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CELAC Regionalism in Crisis and Obama’s Hemispheric Policy in Review 危机中的拉共体地区主义和回顾奥巴马的半球政策
Pub Date : 2018-08-30 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/4139
F. Kornegay
Editorial
编辑
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引用次数: 0
Global Flow Security – A New Security Agenda for the Transatlantic Community in 2030 全球流动安全——2030年跨大西洋共同体的新安全议程
Pub Date : 2018-08-21 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/4216
Wayne Jumat
Book review
书评
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引用次数: 3
Obama’s Latin America Policy: A Score Card 奥巴马的拉美政策:一张记分卡
Pub Date : 2018-05-28 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/3385
S. Zondi
According to Senator McCain, “John F. Kennedy described the peoples of Latin America as the United States’ ‘firm and ancient friends, united by history and by the United States’ determination to advance the values of American civilization throughout the hemisphere’” (Kennedy, 1962, quoted in McCain, 2007: 30). Latin American countries make natural partners of the United States, despite previous United States’ administrations having inattentively polluted this relationship. However, from the moment he became America’s 44th president, Barack H. Obama expressed a policy toward Latin America that was centered on the idea of equal partnership and mutual engagement, by saying, “I know that promises of partnership have gone unfulfilled in the past. There would be no senior or junior partner to this new engagement; there is simply engagement based on mutual respect; common interests and shared values” (Obama, 2009). This paper will examine President Obama’s foreign policy legacy in Latin America looking at his change of strategy on US-Cuba relations and the challenges that followed. The initial part will examine U.S. foreign policy shift from Bush to the Obama administration. The paper concludes that despite Obama’s Latin America policy not living to its full expectation, it was more pragmatic, cordial and multilateral than most American administrations to date.
根据参议员麦凯恩的说法,“约翰·f·肯尼迪将拉丁美洲人民描述为美国的‘坚定而古老的朋友,他们因历史和美国在整个半球推进美国文明价值观的决心而团结在一起’”(Kennedy, 1962,引自McCain, 2007: 30)。拉美国家是美国的天然伙伴,尽管前几届美国政府曾粗心地破坏了这种关系。但是,从成为美国第44任总统的那一刻起,巴拉克·h·奥巴马(Barack H. Obama)就表达了以平等伙伴关系和相互参与为核心的拉美政策,他说:“我知道,伙伴关系的承诺在过去没有实现。这个新项目不会有高级合伙人或初级合伙人;只有基于相互尊重的接触;共同的利益和共同的价值观”(Obama, 2009)。本文将考察奥巴马总统在拉丁美洲的外交政策遗产,着眼于他对美古关系战略的改变以及随之而来的挑战。第一部分将考察美国外交政策从布什政府到奥巴马政府的转变。这篇论文的结论是,尽管奥巴马的拉美政策没有完全达到预期,但它比迄今为止大多数美国政府都更加务实、亲切和多边。
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引用次数: 0
Building on a Common Identity for Regional Security in South America: the role of the Unión de Naciones Sudamericanas (UNASUR) 建立南美洲区域安全的共同认同:Unión南美国家联盟(UNASUR)的作用
Pub Date : 2018-05-28 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/1878
Augusto De Guzman
The emergence of the Union de Naciones Sudamericanas (UNASUR), combining the trade blocs of Mercosur and the Andean Community of Nations, effectively turns the continent into a single intergovernmental organization. On this basis, the continent may be able to provide a stronger counterbalance to the hemispheric hegemon to the north and render the Organization of American States (OAS) futile. But, this article argues, the long-term success of this move will largely depend on its ability to effectively subjugate or control historical rivalries and divergent national interests between the member states marked by many differences among them; to build institutional capacity and maintain domestic political stability while solidifying democracy in the region, among a number of factors.
南美洲国家联盟(南美国家联盟)的出现结合了南方共同市场和安第斯国家共同体的贸易集团,有效地将该大陆变成了一个单一的政府间组织。在此基础上,该大陆也许能够对北方的半球霸权提供更强有力的平衡,并使美洲国家组织(美洲组织)无效。但是,本文认为,这一举措的长期成功将在很大程度上取决于它是否有能力有效地平息或控制成员国之间的历史对抗和不同的国家利益,这些国家之间存在着许多差异;建设机构能力和维持国内政治稳定,同时巩固该地区的民主,其中包括若干因素。
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引用次数: 0
In Memoriam: Zelia Campbell 纪念:泽莉亚·坎贝尔
Pub Date : 2018-05-28 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/3384
J. Vanwyk
Memorium
Memorium
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引用次数: 0
Geo-Economic Competition in Latin America: Brazil, Venezuela, and Regional Integration in the 21st Century 拉丁美洲的地缘经济竞争:21世纪的巴西、委内瑞拉和区域一体化
Pub Date : 2018-05-28 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/4058
Guilherme Casarões
The institutional framework of Latin American integration saw a period of intense transformation in the 2000s, with the death of the ambitious project of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA), spearheaded by the United States, and the birth of two new institutions, the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC). This article offers a historical reconstruction of regional integration structures in the 2000s, with emphasis on the fault lines between Brazil, Venezuela and the US, and how they have shaped the institutional order across the hemisphere. We argue that the shaping of UNASUR and CELAC, launched respectively in 2007 and 2010, is the outcome of three complex processes: (1) Brazil’s struggle to strengthen Mercosur by acting more decisively as a regional paymaster; (2) Washington’s selective engagement with some key regional players, notably Colombia, and (3) Venezuela’s construction of an alternative integration model through the Bolivarian Alliance (ALBA) and oil diplomacy. If UNASUR corresponded to Brazil’s strategy to neutralize the growing role of Caracas in South America and to break apart the emerging alliance between Venezuela, Argentina, and Bolivia, CELAC was at the same time a means to keep the US away from regional decisions, and to weaken the Caracas-Havana axis that sustained ALBA.
本世纪头十年,拉丁美洲一体化的制度框架经历了一段激烈的转型时期,由美国牵头的雄心勃勃的美洲自由贸易区(FTAA)项目夭折,两个新机构——南美国家联盟(UNASUR)和拉丁美洲和加勒比国家共同体(CELAC)诞生。本文对2000年代的区域一体化结构进行了历史重建,重点关注巴西、委内瑞拉和美国之间的断层线,以及它们如何塑造了整个半球的制度秩序。我们认为,分别于2007年和2010年启动的UNASUR和CELAC的形成是三个复杂过程的结果:(1)巴西通过更果断地作为地区出资人来加强南方共同市场的斗争;(2)华盛顿有选择性地与一些关键的地区参与者接触,特别是哥伦比亚;(3)委内瑞拉通过玻利瓦尔联盟(ALBA)和石油外交构建了另一种一体化模式。如果UNASUR符合巴西的战略,即中和加拉加斯在南美洲日益增长的作用,并打破委内瑞拉,阿根廷和玻利维亚之间正在形成的联盟,那么CELAC同时也是一种使美国远离地区决策的手段,并削弱维持ALBA的加拉加斯-哈瓦那轴心。
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引用次数: 1
The Venezuelan Crisis and Brazil’s South American Policy 委内瑞拉危机与巴西的南美政策
Pub Date : 2018-05-28 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/1267
E. Ribeiro
The political crisis in Venezuela is one of the most important regional developments for Brazil in 2016, aside from its own domestic crisis and the election of Macri in Argentina. The interim government has showed willingness to undertake major changes in Brazil’s regional foreign policy. The Venezuelan crisis is a parameter to analyze the political realignments after years of stability, but slower than intended progress in South American regional integration. The initial support for venezuelan opposition against the Chavist government symbolizes a swerve towards uncertainty in Mercosur and happens in the context of pressure to sign extra-regional economic agreements. Currently, interim Brazilian leadership is playing the “democracy card”, although the disrespect for democracy is not an exclusive feature of Venezuela in South America, but a recurring phenomenon in the region. Instead of blaming any side for the crisis, Brazil should use Unasur mechanisms to extinguish the fire and work for a middle path in the troubled transition of power in Venezuela. Thus, Brazil could revitalize Mercosur and persuade the South American leaders on the benefits of regionalism over unrestrained globalization. Otherwise, the Brazilian government may lose their bargaining position as a regional leader and interlocutor with the outside world; and South America may have a disordered process of globalization.
委内瑞拉的政治危机是巴西在2016年最重要的地区事态发展之一,除了其国内危机和阿根廷总统马克里的当选。临时政府表示愿意对巴西的地区外交政策进行重大改革。经过多年的稳定,委内瑞拉危机是分析政治重组的一个参数,但它比南美地区一体化的预期进展要慢。最初对委内瑞拉反对派反对查韦斯政府的支持象征着南方共同市场转向不确定性,并发生在签署区域外经济协议的压力背景下。目前,巴西临时领导人正在打“民主牌”,尽管对民主的不尊重并非委内瑞拉在南美的独有特征,而是该地区反复出现的现象。巴西不应将危机归咎于任何一方,而应利用Unasur机制来灭火,并为委内瑞拉陷入困境的权力过渡寻找一条中间道路。因此,巴西可以重振南方共同市场,并说服南美领导人相信区域主义比不受限制的全球化有好处。否则,巴西政府可能会失去作为地区领导者和外部世界对话者的谈判地位;南美的全球化进程可能是无序的。
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引用次数: 0
What’s Wrong, Who’s Right in Central America: A Citizen's Guide, by Richard A. Nuccio 《中美洲什么是错,谁是对:公民指南》,作者:Richard A. Nuccio
Pub Date : 2018-04-10 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/3383
S. Zondi
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引用次数: 0
The End of American World Order, by Amitav Acharya 阿米塔夫·阿查里亚的《美国世界秩序的终结》
Pub Date : 2018-04-10 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/2897
Siphamandla Zondi
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引用次数: 2
The Salience of the Rawlings Quasi-Revolution in Shaping Contemporary Ghana between History and Ideology 罗林斯准革命在塑造历史与意识形态之间的当代加纳中的突出作用
Pub Date : 2018-04-10 DOI: 10.25159/0256-6060/1305
Xolisa Ngcingwana
The ideological ferment occurring during Flight Lieutenant Jerry Rawlings’ ascension to political power in Ghana has forged our understanding of the political and economic developments of the country. Such an ideological turn occurring during Rawlings’ second coming has defined and continued to shape Ghana’s economic and political developmental trend as we know it. While some, if not most, of the revolution’s upshots prove to be perfunctory and ephemeral, Rawlings’ revolution, though ideologically disinclined digressed from this norm. This article argues that, based on experiences elsewhere including the Caribbean, the true significance of the Rawlings quasi-revolution therefore is not to be found in the polemics of scholarly pursuit of what constitutes a true revolution or not, but in its earnestness of providence in its quest for economic stability, growth and consistency, also in its ability to purge, both in government and in society. The true measure of Rawlings’ second coming is that it created the environment, politically and economically, through which to implement economic reforms, thus defining a clear developmental trajectory post military rule for Ghana.
杰里·罗林斯中尉在加纳获得政治权力期间发生的意识形态骚动,锻造了我们对该国政治和经济发展的理解。这种发生在罗林斯再临期间的意识形态转变,定义并继续塑造了我们所知的加纳的经济和政治发展趋势。虽然一些(如果不是大多数的话)革命的结果被证明是敷衍了事和短暂的,但罗林斯的革命尽管在意识形态上不愿意偏离这一规范。本文认为,基于包括加勒比地区在内的其他地方的经验,罗林斯准革命的真正意义不在于学术上对什么是真正的革命或不是真正的革命的争论,而在于它对经济稳定、增长和一致性的追求,以及它在政府和社会中清洗的能力。罗林斯再来的真正意义在于,他在政治和经济上创造了实施经济改革的环境,从而为加纳在后军事统治时期确定了一条清晰的发展轨迹。
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Latin American Report
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