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Effects of inflation on financial sector performance: New evidence from panel quantile regressions 通货膨胀对金融部门业绩的影响:来自面板分位数回归的新证据
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-04 DOI: 10.22201/FE.01851667P.2018.303.64156
Miguel Angel Tinoco Zermeño, F. Martínez, V. H. T. Preciado
This paper explores the influence of inflation on the conditional distribution of financial development, an issue that has not received attention in related literature, with data from 84 countries covering the 1980-2010 period. In our data we show the presence of fixed effects, reject cross-sectional dependence in the error structure and justify poolability. Our empirical strategy employs standard and fixed-effects quantile regressions to demonstrate that the influence of inflation varies along the quantiles of the conditional finance distribution. In general, we find a consistently negative and nonlinear effect of price increases on financial variables; in particular, it is statistically significant in the full sample of countries, significant in developing countries, and insignificant in developed countries.
本文利用1980-2010年期间84个国家的数据,探讨了通货膨胀对金融发展条件分配的影响,这是一个相关文献未关注的问题。在我们的数据中,我们显示了固定效应的存在,拒绝了误差结构中的横截面依赖性,并证明了池性。我们的实证策略采用标准和固定效应分位数回归来证明通货膨胀的影响沿着有条件金融分布的分位数变化。一般来说,我们发现价格上涨对金融变量的影响始终是负的和非线性的;特别是,它在全样本国家中具有统计学意义,在发展中国家具有统计学意义,而在发达国家则不显著。
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引用次数: 32
Consideraciones al libro Visiones de cambio desde las ciencias sociales 对《来自社会科学的变革愿景》一书的思考
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-05-04 DOI: 10.22201/FE.01851667P.2018.303.64159
P. S. Torres, D. M. Ruíz
En febrero del 2017, a traves de la editorial de la Escuela Nacional de Estudios Superiores, Unidad Morelia (ENES-UNAM), publicamos el libro Visiones de cambio desde las ciencias sociales . Compilamos las reflexiones de veintiocho colegas de campos disciplinarios diversos. El objetivo central de la obra era hacernos de una postura panoramica del estado de nuestros ambitos profesionales. Pretendiamos reconocer las diferentes influencias que han dado lugar hoy al concierto disciplinario y, a partir de ello, vislumbrar posibles derroteros de cara a las diversas problematicas actuales...
2017年2月,通过国家高等研究学院莫雷利亚分校(ENES-UNA)的出版社,我们出版了《社会科学的变革愿景》一书。我们汇编了来自不同学科领域的28名同事的反思。这部作品的中心目标是让我们对我们职业抱负的状况有一个全景的看法。我们打算承认今天对纪律音乐会产生的不同影响,并在此基础上,展望当前各种问题的可能方向。。。
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引用次数: 0
LA RENEGOCIACIÓN DEL TLCAN. EFECTOS ARANCELARIOS Y EL CASO DE LA CADENA DEL CALZADO. COMENTARIOS DE JOSÉ CARLOS RAMÍREZ, JUAN CARLOS MORENO BRID, ISABEL SALAT Y JOAQUÍN SÁNCHEZ. RÉPLICA DEL AUTOR 北美自由贸易协定的重新谈判。关税影响和鞋类链案例。评论jose CARLOS ramirez, JUAN CARLOS MORENO BRID, ISABEL SALAT和joaquin sanchez。作者的反驳
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.22201/FE.01851667P.2018.303.64154
E. D. Peters
La falta de un monitoreo y evaluacion del Tratado de Libre Comercio de America del Norte (TLCAN) hasta 2017 se ha convertido en un dilema significativo para el Ejecutivo mexicano y su proceso de renegociacion. El analisis parte de las exigencias de la Administracion Trump para renegociar el Tratado y estima los efectos arancelarios —en Mexico y en Estados Unidos— de la cancelacion del mismo, haciendo enfasis en la cadena del calzado. En general, los efectos de la cancelacion del TLCAN no son significativos desde una perspectiva arancelaria, aunque un grupo de cadenas de valor y fracciones si verian significativamente afectadas sus actividades en la region. Partiendo de niveles relativamente altos de integracion en la region de America del Norte, desde inicios del siglo XXI se percibe un creciente proceso de desintegracion; la cadena del calzado es un ejemplo. Se presentan un grupo de propuestas —y mas alla del proceso de renegociacion actual— que reflejan los masivos retos para el sector productivo mexicano en el contexto del TLCAN, tanto desde una perspectiva local, nacional como regional.
由于缺乏对北美自由贸易协定(nafta)的监督和评估,直到2017年,这已经成为墨西哥行政部门及其重新谈判过程的一个重大困境。该分析基于特朗普政府要求重新谈判该条约的要求,并估计取消该条约对墨西哥和美国的关税影响,重点关注鞋类连锁店。从关税的角度来看,北美自由贸易协定取消的影响总体上并不显著,尽管一些价值链和部门显著影响了它们在该地区的活动。从北美地区相对较高的一体化水平开始,自21世纪初以来,解体进程日益明显;鞋类连锁店就是一个例子。本文提出了一系列建议,超越了当前的重新谈判进程,从地方、国家和区域的角度反映了墨西哥生产部门在北美自由贸易协定背景下面临的巨大挑战。
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引用次数: 8
全球化和具有衰退倾向的社会不平等:该怎么办?《开放市场和社会契约》一书概述。大卫·伊巴拉的边缘民主
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2018.01.005
Eduardo Vega López
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引用次数: 0
Factores de innovación en los estados de México. ¿A qué se deben las diferencias entre estados con mayor y menor dinamismo innovador? 墨西哥各州的创新因素。是什么导致了创新活力较高和较低的国家之间的差异?
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2017.06.003
Gregorio Giménez , María del Pilar Pastor Pérez , Héctor Manuel Malacara Hernández

This work uses a balanced panel data, from the 31 Mexican states during 1997-2012, to identify the reasons of the differences between states with greater and lesser innovative dynamism. To do this, the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition and the estimator proposed by Driscroll and Kraay are applied. The differences, in terms of innovative success, are mainly explained by the discrepancy in the amount and use of the human capital factor: the most innovative states have more human capital and make a better use of it. Public investment in research and development, as well as the spending on higher education, are factors that contribute also to explain the innovative success. Besides, the most innovative states have greater population density and more scientists, however, less innovative states make better use of these last factors.

本研究使用了1997-2012年间墨西哥31个州的均衡面板数据,以确定创新活力较高和较低的州之间差异的原因。为此,应用了Oaxaca-Blinder分解和Driscroll和Kraay提出的估计量。就创新成功而言,这种差异主要是由人力资本要素的数量和使用的差异来解释的:最具创新能力的国家拥有更多的人力资本,并能更好地利用人力资本。在研究和开发方面的公共投资,以及在高等教育方面的支出,也是解释创新成功的因素。此外,最具创新力的州有更大的人口密度和更多的科学家,然而,创新能力较差的州更好地利用了这些最后的因素。
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引用次数: 5
Industrial structure and transmission of monetary policy in Latin American countries 拉美国家的产业结构与货币政策传导
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2018.01.004
Jorge David Quintero Otero

Based on data from the manufacturing industry and its subsectors, this article shows the impact of monetary policy according to the industrial structure in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru, the five Latin American countries adopting the system of inflation targeting for the longest time. Results show that the impact of monetary policy on industrial production is stronger in countries where the interest rate channel is more relevant, since the subsectors producing capital goods and durable consumer goods are more sensitive to monetary decisions. These results are closely linked to the role of price rigidities on the differential impact of monetary policy on industrial subsectors.

本文以制造业及其子行业数据为基础,对巴西、智利、哥伦比亚、墨西哥和秘鲁这五个实行通货膨胀目标制时间最长的拉美国家的产业结构进行了货币政策影响分析。结果表明,在利率渠道更相关的国家,货币政策对工业生产的影响更强,因为生产资本品和耐用消费品的子部门对货币决策更敏感。这些结果与价格刚性对货币政策对工业分部门的不同影响的作用密切相关。
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引用次数: 13
Is the wage rate the real anchor of the inflation targeting monetary policy framework? 工资率是通胀目标货币政策框架的真正支柱吗
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2018.01.002
Ignacio Perrotini Hernádez , Juan Alberto Vázquez Muñóz

Numerous central banks (cbs) focus on controlling the nominal interest rate (i) to sway the price level and meet the inflation target (πo) nowadays (Taylor, 1993, Bernanke, 1999, Woodford, 2003). The i is taken to be the anchor for a low and stable rate of inflation in an open economy model. Yet, some analysts, orthodox and heterodox alike, have challenged this belief arguing that cbs turn to the exchange rate (e) channel and adopt it as a second policy tool with the aim of meeting πo (Svensson, 1999, Hüfner, 2004). The purpose of this paper is to show that the veritable anchor of inflation is neither i nor e, but the wage rate and the unit labour costs (ulc). We conduct econometric analyses based on data from a set of inflation targeting countries. The main empirical findings support our hypothesis regarding the higher importance of wages and the ulc vis-à-vis i and e in the determination of the cpi.

如今,许多中央银行(cbs)都把重点放在控制名义利率(i)上,以影响物价水平,达到通胀目标(πo) (Taylor, 1993; Bernanke, 1999; Woodford, 2003)。在一个开放的经济模式中,i被认为是低而稳定的通货膨胀率的锚。然而,一些正统和非正统的分析人士都对这一观点提出了挑战,认为央行转向汇率(e)渠道,并将其作为第二个政策工具,目的是满足πo (Svensson, 1999, h fner, 2004)。本文的目的是证明通货膨胀的真正锚既不是i也不是e,而是工资率和单位劳动成本(ulc)。我们根据一系列通胀目标制国家的数据进行计量经济分析。主要的实证结果支持我们的假设,关于工资和最低工资的重要性-à-vis i和e在cpi的决定。
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引用次数: 8
Which sectors to stimulate first in Brazil? Estimating the sectoral power to pull the economy out of the recession 巴西应该首先刺激哪些行业?评估将经济拉出衰退的行业力量
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2017.05.001
Henrique Morrone

The current recession in Brazil has provoked intense discussion concerning ways to boost economic activity. This paper intends to contribute to the debate by ranking the sectors that have the power to pull the economy out of the recession when they are stimulated, employing the eigenvector method developed by Dietzenbacher (1992). To that end, we first estimated the input-output (I-O) matrix for 2013 applying Guilhoto and Sesso (2005)’s methodology and build an I-O matrix from the National Statistical Accounts. Later, we employed the eigenvector method to find the inter-sector backward linkages and ranked them. The results highlight the importance of petroleum refining and coke, resin manufacturing and elastomers, various chemical products and preparations, and chemicals to boost the recovery of the economy. Nonetheless, the traditional sectors of construction and automotive manufacturing exhibited poor and modest results respectively.

巴西目前的经济衰退引发了关于如何促进经济活动的激烈讨论。本文打算通过采用Dietzenbacher(1992)开发的特征向量方法,对那些在受到刺激时有能力将经济拉出衰退的部门进行排名,从而为这场辩论做出贡献。为此,我们首先运用Guilhoto和Sesso(2005)的方法估算了2013年的投入产出(I-O)矩阵,并从国家统计账户中构建了一个I-O矩阵。随后,我们采用特征向量法找到部门间的后向联系,并对它们进行排序。结果突出了石油炼制和焦炭、树脂制造和弹性体、各种化学产品和制剂以及化学品对促进经济复苏的重要性。尽管如此,建筑业和汽车制造业这两个传统行业分别表现不佳和表现平平。
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引用次数: 3
Política de salarios mínimos: influencia sobre la desigualdad económica en la Unión Europea 最低工资政策:对欧盟经济不平等的影响
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2018.01.003
Francisco J. Sánchez Vellvé

This article analyzes the effect of the relative minimum wage on the inequality of disposable income of households in the European Union. To do this, an empirical analysis is carried out with a panel data econometric modeling that allows to verify the effectiveness of the policies of the relative minimum wages on the economic inequality and leads to the estimation of a negative and significant elasticity. However, this effect is reduced by 60% from the start of the economic crisis. This is not a drawback for this measure of minimum wages, which is relative in nature, to be used as a common European reference in the fight against economic inequality. Therefore, economic, social, cultural, labor market and welfare state differences will not be a serious obstacle for their community adoption.

本文分析了相对最低工资对欧盟家庭可支配收入不平等的影响。为此,使用面板数据计量经济模型进行了实证分析,该模型允许验证相对最低工资政策对经济不平等的有效性,并导致负和显著弹性的估计。然而,从经济危机开始,这种影响减少了60%。这并不是这个最低工资标准的缺点,它本质上是相对的,可以作为欧洲对抗经济不平等的共同参考标准。因此,经济、社会、文化、劳动力市场和福利国家的差异不会成为社区收养的严重障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Conferencia del Dr. Carlos Alejandro Tello Macías realizada el 15 de febrero de 2017 en el Auditorio Ho Chi Minh a propósito de su nombramiento, por parte del H. Consejo Universitario, como Profesor Emérito de la Facultad de Economía de la Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (unam) Carlos Alejandro Tello macias博士于2017年2月15日在胡志明礼堂举行会议,讨论他被H.大学理事会任命为墨西哥国立自治大学(unam)经济学院名誉教授
IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.inveco.2018.01.001
Muchas gracias
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引用次数: 0
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Investigacion Economica
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