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Portable sequencing, genomic data, and scale in global emerging infectious disease surveillance 便携式测序、基因组数据和全球新发传染病监测的规模
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.66
Liam P. Shaw, Nicola C. Sugden

Emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) occur when pathogens unpredictably spread into new contexts. EID surveillance systems seek to rapidly identify EID outbreaks to contain spread and improve public health outcomes. Sequencing data has historically not been integrated into real-time responses, but portable DNA sequencing technology has prompted optimism among epidemiologists. Specifically, attention has focused on the goal of a “sequencing singularity”: the integration of portable sequencers in a worldwide event-based surveillance network with other digital data (Gardy & Loman, Nature Reviews Genetics, 19, 2018, p. 9). The sequencing singularity vision is a powerful socio-technical imaginary, shaping the discourse around the future of portable sequencing. Ethical and practical issues are bound by the vision in two ways: they are framed only as obstacles, and they are formulated only at the scales made visible by its implicit geography. This geography privileges two extremes of scale – the genomic and the global – and leaves intermediate scales comparatively unmapped. We explore how widespread portable sequencing could challenge this geography. Portable sequencers put the ability to produce genomic data in the hands of the individual. The explicit assertion of rights over data may therefore become a matter disputed more at an interpersonal scale than an international one. Portable sequencers also promise ubiquitous, indiscriminate sequencing of the total metagenomic content of samples, raising the question of what (or who) is under surveillance and inviting consideration of the human microbiome and more-than-human geographies. We call into question a conception of a globally integrated stream of sequencing data as composed mostly of “noise,” within which signals of pathogen “emergence” are “hidden,” considering it instead from the perspective of recent work into more-than-human geographies. Our work highlights a practical need for researchers to consider both the alternative possibilities they foreclose as well as the exciting opportunities they move towards when they deploy their visions of the future.

当病原体不可预测地传播到新的环境中时,就会发生新发传染病。EID监测系统寻求快速识别EID疫情,以控制传播并改善公共卫生结果。从历史上看,测序数据并没有整合到实时反应中,但便携式DNA测序技术已经引起了流行病学家的乐观情绪。具体地说,人们的注意力集中在“测序奇点”的目标上:在全球基于事件的监测网络中集成便携式测序仪和其他数字数据(Gardy &Loman, Nature Reviews Genetics, 2018年第19期,第9页)。测序奇点愿景是一个强大的社会技术想象,塑造了围绕便携式测序未来的话语。伦理问题和实际问题以两种方式受到这一愿景的约束:它们只被视为障碍,它们只在其隐含的地理位置所显示的范围内被表述出来。这一地理格局赋予了两个极端的尺度——基因组尺度和全球尺度——而中间尺度则相对未被绘制出来。我们探索如何广泛的便携式测序可以挑战这一地理位置。便携式测序仪将生成基因组数据的能力交到个人手中。因此,明确主张对数据的权利可能成为一个在人际层面上比在国际层面上更有争议的问题。便携式测序仪还承诺对样本的总宏基因组内容进行无所不在的、不加区分的测序,这提出了什么(或谁)受到监视的问题,并邀请人们考虑人类微生物组和人类以外的地理位置。我们对全球整合的测序数据流主要由“噪音”组成的概念提出质疑,其中病原体“出现”的信号是“隐藏的”,而是从最近工作的角度考虑到人类以外的地理位置。我们的工作突出了研究人员的实际需要,既要考虑他们排除的其他可能性,也要考虑他们在部署他们对未来的愿景时所面临的令人兴奋的机会。
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引用次数: 2
Spatial quantification of community resilience in contexts where quantitative data are scarce: The case of Muzarabani district in Zimbabwe 定量数据匮乏情况下社区复原力的空间量化:以津巴布韦穆扎拉巴尼地区为例
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-11-22 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.65
Emmanuel Mavhura, Bernard Manyena

There has been an upsurge in tools for measuring resilience of the past decade. Despite this progress, we argue, there are few studies focusing on the spatial quantification of resilience in the context of multiple hazards, particularly in developing countries. Placing a particular emphasis on the contribution of geography to resilience studies, this paper examines the spatial variation of community resilience to disasters in Muzarabani, Zimbabwe. Place-specific resilience variables are selected from the 2012 national census report to develop a disaster resilience index for Muzarabani district. A principal component analysis technique was used to analyse the overall and subcomponents of resilience to identify wards that needed policy intervention. Using the Geographical Information Systems tool to model the spatial variation of community resilience and its subcomponents, we found a geographic variation in community resilience across Muzarabani district, with the majority of the wards scoring low to below low levels of overall resilience. Although we view this study as being complementary to qualitative studies, it would appear quantifying and visualising resilience provide possible explanations and actions required for decision-makers to address the resilience gaps and disaster risk reduction broadly.

过去10年,衡量经济韧性的工具激增。尽管取得了这些进展,但我们认为,在多种灾害背景下,特别是在发展中国家,很少有研究关注复原力的空间量化。本文特别强调地理对恢复力研究的贡献,研究了津巴布韦穆扎拉巴尼社区对灾害恢复力的空间变化。从2012年全国人口普查报告中选取地方适应力变量,制定穆扎拉巴尼地区的抗灾能力指数。主成分分析技术用于分析弹性的总体和子成分,以确定需要政策干预的病房。利用地理信息系统工具对社区恢复力及其子成分的空间变化进行建模,我们发现穆扎拉巴尼地区的社区恢复力存在地理差异,大多数地区的整体恢复力得分较低或低于低水平。虽然我们认为这项研究是对定性研究的补充,但似乎量化和可视化弹性为决策者提供了可能的解释和所需的行动,以广泛地解决弹性差距和减少灾害风险。
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引用次数: 7
Response to the letter to the editor on Turner (2017) 对《特纳》致编辑信的回应(2017)
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-11-12 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.62
R. Eugene Turner

A response to the LTE commenting on Turner (2017).

e00062

对LTE评论特纳的回应(2017).e00062
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引用次数: 0
Response to Turner 2017 对特纳2017的回应
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-11-12 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.48
Amy M. Schueller, Robert T. Leaf, Raymond M. Mroch III, Geneviève M. Nesslage
<p>The Atlantic and Gulf Menhaden stocks (<i>Brevoortia tyrannus</i> and <i>Brevoortia patronus</i>) support the second largest fishery by weight in the US and serve a critical ecological role as forage (Hartman & Brandt, <span>1995</span>; NOAA Fisheries, <span>2016</span>; Sagarese et al., <span>2016</span>). Stock assessment and management of these important stocks have experienced thorough scrutiny from multiple perspectives (Hilborn et al., <span>2017</span>; Pikitch et al., <span>2012</span>). Therefore, we feel compelled to comment on Turner's (<span>2017</span>) paper titled “Smaller size-at-age menhaden with coastal warming and fishing intensity.” Our comment is based on three issues: misstatements regarding the stocks’ assessment and management, inappropriate analyses, and limited acknowledgment of alternative hypotheses for the putative patterns.</p><p>Turner (<span>2017</span>) made several erroneous statements about US menhaden assessment and management. First, neither value described as “MSY” in Turner (<span>2017</span>) represents an accurate or reliable estimate of MSY for menhaden. The value labelled “MSY Atlantic” in Figure 1 and throughout the text is the total allowable catch, based on average landings from 2009 to 2011 (ASMFC, <span>2012</span>). The value labelled “GOM MSY” in Figure 1 and throughout the text is the estimate of biomass at MSY (B<sub>MSY</sub>) generated by a surplus production model not adopted for use in management (SEDAR, <span>2013</span>). Developing MSY estimates for forage fish such as menhaden is problematic (SEDAR, <span>2013</span>) and currently is not accepted for determining stock status on either coast. The model used to assess both species, the NMFS Beaufort Assessment Model, is a statistical catch-at-age model that estimates spawner-per-recruit reference points for management (SEDAR, <span>2013</span>, <span>2015</span>). Additionally, landings of both species shown in Figure 1 were inflated by a factor of 1,000.1 Turner's conclusions regarding variation in size-at-age with fishing pressure (Figure 4, Table III) are not valid because incorrect estimates of menhaden MSY and landings were used in the analysis.</p><p>Inappropriate analyses included treatment of the data and model choice. By using mean estimates of size-at-age, analyses artificially reduced the estimated inter-annual variance and ignored potentially confounding factors. Using mean estimates serves to allocate the error variation to the linear regression component of the model, inflating the amount of variance explained. Reanalysing the Gulf data, we find that Turner's model formulation inflates the variance explained from 292% to 1,267%. By including the full weight- and length-at-age dataset, <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> values range from <0.001 to 0.128 (Table S1). Such poor estimation of annual changes in length- and weight-at-age weakens support for Turner's conclusions. Also, menhaden demonstrate considerable spatial variatio
大西洋和海湾Menhaden种群(Brevoortia tyrannus和Brevoortia patronus)支持美国第二大渔业,并作为饲料发挥重要的生态作用(Hartman &布兰德,1995;NOAA渔业,2016;Sagarese et al., 2016)。这些重要库存的库存评估和管理经历了从多个角度的彻底审查(Hilborn et al., 2017;Pikitch et al., 2012)。因此,我们觉得有必要对特纳(2017)的论文发表评论,该论文题为“与沿海变暖和捕捞强度有关的同龄尺寸较小的鲱鱼”。我们的评论基于三个问题:关于股票评估和管理的错误陈述,不适当的分析,以及对假设模式的替代假设的有限承认。Turner(2017)对美国鲱鱼的评估和管理做出了一些错误的陈述。首先,Turner(2017)中描述为“MSY”的值都不能准确或可靠地估计鲱鱼的MSY。图1中标注为“大西洋MSY”的值是基于2009年至2011年的平均捕获量计算的总允许捕获量(ASMFC, 2012)。图1和全文中标记为“GOM MSY”的值是由未用于管理的剩余生产模型产生的MSY (BMSY)生物量估计值(SEDAR, 2013)。制定鲱鱼等饲料鱼的最大产量估算是有问题的(SEDAR, 2013),目前不接受用于确定任何海岸的种群状况。用于评估这两个物种的模型,即NMFS Beaufort评估模型,是一个统计年龄捕获量模型,可为管理估计每招募产卵量的参考点(SEDAR, 2013, 2015)。此外,图1中所示的两种鱼类的上岸量都被夸大了1000倍。特纳关于鱼龄尺寸随捕捞压力变化的结论(图4,表三)是无效的,因为在分析中使用了对鲱鱼最大捕捞量和上岸量的错误估计。不恰当的分析包括数据处理和模型选择。通过使用年龄大小的平均估计值,分析人为地减少了估计的年际方差,并忽略了潜在的混淆因素。使用均值估计将误差变化分配给模型的线性回归成分,膨胀了解释的方差量。重新分析海湾地区的数据,我们发现特纳的模型公式将解释的方差从292%夸大到了127%。通过包括完整的权重和年龄长度数据集,R2值的范围从<0.001到0.128(表S1)。这种对身高和体重随年龄变化的年度变化的不准确估计削弱了对特纳结论的支持。此外,鲱鱼在其大小和年龄分布方面表现出相当大的空间差异,这影响了渔业的老年可用性。对这些依赖渔业的数据的正确解释必须考虑到船队的动态,特别是大西洋鲱鱼,它过去是在沿海捕捞的,但现在在新泽西和弗吉尼亚之间。除了数据处理,我们不同意使用线性模型来理解长度和体重年龄的年际动态。残留模式的定性检查表明,线性模型没有适当地纳入生物和环境动力学。特纳的论文对随着时间的推移影响年龄大小的可能因素的解释很狭隘,没有完全承认其他假设。密度依赖性、捕捞死亡率、选择性和环境因素都有可能影响鱼龄尺寸。特纳的发现是一个重要的证据,即并非所有年龄段的人都减少了。诸如密度和环境因素(即温度)等广泛的机制预计会对所有年龄组造成变化,而仅对特定年龄组起作用的因素(即捕鱼死亡率)预计只会对受影响的年龄组造成变化。例如,大西洋鲱鱼的生长随时间变化很大,波动很大;这些变化似乎与密度依赖性有关(Schueller &;威廉姆斯,2017)。此外,观察到的年龄大小随时间的变化可能仅仅是由于捕捞地点的变化以及随时间渔业遇到的老年鲱鱼频率的变化(SEDAR, 2013年,2015年)。此外,时变的圆顶型选择性和基于渔业相关样本的偏倚增长估计(Schueller, Williams, &Cheshire, 2014)导致年龄较大的班级样本不足。例如,收集到的4岁以上大西洋鲱鱼样本的数量从20世纪50年代的平均4338只/年下降到1960年的267只/年。虽然我们承认气候变化可能会影响鲱鱼的动态和生长,但特纳的分析不足以得出明确的结论。
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引用次数: 1
Peatland carbon stocks and burn history: Blanket bog peat core evidence highlights charcoal impacts on peat physical properties and long-term carbon storage 泥炭地碳储量和燃烧历史:地毯式沼泽泥炭核心证据强调了木炭对泥炭物理性质和长期碳储量的影响
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-11-07 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.63
Andreas Heinemeyer, Quinn Asena, William Lee Burn, Anthony Lloyd Jones

Peatlands are globally important carbon stores, yet both natural and human impacts can influence peatland carbon accumulation. While changes in climate can alter peatland water tables leading to changes in peat decomposition, managed burning of vegetation has also been claimed to reduce peat accumulation. Particularly in the UK, blanket bog peatlands are rotationally burned to encourage heather re-growth on grouse shooting estates. However, the evidence of burning impacts on peat carbon stocks is very limited and contradictory. We assessed peat carbon accumulation over the last few hundred years in peat cores from three UK blanket bog sites under rotational grouse moor burn management. High resolution (0.5 cm) peat core analysis included dating based on spheroidal carbonaceous particles, determining fire frequency based on macro-charcoal counts and assessing peat properties such as carbon content and bulk density. All sites showed considerable net carbon accumulation during active grouse moor management periods. Averaged over the three sites, burns were more frequent, and carbon accumulation rates were also higher, over the period since 1950 than in the period 1700–1950. Carbon accumulation rates during the periods 1950–2015 and 1700–1850 were greater on the most frequently burnt site, which was linked to bulk density and carbon accumulation rates showing a positive relationship with charcoal abundance. Charcoal input from burning was identified as a potentially crucial component in explaining reported differences in burning impacts on peat carbon accumulation, as assessed by carbon fluxes or stocks. Both direct and indirect charcoal impacts on decomposition processes are discussed to be important factors, namely charcoal production converting otherwise decomposable carbon into an inert carbon pool, increasing peat bulk density, altering peat moisture and possibly negative impacts on soil microbial activity. This study highlights the value of peat core records in understanding management impacts on peat accumulation and carbon storage in peatlands.

泥炭地是全球重要的碳储存库,但自然和人为影响都可能影响泥炭地的碳积累。虽然气候变化可以改变泥炭地地下水位,导致泥炭分解的变化,但有人声称,有管理的植被燃烧也可以减少泥炭的积累。特别是在英国,为了鼓励松鸡猎场的石南植物重新生长,人们轮流焚烧地皮沼泽泥炭地。然而,燃烧对泥炭碳储量影响的证据非常有限且相互矛盾。我们评估了过去几百年来英国三个地毯式沼泽地泥炭芯的泥炭碳积累,这些泥炭芯采用了轮转松鸡沼泽燃烧管理。高分辨率(0.5 cm)泥炭岩心分析包括基于球形碳质颗粒的测年,基于宏观木炭计数确定火灾频率,以及评估泥炭性质,如碳含量和体积密度。所有样地在松鸡地活跃管理期间均表现出可观的净碳积累。从这三个地点的平均值来看,自1950年以来的燃烧比1700-1950年期间更频繁,碳积累率也更高。在1950-2015年和1700-1850年期间,最频繁燃烧的地点的碳积累速率更高,这与容重和碳积累速率有关,与木炭丰度呈正相关。通过碳通量或碳储量评估,燃烧产生的木炭输入被认为是解释所报告的燃烧对泥炭碳积累影响差异的一个潜在关键因素。木炭对分解过程的直接和间接影响都是重要因素,即木炭生产将原本可分解的碳转化为惰性碳库,增加泥炭的体积密度,改变泥炭的湿度以及可能对土壤微生物活性产生的负面影响。这项研究强调了泥炭岩心记录在理解泥炭地管理对泥炭积累和碳储存的影响方面的价值。
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引用次数: 17
Practicing environmental data justice: From DataRescue to Data Together 实践环境数据正义:从数据救援到数据一起
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-10-31 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.61
Dawn Walker, Eric Nost, Aaron Lemelin, Rebecca Lave, Lindsey Dillon

The Environmental Data and Governance Initiative (EDGI) formed in response to the 2016 US elections and the resulting political shifts which created widespread public concern about the future integrity of US environmental agencies and policy. As a distributed, consensus-based organisation, EDGI has worked to document, contextualise, and analyse changes to environmental data and governance practices in the US. One project EDGI has undertaken is the grassroots archiving of government environmental data sets through our involvement with the DataRescue movement. However, over the past year, our focus has shifted from saving environmental data to a broader project of rethinking the infrastructures required for community stewardship of data: Data Together. Through this project, EDGI seeks to make data more accessible and environmental decision-making more accountable through new social and technical infrastructures. The shift from DataRescue to Data Together exemplifies EDGI's ongoing attempts to put an “environmental data justice” prioritising community self-determination into practice. By drawing on environmental justice, critical GIS, critical data studies, and emerging data justice scholarship, EDGI hopes to inform our ongoing engagement in projects that seek to enact alternative futures for data stewardship.

环境数据与治理倡议组织(EDGI)的成立是为了应对2016年美国大选以及由此产生的政治转变,这种转变引发了公众对美国环境机构和政策未来完整性的广泛关注。作为一个分布式的、基于共识的组织,EDGI致力于记录、背景化和分析美国环境数据和治理实践的变化。EDGI的一个项目是通过参与“数据救援”运动,对政府环境数据集进行基层存档。然而,在过去的一年里,我们的重点已经从保存环境数据转移到一个更广泛的项目,即重新思考社区数据管理所需的基础设施:数据在一起。通过这个项目,EDGI寻求通过新的社会和技术基础设施使数据更容易获得,环境决策更负责任。从datarerescue到Data Together的转变体现了EDGI将“环境数据正义”优先于社区自决付诸实践的持续尝试。通过利用环境正义、关键地理信息系统、关键数据研究和新兴数据正义奖学金,EDGI希望为我们正在进行的项目提供信息,这些项目寻求制定数据管理的替代未来。
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引用次数: 16
Resource governance and the politics of the social: Ordering in and by socio-ecological systems 资源治理与社会政治:社会生态系统中的秩序
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-10-29 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.64
Helena Valve

In studies of natural resource governance, agency is commonly treated as a property that evolves in conditions of socio-ecological systems (SESs). While the SES framework has established its position within a multidisciplinary scholarship, it remains controversial. Critical scholars note that the social component has been left under-theorised. Yet, it is argued that once developed, the framework can provide a useful foundation for studying human–environment relations. This article critically examines such a position. Drawing from actor-network theory, it analyses the assumptions the SES framework makes about the social forms constitutive for natural resource governance. The focus is on the entities in terms of which governance and management are envisioned to evolve. The analysis shows that the descriptions of SES dynamics often treat social forms as unambiguous and a priori existing. The paper argues that the material ordering that is enacted downplays potentials of politics. Management and governance of natural resources rest on demarcations that are not supposed to be challenged. At the same time radical un-restrictedness is claimed to co-exist and to open up potentials for social learning. The promise of management enacted by the SES framework seems thus to be based on a very particular kind of fluctuation between opening up and closing down of system spaces.

在自然资源治理的研究中,能动性通常被视为在社会生态系统(SESs)条件下演变的属性。虽然SES框架已经在多学科学术中确立了自己的地位,但它仍然存在争议。批判的学者指出,社会因素的理论化程度不够。然而,有人认为,一旦发展起来,这个框架可以为研究人与环境的关系提供一个有用的基础。本文对这种观点进行了批判性的审视。从行动者网络理论出发,分析了社会经济学框架对自然资源治理的社会形态构成的假设。重点是治理和管理将在其中发展的实体。分析表明,对社会经济地位动态的描述往往将社会形态视为明确的、先验的存在。本文认为,制定的材料排序低估了政治的潜力。自然资源的管理和治理依赖于不应受到挑战的界限。与此同时,激进的不受限制被认为是共存的,并为社会学习开辟了潜力。因此,由SES框架制定的管理承诺似乎是基于一种非常特殊的系统空间开放和关闭之间的波动。
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引用次数: 2
Christian climate care: Slow change, modesty and eco-theo-citizenship 基督教气候关怀:缓慢变化,谦虚和生态神权公民
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-10-03 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.59
Jeremy Kidwell, Franklin Ginn, Michael Northcott, Elizabeth Bomberg, Alice Hague

This qualitative study draws on in-depth interviews and documentary analysis conducted between 2014 and 2016 to investigate the nature of pro-environmental behaviour of members within the Eco-Congregation Scotland network. We argue for an integrative analytical frame, that we call “eco-theo-citizenship,” which synthesises strengths of values-, practice- and citizenship-based approaches to the study of pro-environmental behaviour within the specific context of religious environmental groups. This study finds the Eco-Congregation groups studied are not primarily issue driven, and instead have an emphasis on “community-building” activities and a concept of environmental citizenship which spans multiple political scales from local to international. Primary values emphasised included “environmental justice” and “stewardship.” Analysis of the data indicated that groups in this network are distinctive in two particular ways: (1) group focus on mobilising values and environmental concern towards “community building” can produce what looks like a more conservative approach to climate change mobilisation, preserving and working slowly within institutional structures, with a primary focus not on climate change mitigation per se but on the consolidation and development of the community and broader network; and (2) these groups can often under-report their accomplishments and the footprint of their work on the basis of a common religious conviction which we have termed a “culture of modesty.”

这项定性研究借鉴了2014年至2016年间进行的深入访谈和文献分析,以调查苏格兰生态集会网络内成员亲环境行为的性质。我们主张一个综合分析框架,我们称之为“生态-神权-公民”,它综合了基于价值观、实践和公民身份的方法的优势,以研究宗教环境团体特定背景下的亲环境行为。本研究发现,所研究的生态集会团体主要不是问题驱动的,而是强调“社区建设”活动和环境公民的概念,这种概念跨越了从地方到国际的多个政治尺度。他们强调的主要价值观包括“环境正义”和“管理”。对数据的分析表明,该网络中的团体在两个方面具有独特之处:(1)团体注重动员价值观和对"社区建设"的环境关注,可以产生一种看起来更保守的气候变化动员方法,在体制结构内保持和缓慢工作,主要重点不是减缓气候变化本身,而是社区和更广泛网络的巩固和发展;(2)基于一种我们称之为“谦虚文化”的共同宗教信仰,这些团体往往会低估他们的成就和他们工作的足迹。
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引用次数: 7
Site-specific modulators control how geophysical and socio-technical drivers shape land use and land cover 特定地点调节器控制地球物理和社会技术驱动因素如何影响土地利用和土地覆盖
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-09-22 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.60
Mette V. Odgaard, Tommy Dalgaard, Peder K. Bøcher, Jens-Christian Svenning

Human utilisation of natural resources is the most important direct driver of land cover patterns in the Anthropocene. Here, we present a conceptual framework for how the effects of geophysical drivers (e.g., topography, soil, climate, and hydrology) and socio-technical drivers (e.g., technology, legal regulation, economy, and culture) on land use and land cover are shaped by site-specific modulators such as local topography and social and cultural backgrounds of individuals. The framework is demonstrated by examples from the literature, with emphasis on the north-western European lowland agricultural region. For example, a geophysical driver such as slope of the terrain constrains land use and is thereby an important driver of land covers, for example, forests. This effect of slope can vary depending on site-specific modulators such as local soil fertility, local topographic heterogeneity, and shifting human population densities. Acknowledging the importance of site-specific modulators on how geophysical and socio-technical drivers shape land use and land covers will strengthen research on human–environmental interactions – especially important with the future increase in human populations in a constant changing world.

人类对自然资源的利用是人类世土地覆盖格局最重要的直接驱动因素。在这里,我们提出了一个概念框架,说明地球物理驱动因素(如地形、土壤、气候和水文)和社会技术驱动因素(如技术、法律法规、经济和文化)对土地利用和土地覆盖的影响是如何由特定地点的调节因素(如当地地形和个人的社会和文化背景)塑造的。该框架通过文献中的例子来证明,重点是西北欧低地农业区。例如,地形坡度等地球物理驱动因素限制了土地利用,因此是土地覆盖(例如森林)的重要驱动因素。坡度的影响可以根据特定地点的调节因素而变化,如当地土壤肥力、当地地形异质性和人口密度的变化。认识到特定地点调节剂对地球物理和社会技术驱动因素如何影响土地利用和土地覆盖的重要性,将加强对人类与环境相互作用的研究,这对于在不断变化的世界中未来人口的增加尤其重要。
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引用次数: 5
Journal Information 期刊信息
IF 2.2 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2018-07-23 DOI: 10.1002/geo2.43
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Geo-Geography and Environment
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