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Does herding behavior explain the contagion of the COVID-19 crisis? 羊群行为能否解释COVID-19危机的蔓延?
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-12-2021-0263
Achraf Ghorbel, Yasmine Snene, Wajdi Frikha
PurposeThe objective of this paper is to investigate the pandemic’s function as a driver of investor herding in international stock markets, given that the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) crisis has caused a large rise in uncertainty.Design/methodology/approachThe paper investigates the presence of herding behavior among the developed and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) stock market indices during the COVID-19 crisis, by using a modified Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation (CSAD) measure which is considered a proxy for herding and the wavelet coherence (WC) analysis between CSAD that captures the different inter-linkages between stock markets.FindingsUsing the CSAD model, the authors' findings indicate that the herding behavior of investors is present in stock markets during the four waves of COVID-19 crisis. The results also demonstrate that the transaction volume improve the herding behavior in the stock markets. As for the news concerning the number of cases caused by the pandemic, the results show that the pandemic does not stimulate herding; however, the number of deaths caused by this pandemic turns out to be a great stimulator of herding. By using the WC analysis, the authors' findings indicate the presence of herding behavior between the Chinese and stock markets (developed and emerging), especially during the first wave of the crisis and the presence of herding behavior between the Indian and stock markets (developed and emerging) in the medium and long run, especially during the third wave of the COVID-19 crisis.Originality/valueThe authors' study is among the first that examines the influence of the recent COVID-19 pandemic as a stimulator of herding behavior between stock markets. The study also uses the WC analysis next to the CSAD model to obtain robust results. The authors' results are consistent with the mental bias of behavioral finance where herding behavior is considered effective in volatility predictions and decision-making for international investors, specifically during the COVID-19 crisis.
鉴于当前的冠状病毒病2019 (COVID-19)危机已导致不确定性大幅上升,本文的目的是研究大流行作为国际股票市场投资者羊群效应驱动因素的作用。本文通过使用改进的横截面绝对偏差(CSAD)度量(被认为是羊群的代表)和CSAD之间的小波相干性(WC)分析(捕获股票市场之间不同的相互联系),研究了COVID-19危机期间发达国家和金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)股市指数中羊群行为的存在。利用CSAD模型,作者的研究结果表明,在四波COVID-19危机期间,投资者的羊群行为存在于股市中。研究结果还表明,交易量改善了股票市场的羊群行为。至于关于大流行病例数的消息,结果表明,大流行不会刺激放牧;然而,这次大流行造成的死亡人数证明是一个巨大的刺激因素。通过使用WC分析,作者的研究结果表明,中国和股票市场(发达市场和新兴市场)之间存在羊群行为,特别是在第一波危机期间;印度和股票市场(发达市场和新兴市场)之间存在中长期羊群行为,特别是在第三波COVID-19危机期间。作者的研究是第一批研究最近的COVID-19大流行作为股票市场之间羊群行为刺激因素的影响的研究之一。该研究还使用了CSAD模型旁边的WC分析来获得稳健的结果。作者的结果与行为金融学的心理偏见是一致的,在行为金融学中,羊群行为被认为在国际投资者的波动预测和决策中是有效的,特别是在COVID-19危机期间。
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引用次数: 5
Socially responsible investment behavior: a study of individual investors from India 社会责任投资行为:对印度个人投资者的研究
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-07-14 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-05-2021-0099
Renu Jonwall, Seema Gupta, Shuchi Pahuja
PurposeSocially responsible investment (SRI) is a niche and upcoming investment strategy in India. Very few researches have been conducted on SRI in the Indian context. This study identifies the SRI awareness level, attitude towards the importance of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues, willingness to invest in SRI avenues and obstacles in SRI investment decision-making by Indian retail investors. The second objective was among the awareness, attitude, willingness, obstacle, and demographic constructs to identify the most significant variables that impact an individual investor's SRI decision in India. .Design/methodology/approachData for the study have been collected through a self-structured questionnaire. Descriptive statistics are used to identify the importance of variables for individual investors. This paper used the theory of planned behavior (TPB) to understand the factors impacting individual investors' SRI behavior. Binary logistics regression analysis is used to recognize the variables that affect an individual investor's SRI decision.FindingsThe descriptive statistics indicate a low level of SRI awareness; the majority of the investors agreed that ESG issues are significant in investing and showed a willingness to invest in SRI avenues. However, the investors were not willing to accept lower returns from SRI. The majority of investors found, lower returns on SRIs, no tax benefit, lack of information about SRIs, and low liquidity as important obstacles in SRI investing. Binary logistics regression results indicated that awareness about SR/ESG indices, awareness about SR/ESG funds, and willingness to invest in SRI avenues significantly impact investors' SRI decisions but demographic variables have no significant impact on SRI decision-making.Practical implicationsThis study has implications for the ethical/SR mutual funds managers, policymakers, government, and international asset management companies. The study finds an urgent need for increasing awareness about SRI among individual investors in India. The study suggests that the issuers must provide adequate information about SRI avenues and probable risk and returns involved in these, while the regulators must make efforts to educate investors in India.Originality/valueThe context of the present study is original because hardly any of the earlier studies conducted in India have tried to find out the individual investors' SRI awareness level, investors' willingness towards SRI, investors' attitude towards ESG issues, and obstacles faced by investors in socially responsible investing.
社会责任投资(SRI)在印度是一个利基和即将到来的投资策略。很少有研究在印度背景下进行社会责任投资。本研究确定了印度散户投资者的SRI意识水平、对环境、社会和治理(ESG)问题重要性的态度、投资SRI途径的意愿以及SRI投资决策中的障碍。第二个目标是在意识、态度、意愿、障碍和人口结构中确定影响印度个人投资者SRI决策的最重要变量。设计/方法/方法本研究的数据是通过自结构化问卷收集的。描述性统计用于确定变量对个人投资者的重要性。本文运用计划行为理论(TPB)来理解影响个人投资者SRI行为的因素。二元logistic回归分析用于识别影响个人投资者SRI决策的变量。描述性统计表明,社会责任意识水平较低;大多数投资者认为ESG问题在投资中很重要,并表示愿意投资于SRI途径。然而,投资者不愿意接受SRI较低的回报。大多数投资者发现,SRI的回报率较低、没有税收优惠、缺乏关于SRI的信息和低流动性是SRI投资的重要障碍。二元logistic回归结果显示,投资者对社会责任/ESG指数的认知、对社会责任/ESG基金的认知和投资意愿显著影响投资者的社会责任决策,但人口统计变量对社会责任决策的影响不显著。本研究对道德/社会责任共同基金经理、政策制定者、政府和国际资产管理公司具有启示意义。该研究发现,迫切需要提高印度个人投资者对SRI的认识。该研究表明,发行人必须提供有关SRI途径以及可能涉及的风险和回报的充分信息,而监管机构必须努力教育印度的投资者。本研究的背景是原创的,因为在印度进行的早期研究几乎没有试图找出个人投资者的社会责任投资意识水平,投资者对社会责任投资的意愿,投资者对ESG问题的态度,以及投资者在社会责任投资中面临的障碍。
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引用次数: 4
Personality traits and behavioral biases of Indian financial professionals 印度金融专业人士的人格特征与行为偏见
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-11-2021-0246
H. Baker, Sujata Kapoor, Tanu Khare
PurposeFinancial professionals are increasingly important in the Indian financial system. Our study examines the association between the Big Five personality traits and Indian financial professionals' behavioral biases when making investment decisions.Design/methodology/approachAfter testing our questionnaire's reliability and validity, we used it to obtain the sample responses. We used multiple regression analysis and other statistical tools to identify the relationships between the Big Five personality traits and behavioral biases.FindingsOur findings reveal a high level of extraversion and conscientiousness, a moderate level of agreeableness and openness and a low neuroticism level among financial professionals. The results show a significant association between neuroticism, extraversion, openness and all behavioral biases except anchoring bias. The neuroticism trait has a statistically significant relationship with all behavioral biases examined, whereas agreeableness and conscientiousness traits lack a significant association with behavioral biases. The openness trait is associated with many emotional biases and cognitive heuristics, while the extraversion trait has a significantly positive relationship with availability bias.Research limitations/implicationsFuture researchers could analyze primary (survey) and secondary investor data from brokerage houses. Using a larger sample could provide more generalizable findings. Researchers could also consider other aspects of investment decision-making using various asset classes. Understanding financial professionals' personality traits and behavioral biases could help them develop strategies to suit client needs.Originality/valueThis study provides the first comprehensive examination of the association between personality traits and behavioral biases of Indian financial professionals.
金融专业人士在印度金融体系中越来越重要。我们的研究考察了五大人格特征与印度金融专业人士在做出投资决策时的行为偏差之间的关系。设计/方法/方法在测试了我们的问卷的信度和效度之后,我们使用它来获得样本回复。我们使用多元回归分析和其他统计工具来确定五大人格特征与行为偏差之间的关系。研究结果显示,金融专业人士具有较高的外向性和严谨性,中等的亲和性和开放性,较低的神经质水平。结果表明,除锚定偏差外,神经质、外向性、开放性与所有行为偏差均存在显著相关。神经质特质与所有行为偏差有显著的相关关系,而随和和尽责特质与行为偏差没有显著的关联。开放性特质与许多情绪偏差和认知启发式相关,而外向性特质与可得性偏差显著正相关。研究局限/启示未来的研究人员可以分析来自经纪公司的初级(调查)和次级投资者数据。使用更大的样本可以提供更普遍的发现。研究人员还可以考虑使用各种资产类别进行投资决策的其他方面。了解金融专业人士的个性特征和行为偏见可以帮助他们制定适合客户需求的策略。原创性/价值本研究首次全面考察了印度金融专业人士的人格特质与行为偏差之间的关系。
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引用次数: 3
Management accountants' susceptibility to overconfidence: the overplacement perspective 管理会计师对过度自信的敏感性:过度定位的视角
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-07-2021-0138
Z. Enslin
PurposeOverconfidence bias is considered to be a very influential decision-making bias in the business environment. This paper aims to identify the susceptibility of management accountants to overconfidence-related overplacement bias and to determine its pervasiveness among these professionals.Design/methodology/approachTwo international samples of management accountants were surveyed using overplacement bias elicitation questions. The hypothesis that bias susceptibility varies between management accountants in different hierarchical employment positions was tested employing binary logistic regression.FindingsManagement accountants are found to be susceptible to overplacement bias, yet its pervasiveness among the samples is similar to other sample populations in comparable studies. Management accountants in the position of Chief Financial Officer (CFO) were found to be more susceptible to overplacement bias than their colleagues in other management accountant and business management positions.Research limitations/implicationsThe use of convenience sampling represents a limitation of the research.Practical implicationsThe findings confirm that there is a need for syllabi and continual professional development projects to educate management accountants on this bias. CFOs are especially at risk of being overconfident, which may not be in the best interest of the business.Originality/valueThis is the first paper to assess overplacement bias in management accountants as a group of decision-makers, especially within the context of their increasing involvement in business decision-making.
目的过度自信偏差被认为是商业环境中非常有影响力的决策偏差。本文旨在确定管理会计师对过度自信相关的过度安置偏见的敏感性,并确定其在这些专业人员中的普遍性。设计/方法/方法两个国际样本的管理会计师进行了调查,使用过度安置偏见引出问题。运用二元logistic回归对不同层级就业岗位的管理会计师偏见敏感性存在差异的假设进行检验。研究发现管理会计师易受过度安置偏见的影响,但其在样本中的普遍性与可比研究中的其他样本人群相似。研究发现,担任首席财务官(CFO)职位的管理会计师比担任其他管理会计和企业管理职位的同事更容易出现overplacement偏见。研究局限性/启示使用方便抽样代表了研究的局限性。实际意义研究结果证实,有必要制定教学大纲和持续专业发展项目来教育管理会计师这种偏见。首席财务官们尤其有过度自信的风险,这可能不符合企业的最佳利益。原创性/价值这是第一篇评估管理会计师作为一组决策者的过度安置偏见的论文,特别是在他们越来越多地参与商业决策的背景下。
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引用次数: 1
Determinants of annual reports complexity in the United States of America: an application of the Tobit model 美国年度报告复杂性的决定因素:Tobit模型的应用
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-12-2021-0265
F. Bendriouch, Imad Jabbouri, M. M’hamdi, Harit Satt, S. Katona, Rhita Serir
PurposeThis paper explores the factors that shape the complexity of company annual reports in the USA. Using a general-to-specific modeling approach, this study examines the determinants of annual reports' tone complexity.Design/methodology/approachNegative relationships were found between agency problems and tone; agency costs and readability of annual reports; profitability and tone; and ownership structure and tone complexity.FindingsThese relationships helped to confirm several of this study’s hypotheses, whereas positive associations were found between investment growth opportunities and tone complexity, which contradicts one of our initial hypotheses. Findings reveal that the more complex the language in an annual report is, the more difficult it is to strategically make a judgment or decision about the reported financial situation.Originality/valueAnalyzing these variables allows security analysts and investors to obtain important information, not available in the financial statements, which would enhance their understanding of the firm and improve their recommendations and investment decision-making process.
本文探讨了影响美国公司年度报告复杂性的因素。使用通用到特定的建模方法,本研究考察了年度报告语气复杂性的决定因素。设计/方法/方法代理问题与语气呈负相关;代理费用和年度报告的可读性;盈利能力和基调;以及所有权结构和语气的复杂性。这些关系有助于证实本研究的几个假设,而投资增长机会和音调复杂性之间发现了正相关,这与我们最初的一个假设相矛盾。调查结果显示,年度报告中的语言越复杂,就越难以对报告的财务状况做出战略性判断或决定。原创性/价值分析这些变量可以让证券分析师和投资者获得财务报表中没有的重要信息,这将增强他们对公司的了解,并改进他们的建议和投资决策过程。
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引用次数: 0
Behavioural finance and cryptocurrencies 行为金融学和加密货币
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-11-2021-0256
Antonis Ballis, Thanos Verousis

Purpose

The present study sets out to examine the empirical literature on the behavioural aspects of cryptocurrencies, showing the findings of related studies and discussing the various results. A systematic literature review of cryptocurrencies in behavioural finance seems to be timely and particularly important in terms of providing a guide for future research. Key topics include an extent review on the issue of herding behaviour amongst cryptocurrencies, momentum effects and overreaction, contagion effect, sentiment and uncertainty, along with studies related to investment decision-making, optimism bias, disposition, lottery and size effects.

Design/methodology/approach

Systematic literature review.

Findings

A systematic literature review of cryptocurrencies in behavioural finance seems to be timely and particularly important in terms of providing a guide for future research. Key topics include an extent review on the issue of herding behaviour amongst cryptocurrencies, momentum effects and overreaction, contagion effect, sentiment (investor's, market's) and uncertainty, along with studies related to investment decision-making, optimism bias, disposition, lottery and size effect.

Originality/value

The authors' survey paper complements recent papers in the area by offering a systematic account on the influence of behavioural factors on cryptocurrencies. Further, this study's purpose is not just to index the relevant literature, but rather to showcase and pinpoint several research areas that have emerged in the field of behavioural cryptocurrency research. For all these reasons, a systematic literature review of cryptocurrencies in behavioural finance seems to be timely and particularly important.

本研究旨在研究有关加密货币行为方面的实证文献,展示相关研究的结果并讨论各种结果。在行为金融学中对加密货币进行系统的文献综述似乎是及时的,而且对于为未来的研究提供指导尤为重要。关键主题包括对加密货币之间的羊群行为、动量效应和过度反应、传染效应、情绪和不确定性问题的程度审查,以及与投资决策、乐观偏见、性格、彩票和规模效应相关的研究。设计/方法/方法系统文献综述。在行为金融学中对加密货币进行系统的文献综述似乎是及时的,而且对于为未来的研究提供指导尤为重要。关键主题包括对加密货币之间的羊群行为、动量效应和过度反应、传染效应、情绪(投资者、市场)和不确定性问题的程度审查,以及与投资决策、乐观偏见、处置、彩票和规模效应相关的研究。作者的调查论文通过系统地描述行为因素对加密货币的影响,补充了该领域最近的论文。此外,本研究的目的不仅仅是索引相关文献,而是展示和指出行为加密货币研究领域出现的几个研究领域。由于所有这些原因,对行为金融学中的加密货币进行系统的文献综述似乎是及时且特别重要的。
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引用次数: 0
Risk attitudes and demand for insurance: micro evidence from Ghana 风险态度和保险需求:来自加纳的微观证据
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2022-0017
P. Asuming, Deborah Aba Gaisie
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to understand how risk attitudes drive demand for different types of insurance amongst Ghanaians.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses data from a nationally representative survey of Ghanaian households (Ghana Living Standards Survey Round 7). Risk aversion is measured following the approach of Holt and Laury (2002) in the use of hypothetical questions about investment. Probit regressions are used to estimate the effect of risk aversion on insurance outcomes.FindingsThe paper finds evidence that supports the theory that risk attitudes influence insurance demand. Specifically, risk aversion is positively related to the uptake of insurance in general and in particular, public health insurance. Unlike previous literature, the authors do not find the sex of the respondent to affect the relationship between risk aversion and insurance demand except for private health insurance. Socio-economic factors such as wealth, age and education were found to strongly predict insurance demand.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings confirm that risk attitude influence the demand for insurance in developing countries but socio-economic factors play a strong role in explaining low insurance penetration in such contexts.Originality/valueTheoretically, attitudes towards risk have been strongly linked with insurance demand. Yet, empirical evidence on this relationship is limited in developing countries where insurance penetration is very low. This study is among the first to document the influence of risk attitude on the demand of a range of insurance products using a large nationally representative sample of individuals in a developing country.
目的本研究的目的是了解风险态度如何驱动加纳人对不同类型保险的需求。设计/方法/方法本研究使用了来自加纳家庭的全国代表性调查(加纳生活水平调查第7轮)的数据。风险规避是根据Holt和laurie(2002)的方法在使用关于投资的假设问题中进行测量的。概率回归用于估计风险规避对保险结果的影响。研究发现:本文发现了支持风险态度影响保险需求理论的证据。具体而言,风险厌恶与一般保险特别是公共健康保险的吸收呈正相关。与以往文献不同的是,除了私人健康保险外,作者没有发现被调查者的性别影响风险厌恶与保险需求之间的关系。社会经济因素如财富、年龄和教育程度对保险需求有很强的预测作用。研究局限/启示研究结果证实,风险态度影响发展中国家的保险需求,但社会经济因素在解释这种情况下的低保险渗透率方面发挥了重要作用。原创性/价值理论上,对风险的态度与保险需求密切相关。然而,在保险渗透率非常低的发展中国家,关于这种关系的经验证据有限。这项研究是第一个记录风险态度对一系列保险产品需求的影响的研究之一,使用了一个发展中国家具有全国代表性的大型个人样本。
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引用次数: 0
The disposition effect and its manifestations in South African investor teams 南非投资者团队的处置效应及其表现
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2022-0027
Philani Shandu, I. Alagidede
PurposeThe study endeavours to determine (1) whether the disposition effect exists among South African investor teams, (2) whether it is causally intensified by a set of psychosocial factors and (3) whether the disposition effect causally reduces investor welfare.Design/methodology/approachFollowing a natural field experimentation design involving a sample of investor teams participating in the 2019 run of the JSE University Investment Challenge, the authors use regression adjustments as well as bootstrap tests to investigate the casual implications of a set of psychosocial factors on the intensity of the disposition effect, as well on the attenuation of market-adjusted ex post returns (i.e. investor welfare).FindingsSouth African investor teams are susceptible to the disposition effect, and their susceptibility to the bias is associated with attenuated investor welfare. Furthermore, low female representation in an investor team causally intensifies the disposition effect, subsequently leading to a causal reduction in investor welfare.Originality/valueUsing evidence from real-world observation, the authors contribute to the literature on team gender diversity and investment decision-making, and – using Hofstede's (2001) cultural dimensions – the authors offer a comprehensive account for how differences in culture may lead to differences in gender-related disposition effects across different nationalities. The authors also introduce to the literature experimental evidence from the field that clearly demonstrates that – among South African investor teams – a causal relationship exists (1) between female representation and the disposition effect, and (2) between the disposition effect and investor welfare.
目的:本研究试图确定(1)处置效应是否存在于南非投资者团队中,(2)它是否因一系列心理社会因素而加剧,(3)处置效应是否会导致投资者福利的减少。设计/方法/方法采用自然现场实验设计,涉及参加2019年JSE大学投资挑战赛的投资者团队样本,作者使用回归调整和bootstrap测试来调查一系列心理社会因素对处置效应强度的偶然影响,以及对市场调整后回报(即投资者福利)衰减的影响。研究结果:南非投资者团队容易受到处置效应的影响,他们对偏见的敏感性与投资者福利的减弱有关。此外,投资者团队中女性比例较低会加剧处置效应,从而导致投资者福利的因果减少。原创性/价值利用现实世界的观察证据,作者撰写了关于团队性别多样性和投资决策的文献,并且-使用Hofstede(2001)的文化维度-作者提供了文化差异如何导致不同国籍的性别相关倾向影响差异的综合解释。作者还在文献中引入了该领域的实验证据,这些证据清楚地表明,在南非的投资者团队中,存在(1)女性代表与处置效应之间的因果关系,以及(2)处置效应与投资者福利之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 2
Investor behavior and cryptocurrency market bubbles during the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19大流行期间的投资者行为和加密货币市场泡沫
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2021-0190
Emna Mnif, Bassem Salhi, Khaireddine Mouakha, Anis Jarboui
PurposeCryptocurrencies lack fundamental values and are often subject to behavioral bias leading to market bubbles. This study aims to investigate the contribution of the coronavirus pandemic to the creation of market bubbles.Design/methodology/approachThis study identifies four major cryptocurrency market bubbles by using the Phillips et al. (2016) (hereafter PSY) test. Subsequently, the co-movements of the coronavirus proxies with PSY measurement using the wavelet approach were studied.FindingsShort-lived bubbles are detected at the beginning of the studied period, and more extended bubble periods are identified at the end. Besides, the empirical results show evidence of significant negative co-movement between each pandemic proxy and each cryptocurrency bubble measurement.Research limitations/implicationsGiven the complex financial dynamics of the cryptocurrency markets due to some behavioral biases in some circumstances, investors can benefit from the date stamping of the bubbles bursting to make the best trading positions. In the same way, governments could support the healthy development of cryptocurrencies by preventing bubbles during such pandemics.Originality/valueThe financial bubble is commonly attributed to a change in investor behavior. Because traders and investors think they can resell the asset at a higher price in the future. This study explored the contribution of the COVID-19 pandemic in the creation of these bubbles by date stamping their occurrence and explosive periods. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first attempt that explores the contribution of the COVID-19 pandemic to the creation of bubbles caused by a change in the investors’ behavior.
加密货币缺乏基本价值,经常受到行为偏差的影响,导致市场泡沫。本研究旨在调查冠状病毒大流行对市场泡沫产生的贡献。设计/方法/方法本研究通过使用Phillips等人(2016)(以下简称PSY)测试确定了四个主要的加密货币市场泡沫。随后,利用小波方法研究了冠状病毒代理与PSY测量的共同运动。研究发现在研究周期开始时发现了短暂的泡沫,在研究结束时发现了更长的泡沫周期。此外,实证结果显示,每种流行病代理和每种加密货币泡沫测量之间存在显著的负向联合运动。考虑到在某些情况下由于一些行为偏差而导致的加密货币市场复杂的金融动态,投资者可以从泡沫破裂的日期戳中受益,以建立最佳的交易头寸。同样,政府可以通过在此类流行病期间防止泡沫来支持加密货币的健康发展。独创性/价值金融泡沫通常归因于投资者行为的改变。因为交易员和投资者认为他们可以在未来以更高的价格转售资产。本研究通过日期戳戳这些泡沫的发生和爆发时期,探讨了COVID-19大流行对这些泡沫产生的贡献。据作者所知,这项研究是首次尝试探索COVID-19大流行对投资者行为变化导致的泡沫产生的贡献。
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引用次数: 6
Short-run and long-run determinants of bitcoin returns: transnational evidence 比特币回报的短期和长期决定因素:跨国证据
IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-06-03 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-02-2022-0040
Priti Dubey
PurposeBitcoin has emerged as a phenomenal asset earning abnormal profits. However, the factors with predictability power over its price are not widely studied. Therefore, this study aims to explore the factors that determine bitcoin prices. The analysis explores the determinants belonging to four categories – macro economic, financial, technical and fundamental factors.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs random effects regression on the panel data of five countries. Then Granger causality test is applied on the time series of all the variables. Lastly, diagnostic tests are conducted to confirm the findings to be robust and reliable.FindingsThe findings suggest that oil price, bitcoin supply, trading volume and market capitalization significantly impact the price of bitcoin in the long run. In short run, bitcoin returns are only caused by oil price and market capitalization. Interestingly, bitcoin returns influence its attractiveness to investors, market capitalization, S&P 500 returns and trading volume, in the short run.Practical implicationsThe technical analysis is found to be redundant in the short run. In the long run, technical as well as fundamental analysis are useful. The bitcoin is found to be a good diversification tool as it has no linkages with the stock markets and gold market. It is also an inflationary hedger owing its limited supply.Originality/valueThe studies on cryptocurrency market have not conducted the analysis across countries. This study captures the cross-sectional effects along with time effects. The study also includes 17 variables belonging to four categories.
比特币已经成为一种赚取异常利润的现象级资产。然而,对其价格具有可预见性的因素研究并不广泛。因此,本研究旨在探讨决定比特币价格的因素。分析探讨了四类决定因素——宏观经济、金融、技术和基本面因素。设计/方法/方法本研究对五个国家的面板数据采用随机效应回归。然后对所有变量的时间序列进行格兰杰因果检验。最后,进行诊断测试,以确认结果是稳健和可靠的。研究结果表明,从长远来看,油价、比特币供应、交易量和市值对比特币价格有显著影响。短期来看,比特币的回报只受油价和市值的影响。有趣的是,在短期内,比特币的回报会影响其对投资者的吸引力、市值、标准普尔500指数的回报和交易量。实际意义短期来看,技术分析是多余的。从长远来看,技术分析和基本面分析都是有用的。比特币被认为是一个很好的分散工具,因为它与股票市场和黄金市场没有联系。由于其供应量有限,它也是一种通胀对冲工具。关于加密货币市场的研究并没有进行跨国家的分析。本研究捕捉了横截面效应和时间效应。该研究还包括17个变量,属于4类。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Review of Behavioral Finance
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