首页 > 最新文献

Economic Notes最新文献

英文 中文
Small firms amidst COVID-19: Financial constraints and role of government support 新冠肺炎中的小企业:财政限制和政府支持的作用
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12206
Radeef Chundakkadan, Rajesh Raj Natarajan, Subash Sasidharan

The coronavirus disease 2019 has severely affected the financially constrained small and medium enterprises (SMEs). In response, various countries employed several policies to support SMEs. Using rich firm-level data from 34 countries, we study the impact of the pandemic-led crisis on cash-strapped SMEs and the role of governments in offsetting losses. Our results suggest that (i) government support programmes target mostly financially constrained firms; (ii) firms adjustments to the pandemic are associated with the likelihood of government support; (iii) financially constrained firms are more likely to lay off workers; and (iv) financially constrained firms layoff more male employees than female employees.

2019冠状病毒病严重影响了财政拮据的中小企业。作为回应,各国采取了若干政策来支持中小企业。利用来自34个国家的丰富的企业级数据,我们研究了疫情引发的危机对资金短缺的中小企业的影响,以及政府在抵消损失方面的作用。我们的研究结果表明:(i)政府支持计划主要针对财务受限的公司;(ii)企业对疫情的调整与政府支持的可能性有关;(iii)财务拮据的公司更有可能裁员;四财务拮据的公司裁减的男性雇员多于女性雇员。
{"title":"Small firms amidst COVID-19: Financial constraints and role of government support","authors":"Radeef Chundakkadan,&nbsp;Rajesh Raj Natarajan,&nbsp;Subash Sasidharan","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12206","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12206","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The coronavirus disease 2019 has severely affected the financially constrained small and medium enterprises (SMEs). In response, various countries employed several policies to support SMEs. Using rich firm-level data from 34 countries, we study the impact of the pandemic-led crisis on cash-strapped SMEs and the role of governments in offsetting losses. Our results suggest that (i) government support programmes target mostly financially constrained firms; (ii) firms adjustments to the pandemic are associated with the likelihood of government support; (iii) financially constrained firms are more likely to lay off workers; and (iv) financially constrained firms layoff more male employees than female employees.</p>","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"51 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecno.12206","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71944000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Effect of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on GDP per capita in ECOWAS countries 西非经共体国家信贷异常扩张和收缩对人均GDP的影响
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12205
Peterson K. Ozili, Jide Oladipo, Paul Terhemer Iorember
We investigate the impact of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. We analyse abnormal credit from two dimensions: first, the impact of abnormal credit contraction on GDP per capita, and second, the impact of abnormal credit expansion on GDP per capita. Using data for 10 ECOWAS countries from 1993 to 2021, we find evidence that abnormal credit contraction reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. We also find some evidence that abnormal credit expansion reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. More specifically, a unit increase in abnormal credit contraction decreases GDP per capita by 0.99 percent while a unit increase in abnormal credit expansion decreases GDP per capita by only 0.1 percent. The findings confirm that ‘ too little’ or ‘too much ’ credit does not improve economic output per person in immature financial systems. We also observe that banking sector solvency and a strong legal system have a positive effect on the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries while banking sector efficiency has a negative effect on GDP per capita. that abnormal credit contraction reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. This indicates that abnormal cuts in credit to the private sector lowers economic output per person in ECOWAS countries. We also find some evidence that abnormal credit expansion reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. This indicates that abnormal increases in credit to the private sector lowers economic output per person in ECOWAS countries.
我们研究了非常态信贷扩张和收缩对西非经共体国家人均GDP的影响。我们从两个维度分析信贷异常:一是信贷异常收缩对人均GDP的影响,二是信贷异常扩张对人均GDP的影响。利用10个西非经共体国家1993年至2021年的数据,我们发现异常信贷收缩降低了西非经共体国家人均GDP的证据。我们还发现了一些证据表明,异常信贷扩张降低了西非经共体国家的人均GDP。更具体地说,反常信贷收缩的单位增长使人均GDP下降0.99%,而反常信贷扩张的单位增长仅使人均GDP下降0.1%。研究结果证实,在不成熟的金融体系中,“太少”或“太多”的信贷不会提高人均经济产出。我们还观察到,银行业偿付能力和强大的法律体系对西非经共体国家的人均GDP有积极影响,而银行业效率对人均GDP有负面影响。反常的信贷收缩降低了西非经共体国家的人均国内生产总值。这表明对私营部门信贷的不正常削减降低了西非经共体国家的人均经济产出。我们还发现了一些证据表明,异常信贷扩张降低了西非经共体国家的人均GDP。这表明私营部门信贷的异常增加降低了西非经共体国家的人均经济产出。
{"title":"Effect of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on GDP per capita in ECOWAS countries","authors":"Peterson K. Ozili, Jide Oladipo, Paul Terhemer Iorember","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12205","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12205","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the impact of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. We analyse abnormal credit from two dimensions: first, the impact of abnormal credit contraction on GDP per capita, and second, the impact of abnormal credit expansion on GDP per capita. Using data for 10 ECOWAS countries from 1993 to 2021, we find evidence that abnormal credit contraction reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. We also find some evidence that abnormal credit expansion reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. More specifically, a unit increase in abnormal credit contraction decreases GDP per capita by 0.99 percent while a unit increase in abnormal credit expansion decreases GDP per capita by only 0.1 percent. The findings confirm that ‘ too little’ or ‘too much ’ credit does not improve economic output per person in immature financial systems. We also observe that banking sector solvency and a strong legal system have a positive effect on the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries while banking sector efficiency has a negative effect on GDP per capita. that abnormal credit contraction reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. This indicates that abnormal cuts in credit to the private sector lowers economic output per person in ECOWAS countries. We also find some evidence that abnormal credit expansion reduces the GDP per capita of ECOWAS countries. This indicates that abnormal increases in credit to the private sector lowers economic output per person in ECOWAS countries.","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88238722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Effect of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on GDP per capita in ECOWAS countries 西非经共体国家信贷异常扩张和收缩对人均国内生产总值的影响
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12205
Peterson K. Ozili, Jide Oladipo, Paul Terhemba Iorember

We investigate the impact of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (CGDP) of Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries. We analyse abnormal credit from two dimensions: first, the impact of abnormal credit contraction on CGDP and, second, the impact of abnormal credit expansion on CGDP. Using data for 10 ECOWAS countries from 1993 to 2021, we find evidence that abnormal credit contraction reduces the CGDP of ECOWAS countries. We also find some evidence that abnormal credit expansion reduces the CGDP of ECOWAS countries. More specifically, a unit increase in abnormal credit contraction decreases CGDP by 0.99%, whereas a unit increase in abnormal credit expansion decreases CGDP by only 0.1%. The findings confirm that ‘too little’ or ‘too much’ credit does not improve growth per person in immature financial systems. We also observe that banking sector solvency and a strong legal system have a positive effect on the CGDP of ECOWAS countries, while banking sector efficiency has a negative effect on CGDP.

我们调查了非正常信贷扩张和收缩对西非国家经济共同体(西非经共体)国家人均国内生产总值(GDP)的影响。我们从两个维度分析了非正常信贷:第一,非正常信贷收缩对CGDP的影响。使用1993年至2021年西非经共体10个国家的数据,我们发现有证据表明,异常信贷收缩降低了西非经共体国家的CGDP。我们还发现一些证据表明,非正常的信贷扩张降低了西非经共体国家的CGDP。更具体地说,异常信贷收缩的单位增长使CGDP下降0.99%,而异常信贷扩张的单位增长仅使CGDP降低0.1%。研究结果证实,在不成熟的金融系统中,“过少”或“过多”的信贷并不能提高人均增长。我们还观察到,银行部门的偿付能力和强大的法律体系对西非经共体国家的CGDP有积极影响,而银行部门的效率对CGDP有负面影响。
{"title":"Effect of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on GDP per capita in ECOWAS countries","authors":"Peterson K. Ozili,&nbsp;Jide Oladipo,&nbsp;Paul Terhemba Iorember","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12205","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12205","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We investigate the impact of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (CGDP) of Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries. We analyse abnormal credit from two dimensions: first, the impact of abnormal credit contraction on CGDP and, second, the impact of abnormal credit expansion on CGDP. Using data for 10 ECOWAS countries from 1993 to 2021, we find evidence that abnormal credit contraction reduces the CGDP of ECOWAS countries. We also find some evidence that abnormal credit expansion reduces the CGDP of ECOWAS countries. More specifically, a unit increase in abnormal credit contraction decreases CGDP by 0.99%, whereas a unit increase in abnormal credit expansion decreases CGDP by only 0.1%. The findings confirm that ‘too little’ or ‘too much’ credit does not improve growth per person in immature financial systems. We also observe that banking sector solvency and a strong legal system have a positive effect on the CGDP of ECOWAS countries, while banking sector efficiency has a negative effect on CGDP.</p>","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"51 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71985990","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Do spatial dependence and market power matter in the diversification of cooperative banks? 空间依赖和市场力量对合作银行的多元化有影响吗?
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12204
Carmelo Algeri, Antonio F. Forgione, Carlo Migliardo

This study examines the determinants of cooperative banks' diversification proclivity, with consideration of the spatial dependence effect. The empirical analysis demonstrates that Italian cooperative banks operate as a network with significant spillover effects that should not be ignored. Indeed, local banks compete in the same market segment, and any shift in their diversification strategy has a cascading effect on neighbouring cooperative banks as a result of customer migration. Finally, we observe that an increase in bank market power results in a decline in local bank lending activity.

本研究考察了合作银行多元化倾向的决定因素,并考虑了空间依赖效应。实证分析表明,意大利合作银行是一个具有显著溢出效应的网络,不应被忽视。事实上,当地银行在同一细分市场竞争,由于客户迁移,其多元化战略的任何转变都会对邻近的合作银行产生连锁效应。最后,我们观察到,银行市场力量的增加导致当地银行贷款活动的下降。
{"title":"Do spatial dependence and market power matter in the diversification of cooperative banks?","authors":"Carmelo Algeri,&nbsp;Antonio F. Forgione,&nbsp;Carlo Migliardo","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12204","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the determinants of cooperative banks' diversification proclivity, with consideration of the spatial dependence effect. The empirical analysis demonstrates that Italian cooperative banks operate as a network with significant spillover effects that should not be ignored. Indeed, local banks compete in the same market segment, and any shift in their diversification strategy has a cascading effect on neighbouring cooperative banks as a result of customer migration. Finally, we observe that an increase in bank market power results in a decline in local bank lending activity.</p>","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"51 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecno.12204","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71975249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do spatial dependence and market power matter in the diversification of cooperative banks? 空间依赖性和市场支配力对合作银行多元化有影响吗?
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12204
Carmelo Algeri, A. Forgione, Carlo Migliardo
{"title":"Do spatial dependence and market power matter in the diversification of cooperative banks?","authors":"Carmelo Algeri, A. Forgione, Carlo Migliardo","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12204","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78612835","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Issue Information (ECNO) 问题信息(ECNO)
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12188
{"title":"Issue Information (ECNO)","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12188","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12188","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"51 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecno.12188","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72128629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Are boards ‘substitute’ or ‘complement’ dividend payout? Econometric evidence for Indian banks 董事会是“替代”还是“补充”股息支付?印度银行的计量经济学证据
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12198
Madhur Bhatia, Rachita Gulati

This study econometrically tests the ‘substitution’ versus ‘outcome’ hypotheses by examining the impact of board governance on the dividend payout policy in the Indian banking industry. The analysis is confined to the period from 2005 to 2018. The results reveal a significant positive influence of overall board quality on the magnitude of payouts, supporting the ‘outcome hypothesis’. At the disaggregated level, independent directors, female directors, chief executive officer duality, and board meetings significantly influence the dividend policy of Indian banks. Our further investigation of the board-dividend nexus at the ownership level shows that this complement relation is only visible in private banks (PBs). While the ‘substitution hypothesis’ holds in public sector banks (PSBs). The results suggest that good governed PBs use dividends as a complementary measure of monitoring mechanism. In contrast, governed boards of PSBs take conservative financial decisions and declare a low dividend. The findings are robust at disaggregate level, corroborating our main findings and additional analyses, including propensity score matching depicting that our conclusions are not beset by endogeneity or selection bias.

本研究通过检验董事会治理对印度银行业股息支付政策的影响,对“替代”与“结果”假设进行了计量经济学检验。该分析仅限于2005年至2018年期间。研究结果显示,董事会整体素质对支出幅度有显著的正向影响,支持“结果假说”。在分类层面,独立董事、女性董事、首席执行官双重性和董事会会议对印度银行的股息政策产生了重大影响。我们在所有权层面对董事会股息关系的进一步调查表明,这种互补关系只在私人银行中可见。而“替代假说”适用于公共部门银行。研究结果表明,治理良好的PBs将股息作为监测机制的补充措施。相比之下,受监管的PSB董事会采取保守的财务决策,并宣布低股息。这些发现在分解层面上是稳健的,证实了我们的主要发现和其他分析,包括倾向得分匹配,表明我们的结论不受内生性或选择偏见的困扰。
{"title":"Are boards ‘substitute’ or ‘complement’ dividend payout? Econometric evidence for Indian banks","authors":"Madhur Bhatia,&nbsp;Rachita Gulati","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12198","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12198","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study econometrically tests the ‘substitution’ versus ‘outcome’ hypotheses by examining the impact of board governance on the dividend payout policy in the Indian banking industry. The analysis is confined to the period from 2005 to 2018. The results reveal a significant positive influence of overall board quality on the magnitude of payouts, supporting the ‘outcome hypothesis’. At the disaggregated level, independent directors, female directors, chief executive officer duality, and board meetings significantly influence the dividend policy of Indian banks. Our further investigation of the board-dividend nexus at the ownership level shows that this complement relation is only visible in private banks (PBs). While the ‘substitution hypothesis’ holds in public sector banks (PSBs). The results suggest that good governed PBs use dividends as a complementary measure of monitoring mechanism. In contrast, governed boards of PSBs take conservative financial decisions and declare a low dividend. The findings are robust at disaggregate level, corroborating our main findings and additional analyses, including propensity score matching depicting that our conclusions are not beset by endogeneity or selection bias.</p>","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"51 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72142446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Are boards ‘substitute’ or ‘complement’ dividend payout? Econometric evidence for Indian banks 董事会是“替代”派息还是“补充”派息?印度银行的计量经济学证据
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12198
M. Bhatia, Rachita Gulati
{"title":"Are boards ‘substitute’ or ‘complement’ dividend payout? Econometric evidence for Indian banks","authors":"M. Bhatia, Rachita Gulati","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12198","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12198","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88263682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Issue Information (ECNO) 问题信息(ECNO)
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-05 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12187
{"title":"Issue Information (ECNO)","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12187","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12187","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecno.12187","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72147801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Monetarist arithmetic at COVID‐19 time: A take on how not to misapply the quantity theory of money COVID - 19时期的货币主义者算法:关于如何不误用货币数量理论的讨论
IF 1.5 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-12-30 DOI: 10.1111/ecno.12200
Julien Pinter
The COVID-19 crisis has revived an old heated debate on whether significant increases in the money supply ultimately lead to higher inflation. Some observers have alluded to the quantity theory of money for that purpose, though in our view, this has sometimes been in a misleading way. Against this background, this paper seeks to clarify several aspects of the quantity theory of money, which are useful to apply it fairly in the current world. First, we review the meaning of the velocity term in the quantity equation. We argue that it has no relevance as a behavioural concept: there is no such thing as a 'desired velocity'. Rather, income velocity should be seen as a variable deriving from a system of parameters and variables related to money demand, as the monetarist approach clearly puts it, with no intrinsic relevance. Second, we clarify the practical relevance that the quantity theory approach can bear in the 21st century. Third, we review the channels and assumptions underlying the asserted quantity theory link between money growth and inflation. In light of our analysis, we conclude that the high money growth rates seen since the pandemic outbreak are unlikely to translate into higher inflation rates.
新冠肺炎危机重新引发了一场由来已久的激烈辩论,即货币供应的大幅增加是否最终会导致更高的通胀。一些观察人士提到了货币数量理论,尽管在我们看来,这有时是一种误导。在此背景下,本文试图澄清货币数量理论的几个方面,这有助于在当今世界公平地应用它。首先,我们回顾一下量方程中速度项的含义。我们认为它与行为概念无关:不存在所谓的“期望速度”。相反,收入速度应该被视为一个变量,从一个与货币需求相关的参数和变量系统中衍生出来,正如货币主义方法明确指出的那样,没有内在的相关性。其次,我们阐明了数量理论方法在21世纪的实际意义。第三,我们回顾了货币增长和通货膨胀之间断言的数量理论联系的渠道和假设。根据我们的分析,我们得出结论,自疫情爆发以来出现的高货币增长率不太可能转化为更高的通货膨胀率。
{"title":"Monetarist arithmetic at COVID‐19 time: A take on how not to misapply the quantity theory of money","authors":"Julien Pinter","doi":"10.1111/ecno.12200","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecno.12200","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 crisis has revived an old heated debate on whether significant increases in the money supply ultimately lead to higher inflation. Some observers have alluded to the quantity theory of money for that purpose, though in our view, this has sometimes been in a misleading way. Against this background, this paper seeks to clarify several aspects of the quantity theory of money, which are useful to apply it fairly in the current world. First, we review the meaning of the velocity term in the quantity equation. We argue that it has no relevance as a behavioural concept: there is no such thing as a 'desired velocity'. Rather, income velocity should be seen as a variable deriving from a system of parameters and variables related to money demand, as the monetarist approach clearly puts it, with no intrinsic relevance. Second, we clarify the practical relevance that the quantity theory approach can bear in the 21st century. Third, we review the channels and assumptions underlying the asserted quantity theory link between money growth and inflation. In light of our analysis, we conclude that the high money growth rates seen since the pandemic outbreak are unlikely to translate into higher inflation rates.","PeriodicalId":44298,"journal":{"name":"Economic Notes","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2021-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83721831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Economic Notes
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1