找出俄罗斯区域创新战略的特点和具体问题。区域创新战略可以理解为一种旨在加强区域经济创新活动的正式制度。战略的成功实施取决于体制和资源因素,包括联邦一级的体制和资源因素。但这并没有消除区域创新战略优化设计(制定、构建)的问题。本文简要介绍了俄罗斯区域创新发展的研究概况。六个地区(库尔干地区,莫斯科市,下诺夫哥罗德地区,新西伯利亚地区,鞑靼斯坦共和国,罗斯托夫地区)被选中深入分析创新战略的内容。该方法的新颖之处在于将区域创新战略分析结果与俄罗斯创新系统参与者对区域创新活动叙述的分析结果进行了比较。区域创新发展战略旨在解决决策者已经确定的创新发展问题。然而,这些问题也反映在之前对俄罗斯创新体系参与者的研究叙述中。本文对这些问题进行了总结,并对所选区域的区域创新战略特征进行了分析。
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引用次数: 0
Features of New Institutions in The Digital Economy 数字经济中新制度的特征
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.031-045
T. Yudina, P. Lemeshchenko, Elena V. Kupchishina
Digital trust and, simultaneously, global distrust became a topical issue in the context of modern trends in the socioeconomic systems development: informatization, internetization, networkization, digitalization. A. Guterres asserts global distrust as one of the four “horsemen of the apocalypse” that threaten all of humanity at the present time. Vulnerability of Russia's positions in the global information and digital space, represented in the predominance of foreign (primarily Western) software and Chinese hardware, cyber-attacks on strategic infrastructure facilities, leaks and the actual vulnerability of personal data of the population (often almost unhindered access for fraudsters to the personal data of residents and non-residents), actualizes the need to strengthen national information security and, therefore, the perspective of the article. A research of digital trust, coupled with artificial intelligence and cyber, information and digital economic security, is conducted based on the methods of institutional-economic, interdisciplinary, empirical generalization, interpretation of new economic institutions and concepts, hypothesizing and scientific approach to the analysis of a new digital socio-economic reality. The research results are, firstly, a confirmed relationship between digital trust and digital economic security; second, digital trust and artificial intelligence; third, digital distrust and institutional traps in the context of artificial intelligence; fourth, the institutional aspects of AI on the example of China. The authorial hypothesis is formulated as the following: are destructive institutions and institutional-economic thinking formed in the context of the economy and society digitalization, the development of a Russian digital economy model with conflicting institutions? The novelty of the study involves clarifying the definitions of the institution of trust, digital global distrust, as well as digital institutional traps, the level of digital trust (for business, the abovementioned is reflected in building a trust system in supply chains, measured in terms of user confidence in information and digital goods, in the protection of personal data, their confidentiality).
数字信任以及与此同时的全球不信任在社会经济系统发展的现代趋势背景下成为一个热门问题:信息化、互联网化、网络化、数字化。古特雷斯认为,全球不信任是当今威胁全人类的四大“天启骑士”之一。俄罗斯在全球信息和数字空间地位的脆弱性,表现为外国(主要是西方)软件和中国硬件的主导地位,对战略基础设施的网络攻击,人口个人数据的泄露和实际脆弱性(欺诈者几乎不受阻碍地获取居民和非居民的个人数据),使加强国家信息安全的必要性成为现实,因此,文章的视角。基于制度经济学、跨学科、经验概括、新经济制度和概念解释、假设和科学方法分析新的数字社会经济现实,对人工智能与网络、信息和数字经济安全相结合的数字信任进行了研究。研究结果表明:首先,数字信任与数字经济安全之间存在明确的关系;二是数字信任与人工智能;第三,人工智能背景下的数字不信任和制度陷阱;第四,以中国为例的人工智能制度方面。作者的假设是:破坏性的制度和制度经济思维是在经济和社会数字化的背景下形成的,是俄罗斯数字经济模式与冲突制度的发展吗?该研究的新颖之处在于澄清了信任制度、数字全球不信任以及数字制度陷阱、数字信任水平的定义(对于商业而言,上述情况反映在供应链中建立信任体系,以用户对信息和数字商品的信心、对个人数据的保护及其保密性来衡量)。
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引用次数: 0
Russia's Forest Sector After The Years of Reforms: More Laws, but Less Order? 改革多年后的俄罗斯森林部门:法律更多,秩序更少?
IF 0.6 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.17835/2076-6297.2022.14.3.091-102
A. Pyzhev
The article discusses the impact of the growing intensity of normative activity in the forestry complex of Russia on the efficiency of the industry. Estimates show that over the last decade and a half, various ministries and departments have adopted at least 400 normative documents regulating various spheres of forest relations. Meanwhile, even without analyzing the statistics, it is clear that such a vigorous normative activity hardly leads to prosperity of the national forestry complex, and certainly does little to help solve the most important problems of forestry, which is especially evident against the background of steadily growing from year to year forest fires and the accompanying damage. We propose a way to reconstruct a long time series volume of logging from official statistics on the export of wood, which was available before 2009. By the example of Siberian regions according to the data for 2005–2020 year regression models panel data are built, providing evidence in favor of the fact that the intensity of rule-making has a negative impact on the amount of timber harvest. It is proposed to fundamentally revise the approaches to the regulation of the forest industry, abandoning the adoption of redundant regulations in favor of government complicity in solving the problems of Russian forests, which have accumulated for many decades.
本文讨论了俄罗斯林业综合体中规范活动强度日益增加对该行业效率的影响。据估计,在过去15年里,各部委至少通过了400份规范森林关系各个领域的规范性文件。与此同时,即使不分析统计数据,也很明显,这种强有力的规范活动很难导致国家林业综合体的繁荣,当然也无助于解决林业最重要的问题,这在森林火灾逐年稳步增长以及随之而来的破坏的背景下尤为明显。我们提出了一种方法,从2009年之前的木材出口官方统计数据中重建长时间序列的伐木量。以西伯利亚地区为例,根据2005-2020年的回归模型建立面板数据,证明规则制定强度对木材采伐量有负向影响。建议从根本上修改对森林工业的监管方法,放弃采用多余的法规,支持政府共谋解决俄罗斯森林问题,这些问题已经积累了几十年。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Institutional Studies
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