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Liner shipping network design with sensitive demand 具有敏感需求的班轮运输网络设计
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-10-2019-0045
Ali Cheaitou, Sadeque Hamdan, R. Larbi
PurposeThis paper aims to examine containership routing and speed optimization for maritime liner services. It focuses on a realistic case in which the transport demand, and consequently the collected revenue from the visited ports depend on the sailing speed.Design/methodology/approachThe authors present an integer non-linear programming model for the containership routing and fleet sizing problem, in which the sailing speed of every leg, the ports to be included in the service and their sequence are optimized based on the net line's profit. The authors present a heuristic approach that is based on speed discretization and a genetic algorithm to solve the problem for large size instances. They present an application on a line provided by COSCO in 2017 between Asia and Europe.FindingsThe numerical results show that the proposed heuristic approach provides good quality solutions after a reasonable computation time. In addition, the demand sensitivity has a great impact on the selected route and therefore the profit function. Moreover, the more the demand is sensitive to the sailing speed, the higher the sailing speed value.Research limitations/implicationsThe vessel carrying capacity is not considered in an explicit way.Originality/valueThis paper focuses on an important aspect in liner shipping, i.e. demand sensitivity to sailing speed. It brings a novel approach that is important in a context in which sailing speed strategies and market volatility are to be considered together in network design. This perspective has not been addressed previously.
目的本文旨在研究海运班轮服务中集装箱船的路线和速度优化。它关注的是一个现实情况,即运输需求以及从访问港口获得的收入取决于航行速度。设计/方法论/方法作者提出了一个求解集装箱船航线和船队规模问题的整数非线性规划模型,其中每个航段的航行速度、服务中包括的港口及其顺序都是基于净利润进行优化的。作者提出了一种基于速度离散化和遗传算法的启发式方法来解决大型实例的问题。他们在中远集团2017年提供的亚洲和欧洲之间的一条线路上提出了一个应用。Findings数值结果表明,所提出的启发式方法在合理的计算时间后提供了高质量的解决方案。此外,需求敏感性对所选路线以及利润函数有很大影响。此外,需求对航行速度越敏感,航行速度值就越高。研究局限性/含义未明确考虑船舶承载能力。原创性/价值本文关注班轮运输的一个重要方面,即需求对航行速度的敏感性。它带来了一种新的方法,在网络设计中将航行速度策略和市场波动性考虑在一起的情况下,这种方法非常重要。这一观点以前没有得到处理。
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引用次数: 0
Mutual information analysis of the factors influencing port throughput 港口吞吐量影响因素的互信息分析
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-12-30 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-05-2020-0030
M. Eskafi, M. Kowsari, A. Dastgheib, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, P. Taneja, R. Thorarinsdottir
PurposePort throughput analysis is a challenging task, as it consists of intertwined interactions between a variety of cargos and numerous influencing factors. This study aims to propose a quantitative method to facilitate port throughput analysis by identification of important cargos and key macroeconomic variables.Design/methodology/approachMutual information is applied to measure the linear and nonlinear correlation among variables. The method gives a unique measure of dependence between two variables by quantifying the amount of information held in one variable through another variable.FindingsThis study uses the mutual information to the Port of Isafjordur in Iceland to underpin the port throughput analysis. The results show that marine products are the main export cargo, whereas most imports are fuel oil, industrial materials and marine product. The aggregation of these cargos, handled in the port, meaningfully determines the non-containerized port throughput. The relation between non-containerized export and the national gross domestic product (GDP) is relatively high. However, non-containerized import is mostly related to the world GDP. The non-containerized throughput shows a strong relation to the national GDP. Furthermore, the results reveal that the volume of national export trade is the key influencing macroeconomic variable to the containerized throughput.Originality/valueApplication of the mutual information in port throughput analysis effectively reduces epistemic uncertainty in the identification of important cargos and key influencing macroeconomic variables. Thus, it increases the reliability of the port throughput forecast.
目的港口吞吐量分析是一项具有挑战性的任务,因为它由各种货物和众多影响因素之间交织的相互作用组成。本研究旨在提出一种定量方法,通过识别重要货物和关键宏观经济变量来促进港口吞吐量分析。设计/方法/方法相互信息用于测量变量之间的线性和非线性相关性。该方法通过量化一个变量与另一个变量之间的信息量,给出了两个变量之间相关性的唯一度量。发现本研究利用冰岛伊萨峡湾港的相互信息来支持港口吞吐量分析。结果表明,海洋产品是主要的出口货物,而大多数进口货物是燃料油、工业材料和海洋产品。在港口处理的这些货物的聚集有意义地决定了非集装箱化港口的吞吐量。非集装箱出口与国民国内生产总值之间的关系相对较高。然而,非集装箱进口主要与世界GDP有关。非集装箱吞吐量显示出与国家GDP的密切关系。此外,研究结果表明,国家出口贸易额是影响集装箱吞吐量的宏观经济变量。独创性/价值互信息在港口吞吐量分析中的应用有效地减少了识别重要货物和关键影响宏观经济变量时的认识不确定性。因此,它提高了港口吞吐量预测的可靠性。
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引用次数: 6
Security risk management: a case of Qalhat liquefied natural gas terminal 安全风险管理:以Qalhat液化天然气终端为例
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-12-22 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-05-2020-0028
K. Mokhtari, N. A. Rahman, H. Soltani, Salim Al Rashdi, Kawkab Abdul Aziz Mohammed Al Balushi
PurposeAt the substantive level, there exists a gap in knowledge about the position of security risk management (i.e. SRM) during the terminals’ operations and management; particularly when there is potential for deliberate anti-security acts. Correspondingly, the purpose of this paper is a need for more practical research to find out the justification for the existence of the SRM and different techniques for its appropriate execution on these logistics infrastructures principally with due regard to the potential requirements in the near future.Design/methodology/approachBoth qualitative and quantitative techniques are used in this study incorporating fuzzy set theory and risk assessment matrix to achieve the research objective.FindingsA designed SRM framework tailored for Qalhat liquefied petroleum gas (LNG) terminal in Sultanate of Oman was established to manage the security threats which can be resulted from any probable terrorist attacks.Research limitations/implicationsThe limited numbers of experts for the purpose of the addressed SRM are causing challenges in data collection.Practical implicationsThe pressures for enhanced attention to critical infrastructure security have fostered new challenges for petrochemical seaports and terminals (PSTs). These tendencies dictate to maintain comprehensive security regimens that can be integrated with national and international strategies to support the country’s security against terrorism.Originality/valueThe development of the security risk factor table model in the case of Qalhat LNG Terminal.
目的在实体层面,对终端运营管理过程中安全风险管理(即SRM)的位置认识存在空白;特别是当存在蓄意反安全行为的可能性时。相应地,本文的目的是需要进行更多的实际研究,以找出SRM存在的理由,以及在这些物流基础设施上适当执行SRM的不同技术,主要考虑到不久的将来的潜在需求。设计/方法/方法本研究采用定性和定量相结合的方法,结合模糊集理论和风险评估矩阵来实现研究目标。为阿曼苏丹国Qalhat液化石油气(LNG)终端设计了一个SRM框架,以管理任何可能的恐怖袭击造成的安全威胁。研究限制/影响为解决SRM的目的,有限数量的专家在数据收集方面造成了挑战。实际意义对关键基础设施安全的日益关注给石化海港和码头(pst)带来了新的挑战。这些趋势要求维持可以与国家和国际战略相结合的综合安全制度,以支持国家安全打击恐怖主义。Qalhat LNG终端安全风险因子表模型的建立。
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引用次数: 2
A valuation approach of port funding strategies with application to a container terminal concession in Sub-Saharan Africa 港口筹资战略的估值方法,适用于撒哈拉以南非洲的一个集装箱码头特许权
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-12-2019-0057
D. Fraser, Thando Mpikeleli, T. Notteboom
PurposeIncreased economic activity in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has given rise to increased demand for port development. Given the often scarce availability of national public funding, port institutional reform programmes have been implemented to pave the way for the inclusion of external port investors. Notwithstanding this fact, some sub-Saharan African Governments remain institutionally locked into the notion that state-owned enterprises remain an appropriate vehicle for port terminal operations. This, despite the fact that terminal operational concessions globally and within the continent of Africa are increasingly being managed by global terminal operators. Given this context, this study aims to evaluate different port valuation and funding strategies. Two research questions form the core of this research: what is the financial value of a concession? What is the most cost advantageous funding strategy? The methodology is applied to the development of a two-berth container terminal in SSA.Design/methodology/approachAfter reviewing a range of financial valuation and funding techniques, the study presents valuation and funding model applicability-fit tests. Thereafter, a suitable valuation technique is selected and applied to the case study providing a concession valuation. Different funding strategies are applied to the valuation model to determine the cost implications of each funding instrument given the local context and institutional constraints applicable to SSA. Finally, the study discusses the significance of the results to potential SSA port investors by highlighting the impact of each funding approach on key financial metrics.FindingsThe study presents a range of financial investment appraisal results for the case study concession in consideration of four specific funding strategies. The highest concession valuation could be attributed to a higher debt ratio as a principal funding strategy. In addition, this funding approach (100% debt) realised the shortest payback period and the highest internal rate of return values. The authors, however, maintain that the optimal funding strategy for a concession depends ultimately on the financial goals of the investor.Originality/valueThis research makes a contribution to the existing literature on port finance and development by presenting a structured approach to the evaluation of the valuation and funding techniques, which can be used in terminal development subject to the specific local context and institutional constraints (in this case applicable to SSA). The study provides practical insight into the potential cost of the considered terminal concession for private or public sector participants and a view of the most cost advantageous funding strategy available for interested investors.
目的撒哈拉以南非洲经济活动的增加导致了对港口发展的需求增加。鉴于国家公共资金往往稀缺,已实施港口体制改革方案,为吸纳外部港口投资者铺平道路。尽管如此,一些撒哈拉以南非洲国家政府在制度上仍然认为,国有企业仍然是港口码头运营的合适工具。尽管全球和非洲大陆的码头运营特许权越来越多地由全球码头运营商管理,但情况依然如此。在此背景下,本研究旨在评估不同的港口估价和融资策略。两个研究问题构成了本研究的核心:特许权的财务价值是什么?最具成本优势的融资策略是什么?该方法应用于SSA的双泊位集装箱码头的开发。设计/方法/方法在审查了一系列财务评估和融资技术后,本研究提出了评估和融资模型的适用性拟合测试。然后,选择合适的估价技术,并将其应用于提供特许权估价的案例研究。考虑到适用于SSA的当地环境和体制限制,将不同的融资策略应用于估值模型,以确定每种融资工具的成本影响。最后,该研究通过强调每种融资方法对关键财务指标的影响,讨论了结果对潜在SSA港口投资者的意义。研究结果本研究在考虑四种具体融资策略的情况下,为案例研究特许权提供了一系列金融投资评估结果。特许权估值最高可归因于作为主要融资策略的较高债务比率。此外,这种融资方式(100%债务)实现了最短的回收期和最高的内部回报率。然而,作者坚持认为,特许权的最佳融资策略最终取决于投资者的财务目标。独创性/价值这项研究通过提出一种结构化的估价和融资技术评估方法,对现有的港口融资和发展文献做出了贡献,该方法可在特定的当地背景和制度约束下用于码头开发(在这种情况下适用于SSA)。该研究为私营或公共部门参与者提供了对所考虑的终端特许权的潜在成本的实际见解,并为感兴趣的投资者提供了最具成本优势的融资策略。
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引用次数: 3
An econophysics approach to forecast bulk shipbuilding orderbook: an application of Newton’s law of gravitation 预测散装船舶订单的经济学方法——牛顿引力定律的应用
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-11-26 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-03-2020-0019
Q. Sakalayen, O. Duru, Enna Hirata
PurposeBulk shipping mostly facilitates the smooth flow of raw materials around the globe. Regardless, forecasting a bulk shipbuilding orderbook is a seldom researched domain in the academic arena. This study aims to pioneer an econophysics approach coupled with an autoregressive data analysis technique for bulk shipbuilding order forecasting.Design/methodology/approachBy offering an innovative forecasting method, this study provides a comprehensive but straightforward econophysics approach to forecast new shipbuilding order of bulk carrier. The model has been evaluated through autoregressive integrated moving average analysis, and the outcome indicates a relatively stable good fit.FindingsThe outcomes of the econophysics model indicate a relatively stable good fit. Although relevant maritime data and its quality need to be improved, the flexibility in refining the predictive variables ensure the robustness of this econophysics-based forecasting model.Originality/valueBy offering an innovative forecasting method, this study provides a comprehensive but straightforward econophysics approach to forecast new shipbuilding order of bulk carrier. The research result helps shipping investors make decision in a capital-intensive and uncertainty-prone environment.
目的散装运输主要促进原材料在全球的顺利流动。无论如何,预测散装造船订单是学术界很少研究的领域。本研究旨在开创一种经济物理学方法与自回归数据分析技术相结合的散装造船订单预测方法。设计/方法论/方法通过提供一种创新的预测方法,本研究为预测散货船新造船订单提供了一种全面而直接的经济学方法。通过自回归积分移动平均分析对该模型进行了评价,结果表明该模型具有相对稳定的良好拟合性。发现经济物理学模型的结果显示出相对稳定的良好拟合。尽管相关海事数据及其质量需要改进,但提炼预测变量的灵活性确保了这种基于经济物理学的预测模型的稳健性。独创性/价值通过提供一种创新的预测方法,本研究为预测散货船新造船订单提供了一种全面而直接的经济学方法。该研究结果有助于航运投资者在资本密集和不确定性倾向的环境中做出决策。
{"title":"An econophysics approach to forecast bulk shipbuilding orderbook: an application of Newton’s law of gravitation","authors":"Q. Sakalayen, O. Duru, Enna Hirata","doi":"10.1108/mabr-03-2020-0019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/mabr-03-2020-0019","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000Bulk shipping mostly facilitates the smooth flow of raw materials around the globe. Regardless, forecasting a bulk shipbuilding orderbook is a seldom researched domain in the academic arena. This study aims to pioneer an econophysics approach coupled with an autoregressive data analysis technique for bulk shipbuilding order forecasting.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000By offering an innovative forecasting method, this study provides a comprehensive but straightforward econophysics approach to forecast new shipbuilding order of bulk carrier. The model has been evaluated through autoregressive integrated moving average analysis, and the outcome indicates a relatively stable good fit.\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000The outcomes of the econophysics model indicate a relatively stable good fit. Although relevant maritime data and its quality need to be improved, the flexibility in refining the predictive variables ensure the robustness of this econophysics-based forecasting model.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000By offering an innovative forecasting method, this study provides a comprehensive but straightforward econophysics approach to forecast new shipbuilding order of bulk carrier. The research result helps shipping investors make decision in a capital-intensive and uncertainty-prone environment.\u0000","PeriodicalId":43865,"journal":{"name":"Maritime Business Review","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49576151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Assessment of port environmental protection in Taiwan 台湾港口环境保护评价
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-11-23 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-04-2020-0022
P. Tseng, Manwo Ng
PurposeThere are many different pollution reduction strategies even within different ports in the same country. Every port can learn from these environmental protection strategies. What remains universally key, though, is to select the optimum strategy to reduce pollution. This paper aims to use a fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) to prioritize the relative weights of key criteria assessing the port environmental protection and select the best port in Taiwan.Design/methodology/approachFour criteria and eleven sub-criteria of the FAHP model are developed through expert interviews and relevant literature review. Three alternative ports considered are Kaohsiung, Keelung and Taichung. The expert questionnaire samples (23) include four groups: shipping operators, port operators, governmental officials and academics.FindingsResults indicate that finance is the most important evaluation criteria, followed by port environmental policy, technology and stakeholders. Among the three ports compared, Kaohsiung Port is selected as the best port, followed by Keelung and Taichung port.Originality/valueThe result of this paper can help fill the gap in the existing literature regarding decision analysis techniques for port pollution regulation and expect to present a holistic picture of the important evaluation criteria related to port environmental protection as well as raise issues of public awareness concern and consequently improve green port sustainability.
目的即使在同一个国家的不同港口,也有许多不同的减少污染的策略。每个港口都可以从这些环境保护战略中学习。然而,选择减少污染的最佳策略仍然是普遍的关键。本文旨在利用模糊层次分析法(FAHP)对港口环境保护评价的关键标准的相对权重进行排序,选择台湾最佳港口。通过专家访谈和相关文献回顾,建立了FAHP模型的四个标准和十一个子标准。考虑的三个备选港口是高雄、基隆和台中。专家问卷样本(23)包括四组:航运运营商、港口运营商、政府官员和学者。结果表明,财务是最重要的评价标准,其次是港口环境政策、技术和利益相关者。在比较的三个港口中,高雄港被选为最佳港口,本文的研究结果有助于填补现有文献中关于港口污染治理决策分析技术的空白,并有望全面了解与港口环境保护相关的重要评估标准,提出公众关注的问题,从而改进绿色港口可持续性。
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引用次数: 7
The global trends of automated container terminal: a systematic literature review 自动化集装箱码头的全球发展趋势:系统的文献综述
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-10-26 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-03-2020-0016
W. K. Kon, N. A. Rahman, R. Hanafiah, Saharuddin Abdul Hamid
PurposeSince the first automated container terminal (ACT) was introduced at Europe Container Terminals Delta Terminal in Port Rotterdam back in the year 1992, a lot of research had been done to improve the management of ACT. However, up until recently, the number of literature available still appeared scarce. Hence, this paper aims to review the collection of literature about ACT to generate an exhaustive summary to answer the formulated review question in this study.Design/methodology/approachPreferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses to narrow down the search parameters of literature retrieved so that only relevant articles were only selected. The systematic literature reviews were applied to analyse the content of the articles retrieved to determine its journal ranking, research findings and timeline of publications.FindingsThe adoption of ACT technology by container terminal operators could increase the terminal efficiency in productivity, cost reduction and environmental sustainability. Owing to global environmental awareness, the research trend of container terminal field and container terminal operator in the terminal design is much more environmentally friendly oriented.Research limitations/implicationsThe limited numbers of experts in the management of ACT are causing challenges in data collections.Practical implicationsThe analysis of the global ACT trend could help academicians and industrial investors to review the revolution timeline of maritime technology in port and shipping that is happening rapidly.Originality/valueThe analysis of timeline and collective literature leads to the propose of the conceptual framework to determine the relationship between increased productivity, cost reduction and environmentally sustainable.
自1992年在鹿特丹港的欧洲集装箱码头三角洲码头引入第一个自动化集装箱码头(ACT)以来,已经做了大量的研究来改善ACT的管理。然而,直到最近,可用的文献数量仍然显得稀少。因此,本文旨在回顾有关ACT的文献收集,以产生一个详尽的总结,以回答本研究中制定的评论问题。设计/方法学/方法系统评价和荟萃分析的首选报告项目,以缩小检索文献的搜索参数,以便只选择相关的文章。采用系统文献综述分析被检索文章的内容,确定其期刊排名、研究成果和发表时间。研究结果集装箱码头运营商采用ACT技术可以提高码头的生产力、降低成本和环境可持续性。随着全球环保意识的增强,集装箱码头领域和集装箱码头运营者在码头设计方面的研究趋势越来越以环保为导向。研究限制/影响在ACT管理方面的专家数量有限,这给数据收集带来了挑战。实际意义对全球ACT趋势的分析可以帮助学者和工业投资者审查正在迅速发生的港口和航运海事技术的革命时间表。独创性/价值通过对时间线和集体文献的分析,提出了概念框架,以确定提高生产率、降低成本和环境可持续性之间的关系。
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引用次数: 13
Restructuring seafarers’ welfare under the Maritime Labour Convention: an empirical case study of Greece 根据《海事劳工公约》调整海员福利:希腊的实证案例研究
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-09-28 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-02-2020-0009
Pengfei Zhang, L. Zhao, Olga Vata, Sriram Rajagopal
PurposeThis paper aims to examine three of the major issues relating to the welfare of seafarers, including wages, social security benefits and onboard and ashore welfare facilities and services. It is impossible to research all countries here, so this paper selects Greece – which is one of today’s primary shipping countries as for shipowning, as well as for global supply and demand for seafarers – to conduct an empirical case study.Design/methodology/approachBased on the existing knowledge and scholarship, and primary data collected in several phases of fieldwork, this paper intends to critically examine three major issues relating to the welfare for Greek seafarers, namely, wages, social security benefits and onboard and ashore welfare facilities and services.FindingsThis paper finds that they face poor labour conditions, which are getting worse due to the depressed world and Greek economies and intense financial pressures on shipping companies. The entry into force of the Maritime Labour Convention 2006 has a significant impact on the world maritime industry.Research limitations/implicationsThis paper critically examines the three major issues relating to the welfare of Greek seafarers.Originality/valueSuch issues, which Greece is facing are also common in other countries, so the findings and suggestions revealed from this paper are of importance for the global shipping industry and other states.
本文旨在研究与海员福利有关的三个主要问题,包括工资、社会保障福利以及船上和岸上的福利设施和服务。这里不可能研究所有国家,因此本文选择希腊进行实证案例研究,希腊是当今船舶拥有权和全球海员供需的主要航运国家之一。设计/方法/方法基于现有的知识和学术研究,以及在实地工作的几个阶段收集的主要数据,本文打算严格审查与希腊海员福利有关的三个主要问题,即工资,社会保障福利以及船上和岸上的福利设施和服务。本文发现,他们面临着恶劣的劳动条件,由于世界和希腊经济的萧条以及航运公司的巨大财务压力,这种情况正在恶化。《2006年海事劳工公约》的生效对世界海运业产生了重大影响。研究限制/影响本文批判性地考察了与希腊海员福利有关的三个主要问题。希腊面临的这些问题在其他国家也很常见,因此本文的发现和建议对全球航运业和其他国家都具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 9
Exploring potential cruisers behavior based on a preference model: the Japanese cruise market 基于偏好模型探索潜在邮轮行为:日本邮轮市场
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-08-24 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-03-2020-0011
T. Kawasaki, Yui-yip Lau
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to analyze the preferences of potential Japanese cruise ship tourists and identify the factors influencing their participation in cruise ship tourism. In the analysis, preference for cruise ports in East Asia is also examined.Design/methodology/approachThe behavioral model of potential cruiser is developed through a mixed ordered logit approach. The data are collected by means of the stated preference method with the application of a Web-based questionnaire. Multiple answers are collected from each respondent. Hence, panel effects between answers are considered so as to obtain a robust model.FindingsThe results show that Nagasaki and Hong Kong ports are preferred, and other domestic ports, namely, Kobe, Kagoshima, and Naha are also relatively popular places to visit. However, potential Japanese cruisers are reluctant to visit two South Korean destinations which are frequently selected as cruise lines by avoiding Cabotage rule. Besides, shorter cruise duration and lower prices increase the possibility of participation in cruise tourism, particularly for working people. Retirees tend to have less interest in cruise tourism. However, Japanese-related services will increase retirees’ intentions to participate in cruise tourism.Research limitations/implicationsThis study attempts to analyze potential cruisers’ behavior toward cruise ship tourism in Japan and discusses how to increase the number of cruisers participating in cruise ship tourism. In this vein, repeat behavior should also be analyzed. Repeat behavior contributes to the maintenance and increase in cruisers in Japan.Originality/valueThere is no study on potential cruiser’s behavior analysis in Japan which is the emerging country as cruise market. Thus, the number of potential cruisers is expected to be high. This study reveals that potential cruisers’ preferences on cruise ship services (e.g. duration, price, on board services, etc.), which are separately analysed for working ages and retirees. Besides, preferences on port of calls in East Asian context are revealed. These results are useful for cruise ship industries, especially for cruise lines.
目的本研究的目的是分析潜在日本邮轮游客的偏好,并找出影响他们参与邮轮旅游的因素。在分析中,对东亚邮轮港口的偏好也进行了审查。设计/方法/方法采用混合有序logit方法建立了潜在巡洋舰的行为模型。采用基于网络的问卷调查,采用陈述偏好法收集数据。从每个应答者处收集多个答案。因此,考虑了答案之间的面板效应,以获得稳健的模型。结果显示,长崎和香港港口是首选,其他国内港口,即神户,鹿儿岛和那霸也是相对受欢迎的旅游地点。然而,潜在的日本巡洋舰不愿意访问经常被选为巡洋舰的两个韩国目的地,因为它们避免了海岸航行规则。此外,较短的巡航时间和较低的价格增加了参与邮轮旅游的可能性,特别是对于劳动人民。退休人员往往对邮轮旅游不太感兴趣。然而,与日本相关的服务将增加退休人员参与邮轮旅游的意愿。研究局限/启示本研究试图分析日本潜在的邮轮游客对邮轮旅游的行为,并探讨如何增加邮轮游客参与邮轮旅游的数量。同样地,重复行为也应该被分析。重复行为有助于日本巡洋舰的维护和增加。原创性/价值日本作为新兴的邮轮市场,目前还没有对潜在的邮轮用户行为进行分析研究。因此,潜在巡洋舰的数量预计会很高。这项研究揭示了潜在游客对邮轮服务的偏好(例如航程、价格、船上服务等),并分别就工作年龄和退休人员进行了分析。此外,还揭示了东亚地区对停靠港的偏好。这些结果对邮轮行业,特别是邮轮公司是有用的。
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引用次数: 8
Ship routing and scheduling systems: forecasting, upscaling and viability 船舶路线和调度系统:预测、升级和可行性
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2020-08-20 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-04-2020-0027
Said El Noshokaty
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to resolve three problems in ship routing and scheduling systems. Problem 1 is the anticipation of the future cargo transport demand when the shipping models are stochastic based on this demand. Problem 2 is the capacity of these models in processing large number of ships and cargoes within a reasonable time. Problem 3 is the viability of tramp shipping when it comes to real problems.Design/methodology/approachA commodity-trade forecasting system is developed, an information technology platform is designed and new shipping elements are added to the models to resolve tramp problems of en-route ship bunkering, low-tide port calls and hold-cleaning cost caused by carrying incompatible cargoes.FindingsMore realistic stochastic cargo quantity and freight can now be anticipated, larger number of ships and cargoes are now processed in time and shipping systems are becoming more viable.Practical implicationsMore support goes to ship owners to make better shipping decisions.Originality/valueNew norms are established in forecasting, upscaling and viability in ship routing and scheduling systems.
目的本文的目的是解决船舶路径和调度系统中的三个问题。问题1是当基于这种需求的运输模型是随机的时,对未来货物运输需求的预期。问题2是这些模型在合理时间内处理大量船舶和货物的能力。当涉及到实际问题时,问题3是不定期运输的可行性。设计/方法/方法开发了一个商品贸易预测系统,设计了一个信息技术平台,并在模型中添加了新的航运元素,以解决途中船舶加油、退潮港口停靠和因运输不兼容货物而导致的货舱清洁成本等不定期问题。发现现在可以预测更现实的随机货物数量和运费,现在可以及时处理更多的船只和货物,航运系统变得更加可行。实际意义更多支持船东做出更好的运输决策。独创性/价值在船舶路线和调度系统的预测、升级和可行性方面建立了新的规范。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Maritime Business Review
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