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Evaluating the investment performance of Australian retirement living and aged care assets 评估澳大利亚退休生活和老年护理资产的投资绩效
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1409171
L. Towart
Abstract In Australia, the Retirement Living and Aged Care (RLAC) sector lacks a historic benchmark performance metric. Institutional investors utilising modern portfolio theory require such benchmarks for making future decisions. It has been considered that this lack of a benchmark has hindered investment in the RLAC sector. This paper evaluates historical investment performance of listed entities in the sector and constructs a market capitalisation weighted return index. From this, the historical performance and diversification potential was analysed from 2004 to 2016. Compared to other investments, RLAC had an inferior risk-adjusted performance. Due to this performance, the inclusion of RLAC in a portfolio did not lead to optimisation. The heterogeneity of the sector coupled with changing business models has implications for drawing conclusions from this historical performance.
在澳大利亚,退休生活和老年护理(RLAC)部门缺乏一个历史性的基准绩效指标。利用现代投资组合理论的机构投资者需要这样的基准来做出未来的决策。人们认为,由于缺乏基准,阻碍了对拉加经委会部门的投资。本文评估了该行业上市公司的历史投资业绩,并构建了市值加权收益指数。在此基础上,分析了2004 - 2016年的历史表现和多元化潜力。与其他投资相比,RLAC的风险调整绩效较差。由于这种表现,在投资组合中包含RLAC并没有导致优化。该行业的异质性加上不断变化的商业模式,对从这一历史表现中得出结论产生了影响。
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引用次数: 2
Legislative policy environment as facilitator of foreign residential investment in Australia 立法政策环境促进外国在澳住宅投资
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1375645
Sacha Reid, E. Coiacetto
Abstract Significant changes to Australian foreign investment policy were enacted in December 2015 affecting how foreigners can purchase property. Therefore, it is timely to examine the role of legislative policy in supporting and shaping foreign investment in residential real estate. This paper contributes to the body of knowledge about the scale, extent and nature of foreign investment in residential real estate in several ways. First, legislative analysis reveals an emphasis on boosting new dwelling supply and on economic stimulus. Second, comparing Australian and international policies we show that some countries channel foreign ownership away from land and towards buildings only. Third, examining the scale of foreign investment in residential real estate since 2009 we show that while the number of foreign approvals has been rising, their value remained static. Fourth, our research reveals a changing investor profile over time in Australia. Additionally, on the Gold Coast, as in other capital cities in Australia, there has been a sectoral change with an increase in foreign property developers supplying dwelling product. The paper concludes with some key research recommendations to aid in understanding supply and demand from foreign residential property investors and the influence this has on property markets.
摘要2015年12月,澳大利亚对外投资政策发生重大变化,影响了外国人购买房产的方式。因此,研究立法政策在支持和塑造外国投资住宅房地产方面的作用是及时的。本文从几个方面为了解外国投资住宅房地产的规模、程度和性质做出了贡献。首先,立法分析显示,重点是增加新住房供应和经济刺激。其次,比较澳大利亚和国际政策,我们发现一些国家将外国所有权从土地转移到建筑。第三,考察2009年以来外国投资住宅房地产的规模,我们发现,尽管外国批准的数量一直在增加,但其价值保持不变。第四,我们的研究揭示了澳大利亚投资者形象随着时间的推移而发生的变化。此外,在黄金海岸,与澳大利亚其他首都城市一样,随着供应住宅产品的外国房地产开发商的增加,行业发生了变化。文章最后提出了一些关键的研究建议,以帮助了解外国住宅房地产投资者的供求关系及其对房地产市场的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Chinese investors investment strategies in the Australian residential property market 中国投资者在澳大利亚住宅房地产市场的投资策略
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1372037
P. Wong, D. Higgins, R. Wakefield
Abstract Active participation by foreign investors in Australian residential property market is common subsequent to the Global Financial Crisis 2008. Many residential properties in the Australian capital cities were purchased by overseas buyers. An estimated 18% of new dwellings in Sydney and 14% in Melbourne were purchased by foreigners in 2014. Simultaneously, house prices rose by 6.0% in 2014 and 5.0% in 2015 in the Australian capital cities. The focus of this research is to uncover the emerging determinants for the Australian residential property market. Cross border semi-structured interviews were conducted in Shanghai (China), the first such undertaken in Australia. Some unique investment strategies of the private investors from China emphasised on non-capitalist factors, such as early education and residential tourism, were identified along with some insights on the Chinese government policies that have incentivised the cross border investments from China. It is believed that understanding these investment strategies will assist policy makers to effectively manage the overheated Australian residential property market without compromising the steady flow of Foreign Real Estate Investment.
摘要2008年全球金融危机后,外国投资者积极参与澳大利亚住宅房地产市场的情况很普遍。澳大利亚首都的许多住宅都是由海外买家购买的。据估计,2014年,悉尼18%的新房和墨尔本14%的新房由外国人购买。与此同时,澳大利亚首都城市的房价在2014年和2015年分别上涨了6.0%和5.0%。本研究的重点是揭示澳大利亚住宅房地产市场的新兴决定因素。在上海(中国)进行了跨境半结构化访谈,这是澳大利亚首次进行此类访谈。中国私人投资者强调非资本主义因素的一些独特投资策略,如早期教育和住宅旅游,以及对激励中国跨境投资的中国政府政策的一些见解。相信了解这些投资策略将有助于决策者在不影响外国房地产投资稳定流动的情况下,有效管理过热的澳大利亚住宅房地产市场。
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引用次数: 3
The influence of rapid rail systems on office values: A case study on South Africa 快速铁路系统对办公室价值观的影响——以南非为例
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1375620
D. Boshoff
Abstract This study identifies the influence of rapid rail systems on property values, with a focus on office buildings in South Africa. It is based on a limited sample of office properties, analysed using MRA to investigate pre-implementation values and rent to post-implementation data. It attempts to confirm if distance from the train stations influences these variables. Evidence is found that distance from the station does have a positive impact on rental levels and property values. The limited data-set, however, causes inadequate levels of statistical significance in some variables, arguably due to the small sample or model specification error due to information availability for research. The positive influence of rapid rail systems found on office values has important implications for property investors, developers, financiers and taxing authorities. This is important amidst a period of extension planning, whereby this research could provide useful information for decision-making and analysis and offers a valuable contribution to the methods to measure the impact of rapid rail systems on property values, although currently limited to office buildings. Furthermore, this research is contributing to the body of knowledge, especially in developing markets, where advanced public transport systems need to be implemented for the first time.
摘要本研究确定了快速铁路系统对房地产价值的影响,重点是南非的办公楼。它基于有限的办公物业样本,使用MRA进行分析,以调查实施前的价值和实施后的租金数据。它试图确认与火车站的距离是否会影响这些变量。有证据表明,距离车站的距离确实对租金水平和房产价值有积极影响。然而,有限的数据集导致某些变量的统计显著性水平不足,可以说是由于研究信息可用性导致的小样本或模型规范错误。快速铁路系统对办公室价值的积极影响对房地产投资者、开发商、金融家和税务机关具有重要意义。在扩建规划期间,这一点很重要,这项研究可以为决策和分析提供有用的信息,并为衡量快速铁路系统对房地产价值影响的方法做出宝贵贡献,尽管目前仅限于办公楼。此外,这项研究正在为知识体系做出贡献,特别是在发展中国家市场,那里需要首次实施先进的公共交通系统。
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引用次数: 5
Foreign direct investment in the UK real estate market 外国对英国房地产市场的直接投资
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1372038
J. Poon
Abstract The aim of this paper is to identify the key factors affecting foreign real estate investment (FREI) in the UK, with a particular focus in London. The panel regression method was used as a data analysis approach for this paper. Two panel regression equations were developed. The first equation has five explanatory variables including GDP, wage, property price, land price and interest rate. The second equation has the sixth explanatory variable, tourists, as well as the five variables used in the first equation. Pearson coefficient analysis was also conducted to identify the correlation between the dependent variable, FREI and the explanatory variables. For the first equation of panel regression analysis showed all five explanatory variables are statistically significant and have an expected impact on FREI. That is GDP and house price, have positive impacts on FREI, while wage, land price and interest rate have negative impacts. For the second equation, all explanatory variables, apart from interest rate and tourists, are statistically significant. Tourists have an unexpected negative impact on FREI. Pearson coefficient analysis showed that FREI has a statistically significant correlation relationship with GDP, wage, house price, land price and interest rate. FREI also has a positive relationship with all explanatory variables except interest rate.
本文的目的是确定影响英国外国房地产投资(FREI)的关键因素,特别关注伦敦。本文采用面板回归法作为数据分析方法。建立了两个面板回归方程。第一个方程有五个解释变量,包括GDP、工资、房价、地价和利率。第二个方程有第六个解释变量旅游者,以及第一个方程中使用的五个变量。通过Pearson系数分析确定因变量FREI与解释变量之间的相关性。对于第一个方程,面板回归分析显示所有五个解释变量都具有统计显著性,并且对FREI具有预期的影响。即GDP和房价对FREI有正向影响,而工资、地价和利率对FREI有负向影响。对于第二个方程,除利率和游客外,所有解释变量都具有统计显著性。游客对FREI有意想不到的负面影响。Pearson系数分析显示,FREI与GDP、工资、房价、地价、利率的相关关系具有统计学意义。FREI与除利率外的所有解释变量均呈正相关。
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引用次数: 13
Online only Editorial board 仅在线编委会
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1400246
A. Adair
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引用次数: 0
Bangkok four-star hotels’ Average Daily Rate (ADR) prediction model 曼谷四星级酒店平均每日房价(ADR)预测模型
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-09-02 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1375663
Kongkoon Tochaiwat, Warakorn Likitanupak
Abstract This research aims to propose a prediction model for the Average Daily Rate (ADR) for Bangkok four-star hotels. The model was developed using the hedonic price model, which was calculated from 158 four-star hotels in Bangkok. The variables in the model were derived from a literature review and suggested by an expert panel. Factor Analysis was adopted to merge the highly correlated variables. The best-fit model is a log-linear form with a .576 Adjusted R2 value. The top five most sensitive variables are (1) staff performance score from Agoda’s review, (2) location score from Agoda’s review, (3) room standard score from Agoda’s review, (4) fitness availability (presence or absence), and (5) the number of hotel outlets. The model was verified by a paired-sample t-test from 30 hotels with similar criteria. From the analysis, the observed ADRs were not significantly different from the predicted ADRs at the .05 significance level (p-value = .849). Furthermore, Theil’s U statistic was .578, which could suggest that the model has high accuracy. In summary, this model can give useful information to investors or developers in the decision-making process for hotel investment, hotel renovation, hotel room pricing, and rechecking the ADRs of operating hotels.
摘要本研究旨在提出曼谷四星级酒店平均每日房价(ADR)的预测模型。该模型是使用享乐价格模型开发的,该模型是从曼谷的158家四星级酒店中计算出来的。模型中的变量来源于文献综述,并由专家小组提出建议。采用因子分析合并高相关变量。最佳拟合模型是一个对数线性形式,调整后的R2值为0.576。最敏感的前五个变量是(1)Agoda评价中的员工绩效得分,(2)Agoda评价中的位置得分,(3)Agoda评价中的房间标准得分,(4)健身可用性(是否存在),(5)酒店网点数量。通过对30家标准相似的酒店进行配对样本t检验,对模型进行了验证。从分析来看,观察到的adr与预测的adr在0.05的显著性水平上无显著差异(p值= 0.849)。此外,Theil的U统计量为0.578,这表明该模型具有较高的准确性。综上所述,该模型可以为投资者或开发商在酒店投资、酒店装修、酒店客房定价、经营酒店adr复核等决策过程中提供有用的信息。
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引用次数: 1
Forecasting the REITs and stock indices: Group Method of Data Handling Neural Network approach 房地产投资信托基金与股票指数的预测:数据处理的神经网络方法
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2016.1225149
R. Li, S. Fong, Kyle Weng Sang Chong
Abstract If there is long-term memory in property stocks and REITs prices, historical data is relevant for future prices prediction. Despite previous research adopted various different methods to forecast future asset prices by using historical data; we attempted to forecast the REITs and stock indices by Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) neural network method with Hurst which is the first of its kind. Our results showed that GMDH neural network performed better than the classical forecasting algorithms such as Single Exponential Smooth, Double Exponential Smooth, ARIMA and back-propagation neural network. The research results also provide useful information for investors when they make investment decisions.
摘要如果房地产股票和REITs价格存在长期记忆,那么历史数据与未来价格预测相关。尽管之前的研究采用了各种不同的方法来利用历史数据预测未来资产价格;我们尝试用数据处理的群方法(GMDH)神经网络方法对REITs和股指进行预测,Hurst是这类方法中的第一个。结果表明,GMDH神经网络的预测性能优于单指数平滑、双指数平滑、ARIMA和反向传播神经网络等经典预测算法。研究结果也为投资者做出投资决策提供了有用的信息。
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引用次数: 47
Announcement effects of dividend tax cuts and corporate policies: evidence from Malaysia REITs 股息减税和公司政策的公告效应:来自马来西亚REITs的证据
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-03-16 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1303263
W. Wong, Kamarun Nisham Taufil Mohd, Nur Adiana Hiau Abdullah
Abstract This study examines the effect of dividend tax changes on the share prices and corporate policies of Malaysian REITs. Event study results show that dividend tax cut announcements provide positive abnormal returns. Based on cross-sectional regression, the abnormal returns are found to be larger for REITs with a higher retail ownership. The implementation of dividend tax cuts also increases dividend payout and reduce investment activities. These results partly support the traditional view of dividend taxation which posits that tax reform could affect economic efficiency and resource allocation in an economy.
摘要本研究探讨股息税变动对马来西亚房地产投资信托基金股价及公司政策的影响。事件研究结果表明,股利减税公告提供了正的异常回报。通过横断面回归分析,发现零售拥有率越高,REITs的异常收益越大。股息税削减的实施也增加了股息支付,减少了投资活动。这些结果在一定程度上支持了股息税的传统观点,即税收改革可能影响经济效率和经济中的资源配置。
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引用次数: 1
Australian cultural built heritage: stakeholders’ perceived conservation barriers and motivations 澳大利亚文化建筑遗产:利益相关者感知的保护障碍和动机
IF 0.8 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2017-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/14445921.2017.1298950
J. Amar, Lynne Armitage, Daniel O’Hare
Abstract Stakeholders are recognised as drivers of effective conservation of cultural built heritage. Yet, as stakeholders have eclectic views in terms of their interest in, knowledge of and perceptions about the management of historic fabric, their practices are often diverse. The objective of this paper is to gain an understanding of the stakeholders’ views drawn from relevant professional field on the issues that act as barriers to conservation and identify the factors that motivate built heritage management in Australia. Using a qualitative research design, two focus groups were conducted in Queensland and New South Wales with purposely selected key informants (N = 14) working in the Australian heritage sector. The study presents stakeholders’ interest in managing built heritage and the perceptions concerning the application of conservation policy and practices in the Australian built heritage sector, as influenced by the interdisciplinary backgrounds of participants. The paper contributes to an in-depth understanding of the conservation barriers and motivators and their implications for policy and practices in the management of Australian built heritage. The study is based on the perceptions of key informants with diverse interests and knowledge about the conservation of cultural built heritage; this makes the research analysis and implications inclusive and influential from both theoretical and practical points of view.
摘要利益相关者被公认为有效保护文化建筑遗产的推动者。然而,由于利益相关者对历史结构管理的兴趣、知识和看法各不相同,他们的做法往往多种多样。本文的目的是了解利益相关者从相关专业领域对保护障碍问题的看法,并确定激励澳大利亚建筑遗产管理的因素。采用定性研究设计,在昆士兰和新南威尔士州进行了两个重点小组,专门挑选了在澳大利亚遗产部门工作的关键信息员(N=14)。该研究介绍了利益相关者对管理建筑遗产的兴趣,以及受参与者跨学科背景影响,对澳大利亚建筑遗产部门应用保护政策和做法的看法。本文有助于深入了解澳大利亚建筑遗产管理中的保护障碍和激励因素及其对政策和实践的影响。该研究基于对文化建筑遗产保护具有不同兴趣和知识的主要信息提供者的看法;这使得研究分析和启示无论从理论角度还是从实践角度都具有包容性和影响力。
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引用次数: 3
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Pacific Rim Property Research Journal
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