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Long-Term Consequences of Adolescent Fertility: The Colombian Case 青少年生育的长期后果:哥伦比亚案例
Pub Date : 2015-06-11 DOI: 10.4054/DEMRES.2015.32.55
B. Urdinola, Carlos Ospino
Background: Estimating the long-term effects of adolescent motherhood is challenging for all developing countries, including Colombia, where this rate has been steadily increasing for 24 years, despite the reduction in the overall fertility rate. We propose a replicable methodology by applying a pseudo panel that evaluates the consequences of adolescent motherhood on outcomes previously neglected in the literature, such as job quality, marriage instability, partner’s job class, presence of physical abuse by current partner, and children’s health.Objective: To examine how adolescent mothers compare with non-adolescent mothers in outcomes not previously studied, such as job quality, marriage instability, partner’s job class, if respondent has been physically abused by current partner, and health outcomes for their children.Methods: We built a pseudo panel using four Demographic and Health Surveys (1995-2010) and compared the effects of older adolescent childbearing (ages 18-19) with those of women who postponed motherhood for just a couple of years (ages 20-21), exploiting the natural difference between adolescents and young adults who become mothers.Results: The results revealed younger mothers as well as their partners hold lower-class jobs, suffer higher rates of domestic violence at the hands of their partners, and have a higher share of deceased children.Conclusions: The latter two results lead us to suggest aggressive and comprehensive targeted public policies both for prevention of adolescent motherhood and for following their just-born babies’ health.
背景:对包括哥伦比亚在内的所有发展中国家来说,估计青少年孕产的长期影响都是一项挑战。尽管总体生育率有所下降,但哥伦比亚的青少年孕产率24年来一直在稳步上升。我们提出了一种可复制的方法,通过应用一个伪小组来评估未成年母亲对以前在文献中被忽视的结果的影响,如工作质量、婚姻不稳定、伴侣的工作类别、现任伴侣的身体虐待和儿童健康。目的:研究青少年母亲与非青少年母亲在工作质量、婚姻不稳定性、伴侣的工作阶层、被调查者是否受到现任伴侣的身体虐待以及其子女的健康结果等先前未研究的结果方面的比较。方法:我们利用四次人口与健康调查(1995-2010)建立了一个伪面板,并比较了晚育(18-19岁)和推迟几年(20-21岁)生育的妇女的影响,利用了青少年和成为母亲的年轻成年人之间的自然差异。结果:研究结果显示,年轻的母亲及其伴侣的工作地位较低,遭受伴侣家庭暴力的比例更高,并且有更高比例的孩子死亡。结论:后两个结果使我们建议积极和全面的有针对性的公共政策,既预防青少年母亲和跟踪她们刚出生的婴儿的健康。
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引用次数: 26
Fiscal Decentralization and China's Regional Infant Mortality 财政分权与中国地区婴儿死亡率
Pub Date : 2015-04-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2594338
G. Brock, Yinghua Jin, Tong Zeng
Regional Chinese infant mortality rates (IMRs) are examined using a stochastic frontier method for the first time. The composite error term method yields estimates of large underreporting of IMRs over time and provinces in China during the past 30 years. China does not follow the standard growth paradigm of more growth leading to lower IMRs. Fiscal decentralization has not alleviated the problem of high IMRs. Both IMRs and the sex ratio at birth suggest reported data constitute a floor or minimal level of demographic distress across provinces with millions of missing females not fully included in the data. China's one-child policy leads to not only underreporting by families but also reporting abuse by local officials who want to be promoted. The hukou system and unbalanced government development policies exacerbate the issue.
本文首次采用随机前沿方法对中国地区婴儿死亡率(IMRs)进行研究。综合误差项法估算了中国在过去30年中不同时间和省份的大量低报imr。中国并没有遵循高增长导致低imr的标准增长模式。财政分权并没有缓解高综合汇率的问题。imr和出生性别比都表明,报告的数据构成了各省人口窘迫的最低水平或最低水平,数百万失踪女性未完全纳入数据。中国的独生子女政策不仅导致家庭瞒报,也导致地方官员为了升职而瞒报。户籍制度和不平衡的政府发展政策加剧了这一问题。
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引用次数: 12
Health and Home Ownership: Findings for the Case of Japan 健康和住房所有权:日本案例的调查结果
Pub Date : 2015-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2605794
T. Aizawa, Matthias Helble
The research objective of this paper is to test whether health conditions and health behavior are related to home ownership. This question has not yet been examined quantitatively in the existing literature. Our estimation results show that homeowners consistently report better health and less physical problems. The significance of home ownership remains even after controlling for financial assets and housing conditions. Furthermore, our estimations indicate that homeowners invest more in their future health by undergoing voluntarily medical screenings more frequently. Finally, our estimations suggest that home ownership is positively correlated with health care expenditure even when controlling for income, debt, and other financial assets and we could not reject the exogeneity of home ownership. Our empirical results thus provide evidence for the importance of home ownership for health.
本文的研究目的是检验健康状况和健康行为是否与住房所有权相关。在现有文献中,这个问题还没有被定量地研究过。我们的估计结果表明,房主的健康状况更好,身体问题更少。即使在控制了金融资产和住房条件之后,住房所有权的重要性仍然存在。此外,我们的估计表明,房主通过更频繁地自愿接受医疗检查,对自己未来的健康投入更多。最后,我们的估计表明,即使在控制收入、债务和其他金融资产的情况下,住房所有权与医疗保健支出呈正相关,我们不能拒绝住房所有权的外生性。因此,我们的实证结果为住房所有权对健康的重要性提供了证据。
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引用次数: 5
Mental Health & Employment, a Work-in-Progress: A Comprehensive Report on the Duty to Accommodate Mental Illness in Canadian Workplaces 心理健康与就业,一项正在进行的工作:关于在加拿大工作场所安置精神疾病的责任的综合报告
Pub Date : 2015-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2851152
Christina Iannozzi
The national conversation surrounding mental illness has transformed in the past twenty years. With this societal change, there have been drastic changes to employers’ legal obligations. Today, however, disability discrimination still seriously impacts the wellbeing of Canadians living with mental illness. This report provides an introduction to some of the problems in the communities and workplaces of those living with mental illness today. With a particular focus on Ontario Human Rights and Labour Arbitration decisions, trends in employment law are outlined first. Next, this report highlights the prevalence of disability discrimination claims, and includes a comparative overview of how these issues are treated by legal decision makers. Lastly, the need for adaptive law approaches, creative accommodations and increased societal inclusivity will be addressed.
在过去的二十年里,关于精神疾病的全国性讨论发生了变化。随着社会的变化,雇主的法律义务也发生了巨大的变化。然而,今天,残疾歧视仍然严重影响着患有精神疾病的加拿大人的福祉。本报告介绍了当今精神疾病患者在社区和工作场所所面临的一些问题。首先概述了就业法的发展趋势,特别关注安大略省人权和劳动仲裁裁决。接下来,本报告强调了残疾歧视索赔的普遍性,并包括对法律决策者如何处理这些问题的比较概述。最后,将讨论适应性法律方法、创造性住宿和增加社会包容性的必要性。
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引用次数: 1
Managing the Costs of Healthcare for an Aging Population: The Fiscal Impact of New Brunswick's Demographic Glacier 管理老龄化人口的医疗保健费用:新不伦瑞克省人口冰川的财政影响
Pub Date : 2015-01-06 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2551004
C. Busby, W. Robson, A. Jacobs
New Brunswick faces a $68 billion fiscal burden – the future tax bill for increased healthcare costs over the next half-century – and should prepare now for the coming demographic squeeze, says a report released today from the C.D. Howe Institute. In “Managing the Costs of Healthcare for an Aging Population: The Fiscal Impact of New Brunswick’s Demographic Glacier,” authors William B.P. Robson, Colin Busby and Aaron Jacobs recommend changes to protect New Brunswick’s next generation from the burden they will otherwise bear as the tax base grows more slowly and healthcare costs rise.
新布伦瑞克省面临着680亿美元的财政负担——未来半个世纪增加的医疗保健费用的未来税收账单——现在应该为即将到来的人口紧缩做好准备,C.D.豪研究所今天发布的一份报告说。在《管理老龄化人口的医疗成本:新不伦瑞克省人口冰川的财政影响》一书中,作者威廉·B.P.罗布森、科林·巴斯比和亚伦·雅各布斯建议进行改革,以保护新不伦瑞克省的下一代免受税基增长缓慢和医疗成本上升带来的负担。
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引用次数: 0
Binge Drinking, Antisocial and Unlawful Behaviours, and Beverage Types 酗酒,反社会和非法行为,以及饮料类型
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2572032
Ou Yang, Xueyan Zhao, Preety Srivastava
This paper examines evidence from Australia on the factors associated with binge drinking and several alcohol-related antisocial and unlawful behaviours. In particular, to quantify the negative externalities of excessive alcohol consumption by product type, our primary focus is the link with eleven types of alcoholic beverages. We also examine the role of binge drinking in increasing the likelihood for engaging in these antisocial and unlawful behaviours. We use individual-level data from a national representative survey and a multivariate probit model that allows unobservable factors for all negative behaviours to be correlated. Potential misclassification in the self-reported consumption data is accounted for. Results provide valuable evidence for more effective alcohol taxation as a tool for correcting differentiated negative externalities by beverage type.
本文研究了来自澳大利亚的证据,这些证据与酗酒和一些与酒精有关的反社会和非法行为有关。特别是,为了量化产品类型中过量饮酒的负面外部性,我们的主要重点是与11种酒精饮料的联系。我们还研究了酗酒在增加从事这些反社会和非法行为的可能性方面的作用。我们使用来自全国代表性调查的个人水平数据和多元概率模型,该模型允许所有负面行为的不可观察因素相互关联。在自我报告的消费数据中潜在的错误分类被考虑在内。结果提供了有价值的证据,更有效的酒精税收作为纠正不同饮料类型的差异化负外部性的工具。
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引用次数: 1
Does Religious Activity Affect Childbearing Decisions? The Case of Georgia 宗教活动会影响生育决定吗?格鲁吉亚事件
Pub Date : 2014-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2539890
Lasha Lanchava
In response to the problem of shrinking birthrates in the country, in October 2007, the head of the Georgian Orthodox church announced that he would personally baptize any third and further baby born to Orthodox families from that time. This study uses the initiative as a natural experiment to explore the economic consequences of religious activity. This analysis uses individual level survey data from the Caucasus Resource Research Center (CRRC) Georgia on fertility before and after the initiative for Orthodox Christians (treatment group) and Non- Orthodox Christians (control group) population to identify the effect of the church leader’s promise on birth rates. Difference-in-differences estimation procedure is employed to examine the potential causal effect. This analysis does not find evidence that the church initiative had an effect on fertility.
为了应对国内出生率下降的问题,2007年10月,格鲁吉亚东正教教堂的负责人宣布,他将亲自为从那时起出生的任何第三个或更多的东正教家庭的婴儿施洗。本研究将该倡议作为自然实验来探索宗教活动的经济后果。本分析使用来自格鲁吉亚高加索资源研究中心(CRRC)的个人层面调查数据,研究东正教基督徒(治疗组)和非东正教基督徒(对照组)人口在计划前后的生育率,以确定教会领袖的承诺对出生率的影响。采用差中差估计法来检验潜在的因果关系。这项分析没有发现证据表明教会的倡议对生育率有影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Closing Hour Restrictions on Alcohol Use and Abuse in Russia 俄罗斯关门时间限制对酒精使用和滥用的影响
Pub Date : 2014-09-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2501865
A. S. Skorobogatov
This research estimates the effect of the restriction of trading hours on the use of alcoholic beverages falling under the restriction, and to evaluate the substitution effect for the beverages not under the restriction. The hypotheses tested are that these policies decrease use of factory-made vodka and increase use of home-made vodka (samogon) and factory-made light beverages. Overall use, binge drinking, and the consumption of vodka, samogon, beer, and wine were examined. The conclusions are that the sales restrictions leads to a decrease of factory-made vodka consumption and its partial substitution by samagon for people most exposed to the restriction. A by-product of the restriction is a redistribution of alcohol market in favor of the big shops that resulted in a fall in samogon sales and rise in wine sales.
本研究估计了交易时间限制对受限制的酒精饮料使用的影响,并评估了对不受限制的饮料的替代效应。经过测试的假设是,这些政策减少了工厂制造的伏特加的使用,增加了自制伏特加(samogon)和工厂制造的淡饮料的使用。总体使用,酗酒,伏特加,samogon,啤酒和葡萄酒的消费进行了检查。得出的结论是,销售限制导致工厂生产的伏特加消费量减少,并且对最受限制的人来说,它被samagon部分替代。这一限制的副产品是酒类市场的重新分配有利于大商店,导致samogon销量下降,葡萄酒销量上升。
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引用次数: 11
The Price Sensitivity of Health Plan Choice: Evidence from Retirees in the German Social Health Insurance 健康计划选择的价格敏感性:来自德国社会健康保险退休人员的证据
Pub Date : 2014-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2433588
Amelie Wuppermann, Sebastian Bauhoff, M. Grabka
We investigate two determinants of the price sensitivity of health plan demand: the size of the choice set and the salience of premium differences. Using variation in both features in the German Social Health Insurance (SHI) and information on health plan switches of retirees in the German Socio Economic Panel, augmented with information on individuals’ choice sets we find that retirees react less to potential savings from switching when they have more plans to choose from and when differences between premiums are less salient. Simplifying choices could save consumers money and improve the functioning of the health insurance market.
我们研究了健康计划需求价格敏感性的两个决定因素:选择集的大小和保费差异的显著性。利用德国社会健康保险(SHI)的两个特征的变化和德国社会经济小组关于退休人员健康计划转换的信息,再加上个人选择集的信息,我们发现,当退休人员有更多的计划可供选择时,当保费之间的差异不太显著时,他们对转换的潜在储蓄反应较小。简化选择可以节省消费者的钱,并改善健康保险市场的运作。
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引用次数: 6
Pathway from Nutrition Intake to Wage Among Elementary Workers in India 印度初级工人从营养摄入到工资的途径
Pub Date : 2014-06-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2450377
Kaushalendra Kumar
Despite the consistent effort to reduce hunger and poverty, a sizeable proportion of the population in India is living below the poverty line (22% 2011-12) and 36% women and 34% men were underweight. Malnutrition and poverty form a vicious circle of poverty which needs to be removed through government intervention. In the context, using data from national representative “employment and unemployment” (and 61st round 2004-05 and 68th round 2011-12) of the National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) we have tried to establish the association between nutrition status and wage in India. In order to take into account the heterogeneous effect of the calorie intake across the income distribution and endogeneity of the calorie consumption, we have applied instrumental variable quantile regression. Regression result confirms the heterogeneous impact of per-capita calorie intake across household income distribution. Result shows that the marginal effect of per consumer unit calorie intake on wage decrease with the increase in wage. Calorie intake elasticity of wage gain increases from 0.76 at the lowest 10th quantile to the 1.11 at the highest 90th quantile of the wage distribution in 2004-05. In 2011-12 calorie-wage elasticity decreased to 0.42 and 0.79 respectively at the 10th and 90th quantile of the wage distribution. Study clearly shows the urgent need of public nutritional supplementation at the low of the wage distribution for the maximization of wage gain from the marginal public nutritional expenditure.
尽管印度一直在努力减少饥饿和贫困,但仍有相当大比例的人口生活在贫困线以下(2011- 2012年为22%),36%的女性和34%的男性体重不足。营养不良和贫困形成了贫困的恶性循环,需要通过政府干预来消除。在此背景下,我们利用国家抽样调查组织(NSSO)的全国代表性“就业和失业”数据(2004-05年第61轮和2011-12年第68轮),试图建立印度营养状况与工资之间的联系。为了考虑到热量摄入在收入分配中的异质效应和热量消耗的内生性,我们应用了工具变量分位数回归。回归结果证实了人均热量摄入在家庭收入分布中的异质性影响。结果表明,消费者单位热量摄入对工资的边际效应随着工资的增加而减小。在2004-05年度,工资增长的热量摄入弹性从最低的第10分位数的0.76上升到最高的第90分位数的1.11。2011- 2012年,在工资分布的第10分位数和第90分位数处,卡路里工资弹性分别降至0.42和0.79。研究清楚地表明,为了从边际公共营养支出中获得最大的工资收益,迫切需要在工资分配的低端进行公共营养补充。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Geographic Health Economics eJournal
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