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The Risk and Reward Management in Innovation Portfolios: A Markovian Approach 创新投资组合中的风险与回报管理:一种马尔可夫方法
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-13 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0013
S. Chión, V. Charles
Today, innovation is perceived as a source of competitive advantage for firms, playing a vital role in both the survival and growth of firms. A general look at the existing literature on innovation points toward a lack of studies that explore the risk and reward topic in the conformation of innovation portfolios in a firm. Hence, the main purpose of the present paper is to analyse the relationship between investment in innovation and the gain of the process and how this relationship is affected by the type of industry in which the firm operates and by the intervention of the authorities (legal protection of innovation). Among others, results indicate that, contrary to what could be expected, firms would tend to invest in disruptive innovation projects in hard innovative industries, wherein the potential, disruptive innovation is much harder to generate given the natural protection against potential competition that characterizes these industries. On the other hand, investment in disruptive innovation in soft innovative industries would require a framework of legal protection in accordance with the level of natural innovativeness of the industry. In terms of practical implications, the management of the legal protection would be socially desirable for achieving a balanced innovation development framework in the economy, as well as for resource allocations in disruptive innovation in industries where, although it is easier to be successful, its usufruct is difficult.
今天,创新被视为企业竞争优势的来源,在企业的生存和发展中发挥着至关重要的作用。从现有的创新文献来看,缺乏探索企业创新投资组合构成中的风险和回报主题的研究。因此,本文的主要目的是分析创新投资与过程收益之间的关系,以及这种关系如何受到企业经营的行业类型和当局干预(创新的法律保护)的影响。除其他外,研究结果表明,与预期相反,企业倾向于投资于硬创新行业的颠覆性创新项目,其中,鉴于这些行业的特点是对潜在竞争的自然保护,潜在的破坏性创新更难产生。另一方面,对软创新产业颠覆性创新的投资需要根据该产业的自然创新水平建立法律保护框架。就实际影响而言,法律保护的管理对于在经济中实现平衡的创新发展框架,以及在破坏性创新的行业中进行资源分配是社会可取的,在这些行业中,尽管更容易取得成功,但其用益权却很难。
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引用次数: 2
Characteristics of the Analytic Network Process, a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Method 多准则决策方法——分析网络过程的特点
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-13 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0018
Nikola Kadoić
The Analytic Network Process (ANP) is one of the most complex multi-criteria decision-making methods. It was developed by Professor Thomas Saaty, who
网络分析法(ANP)是最复杂的多准则决策方法之一。它是由托马斯·萨蒂教授开发的,他
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引用次数: 19
Cluster Detection in the Noisy Environment by Using the Modified EM Algorithm 基于改进EM算法的噪声环境下的聚类检测
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0017
V. Novoselac, Zlatko Pavić
The paper studies the problem of a cluster detection in the noisy environment. The solution of this problem is based on the well known Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. By utilizing the Mahalanobis distance, and modifying the hidden variable, the rejection procedure is constructed so that it omits data from calculation of the current iteration step. Thus we construct the adaptive framework for solving the above problem. Several numerical examples are presented to illustrate the proposed algorithm.
本文研究了噪声环境下的聚类检测问题。这个问题的解决方案是基于众所周知的期望最大化(EM)算法。通过利用Mahalanobis距离,并修改隐藏变量,构造了拒绝过程,从而省略了当前迭代步骤的计算数据。因此,我们构建了解决上述问题的自适应框架。给出了几个算例来说明所提出的算法。
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引用次数: 2
An Improved Robust Regression Model for Response Surface Methodology 一种改进的响应面方法的稳健回归模型
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0025
E. Edionwe, J. I. Mbegbu, N. Ekhosuehi, H. Obiora-Ilouno
In production, manufacturing and several other allied industries, appropriate tool is applied in the analysis of data in order to enhance the opportunity for product and process optimization. A statistical tool that has successfully been used to achieve this goal is Response Surface Methodology (RSM). A recent trend in the modeling phase of RSM involves the use of semi-parametric regression models which are hybrids of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the Local Linear Regression (LLR) models. In this paper, we propose a modification in the current structure of the semi-parametric Model Robust Regression 2 (MRR2) with a view to improving its sensitivity to local trends and patterns in data. The proposed model is applied to two multiple response optimization problems from the literature. The results of goodness-of-fits and optimal solutions confirm that the proposed model performs better than the MRR2.
在生产、制造和其他几个相关行业,在数据分析中应用适当的工具,以增加产品和工艺优化的机会。一个成功用于实现这一目标的统计工具是响应面方法论(RSM)。RSM建模阶段的最新趋势涉及使用半参数回归模型,该模型是普通最小二乘(OLS)和局部线性回归(LLR)模型的混合。在本文中,我们对半参数模型稳健回归2(MRR2)的当前结构进行了修改,以提高其对数据中局部趋势和模式的敏感性。将所提出的模型应用于文献中的两个多响应优化问题。拟合优度和最优解的结果证实了所提出的模型比MRR2具有更好的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Benchmarking in Higher Education Using Data Envelopment Analysis and the Bologna Process Data 基于数据包络分析和博洛尼亚过程数据的高等教育基准
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0024
Aydin Ulucan, Kazim Baris Atici, Akin Ozkan
Quality Assurance is one of the core elements of the Bologna Process in European Higher Education and the Bologna Process data of the programs can serve as a rich resource for assessing program quality and benchmarking since the data follow a standardized framework for any program. Despite the standardized framework, the data of each program require an organization in order to come up with comprehensive measures so that such measures can become comparable between programs. This paper aims to propose an analytical approach for academic program quality assessment utilizing the Bologna declarations of the programs. First, we propose a methodology on data organization. Second, the organized data are used for assessments at program and subdivision levels via Data Envelopment Analysis. We illustrate our proposed methodology in an application to Business bachelor degree programs in Turkish universities. We discuss the implications to various stakeholders of higher education from policy makers to students.
质量保证是欧洲高等教育博洛尼亚过程的核心要素之一,该项目的博洛尼亚过程数据可以作为评估项目质量和基准的丰富资源,因为数据遵循任何项目的标准化框架。尽管有标准化的框架,但每个项目的数据都需要一个组织来制定全面的措施,以便这些措施在项目之间具有可比性。本文旨在提出一种利用博洛尼亚项目宣言进行学术项目质量评估的分析方法。首先,我们提出了一种关于数据组织的方法论。其次,通过数据包络分析,将组织的数据用于项目和细分级别的评估。我们在土耳其大学商业学士学位课程的应用中说明了我们提出的方法。我们讨论了从政策制定者到学生对高等教育各个利益相关者的影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Worst Case Finite Optimal Value in Interval Linear Programming 区间线性规划中的最坏情况有限最优值
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0019
M. Hladík
We consider a linear programming problem, in which possibly all coefficients are subject to uncertainty in the form of deterministic intervals. The problem of computing the worst case optimal value has already been thoroughly investigated in the past. Notice that it might happen that the value can be infinite due to infeasibility of some instances. This is a serious drawback if we know a priori that all instances should be feasible. Therefore we focus on the feasible instances only and study the problem of computing the worst case finite optimal value. We present a characterization for the general case and investigate special cases, too. We show that the problem is easy to solve provided interval uncertainty affects the objective function only, but the problem becomes intractable in case of intervals in the righthand side of the constraints. We also propose a finite reduction based on inspecting candidate bases. We show that processing a given basis is still an NP-hard problem even with non-interval constraint matrix, however, the problem becomes tractable as long as uncertain coefficients are situated either in the objective function or in the right-hand side only.
我们考虑一个线性规划问题,其中可能所有系数都以确定性区间的形式存在不确定性。计算最坏情况最优值的问题在过去已经被彻底研究过了。请注意,由于某些实例的不可行性,可能会出现值为无穷大的情况。如果我们先验地知道所有实例都应该是可行的,那么这是一个严重的缺点。因此,我们只关注可行的实例,研究最坏情况下有限最优值的计算问题。我们介绍了一般情况的特征,也调查了特殊情况。我们证明,如果区间不确定性只影响目标函数,该问题很容易解决,但如果区间在约束的右侧,该问题就会变得棘手。我们还提出了一个基于检查候选基的有限约简。我们证明,即使有非区间约束矩阵,处理给定的基仍然是一个NP难问题,然而,只要不确定系数位于目标函数中或仅位于右侧,该问题就变得容易处理。
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引用次数: 5
The Impact of Fiscal Policy Convergence on Business Cycle Synchronization between Croatia and Eurozone Countries - Panel Analysis 财政政策趋同对克罗地亚与欧元区国家经济周期同步的影响——面板分析
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0022
Mario Pecaric, Ante Tolj
This paper analyzes how fiscal policy convergence impacts the business cycle synchronization between Croatia and eurozone countries and consequently indirectly affects the costs of monetary integration using panel data analysis. The main aim of the paper is to create a methodological framework for an empirical model based on critical examination of previous research. In the empirical model the dependent variable is business cycle synchronization, and the main independent variable is fiscal policy convergence. The problem of simultaneity (reverse causality) between dependent and independent variable is solved by using cyclically adjusted budgetary balance as indicator of discretionary fiscal policy. For control variables in the model we applied determinants of business cycle synchronization often used in this kind of research - financial integration, trade integration and sectoral structure similarity. Parameter estimation is performed using the fixed effects panel model. Our dataset involves Croatia and  the eurozone countries and includes bilateral observations from 2001 to 2016. Unlike similar research which performed mostly cross-sectional analysis, this paper includes the time dimension and puts Croatia in the focus of research which has not been done before. Also, the paper contributes to research methodologically by estimating business cycles using the production function method and by measuring business cycle synchronization by using Cerqueira-Martins index. The results confirm that business cycle synchronization is positively influenced by fiscal policy convergence which indicates the necessity to comply with the rules proposed by the Stability and growth pact. It is also suggested that small open economies in process of accession, which is the case of Croatia, need to employ anticyclical  discretionary fiscal policy.
本文使用面板数据分析分析了财政政策趋同如何影响克罗地亚和欧元区国家之间的商业周期同步,从而间接影响货币一体化的成本。本文的主要目的是在对以往研究进行批判性审查的基础上,为实证模型创建一个方法论框架。在实证模型中,因变量是商业周期同步性,主要自变量是财政政策收敛性。利用周期性调整的预算余额作为可自由支配财政政策的指标,解决了因变量和自变量之间的同时性(反向因果关系)问题。对于模型中的控制变量,我们应用了这类研究中经常使用的商业周期同步的决定因素——金融一体化、贸易一体化和部门结构相似性。使用固定效应面板模型进行参数估计。我们的数据集涉及克罗地亚和欧元区国家,包括2001年至2016年的双边观察结果。与主要进行横断面分析的类似研究不同,本文包含了时间维度,并将克罗地亚置于以前从未进行过的研究重点。此外,本文还通过使用生产函数法估计商业周期和使用Cerqueira-Martins指数测量商业周期同步性,在方法论上为研究做出了贡献。研究结果证实,商业周期同步受到财政政策趋同的积极影响,这表明有必要遵守《稳定与增长公约》提出的规则。还有人建议,正在加入的小型开放经济体,如克罗地亚,需要采用反周期的自由裁量财政政策。
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引用次数: 2
A Novel Approach for Solving Quadratic Fractional Programming Problems 求解二次分式规划问题的一种新方法
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0015
M. Sivri, Inci Albayrak, Gizem Temelcan
In this paper, the quadratic fractional programming (QFP) problems involving a factorized or not-factorized objective function and subject to homogenous or non-homogenous constraints is considered. Our proposed approach depends on a computational method that converts QFP problem into a linear programming (LP) problem by using a Taylor series to solve the problem algebraically. This approach, based on the solution of LP problems can be applied to various types of of nonlinear fractional programming problems containing nonlinear constraint(s) and minimizes the total execution time on iterative operations. To illustrate the solution process, two examples are presented and the proposed approach is compared with other two existing methods for solving QFP problems.
本文研究了二次分式规划(QFP)问题,该问题涉及一个因子化或未因子化的目标函数,并受到齐次或非齐次约束。我们提出的方法依赖于一种计算方法,该方法通过使用泰勒级数代数求解问题,将QFP问题转换为线性规划(LP)问题。这种基于LP问题解的方法可以应用于包含非线性约束的各种类型的非线性分式规划问题,并使迭代运算的总执行时间最小化。为了说明解决过程,给出了两个例子,并将所提出的方法与其他两种现有的解决QFP问题的方法进行了比较。
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引用次数: 5
Dynamic Programming for an Optimal and Equitable Public Load Shedding Schedule 最优公平公共减载计划的动态规划
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-12-11 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2018.0016
M. Kampo, B. Ndiaye, G. Degla
This paper provides a method for an optimal and equitable schedule of public load shedding on any time interval and any number of sectors. By combining dynamic programming and knapsack techniques, the method gives a schedule that iterates over particular intervals. Simulation results with respect to actual schedules of a local energy company show the potential of this new approach for solving such a general problem that challenges many energy worldwide companies.
本文提出了一种在任意时间间隔和任意扇区上的最优和公平的公共减载调度方法。通过结合动态规划和背包技术,该方法给出了一个在特定间隔内迭代的时间表。针对当地一家能源公司的实际时间表进行的仿真结果表明,这种新方法在解决许多全球能源公司面临的普遍问题方面具有潜力。
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引用次数: 0
External competitiveness and the role of fiscal policy: does fiscal austerity matter? 外部竞争力与财政政策的作用:财政紧缩重要吗?
IF 0.7 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-11-25 DOI: 10.17535/CRORR.2019.0006
Boris Cota, N. Erjavec, Velibor Mačkić
During and after the sovereign debt crisis that hit most of the EU member states after the Great Recession, the question of the effectiveness of fiscal policy vis-à-vis ensuring sustainable growth rates and changing the economic structure of member states was highly debated. Accordingly, this paper investigates the effects of shocks in government purchases and net taxes on the export competitiveness of the eleven new EU member states: Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Croatia, Latvia, Lithuania, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovenia and Slovakia. The countries are treated as a homogenous sample, but the empirical analysis extends beyond this. Namely, the paper examines two subsamples based on the exchange rate regimes of the eleven new EU member states: the fixed vs the flexible exchange rate regime. By applying the panel VAR analysis, over the 1999-2015 period, we have reached the following conclusions. First, fiscal austerity influences the level of exports in our sample. Second, the effects of shocks in fiscal policy on the level of exports are short-lived. Third, shocks in government purchases are the most important determinant for all the new EU member states. And fourth, shocks in net taxes influence the level of export only in the countries that have the flexible exchange rate regimes. Our results contribute to the literature that examines the effects of fiscal policy on the competitiveness of national economies by highlighting both the duration effect of fiscal policy on the level of export and also by pointing to the optimal economic instrument used with respect to the currency arrangement of the country.
在大衰退后袭击大多数欧盟成员国的主权债务危机期间和之后,财政政策在确保可持续增长率和改变成员国经济结构方面的有效性问题备受争议。因此,本文研究了政府购买和净税收冲击对11个欧盟新成员国出口竞争力的影响:保加利亚、捷克共和国、爱沙尼亚、克罗地亚、拉脱维亚、立陶宛、匈牙利、波兰、罗马尼亚、斯洛文尼亚和斯洛伐克。这些国家被视为同质样本,但实证分析超出了这一范围。也就是说,本文考察了基于11个新欧盟成员国汇率制度的两个子样本:固定汇率制度和灵活汇率制度。通过应用面板VAR分析,在1999-2015年期间,我们得出了以下结论。首先,财政紧缩影响样本中的出口水平。其次,财政政策冲击对出口水平的影响是短暂的。第三,政府购买的冲击是所有新欧盟成员国最重要的决定因素。第四,净税收的冲击只会影响汇率制度灵活的国家的出口水平。我们的研究结果有助于研究财政政策对国民经济竞争力的影响,既强调了财政政策对出口水平的持续影响,也指出了与国家货币安排有关的最佳经济工具。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Croatian Operational Research Review
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