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Organizational justice perception and organizational citizenship behavior of shipyard workers: the role of identification and emotional intelligence 船厂工人组织公平感知与组织公民行为:认同与情商的作用
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-28 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-08-2020-0054
Murat Yorulmaz, A. Karabacak
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to review whether organization identification has a role of mediation and whether emotional intelligence (EI) has a role of moderating in the relationship between organizational justice perception (OJP) and organizational citizenship behavior (OCB).Design/methodology/approachIn order to achieve the aim of the research, the data obtained from 388 employees of six shipyards in Yalova-Altinova Shipyards by survey technique were analyzed. To test the research hypotheses, SPSS (v22) PROCESS macro (v3.4) plugin developed by Hayes (2019) and Model 4 and Model 5 were used via the Bootstrap 5,000 sampling technique.FindingsThis study found that OJP impacts organizational identification (OI) and OCB. In addition, the research findings indicate that OI positively impacts OCB. This research reveals that OI played a mediating role in the relationship between OJP and OCB. However, the authors do not find support for the hypothesis that direct effect of OJP on OCB differs depending on the level of EI level.Research limitations/implicationsThe major limitation of this study is its sample that included only employees in shipyards. The results of this study will hopefully offer important insights into understanding and directing the human resources in shipyards conducting activities of construction, manufacturing, maintenance on the ships available at the center of maritime transportations.Originality/valueThis study draws attention to the causal relationships between the perception of OJP, OCB, OI and EI, which affect the organizational attitudes and behaviors of employees.
目的本研究的目的是考察组织认同是否在组织公正感知(OJP)和组织公民行为(OCB)之间的关系中起到中介作用,以及情商(EI)是否在组织公民行为与组织公正感知之间起到调节作用,对雅洛娃-阿尔蒂诺娃船厂6个船厂388名员工的调查资料进行了分析。为了检验研究假设,通过Bootstrap 5000采样技术使用了Hayes(2019)开发的SPSS(v22)PROCESS宏(v3.4)插件以及模型4和模型5。研究发现OJP影响组织识别(OI)和OCB。此外,研究结果表明OI对OCB有积极影响。本研究表明,OI在OJP和OCB之间的关系中起着中介作用。然而,作者没有发现支持OJP对OCB的直接影响因EI水平的不同而不同的假设。研究局限性/含义本研究的主要局限性在于其样本仅包括造船厂的员工。这项研究的结果有望为理解和指导造船厂的人力资源提供重要见解,这些造船厂对处于海上运输中心的船舶进行建造、制造和维护活动。原创性/价值本研究关注OJP、OCB、OI和EI感知之间的因果关系,这些关系会影响员工的组织态度和行为。
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引用次数: 3
An empirical study of the performance of weather routing service in the North Pacific Ocean 北太平洋天气路由服务性能的实证研究
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-28 DOI: 10.1108/mabr-11-2020-0066
Chaur-Luh Tsai, Dong-Taur Su, Chun-Pong Wong
PurposeThe objective of this research is to examine the performance of weather routing service in the North Pacific Ocean based on a global container shipping company.Design/methodology/approachThe data comprise two passages: one that departs from the port of Taipei to the port of Los Angeles (TPE-LAX) and another that departs from the port of Tacoma to the port of Kaohsiung (TCM-KSG). A weather routing service was utilized to compare the differences of the distance, sailing time and fuel consumed among different voyages.FindingsResults indicated that the average speed of vessel in winter is faster than in summer. The vessels consumed much more fuel in the winter than they did in the summer. In terms of the distance of the passage, the results show that the ships' sailing distance across the North Pacific Ocean in the summer was shorter than it was in the winter.Research limitations/implicationsDue to the difficultly of practical data collection, relatively few sailing records were employed in this study. It is suggested that additional sailing records should be collected, which adopt weather routing recommendations, to more comprehensively analyze sailing performance in future research.Practical implicationsThe study's findings offer valuable guidance to different stakeholders in the maritime industry (e.g. seafarers, marine hull and machinery companies, Protection and Indemnity Club (P&I), ocean container carriers and freight forwarders) to clarify their responsibilities in order to achieve desired sailing outcomes.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors' knowledge, the current study is the first research to utilize practical sailing data to provide objective evidence of sailing performance based on a weather routing service, which can assist various stakeholders to make optimal decisions.
目的本研究旨在以一家全球集装箱运输公司为研究对象,考察北太平洋天气路由服务的绩效。设计/方法/方法数据包括两个通道:一个从台北港出发到洛杉矶港(TPE-LAX),另一个从塔科马港出发到高雄港(TCM-KSG)。利用天气路线服务来比较不同航程之间的距离、航行时间和燃料消耗的差异。结果表明,冬季船舶平均航速高于夏季。这些船只在冬天消耗的燃料比夏天多得多。就航道距离而言,结果表明,夏季船只穿越北太平洋的航行距离比冬季短。研究局限性/含义由于实际数据收集的困难,本研究中使用的航行记录相对较少。建议收集更多的航行记录,采用天气路线建议,以便在未来的研究中更全面地分析航行性能。实际意义该研究结果为海事行业的不同利益相关者(如海员、船体和机械公司、保赔俱乐部、海运集装箱承运人和货运代理)提供了宝贵的指导,以澄清他们的责任,从而实现预期的航行结果。原创性/价值据作者所知,目前的研究是第一项利用实际航行数据提供基于天气路线服务的航行性能客观证据的研究,可以帮助各种利益相关者做出最佳决策。
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引用次数: 0
Vocational awareness and aspiration of seafaring students in Taiwan 台湾航海学生的职业意识与抱负
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-09 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-12-2019-0063
C. Wong
PurposeThis study aims to examine variables and factors in vocational awareness and attitudes that affect the vocational aspiration of seafaring course students who are potential future seafaring employees.Design/methodology/approachA literature review was conducted to identify factors that prompt students in seafaring courses to pursue seafaring careers, followed by a design of preliminary questionnaire questions to survey students’ perception on the conditions of seafaring careers (i.e. vocational awareness) and their intention to pursue a seafaring career (i.e., vocational aspiration). A total of 744 seafaring course students in four Taiwanese universities completed a questionnaire developed according to the previous studies. A structured equation modelling was conducted in this research including model validity, goodness of fit, model correction and mediation effects.FindingsWith a model consisting of four factors for vocational awareness, three factors for overall attitudes and vocational aspiration as a dependent variable, the results showed that factors of vocational awareness and students’ overall attitudes were significantly correlated, and the factors of overall attitudes exhibit strong mediation effects on vocational aspiration from vocational awareness. The results confirmed that the factors are important determinants for the vocational aspiration of students.Originality/valueThe findings of this study provide a comprehensive approach to understand students’ seafaring aspiration for the universities, governments and shipping companies. Seafaring policies and management are discussed from the research findings.
目的本研究旨在探讨航海课程学生职业意识与态度中影响未来潜在航海员工职业意愿的变量与因素。设计/方法/方法进行文献综述,以确定促使航海课程学生从事航海职业的因素,然后设计初步问卷问题,以调查学生对航海职业条件的看法(即职业意识)和他们从事航海职业的意图(即职业抱负)。本研究以台湾四所大学744名航海专业学生为研究对象,根据先前的研究结果,制作问卷。本研究采用结构方程建模,包括模型效度、拟合优度、模型校正和中介效应。以职业意识四因子、整体态度三因子和职业理想为因变量的模型结果显示,职业意识因子与学生整体态度显著相关,整体态度因子对职业理想具有较强的中介作用。结果证实,这些因素是学生职业愿望的重要决定因素。原创性/价值本研究的发现为大学、政府和航运公司了解学生的航海愿望提供了一个全面的方法。从研究结果出发,讨论了航海政策和管理。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing productivity of ship chandlers’ trucks at the port for sustainability 提高港口船运卡车的生产力以实现可持续发展
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-09 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-12-2020-0068
Muhammad Syafiq Essi, Yingsi Chen, Hui Shan Loh, Yimiao Gu
PurposeShip chandlers’ trucks are now facing challenges owing to their job characteristics, which will lead to low productivity of trucks, congestions and pollutions at the port. The aim of this paper is to identify important causes and the effects of low truck productivity at the port under the demand of sustainable development.Design/methodology/approachBased on the literature review, potential causes and relevant analysis are developed and carried out by using a systematic approach, incorporating in-depth interviews with experts, cause analysis and risk management process.FindingsResults from the research framework showed that a lack of communication with the port, late arrival of ships, truck congestion and fragmented deliveries are the most important factors that led to low truck productivity at the port. A solution that combines an integrated system that shares real-time information with the port, a consolidation hub and a truck-pooling platform is proposed to comply with green port concepts, together with factors considerations.Originality/valueAlthough the operation of ship chandlers’ trucks is a derived business in overall port operations, it is an indispensable element at the port. The findings present a new insight to the relationship between ship chandlers’ trucks productivity and port operation efficiency for industry practitioners and port policymakers.
目的性搬运车由于其工作特点,目前面临着卡车生产效率低、港口拥堵、污染等问题的挑战。本文的目的是在可持续发展的要求下,找出港口卡车生产力低下的重要原因和影响。设计/方法/方法在文献综述的基础上,采用系统的方法,结合专家深度访谈、原因分析和风险管理流程,制定并实施潜在原因和相关分析。研究结果表明,缺乏与港口的沟通,船舶迟到,卡车拥堵和分散交付是导致港口卡车生产力低下的最重要因素。提出了一种解决方案,结合了一个与港口共享实时信息的集成系统,一个整合中心和一个卡车共享平台,以符合绿色港口的概念,并考虑了各种因素。原创性/价值虽然装卸船工人的卡车业务在整个港口业务中是一项派生业务,但它是港口不可缺少的组成部分。研究结果为行业从业者和港口政策制定者提供了一种新的视角,以了解船舶装卸工人的卡车生产率与港口运营效率之间的关系。
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引用次数: 1
The durability of economic indicators in container shipping demand: a case study of East Asia–US container transport 集装箱运输需求中经济指标的持久性——以东亚-美国集装箱运输为例
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-09 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-12-2020-0075
T. Kawasaki, Takuma Matsuda, Yui-yip Lau, Xiaowen Fu
PurposeIn the maritime industry, it is vital to have a reliable forecast of container shipping demand. Although indicators of economic conditions have been used in modeling container shipping demand on major routes such as those from East Asia to the USA, the duration of such indicators’ effects on container movement demand have not been systematically examined. To bridge this gap in research, this study aims to identify the important US economic indicators that significantly affect the volume of container movements and empirically reveal the duration of such impacts.Design/methodology/approachThe durability of economic indicators on container movements is identified by a vector autoregression (VAR) model using monthly-based time-series data. In the VAR model, this paper can analyze the effect of economic indicators at t-k on container movement at time t. In the model, this paper considers nine US economic indicators as explanatory variables that are likely to affect container movements. Time-series data are used for 228 months from January 2001 to December 2019.FindingsIn the mainland China route, “building permission” receives high impact and has a duration of 14 months, reflecting the fact that China exports a high volume of housing-related goods to the USA. Regarding the South Korea and Japan routes, where high volumes of machinery goods are exported to the USA, the “index of industrial production” receives a high impact with 11 and 13 months’ duration, respectively. On the Taiwan route, as several types of goods are transported with significant shares, “building permits” and “index of industrial production” have important effects.Originality/valueFreight demand forecasting for bulk cargo is a popular research field because of the public availability of several time-series data. However, no study to date has measured the impact and durability of economic indicators on container movement. To bridge the gap in the literature in terms of the impact of economic indicators and their durability, this paper developed a time-series model of the container movement from East Asia to the USA.
目的在航运业中,对集装箱运输需求进行可靠的预测是至关重要的。虽然经济条件指标已被用于模拟主要航线上的集装箱运输需求,例如从东亚到美国的航线,但这些指标对集装箱运输需求影响的持续时间尚未得到系统的检验。为了弥合研究中的这一差距,本研究旨在确定显著影响集装箱运输量的重要美国经济指标,并从经验上揭示这种影响的持续时间。设计/方法/方法集装箱移动的经济指标的持久性是通过使用基于月的时间序列数据的向量自回归(VAR)模型来确定的。在VAR模型中,本文可以分析t-k时刻的经济指标对t时刻集装箱运动的影响。在模型中,本文考虑了9个美国经济指标作为可能影响集装箱运动的解释变量。时间序列数据使用了从2001年1月到2019年12月的228个月。在中国大陆路线中,“建筑许可”受到很大的影响,持续时间为14个月,反映了中国向美国出口大量住房相关商品的事实。对于向美国出口大量机械产品的韩国和日本航线,“工业生产指数”受到的影响分别为11个月和13个月。在台湾航线上,由于几类货物的运输份额较大,“建筑许可”和“工业生产指数”具有重要作用。原创性/价值散货货运需求预测是一个受欢迎的研究领域,因为几个时间序列数据的公开可用性。然而,迄今为止还没有研究衡量经济指标对集装箱运输的影响和持久性。为了弥补文献中关于经济指标影响及其持久性的空白,本文建立了东亚到美国集装箱运输的时间序列模型。
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引用次数: 2
Shipping managers’ information behavior during a pandemic crisis 大流行危机期间航运管理者的信息行为
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-10-2020-0062
Kelly Gerakoudi-Ventouri
PurposeA significant body of literature suggests that shipping companies operate in an extremely volatile and risky environment, relying on the effective use of information to remain competitive. However, decision-making in this market is demanding because of the high uncertainty, market competition and significant capital investments. Moreover, the rapid spread of COVID-19 renders information uncertainty a daunting challenge for companies engaged in global trade. Hence, this study aims to explore the information behavior of managers in a time of crisis seems compelling.Design/methodology/approachThis study provides novel insights into the information behavior of senior managers by adopting a qualitative approach. Forty-nine semi-structured face-to-face interviews with individuals from Hellenic shipping companies were conducted. Moreover, this study explores the extant theory qualitatively, using the grounded theory methodology and shows that an unprecedented event (pandemic crisis) can redefine the information behavior of managers.FindingsThis study highlights the importance of information in decision-making. Moreover, the results show that, during a pandemic, managers resort to alternative information sources, adopt collaborative information behaviors and take advantage of digital technology.Originality/valueThere is limited research in exploring the information behavior of managers in times of pandemics. This research underscores the fact that during a crisis, managers seek information from digital information resources and decision-making assumes a more decentralized form. This study concludes with a discussion of the theoretical and practical implications of these findings.
目的大量文献表明,航运公司在极其动荡和危险的环境中运营,依靠有效利用信息来保持竞争力。然而,由于高度的不确定性、市场竞争和大量的资本投资,这个市场的决策要求很高。此外,新冠肺炎的迅速传播使信息的不确定性成为从事全球贸易的公司面临的严峻挑战。因此,本研究旨在探讨危机时期管理者的信息行为。设计/方法论/方法本研究采用定性方法,对高级管理人员的信息行为提供了新的见解。对来自希腊航运公司的个人进行了49次半结构化的面对面访谈。此外,本研究采用扎根的理论方法,对现存的理论进行了定性探索,并表明一个前所未有的事件(疫情危机)可以重新定义管理者的信息行为。发现这项研究强调了信息在决策中的重要性。此外,研究结果表明,在疫情期间,管理者会求助于替代信息来源,采取协作信息行为,并利用数字技术。独创性/价值探讨流行病时期管理者的信息行为的研究有限。这项研究强调了一个事实,即在危机期间,管理者从数字信息资源中寻求信息,决策呈现出更加分散的形式。本研究最后讨论了这些发现的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
An investigation on behavioral biases in ship investments of small-sized shipping companies 小型航运公司船舶投资行为偏差调查
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-08-2020-0049
E. F. Akgül, I. B. Cetin
PurposeThis study aims to explain the facts about behavioral biases that cannot be explained by rational patterns in ship investments of small-size shipping companies.Design/methodology/approachA qualitative approach was adopted in this study. The systematic approach of Wolcott (1994) and the action flows proposed by Miles and Huberman (1994) were taken into consideration.FindingsFactors affecting ship investments are classified as ship finance, market timing, ship specifications and profile and business models of ship investors. In addition, behavioral biases that stand out under each theme are explained in the light of behavioral finance literature.Originality/valueThe originality of this study rests on the lack of studies on behavioral aspects of ship investments.
目的本研究旨在解释小型航运公司船舶投资中无法用理性模式解释的行为偏差的事实。设计/方法/方法本研究采用定性方法。考虑了Wolcott(1994)的系统方法和Miles和Huberman(1994)提出的行动流程。影响船舶投资的因素分为船舶融资、市场时机、船舶规格和概况以及船舶投资者的商业模式。此外,从行为金融学文献的角度解释了每个主题下突出的行为偏差。独创性/价值本研究的独创性在于缺乏对船舶投资行为方面的研究。
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引用次数: 2
Market structure of short sea shipping in northeast Asia 东北亚短途海运市场结构研究
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-06-07 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-08-2020-0050
So-Young Park, Simon S. Woo, Polin Lai
PurposeShort-sea shipping (SSS) plays an important role in regional transportation networks by supporting regional trade and improving inter-modality. In particular, countries in north-east Asia, such as China, South Korea and Japan have been served well by local SSS services. While SSS markets in Northeast Asia (NEA) have been developed by bilateral routes with sub-markets, the market structure of each sub-markets varies depending on concentration and competition levels as well as government intervention. The purpose of this paper is to analyse the market structure of SSS markets in the Northeast Asia.Design/methodology/approachHerfindahl–Hirschman Index (HHI) and concentration ratio are adopted to measure the market concentration from 2013 to 2017 for SSS markets in NEA. Additionally, the balance between supply and demand is investigated by measuring the capacity utilisation factor (CUF) based on slot capacity.FindingsThe market structure in the NEA SSS markets is influenced by firms’ behaviour under different levels of governmental intervention. Shipping firms in a market with more governmental intervention in market entry tend to focus on balancing supply and demand rather than increasing market share, whereas firms in a market with less intervention (and more competition) tend to increase their market share by pursuing efficient capacity management.Research limitations/implicationsThe period of data set is limited to 2013–2017. Furthermore, prices or revenue for specific routes are not available.Originality/valueThis paper sheds light on the market structure and behaviour of players in SSS market. In addition, the work has value to measure capacity utilisation based on slot capacity.
目的短海航运通过支持区域贸易和改善多式联运方式,在区域运输网络中发挥着重要作用。特别是,中国、韩国和日本等东北亚国家得到了当地SSS服务的良好服务。虽然东北亚的SSS市场是通过与子市场的双边路线开发的,但每个子市场的市场结构因集中度和竞争水平以及政府干预而有所不同。本文旨在分析东北亚SSS市场的市场结构。设计/方法/方法采用赫芬达尔-赫希曼指数(HHI)和集中度比率来衡量2013年至2017年NEA SSS市场的市场集中度。此外,还通过测量基于插槽容量的容量利用率(CUF)来研究供需之间的平衡。发现NEA SSS市场的市场结构受到不同政府干预水平下企业行为的影响。在政府对市场进入干预较多的市场中,航运公司往往专注于平衡供需,而不是增加市场份额,而在干预较少(竞争较多)的市场中的公司往往通过追求高效的运力管理来增加市场份额。研究局限性/含义数据集的期限限制在2013-2017年。此外,具体路线的价格或收入不可用。原创性/价值本文揭示了SSS市场的市场结构和参与者的行为。此外,这项工作对基于插槽容量来衡量容量利用率具有价值。
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引用次数: 5
Global risk factors of NYSE- and NASDAQ-listed shipping companies’ stock returns 纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克上市航运公司股票收益的全球风险因素
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-09-2020-0059
N. Laopodis
PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the impact of global macro and other risk factors of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)- and National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ)-listed shipping companies’ stock returns from January 2001 to December 2019.Design/methodology/approachThe methodological design includes multi-factor regressions for individual companies, augmented versions of these regressions to examine the likely impact of additional factors and finally panel regressions to assess the impact risk factors on all companies simultaneously. Estimations are done via ordinary least squares and the generalized method of moments.FindingsMulti-factor model results showed that some of the US-specific and global macro risk factors surfaced as statistically significant for most of the companies and appeared to exhibit a consistent pattern in the way they affected shipping stocks. Thus, these companies’ exposures emanate mostly from the general US market’s movements and to a lesser extent from other firm-specific factors. Second, from the results of panel specifications, this study observes that domestic risk factors such as unemployment, inflation rates and industrial production growth emerged as significant for the NYSE-listed companies. As regard, the NASDAQ-listed ones, it was found that Libor and the G20 inflation rate were also affecting their stock returns.Research limitations/implicationsCompanies examined are listed only in the US’s NYSE and NASDAQ. Hence, companies listed elsewhere were excluded. It may be concluded that these US exchange-listed companies abide mostly by domestic fundamentals and to some extent to selected global factors.Practical implicationsThe significance of the findings in this study pertains to global investors and shipping companies’ managers alike. Specifically, given the differential sensitivities of the shipping companies to various risk factors (and the global business cycle, in general), it is possible to view the shipping companies’ stocks as a separate, alternate asset class in a global, well-diversified portfolio. Thus, such a broader portfolio would permit investors to earn positive returns and reduce overall risk. Managers of shipping companies would also benefit from the findings in this study in the sense that they should better understand the varying exposures of their companies to changing global and domestic macro conditions and successfully navigate their companies through business cycles.Originality/valueResearch on the global shipping industry has lagged behind and was mainly concentrated on the investigation of the sources of shipping finance and capital structure of shipping companies, investment and valuation, corporate governance and risk measurement and management. Empirical research on the potential micro and macro determinants of the stock returns of shipping companies, however, is scant. This paper fills the gap in the literature of identifyi
目的研究2001年1月至2019年12月纽约证券交易所(NYSE)和美国证券交易商协会(NASDAQ)上市航运公司股票收益率的全球宏观和其他风险因素的影响,这些回归的增强版本,以检查额外因素的可能影响,最后是面板回归,以同时评估风险因素对所有公司的影响。估计是通过普通最小二乘法和广义矩量法完成的。发现多因素模型结果显示,一些美国特定和全球宏观风险因素对大多数公司来说具有统计学意义,并且在影响航运股的方式上似乎表现出一致的模式。因此,这些公司的风险敞口主要来自美国市场的总体走势,而在较小程度上来自其他公司的特定因素。其次,从面板规范的结果来看,本研究观察到,失业率、通货膨胀率和工业生产增长等国内风险因素对纽约证券交易所上市公司来说是重要的。对于纳斯达克上市公司,发现伦敦银行同业拆借利率和二十国集团通胀率也影响了其股票收益率。研究局限性/影响受调查的公司仅在美国纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克上市。因此,在其他地方上市的公司被排除在外。可以得出的结论是,这些美国交易所上市公司大多遵守国内基本面,并在一定程度上遵守选定的全球因素。实际意义这项研究的发现对全球投资者和航运公司的经理都有意义。具体而言,考虑到航运公司对各种风险因素(以及全球商业周期)的不同敏感性,可以将航运公司的股票视为全球多元化投资组合中的一个单独的替代资产类别。因此,这样一个更广泛的投资组合将使投资者获得正回报,并降低整体风险。航运公司的管理者也将从这项研究的发现中受益,因为他们应该更好地了解公司在不断变化的全球和国内宏观条件下的不同风险敞口,并成功地引导公司度过商业周期。独创性/价值对全球航运业的研究滞后,主要集中在对航运公司的航运融资来源和资本结构、投资和估值、公司治理以及风险计量和管理的调查。然而,关于航运公司股票回报的潜在微观和宏观决定因素的实证研究却很少。本文填补了在高度金融一体化的世界中,识别和评估影响航运公司股票回报的各种宏观经济、美国和国际风险的文献空白。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of the 2020 global sulfur cap on maritime CO2 emissions 2020年全球硫上限对海洋二氧化碳排放的影响
IF 3 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.1108/MABR-12-2020-0069
V. Zisi, H. Psaraftis, T. Zis
PurposeAs of January 1, 2020, the upper limit of sulfur emissions outside emission control areas decreased from 3.5% to 0.5%. This paper aims to present some of the challenges associated with the implementation of the sulfur cap and investigates its possible side effects as regard the drive of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Even though it would appear that the two issues (desulfurization and decarbonization) are unrelated, it turns out that there are important cross-linkages between them, which have not been examined, at least by the regulators.Design/methodology/approachA literature review and a qualitative risk assessment of possible CO2 contributors are presented first. A cost-benefit analysis is then conducted on a specific case study, so as to assess the financial, as well as the environmental impact of two main compliance choices, in terms of CO2 and sulfur oxide.FindingsFrom a financial perspective, the choice of a scrubber ranks better comparing to a marine gas oil (MGO) choice because of the price difference between MGO and heavy fuel oil. However, and under different price scenarios, the scrubber choice remains sustainable only for big vessels. It is noticed that small containerships cannot outweigh the capital cost of a scrubber investment and are more sensitive in different fuel price scenarios. From an environmental perspective, scrubber ranks better than MGO in the assessment of overall emissions.Research limitations/implicationsFuel price data in this paper was based on 2019 data. As this paper was being written, the COVID-19 pandemic created a significant upheaval in global trade flows, cargo demand and fuel prices. This made any attempt to perform even a rudimentary ex-post evaluation of the 2020 sulfur cap virtually impossible. Due to limited data, such an evaluation would be extremely difficult even under normal circumstances. This paper nevertheless made a brief analysis to investigate possible COVID-19 impacts.Practical implicationsThe main implication is that the global sulfur cap will increase CO2 emissions. In that sense, this should be factored in the IMO greenhouse gas discussion.Originality/valueAccording to the knowledge of the authors, no analysis examining the impact of the 2020 sulfur cap on CO2 emissions has yet been conducted in the scientific literature.
目的截至2020年1月1日,排放控制区外的硫排放上限从3.5%降至0.5%。本文旨在介绍与实施硫上限相关的一些挑战,并调查其在国际海事组织(IMO)推动减少二氧化碳(CO2)排放方面可能产生的副作用。尽管这两个问题(脱硫和脱碳)似乎无关,但事实证明,它们之间存在重要的交叉联系,至少监管机构尚未对此进行审查。设计/方法/方法首先介绍了文献综述和对可能的二氧化碳贡献者的定性风险评估。然后对一个具体的案例研究进行成本效益分析,以评估两种主要合规选择(二氧化碳和硫氧化物)的财务和环境影响。发现从财务角度来看,与船用天然气油(MGO)相比,洗涤器的选择排名更好,因为MGO和重燃料油之间存在价格差异。然而,在不同的价格情况下,洗涤器的选择仍然是可持续的,只有大型船只。值得注意的是,小型集装箱船无法超过洗涤器投资的资本成本,在不同的燃料价格情况下更为敏感。从环境角度来看,洗涤器在总体排放评估中的排名高于MGO。研究局限性/含义本文中的燃料价格数据基于2019年的数据。在撰写本文时,新冠肺炎大流行对全球贸易流动、货物需求和燃料价格造成了重大动荡。这使得任何对2020年硫上限进行初步事后评估的尝试几乎都是不可能的。由于数据有限,即使在正常情况下,这样的评估也极为困难。尽管如此,本文还是进行了简要分析,以调查新冠肺炎可能产生的影响。实际含义主要含义是全球硫上限将增加二氧化碳排放量。从这个意义上说,海事组织的温室气体讨论应该考虑到这一点。原创性/价值据作者所知,科学文献中尚未对2020年硫上限对二氧化碳排放的影响进行分析。
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引用次数: 6
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Maritime Business Review
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